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Background: Patients who have recurrent atrial fibrillation (AF) following redo catheter ablation may eventually be managed with a pace-and-ablate approach, involving pacemaker implant followed by atrioventricular nodal ablation (AVNA). We sought to determine which factors would predict subsequent AVNA in patients undergoing redo AF ablation. Methods: We analyzed patients undergoing redo AF ablations between 2013 and 2019 at our institution. Follow-up was censored on December 31, 2021. Patients with no available follow-up data were excluded. Time-to-event analysis with Cox proportional hazard regression was used to compare those who underwent AVNA to those who did not. Results: A total of 467 patients were included, of whom 39 (8.4%) underwent AVNA. After multivariable adjustment, female sex (aHR 4.68 [95% CI 2.30-9.50]; p < 0.001), ischemic heart disease (aHR 2.99 [95% CI 1.25-7.16]; p = 0.014), presence of a preexisting pacemaker (aHR 3.25 [95% CI 1.10-9.60]; p = 0.033), and persistent AF (aHR 2.22 [95% CI 1.07-4.59]; p = 0.032) were associated with increased risk of subsequent AVNA requirement. Conclusion: Female sex, ischemic heart disease, and persistent AF may be useful clinical predictors of the requirement for subsequent AVNA and may be considered as part of shared clinical decision making.
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Background/Objectives: Cardiorenal syndrome (CRS) is a disorder of the heart and kidneys, with one type of organ dysfunction affecting the other. The pathophysiology is complex, and its actual description has been questioned. We used clustering analysis to identify clinically relevant phenogroups among patients with CRS. Methods: Data for patients admitted from 1 January 2012 to 31 December 2012 were collected from the French national medico-administrative database. Patients with a diagnosis of heart failure and chronic kidney disease and at least 5 years of follow-up were included. Results: In total, 13,665 patients were included and four clusters were identified. Cluster 1 could be described as the vascular-diabetes cluster. It comprised 1930 patients (14.1%), among which 60% had diabetes, 94% had coronary artery disease (CAD), and 80% had peripheral artery disease (PAD). Cluster 2 could be described as the vascular cluster. It comprised 2487 patients (18.2%), among which 33% had diabetes, 85% had CAD, and 78% had PAD. Cluster 3 could be described as the metabolic cluster. It comprised 2163 patients (15.8%), among which 87% had diabetes, 67% dyslipidemia, and 62% obesity. Cluster 4 comprised 7085 patients (51.8%) and could be described as the low-vascular cluster. The vascular cluster was the only one associated with a higher risk of cardiovascular death (HR: 1.48 [1.32-1.66]). The metabolic cluster was associated with a higher risk of kidney replacement therapy (HR: 1.33 [1.17-1.51]). Conclusions: Our study supports a new classification of CRS based on the vascular aspect of pathophysiology differentiating microvascular or macrovascular lesions. These results could have an impact on patients' medical treatment.
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BACKGROUND: Atrioventricular node ablation (AVNA) with permanent pacing is an effective treatment of symptomatic atrial fibrillation (AF). Left bundle branch area pacing (LBBAP) prevents cardiac dyssynchrony associated with right ventricular pacing and could prevent worsening of heart failure (HF). METHODS: In this retrospective monocentric study, all patients who received AVNA procedure with LBBAP were consecutively included. AVNA procedure data, electrical and echocardiographic parameters at 6 months, and clinical outcomes at 1 year were studied and compared to a matched cohort of patients who received AVNA procedure with conventional pacing between 2010 and 2023. RESULTS: Seventy-five AVNA procedures associated with LBBAP were studied. AVNA in this context was feasible, with a success rate of 98.7% at first ablation, and safe without any complications. There was no threshold rise at follow-up. At 1 year, 6 (8%) patients were hospitalized for HF and 2 (2.7%) were deceased. Patients had a significant improvement in NYHA class and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) (P ≤ 0.0001). When compared to a matched cohort of patients with AVNA and conventional pacing, AVNA data and pacing complications rates were similar. Patients with LBBAP had a better improvement of LVEF (+5.27 ± 9.62% vs. -0.48 ± 14%, P = 0.01), and a lower 1-year rate of composite outcome of hospitalization for HF or death (HR 0.39, 95% CI: 0.16-0.95, P = 0.037), significant on survival analysis (log-rank P-value = 0.03). CONCLUSION: AVNA with LBBAP in patients with symptomatic AF is feasible, safe, and efficient. Hospitalization for HF or death rate was significantly lower and LVEF improvement was greater.
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Aims: Patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) have a higher risk of ischaemic stroke and death. While anticoagulants are effective at reducing these risks, they increase the risk of bleeding. Current clinical risk scores only perform modestly in predicting adverse outcomes, especially for the outcome of death. We aimed to test the multi-label gradient boosting decision tree (ML-GBDT) model in predicting risks for adverse outcomes in a prospective global AF registry. Methods and results: We studied patients from phase II/III of the Global Registry on Long-Term Oral Anti-Thrombotic Treatment in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation registry between 2011 and 2020. The outcomes were all-cause death, ischaemic stroke, and major bleeding within 1 year following the AF. We trained the ML-GBDT model and compared its discrimination with the clinical scores in predicting patient outcomes. A total of 25 656 patients were included [mean age 70.3 years (SD 10.3); 44.8% female]. Within 1 year after AF, ischaemic stroke occurred in 215 (0.8%), major bleeding in 405 (1.6%), and death in 897 (3.5%) patients. Our model achieved an optimized area under the curve in predicting death (0.785, 95% CI: 0.757-0.813) compared with the Charlson Comorbidity Index (0.747, P = 0.007), ischaemic stroke (0.691, 0.626-0.756) compared with CHA2DS2-VASc (0.613, P = 0.028), and major bleeding (0.698, 0.651-0.745) as opposed to HAS-BLED (0.607, P = 0.002), with improvement in net reclassification index (10.0, 12.5, and 23.6%, respectively). Conclusion: The ML-GBDT model outperformed clinical risk scores in predicting the risks in patients with AF. This approach could be used as a single multifaceted holistic tool to optimize patient risk assessment and mitigate adverse outcomes when managing AF.
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BACKGROUND: Permanent pacing is often required following valve intervention (either surgical or percutaneous); however, tricuspid interventions pose specific challenges to conventional pacing. Therefore, leadless pacemaker (LP) implantation may be the preferred strategy when permanent pacing is required after tricuspid valve intervention. PURPOSE: To report periprocedural outcomes and follow-up of patients undergoing implantation of a LP system following tricuspid valve interventions. METHODS: Patients with previous tricuspid valve intervention at the time of attempted implantation of a LP (MicraTM, Medtronic, Minneapolis, MN, USA) were included. RESULTS: Between 2019 and 2022, 40 patients underwent LP implantations following tricuspid interventions in 5 large tertiary centers. The mean age was 68.9 ± 13.7 years, and 48% patients were male. The indication for pacing was as following: AVB in 27 (68%) patients, AF with slow ventricular response in 10 (25%) patients, and refractory rapid atrial fibrillation (AF) referred to AV junction ablation in 3 (7%) patients. Most of the patients received Micra VR (78%). The procedure was successful in all patients. The mean procedural time is 58 ± 32 min, and the median fluoroscopy time is 7.5 min. Electrical parameters were within normal range (threshold: 1.35 ± 1.2 V@0.24 ms, impedance: 772 ± 245 Ohm, R-wave: 6.9 ± 5.4 mV). No acute complications were observed. During a mean follow-up of 10 months, electrical parameters remained stable, and 4 deaths were occurred (not related to the procedure). CONCLUSION: A LP is a safe and efficient option following tricuspid valve interventions.
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Estudios de Factibilidad , Marcapaso Artificial , Válvula Tricúspide , Humanos , Masculino , Femenino , Anciano , Válvula Tricúspide/cirugía , Fibrilación Atrial/cirugía , Fibrilación Atrial/terapia , Estimulación Cardíaca Artificial/métodos , Estudios RetrospectivosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Clinical complexity, as the interaction between ageing, frailty, multimorbidity and polypharmacy, is an increasing concern in patients with AF. There remains uncertainty regarding how combinations of comorbidities influence management and prognosis of patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). We aimed to identify phenotypes of AF patients according to comorbidities and to assess associations between comorbidity patterns, drug use and risk of major outcomes. METHODS: From the prospective GLORIA-AF Registry, we performed a latent class analysis based on 18 diseases, encompassing cardiovascular, metabolic, respiratory and other conditions; we then analysed the association between phenotypes of patients and (i) treatments received and (ii) the risk of major outcomes. Primary outcome was the composite of all-cause death and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). Secondary exploratory outcomes were also analysed. RESULTS: 32,560 AF patients (mean age 70.0 ± 10.5 years, 45.4% females) were included. We identified 6 phenotypes: (i) low complexity (39.2% of patients); (ii) cardiovascular (CV) risk factors (28.2%); (iii) atherosclerotic (10.2%); (iv) thromboembolic (8.1%); (v) cardiometabolic (7.6%) and (vi) high complexity (6.6%). Higher use of oral anticoagulants was found in more complex groups, with highest magnitude observed for the cardiometabolic and high complexity phenotypes (odds ratio and 95% confidence interval CI): 1.76 [1.49-2.09] and 1.57 [1.35-1.81], respectively); similar results were observed for beta-blockers and verapamil or diltiazem. We found higher risk of the primary outcome in all phenotypes, except the CV risk factor one, with highest risk observed for the cardiometabolic and high complexity groups (hazard ratio and 95%CI: 1.37 [1.13-1.67] and 1.47 [1.24-1.75], respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Comorbidities influence management and long-term prognosis of patients with AF. Patients with complex phenotypes may require comprehensive and holistic approaches to improve their prognosis.
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Fibrilación Atrial , Accidente Cerebrovascular , Femenino , Humanos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Masculino , Fibrilación Atrial/tratamiento farmacológico , Fibrilación Atrial/epidemiología , Estudios Prospectivos , Factores de Riesgo , Resultado del Tratamiento , Comorbilidad , Anticoagulantes , Sistema de Registros , Accidente Cerebrovascular/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Epilepsy is associated with higher morbidity and mortality compared to people without epilepsy. We performed a retrospective cross-sectional and longitudinal cohort study to evaluate cardiovascular comorbidity and incident vascular events in people with epilepsy (PWE). METHODS: Data were extracted from the French Hospital National Database. PWE (n = 682,349) who were hospitalized between January 2014 and December 2022 were matched on age, sex, and year of hospitalization with 682,349 patients without epilepsy. Follow-up was conducted from the date of first hospitalization with epilepsy until the date of each outcome or date of last news in the absence of the outcome. Primary outcome was the incidence of all-cause death, cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction, hospitalization for heart failure, ischaemic stroke (IS), new onset atrial fibrillation, sustained ventricular tachycardia or fibrillation (VT/VF), and cardiac arrest. RESULTS: A diagnosis of epilepsy was associated with higher numbers of cardiovascular risk factors and adverse cardiovascular events compared to controls. People with epilepsy had a higher incidence of all-cause death (incidence rate ratio [IRR] = 2.69, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 2.67-2.72), cardiovascular death (IRR = 2.16, 95% CI = 2.11-2.20), heart failure (IRR = 1.26, 95% CI = 1.25-1.28), IS (IRR = 2.08, 95% CI = 2.04-2.13), VT/VF (IRR = 1.10, 95% CI = 1.04-1.16), and cardiac arrest (IRR = 2.12, 95% CI = 2.04-2.20). When accounting for all-cause death as a competing risk, subdistribution hazard ratios for ischaemic stroke of 1.59 (95% CI = 1.55-1.63) and for cardiac arrest of 1.73 (95% CI = 1.58-1.89) demonstrated higher risk in PWE. CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence and incident rates of cardiovascular outcomes were significantly higher in PWE. Targeting cardiovascular health could help reduce excess morbidity and mortality in PWE.
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Isquemia Encefálica , Epilepsia , Paro Cardíaco , Insuficiencia Cardíaca , Accidente Cerebrovascular Isquémico , Accidente Cerebrovascular , Humanos , Estudios de Cohortes , Estudios Retrospectivos , Estudios Longitudinales , Isquemia Encefálica/complicaciones , Isquemia Encefálica/epidemiología , Estudios Transversales , Accidente Cerebrovascular/epidemiología , Factores de Riesgo , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/complicaciones , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/epidemiología , Epilepsia/epidemiología , Epilepsia/complicaciones , Accidente Cerebrovascular Isquémico/complicaciones , Paro Cardíaco/complicacionesRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) is the cornerstone of atrial fibrillation (AF) ablation. Despite promising success rates, redo ablation is sometimes required. At redo, PVs may be found to be isolated (silent) or reconnected. We studied patients with silent vs reconnected PVs at redo and analysed associations with adverse outcomes. METHODS: Patients undergoing redo AF ablations between 2013 and 2019 at our institution were included and stratified into silent PVs or reconnected PVs. The primary outcome was a composite of further redo ablation, non-AF ablation, atrioventricular nodal ablation, and death. Secondary outcomes included arrhythmia recurrence. RESULTS: A total of 467 patients were included with mean 4.6 ± 1.7 years follow-up, of whom 48 (10.3%) had silent PVs. The silent PV group had had more often undergone >1 prior ablation (45.8% vs 9.8%; p<0.001), had more persistent AF (62.5% vs 41.1%; p=0.005) and had more non-PV ablation performed both at prior ablation procedures and at the analysed redo ablation. The primary outcome occurred more frequently in those with silent PVs (25% vs 13.8%; p=0.053). Arrhythmia recurrence was also more common in the silent PV group (66.7% vs 50.6%; p=0.047). After multivariable adjustment, female sex (aHR 2.35 [95% CI 2.35-3.96]; p=0.001) and ischaemic heart disease (aHR 3.21 [95% CI 1.56-6.62]; p=0.002) were independently associated with the primary outcome, and left atrial enlargement (aHR 1.58 [95% CI 1.20-2.08]; p=0.001) and >1 prior ablation (aHR 1.88 [95% CI 1.30-2.72]; p<0.001) were independently associated with arrhythmia recurrence. Whilst a finding of silent PVs was not itself significant after multivariable adjustment, this provides an easily assessable parameter at clinically indicated redo ablation which informs the clinician of the likelihood of a worse future prognosis. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with silent PVs at redo AF ablation have worse clinical outcomes.
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Fibrilación Atrial , Ablación por Catéter , Venas Pulmonares , Reoperación , Humanos , Fibrilación Atrial/cirugía , Venas Pulmonares/cirugía , Femenino , Masculino , Ablación por Catéter/métodos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Recurrencia , Anciano , Estudios RetrospectivosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Mitral valve surgery and, more recently, mitral transcatheter edge-to-edge repair (TEER) are the two treatments of severe mitral regurgitation in eligible patients. Clinical comparison of both therapies remains limited by the number of patients analysed. The objective of this study was to analyse the outcomes of mitral TEER vs. isolated mitral valve surgery at a nationwide level in France. METHODS: Based on the French administrative hospital discharge database, the study collected information for all consecutive patients treated for mitral regurgitation with isolated TEER or isolated mitral valve surgery between 2012 and 2022. Propensity score matching was used for the analysis of outcomes. RESULTS: A total of 57 030 patients were found in the database. After matching on baseline characteristics, 2160 patients were analysed in each arm. At 3-year follow-up, TEER was associated with significantly lower incidence of cardiovascular death (hazard ratio 0.685, 95% confidence interval 0.563-0.832; P = .0001), pacemaker implantation, and stroke. Non-cardiovascular death (hazard ratio 1.562, 95% confidence interval 1.238-1.971; P = .0002), recurrent pulmonary oedema, and cardiac arrest were more frequent after TEER. No significant differences between the two groups were observed regarding all-cause death (hazard ratio 0.967, 95% confidence interval 0.835-1.118; P = .65), endocarditis, major bleeding, atrial fibrillation, and myocardial infarction. CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that TEER for severe mitral regurgitation was associated with lower cardiovascular mortality than mitral surgery at long-term follow-up. Pacemaker implantation and stroke were less frequently observed after TEER.
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Fibrilación Atrial , Endocarditis , Implantación de Prótesis de Válvulas Cardíacas , Insuficiencia de la Válvula Mitral , Accidente Cerebrovascular , Humanos , Insuficiencia de la Válvula Mitral/epidemiología , Insuficiencia de la Válvula Mitral/cirugía , Accidente Cerebrovascular/epidemiología , Fibrilación Atrial/epidemiología , Fibrilación Atrial/cirugía , Bases de Datos Factuales , Resultado del TratamientoRESUMEN
AIMS: Heart failure (HF) is a chronic disease affecting 64 million people worldwide and places a severe burden on society because of its mortality, numerous re-hospitalizations and associated costs. HeartLogic™ is an algorithm programmed into implanted devices incorporating several biometric parameters which aims to predict HF episodes. It provides an index which can be monitored remotely, allowing pre-emptive treatment of congestion to prevent acute decompensation. We aim to assess the impact and security of pre-emptive HF management, guided by the HeartLogic™ index. METHODS AND RESULTS: The HeartLogic™ France Cohort Study is an investigator-initiated, prospective, multi-centre, non-randomized study. Three hundred ten patients with a history of HF (left ventricular ejection fraction ≤40%; or at least one episode of clinical HF with elevated NT-proBNP ≥450 ng/L) and implanted with a cardioverter defibrillator enabling HeartLogic™ index calculation will be included across 10 French centres. The HeartLogic™ index will be monitored remotely for 12 months and in the event of a HeartLogic™ index ≥16, the local investigator will contact the patient for assessment and adjust HF treatment as necessary. The primary endpoint is unscheduled hospitalization for HF. Secondary endpoints are all-cause mortality, cardiovascular death, HF-related death, unscheduled hospitalizations for ventricular or atrial arrhythmia and HeartLogic™ index evolution over time. Blood samples will be collected for biobanking, and quality of life will be assessed. Finally, the safety of a HeartLogic™-triggered strategy for initiating or increasing diuretic therapy will be assessed. A blind and independent committee will adjudicate the events. CONCLUSIONS: The HeartLogic™ France Cohort Study will provide robust real-world data in a cohort of HF patients managed with the HeartLogic™ algorithm allowing pre-emptive treatment of heart failure exacerbations.
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Insuficiencia Cardíaca , Calidad de Vida , Humanos , Estudios de Cohortes , Volumen Sistólico , Estudios Prospectivos , Bancos de Muestras Biológicas , Función Ventricular Izquierda , AlgoritmosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Non-obese patients with diabetes mellitus (DM) are becoming more prevalent, but their cardiovascular risk (CV) especially when accompanied with cardio-renal-metabolic co-morbidities (hypertension, chronic kidney disease, hyperlipidemia) is not well characterised. The aim of the study was to assess the CV risk among patients with DM in relation to obesity and cardio-renal-metabolic co-morbidities. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This was a cohort study of all patients with DM without a history of major adverse cardiovascular event who were hospitalized for any reason in France in 2013 with at least 5 years of follow-up. They were categorized by the presence of obesity vs no obesity, as well as three cardio-renal-metabolic co-morbidities: hypertension, chronic kidney disease, hyperlipidemia. 'Extremely unhealthy' patients with DM were defined as those having all 3 co-morbidities. RESULTS: There were 196,112 patients (mean age 65.7 (SD 13.7) years; 54.3% males) included into the analysis. During a mean follow-up of 4.69 ± 1.79 years, when adjusted for multiple covariates, the non-obese and 'extremely unhealthy' obese patients had the highest risk of CV death [aHR 1.40 (95% CI, 1.22-1.61) and 1.48 (95% CI, 1.25-1.75), respectively]. The 'extremely unhealthy' obese had the highest risk of MACE-HF [aHR 1.84 (95% CI, 1.72-1.97)] and new-onset AF [aHR 1.64 (95% CI, 1.47-1.83)]. CONCLUSION: Both non-obese and obese patients with DM with associated cardio-renal-metabolic co-morbidities are an 'extremely unhealthy' phenotype with the highest risk of CV death and CV events.
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Hormonas , Obesidad , Humanos , Obesidad/tratamiento farmacológico , Hormonas Esteroides GonadalesRESUMEN
Background. Sleep apnea (SA) is a common breathing disorder characterized by repetitive upper airway narrowing and closure. Although SA has been demonstrated to be an independent risk factor for all-cause mortality, the direct contribution of SA to worse cardiovascular prognosis may be difficult to evaluate, and its independent association with the different types of cardiovascular outcomes may be debated, particularly in the context of patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI). The aim of this study was to assess the impact of known SA on the outcomes of hospitalized patients who have had an AMI by analyzing 10-year data collected from a national registry. Methods. This longitudinal cohort study was based on the national hospitalization database that covers hospital care for the entire French population, including all patients admitted with AMI from January 2010 to June 2019. The clinical outcomes for the analysis were as follows: all-cause death, cardiovascular death, ischemic stroke, new-onset atrial fibrillation (FA), and re-hospitalization for heart failure (HF). Results. Among the 797,212 patients who presented with an AMI (528,351 men and 268,861 women), 37,075 (4.7%) had documented SA. During follow-up (mean [SD] 1.8 [2.4] years, median [interquartile range] 0.7 [0.1-3.1] years), 163,845 deaths (of which 85,649 were cardiovascular deaths), 20,168 ischemic strokes, 58,498 new-onset AF, and 92,381 rehospitalizations due to HF were recorded. Patients with known SA had a worse prognosis in the short and medium term, but after adjusting for all covariables, SA was only independently associated with a higher risk of rehospitalization for HF and new-onset AF in men and women. Conclusion. Data from our large nationwide analysis confirm that known SA is associated with poor cardiovascular outcomes in patients who have had an AMI. However, this impact is tem-pered when the model is adjusted for age, cardiovascular risk, or other covariables. Further studies need to be conducted to assess the independent impact of SA on the prognosis of patients with AMI.
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Background: Previous studies suggested potential ethnic differences in the management and outcomes of atrial fibrillation (AF). We aim to analyse oral anticoagulant (OAC) prescription, discontinuation, and risk of adverse outcomes in Asian patients with AF, using data from a global prospective cohort study. Methods: From the GLORIA-AF Registry Phase II-III (November 2011-December 2014 for Phase II, and January 2014-December 2016 for Phase III), we analysed patients according to their self-reported ethnicity (Asian vs. non-Asian), as well as according to Asian subgroups (Chinese, Japanese, Korean and other Asian). Logistic regression was used to analyse OAC prescription, while the risk of OAC discontinuation and adverse outcomes were analysed through Cox-regression model. Our primary outcome was the composite of all-cause death and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). The original studies were registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT01468701, NCT01671007, and NCT01937377. Findings: 34,421 patients were included (70.0 ± 10.5 years, 45.1% females, 6900 (20.0%) Asian: 3829 (55.5%) Chinese, 814 (11.8%) Japanese, 1964 (28.5%) Korean and 293 (4.2%) other Asian). Most of the Asian patients were recruited in Asia (n = 6701, 97.1%), while non-Asian patients were mainly recruited in Europe (n = 15,449, 56.1%) and North America (n = 8378, 30.4%). Compared to non-Asian individuals, prescription of OAC and non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulant (NOAC) was lower in Asian patients (Odds Ratio [OR] and 95% Confidence Intervals (CI): 0.23 [0.22-0.25] and 0.66 [0.61-0.71], respectively), but higher in the Japanese subgroup. Asian ethnicity was also associated with higher risk of OAC discontinuation (Hazard Ratio [HR] and [95% CI]: 1.79 [1.67-1.92]), and lower risk of the primary composite outcome (HR [95% CI]: 0.86 [0.76-0.96]). Among the exploratory secondary outcomes, Asian ethnicity was associated with higher risks of thromboembolism and intracranial haemorrhage, and lower risk of major bleeding. Interpretation: Our results showed that Asian patients with AF showed suboptimal thromboembolic risk management and a specific risk profile of adverse outcomes; these differences may also reflect differences in country-specific factors. Ensuring integrated and appropriate treatment of these patients is crucial to improve their prognosis. Funding: The GLORIA-AF Registry was funded by Boehringer Ingelheim GmbH.
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AIMS: Atrial fibrillation is associated with important mortality but the usual clinical risk factor based scores only modestly predict mortality. This study aimed to develop machine learning models for the prediction of death occurrence within the year following atrial fibrillation diagnosis and compare predictive ability against usual clinical risk scores. METHODS AND RESULTS: We used a nationwide cohort of 2,435,541 newly diagnosed atrial fibrillation patients seen in French hospitals from 2011 to 2019. Three machine learning models were trained to predict mortality within the first year using a training set (70% of the cohort). The best model was selected to be evaluated and compared with previously published scores on the validation set (30% of the cohort). Discrimination of the best model was evaluated using the C index. Within the first year following atrial fibrillation diagnosis, 342,005 patients (14.4%) died after a period of 83 (SD 98) days (median 37 [10-129]). The best machine learning model selected was a deep neural network with a C index of 0.785 (95% CI, 0.781-0.789) on the validation set. Compared to clinical risk scores, the selected model was superior to the CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED risk scores and superior to dedicated scores such as Charlson Comorbidity Index and Hospital Frailty Risk Score to predict death within the year following atrial fibrillation diagnosis (C indexes: 0.597; 0.562; 0.643; 0.626 respectively. P < .0001). CONCLUSION: Machine learning algorithms predict early death after atrial fibrillation diagnosis and may help clinicians to better risk stratify atrial fibrillation patients at high risk of mortality.
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Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a major public health issue [...].
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BACKGROUND: Patients with atrial fibrillation are characterized by great clinical heterogeneity and complexity. The usual classifications may not adequately characterize this population. Data-driven cluster analysis reveals different possible patient classifications. AIMS: To identify different clusters of patients with atrial fibrillation who share similar clinical phenotypes, and to evaluate the association between identified clusters and clinical outcomes, using cluster analysis. METHODS: An agglomerative hierarchical cluster analysis was performed in non-anticoagulated patients from the Loire Valley Atrial Fibrillation cohort. Associations between clusters and a composite outcome comprising stroke/systemic embolism/death and all-cause death, stroke and major bleeding were evaluated using Cox regression analyses. RESULTS: The study included 3434 non-anticoagulated patients with atrial fibrillation (mean age 70.3±17 years; 42.8% female). Three clusters were identified: cluster 1 was composed of younger patients, with a low prevalence of co-morbidities; cluster 2 included old patients with permanent atrial fibrillation, cardiac pathologies and a high burden of cardiovascular co-morbidities; cluster 3 identified old female patients with a high burden of cardiovascular co-morbidities. Compared with cluster 1, clusters 2 and 3 were independently associated with an increased risk of the composite outcome (hazard ratio 2.85, 95% confidence interval 1.32-6.16 and hazard ratio 1.52, 95% confidence interval 1.09-2.11, respectively) and all-cause death (hazard ratio 3.54, 95% confidence interval 1.49-8.43 and hazard ratio 1.88, 95% confidence interval 1.26-2.79, respectively). Cluster 3 was independently associated with an increased risk of major bleeding (hazard ratio 1.72, 95% confidence interval 1.06-2.78). CONCLUSION: Cluster analysis identified three statistically driven groups of patients with atrial fibrillation, with distinct phenotype characteristics and associated with different risks for major clinical adverse events.
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Fibrilación Atrial , Accidente Cerebrovascular , Humanos , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Masculino , Fibrilación Atrial/diagnóstico , Fibrilación Atrial/epidemiología , Anticoagulantes/efectos adversos , Hemorragia/inducido químicamente , Hemorragia/epidemiología , Accidente Cerebrovascular/diagnóstico , Accidente Cerebrovascular/epidemiología , Análisis por Conglomerados , Fenotipo , Factores de RiesgoRESUMEN
INTRODUCTION: The efficacy and safety of leadless cardiac pacemakers (LPMs) as an alternative to conventional transvenous cardiac pacing have been largely reported. The first generation of the MicraTM transcatheter pacing system (VR; Medtronic) was able to provide single-chamber VVI(R) pacing mode only, with a potential risk of pacemaker syndrome in sinus rhythm patients. A second-generation system (AV) now provides atrioventricular synchrony through atrial mechanical (Am) sensing capability (VDD mode). OBJECTIVE: We sought to compare VR and AV systems in sinus rhythm patients with chronic ventricular pacing (Vp) for complete atrioventricular block. METHODS: All consecutive patients implanted with an LPM in our department for complete atrioventricular block were retrospectively screened. Patients with atrial fibrillation, sinus dysfunction, or Vp burden <20% at 1 month postimplantation were excluded. Patients were systematically followed with a visit at 1 month, and then at least once a year. RESULTS: A total of 93 patients-45 VR (2015-2020) and 48 AV (2020-2021)-were included. VR and AV patients had similar baseline characteristics, except for VR patients being older (80 ± 8 vs. 77 ± 9 years, p = 0.049). The mean Vp burden was 77% in the VR and 82% in the AV group (p = 0.38). In AV patients, the median AV synchronous beats rate was 78%, with 65% having a >66% rate. An E/A ratio <1.2 as measured on echocardiography was the only independent predictor of accurate atrial mechanical tracking (p = 0.01). One-year survival rate was similar in both groups. Five patients in the VR and 0 in the AV group eventually developed pacemaker syndrome within 1 year post-implantation (p = 0.02). CONCLUSION: In sinus rhythm patients with chronic Vp for complete atrioventricular block implanted with an LPM, the atrial mechanical sensing algorithm allowed significant atrioventricular synchrony in most patients and was associated with no occurrence of-otherwise rare-pacemaker syndrome.
Asunto(s)
Fibrilación Atrial , Bloqueo Atrioventricular , Marcapaso Artificial , Humanos , Bloqueo Atrioventricular/diagnóstico , Bloqueo Atrioventricular/terapia , Fibrilación Atrial/diagnóstico , Fibrilación Atrial/terapia , Fibrilación Atrial/epidemiología , Estudios Retrospectivos , Atrios Cardíacos , Complicaciones Posoperatorias , Estimulación Cardíaca Artificial/efectos adversosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Hypertensive encephalopathy (HE) constitutes a serious condition, usually observed in patients with long-lasting hypertension. Hypertension-associated HE is sometimes differentiated from the stroke-associated hypertensive emergency. Whether prognosis of hypertension-associated and stroke-associated HE is different is unclear. METHODS: Characteristics and prognosis of HE were assessed in this nationwide retrospective cohort study in all patients with an administrative code of HE compared with age-, sex- and year of inclusion-matched controls admitted to French hospitals during the 2014 to 2022 period. RESULTS: HE was identified in 7769 patients. Chronic kidney disease (19.3%), coronary artery disease (13.8%), diabetes (22.1%), and ischemic stroke (5.2%) were frequent but thrombotic microangiopathy, hemolytic-uremic syndrome, systemic sclerosis or renal infarction were <1%. HE prognosis was poor (death: 10.4%/y, heart failure: 8.6%/y, end-stage kidney disease: 9.0%/y, ischemic stroke: 3.6%/y, hemorrhagic stroke: 1.6%/y, dementia: 4.1%/y). The risk of death was increased to a similar extent in patients with HE, regardless of the presence of known hypertension or concomitant stroke (versus patients without HE). Among patients with HE, known hypertension was significantly associated with increased risks of ischemic stroke, hemorrhagic stroke, heart failure, vascular dementia, and all-cause dementia and to a lesser extent with chronic dialysis in multivariable analyses including adjustment on concomitant stroke. CONCLUSIONS: HE remains a considerable health burden and is associated with a poor prognosis. The distinction between hypertension- versus stroke-associated HE is relevant as these 2 situations convey different risks of stroke, heart failure, vascular dementia, and end-stage kidney disease.