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BACKGROUND: The introduction of anti-programmed cell death protein 1 (PD-1) immunotherapy has revolutionized the treatment landscape for melanoma, enhancing both response rates and survival outcomes in patients with advanced stages of the disease. Despite these remarkable advances, a noteworthy subset of patients (40%-60%) does not derive advantage from this therapeutic approach. This study aims to identify key predictive factors and create a user-friendly predictive nomogram for stage IV melanoma patients receiving first-line anti-PD-1-based immunotherapy, improving treatment decisions. MATERIALS AND METHODS: In this retrospective study, we included patients with unresectable stage IV melanoma who received first-line treatment with either anti-PD-1 monotherapy or anti-PD-1 plus anti-cytotoxic T-lymphocyte associated protein 4 between 2014 and 2018. We documented clinicopathological features and blood markers upon therapy initiation. By employing the random survival forest model and backward variable selection of the Cox model, we identified variables associated with progression-free survival (PFS) after the first-line anti-PD-1-based treatment. We developed and validated a predictive nomogram for PFS utilizing the identified variables. We assessed calibration and discrimination performance metrics as part of the evaluation process. RESULTS: The study involved 719 patients, divided into a training cohort of 405 (56%) patients and a validation cohort of 314 (44%) patients. We combined findings from the random survival forest and the Cox model to create a nomogram that incorporates the following factors: lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), S100, melanoma subtype, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), body mass index, type of immune checkpoint inhibitor, and presence of liver or brain metastasis. The resultant model had a C-index of 0.67 in the training cohort and 0.66 in the validation cohort. Performance remained in different patient subgroups. Calibration analysis revealed a favorable correlation between predicted and actual PFS rates. CONCLUSIONS: We developed and validated a predictive nomogram for long-term PFS in patients with unresectable stage IV melanoma undergoing first-line anti-PD-1-based immunotherapy.
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BACKGROUND: Checkpoint inhibitors provide an effective approach for the melanoma treatment. They prolong lymphocyte effects, which explains the cytotoxicity underlying immune-related adverse events (IrAEs). Cutaneous IrAEs affect nearly 40% of PD-1i and 50% of CTLA4i-treated patients. Severe cutaneous irAE do not often occur but could be life-threatening and may persist despite treatment discontinuation. METHODS: We aimed to investigate cutaneous IrAEs in a cohort of patients treated with ICI across Europe in an effort to characterize the reactions in a real-world, phase IV, post-marketing study using a follow-up questionnaire. Data since November 2016 until March 2021 were obtained from the Melskintox database, a European multicentric biobank dedicated to the follow-up of melanoma and cutaneous adverse events, supported by EADO. The dermatoses reported were pooled into four categories: inflammatory dermatosis, bullous diseases, drug-related eruptions and pigmentary diseases. RESULTS: Inflammatory benign dermatoses (n = 63) represented the most common group of reactions (52.5%), followed by drug-related eruptions (n = 24, 20%), pigmentary diseases (n = 23, 19.2%) and bullous diseases (n = 10, 8.3%). Grade II (n = 41, 34.2%) are represented by bullous pemphigoid, eczema, hypodermitis, lichenoid eruption, maculopapular rash, pruritus, psoriasis-like rash, urticarial eruption and vitiligo. Grade III (n = 18, 15.0%) are represented by bullous pemphigoid, lichenoid eruption and rashes. Grade IV (n = 2, 1.7%) is only represented by bullous disease. Most cutaneous IrAEs led to immunotherapy continuation (n = 95, 88.0%). CR is associated with more severe the cutaneous irAEs. We report an average time-to-onset of 208 days and some late-onset events. CONCLUSION: Our study has characterized the clinical spectrum of cutaneous irAEs, their timing and severity and their relationship with tumour response. Grade I-II cutaneous IrAE are easily managed allowing ongoing anticancer treatment. Severe late-onset cutaneous irAE are not uncommon. A dermatological follow-up helps mitigate the risk of life-threatening adverse events. These findings highlight the importance of oncodermatological involvement in management of patients with melanoma receiving immunotherapy.