Risk of recurrence after discontinuing anticoagulation in patients with COVID-19- associated venous thromboembolism: a prospective multicentre cohort study.

Background: The clinical relevance of recurrent venous thromboembolism (VTE) after discontinuing anticoagulation in patients with COVID-19-associated VTE remains uncertain. We estimated the incidence rates and mortality of VTE recurrences developing after discontinuing anticoagulation in patients with COVID-19-associated VTE. Methods: A prospective, multicenter, non-interventional study was conducted between March 25, 2020, and July 26, 2023, including patients who had discontinued anticoagulation after at least 3 months of therapy. All patients from the registry were analyzed during the study period to verify inclusion criteria. Patients with superficial vein thrombosis, those who did not receive at least 3 months of anticoagulant therapy, and those who were followed for less than 15 days after discontinuing anticoagulation were excluded. Outcomes were: 1) Incidence rates of symptomatic VTE recurrences, and 2) fatal PE. The rate of VTE recurrences was defined as the number of patients with recurrent VTE divided by the patient-years at risk of recurrent VTE during the period when anticoagulation was discontinued. Findings: Among 1106 patients with COVID-19-associated VTE (age 62.3 ± 14.4 years; 62.9% male) followed-up for 12.5 months (p25-75, 6.3-20.1) after discontinuing anticoagulation, there were 38 VTE recurrences (3.5%, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.5-4.7%), with a rate of 3.1 per 100 patient-years (95% CI: 2.2-4.2). No patient died of recurrent PE (0%, 95% CI: 0-7.6%). Subgroup analyses showed that patients with diagnosis in 2021-2022 (vs. 2020) (Hazard ratio [HR] 2.86; 95% CI 1.45-5.68) or those with isolated deep vein thrombosis (vs. pulmonary embolism) (HR 2.31; 95% CI 1.19-4.49) had significantly higher rates of VTE recurrences. Interpretation: In patients with COVID-19-associated VTE who discontinued anticoagulation after at least 3 months of treatment, the incidence rate of recurrent VTE and the case-fatality rate was low. Therefore, it conceivable that long-term anticoagulation may not be required for many patients with COVID-19-associated VTE, although further research is needed to confirm these findings. Funding: Sanofi and Rovi, Sanofi Spain.

Clinical outcomes after discontinuing anticoagulant therapy in patients with first unprovoked venous thromboembolism.

BACKGROUND: The duration of anticoagulation for a first episode of unprovoked venous thromboembolism (VTE) should balance the likelihood of VTE recurrence against the risk of major bleeding. OBJECTIVES: Analyze rates and case-fatality rates (CFRs) of recurrent VTE and major bleeding after discontinuing anticoagulation in patients with a first unprovoked VTE after at least 3 months of anticoagulation. METHODS: We compared the rates and CFRs in patients of the Registro Informatizado Enfermedad Trombo Embólica (RIETE) and Contemporary management and outcomes in patients with venous thromboembolism registries. We used logistic regression models to identify predictors for recurrent pulmonary embolism (PE) and major bleeding. RESULTS: Of 8261 patients with unprovoked VTE in RIETE registry, 4012 (48.6%) had isolated deep vein thrombosis (DVT) and 4250 had PE. Follow-up (median, 318 days) showed 543 recurrent DVTs, 540 recurrent PEs, 71 major bleeding episodes, and 447 deaths. The Contemporary management and outcomes in patients with venous thromboembolism registry yielded similar results. Corresponding CFRs of recurrent DVT, PE, and major bleeding were 0.4%, 4.6%, and 24%, respectively. On multivariable analyses, initial PE presentation (hazard ratio [HR], 3.03; 95% CI, 2.49-3.69), dementia (HR, 1.47; 95% CI, 1.01-2.13), and anemia (HR, 0.72; 95% CI, 0.57-0.91) predicted recurrent PE, whereas older age (HR, 2.11; 95% CI, 1.15-3.87), inflammatory bowel disease (HR, 4.39; 95% CI, 1.00-19.3), and anemia (HR, 2.24; 95% CI, 1.35-3.73) predicted major bleeding. Prognostic scores were formulated, with C statistics of 0.63 for recurrent PE and 0.69 for major bleeding. CONCLUSION: Recurrent DVT and PE were frequent but had low CFRs (0.4% and 4.6%, respectively) after discontinuing anticoagulation. On the contrary, major bleeding was rare but had high CFR (24%). A few clinical factors may predict these outcomes.

Direct oral anticoagulants for treatment of venous thrombosis: illustrated review of appropriate use.

Direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) have become the preferred option for treatment of venous thromboembolism due to their favorable profile compared with other agents such as vitamin K antagonists or low-molecular-weight heparin. However, findings from randomized controlled trials suggest efficacy and/or safety concerns with DOAC use in some clinical contexts. This illustrated review will summarize indications where DOACs have proven efficacy and safety, situations where they fall short, and situations where uncertainty remains compared with other treatments for venous thromboembolism.

The prognostic value of blood cellular indices in pulmonary embolism.

Prognostication in acute pulmonary embolism (PE) requires reliable markers. While cellular indices such as neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) appear promising, their utility in PE prognostication needs further exploration. We utilized data from the RIETE registry and the Loyola University Medical Center (LUMC) to assess the prognostic value of NLR, PLR, and SII in acute PE, using logistic regression models. The primary outcome was 30-day all-cause mortality. We compared their prognostic value versus the simplified Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index (sPESI) alone. We included 10 085 patients from RIETE and 700 from the LUMC. Thirty-day mortality rates were 4.6% and 8.3%, respectively. On multivariable analysis, an elevated NLR (>7.0) was associated with increased mortality (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]: 3.46; 95% CI: 2.60-4.60), outperforming the PLR > 220 (aOR: 2.36; 95% CI: 1.77-3.13), and SII > 1600 (aOR: 2.52; 95% CI: 1.90-3.33). The c-statistic for NLR in patients with low-risk PE was 0.78 (95% CI: 0.69-0.86). Respective numbers were 0.66 (95% CI: 0.63-0.69) and 0.68 (95% CI: 0.59-0.76) for intermediate-risk and high-risk patients. These findings were mirrored in the LUMC cohort. Among 9810 normotensive patients in RIETE, those scoring 0 points in sPESI and with an NLR ≤ 7.0 (35% of the population) displayed superior sensitivity (97.1%; 95% CI: 95.5-98.7) and negative predictive value (99.7%; 95% CI: 99.5-99.8) than sPESI alone (87.1%; 95% CI: 83.9-90.3, and 98.7%; 95% CI: 98.4-99.1, respectively) for 30-day mortality. The NLR is a significant prognostic marker for 30-day mortality in PE patients, especially useful to identify patients with very low-risk PE.

Low absolute risk of thrombotic and cardiovascular events in outpatient pregnant women with COVID-19.

INTRODUCTION: Pregnancy may contribute to an excess risk of thrombotic or cardiovascular events. COVID-19 increases the risk of these events, although the risk is relatively limited among outpatients. We sought to determine whether outpatient pregnant women with COVID-19 are at a high risk for cardiovascular or thrombotic events. MATERIALS & METHODS: We analyzed pregnant outpatients with COVID-19 from the multicenter CORONA-VTE-Network registry. The main study outcomes were a composite of adjudicated venous or arterial thrombotic events, and a composite of adjudicated cardiovascular events. Events were assessed 90 days after the COVID-19 diagnosis and reported for non-pregnant women ≤45 years, and for men ≤45 years, as points of reference. RESULTS: Among 6585 outpatients, 169 were pregnant at diagnosis. By 90-day follow-up, two pregnant women during the third trimester had lower extremity venous thrombosis, one deep and one superficial vein thrombosis. The cumulative incidence of thrombotic events was 1.20 % (95 % confidence interval [CI]: 0.0 to 2.84 %). Respective rates were 0.47 % (95 % CI: 0.14 % to 0.79 %) among non-pregnant women, and 0.49 % (95 % CI: 0.06 % to 0.91 %) among men ≤45 years. No non-thrombotic cardiovascular events occurred in pregnant women. The rates of cardiovascular events were 0.53 % (95 % CI: 0.18 to 0.87) among non-pregnant women, and 0.68 % (95 % CI: 0.18 to 1.18) in men aged ≤45 years. CONCLUSIONS: Thrombotic and cardiovascular events are rare among outpatients with COVID-19. Although a higher event rate among outpatient pregnant women cannot be excluded, the absolute event rates are low and do not warrant population-wide cardiovascular interventions to optimize outcomes.

C-reactive Protein and Risk of Right Ventricular Dysfunction and Mortality in Patients With Acute Symptomatic Pulmonary Embolism.

BACKGROUND: Right ventricle (RV) dysfunction increases the risk of death from pulmonary embolism (PE). C-reactive protein (CRP) might identify RV inflammation and dysfunction in patients with PE. METHODS: This cohort study enrolled consecutive stable patients with acute PE between 2017 and 2023. We stratified patients by quartiles of CRP. We evaluated the association between CRP quartiles and the presence of RV dysfunction, and used multivariable models to assess for an association between CRP and the outcomes of all-cause and PE-specific mortality during the 30 days of follow-up after PE diagnosis. RESULTS: The study included 633 stable patients with PE. Patients without RV dysfunction had significantly lower median (IQR) CRP levels compared with patients with RV dysfunction (n=509, 31.7 [10.0-76.4]mg/L vs n=124, 45.4 [16.0-111.4]mg/L; P=0.018). CRP showed a statistically significant positive association with the presence of RV dysfunction (P<0.01). On multivariable analysis, CRP level was not significantly associated with 30-day all-cause mortality (adjusted odds ratio [OR] per mg/L increment, 1.00; 95% CI, 1.00-1.01; P=0.095), but higher CRP was associated with significantly higher PE-related mortality (adjusted OR, 1.01; 95% CI, 1.00-1.01; P=0.026). Compared with patients in CRP quartile 1, patients in quartiles 2, 3, and 4 had a stepwise increase in the adjusted odds of 30-day all-cause death of 2.41 (P=0.148), 3.04 (P=0.062), and 3.15 (P=0.052), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: As an indicator of RV dysfunction, CRP may improve risk stratification algorithms for hemodynamically stable patients with acute symptomatic PE.

Fibrinolytic Agents in Thromboembolic Diseases: Historical Perspectives and Approved Indications.

Fibrinolytic agents catalyze the conversion of the inactive proenzyme plasminogen into the active protease plasmin, degrading fibrin within the thrombus and recanalizing occluded vessels. The history of these medications dates to the discovery of the first fibrinolytic compound, streptokinase, from bacterial cultures in 1933. Over time, researchers identified two other plasminogen activators in human samples, namely urokinase and tissue plasminogen activator (tPA). Subsequently, tPA was cloned using recombinant DNA methods to produce alteplase. Several additional derivatives of tPA, such as tenecteplase and reteplase, were developed to extend the plasma half-life of tPA. Over the past decades, fibrinolytic medications have been widely used to manage patients with venous and arterial thromboembolic events. Currently, alteplase is approved by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) for use in patients with pulmonary embolism with hemodynamic compromise, ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI), acute ischemic stroke, and central venous access device occlusion. Reteplase and tenecteplase have also received FDA approval for treating patients with STEMI. This review provides an overview of the historical background related to fibrinolytic agents and briefly summarizes their approved indications across various thromboembolic diseases.

Optimizing antithrombotic therapy in patients with coexisting cardiovascular and gastrointestinal disease.

Balancing the safety and efficacy of antithrombotic agents in patients with gastrointestinal disorders is challenging because of the potential for interference with the absorption of antithrombotic drugs and for an increased risk of bleeding. In this Review, we address considerations for enteral antithrombotic therapy in patients with cardiovascular disease and gastrointestinal comorbidities. For those with gastrointestinal bleeding (GIB), we summarize a general scheme for risk stratification and clinical evidence on risk reduction approaches, such as limiting the use of concomitant medications that increase the risk of GIB and the potential utility of gastrointestinal protection strategies (such as proton pump inhibitors or histamine type 2 receptor antagonists). Furthermore, we summarize the best available evidence and potential gaps in our knowledge on tailoring antithrombotic therapy in patients with active or recent GIB and in those at high risk of GIB but without active or recent GIB. Finally, we review the recommendations provided by major medical societies, highlighting the crucial role of teamwork and multidisciplinary discussions to customize the antithrombotic regimen in patients with coexisting cardiovascular and gastrointestinal diseases.

Statin use and mortality in patients with deep vein thrombosis. Data from the RIETE Registry.

BACKGROUND: The association between statin use and mortality in patients with deep vein thrombosis (DVT) has not been rigorously evaluated. METHODS: We used the data in the RIETE registry to examine the association between statin use and mortality at 3 months. We used mixed effects survival models accounting for clinical covariates and clustering of patients in enrolling centers. RESULTS: From January 2009 through April 2022, there were 46,440 patients with isolated DVT in RIETE (in the lower-limbs 42,291, in the upper limbs 4149). Of these, 21 % and 18 %, respectively, were using statins. Statin users were older than non-users (72 ± 12 vs. 62 ± 18 years), and more likely had diabetes, hypertension, prior myocardial infarction or ischemic stroke, or were receiving antiplatelets. The 3-month mortality rates were: 6.0 % vs. 5.8 %, respectively. On multilevel multivariable analysis, the adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) for all-cause death in statin users vs. non-users was 0.77 (95%CI: 0.69-0.86). The 3-month risk of death in statin users was significantly lower than in non-users in patients with upper-limb DVT (aHR: 0.81; 95%CI: 0.72-0.91), distal lower-limb DVT (aHR: 0.48; 95%CI: 0.32-0.72), or proximal lower-limb DVT (aHR: 0.69; 95%CI: 0.50-0.95), and in those receiving simvastatin (aHR: 0.73; 95%CI: 0.60-0.90), atorvastatin (aHR: 0.70; 95%CI: 0.59-0.85), or rosuvastatin (aHR: 0.47; 95%CI: 0.27-0.80). Major bleeding, used as a falsification endpoint, did not show an association with use of statins at 3-month follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: Statin users with isolated DVT were at significantly lower risk for death at 3 months than non-users.

Developmental or Procedural Vena Cava Interruption and Venous Thromboembolism: A Review.

The inferior vena cava (IVC) and superior vena cava are the main conduits of the systemic venous circulation into the right atrium. Developmental or procedural interruptions of vena cava might predispose to stasis and deep vein thrombosis (DVT) distal to the anomaly and may impact the subsequent rate of pulmonary embolism (PE). This study aimed to review the various etiologies of developmental or procedural vena cava interruption and their impact on venous thromboembolism. A systematic search was performed in PubMed according to Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines per each clinical question. For management questions with no high-quality evidence and no mutual agreements between authors, Delphi methods were used. IVC agenesis is the most common form of congenital vena cava interruption, is associated with an increased risk of DVT, and should be suspected in young patients with unexpected extensive bilateral DVT. Surgical techniques for vena cava interruption (ligation, clipping, and plication) to prevent PE have been largely abandoned due to short-term procedural risks and long-term complications, although survivors of prior procedures are occasionally encountered. Vena cava filters are now the most commonly used method of procedural interruption, frequently placed in the infrarenal IVC. The most agreed-upon indication for vena cava filters is for patients with acute venous thromboembolism and coexisting contraindications to anticoagulation. Familiarity with different forms of vena cava interruption and their local and systemic adverse effects is important to minimize complications and thrombotic events.

When Direct Oral Anticoagulants Should Not Be Standard Treatment: JACC State-of-the-Art Review.

For most patients, direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) are preferred over vitamin K antagonists for stroke prevention in atrial fibrillation and for venous thromboembolism treatment. However, randomized controlled trials suggest that DOACs may not be as efficacious or as safe as the current standard of care in conditions such as mechanical heart valves, thrombotic antiphospholipid syndrome, and atrial fibrillation associated with rheumatic heart disease. DOACs do not provide a net benefit in conditions such as embolic stroke of undetermined source. Their efficacy is uncertain for conditions such as left ventricular thrombus, catheter-associated deep vein thrombosis, cerebral venous sinus thrombosis, and for patients with atrial fibrillation or venous thrombosis who have end-stage renal disease. This paper provides an evidence-based review of randomized controlled trials on DOACs, detailing when they have demonstrated efficacy and safety, when DOACs should not be the standard of care, where their safety and efficacy are uncertain, and areas requiring further research.

Validation of Echocardiographic Measurements in Patients with Pulmonary Embolism in the RIETE Registry.

Background In acute pulmonary embolism (PE), echocardiographic identification of right ventricular (RV) dysfunction will inform prognostication and clinical decision-making. Registro Informatizado Enfermedad TromboEmbolica (RIETE) is the world's largest registry of patients with objectively confirmed PE. The reliability of site-reported RV echocardiographic measurements is unknown. We aimed to validate site-reported key RV echocardiographic measurements in the RIETE registry. Methods Fifty-one randomly chosen patients in RIETE who had transthoracic echocardiogram (TTE) performed for acute PE were included. TTEs were de-identified and analyzed by a core laboratory of two independent observers blinded to site-reported data. To investigate reliability, intraclass correlation coefficients (ICCs) and Bland-Altman plots between the two observers, and between an average of the two observers and the RIETE site-reported data were obtained. Results Core laboratory interobserver variations were very limited with correlation coefficients >0.8 for all TTE parameters. Agreement was substantial between core laboratory observers and site-reported data for key parameters including tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (ICC 0.728; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.594-0.862) and pulmonary arterial systolic pressure (ICC 0.726; 95% CI, 0.601-0.852). Agreement on right-to-left ventricular diameter ratio (ICC 0.739; 95% CI, 0.443-1.000) was validated, although missing data limited the precision of the estimates. Bland-Altman plots showed differences close to zero. Conclusion We showed substantial reliability of key RV site-reported measurements in the RIETE registry. Ascertaining the validity of such data adds confidence and reliability for subsequent investigations.

Clinical Presentation and Outcomes of Patients With Cancer-Associated Isolated Distal Deep Vein Thrombosis.

PURPOSE: Patients with isolated distal deep vein thrombosis (DVT) have lower rates of adverse outcomes (death, venous thromboembolism [VTE] recurrence or major bleeding) than those with proximal DVT. It is uncertain if such findings are also observed in patients with cancer. METHODS: Using data from the international Registro Informatizado de la Enfermedad TromboEmbolica venosa registry, we compared the risks of adverse outcomes at 90 days (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]; 95% CI) and 1 year (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR; 95% CI]) in 886 patients with cancer-associated distal DVT versus 5,196 patients with cancer-associated proximal DVT and 5,974 patients with non-cancer-associated distal DVT. RESULTS: More than 90% of patients in each group were treated with anticoagulants for at least 90 days. At 90 days, the adjusted risks of death, VTE recurrence, or major bleeding were lower in patients with non-cancer-associated distal DVT than in patients with cancer-associated distal DVT (reference): aOR = 0.16 (0.11-0.22), aOR = 0.34 (0.22-0.54), and aOR = 0.47 (0.27-0.80), respectively. The results were similar at 1-year follow-up: aHR = 0.12 (0.09-0.15), aHR = 0.39 (0.28-0.55), and aHR = 0.51 (0.32-0.82), respectively. Risks of death, VTE recurrence, and major bleeding were not statistically different between patients with cancer-associated proximal versus distal DVT, both at 90 days: aOR = 1.11 (0.91-1.36), aOR = 1.10 (0.76-1.62), and aOR = 1.18 (0.76-1.83), respectively, and 1 year: aHR = 1.01 (0.89-1.15), aHR = 1.02 (0.76-1.35), and aHR = 1.10 (0.76-1.61), respectively. However, more patients with cancer-associated proximal DVT, compared with cancer-associated distal DVT, developed fatal pulmonary embolism (PE) during follow-up: The risk difference was 0.40% (95% CI, 0.23 to 0.58). CONCLUSION: Cancer-associated distal DVT has serious and relatively comparable outcomes compared with cancer-associated proximal DVT. The lower risk of fatal PE from cancer-associated distal DVT needs further investigation.

Association of vena cava filters and catheter-directed thrombolysis for deep vein thrombosis with hospital readmissions.

BACKGROUND: Acute deep vein thrombosis (DVT) affects >350,000 patients each year in the United States. Contemporary rehospitalization rates and predictors of acute DVT have not been well-characterized. We aimed to evaluate the all-cause 30-day readmission rate and its association with catheter-directed thrombolysis and vena cava filters in patients with proximal and caval DVT. METHODS: Patients with an index hospitalization for acute proximal lower extremity DVT were evaluated for unplanned readmission rates at 30 days using the Nationwide Readmission Database from 2016 to 2017. We used Cox proportional hazard model to determine the predictors of 30-day readmissions and their association with inferior vena cava (IVC) filter and CDT use. RESULTS: We identified 58,306 adult patients with an index hospitalization for acute proximal DVT. The unplanned 30-day rehospitalization rate was 14.7% (95% confidence interval [CI], 14.5-15.0%). There were 4995 patients (10.0%) who underwent CDT and 6085 (12.2%) who underwent IVC filter placement. In multivariable analysis, only CDT was associated with a lower hazard for rehospitalization (hazard ratio [HR], 0.77; 95% CI, 0.71-0.84; P < .001), whereas IVC filter placement (HR, 1.26; 95% CI, 1.19-1.34; P < .001), Charlson Comorbidity Index of >3 (HR, 1.47; 95% CI, 1.38-1.56; P < .001), malignancy (HR, 1.45; 95% CI, 1.34-1.57; P < .001), and length of stay >5 days (HR, 1.39; 95% CI, 1.33-1.46; P < .001), and acute kidney injury (HR, 1.18; 95% CI, 1.11-1.25; P < .001) were associated with higher readmission rates. CONCLUSIONS: The 30-day unplanned rehospitalization rate continues to be high in patients with acute proximal DVT. CDT was associated with lower rehospitalization rates, whereas IVC filter placement was associated with increased rehospitalization rates.

Oxygen Therapy in Patients With Intermediate-Risk Acute Pulmonary Embolism: A Randomized Trial.

BACKGROUND: The effect of supplemental oxygen therapy in patients with intermediate-risk pulmonary embolism (PE) who do not have hypoxemia at baseline is uncertain. RESEARCH QUESTION: Does supplemental oxygen improve echocardiographic parameters in nonhypoxemic patients with intermediate-risk PE? STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: This pilot trial randomly assigned nonhypoxemic patients with stable PE and echocardiographic right ventricle (RV) enlargement to receive anticoagulation plus supplemental oxygen for the first 48 h vs anticoagulation alone. The primary outcome was normal echocardiographic RV size 48 h after randomization. Secondary efficacy outcomes were the numerical change in the RV to left ventricle (LV) diameter ratio measured 48 h and 7 days after randomization with respect to the baseline ratio measured at inclusion. RESULTS: The study was stopped prematurely because of the COVID-19 pandemic after recruiting 70 patients (mean ± SD age, 67.3 ± 16.1 years; 36 female [51.4%]) with primary outcome data. Forty-eight h after randomization, normalization of the RV size occurred in 14 of the 33 patients (42.4%) assigned to oxygen and in eight of the 37 patients (21.6%) assigned to ambient air (P = .08). In the oxygen group, the mean RV to LV ratio was reduced from 1.28 ± 0.28 at baseline to 1.01 ± 0.16 at 48 h (P < .001); in the ambient air group, mean RV to LV ratios were 1.21 ± 0.18 at baseline and 1.08 ± 0.19 at 48 h (P < .01). At 90 days, one major bleeding event and one death (both in the ambient air group) had occurred. INTERPRETATION: In analyses limited by a small number of enrollees, compared with ambient air, supplemental oxygen did not significantly increase the proportion of patients with nonhypoxemic intermediate-risk PE whose RV to LV ratio normalized after 48 h of treatment. This pilot trial showed improvement in some ancillary efficacy outcomes and provides support for a definitive clinical outcomes trial. TRIAL REGISTRY: ClinicalTrials.gov; No.: NCT04003116; URL: www. CLINICALTRIALS: gov.

Shock score for prediction of clinical outcomes among stable patients with acute symptomatic pulmonary embolism.

BACKGROUND: The Composite Pulmonary Embolism Shock (CPES) score has been developed to identify normotensive patients with acute pulmonary embolism (PE) and a low cardiac index (referred to as normotensive shock). We aimed to externally assess the validity of this model for predicting a complicated course among hemodynamically stable patients with acute PE. METHODS: Using prospectively collected data from the PROgnosTic valuE of Computed Tomography scan (PROTECT) study, we calculated the CPES score for each patient and the proportion of patients with a score > 3. We calculated the test performance characteristics to predict a complicated course (i.e., death from any cause, hemodynamic collapse, or recurrent PE) and the discriminatory power using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. RESULTS: Sixty-three of the 848 (7.4 %) patients had a complicated course during the 30-day follow-up period. Of the 848 enrolled patients, the CPES score was positive (i.e., score > 3) in 78 (9.2 %). The specificity was 92.1 % (723/785), the positive predictive value was 20.5 % (16/78), and the positive likelihood ratio was 3.22 for a complicated course. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve for a complicated course were 0.71 (95 % confidence interval [CI], 0.65-0.78). With the higher score risk classification threshold (cutoff score > 4), the proportion of patients designated as positive was 2.1 %, and the specificity was 98.1 %. When echocardiographic right ventricle (RV) dysfunction was replaced by computed tomographic RV enlargement, the specificity was 85.4 %, the positive predictive value was 14.2 %, and the positive likelihood ratio was 2.06 for a complicated course. When analyses were restricted to the subgroup of patients with intermediate-risk PE, the specificity and the positive predictive value for a complicated course were identical to the overall cohort. CONCLUSIONS: The CPES score has acceptable C-statistic, excellent specificity, and low positive predictive value for identification of hemodynamic deterioration in normotensive patients with PE. CLINICALTRIALS: gov number: NCT02238639.