ALKBH5 suppresses autophagic flux via N6-methyladenosine demethylation of ZKSCAN3 mRNA in acute pancreatitis.

BACKGROUND: Increasing evidence has demonstrated that N6-methyladenosine (m6A) RNA modification plays an essential role in a wide range of pathological conditions. Impaired autophagy is a critical hallmark of acute pancreatitis (AP). AIM: To explore the role of the m6A modification of ZKSCAN3 in the regulation of autophagy in AP. METHODS: The AP mouse cell model was established by cerulein-treated mouse pancreatic acinar cells (MPC-83), and the results were confirmed by the levels of amylase and inflammatory factors. Autophagy activity was evaluated by specific identification of the autophagy-related microstructure and the expression of autophagy-related genes. ZKSCAN3 and ALKBH5 were knocked down to study the function in AP. A m6A RNA binding protein immunoprecipitation assay was used to study how the m6A modification of ZKSCAN3 mRNA is regulated by ALKBH. RESULTS: The increased expression of amylase and inflammatory factors in the supernatant and the accumulation of autophagic vacuoles verified that the AP mouse cell model was established. The downregulation of LAMP2 and upregulation of LC3-II/I and SQSTM1 demonstrated that autophagy was impaired in AP. The expression of ZKSCAN3 was upregulated in AP. Inhibition of ZKSCAN3 increased the expression of LAMP2 and decreased the expression of the inflammatory factors, LC3-II/I and SQSTM1. Furthermore, ALKBH5 was upregulated in AP. Knockdown of ALKBH5 downregulated ZKSCAN3 expression and restored decreased autophagic flux in AP. Notably, the bioinformatic analysis revealed 23 potential m6A modification sites on ZKSCAN3 mRNA. The m6A modification of ZKSCAN3 mRNA was significantly decreased in AP. Knockdown of ALKBH5 increased the modification of ZKSCAN3 mRNA, which confirmed that ALKBH5 upregulated ZKSCAN3 expression in a m6A-dependent manner. CONCLUSION: ALKBH5 inhibits autophagic flux through m6A demethylation of ZKSCAN3 mRNA in AP, thereby aggravating the severity of the disease.

Is Contemporary Open Pancreatic Necrosectomy Still Useful In The Minimally Invasive Era?

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have shown that open pancreatic necrosectomy for infected pancreatic necrosis was associated with high morbidity and mortality. However, these results were mostly concluded from historical cohorts with traditional early necrosectomy in the absence of a minimally invasive step-up approach. OBJECTIVE: To explore the value of contemporary open pancreatic necrosectomy for infected pancreatic necrosis in the minimally invasive era. METHODS: A post hoc analysis was performed in a prospective maintained database of 320 patients with infected pancreatic necrosis from January 2011 to December 2022 at a large Chinese tertiary hospital. RESULTS: A total of 320 patients with infected pancreatic necrosis received either a minimally invasive step-up approach (245, 76.6%) or open pancreatic necrosectomy (75, 23.4%), which included upfront open pancreatic necrosectomy (32, 10.0%) and salvage open pancreatic necrosectomy (43, 13.4%). Upfront open pancreatic necrosectomy was associated with similar morbidity and mortality rates but fewer surgical interventions compared with a minimally invasive step-up approach. However, salvage open pancreatic necrosectomy was associated with significantly higher mortality (48.8% vs 18.8%, P = .007), gastrointestinal fistula (44.2% vs 18.8%, P = .021), hemorrhage (48.8% vs 15.6%, P = .003), and intensive care unit stay (25 vs 7 days, P = .040) compared with upfront open pancreatic necrosectomy. Multivariate analysis suggested that multiple organ failure (hazard ratio = 5.1; 95% confidence interval, 1.4-18.2, P = .013) and synchronous critical acute pancreatitis (hazard ratio = 3.0; 95% confidence interval, 1.1-8.6, P = .040) were 2 independent risk factors of death for patients who received open pancreatic necrosectomy. CONCLUSION: Patients undergoing upfront open pancreatic necrosectomy received fewer surgical interventions with comparable efficacy compared to the minimally invasive step-up approach. Salvage open pancreatic necrosectomy was potentially lifesaving, though it carried high morbidity and mortality. Multiple organ failure and synchronous critical acute pancreatitis were 2 independent risk factors of death for patients who received open pancreatic necrosectomy.

Metagenomic next-generation sequencing, instead of procalcitonin, could guide antibiotic usage in patients with febrile acute necrotizing pancreatitis: a multicenter, prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUNDS: The effectiveness of procalcitonin-based algorithms in guiding antibiotic usage for febrile acute necrotizing pancreatitis (ANP) remains controversial. Metagenomic next-generation sequencing (mNGS) has been applied to diagnose infectious diseases. The authors aimed to evaluate the effectiveness of blood mNGS in guiding antibiotic stewardship for febrile ANP. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The prospective multicenter clinical trial was conducted at seven hospitals in China. Blood samples were collected during fever (T ≥38.5°C) from ANP patients. The effectiveness of blood mNGS, procalcitonin, and blood culture in diagnosing pancreatic infection was evaluated and compared. Additionally, the real-world utilization of antibiotics and the potential mNGS-guided antimicrobial strategy in febrile ANP were also analyzed. RESULTS: From May 2023 to October 2023, a total of 78 patients with febrile ANP were enrolled and 30 patients (38.5%) were confirmed infected pancreatic necrosis (IPN). Compared with procalcitonin and blood culture, mNGS showed a significantly higher sensitivity rate (86.7% vs. 56.7% vs. 26.7%, P <0.001). Moreover, mNGS outperformed procalcitonin (89.5 vs. 61.4%, P <0.01) and blood culture (89.5 vs. 69.0%, P <0.01) in terms of negative predictive value. Blood mNGS exhibited the highest accuracy (85.7%) in diagnosing IPN and sterile pancreatic necrosis, significantly superior to both procalcitonin (65.7%) and blood culture (61.4%). In the multivariate analysis, positive blood mNGS (OR=60.2, P <0.001) and lower fibrinogen level (OR=2.0, P <0.05) were identified as independent predictors associated with IPN, whereas procalcitonin was not associated with IPN, but with increased mortality (Odds ratio=11.7, P =0.006). Overall, the rate of correct use of antibiotics in the cohort was only 18.6% (13/70) and would be improved to 81.4% (57/70) if adjusted according to the mNGS results. CONCLUSION: Blood mNGS represents important progress in the early diagnosis of IPN, with particular importance in guiding antibiotic usage for patients with febrile ANP.

Prediction of survival in patients with infected pancreatic necrosis: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Infected pancreatic necrosis (IPN) is a severe complication of acute pancreatitis, with mortality rates ranging from 15 to 35%. However, limited studies exist to predict the survival of IPN patients and nomogram has never been built. This study aimed to identify predictors of mortality, estimate conditional survival (CS), and develop a CS nomogram and logistic regression nomogram for real-time prediction of survival in IPN patients. METHODS: A prospective cohort study was performed in 335 IPN patients consecutively enrolled at a large Chinese tertiary hospital from January 2011 to December 2022. The random survival forest method was first employed to identify the most significant predictors and capture clinically relevant nonlinear threshold effects. Instantaneous death risk and CS was first utilized to reveal the dynamic changes in the survival of IPN patients. A Cox model-based nomogram incorporating CS and a logistic regression-based nomogram were first developed and internally validated with a bootstrap method. RESULTS: The random survival forest model identified seven foremost predictors of mortality, including the number of organ failures, duration of organ failure, age, time from onset to first intervention, hemorrhage, bloodstream infection, and severity classification. Duration of organ failure and time from onset to first intervention showed distinct thresholds and nonlinear relationships with mortality. Instantaneous death risk reduced progressively within the first 30 days, and CS analysis indicated gradual improvement in real-time survival since diagnosis, with 90-day survival rates gradually increasing from 0.778 to 0.838, 0.881, 0.974, and 0.992 after surviving 15, 30, 45, 60, and 75 days, respectively. After further variables selection using step regression, five predictors (age, number of organ failures, hemorrhage, time from onset to first intervention, and bloodstream infection) were utilized to construct both the CS nomogram and logistic regression nomogram, both of which demonstrated excellent performance with 1000 bootstrap. CONCLUSION: Number of organ failures, duration of organ failure, age, time from onset to first intervention, hemorrhage, bloodstream infection, and severity classification were the most crucial predictors of mortality of IPN patients. The CS nomogram and logistic regression nomogram constructed by these predictors could help clinicians to predict real-time survival and optimize clinical decisions.

Novel insights into biomarkers of progression in Desmoid tumor.

Desmoid tumor (DT) is a rare neoplasm characterized by the proliferation of myofibroblastic cells that infiltrates and invades adjacent tissues. Due to its locally aggressive and recurrent nature, DT often causes local symptoms and can be challenging to manage clinically. Therefore, identifying biomarkers that can predict the progression of DT and guide treatment decisions is critical. This review summarizes several biomarkers that have been implicated in active surveillance (AS) and the prediction of postoperative recurrence and attempts to elucidate their underlying mechanisms. Some of these novel markers could provide prognostic value for clinicians, and ultimately help facilitate optimal and accurate therapeutic decisions for DT.

CONSTRUCTION OF SEPSIS DIAGNOSTIC MODELS AND IDENTIFICATION OF MACROPHAGE SUBPOPULATIONS BASED ON PYROPTOSIS-RELATED GENES.

ABSTRACT: Background: Numerous studies have shown that pyroptosis is associated with sepsis progression, which can lead to dysregulated host immune responses and organ dysfunction. Therefore, investigating the potential prognostic and diagnostic values of pyroptosis in patients with sepsis is essential. Methods: We conducted a study using bulk and single-cell RNA sequencing (scRNA-seq) from the Gene Expression Omnibus database to examine the role of pyroptosis in sepsis. Univariate logistic analysis, least absolute shrinkage, and selection operator regression analysis were used to identify pyroptosis-related genes (PRGs), construct a diagnostic risk score model, and evaluate the selected genes' diagnostic value. Consensus clustering analysis was used to identify the PRG-related sepsis subtypes with varying prognoses. Functional and immune infiltration analyses were used to explain the subtypes' distinct prognoses, and scRNA-seq data were used to differentiate immune-infiltrating cells and macrophage subsets and study cell-cell communication. Results: A risk model was established based on 10 key PRGs ( NAIP , ELANE , GSDMB , DHX9 , NLRP3 , CASP8 , GSDMD , CASP4 , APIP , and DPP9 ), of which four ( ELANE , DHX9 , GSDMD , and CASP4 ) were associated with prognosis. Two subtypes with different prognoses were identified based on the key PRG expressions. Functional enrichment analysis revealed diminished nucleotide oligomerization domain-like receptor pathway activity and enhanced neutrophil extracellular trap formation in the subtype with a poor prognosis. Immune infiltration analysis suggested a different immune status between the two sepsis subtypes, with the subtype with a poor prognosis exhibiting stronger immunosuppression. The single-cell analysis identified a macrophage subpopulation characterized by gasdermin D (GSDMD) expression that may be involved in pyroptosis regulation, which was associated with the prognosis of sepsis. Conclusion: We developed and validated a risk score for sepsis identification based on 10 PRGs, four of which also have potential value in the prognosis of sepsis. We identified a subset of gasdermin D macrophages associated with poor prognosis, providing new insights into the role of pyroptosis in sepsis.

Escherichia coli infection indicates favorable outcomes in patients with infected pancreatic necrosis.

Introduction: Infected pancreatic necrosis (IPN) is a severe complication of acute necrotizing pancreatitis with increasing morbidity. Escherichia coli is the most frequently cultured microorganism in IPN. However, the implications of Escherichia coli infection on the outcomes of patients with IPN remain unclear. Therefore, this study aimed to evaluate the clinical impacts of Escherichia coli infection on IPN. Methods: A prospective database with consecutive patients with IPN between January 2010 and April 2022 at a tertiary hospital was post-hoc analyzed. The clinical and microbiological characteristics, surgical management, and follow-up data of patients with and without Escherichia coli infection were compared. Results: A total of 294 IPN patients were enrolled in this cohort. Compared with non-Escherichia coli infection cases (n=80, 27.2%), patients with Escherichia coli infection (n=214, 72.8%) were characterized by more frequent polymicrobial infections (77.5% vs. 65.0%, P=0.04) but a lower occurrence of severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) (42.5% vs. 61.7%, P=0.003). In addition, significantly lower mortality (12.5% vs. 30.4%, p=0.002), fewer step-up surgical interventions (73.8% vs. 85.1%, P=0.025), and a lower rate of multiple organ failure (MOF) (25.0% vs. 40.2%, P=0.016) were also observed in patients with Escherichia coli infection. Multivariate analysis of mortality predictors indicated that MOF (odds ratio [OR], 6.197; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.373-16.187; P<0.001) and hemorrhage (OR, 3.485; 95% CI, 1.623-7.487; P=0.001) were independent predictors associated with higher mortality in patients with IPN. Escherichia coli infection was significantly associated with a lower mortality (OR, 0.302; 95% CI, 0.121-0.751; P= 0.01). Conclusion: Escherichia coli infection indicates a favorable prognosis in patients with IPN, although the mechanism needs further investigation.

Application of metagenomic next-generation sequencing for suspected infected pancreatic necrosis.

BACKGROUND: Metagenomic next-generation sequencing (mNGS) is increasingly used for the clinical diagnosis of infectious diseases, but there is a paucity of data regarding the application of mNGS in the early diagnosis of infected pancreatic necrosis (IPN). OBJECTIVE: To investigate the clinical application value of mNGS in the pathogenic diagnosis of IPN. METHODS: Forty-two patients with suspected IPN were prospectively and consecutively enrolled from August 2019 to August 2021. Blood samples were collected for mNGS and microbial culture simultaneously during fever (T ≥ 38.5 °C). For patients who had indications of surgical interventions, peri-pancreatic specimens were collected for mNGS and microbial culture simultaneously during the first surgical intervention to confirm IPN. The clinical performance of mNGS and microbial culture were compared. RESULTS: A total of 21 patients (50.0%) were confirmed to have IPN during hospitalization. The sensitivity of blood mNGS was significantly higher than blood culture (95.2% vs. 23.8%, P < 0.001) in diagnosing IPN. The negative predictive value of blood mNGS was 90.0%. The turnaround time of mNGS was significantly shorter than that of microbial culture [(37.70 ± 1.44) vs. (115.23 ± 8.79) h, P < 0.01] and the average costs of mNGS accounted for 1.7% of the average total cost of hospitalization. The survival analysis demonstrates that the positive blood mNGS result was not associated with increased mortality (P = 0.119). CONCLUSIONS: With more valuable diagnostic performance and shorter turnaround time, clinical mNGS represents a potential step forward in the early diagnosis of IPN.

Early-onset emphysematous pancreatitis indicates poor outcomes in patients with infected pancreatic necrosis.

BACKGROUND: Emphysematous pancreatitis (EP) is a subtype of infected pancreatic necrosis (IPN) characterized by presence of gas in (peri)pancreatic necrosis. However, the impacts of EP on outcomes of IPN are still controversial. METHODS: A prospective database of consecutive patients with IPN in a tertiary hospital was post-hoc analyzed. Patients were assigned to EP and non-EP groups to perform a comprehensive comparison. RESULTS: A total of 178 patients with IPN were enrolled and the overall mortality was 30.9%. EP accounted for 20.8% (n = 37) of cases and was significantly associated with higher incidences of Escherichia coli (45.9 versus 18.4%, P = 0.001) and Klebsiella pneumoniae (56.8 versus 33.3%, P = 0.009) infection. There was scarcely any disparity in clinical characteristics and outcomes between IPN patients with and without EP. However, patients with early-onset EP defined as air bubble signs occurring within 2 weeks from disease onset were significantly older and have higher prevalence of history of diabetes, and they were also associated with significantly higher mortality (57.1 versus 8.7%, P = 0.015) compared with late-onset patients. CONCLUSIONS: The clinical outcomes of EP might be like those of non-emphysematous infection. However, when EP occurs within 2 weeks from disease onset, it is highly lethal.

Circulating CitH3 Is a Reliable Diagnostic and Prognostic Biomarker of Septic Patients in Acute Pancreatitis.

Purpose: Acute pancreatitis (AP) is an inflammatory disease. AP starts with sterile inflammation and is often complicated with critical local or systemic infection or sepsis in severe cases. Septic AP activates peptidyl arginine deiminase (PAD) and citrullinates histone H3 (CitH3), leading to neutrophil extracellular trap (NET) formation. Investigating the role of NETs and underlying mechanisms in septic AP may facilitate developing diagnostic and therapeutic approaches. In this study, we sought to identify the expression of CitH3 in septic AP patients and to analyze the correlation of CitH3 concentration with NET components as well as clinical outcomes. Methods: Seventy AP patients with or without sepsis (40 septic cases, 30 nonseptic cases) and 30 healthy volunteers were recruited in this study. Concentration of NET components (CitH3 and double-strain DNA) and key enzymes (PAD2/4) were measured. Clinical and laboratory characteristics of patients were recorded and analyzed. Results: Levels of CitH3 were elevated significantly in septic AP patients compared with those in nonseptic AP and healthy volunteers. The area under the curve (AUC, 95% confidence interval) for diagnosing septic AP was 0.93 (0.86-1.003), and the cutoff was 43.05 pg/ml. Among septic AP cases (n = 40), the concentration of CitH3 was significantly increased in those who did not survive or were admitted to the intensive care unit, when compared with that in those who survived or did not require intensive care unit. Association analysis revealed that CitH3 concentration was positively correlated with PAD2, PAD4, dsDNA concentration, and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment scores. Conclusion: CitH3 concentration increased in septic AP patients and was closely correlated with disease severity and clinical outcomes. CitH3 may potentially be a diagnostic and prognostic biomarker of septic AP.

Crizotinib in Sarcomatous Malignancies Harboring ALK Fusion With a Definitive Partner(s): Response and Efficacy.

Sarcoma or sarcomatoid malignancies are a set of mesenchymal-origin malignancies with vast heterogeneity in clinical and molecular characteristics. Anaplastic lymphoma kinase (ALK) is a tyrosine kinase oncoprotein expressed by several tumors, including sarcomas. Crizotinib is an effective ALK inhibitor. In this review paper, we summarized findings from the literature regarding the use of crizotinib for the treatment of sarcoma and sarcomatoid malignancies harboring ALK fusions with definitive partners (with the given gene(s) name) from the years 2010 to 2021.One hundred and four articles were retrieved and after exclusion, 28 studies containing 33 patients were finally selected. All 33 patients were treated with crizotinib. Among the 33 cases, 19 were adult patients, 11 were pediatric patients, and 3 cases did not have data on age and/or gender. Most cases had a primary abdominal lesion (16/30), followed by thoracic (10/30), trunk (3/30), retroperitoneal (1/30), and one case of right medial thigh (case 7). Stage IV disease was reported in 76.7% (23/30) of patients. The objective response rate and disease control rate was 86.7% (26/30) and 96.7% (29/30), respectively, which were assessed on average of 8 weeks after crizotinib initiation. Rapid improvement of symptoms was observed within one to two weeks in some cases including patients with extensive diseases or poor performance. There was no difference in crizotinib response between pediatrics and adult cases. Crizotinib is effective; however, surgery remains the mainstay of therapy, with newer evidence showing concurrent crizotinib with surgery conferring long-term overall survival. However, we should still be cognizant of the heterogeneous landscape of crizotinib efficacy and its associated fatal adverse events.

Synchronous organ failure and infected pancreatic necrosis define genuine critical acute pancreatitis.

BACKGROUND: Critical acute pancreatitis (CAP) was supposed to be strongly associated with the highest risk of adverse outcomes. However, the definition of CAP needs to be further clarified. METHODS: A prospective database with consecutive patients of infected pancreatic necrosis (IPN) at a tertiary hospital was post-hoc analyzed. Patients were assigned to IPN alone, Metachronous-CAP (MCAP) and Synchronous-CAP group (SCAP) according to presence or absence of organ failure (OF) and the crosstalk between OF and IPN. Clinical interventions and outcomes were compared among groups. RESULTS: A total of 248 IPN patients were enrolled and the overall mortality was 25.8%. Compared with MCAP, SCAP was associated with higher mortality (66.2 versus 10.0%) and morbidity (41.2 versus 18.0%), longer duration of OF (median 35.5 versus 12.0 days), ICU length of stay (LOS) (median 28.0 versus 16.0 days) and hospital LOS (median 67.0 versus 60.0 days) (all P < 0.05). The IPN alone and MCAP had comparable mortality (10.8 versus 10.0%), morbidity and hospital LOS, except that MCAP patients were characterized with longer duration of OF and ICU LOS (P < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: SCAP, characterized with synchronous persistent OF and IPN, was associated with higher mortality and morbidity and should be defined as genuine CAP.

Multiple organ failure might be an indication for prophylactic antifungal therapy in acute pancreatitis.

PURPOSE: Significant conflicts regarding prophylactic antifungal treatment in acute pancreatitis (AP) exist among current literatures and guidelines. The key to resolving this controversial issue is to identify risk factors for intra-abdominal fungal infection (AFI) among patients with AP. METHODS: A single-center, retrospective cohort of 826 patients with AP between January 2014 to December 2019 was analysed to study the risk factors of AFI. RESULTS: Of the 826 patients with AP, 10 patients (1.2%) developed AFI, including 2 cases in moderately severe AP (MSAP) and 8 in severe AP (SAP). The incidence of AFI was significantly higher in patients with SAP compared with MSAP and mild AP (10.3 vs. 0.8% vs. 0, P < 0.001). SAP patients with AFI were more likely to have multiple organ failure (MOF) (OR = 13.4; 95% CI 1.6-115.5), organ failure lasting more than 1 week (OR = 5.1; 95% CI 1.0-27.0), and surgical intervention within first week of admission (OR = 7.4; 95% CI 1.0-53.6). Multivariable analysis identified MOF (OR = 14.3; 95% CI 1.2-173.8) as the only independent risk factor of AFI. CONCLUSION: MOF might be the indication of prophylactic antifungal therapy in patients with AP.

Candidemia indicates poor outcome in patients with infected pancreatic necrosis.

BACKGROUND: Intra-abdominal fungal infection (AFI) and candidemia are common in patients with acute pancreatitis (AP), but with limited and conflicting reports on their clinical impacts. This study aims to evaluate the clinical impacts of AFI and candidemia in infected pancreatic necrosis (IPN). METHODS: A single-centre, prospective cohort including 235 consecutive patients with IPN between January 2010 and September 2020 was analysed to study the clinical impacts of AFI and candidemia. RESULTS: Of the 235 patients with IPN, 69 patients (29.4%) developed AFI and 13 patients (5.5%) developed candidemia. AFI was associated with higher intestinal leakage rate (27.5% vs 12.7%, P = .006), higher pancreatic fistula rate (53.6% vs 34.3%, P = .006) and longer hospital stays (72 vs 58 days, P = .003), but with similar mortality rate compared with patients without AFI (23.2% vs 24.7%, P = .806). However, candidemia was associated with significantly higher mortality rate compared with patients without candidemia (69.2% vs 21.6%, P < .001). Patients with candidemia had higher rate of multiple organ failure and AFI (69.2% vs 36.5%, P = .018; 69.2% vs 27.0%, P = .001, respectively). Multivariable analysis showed that age ≥ 50 years (OR = 2.8; 95% CI, 1.3-5.8; P = .007), severe category (OR = 11.2; 95% CI, 3.5-35.7; P < .001), multidrug-resistant organisms infection (OR = 2.5; 95% CI, 1.0-6.2; P = .039), candidemia (OR = 11.8; 95% CI, 2.5-56.5; P = .002), step-down surgical approach (OR = 3.2; 95% CI, 1.5-7.0; P = .004) were the independent predictors associated with higher mortality in IPN patients. CONCLUSION: Although AFI did not increase the mortality of IPN, patients with candidemia carried significantly higher mortality.

Macrophage migration inhibitory factor is an early marker of severe acute pancreatitis based on the revised Atlanta classification.

BACKGROUND: Various serum markers for early identification of severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) have been studied. Serum macrophage migration inhibitory factor (MIF) was reported to be correlated with severity of acute pancreatitis (AP) based on the 1992 Atlanta classification. However, MIF has never been proven to be predictive of disease severity based on the revised Atlanta classification (RAC). The potential predictive value of MIF needs to be further validated. METHODS: Consecutive patients with AP within 48 h after symptom onset and 10 healthy control volunteers were enrolled prospectively. Serum MIF levels were measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). The predictive value of MIF, clinical scores and other serum markers were determined. RESULTS: Among 143 patients with AP, there were 52 (36.4%), 65 (45.5%) and 26 (18.1%) with mild, moderate and severe disease based on the RAC respectively. Compared with healthy volunteers, serum levels of MIF were significantly higher in AP patients, especially those with SAP (P < 0.001). Multivariate regression analysis indicated that increased serum MIF (cut-off 2.30 ng/ml, OR = 3.16, P = 0.008), IL-6 (cut-off 46.8 pg/ml, OR = 1.21, P = 0.043), APACHE II score (cut-off 7.5, OR = 2.57, P = 0.011) and BISAP score (cut-off 1.5, OR = 1.01, P = 0.038) were independent risk factors for predicting SAP (P < 0.05). By using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC), MIF (AUC 0.950) demonstrated more excellent discriminative power for predicting SAP than APACHE II (AUC 0.899), BISAP (AUC 0.886), and IL-6 (AUC 0.826). CONCLUSIONS: Serum MIF is a valuable early marker for predicting the severity of AP based on the RAC.