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BACKGROUND: Liver transplantations (LTs) with extended criteria have produced surgical results comparable to those obtained with traditional standards. However, it is not sufficient to predict hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurrence after LT according to morphological criteria alone. The present study aimed to construct a nomogram for predicting HCC recurrence after LT using extended selection criteria. METHODS: Retrospective data on patients with HCC, including pathology, serological markers and follow-up data, were collected from January 2015 to April 2020 at Huashan Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai, China. Logistic least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed to identify and construct the prognostic nomogram. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, Kaplan-Meier curves, decision curve analyses (DCAs), calibration diagrams, net reclassification indices (NRIs) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) values were used to assess the prognostic capacity of the nomogram. RESULTS: A total of 301 patients with HCC who underwent LT were enrolled in the study. The nomogram was constructed, and the ROC curve showed good performance in predicting survival in both the development set (2/3) and the validation set (1/3) (the area under the curve reached 0.748 and 0.716, respectively). According to the median value of the risk score, the patients were categorized into the high- and low-risk groups, which had significantly different recurrence-free survival (RFS) rates (P < 0.01). Compared with the Milan criteria and University of California San Francisco (UCSF) criteria, DCA revealed that the new nomogram model had the best net benefit in predicting 1-, 3- and 5-year RFS. The nomogram performed well for calibration, NRI and IDI improvement. CONCLUSIONS: The nomogram, based on the Milan criteria and serological markers, showed good accuracy in predicting the recurrence of HCC after LT using extended selection criteria.
RESUMEN
OBJECTIVES: To explore factors affecting the efficacy of Bernese periacetabular osteotomy for the treatment of hip dysplasia. METHODS: A retrospective study was conducted on 44 patients with hip dysplasia who underwent Bernese periacetabular osteotomy with a modified Smith-Peterson approach between January 2017 and November 2019. Among them, 40 were women and four were men. The average age was 31.2 ± 9.4. Preoperative and postoperative imaging parameters were measured. The acetabular top tilt angle, lateral central edge angle, acetabular abduction angle, femoral head extrusion index, sphericity index of femoral head, Shenton line, Tonnis grade of osteoarthritis, joint congruency, p/a ratio, acetabular anteversion angle, Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index (WOMAC) scale scores, and modified Harris hip score (MHHS) were observed. MHHS were divided into three clinically relevant categories: poor (<70 points), good (70-85 points), and excellent (86-91 points). Patient demographic data, as well as preoperative and postoperative radiographic parameters, were subjected to univariate logistic regression analysis. Multiple regression analysis was used to determine factors influencing postoperative MHHS. RESULTS: The follow-up time was 1.0-3.9 years after surgery, with an average of 1.6 years. By the last follow-up, MHHS increased from 70 points before surgery to 91 points after surgery (P < 0.001), WOMAC pain score decreased from 4 points before surgery to 0 points after surgery (P < 0.001). WOMAC functional score decreased (Preoperative: 18.0 [4.0]; Postoperative: 4.0 [0], P = 0.004). Six patients had sensory disturbance of the lateral femoral cutaneous nerve, four of which recovered completely during follow-up. No other complications related to surgical approach, osteotomy, acetabular displacement, acetabular fixation, and postoperative stage were found. There was no significant vascular, nerve, or visceral injuries in any of the patients. On multiple regression analysis, the probability of the postoperative modified Harris hip score of a hip joint with a preoperative lateral center edge angle ≥4.5° being classified as excellent was six times that of angles <4.5° (Exp[ß]: 6.249, 95% CI: 1.03-37.85, P = 0.046). Regression analysis of other factors found no significant correlation with postoperative functional scores. CONCLUSION: Overall functional scores post-PAO significantly improved, and pain symptoms were significantly reduced. Patients with a preoperative lateral center edge angle ≥4.5° had better joint function after surgery.