Contemporary characteristics, outcomes and novel risk score for Takotsubo cardiomyopathy: a national inpatient sample analysis.

BACKGROUND: Takotsubo cardiomyopathy (TC) is an established differential diagnosis of myocardial infarction with non-obstructive coronaries with significant interest but limited data on prognostication. We reviewed the characteristics and in-hospital outcomes and developed a novel risk score for TC. METHODS: Using the National Inpatient Sample data from 2016 to 2020, we identified adult patients (≥18 years) with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) and TC. We divided the cohort into ACS with and without TC and retrieved baseline data. Multivariable regression analysis was conducted to identify factors associated with TC diagnosis and adverse outcomes, leading to the development of a risk-scoring system. RESULTS: Among 7 219 004 adult ACS admissions, 78 214 (1.0%) were diagnosed with TC, with a mean age of 68.2 years, 64 526 (82.5%) being female and 5475 (7.0%, compared with 8.4% for other ACS) in-hospital mortality events. Factors significantly associated with TC were female sex (OR 6.78 (95% CI 6.47 to 7.09), p<0.001) and chronic heart failure (OR 1.60 (95% CI 1.54 to 1.66), p<0.001). A novel risk score was developed, including the following parameters: male sex, age >70 years, non-white race, hypertension, hyperlipidemia, history of coronary artery bypass grafting, history of percutaneous coronary intervention, cardiac arrhythmias, renal failure, cardiogenic shock and vasopressor use. The area under curves for in-hospital mortality was 0.716 in the derivation and 0.725 in the validation cohorts. CONCLUSIONS: TC remains a high-risk diagnosis in a minority of ACS cases, with mortality rates similar to other ACS causes. Our novel risk score offers a valuable tool for risk stratification in patients with TC, but external validation is needed to confirm its utility.

Risk evaluation and mitigation strategy for mavacamten: An example demonstrating appropriate safety oversight.

In an effort to expedite the publication of articles, AJHP is posting manuscripts online as soon as possible after acceptance. Accepted manuscripts have been peer-reviewed and copyedited, but are posted online before technical formatting and author proofing. These manuscripts are not the final version of record and will be replaced with the final article (formatted per AJHP style and proofed by the authors) at a later time.

Gender-related differences in left atrial strain mechanics and exercise capacity in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy: a propensity-score matched study from the Cleveland Clinic.

Background: Male and female patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) differ in physiologic characteristics and hemodynamics. Little is known about gender-related differences in left atrial (LA) strain and exercise capacity. The aim of this study was to assess the gender-related differences in the relationship between exercise capacity and cardiac function including LA function in patients with HCM. Methods: Five hundred and thirty-two patients with HCM undergoing exercise stress echocardiography and cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPET) were prospectively recruited between October 2015 and April 2019 as part of a cohort study in a quaternary referral center. To reduce potential confounding factors, propensity score (PS) matching was performed in 420 patients. LA strain mechanics were evaluated using speckle-tracking echocardiography. Results: The majority of patients were male, comprising 58% of the total. Female HCM patients were older (54±14 vs. 50±15 years, P=0.002). After PS matching, percent-predicted peak VO2 was similar between the genders (67.5%±20.7% vs. 65.8%±21.8%, P=0.41), even though female HCM patients had lower peak VO2 (17.7±5.9 vs. 24.1±8.3 mL/kg/min, P<0.001). Left ventricular (LV) diastolic function was worse for female HCM patients. This is shown by worse E/e' ratio (15.0±5.9 vs. 12.9±6.4, P<0.001) and larger LA volume in respect to LV (0.88±0.35 vs. 0.74±0.31, P<0.001), compared with male HCM patients. The gender-related differences in LA reservoir strain were more evident for patients aged 60 years and older (27.5%±8.8% vs. 30.9%±9.1%, P=0.03). LA reservoir strain was found to have a significant association with exercise capacity in both male and female HCM patients (for females, ß=0.27, P=0.001; for males, ß=0.27, P<0.001), independent of LV diastolic dysfunction and stroke volume. Conclusions: Gender-related differences in LA reservoir strain were increasingly evident for older HCM patients aged 60 years and older. LA reservoir strain was an independent determinant of percent-predicted peak VO2 in male and female patients, underpinning the importance of LA function in determining exercise capacity in HCM.

Cost-effectiveness of a novel AI technology to quantify coronary inflammation and cardiovascular risk in patients undergoing routine Coronary Computed Tomography Angiography.

AIMS: Coronary Computed Tomography Angiography (CCTA) is a first line investigation for chest pain in patients with suspected obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD). However, many acute cardiac events occur in the absence of obstructive CAD. We assessed the lifetime cost-effectiveness of integrating a novel artificial intelligence-enhanced image analysis algorithm (AI-Risk) that stratifies the risk of cardiac events by quantifying coronary inflammation, combined with the extent of coronary artery plaque and clinical risk factors, by analysing images from routine CCTA. METHODS AND RESULTS: A hybrid decision-tree with population cohort Markov model was developed from 3,393 consecutive patients who underwent routine CCTA for suspected obstructive CAD and followed up for major adverse cardiac events over a median(IQR) of 7.7(6.4-9.1) years. In a prospective real-world evaluation survey of 744 consecutive patients undergoing CCTA for chest pain investigation, the availability of AI-Risk assessment led to treatment initiation or intensification in 45% of patients. In a further prospective study of 1,214 consecutive patients with extensive guideline recommended cardiovascular risk profiling, AI-Risk stratification led to treatment initiation or intensification in 39% of patients beyond the current clinical guideline recommendations. Treatment guided by AI-Risk modelled over a lifetime horizon could lead to fewer cardiac events (relative reductions of 4%, 4%, 11%, and 12% for myocardial infarction, ischaemic stroke, heart failure and cardiac death, respectively). Implementing AI-Risk classification in routine interpretation of CCTA is highly likely to be cost-effective (Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio £1,371-3,244), both in scenarios of current guideline compliance or when applied only to patients without obstructive CAD. CONCLUSIONS: Compared with standard care, the addition of AI-Risk assessment in routine CCTA interpretation is cost effective, by refining risk guided medical management.

Diastolic Stress Echocardiography in Patients With Hypertrophy Cardiomyopathy: Association With Exercise Capacity.

Diastolic dysfunction plays a major role in precipitating congestive heart failure in patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM). In many such patients, symptoms are unmasked only during exercise because left ventricular (LV) filling pressure is normal at rest but increase with exercise. We sought to establish whether abnormal postexercise diastolic parameters are associated with reduced exercise capacity in patients with HCM. We examined 590 patients with asymptomatic/minimally symptomatic HCM (age 54 ± 14 years, 57% men, body mass index 30 ± 6 kg/m2, 84% on ß blockers) with HCM by 2-dimensional and Doppler echocardiography at rest and after maximal treadmill exercise echocardiography (TSE). A complete echocardiogram (including LV ejection fraction, LV thickness, LV outflow tract [LVOT] gradient, degree of mitral regurgitation) was recorded. Diastolic parameters (septal and lateral [e'] velocities of the mitral annulus, peak early [E] and late [A] mitral inflow velocity, E/A ratio, E/e', right ventricular systolic pressure [RVSP], and left atrial volume index) were recorded at rest and after TSE. Exercise functional capacity was recorded and divided into <85% or >85% of age-gender predicted metabolic equivalents (AGP-METs). After maximal exercise, 32% patients had at least moderate mitral regurgitation, mean LVOT gradient was 61 ± 59 mm Hg, E/A ratio was 1.2 ± 1.0, average E/e' ratio 12.9 ± 1.0, and peak RVSP was 36 ± 15 mm Hg. Only 42% of patients achieved >85% of AGP-METs; the mean METs was 7 ± 3. On multivariable logistic regression analysis, higher body mass index (odds ratio [OR] 1.05), ß-blocker use (OR 2.58), higher left atrial volume index (OR 1.02), higher peak stress LVOT gradient (LVOTG) (OR 1.06), peak stress E/e' (OR 1.04), and higher RVSP (OR 1.03) were independently associated with <85% AGP-METs achieved (all p <0.05). In conclusion, in patients with asymptomatic/minimally symptomatic HCM who underwent TSE, there is a significant and independent association between abnormal diastolic response to exercise and reduced exercise capacity in HCM. Incorporating diastolic parameters during stress echocardiography could provide incremental diagnostic utility in deciphering the exact etiology of dyspnea in such patients.

Serial Changes in Ventricular Strain in Symptomatic Obstructive Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy Treated With Mavacamten: Insights From the VALOR-HCM Trial.

BACKGROUND: In severely symptomatic patients with obstructive hypertrophic cardiomyopathy, VALOR-HCM (A Study to Evaluate Mavacamten in Adults With Symptomatic Obstructive Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy Who Are Eligible for Septal Reduction Therapy) demonstrated that mavacamten reduces the need for septal reduction therapy with sustained improvement in left ventricular (LV) outflow tract gradients and symptoms. Global longitudinal strain (GLS), a measure of regional myocardial function, is a more sensitive marker of systolic function. In VALOR-HCM, we assessed serial changes in LV and right ventricular (RV) strain. METHODS: VALOR-HCM included 112 patients with symptomatic obstructive hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (mean, 60 years; 51% male; LV ejection fraction, 68%). Patients assigned to mavacamten at baseline continued the drug for 56 weeks (n=56) and those assigned to placebo (n=52) transitioned to mavacamten from weeks 16 to 56 (40-week exposure). LV-GLS and RV-GLS assessment was performed using a vendor-neutral software. Non-foreshortened apical (4-, 3-, and 2-chamber) views were used to obtain peak LV-GLS. RV focused 4-chamber view was used to calculate RV 4-chamber and free wall strain. A more negative strain value is favorable. RESULTS: At baseline, the mean LV-GLS, RV 4-chamber, and free wall strain values were -14.7%, -22.2%, and -16.8%, respectively (all worse than reported normal means). In the total study sample, LV-GLS significantly improved from baseline to week 56 (P=0.02). Twelve patients had transient reduction in LV ejection fraction (<50%) requiring temporary drug interruption (including 3 permanent discontinuations). The LV-GLS in this subgroup was worse at baseline versus total study population (-11.4%), with no significant worsening from baseline through week 56 (P=0.64). Both free wall and 4-chamber RV-GLS remained unchanged from baseline to week 56 (P=0.62 and P=0.56, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: In VALOR-HCM, treatment with mavacamten improved LV-GLS from baseline through week 56 (with no significant worsening of LV-GLS in patients with a reduction in LV ejection fraction ≤50%), suggesting a favorable long-term impact on regional LV systolic function. Additionally, there was no detrimental impact on RV systolic function. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT04349072.

Shaping the future of heart health.

For World Heart Day on September 24, 2024, the World Heart Federation urges nations to endorse national strategies for enhancing cardiovascular health. While advancements show promise in reducing atherosclerosis, addressing healthcare inequalities and ensuring equitable access to tools remain crucial. This collection of voices touches on the intricate relationship between type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular disease, highlights innovative treatments for rare cardiomyopathies and heart failure, and explores the potentially transformative role of artificial intelligence in cardiovascular medicine, showcasing the dedication and innovation that are shaping the future of heart health.

Mavacamten-Associated Temporal Changes in Left Atrial Function in Obstructive HCM: Insights From the VALOR-HCM Trial.

BACKGROUND: In severely symptomatic patients with obstructive hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM), the VALOR-HCM (A Study to Evaluate Mavacamten in Adults With Symptomatic Obstructive Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy Who Are Eligible for Septal Reduction Therapy) trial showed that mavacamten reduced the eligibility for septal reduction therapy with sustained improvement in left ventricular outflow tract gradients. Mavacamten also resulted in favorable cardiac remodeling, including improvement in biomarkers (eg, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide and troponin T). However, the impact of mavacamten on left atrial (LA) function is unknown. OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to assess serial changes in LA strain measures in patients enrolled in the VALOR-HCM trial. METHODS: VALOR-HCM included 112 symptomatic patients with obstructive HCM (mean age 60 years; 51% male). Patients assigned to receive mavacamten at baseline (n = 56) continued therapy for 56 weeks and those assigned to placebo transitioned to mavacamten (n = 52) from week 16 to week 56. Echocardiographic LA strain (reservoir, conduit, and contraction) was measured by using a vendor-neutral postprocessing software. RESULTS: At baseline, the mean LA volume index (LAVI) and LA strain values (conduit, contraction, and reservoir) were 41.3 ± 16.5 mL/m2, -11.8% ± 6.5%, -8.7% ± 5.0%, and 20.5% ± 8.7%, respectively (all worse than reported normal). LAVI significantly improved by -5.6 ± 9.7 mL/m2 from baseline to week 56 (P < 0.001). There was a significant (P < 0.05) improvement in absolute LA strain values from baseline to week 56 (conduit [-1.7% ± 6%], contraction [-1.2% ± 4.5%], and reservoir [2.8% ± 7.7%]). Patients originally receiving placebo had no differences in LA measurements up to week 16. There was no significant improvement in LA strain values (conduit [-0.9% ± 3.8%], contraction [-0.4% ± 3.4%], and reservoir [1.4% ± 6.1%]; all; P = NS) from baseline to week 56 in patients with history of atrial fibrillation. CONCLUSIONS: In VALOR-HCM, mavacamten resulted in an improvement in LAVI and LA strain at week 56, suggesting sustained favorable LA remodeling and improved function, except in the atrial fibrillation subgroup. Whether the advantageous LA remodeling associated with long-term treatment with mavacamten results in a favorable impact on the observed high burden of atrial tachyarrhythmias in HCM remains to be proven. (A Study to Evaluate Mavacamten in Adults With Symptomatic Obstructive Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy Who Are Eligible for Septal Reduction Therapy [VALOR-HCM]; NCT04349072).

Mavacamten for Obstructive Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy: Rationale for Clinically Guided Dose Titration to Optimize Individual Response.

Mavacamten is the first and only cardiac myosin inhibitor approved in 5 continents for the treatment of adults with symptomatic New York Heart Association class II and III obstructive hypertrophic cardiomyopathy. An evidence-based rationale was used to develop individualized mavacamten dosing, guided by commonly used clinical parameters. Echocardiography is recommended as part of routine clinical assessment of patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy, and left ventricular (LV) outflow tract gradient and LV ejection fraction are parameters that can be readily assessed and monitored by echocardiography. Therefore, an echocardiography-based, clinically guided dose-titration strategy was developed to optimize patient benefit from mavacamten for the treatment of symptomatic obstructive hypertrophic cardiomyopathy while minimizing the risk of LV ejection fraction reduction. Results from clinical trials paired with extensive modeling and simulation analyses support a dose-titration and monitoring strategy based on serial echocardiographic measures of Valsalva LV outflow tract gradient and LV ejection fraction. This dosing approach allows for the identification of the lowest individualized mavacamten dose and exposure required to provide improvements in LV outflow tract obstruction, functional capacity, and symptoms. Mavacamten is primarily metabolized by CYP2C19 (cytochrome P450 2C19), and CYP2C19 metabolizer phenotype has an effect on mavacamten exposure. Therefore, this approach has also been demonstrated to provide a favorable safety profile irrespective of patients' CYP2C19 metabolizer status. The dose-titration strategy includes additional considerations for the potential onset of systolic dysfunction in the context of intercurrent illness, and for the potential of drug-drug interactions with inhibitors and substrates of cytochrome P450 enzymes. This posology is reflected in the mavacamten US prescribing information.

Early and late experience of the modified aortic reimplantation operation.

OBJECTIVE: Valve-sparing aortic root replacement for proximal aortic dilation with aortic regurgitation is associated with excellent outcomes. Modified aortic reimplantation entails reducing the anulus size to the expected size for sex and body surface area and creating neosinuses to preserve the aortic valve. We present our mid- and late-term outcomes with the modified technique, including a single-surgeon's experience over the past 2 decades. METHODS: From January 2002 to January 2024, 528 patients underwent modified aortic reimplantation for aortic aneurysm or dilation; 491 were included in this study. End points included time-related mortality and postoperative morbidities, including aortic valve reintervention and longitudinal aortic regurgitation grade. RESULTS: There were no operative deaths. Survival at 30 days, 1 year, and 15 years were 100%, 99.6%, and 87%, respectively. Postoperative stroke occurred in 4 patients (0.81%) and reoperation for bleeding in 7 (1.4%). Moderate or severe aortic valve regurgitation was seen in 6.2% and 10% of patients at 1 and 10 years, respectively. Aortic valve mean gradients were 7.0 and 7.5 mm Hg at 1 and 10 years, respectively. Freedom from reintervention on the aortic valve was 99.9%, 99%, and 95% at 30 days, 1 year, and 15 years, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Modified aortic reimplantation technique is a reliable and reproducible technique with excellent mid- and long-term outcomes in survival and freedom from reintervention. The results advocate for modified reimplantation in patients with enlarged aortic roots, especially in younger patients with connective tissue disorder.

Measurements of the Interventricular Septum and Mitral Leaflet Length in Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy Patients Who Underwent Surgical Myectomy: A Prospective Comparative Multimodality Imaging Study.

Transesophageal echocardiography (TEE) plays an important role for real-time procedural guidance during surgical smyectomy (SM) for hypertrophic obstructive cardiomyopathy (HOCM). We aimed to compare (1) interventricular septum (IVS) thickness using 2- (2D) and 3-dimensional (3D) intraoperative TEE and preoperative cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) and (2) mitral valve (MV) leaflet length using 2D, 3D TEE, automatic quantification of mitral valve (AMVQ) and preoperative CMR. We prospectively studied 50 patients with HOCM (age 59 ± 12 years, 44% men) who underwent SM during 2018 to 2019. The maximal basal, mid, and distal anteroseptum (AS) and inferoseptum (IS) were measured by multiplanar 3D reconstruction on TEE and by short-axis imaging on preoperative CMR and classified as mild (≤18 mm), moderate (18 to 25 mm), or severe (≥25 mm) groups based on AS and IS thickness on CMR. MV leaflet lengths were evaluated by preoperative CMR and intraprocedural 2D TEE, zoom 3D TEE, and AMVQ (EchoPAC, General Electric, Wisconsin). There was a moderate correlation between AS and IS thickness on 3D TEE and CMR (R2 = 0.46, p <0.01 and R2 = 0.41, p <0.01, respectively), with 3D TEE showing an average overestimation of 3.8 and 4.7 mm versus CMR. The 3D TEE overestimated 14 patients (56%) with mild thickness as moderate and 5 patients (22%) with moderate thickness as severe. Assuming 3D TEE as the gold standard, the closest correlation for anterior mitral leaflet length was with CMR (average overestimation by CMR of 0.5 mm [root mean square deviation (RMSE%) 17]), intermediate correlation with 2D TEE (average deviation of 0.6 mm [RMSE% 21]) and no correlation with AMVQ (average deviation of 0.7 mm [RMSE% 24]). In conclusion, 3D TEE overestimates IVS thickness versus CMR in patients with HOCM who underwent SM, with greater discrepancy in those with thinner IVS. There are significant differences in MV lengths measured using different imaging techniques.

Two cardiac myosin inhibitors in the treatment of obstructive hypertrophic cardiomyopathy.

A key area of therapeutic progress in obstructive hypertrophic cardiomyopathy revolves around the emergence of cardiac myosin inhibitors, of which mavacamten and aficamten represent the first and second molecules. We summarize the key research evidence, including many similarities and potential differences between various clinical trials studying these molecules.

Ambient Air Pollution Exposure and Adverse Outcomes Among Medicare Beneficiaries With Heart Failure.

BACKGROUND: Exposure to fine particulate matter (<2.5 um, particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter <2.5 microns [PM2.5]) has been implicated in atherogenesis. Limited data in animal studies suggest that PM2.5 exposure leads to myocardial fibrosis and increased incidence of heart failure (HF). Whether PM2.5 is associated with adverse outcomes in patients with preexisting HF has not been widely studied. METHODS AND RESULTS: In this retrospective cohort study, Medicare patients hospitalized with first HF between 2013 and 2020 were identified from the Medicare Provider Analysis and Review Part A 100% files. Patients were linked with integrated estimates of ambient PM2.5 obtained at 1×1 km using the zip code of participants' residence. The study outcomes were all-cause death, HF, and all-cause readmissions burden. A total of 2 599 525 patients were included in this study, with 6 321 731 person-years of follow-up. Mean PM2.5 was 7.3±1.7 µg/m3. Each interquartile range of PM2.5 was associated with 0.9% increased hazard of all-cause death, 4.5% increased hazard of first HF readmission, 3.1% increased risk of HF hospitalization burden, and 5.2% increase in all-cause readmission burden, after adjusting for 11 sociodemographic and medical factors. Subgroup analyses showed that the effects were more pronounced at levels <7 µg/m3 and in patients aged <75 years, Asians, and those residing in rural areas. CONCLUSIONS: Ambient air pollution is associated with higher risk of adverse events in Medicare beneficiaries with established HF. These associations persist below the National Air Quality Standards (12 µg/m3), supporting that no threshold effect exists for health effects of air pollution exposure.

Novel Cardiac Myosin Inhibitor Therapy for Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy in Adults: A Contemporary Review.

Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) affects as many as 1 in 200 people in the adult population globally. Patients may present with exertional dyspnea, presyncope or syncope, atrial and ventricular arrhythmias, heart failure, and even sudden cardiac death. Current guideline-based therapy involves medical therapy for treatment of symptoms in milder forms of the disease and surgical or catheter-based septal reduction therapies in obstructive HCM. Until recently, there has existed a gap between these two approaches that is now being filled by a new class of drugs, cardiac myosin inhibitors, which directly target the underlying disease process in HCM. Current investigations examine the effects of two cardiac myosin inhibitors on reported symptoms, echocardiographic evidence of disease, and the associated need for septal reduction. This paper reviews the contemporary evidence for the use of cardiac myosin inhibitors in HCM in adults and highlights future directions for this exciting field of cardiovascular medicine.

Long-term outcome of bicuspid aortic valve repair using figure-of-8 hitch-up stitches.

Objective: To maximize successful repair of bicuspid aortic valves by adding figure-of-8 hitch-up stitches at commissures. Methods: From 2000 to 2022, bicuspid aortic valve repair was performed on 1112 patients at Cleveland Clinic, with 367 patients receiving figure-of-8 hitch-up stitches along with classical techniques, including Cabrol suture, cusp plication, raphe resection, and valve-sparing root replacement. Operative outcomes, repair durability, and survival were assessed in the figure-of-8 hitch-up stitches cohort, and outcomes were compared among 195 balancing-score-matched patient pairs who underwent bicuspid aortic valve repair with and without figure-of-8 hitch-up stitches. Results: Patients who underwent bicuspid aortic valve repair with figure-of-8 stitches had an operative mortality of 0.3% (1 of 367) and in-hospital reoperation for aortic valve dysfunction of 1.1% (4 of 367). At 10 years, prevalence of severe aortic regurgitation was 8.6%, mean gradient 24 mm Hg, freedom from aortic valve reoperation 75%, and survival 98%. In matched cohorts, operative mortality was similar (0.51% vs 0%; P > .9) as were morbidities, including in-hospital reoperation due to aortic valve dysfunction (1.0% vs 1.5%; P > .9). Comparable long-term outcomes were observed at 10 years (prevalence of severe aortic regurgitation of 8.7% vs 5.0% [P = .11], mean gradient 18 vs 17 mm Hg [P = .40]; freedom from aortic valve reoperation 80% vs 81% [P = .73]; and survival 99.5% vs 94.6% [P = .18]). Conclusions: Figure-of-8 hitch-up stitch is a safe bicuspid aortic valve repair technique. It increases the likelihood of a successful repair without increasing risk of cusp tear and achieves satisfactory long-term survival and durability when added to classical repair techniques.

Inflammatory risk and cardiovascular events in patients without obstructive coronary artery disease: the ORFAN multicentre, longitudinal cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) is the first line investigation for chest pain, and it is used to guide revascularisation. However, the widespread adoption of CCTA has revealed a large group of individuals without obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD), with unclear prognosis and management. Measurement of coronary inflammation from CCTA using the perivascular fat attenuation index (FAI) Score could enable cardiovascular risk prediction and guide the management of individuals without obstructive CAD. The Oxford Risk Factors And Non-invasive imaging (ORFAN) study aimed to evaluate the risk profile and event rates among patients undergoing CCTA as part of routine clinical care in the UK National Health Service (NHS); to test the hypothesis that coronary arterial inflammation drives cardiac mortality or major adverse cardiac events (MACE) in patients with or without CAD; and to externally validate the performance of the previously trained artificial intelligence (AI)-Risk prognostic algorithm and the related AI-Risk classification system in a UK population. METHODS: This multicentre, longitudinal cohort study included 40 091 consecutive patients undergoing clinically indicated CCTA in eight UK hospitals, who were followed up for MACE (ie, myocardial infarction, new onset heart failure, or cardiac death) for a median of 2·7 years (IQR 1·4-5·3). The prognostic value of FAI Score in the presence and absence of obstructive CAD was evaluated in 3393 consecutive patients from the two hospitals with the longest follow-up (7·7 years [6·4-9·1]). An AI-enhanced cardiac risk prediction algorithm, which integrates FAI Score, coronary plaque metrics, and clinical risk factors, was then evaluated in this population. FINDINGS: In the 2·7 year median follow-up period, patients without obstructive CAD (32 533 [81·1%] of 40 091) accounted for 2857 (66·3%) of the 4307 total MACE and 1118 (63·7%) of the 1754 total cardiac deaths in the whole of Cohort A. Increased FAI Score in all the three coronary arteries had an additive impact on the risk for cardiac mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 29·8 [95% CI 13·9-63·9], p<0·001) or MACE (12·6 [8·5-18·6], p<0·001) comparing three vessels with an FAI Score in the top versus bottom quartile for each artery. FAI Score in any coronary artery predicted cardiac mortality and MACE independently from cardiovascular risk factors and the presence or extent of CAD. The AI-Risk classification was positively associated with cardiac mortality (6·75 [5·17-8·82], p<0·001, for very high risk vs low or medium risk) and MACE (4·68 [3·93-5·57], p<0·001 for very high risk vs low or medium risk). Finally, the AI-Risk model was well calibrated against true events. INTERPRETATION: The FAI Score captures inflammatory risk beyond the current clinical risk stratification and CCTA interpretation, particularly among patients without obstructive CAD. The AI-Risk integrates this information in a prognostic algorithm, which could be used as an alternative to traditional risk factor-based risk calculators. FUNDING: British Heart Foundation, NHS-AI award, Innovate UK, National Institute for Health and Care Research, and the Oxford Biomedical Research Centre.