Pooling Alzheimer's disease clinical trial data to develop personalized medicine approaches is easier said than done: A proof-of-principle study and call to action.

With the advent of the first generation of disease-modifying treatments for Alzheimer's disease, it is clearer now more than ever that the field needs to move toward personalized medicine. Pooling data from past trials may help identify subgroups most likely to benefit from specific treatments and thus inform future trial design. In this perspective, we report on our effort to pool data from past Alzheimer's disease trials to identify patients most likely to respond to different treatments. We delineate challenges and hurdles, from our proof-of-principle study, for which we requested access to trial datasets from various pharmaceutical companies and encountered obstacles in the process of arranging data-sharing agreements through legal departments. Six phase I-III trials from three sponsors provided access to their data (total n = 3170), which included demographic information, vital signs, primary and secondary endpoints, and in a small subset, cerebrospinal fluid amyloid (n = 165, 5.2%) and tau (n = 212, 6.7%). Data could be analyzed only within specific data access platforms, limiting potential harmonization with data provided through other platforms. Limited overlap in terms of outcome measures, clinical and biological information hindered analyses. Thus, while it is a commendable advancement that (some) trials now allow researchers to study their data, we conclude that gaining access to past trial datasets is complicated, frustrating the field's communal effort to find the best treatments for the right individuals. We provide a plea to promote harmonization and open access to data, by urging trial sponsors and the academic research community alike to remove barriers to data access and improve collaboration through practicing open science and harmonizing outcome measures, to allow investigators to learn all there is to learn from past failures and successes. HIGHLIGHTS: Pooling data from past Alzheimer's disease clinical trials may help identify subgroups most likely to benefit from specific treatments and may help inform future trial design.Accessing past trial datasets is complicated, frustrating the field's communal effort to find the best treatments for the right individuals.We urge trial sponsors and the academic research community to remove data access barriers and improve collaboration through practicing open science and harmonizing outcome measures.

Predicting Cognitive Decline in Amyloid-Positive Patients With Mild Cognitive Impairment or Mild Dementia.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Cognitive decline rates in Alzheimer disease (AD) vary greatly. Disease-modifying treatments may alter cognitive decline trajectories, rendering their prediction increasingly relevant. We aimed to construct clinically applicable prediction models of cognitive decline in amyloid-positive patients with mild cognitive impairment (MCI) or mild dementia. METHODS: From the Amsterdam Dementia Cohort, we selected amyloid-positive participants with MCI or mild dementia and at least 2 longitudinal Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) measurements. Amyloid positivity was based on CSF AD biomarker concentrations or amyloid PET. We used linear mixed modeling to predict MMSE over time, describing trajectories using a cubic time curve and interactions between linear time and the baseline predictors age, sex, baseline MMSE, APOE ε4 dose, CSF ß-amyloid (Aß) 1-42 and pTau, and MRI total brain and hippocampal volume. Backward selection was used to reduce model complexity. These models can predict MMSE over follow-up or the time to an MMSE value. MCI and mild dementia were modeled separately. Internal 5-fold cross-validation was performed to calculate the explained variance (R2). RESULTS: In total, 961 participants were included (age 65 ± 7 years, 49% female), 310 had MCI (MMSE 26 ± 2) and 651 had mild dementia (MMSE 22 ± 4), with 4 ± 2 measurements over 2 (interquartile range 1-4) years. Cognitive decline rates increased over time for both MCI and mild dementia (model comparisons linear vs squared vs cubic time fit; p < 0.05 favoring a cubic fit). For MCI, backward selection retained age, sex, and CSF Aß1-42 and pTau concentrations as time-varying effects altering the MMSE trajectory. For mild dementia, retained time-varying effects were Aß1-42, age, APOE ε4, and baseline MMSE. R2 was 0.15 for the MCI model and 0.26 for mild dementia in internal cross-validation. A hypothetical patient with MCI, baseline MMSE 28, and CSF Aß1-42 of 925 pg/mL was predicted to reach an MMSE of 20 after 6.0 years (95% CI 5.4-6.7) and after 8.6 years with a hypothetical treatment reducing decline by 30%. DISCUSSION: We constructed models for MCI and mild dementia that predict MMSE over time. These models could inform patients about their potential cognitive trajectory and the remaining uncertainty and aid in conversations about individualized potential treatment effects.

DNA Methylation and P53 Immunohistochemistry as Prognostic Biomarkers for Vulvar Lichen Sclerosus.

Vulvar lichen sclerosus (LS) is an inflammatory dermatosis that can progress to human papillomavirus (HPV)-independent vulvar intraepithelial neoplasia (HPVi VIN) and vulvar squamous cell carcinoma (VSCC). Although LS has a much lower cancer risk compared with HPVi VIN (5% versus 50%, respectively), its incidence is significantly higher. Therefore, there is a clinical need to identify LS patients with an increased cancer risk. Our objective was to study the value of DNA methylation and p53 immunohistochemistry (IHC) as prognostic biomarkers for progression to cancer in patients with LS. Vulvar tissues from 236 patients were selected, including 75 LS and 68 HPVi VIN, both with and without cancer development, 32 VSCC, and 61 healthy vulvar controls. Samples were subjected to p53 IHC and DNA methylation analysis of a 3-gene marker panel containing ZNF582, SST, and miR124-2. Methylation levels and p53 IHC status (mutant or wild-type) were assessed and compared among all disease categories. Odds ratios were determined to identify whether the biomarkers were associated with progression to cancer in patients with LS. The highest methylation levels were found in HPVi VIN and VSCC, followed by LS and healthy vulvar controls. The largest heterogeneity in methylation levels was observed in LS cases. In fact, the 3-marker panel tested positive in 70% of LS, which progressed to VSCC versus only 17% of LS in patients without cancer development (P = .002). Also, mutant p53 IHC was observed more frequently in LS with progression to VSCC compared with nonprogressive LS cases (42% versus 3%, respectively, P = .001). Multivariable analysis identified a mutant p53 status as the only independent risk factor for cancer development in LS (odds ratio: 34.0, 95% CI: 1.4-807.4). In conclusion, DNA methylation testing and p53 IHC show strong potential as prognostic biomarkers for the identification of LS patients at high risk of progression to cancer.

Low methylation marker levels among human papillomavirus-vaccinated women with cervical high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions.

Cervical cancer screening programs, including triage tests, need redesigning as human papillomavirus (HPV)-vaccinated women are entering the programs. Methylation markers offer a potential solution to reduce false-positive rates by identifying clinically relevant cervical lesions with progressive potential. In a nested case-control study, 9242 women who received the three-dose HPV16/18-vaccine at ages 12-15 or 18 in a community-randomized trial were included. Subsequently, they were re-randomized for either frequent or infrequent cervical cancer screening trials. Over a 15-year post-vaccination follow-up until 2022, 17 high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (HSIL) and 15 low-grade (LSIL) cases were identified at the 25-year screening round, alongside 371 age and community-matched HPV16/18-vaccinated controls. Methylation analyses were performed on cervical samples collected at age 25, preceding histologically confirmed LSIL or HSIL diagnoses. DNA methylation of viral (HPV16/18/31/33) and host-cell genes (EPB41L3, FAM19A4, and miR124-2) was measured, along with HPV-genotyping. No HPV16/18 HSIL cases were observed. The predominant HPV-genotypes were HPV52 (29.4%), HPV59/HPV51/HPV58 (each 23.5%), and HPV33 (17.7%). Methylation levels were generally low, with no significant differences in mean methylation levels of viral or host-cell genes between the LSIL/HSIL and controls. However, a significant difference in methylation levels was found between HSIL cases and controls when considering a combination of viral genes and EPB41L3 (p value = .0001). HPV-vaccinated women with HSIL had HPV infections with uncommon HPV types that very rarely cause cancer and displayed low methylation levels. Further investigation is warranted to understand the likely regressive nature of HSIL among HPV-vaccinated women and its implications for management.

Computerized decision support is an effective approach to select memory clinic patients for amyloid-PET.

BACKGROUND: The use of amyloid-PET in dementia workup is upcoming. At the same time, amyloid-PET is costly and limitedly available. While the appropriate use criteria (AUC) aim for optimal use of amyloid-PET, their limited sensitivity hinders the translation to clinical practice. Therefore, there is a need for tools that guide selection of patients for whom amyloid-PET has the most clinical utility. We aimed to develop a computerized decision support approach to select patients for amyloid-PET. METHODS: We included 286 subjects (135 controls, 108 Alzheimer's disease dementia, 33 frontotemporal lobe dementia, and 10 vascular dementia) from the Amsterdam Dementia Cohort, with available neuropsychology, APOE, MRI and [18F]florbetaben amyloid-PET. In our computerized decision support approach, using supervised machine learning based on the DSI classifier, we first classified the subjects using only neuropsychology, APOE, and quantified MRI. Then, for subjects with uncertain classification (probability of correct class (PCC) < 0.75) we enriched classification by adding (hypothetical) amyloid positive (AD-like) and negative (normal) PET visual read results and assessed whether the diagnosis became more certain in at least one scenario (PPC≥0.75). If this was the case, the actual visual read result was used in the final classification. We compared the proportion of PET scans and patients diagnosed with sufficient certainty in the computerized approach with three scenarios: 1) without amyloid-PET, 2) amyloid-PET according to the AUC, and 3) amyloid-PET for all patients. RESULTS: The computerized approach advised PET in n = 60(21%) patients, leading to a diagnosis with sufficient certainty in n = 188(66%) patients. This approach was more efficient than the other three scenarios: 1) without amyloid-PET, diagnostic classification was obtained in n = 155(54%), 2) applying the AUC resulted in amyloid-PET in n = 113(40%) and diagnostic classification in n = 156(55%), and 3) performing amyloid-PET in all resulted in diagnostic classification in n = 154(54%). CONCLUSION: Our computerized data-driven approach selected 21% of memory clinic patients for amyloid-PET, without compromising diagnostic performance. Our work contributes to a cost-effective implementation and could support clinicians in making a balanced decision in ordering additional amyloid PET during the dementia workup.

Colposcopy Referral and CIN3+ Risk of Human Papillomavirus Genotyping Strategies in Cervical Cancer Screening.

BACKGROUND: High-risk human papillomavirus (hrHPV)-based cervical cancer screening in the Netherlands led to a substantial increase in number of colposcopy referrals and low-grade lesions detected. Genotyping strategies may be employed to lower the screening-related burden. METHODS: We evaluated 14 triage strategies with genotyping (HPV16/18 or HPV16/18/31/33/45/52/58) for hrHPV-positive borderlineormilddyskaryosis (BMD)ornormal cytology,usingdata from a population-based hrHPV-based screening trial with 5-year interval (POBASCAM). We considered colposcopy referral at baseline, after 6-month repeat cytology and after 5-year hrHPV testing. Performance was evaluated by one-round positive and negative predictive value (PPVandNPV) for CIN3+ and by two-roundcolposcopy referral rate. To identify efficient strategies, they were ordered by the one-round colposcopy referral rate. Adjacent strategies were compared by the marginal PPV for detecting one additional CIN3+ (mPPV). RESULTS: The most conservative strategy (repeat cytology after BMD and HPV16/18/31/33/45/52/58-positive normal cytology, next round otherwise) yielded an mPPV of 28%, NPV of 98.2%, and two-round colposcopy referral rate of 47.2%. Adding direct referral after BMD or genotype-positive BMD yielded an mPPV ≤ 8.2%, NPV ≥ 98.5% and an increase in colposcopy referral rate of 1.9% to 6.5%. Adding direct referral after HPV16/18-positive normal cytology yielded an mPPV ≤ 3.5%, NPV ≥ 99.5% and an increase in colposcopy referral rate of 13.9%. CONCLUSIONS: Direct colposcopy referral of women with BMD or normal cytology is unlikely to be efficient, but genotype-guided direct referral after BMD may be considered because the increase in colposcopies is limited. IMPACT: hrHPV screening programs can become very efficient when immediate colposcopy referral is limited to women at highest CIN3+ risk. See related In the Spotlight, p. 979.

Incidence and Risk Factors for Recurrence and Progression of HPV-Independent Vulvar Intraepithelial Neoplasia.

OBJECTIVES: Human papillomavirus (HPV)-independent vulvar intraepithelial neoplasia (VIN) is a rare yet aggressive precursor lesion of vulvar cancer. Our objectives were to estimate its long-term incidence, the risk of recurrent disease and progression to vulvar cancer, and risk factors thereof. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Patients with HPV-independent VIN between 1991 and 2019 in a selected region were identified from the Dutch Nationwide Pathology Databank (Palga). Data were collected from the pathology reports. Crude and European age-standardized incidence rates were calculated for 10-year periods. Kaplan-Meier analyses were performed to determine the cumulative recurrence and cancer incidence, followed by Cox regression analyses to identify associated risk factors. RESULTS: A total of 114 patients were diagnosed with solitary HPV-independent VIN without prior or concurrent vulvar cancer. The European age-standardized incidence rate increased from 0.09 to 0.69 per 100,000 women-years between 1991-2010 and 2011-2019. A cumulative recurrence and cancer incidence of 29% and 46% were found after 8 and 13 years of follow-up, respectively. Nonradical surgery was identified as the only independent risk factor for recurrent HPV-independent VIN. Risk factors associated with progression to cancer were increasing age and a mutant p53 immunohistochemical staining pattern. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of detected HPV-independent VIN has substantially increased the last decade and the subsequent recurrence and vulvar cancer risks are high. Although HPV-independent VIN may present as a wide morphologic spectrum, surgical treatment should aim for negative resection margins followed by close surveillance, especially for p53 mutant lesions.

Adaptive behavior assessed by Vineland-3 as comprehensive outcome measure in vanishing white matter.

OBJECTIVES: Investigate the results and usability of the Vineland-3 as an outcome measure in vanishing white matter patients. METHODS: A cross-sectional investigation of the Vineland-3 based on interviews with caregivers, the Health Utilities Index, and the modified Rankin Scale in 64 vanishing white matter patients. RESULTS: Adaptive behavior measured with the Vineland-3 is impaired in the vast majority of vanishing white matter patients and significantly impacts daily life. Typically, the daily living skills domain is most severely affected and the socialization domain is the least affected. Based on the metric properties and the clinical relevance, the standard scores for the daily living skills domain and Adaptive Behavior Composite have the best properties to be used as an outcome measure. INTERPRETATION: The Vineland-3 appears to be a useful outcome measure to explore and quantify complex cognitive, behavioral, and psychiatric impairments affecting daily functioning in vanishing white matter. Further research should address the longitudinal evaluation of this tool and its additional value to standard neuropsychological and clinical examination.

High-grade vulvar intraepithelial neoplasia: comprehensive characterization and long-term vulvar carcinoma risk.

AIMS: Adequate diagnosis of human papillomavirus (HPV)-associated high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (HSIL) and HPV-independent vulvar intraepithelial neoplasia (VIN) is essential but can be challenging. We comprehensively characterized a large population-based series of vulvar lesions, originally reported as high-grade VIN, and assessed the cancer risk. METHODS AND RESULTS: Baseline high-grade VIN of 751 patients were categorized by histopathological reassessment, integrating the results of immunohistochemistry (p16INK4a , p53, Ki-67) and HPV DNA testing. Integrated analyses resulted in 88.4% HPV-associated lesions (77.0% HSIL, 10.9% low-grade SIL [LSIL], and 0.4% vulvar squamous cell carcinoma [VSCC]), 10.9% HPV-independent lesions (6.1% HPV-independent VIN, 4.7% nondysplastic lesions, and 0.1% VSCC) and 1.1% inconclusive lesions. HSIL demonstrated p16INK4a block-positivity in 99.0%, increased Ki-67 in ≥2/3rd of the epithelium in 93.6%, and HPV positivity in 99.6%. In HSIL, a p53 wildtype mid-epithelial staining pattern was common (51.6%) while this was not observed in HPV-independent lesions. HPV-independent VIN harboured mutant p53 patterns in 65.2% and showed a wide morphological spectrum, ranging from differentiated to nondifferentiated ('HPV-associated-like', in 41.3%). Kaplan-Meier analyses showed a 10-year cancer risk of 8.0% in HPV-associated HSIL, 67.4% in HPV-independent VIN/p53mutant, and 27.8% in HPV-independent VIN/p53wildtype. Strikingly, the 10-year cancer risk was 73.3% in HPV-independent VIN with nondifferentiated ('HPV-associated-like') morphology. CONCLUSION: Immunohistochemistry by p16INK4a and p53 is highly recommended for optimal categorization into HPV-associated and HPV-independent VIN, which is of utmost importance given the different cancer risk. The high cancer risk of HPV-independent VIN underscores the need for surgical treatment and close follow-up, especially in case of a p53 mutant pattern and/or nondifferentiated morphology.

Staged design recommendations for validating relative sensitivity of self-sample human papillomavirus tests for cervical screening.

OBJECTIVES: To ensure that the emerging methods for human papillomavirus (HPV) testing on self-collected samples in cervical screening are evaluated robustly. STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: We assess paired study designs for relative sensitivity of self-collected vs. traditional clinician-collected samples in detection of high-grade cervical intraepithelial neoplasia. RESULTS: Designs considered are (D1) both samples at screening, with clinical actions triggered by HPV positivity; (D2) offering a self-sample test to clinician-collected HPV-positive women; (D3) as D2 but using a repeat clinician-sample as comparator; (D4) offering a choice of self- vs. clinician-sampling, and the alternative test in HPV-positive women; (D5) paired samples at referral appointment. D1 is simple to analyze but requires the largest sample size and referral of self-sample positive, clinician-sample negative women. D2 requires a much smaller sample size, and no change to clinical practice, and could be used to rule-in a test because estimates are conservative (against self-sampling). D3 mitigates this bias but requires a second clinician sample. D4 is only manageable where self-sampling already occurs. The liberal D5 might be used to rule-out a self-sampling test. CONCLUSION: A universal recommendation for an optimal study design is challenging. Staged validation might be useful with D5 as a gatekeeper for D1-D4.

Health and economic effects of introducing single-dose or two-dose human papillomavirus vaccination in India.

BACKGROUND: Cervical cancer is a major public health problem in India, where access to prevention programmes is low. The WHO-Strategic Advisory Group of Experts recently updated their recommendation for human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination to include a single-dose option in addition to the two-dose option, which could make HPV vaccination programmes easier to implement and more affordable. METHODS: We combined projections from a type-specific HPV transmission model and a cancer progression model to assess the health and economic effects of HPV vaccination at national and state level in India. The models used national and state-specific Indian demographic, epidemiological and cost data, and single-dose vaccine efficacy and immunogenicity data from the International Agency for Research on Cancer India vaccine trial with 10-year follow-up. We compared single-dose and two-dose HPV vaccination for a range of plausible scenarios regarding single-dose vaccine protection, coverage and catch-up. We used a healthcare sector payer perspective with a time horizon of 100 years. RESULTS: Under the base-case scenario of lifelong protection of single-dose vaccination in 10-year-old girls with 90% coverage, the discounted incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of nationwide vaccination relative to no vaccination was US$406 (₹INR30 000) per DALY (disability-adjusted life-years) averted. This lay below an opportunity-cost-based threshold of 30% Indian gross domestic product per capita in each Indian state (state-specific ICER range: US$67-US$593 per DALY averted). The ICER of two-dose vaccination versus no vaccination vaccination was US$1404 (₹INR104 000). The ICER of two-dose vaccination versus single-dose vaccination, assuming lower initial efficacy and waning of single-dose vaccination, was at least US$2282 (₹INR169 000) per DALY averted. CONCLUSIONS: Nationwide introduction of single-dose HPV vaccination at age 10 in India is highly likely to be cost-effective whereas extending the number of doses from one to two would have a less favourable profile.

Minimally invasive versus open pancreatoduodenectomy for pancreatic and peri-ampullary neoplasm (DIPLOMA-2): study protocol for an international multicenter patient-blinded randomized controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Minimally invasive pancreatoduodenectomy (MIPD) aims to reduce the negative impact of surgery as compared to open pancreatoduodenectomy (OPD) and is increasingly becoming part of clinical practice for selected patients worldwide. However, the safety of MIPD remains a topic of debate and the potential shorter time to functional recovery needs to be confirmed. To guide safe implementation of MIPD, large-scale international randomized trials comparing MIPD and OPD in experienced high-volume centers are needed. We hypothesize that MIPD is non-inferior in terms of overall complications, but superior regarding time to functional recovery, as compared to OPD. METHODS/DESIGN: The DIPLOMA-2 trial is an international randomized controlled, patient-blinded, non-inferiority trial performed in 14 high-volume pancreatic centers in Europe with a minimum annual volume of 30 MIPD and 30 OPD. A total of 288 patients with an indication for elective pancreatoduodenectomy for pre-malignant and malignant disease, eligible for both open and minimally invasive approach, are randomly allocated for MIPD or OPD in a 2:1 ratio. Centers perform either laparoscopic or robot-assisted MIPD based on their surgical expertise. The primary outcome is the Comprehensive Complication Index (CCI®), measuring all complications graded according to the Clavien-Dindo classification up to 90 days after surgery. The sample size is calculated with the following assumptions: 2.5% one-sided significance level (α), 80% power (1-ß), expected difference of the mean CCI® score of 0 points between MIPD and OPD, and a non-inferiority margin of 7.5 points. The main secondary outcome is time to functional recovery, which will be analyzed for superiority. Other secondary outcomes include post-operative 90-day Fitbit™ measured activity, operative outcomes (e.g., blood loss, operative time, conversion to open surgery, surgeon-reported outcomes), oncological findings in case of malignancy (e.g., R0-resection rate, time to adjuvant treatment, survival), postoperative outcomes (e.g., clinically relevant complications), healthcare resource utilization (length of stay, readmissions, intensive care stay), quality of life, and costs. Postoperative follow-up is up to 36 months. DISCUSSION: The DIPLOMA-2 trial aims to establish the safety of MIPD as the new standard of care for this selected patient population undergoing pancreatoduodenectomy in high-volume centers, ultimately aiming for superior patient recovery. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ISRCTN27483786. Registered on August 2, 2023.

Core protocol development for phase 2/3 clinical trials in the leukodystrophy vanishing white matter: a consensus statement by the VWM consortium and patient advocates.

BACKGROUND: The leukodystrophy "Vanishing White Matter" (VWM) is an orphan disease with neurological decline and high mortality. Currently, VWM has no approved treatments, but advances in understanding pathophysiology have led to identification of promising therapies. Several investigational medicinal products are either in or about to enter clinical trial phase. Clinical trials in VWM pose serious challenges, as VWM has an episodic disease course; disease phenotype is highly heterogeneous and predictable only for early onset; and study power is limited by the small patient numbers. To address these challenges and accelerate therapy delivery, the VWM Consortium, a group of academic clinicians with expertise in VWM, decided to develop a core protocol to function as a template for trials, to improve trial design and facilitate sharing of control data, while permitting flexibility regarding other trial details. Overall aims of the core protocol are to collect safety, tolerability, and efficacy data for treatment assessment and marketing authorization. METHODS: To develop the core protocol, the VWM Consortium designated a committee, including clinician members of the VWM Consortium, family and patient group advocates, and experts in statistics, clinical trial design and alliancing with industries. We drafted three age-specific protocols, to stratify into more homogeneous patient groups, of ages ≥ 18 years, ≥ 6 to < 18 years and < 6 years. We chose double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled design for patients aged ≥ 6 years; and open-label non-randomized natural-history-controlled design for patients < 6 years. The protocol describes study populations, age-specific endpoints, inclusion and exclusion criteria, study schedules, sample size determinations, and statistical considerations. DISCUSSION: The core protocol provides a shared uniformity across trials, enables a pool of shared controls, and reduces the total number of patients necessary per trial, limiting the number of patients on placebo. All VWM clinical trials are suggested to adhere to the core protocol. Other trial components such as choice of primary outcome, pharmacokinetics, pharmacodynamics, and biomarkers are flexible and unconstrained by the core protocol. Each sponsor is responsible for their trial execution, while the control data are handled by a shared research organization. This core protocol benefits the efficiency of parallel and consecutive trials in VWM, and we hope accelerates time to availability of treatments for VWM. TRIAL REGISTRATION: NA. From a scientific and ethical perspective, it is strongly recommended that all interventional trials using this core protocol are registered in a clinical trial register.

Methylation testing for the detection of recurrent cervical intraepithelial neoplasia.

Women treated for CIN2/3 remain at increased risk of recurrent CIN and cervical cancer, and therefore posttreatment surveillance is recommended. This post hoc analysis evaluates the potential of methylation markers ASCL1/LHX8 and FAM19A4/miR124-2 for posttreatment detection of recurrent CIN2/3. Cervical scrapes taken at 6 and 12 months posttreatment of 364 women treated for CIN2/3 were tested for methylation of ASCL1/LHX8 and FAM19A4/miR124-2 using quantitative multiplex methylation-specific PCR. Performance of the methylation tests were calculated and compared with the performance of HPV and/or cytology. Methylation levels of recurrent CIN were compared between women with a persistent HPV infection, and women with an incident HPV infection or without HPV infection. Recurrent CIN2/3 was detected in 42 women (11.5%), including 28 women with CIN2 and 14 with CIN3. ASCL1/LHX8 tested positive in 13/14 (92.9%) of recurrent CIN3 and 13/27 (48.1%) of recurrent CIN2. FAM19A4/miR124-2 tested positive in 14/14 (100%) of recurrent CIN3 and 10/27 (37.0%) of recurrent CIN2. Combined HPV and/or methylation testing showed similar positivity rates as HPV and/or cytology. The CIN2/3 risk at 12 months posttreatment was 30.8% after a positive ASCL1/LHX8 result at 6 months posttreatment. Methylation levels of CIN2/3 in women with a persistent HPV infection were significantly higher compared with women with an incident or no HPV infection. In conclusion, posttreatment monitoring by methylation analysis of ASCL1/LHX8 and FAM19A4/miR124-2 showed a good performance for the detection of recurrent CIN. DNA methylation testing can help to identify women with recurrent CIN that require re-treatment.

A Bayesian-adaptive decision-theoretic approach can reduce the sample sizes for multiarm exercise oncology trials.

OBJECTIVES: Adaptive designs may reduce trial sample sizes and costs. This study illustrates a Bayesian-adaptive decision-theoretic design applied to a multiarm exercise oncology trial. STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: In the Physical exercise during Adjuvant Chemotherapy Effectiveness Study (PACES) trial, 230 breast cancer patients receiving chemotherapy were randomized to supervised resistance and aerobic exercise (OnTrack), home-based physical activity (OncoMove) or usual care (UC). Data were reanalyzed as an adaptive trial using both Bayesian decision-theoretic and a frequentist group-sequential approach incorporating interim analyses after every 36 patients. Endpoint was chemotherapy treatment modifications (any vs. none). Bayesian analyses were performed for different continuation thresholds and settings with and without arm dropping and both in a 'pick-the-winner' and a 'pick-all-treatments-superior-to-control' setting. RESULTS: Treatment modifications occurred in 34% of patients in UC and OncoMove vs. 12% in OnTrack (P = 0.002). Using a Bayesian-adaptive decision-theoretic design, OnTrack was identified as most effective after 72 patients in the 'pick-the-winner' setting and after 72-180 patients in the 'pick-all-treatments-superior-to-control' setting. In a frequentist setting, the trial would have been stopped after 180 patients, and the proportion of patients with treatment modifications was significantly lower for OnTrack than UC. CONCLUSION: A Bayesian-adaptive decision-theoretic approach substantially reduced the sample size required for this three-arm exercise trial, especially in the 'pick-the-winner' setting.

Clinical Effect of Early vs Late Amyloid Positron Emission Tomography in Memory Clinic Patients: The AMYPAD-DPMS Randomized Clinical Trial.

Importance: Amyloid positron emission tomography (PET) allows the direct assessment of amyloid deposition, one of the main hallmarks of Alzheimer disease. However, this technique is currently not widely reimbursed because of the lack of appropriately designed studies demonstrating its clinical effect. Objective: To assess the clinical effect of amyloid PET in memory clinic patients. Design, Setting, and Participants: The AMYPAD-DPMS is a prospective randomized clinical trial in 8 European memory clinics. Participants were allocated (using a minimization method) to 3 study groups based on the performance of amyloid PET: arm 1, early in the diagnostic workup (within 1 month); arm 2, late in the diagnostic workup (after a mean [SD] 8 [2] months); or arm 3, if and when the managing physician chose. Participants were patients with subjective cognitive decline plus (SCD+; SCD plus clinical features increasing the likelihood of preclinical Alzheimer disease), mild cognitive impairment (MCI), or dementia; they were assessed at baseline and after 3 months. Recruitment took place between April 16, 2018, and October 30, 2020. Data analysis was performed from July 2022 to January 2023. Intervention: Amyloid PET. Main Outcome and Measure: The main outcome was the difference between arm 1 and arm 2 in the proportion of participants receiving an etiological diagnosis with a very high confidence (ie, ≥90% on a 50%-100% visual numeric scale) after 3 months. Results: A total of 844 participants were screened, and 840 were enrolled (291 in arm 1, 271 in arm 2, 278 in arm 3). Baseline and 3-month visit data were available for 272 participants in arm 1 and 260 in arm 2 (median [IQR] age: 71 [65-77] and 71 [65-77] years; 150/272 male [55%] and 135/260 male [52%]; 122/272 female [45%] and 125/260 female [48%]; median [IQR] education: 12 [10-15] and 13 [10-16] years, respectively). After 3 months, 109 of 272 participants (40%) in arm 1 had a diagnosis with very high confidence vs 30 of 260 (11%) in arm 2 (P < .001). This was consistent across cognitive stages (SCD+: 25/84 [30%] vs 5/78 [6%]; P < .001; MCI: 45/108 [42%] vs 9/102 [9%]; P < .001; dementia: 39/80 [49%] vs 16/80 [20%]; P < .001). Conclusion and Relevance: In this study, early amyloid PET allowed memory clinic patients to receive an etiological diagnosis with very high confidence after only 3 months compared with patients who had not undergone amyloid PET. These findings support the implementation of amyloid PET early in the diagnostic workup of memory clinic patients. Trial Registration: EudraCT Number: 2017-002527-21.

Evaluation of DNA methylation biomarkers ASCL1 and LHX8 on HPV-positive self-collected samples from primary HPV-based screening.

BACKGROUND: Host-cell DNA methylation analysis can be used to triage women with high-risk human papillomavirus (HPV)-positive self-collected cervicovaginal samples, but current data are restricted to under-/never-screened women and referral populations. This study evaluated triage performance in women who were offered primary HPV self-sampling for cervical cancer screening. METHODS: Self-collected samples from 593 HPV-positive women who participated in a primary HPV self-sampling trial (IMPROVE study; NTR5078), were tested for the DNA methylation markers ASCL1 and LHX8 using quantitative multiplex methylation-specific PCR (qMSP). The diagnostic performance for CIN3 and cervical cancer (CIN3 + ) was evaluated and compared with that of paired HPV-positive clinician-collected cervical samples. RESULTS: Significantly higher methylation levels were found in HPV-positive self-collected samples of women with CIN3 + than control women with no evidence of disease (P values <0.0001). The marker panel ASCL1/LHX8 yielded a sensitivity for CIN3 + detection of 73.3% (63/86; 95% CI 63.9-82.6%), with a corresponding specificity of 61.1% (310/507; 95% CI 56.9-65.4%). The relative sensitivity for detecting CIN3+ was 0.95 (95% CI 0.82-1.10) for self-collection versus clinician-collection, and the relative specificity was 0.82 (95% CI 0.75-0.90). CONCLUSIONS: The ASCL1/LHX8 methylation marker panel constitutes a feasible direct triage method for the detection of CIN3 + in HPV-positive women participating in routine screening by self-sampling.

Clinical validation of methylation biomarkers for optimal detection of high-grade vulvar intraepithelial neoplasia.

The precursor lesions of vulvar squamous cell carcinoma (VSCC) include human papillomavirus (HPV)-associated and HPV-independent squamous neoplasia with a varying cancer risk. Our study aimed to validate the accuracy of previously identified DNA methylation markers for detection of such high-grade vulvar intraepithelial neoplasia (VIN). A large clinical series of 751 vulvar lesions, originally diagnosed as high-grade VIN, were reassessed and categorized into HPV-associated or HPV-independent vulvar disease categories. Together with 113 healthy vulvar controls, all samples were tested for 12 methylation markers with quantitative multiplex methylation-specific PCR (qMSP). Performance of individual markers and selection of an optimal marker panel for detection of high-grade VIN was determined by logistic regression analysis. SST was the best-performing individual marker (AUC 0.90), detecting 80% of high-grade VIN cases, with excellent detection of HPV-independent VIN (95%), known to have the highest cancer risk. Merely 2% of controls tested methylation positive for SST. Selection of a marker panel, including ZNF582, SST and miR124-2, resulted in a comparably high accuracy for detection of high-grade VIN (AUC 0.89). In conclusion, we clinically validated the accuracy of 12 DNA methylation markers for detection of high-grade VIN. SST, as a sole marker or in a panel, provides an optimal diagnostic tool to distinguish high-grade VIN in need of treatment, particularly HPV-independent VIN, from low-grade or reactive vulvar lesions. These findings warrant further prognostic validation of methylation biomarkers for cancer risk stratification of patients with VIN.

Determinants of informal care time, distress, depression, and quality of life in care partners along the trajectory of Alzheimer's disease.

Introduction: We evaluated determinants associated with care partner outcomes along the Alzheimer's disease (AD) stages. Methods: We included n = 270 care partners of amyloid-positive patients in the pre-dementia and dementia stages of AD. Using linear regression analysis, we examined determinants of four care partner outcomes: informal care time, caregiver distress, depression, and quality of life (QoL). Results: More behavioral symptoms and functional impairment in patients were associated with more informal care time and depressive symptoms in care partners. More behavioral symptoms were related with more caregiver distress. Spouse care partners spent more time on informal care and QoL was lower in female care partners. Behavioral problems and subtle functional impairment of the patient predisposed for worse care partner outcomes already in the pre-dementia stages. Discussion: Both patient and care partner determinants contribute to the care partner outcomes, already in early disease stages. This study provides red flags for high care partner burden.

Early effect of bivalent human papillomavirus vaccination on cytology outcomes in cervical samples among young women in the Netherlands.

BACKGROUND: The first HPV-vaccine eligible cohorts in the Netherlands will enter the cervical screening program in 2023. However, a substantial number of young women already have had a cervical sample taken before entry into the regular screening program. This study was initiated to explore early effects of HPV vaccination on detection of cytological abnormalities in cervical samples of women younger than the screening age. METHODS: Results of cervical samples were obtained from the Dutch National Pathology Databank (PALGA) and were linked to the women's HPV vaccination status from the national vaccination registry (Praeventis) (N = 42,171). Occurrence of low-grade and high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions or worse (LSIL and HSIL+) and high-risk HPV positive tests (hrHPV) in the first cervical sample were compared between vaccinated and unvaccinated women by multivariable logistic regression analysis, corrected for age at cervical sampling and age of vaccination (12/13 years, ≥ = 14 years). RESULTS: For fully vaccinated women (three- or two-dose schedule), statistically significant reductions were seen for all outcomes compared to unvaccinated women (hrHPV: adjusted OR, 0.70, 95% CI, 0.63-0.79; LSIL: 0.70, 0.61-0.80; HSIL+: 0.39, 0.30-0.51). CONCLUSIONS: By linking nation-wide registries on pathology and vaccination, we show significant beneficial early effects of HPV-vaccination on LSIL, HSIL+, CIN3/AIS/carcinoma and hrHPV detection in young women upto 24 years of age who have a cervical sample taken before entry into the cervical cancer screening program.