Quantifying physiological stability in the general ward using continuous vital signs monitoring: the circadian kernel density estimator.

Technological advances seen in recent years have introduced the possibility of changing the way hospitalized patients are monitored by abolishing the traditional track-and-trigger systems and implementing continuous monitoring using wearable biosensors. However, this new monitoring paradigm raise demand for novel ways of analyzing the data streams in real time. The aim of this study was to design a stability index using kernel density estimation (KDE) fitted to observations of physiological stability incorporating the patients' circadian rhythm. Continuous vital sign data was obtained from two observational studies with 491 postoperative patients and 200 patients with acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. We defined physiological stability as the last 24 h prior to discharge. We evaluated the model against periods of eight hours prior to events defined either as severe adverse events (SAE) or as a total score in the early warning score (EWS) protocol of ≥ 6, ≥ 8, or ≥ 10. The results found good discriminative properties between stable physiology and EWS-events (area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUROC): 0.772-0.993), but lower for the SAEs (AUROC: 0.594-0.611). The time of early warning for the EWS events were 2.8-5.5 h and 2.5 h for the SAEs. The results showed that for severe deviations in the vital signs, the circadian KDE model can alert multiple hours prior to deviations being noticed by the staff. Furthermore, the model shows good generalizability to another cohort and could be a simple way of continuously assessing patient deterioration in the general ward.

Clinical impact of vital sign abnormalities in patients admitted with acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: an observational study using continuous wireless monitoring.

Early detection of abnormal vital signs is critical for timely management of acute hospitalised patients and continuous monitoring may improve this. We aimed to assess the association between preceding vital sign abnormalities and serious adverse events (SAE) in patients hospitalised with acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD). Two hundred patients' vital signs were wirelessly and continuously monitored with peripheral oxygen saturation, heart rate, and respiratory rate during the first 4 days after admission for AECOPD. Non-invasive blood pressure was also measured every 30-60 min. The primary outcome was occurrence of SAE according to international definitions within 30 days and physiological data were analysed for preceding vital sign abnormalities. Data were presented as the mean cumulative duration of vital sign abnormalities per 24 h and analysed using Wilcoxon rank sum test. SAE during ongoing continuous monitoring occurred in 50 patients (25%). Patients suffering SAE during the monitoring period had on average 455 min (SD 413) per 24 h of any preceding vital sign abnormality versus 292 min (SD 246) in patients without SAE, p = 0.08, mean difference 163 min [95% CI 61-265]. Mean duration of bradypnea (respiratory rate < 11 min-1) was 48 min (SD 173) compared with 30 min (SD 84) in patients without SAE, p = 0.01. In conclusion, the duration of physiological abnormalities was substantial in patients with AECOPD. There were no statistically significant differences between patients with and without SAE in the overall duration of preceding physiological abnormalities.Study registration: http://ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT03660501). Date of registration: Sept 6 2018.

Continuous monitoring of vital sign abnormalities; association to clinical complications in 500 postoperative patients.

BACKGROUND: Patients undergoing major surgery are at risk of complications, so-called serious adverse events (SAE). Continuous monitoring may detect deteriorating patients by recording abnormal vital signs. We aimed to assess the association between abnormal vital signs inspired by Early Warning Score thresholds and subsequent SAEs in patients undergoing major abdominal surgery. METHODS: Prospective observational cohort study continuously monitoring heart rate, respiratory rate, peripheral oxygen saturation, and blood pressure for up to 96 h in 500 postoperative patients admitted to the general ward. Exposure variables were vital sign abnormalities, primary outcome was any serious adverse event occurring within 30 postoperative days. The primary analysis investigated the association between exposure variables per 24 h and subsequent serious adverse events. RESULTS: Serious adverse events occurred in 37% of patients, with 38% occurring during monitoring. Among patients with SAE during monitoring, the median duration of vital sign abnormalities was 272 min (IQR 110-447), compared to 259 min (IQR 153-394) in patients with SAE after monitoring and 261 min (IQR 132-468) in the patients without any SAE (p = .62 for all three group comparisons). Episodes of heart rate ≥110 bpm occurred in 16%, 7.1%, and 3.9% of patients in the time before SAE during monitoring, after monitoring, and without SAE, respectively (p < .002). Patients with SAE after monitoring experienced more episodes of hypotension ≤90 mm Hg/24 h (p = .001). CONCLUSION: Overall duration of vital sign abnormalities at current thresholds were not significantly associated with subsequent serious adverse events, but more patients with tachycardia and hypotension had subsequent serious adverse events. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Clinicaltrials.gov, identifier NCT03491137.