Spatio-temporal analysis of American Tegumentary Leishmaniasis incidences in the Brazilian state of Amazonas: 2011 to 2022.

This study aimed to conduct a spatio-temporal analysis of tegumentary leishmaniasis occurrences in the Amazonas state, Brazil. An ecological study encompassing time series and spatial analysis was performed, exploring the geographic distribution and temporal trends of American Tegumentary Leishmaniasis (ATL) in Amazonas between 2011 and 2022. Secondary data extracted from the Department of Informatics of the Unified Health System (DATASUS) were utilized for this analysis. The study evaluated the relationship between disease cases and environmental/climatic variables (deforestation, temperature, precipitation, and relative humidity). Over the study period, 19,730 cases of tegumentary leishmaniasis were recorded, averaging an incidence of 41.4/100,000 inhabitants across the 62 municipalities of Amazonas state. Disease intensity varied with seasons. Generally, Amazonas state displayed a declining trend in ATL cases. However, certain municipalities, notably Rio Preto da Eva and Presidente Figueiredo, exhibited high incidence rates, while Canutama, Envira, Eirunepé, and Pauini municipalities demand closer attention due to their demonstrated increasing temporal trend of ATL cases. The analysis indicated a correlation between the number of ATL cases reported and relative humidity as well as precipitation. These findings underscore the significance of tegumentary leishmaniasis as a public health issue in the region and emphasize the necessity for public initiatives aimed at preventing this endemic illness.

Temporal trends and spatial clusters of gastric cancer mortality in Brazil

[ABSTRACT]. Objective. To identify nationwide temporal trends and spatial patterns of gastric cancer–related mortality in Brazil. Methods. An ecological study was performed using death certificates registered from 2000 to 2019 in which gastric cancer was recorded as any cause of death (an underlying or associated cause). Trends over time were assessed using joinpoint regression models. Spatial and spatiotemporal clusters were identified by Kulldorff’s space–time scan statistics to identify high-risk areas. Results. In 276 897/22 663 091 (1.22%) death certificates gastric cancer was recorded as any cause of death. Age-adjusted gastric cancer–related mortality increased significantly over time (annual percentage change [APC]: 0.7, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.5 to 0.8). The increase in mortality was more pronounced in the less-developed North and Northeast Regions (North Region, APC: 3.1, 95% CI: 2.7 to 3.5; Northeast Region, APC: 3.1, 95% CI: 2.5 to 3.7). Eight spatiotemporally associated high-risk clusters of gastric cancer–related mortality were identified in the North, South, Northeast and Central–West Regions, as well as a major cluster covering a wide geographical range in the South and Southeast Regions of Brazil during the first years of the study period (2000 to 2009). Conclusions. More recently, during 2010 to 2019, clusters of gastric cancer have been identified in the Northeast Region. The nationwide increase in mortality in this analysis of 20 years of data highlights the persistently high burden of gastric cancer in Brazil, especially in socioeconomically disadvantaged regions. The identification of these areas where the population is at high risk for gastric cancer–related mortality emphasizes the need to develop effective and intersectoral control measures.

[RESUMEN]. Objetivo. Identificar las tendencias temporales y los patrones espaciales de la mortalidad relacionada con el cáncer gástrico a nivel nacional en Brasil. Métodos. Se realizó un estudio ecológico, empleando certificados de defunción registrados entre los años 2000 y 2019 en los que se notificó cáncer gástrico como cualquier causa de muerte (subyacente o asociada). Se evaluaron las tendencias con el transcurso del tiempo mediante modelos de regresión de punto de inflexión (joinpoint). Se identificaron los conglomerados espaciales y espaciotemporales mediante la técnica estadística de exploración espaciotemporal de Kulldorff para determinar cuáles eran las áreas de alto riesgo. Resultados. En 276 897 de 22 663 091 certificados de defunción (1,22%), se registró cáncer gástrico como cualquier causa de muerte. La mortalidad relacionada con el cáncer gástrico ajustada por edad aumentó significativamente con el tiempo (cambio porcentual anual: 0,7; intervalo de confianza [IC] del 95%: 0,5 a 0,8). El aumento de la mortalidad fue más acusado en la regiones Norte y Noreste, menos desarrolladas, (región Norte, cambio porcentual anual: 3,1, IC del 95%: 2,7 a 3,5; región Noreste, cambio porcentual anual: 3,1, IC del 95%: 2,5 a 3,7). Durante los primeros años del período de estudio (del 2000 al 2009), se identificaron ocho conglomerados de alto riesgo de mortalidad relacionada con el cáncer gástrico y con asociación espacial y temporal en las regiones Norte, Sur, Noreste y Centro-Oeste, así como un conglomerado importante que cubría un amplio rango geográfico en las regiones Sur y Sureste de Brasil. Conclusiones. Más recientemente, del 2010 al 2019, se han identificado conglomerados de cáncer gástrico en la región noreste. El aumento nacional de la mortalidad en este análisis de veinte años de datos destaca la carga persistentemente alta del cáncer gástrico en Brasil, especialmente en las regiones socioeconómicamente desfavorecidas. La identificación de estas áreas en que la población presenta un alto riesgo de mortalidad relacionada con el cáncer gástrico subraya la necesidad de elaborar medidas de control intersectoriales y efectivas.

[RESUMO]. Objetivo. Identificar tendências temporais e padrões espaciais de mortalidade relacionada ao câncer gástrico em todo o Brasil. Métodos. Realizou-se um estudo ecológico a partir de declarações de óbito registradas de 2000 a 2019 em que o câncer gástrico foi indicado como qualquer causa de morte (causa básica ou associada). As tendências ao longo do tempo foram avaliadas a partir de modelos de regressão por pontos de inflexão (joinpoint). Os aglomerados espaciais e espaço-temporais foram identificados por estatística de varredura espaçotemporal de Kulldorff para detectar áreas de alto risco. Resultados. O câncer gástrico foi registrado como qualquer causa de morte em 276.897/22.663.091 (1,22%) declarações de óbito. A mortalidade relacionada ao câncer gástrico ajustada por idade aumentou significativamente ao longo do tempo [variação percentual anual (VPA): 0,7, intervalo de confiança (IC) de 95%: 0,5 a 0,8]. O aumento da mortalidade foi mais acentuado no Norte e Nordeste, regiões menos desenvolvidas (região Norte, VPA: 3,1, IC 95%: 2,7 a 3,5; região Nordeste, VPA: 3,1, IC 95%: 2,5 a 3,7). Identificaram-se oito aglomerados de alto risco de mortalidade relacionada ao câncer gástrico em associação espaço-temporal nas regiões Norte, Sul, Nordeste e Centro-Oeste, além de um grande aglomerado que abrangia uma larga faixa geográfica nas regiões Sul e Sudeste do Brasil durante os primeiros anos do período de estudo (2000 a 2009). Conclusões. Mais recentemente, no período de 2010 a 2019, identificaram-se aglomerados de câncer gástrico na região Nordeste. O aumento da mortalidade em todo o país nesta análise de dados relativos a 20 anos evidencia a persistência da alta carga de câncer gástrico no Brasil, sobretudo em regiões desfavorecidas do ponto de vista socioeconômico. A identificação dessas áreas em que a população corre alto risco de morte relacionada ao câncer gástrico enfatiza a necessidade de desenvolver medidas de controle efetivas e intersetoriais.

Temporal trends and spatial clusters of gastric cancer mortality in Brazil / Tendencias temporales y conglomerados espaciales de mortalidad por cáncer gástrico en Brasil / Tendências temporais e aglomerados espaciais de mortalidade por câncer gástrico no Brasil

ABSTRACT Objective. To identify nationwide temporal trends and spatial patterns of gastric cancer-related mortality in Brazil. Methods. An ecological study was performed using death certificates registered from 2000 to 2019 in which gastric cancer was recorded as any cause of death (an underlying or associated cause). Trends over time were assessed using joinpoint regression models. Spatial and spatiotemporal clusters were identified by Kulldorff's space-time scan statistics to identify high-risk areas. Results. In 276 897/22 663 091 (1.22%) death certificates gastric cancer was recorded as any cause of death. Age-adjusted gastric cancer-related mortality increased significantly over time (annual percentage change [APC]: 0.7, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.5 to 0.8). The increase in mortality was more pronounced in the less-developed North and Northeast Regions (North Region, APC: 3.1, 95% CI: 2.7 to 3.5; Northeast Region, APC: 3.1, 95% CI: 2.5 to 3.7). Eight spatiotemporally associated high-risk clusters of gastric cancer-related mortality were identified in the North, South, Northeast and Central-West Regions, as well as a major cluster covering a wide geographical range in the South and Southeast Regions of Brazil during the first years of the study period (2000 to 2009). Conclusions. More recently, during 2010 to 2019, clusters of gastric cancer have been identified in the Northeast Region. The nationwide increase in mortality in this analysis of 20 years of data highlights the persistently high burden of gastric cancer in Brazil, especially in socioeconomically disadvantaged regions. The identification of these areas where the population is at high risk for gastric cancer-related mortality emphasizes the need to develop effective and intersectoral control measures.

RESUMEN Objetivo. Identificar las tendencias temporales y los patrones espaciales de la mortalidad relacionada con el cáncer gástrico a nivel nacional en Brasil. Métodos. Se realizó un estudio ecológico, empleando certificados de defunción registrados entre los años 2000 y 2019 en los que se notificó cáncer gástrico como cualquier causa de muerte (subyacente o asociada). Se evaluaron las tendencias con el transcurso del tiempo mediante modelos de regresión de punto de inflexión (joinpoint). Se identificaron los conglomerados espaciales y espaciotemporales mediante la técnica estadística de exploración espaciotemporal de Kulldorff para determinar cuáles eran las áreas de alto riesgo. Resultados. En 276 897 de 22 663 091 certificados de defunción (1,22%), se registró cáncer gástrico como cualquier causa de muerte. La mortalidad relacionada con el cáncer gástrico ajustada por edad aumentó significativamente con el tiempo (cambio porcentual anual: 0,7; intervalo de confianza [IC] del 95%: 0,5 a 0,8). El aumento de la mortalidad fue más acusado en la regiones Norte y Noreste, menos desarrolladas, (región Norte, cambio porcentual anual: 3,1, IC del 95%: 2,7 a 3,5; región Noreste, cambio porcentual anual: 3,1, IC del 95%: 2,5 a 3,7). Durante los primeros años del período de estudio (del 2000 al 2009), se identificaron ocho conglomerados de alto riesgo de mortalidad relacionada con el cáncer gástrico y con asociación espacial y temporal en las regiones Norte, Sur, Noreste y Centro-Oeste, así como un conglomerado importante que cubría un amplio rango geográfico en las regiones Sur y Sureste de Brasil. Conclusiones. Más recientemente, del 2010 al 2019, se han identificado conglomerados de cáncer gástrico en la región noreste. El aumento nacional de la mortalidad en este análisis de veinte años de datos destaca la carga persistentemente alta del cáncer gástrico en Brasil, especialmente en las regiones socioeconómicamente desfavorecidas. La identificación de estas áreas en que la población presenta un alto riesgo de mortalidad relacionada con el cáncer gástrico subraya la necesidad de elaborar medidas de control intersectoriales y efectivas.

RESUMO Objetivo. Identificar tendências temporais e padrões espaciais de mortalidade relacionada ao câncer gástrico em todo o Brasil. Métodos. Realizou-se um estudo ecológico a partir de declarações de óbito registradas de 2000 a 2019 em que o câncer gástrico foi indicado como qualquer causa de morte (causa básica ou associada). As tendências ao longo do tempo foram avaliadas a partir de modelos de regressão por pontos de inflexão (joinpoint). Os aglomerados espaciais e espaço-temporais foram identificados por estatística de varredura espaço-temporal de Kulldorff para detectar áreas de alto risco. Resultados. O câncer gástrico foi registrado como qualquer causa de morte em 276.897/22.663.091 (1,22%) declarações de óbito. A mortalidade relacionada ao câncer gástrico ajustada por idade aumentou significativamente ao longo do tempo [variação percentual anual (VPA): 0,7, intervalo de confiança (IC) de 95%: 0,5 a 0,8]. O aumento da mortalidade foi mais acentuado no Norte e Nordeste, regiões menos desenvolvidas (região Norte, VPA: 3,1, IC 95%: 2,7 a 3,5; região Nordeste, VPA: 3,1, IC 95%: 2,5 a 3,7). Identificaram-se oito aglomerados de alto risco de mortalidade relacionada ao câncer gástrico em associação espaço-temporal nas regiões Norte, Sul, Nordeste e Centro-Oeste, além de um grande aglomerado que abrangia uma larga faixa geográfica nas regiões Sul e Sudeste do Brasil durante os primeiros anos do período de estudo (2000 a 2009). Conclusões. Mais recentemente, no período de 2010 a 2019, identificaram-se aglomerados de câncer gástrico na região Nordeste. O aumento da mortalidade em todo o país nesta análise de dados relativos a 20 anos evidencia a persistência da alta carga de câncer gástrico no Brasil, sobretudo em regiões desfavorecidas do ponto de vista socioeconômico. A identificação dessas áreas em que a população corre alto risco de morte relacionada ao câncer gástrico enfatiza a necessidade de desenvolver medidas de controle efetivas e intersetoriais.

The emergence of novel SARS-CoV-2 variant P.1 in Amazonas (Brazil) was temporally associated with a change in the age and sex profile of COVID-19 mortality: A population based ecological study.

BACKGROUND: Since the end of 2020, there has been a great deal of international concern about the variants of SARS-COV-2 B.1.1.7, identified in the United Kingdom; B.1.351 discovered in South Africa and P.1, originating from the Brazilian state of Amazonas. The three variants were associated with an increase in transmissibility and worsening of the epidemiological situation in the places where they expanded. The lineage B.1.1.7 was associated with the increase in case fatality rate in the United Kingdom. There are still no studies on the case fatality rate of the other two variants. The aim of this study was to analyze the mortality profile before and after the emergence of the P.1 strain in the Amazonas state. METHODS: We analyzed data from the Influenza Epidemiological Surveillance Information System, SIVEP-Gripe (Sistema de Informação de Vigilância Epidemiológica da Gripe), comparing two distinct epidemiological periods: during the peak of the first wave, between April and May 2020, and in January 2021 (the second wave), the month in which the new variant came to predominate. We calculated mortality rates, overall case fatality rate and case fatality rate among hospitalized patients; all rates were calculated by age and gender and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) were determined. FINDINGS: We observed that in the second wave there were a higher incidence and an increase in the proportion of cases of COVID-19 in the younger age groups. There was also an increase in the proportion of women among Severe Acute Respiratory Infection (SARI) cases from 40% (2,709) in the first wave to 47% (2,898) in the second wave and in the proportion of deaths due to COVID-19 between the two periods varying from 34% (1,051) to 47% (1,724), respectively. In addition, the proportion of deaths among people between 20 and 59 years old has increased in both sexes. The case fatality rate among those hospitalized in the population between 20 and 39 years old during the second wave was 2.7 times the rate observed in the first wave (female rate ratio = 2.71; 95% CI: 1.9-3.9], p <0.0001; male rate ratio = 2.70, 95%CI:2.0-3.7), and in the general population the rate ratios were 1.15 (95% CI: 1.1-1.2) in females and 0.78 (95% CI: 0.7-0.8) in males]. INTERPRETATION: Based on this prompt analysis of the epidemiological scenario in the Amazonas state, the observed changes in the pattern of mortality due to COVID-19 between age groups and gender simultaneously with the emergence of the P.1 strain suggest changes in the pathogenicity and virulence profile of this new variant. Further studies are needed to better understanding of SARS-CoV-2 variants profile and their impact for the health population. FUNDING: There was no funding for this study.

Correction: Social, demographic, health care and co-morbidity predictors of tuberculosis mortality in Amazonas, Brazil: a multiple cause of death approach.

[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0218359.].

Social, demographic, health care and co-morbidity predictors of tuberculosis mortality in Amazonas, Brazil: a multiple cause of death approach.

OBJECTIVES: Estimate TB mortality rates, catalogue multiple causes on death certificates in which TB was reported and identify predictors of TB from reporting on death certificates in the State of Amazonas, Brazil, based on a multiple cause of death approach. METHODS: The death records of residents in the Amazonas state between 2006-2014 were analyzed and separated into three categories: TB not reported on the death certificate (TBNoR), TB reported as the underlying cause of death (TBUC) and TB reported as an associated cause of death (TBAC). Age standardized annual mortality rates for TBUC, TBAC and with TB reported (TBUC plus TBAC) were estimated for the State of Amazonas using the direct standardization method and World Health Organization 2000-2025 standard population. Mortality odds ratios (OR) for reporting of TBUC and TBAC were estimated using multinomial logistic regression. RESULTS: Age standardized annual TBUC and TBAC mortality rates ranged between 5.9-7.8/105 and 2.7-4.0/105, respectively. TBUC was associated with being a resident in the State capital (OR = 0.66), of female gender (OR = 0.87), having an education level of 8 to 11, or 12 or more school years (OR = 0.67 and 0.50 respectively), non-white race/skin color (OR = 1.38) and place of death reported as in the State capital (OR = 1.69). TBAC was related to the triennium in which death occurred (OR = 1.21 and 1.22 for the years 2009-2011 and 2012-2014 respectively), age (OR = 36.1 and 16.5 for ages 15-39 and 40-64 years respectively) and when death occurred in the State capital (OR = 5.8). CONCLUSIONS: TBUC was predominantly associated with predictors of unfavorable socioeconomic conditions and health care access constraints, whereas TBAC was mainly related to ages which were typical of high HIV disease incidence.

Social determinants of pulmonary tuberculosis treatment non-adherence in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.

Success in tuberculosis control depends on the implementation of steps that reduce social inequities, allowing the diagnosis and effective treatment of the disease. Little is known about the conditions affecting antituberculosis treatment non-adherence in areas of great social and economic heterogeneity, such as the municipality of Rio de Janeiro. This study aimed to describe and identify the social determinants of antituberculosis treatment non-adherence in the municipality of Rio de Janeiro between 2008 and 2012. An ecological study was conducted with the districts of Rio de Janeiro as the units of analysis. Analyzes using Poisson regression models allowed us to identify the association between dropout from antituberculosis treatment and the human development index and social development index. The final model showed that economic conditions, infrastructure, and the tuberculosis control quality of surveillance were associated with treatment non-adherence. This study demonstrated that the scenarios of socio-environmental precariousness found in the districts of Rio de Janeiro were able to identify populations with an increased risk of default treatment from antituberculosis.

Mortality Predictors in Patients with Severe Dengue in the State of Amazonas, Brazil.

Dengue is a major public health problem in tropical and subtropical areas worldwide. There is a lack of information on the risk factors for death due to severe dengue fever in developing countries, including Brazil where the state of Amazonas is located. This knowledge is important for decision making and the implementation of effective measures for patient care. This study aimed to identify factors associated with death among patients with severe dengue, in Amazonas from 2001 to 2013. We conducted a retrospective cohort study based on secondary data from the epidemiological surveillance of dengue provided by the Fundação de Vigilância em Saúde do Amazonas, FVS (Health Surveillance Foundation) of the Secretaria de Saúde do Amazonas, SUSAM (Health Secretariat of the State of Amazonas). Data on dengue cases were obtained from the SINAN (Notifiable Diseases Information System) and SIM (Mortality Information System) databases. We selected cases of severe dengue with laboratory confirmation, including dengue-related deaths of residents in the state of Amazonas from January 1, 2001, to December 31, 2013. The explanatory variables analyzed were sex, age, level of education, spontaneous hemorrhagic manifestations, plasma extravasation and platelet count. Patients who died due to severe dengue had more hematuria, gastrointestinal bleeding, and thrombocytopenia than the survivors. Considering the simultaneous effects of demographic and clinical characteristics with a multiple logistic regression model, it was observed that the factors associated with death were age >55 years (odds ratio [OR] 4.98), gastrointestinal bleeding (OR 10.26), hematuria (OR 5.07), and thrombocytopenia (OR 2.55). Gastrointestinal bleeding was the clinical sign most strongly associated with death, followed by hematuria and age >55 years. The study results showed that the best predictor of death from severe dengue is based on the characteristic of age >55 years, together with the clinical signs of gastrointestinal bleeding, hematuria, and low platelet count.

The Socioeconomic Factors and the Indigenous Component of Tuberculosis in Amazonas.

Despite the availability of tuberculosis prevention and control services throughout Amazonas, high rates of morbidity and mortality from tuberculosis remain in the region. Knowledge of the social determinants of tuberculosis in Amazonas is important for the establishment of public policies and the planning of effective preventive and control measures for the disease. To analyze the relationship of the spatial distribution of the incidence of tuberculosis in municipalities and regions of Amazonas to the socioeconomic factors and indigenous tuberculosis component, from 2007 to 2013. An ecological study was conducted based on secondary data from the epidemiological surveillance of tuberculosis. A linear regression model was used to analyze the relationship of the annual incidence of tuberculosis to the socioeconomic factors, performance indicators of health services, and indigenous tuberculosis component. The distribution of the incidence of tuberculosis in the municipalities of Amazonas was positively associated with the Gini index and the population attributable fraction of tuberculosis in the indigenous peoples, but negatively associated with the proportion of the poor and the unemployment rate. The spatial distribution of tuberculosis in the different regions of Amazonas was heterogeneous and closely related with the socioeconomic factors and indigenous component of tuberculosis.

Snakebites as a largely neglected problem in the Brazilian Amazon: highlights of the epidemiological trends in the State of Amazonas.

Envenoming snakebites are thought to be a particularly important threat to public health worldwide, especially in rural areas of tropical and subtropical countries. The true magnitude of the public health threat posed by snakebites is unknown, making it difficult for public health officials to optimize prevention and treatment. The objective of this work was to conduct a systematic review of the literature to gather data on snakebite epidemiology in the Amazon region and describe a case series of snakebites from epidemiological surveillance in the State of Amazonas (1974-2012). Only 11 articles regarding snakebites were found. In the State of Amazonas, information regarding incidents involving snakes is scarce. Historical trends show an increasing number of cases after the second half of the 1980s. Snakebites predominated among adults (20-39 years old; 38%), in the male gender (78.9%) and in those living in rural areas (85.6%). The predominant snake envenomation type was bothropic. The incidence reported by the epidemiological surveillance in the State of Amazonas, reaching up to 200 cases/100,000 inhabitants in some areas, is among the highest annual snakebite incidence rates of any region in the world. The majority of the cases were reported in the rainy season with a case-fatality rate of 0.6%. Snakebite envenomation is a great disease burden in the State of Amazonas, representing a challenge for future investigations, including approaches to estimating incidence under-notification and case-fatality rates as well as the factors related to severity and disabilities.

Snakebites as a largely neglected problem in the Brazilian Amazon: highlights of the epidemiological trends in the State of Amazonas

Envenoming snakebites are thought to be a particularly important threat to public health worldwide, especially in rural areas of tropical and subtropical countries. The true magnitude of the public health threat posed by snakebites is unknown, making it difficult for public health officials to optimize prevention and treatment. The objective of this work was to conduct a systematic review of the literature to gather data on snakebite epidemiology in the Amazon region and describe a case series of snakebites from epidemiological surveillance in the State of Amazonas (1974-2012). Only 11 articles regarding snakebites were found. In the State of Amazonas, information regarding incidents involving snakes is scarce. Historical trends show an increasing number of cases after the second half of the 1980s. Snakebites predominated among adults (20-39 years old; 38%), in the male gender (78.9%) and in those living in rural areas (85.6%). The predominant snake envenomation type was bothropic. The incidence reported by the epidemiological surveillance in the State of Amazonas, reaching up to 200 cases/100,000 inhabitants in some areas, is among the highest annual snakebite incidence rates of any region in the world. The majority of the cases were reported in the rainy season with a case-fatality rate of 0.6%. Snakebite envenomation is a great disease burden in the State of Amazonas, representing a challenge for future investigations, including approaches to estimating incidence under-notification and case-fatality rates as well as the factors related to severity and disabilities.