Large variations of dissolved carbon occurred in small ponds within an agricultural watershed.

Dissolved organic carbon (DOC) and dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC) significantly affect the aquatic carbon budget and ecosystem functions. Small ponds are abundant globally and widely distributed especially in agricultural watersheds, however, the variability of DOC and DIC, along with their driving factors, remains poorly understood, which likely hampers the understanding of carbon cycle of inland waters. The presented study was designed to fill the knowledge gap based on a detailed year-long field investigation via examining DOC and DIC concentrations across ponds with differing functionalities (e.g. sewage ponds, irrigation ponds, and natural ponds) of a typical agricultural watershed in eastern China. Our results found a pronounced impact of human activities on pond DOC and DIC, with higher DOC occurring in sewage ponds (10.84 ± 2.83 mg L-1) and irrigation ponds (9.09 ± 2.57 mg L-1) and peak DIC in irrigation ponds (20.36 ± 2.49 mg L-1) compared to that at natural ponds (DOC: 7.54 ± 2.55 mg L-1; DIC: 11.16 ± 3.85 mg L-1) with less human activity. The positive correlations between DOC/DIC and key environmental variables (e.g. nutrients and chlorophyll-a) further demonstrated that human activity can either directly increase the carbon concentrations via pollutant discharge, or indirectly increase DOC concentration via stimulating primary production. Meanwhile, field measurements found precipitation and temperature play roles in determining the carbon variability. Specifically, precipitation increased the DOC of these ponds via enhancing land-based carbon inputs, and decrease the DIC of irrigation ponds via diluting. Temperature can influence the carbon dynamics through increasing primary productivity and metabolism. Our study underscores the roles of human and natural influences in determining the large variations of DOC and DIC in small ponds, which should be considered to better understand the carbon dynamic variability of human-impacted small aquatic systems.

Role of methanogenesis and methanotrophy in CH4 fluxes from rice paddies under elevated CO2 concentration and elevated temperature.

The differential responses of methanogenesis and methanotrophy to elevated carbon dioxide concentrations ([CO2]) (e[CO2]) and elevated temperature ([T]) (e[T]) may lead to dramatic changes in the response of CH4 emissions from rice paddies to global warming. In this study, we systematically investigated the responses and mechanisms of CH4 flux from rice paddies to e[CO2] and e[T] based on the production and oxidation of CH4. The CH4 flux, soil properties, and soil methanogenesis and methanotrophy were observed under CK (ambient [CO2] + ambient [T]), EC (e[CO2] by 200 µmol mol-1 + ambient [T]), ET (ambient [CO2] + e[T] by 2 °C), and ECT (e[CO2] by 200 µmol mol-1 + e[T] by 2 °C) treatments. The results revealed that EC, ET, and ECT significantly increased the cumulative amount of CH4 (CAC) in the rice paddies by 10.63, 15.20, and 11.77 kg ha-1, respectively, compared with CK. ECT increased the CAC in the rice paddies by 1.14 kg ha-1 compared with EC. Moreover, EC, ET, and ECT significantly enhanced the methane production potential (MPP) and methane oxidation potential (MOP) and tended to increase the mcrA gene abundance of the methanogens. EC tended to prompt the pmoA gene abundance of the methanotrophs, but the effect of ET on the pmoA gene abundance was less consistent across the growth stages. ECT significantly decreased the relative abundances of Methanosarcina and Methylocystis (Type II) by 4.9 % and 14.2 %, respectively, while it increased the relative abundance of Methylosarcina (Type I) by 24.0 % compared with CK. Overall, the increased MPP/MOP, mcrA/pmoA, and microbial biomass carbon under climate change increased the CH4 flux from the rice paddies. The contribution of e[CO2] to the CH4 flux was significantly enhanced by e[T], which could further exacerbate the risk of global climate change induced by e[CO2].

Effects of warming and drought on growth and development of soybean in Hailun region.

As a result of global warming, drought, flooding, change in the rainfall pattern, etc. occur frequently. All these natural disasters could cause serious damage to the food security. Soybean is one of the most important oil crops in China. In recent years, the changing climate has brought many uncertain risks to the growth and production of soybean. In this study, based on the local meteorological, soil, and soybean growth-related experimental data, the effects of high temperature and drought stress on soybean were tested. The test parameters were leaf area index (LAI) and dry matter weight, while the analytical tool used was World Food Studies Model crop model. The research was carried out in Hailun City, Heilongjiang Province, China. The results showed that warming stress shortened the growth period of soybean and reduced the LAI and dry matter accumulation. On the other hand, drought stress also showed a significant impact on the growth period as well as reduced LAI and dry matter accumulation. Comparing the whole growth as well as the flowering-stage to seed-filling-stage treatments of soybean, the results were found very similar. It indicated that the soybean growth from flowering to seed-filling stage was strongly affected by the external environmental factors. The high temperature and drought disasters in the fruiting stages would have a greater impact on the growth and production of soybean crop.

Response of rice resistance based on the validation of rice blast to elevated CO2 concentration and temperature.

Rice (Oryza sativa) resistance is its ability to resist various stresses, the changes of which have important impacts on O. sativa yield security. However, the responses of O. sativa stress resistance to elevated atmospheric CO2 concentration and temperature are poorly understood. We conducted a field open top-chamber experiment with O. sativa (Nanjing 9108 and Jinxiangyu I) based on the CO2 and temperature automatic control platform. The experimental treatments included ambient CO2 concentration and temperature treatment (CK, control), elevated CO2 concentration treatment (C, CO2 concentration increase of 200 µmol·mol-1 above CK), elevated temperature treatment (T, temperature increase of 2 ℃ above CK) and elevated CO2 concentration and temperature (CT, CO2 concentration increase of 200 µmol·mol-1 and temperature increase of 2 ℃ above CK). At the critical growth stages of O. sativa, we measured superoxide dismutase activity, silica content, total flavanol content, malondialdehyde content, soluble sugar content, proline content, and soluble protein content by cutting the uppermost functional leaves. We obtained the rice stress resistance index (RSRI) by principal component analysis to analyze the differences in the composition of stress resistance indicators under different treatments. Considering the disease resistance of O. sativa, the spike neck blast disease was counted to verify the expression level of RSRI for O. sativa stress resistance at maturity stage. Results showed that at the elongation-booting stage, C and CT treatments significantly reduced the RSRI of Jinxiangyu I by 36.5% and 41.1%, respectively, compared with CK. T treatment significantly decreased the RSRI of the two varieties by 44.9% and 33.8%, respectively. The RSRI explained 71.9%-74.3% of the variation in the spike neck blast disease. Overall, the stress resistance of two O. sativa varieties were adversely affected by elevated temperature at the elongation-booting stage. There was an interactive effect of CO2 concentration and temperature on O. sativa stress resistance. Compared with Nanjing 9108, the stress resistance of Jinxiangyu I was more sensitive to elevated CO2 concentration.

Quantification of Diffusive Methane Emissions from a Large Eutrophic Lake with Satellite Imagery.

Lakes are major emitters of methane (CH4); however, a longstanding challenge with quantifying the magnitude of emissions remains as a result of large spatial and temporal variability. This study was designed to address the issue using satellite remote sensing with the advantages of spatial coverage and temporal resolution. Using Aqua/MODIS imagery (2003-2020) and in situ measured data (2011-2017) in eutrophic Lake Taihu, we compared the performance of eight machine learning models to predict diffusive CH4 emissions and found that the random forest (RF) model achieved the best fitting accuracy (R2 = 0.65 and mean relative error = 21%). On the basis of input satellite variables (chlorophyll a, water surface temperature, diffuse attenuation coefficient, and photosynthetically active radiation), we assessed how and why they help predict the CH4 emissions with the RF model. Overall, these variables mechanistically controlled the emissions, leading to the model capturing well the variability of diffusive CH4 emissions from the lake. Additionally, we found climate warming and associated algal blooms boosted the long-term increase in the emissions via reconstructing historical (2003-2020) daily time series of CH4 emissions. This study demonstrates the great potential of satellites to map lake CH4 emissions by providing spatiotemporal continuous data, with new and timely insights into accurately understanding the magnitude of aquatic greenhouse gas emissions.

Effects of abrupt and gradual increase of atmospheric CO2 concentration on methanotrophs in paddy fields.

The simulation of abrupt atmospheric CO2 increase is a common way to examine the response of soil methanotrophs to future climate change. However, atmosphere is undergoing a gradual CO2 increase, and it is unknown whether the previously reported response of methanotrophs to abrupt CO2 increase can well represent their response to the gradual increase. To improve the understanding of the effect of elevated CO2 (eCO2) on methanotrophs in paddy ecosystems, the methane oxidation potential and communities of methanotrophs were examined via open top chambers under the three following CO2 treatments: an ambient CO2 concentration (AC); an abrupt CO2 increase by 200 ppm above AC (AI); a gradual CO2 increase by 40 ppm each year until 200 ppm above AC (GI). Relative to AC treatment, AI and GI treatments significantly (p < 0.05) increased the methane oxidation rate by 43.8% and 36.7%, respectively, during rice growth period. Furthermore, the abundance of pmoA genes was significantly (p < 0.05) increased by 62.4% and 32.5%, respectively, under AI and GI treatments. However, there were no significant variations in oxidation rate or gene abundance between the two eCO2 treatments. In addition, no obvious change of overall community composition of methanotrophs was observed among treatments, while the proportions of Methylosarcina and Methylocystis significantly (p < 0.05) changed. Taken together, our results indicate similar response of methanotrophs to abrupt and gradual CO2 increase, although the magnitude of response under gradual increase was smaller and the abrupt increase may somewhat overestimate the response.

Effects of three patterns of elevated CO2 in single and multiple generations on photosynthesis and stomatal features in rice.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Effects of elevated CO2 (E) within a generation on photosynthesis and stomatal features have been well documented in crops; however, long-term responses to gradually elevated CO2 (Eg) and abruptly elevated CO2 (Ea) over multiple generations remain scarce. METHODS: Japonica rice plants grown in open-top chambers were tested in the first generation (F1) under Ea and in the fifth generation (F5) under Eg and Ea, as follows: Ea in F1: ambient CO2 (A) + 200 µmol mol-1; Eg in F5: an increase of A + 40 µmol mol-1 year-1 until A + 200 µmol mol-1 from 2016 to 2020; Ea in F5: A + 200 µmol mol-1 from 2016 to 2020. For multigenerational tests, the harvested seeds were grown continuously in the following year in the respective CO2 environments. KEY RESULTS: The responses to Ea in F1 were consistent with the previous consensus, such as the occurrence of photosynthetic acclimation, stimulation of photosynthesis, and downregulation of photosynthetic physiological parameters and stomatal area. In contrast, multigenerational exposure to both Eg and Ea did not induce photosynthetic acclimation, but stimulated greater photosynthesis and had little effect on the photosynthetic physiology and stomatal traits. This suggests that E retained intergenerational effects on photosynthesis and stomatal features and that there were no multigenerational differences in the effects of Eg and Ea. CONCLUSIONS: The present study demonstrated that projecting future changes induced by E based on the physiological responses of contemporary plants could be misleading. Thus, responses of plants to large and rapid environmental changes within a generation cannot predict the long-term response of plants to natural environmental changes over multiple generations, especially in annual herbs with short life cycles.

Characteristics of soil N2O emission and N2O-producing microbial communities in paddy fields under elevated CO2 concentrations.

The effects of elevated carbon dioxide (CO2) concentration (e[CO2]) on nitrous oxide (N2O) emissions from paddy fields and the microbial processes involved in N2O emissions have recently received much attention. Ammonia-oxidizing microorganisms and denitrifying bacteria dominate the production of N2O in paddy soils. To better understand the dynamics of N2O production under e[CO2], a field experiment was conducted after five years of CO2 fumigation based on three treatments: CK (ambient atmospheric CO2), T1 (CK + increase of 40 ppm per year until 200 ppm), and T2 (CK + 200 ppm). N2O fluxes, soil physicochemical properties, and N2O production potential were quantified during the rice-growth period. The functional gene abundance and community composition of ammonia-oxidizing archaea (AOA) and bacteria (AOB) were analyzed using quantitative polymerase chain reaction (qPCR) and those of ammonia-denitrifying bacteria (nirS- and nirK-type) were analyzed using Illumina MiSeq sequencing. N2O emissions decreased by 173% and 41% under the two e[CO2] treatments during grain filling and milk ripening, respectively (P < 0.05). N2O emissions increased by 279% and 172% in the T2 treatment compared with T1 during the tillering and milk-ripening stages, respectively (P < 0.05). Furthermore, the N2O production potential was significantly higher in the CK treatment than in T1 and T2 during the elongation stage. The N2O production potential and abundance of AOA amoA genes in T1 treatment were significantly lower than those in CK treatment during the high N2O emission phase caused by mid-season drainage (P < 0.05). Although nirK- and nirS-type denitrifying bacteria community structure and diversity did not respond significantly (P > 0.05) to e[CO2], the abundance of nirK-type denitrifying bacteria significantly affected the N2O flux (P < 0.05). Linear regression analysis showed that the N2O production potential, AOA amoA gene abundance, and nirK gene abundance explained 47.2% of the variation in N2O emissions. In addition, soil nitrogen (N) significantly affected the nirK- and nirS-type denitrifier communities. Overall, our results revealed that e[CO2] suppressed N2O emissions, which was closely associated with the abundance of AOA amoA and nirK genes (P < 0.05).

The determiner of photosynthetic acclimation induced by biochemical limitation under elevated CO2 in japonica rice.

Photosynthetic acclimation to prolonged elevated CO2 could be attributed to the two limited biochemical capacity, ribulose-1,5-bisphosphate carboxylase/oxygenase (Rubisco) carboxylation and ribulose-1,5-bisphosphate (RuBP) regeneration, however, which one is the primary driver is unclear. To quantify photosynthetic acclimation induced by biochemical limitation, we investigated photosynthetic characteristics and leaf nitrogen allocation to photosynthetic apparatus (Rubisco, bioenergetics, and light-harvesting complex) in a japonica rice grown in open-top chambers at ambient CO2 and ambient CO2+200 µmol mol-1 (e [CO2]). Results showed that photosynthesis was stimulated under e [CO2], but concomitantly, photosynthetic acclimation obviously occurred across the whole growth stages. The content of leaf nitrogen allocation to Rubisco and biogenetics was reduced by e [CO2], while not in light-harvesting complex. Unlike the content, there was little effects of CO2 enrichment on the percentage of nitrogen allocation to photosynthetic components. Additionally, leaf nitrogen did not reallocate within photosynthetic apparatus until the imbalance of sink-source under e [CO2]. The contribution of biochemical limitations, including Rubisco carboxylation and RuBP regeneration, to photosynthetic acclimation averaged 36.2% and 63.8% over the growing seasons, respectively. This study suggests that acclimation of photosynthesis is mainly driven by RuBP regeneration limitation and highlights the importance of RuBP regeneration relative to Rubisco carboxylation in the future CO2 enrichment.

Effect of gradual increase of atmospheric CO2 concentration on nitrification potential and communities of ammonia oxidizers in paddy fields.

Currently, the influence of elevated atmospheric CO2 concentration (eCO2) on ammonia oxidation to nitrite, the rate-limiting step of nitrification in paddy soil, is poorly known. Previous studies that simulate the effect of eCO2 on nitrification are primarily based on an abrupt increase of atmospheric CO2 concentration. However, paddy ecosystems are experiencing a gradual increase of CO2 concentration. To better understand how the nitrification potential, abundance and communities of ammonia-oxidizing archaea (AOA) and ammonia-oxidizing bacteria (AOB) respond to eCO2 in paddy ecosystems, a field experiment was conducted using the following two treatments: a gradual increase of CO2 (EC, increase of 40 ppm per year until 200 ppm above ambient) and ambient CO2 (CK). The results demonstrated that the EC treatment significantly (P < 0.05) stimulated the soil potential nitrification rate (PNR) at the jointing and milky stages, which increased by 127.83% and 27.35%, respectively, compared with CK. Furthermore, the EC treatment significantly (P < 0.05) stimulated the AOA and AOB abundance by 56.60% and 133.84%, respectively, at the jointing stage. Correlation analysis showed that the PNR correlated well with the abundance of AOB (R2 = 0.7389, P < 0.001). In addition, the EC treatment significantly (P < 0.05) altered the community structure of AOB, while it had little effect on that of AOA. A significant difference in the proportion of Nitrosospira was observed between CO2 treatments. In conclusion, the gradual increase of CO2 positively influenced the PNR and abundance of ammonia oxidizers, and AOB could be more important than AOA in nitrification under eCO2.

Risk factors for pancreatitis occurrence after gallstone treatment using endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography.

Background: Patients with gallstones are prone to pancreatitis after treatment using endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP). The aim of this study was to explore the risk factors for pancreatitis occurrence after gallstone treatment using ERCP. Methods: A total of 193 patients treated from October 2017 to October 2020 were assigned into pancreatitis group (n=55) and non-pancreatitis group (n=138). Multivariate logistic regression analysis was utilized to analyse the risk factors for post-ERCP pancreatitis. The discrimination and accuracy of an established nomogram model were evaluated using receiver operating characteristic and calibration curves, respectively. Results: The incidence rate of pancreatitis was 28.50% (55/193). Young age, long course of disease, gallbladder wall thickness >3 mm, sand-like stones, history of pancreatic disease, number of intubation ≥2 and absence of pancreatic duct stenting were risk factors for post-ERCP pancreatitis (P<0.05). The established model had high discrimination and accuracy. The incidence rates of pancreatitis in patients with and without pancreatic duct stenting were 11.84% (9/76) and 39.31% (46/117), respectively. The patients undergoing pancreatic duct stenting had lower serum amylase levels 6, 12 and 24 h after ERCP than those of patients who did not. Conclusion: Patients with gallstones have a higher risk of developing pancreatitis. Young age, long course of disease, gallbladder wall thickness >3 mm, sand-like stones, history of pancreatic disease, pancreatic duct visualization and number of intubation ≥2 are risk factors for post-ERCP pancreatitis.

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Nitrate-dependent anaerobic oxidation of methane (AOM) is a new pathway to reduce methane emissions from paddy ecosystems. The elevated atmospheric CO2 concentration can affect methane emissions from paddy ecosystems, but its impact on the process of nitrate-dependent AOM is poorly known. Based on the automatic CO2 control platform with open top chambers and the 13CH4 stable isotope experiments, the responses of the activity of nitrate-dependent AOM, abundance and community composition of Candidatus Methanoperedens nitroreducens (M. nitroreducens)-like archaea to the gradual increase of CO2 concentration were investigated in paddy fields. We set up two CO2 concentration treatments, including an ambient CO2 and a gradual increase of CO2(increase of 40 µL·L-1 per year above ambient CO2 concentration until 160 µL·L-1). The results showed the nitrate-dependent AOM rate of 0.7-11.3 nmol CO2·g-1·d-1 in the studied paddy fields, and quantitative PCR showed the abundance of M. nitroreducens-like archaeal mcrA genes of 2.2×106-8.5×106 copies·g-1. Compared to the ambient CO2 treatment, the slow elevated CO2 treatment enhanced the nitrate-dependent AOM rate and stimulated the abundance of M. nitroreducens-like archaea, particularly in 5-10 cm soil layer. The gradual increased CO2 concentration treatment did not change the community composition of M. nitroreducens-like archaea, but significantly decreased their diversity. The soil organic carbon content was an important factor influencing the nitrate-dependent AOM process. Overall, our results showed that the gradual increase of CO2 concentration could promote the nitrate-dependent AOM, suggesting its positive role in mitigating methane emissions from paddy ecosystems under future climate change.

Characteristics and influencing factors of carbon fluxes in winter wheat fields under elevated CO2 concentration.

Elevated carbon dioxide (ECO2) concentration has profound impacts on ecosystem carbon fluxes, with consequent changes in carbon sequestration and its feedback to climate change. Agroecosystem plays an essential role in global carbon sequestration. However, it is not well understood how the carbon fluxes of agroecosystem respond to increasing atmospheric CO2 concentrations. In this study, an in-situ 2-year field experiment was conducted using open-top chamber with treatments including ambient CO2 concentration (CK) and ambient plus 200 µmol mol-1 (T) to investigate the characteristics and main factors influencing carbon fluxes during the 2017-2019 winter wheat growing seasons. Results showed that the dynamics of CO2 fluxes under different treatments had similar seasonal trends, with the peak flux observed at the heading-filling stage. Compared to the CK, T treatment increased the cumulative amount of CO2 (CAC) by 17.2% and 24.0% in 2017-2018 and 2018-2019 growing seasons, respectively. In addition, the seasonal CAC was highly dependent on treatment and varied with year, while there was no interactive effect of treatment and year (p > 0.05). ECO2 concentration increased the biomass of wheat by an average of 8.28% over two growing seasons. There was a significant positive correlation between biomass and CAC, with biomass elucidating 52% and 76% of the variations in CAC under CK and T treatments, respectively. A good correlation was found between net ecosystem exchange (NEE) and environmental variables under different treatments. During the pre-milk ripening period, the NEE mainly depended on photosynthetically active radiation (PAR) and air temperature (Ta), while NEE was mainly controlled by PAR and soil water content (SWC) during the post-milk ripening period. Overall, the findings presented here demonstrate that the carbon exchange in wheat fields under different treatments serves as carbon sequestration, while ECO2 concentration enhances the capacity of winter wheat fields to act as carbon sinks, which may have feedback to the climate system in the future.

Elevated CO2 Enhances Dynamic Photosynthesis in Rice and Wheat.

Crops developed under elevated carbon dioxide (eCO2) exhibit enhanced leaf photosynthesis under steady states. However, little is known about the effect of eCO2 on dynamic photosynthesis and the relative contribution of the short-term (substrate) and long-term (acclimation) effects of eCO2. We grew an Oryza sativa japonica cultivar and a Triticum aestivum cultivar under 400 µmol CO2 mol-1 air (ambient, A) and 600 µmol CO2 mol-1 air (elevated, E). Regardless of growth [CO2], the photosynthetic responses to the sudden increase and decrease in light intensity were characterized under 400 (a) or 600 µmol CO2 mol-1 air (e). The Aa, Ae, Ea, and Ee treatments were employed to quantify the acclimation effect (Ae vs. Ee and Aa vs. Ea) and substrate effect (Aa vs. Ae and Ea vs. Ee). In comparison with the Aa treatment, both the steady-state photosynthetic rate (P N) and induction state (IS) were higher under the Ae and Ee treatments but lower under the Ea treatment in both species. However, IS reached at the 60 sec after the increase in light intensity, the time required for photosynthetic induction, and induction efficiency under Ae and Ee treatment did not differ significantly from those under Aa treatment. The substrate effect increased the accumulative carbon gain (ACG) during photosynthetic induction by 45.5% in rice and by 39.3% in wheat, whereas the acclimation effect decreased the ACG by 18.3% in rice but increased it by 7.5% in wheat. Thus, eCO2, either during growth or at measurement, enhances the dynamic photosynthetic carbon gain in both crop species. This indicates that photosynthetic carbon loss due to an induction limitation may be reduced in the future, under a high-CO2 world.

Response of nitrite-dependent anaerobic methanotrophs to elevated atmospheric CO2 concentration in paddy fields.

Nitrite-dependent anaerobic methane oxidation (n-damo) catalyzed by Candidatus Methylomirabilis oxyfera (M. oxyfera)-like bacteria is a new pathway for the regulation of methane emissions from paddy fields. Elevated atmospheric CO2 concentrations (e[CO2]) can indirectly affect the structure and function of microbial communities. However, the response of M. oxyfera-like bacteria to e[CO2] is currently unknown. Here, we investigated the effect of e[CO2] (ambient CO2 + 200 ppm) on community composition, abundance, and activity of M. oxyfera-like bacteria at different depths (0-5, 5-10, and 10-20 cm) in paddy fields across multiple rice growth stages (tillering, jointing, and flowering). High-throughput sequencing showed that e[CO2] had no significant effect on the community composition of M. oxyfera-like bacteria. However, quantitative PCR suggested that the 16S rRNA gene abundance of M. oxyfera-like bacteria increased significantly in soil under e[CO2], particularly at the tillering stage. Furthermore, 13CH4 tracer experiments showed potential n-damo activity of 0.31-8.91 nmol CO2 g-1 (dry soil) d-1. E[CO2] significantly stimulated n-damo activity, especially at the jointing and flowering stages. The n-damo activity and abundance of M. oxyfera-like bacteria increased by an average of 90.9% and 50.0%, respectively, under e[CO2]. Correlation analysis showed that the increase in soil dissolved organic carbon content caused by e[CO2] had significant effects on the activity and abundance of M. oxyfera-like bacteria. Overall, this study provides the first evidence for a positive response of M. oxyfera-like bacteria to e[CO2], which may help reduce methane emissions from paddy fields under future climate change conditions.

Appraising the historical and projected spatiotemporal changes in the heat index in Bangladesh.

Climate change-derived extreme heat phenomena are one of the major concerns across the globe, including Bangladesh. The appraisal of historical spatiotemporal changes and possible future changes in heat index (HI) is essential for developing heat stress mitigation strategies. However, the climate-health nexus studies in Bangladesh are very limited. This study was intended to appraise the historical and projected changes in HI in Bangladesh. The HI was computed from daily dry bulb temperature and relative humidity. The modified Mann-Kendal (MMK) test and linear regression were used to detect trends in HI for the observed period (1985-2015). The future change in HI was projected for the mid-century (2041-2070) for three Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) scenarios, RCP 2.6, 4.5, and 8.5 using the Canadian Earth System Model Second Generation (CanESM2). The results revealed a monotonic rise in the HI and extreme caution conditions, especially in the humid summer season for most parts of Bangladesh for the observed period (1985-2015). Future projections revealed a continuous rise in HI in the forthcoming period (2041-2070). A higher and remarkable increase in the HI was projected in the northern, northeastern, and south-central regions. Among the three scenarios, the RCP 8.5 showed a higher projection of HI both in hot and humid summer compared to the other scenarios. Therefore, Bangladesh should take region-specific adaptation strategies to mitigate the impacts of HI. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s00704-021-03705-x.

Risk assessment of drought disaster in summer maize cultivated areas of the Huang-Huai-Hai plain, eastern China.

Agricultural drought risk analysis is useful for reducing probable drought risk in the background of global warming. This study aims to identify spatiotemporal characteristics of drought and drought disaster risk in the summer maize growth period under climate change condition. In this research, we use daily datasets from 79 meteorological stations and the maize yield data in the Huang-Huai-Hai (HHH) plain, eastern China during the period 1960-2015. The drought disaster risk index (DDRI) model was applied to assess the drought disaster risk. The maize drought disaster risk maps were drawn under current and future climate change conditions. The results showed that the high DDRI was distributed in northern region and low DDRI was distributed in most of southern region in the HHH plain. During the summer maize growth period, the DDRI decreased gradually from the northern to southern region. The results also exhibited that under the RCP4.5 (Representative Concentration Pathway 4.5) scenario, about one half of the HHH plain belonged to the slight and sub-slight DDRI region in the future 80 years. Overall, our results demonstrated that the DDRI model provided an accurate assessment in both spatial and temporal scales and had a theoretical guidance for improving the adaptation of crop production. Elevating maize drought risk management helps to lessen the anticipated risk to crop production in the HHH plain under the context of climate change.

Different responses of ammonia-oxidizing archaea and bacteria in paddy soils to elevated CO2 concentration.

The elevated atmospheric CO2 concentration is well known to have an important effect on soil nutrient cycling. Ammonia oxidation, mediated by ammonia-oxidizing archaea (AOA) and ammonia-oxidizing bacteria (AOB), is the rate-limiting step in soil nitrification, which controls the availability of two key soil nutrients (ammonium and nitrate) for crops. Until now, how the AOA and AOB communities in paddy soils respond to elevated CO2 remains largely unknown. Here, we examined the communities of AOA and AOB and nitrification potential at both surface (0-5 cm) and subsurface (5-10 cm) soil layers of paddy fields under three different CO2 treatments, including CK (ambient CO2 concentration), LT (CK + 160 ppm of CO2) and HT (CK + 200 ppm of CO2). The elevated CO2 was found to have a greater impact on the community structure of AOB than that of AOA in surface soils as revealed by high-throughput sequencing of their amoA genes. However, no obvious variation of AOA or AOB communities was observed in subsurface soils among different CO2 treatments. The abundance of AOA and AOB, and nitrification potential were significantly increased in surface soils under elevated CO2. The variation of AOB abundance correlated well with the variation of nitrification potential. The soil water content and dissolved organic carbon content had important impacts on the dynamic of AOB communities and nitrification potential. Overall, our results showed different responses of AOA and AOB communities to elevated CO2 in paddy ecosystems, and AOB were more sensitive to the rising CO2 concentration.

The process of methanogenesis in paddy fields under different elevated CO2 concentrations.

Understanding the process of methanogenesis in paddy fields under the scenarios of future climate change is of great significance for reducing greenhouse gas emissions and regulating the soil carbon cycle. Methyl Coenzyme M Reductase subunit A (mcrA) of methanogens is a rate-limiting enzyme that catalyzes the final step of CH4 production. However, the mechanism of methanogenesis change in the paddy fields under different elevated CO2 concentrations (e[CO2]) is rarely explored in earlier studies. In this research, we explored how the methanogens affect CH4 flux in paddy fields under various (e[CO2]). CH4 flux and CH4 production potential (MPP), and mcrA gene abundance were quantitatively analyzed under C (ambient CO2 concentration), C1 (C + 160 ppm CO2), and C2 (C + 200 ppm CO2) treatments. Additionally, the community composition and structure of methanogens were also compared with Illumina MiSeq sequencing. The results showed that C2 treatment significantly increased CH4 flux and MPP at the tillering stage. E[CO2] had a positive effect on the abundance of methanogens, but the effect was insignificant. We detected four known dominant orders of methanogenesis in this study, such as Methanosarcinales, Methanobacteriales, Methanocellales, and Methanomicrobiales. Although e[CO2] did not significantly change the overall community structure and diversity of methanogens, C2 treatment significantly reduced the relative abundance of two uncultured genera compared to C treatment. A linear regression model of DOC, methanogenic abundance, and MPP can explain 67.2% of the variation of CH4 flux under e[CO2]. Overall, our results demonstrated that CH4 flux in paddy fields under e[CO2] was mainly controlled by soil unstable C substrate and the abundance and activity of methanogens in rhizosphere soil.