'It's where I belong': what does it mean to age in place from the perspective of people aged 80 and above? A longitudinal qualitative study (wave one).

BACKGROUND: Most people want to remain at home as they age. Ageing in place - remaining at home and connected to the community - is a national and international policy priority; however, to better understand how policy might be implemented, a more nuanced understanding is required about older adults' lived experiences of ageing in place, especially the experiences of those aged 80 and above. OBJECTIVE: To describe and explore the social processes which enable ageing in place from the perspective of community-dwelling older people (80+). METHODS: Forty-six respondents (80-100+ years) participated in the first wave of a longitudinal qualitative study set in North East England. Semi-structured interviews were conducted in participants' homes between June 2022 and January 2023. Interviews were analysed using reflexive thematic analysis. RESULTS: Participants positioned their homes as a place of freedom and as the antithesis of a 'care home'. Remaining in place was important for all participants; a key priority for them was to remain physically active to enable this. However, many participants faced significant hurdles to remaining in place. These were primarily related to health and mobility issues. Some participants were able to overcome such barriers by drawing on financial resources and available social networks. CONCLUSION: The home is central to understanding older peoples' (80+) experiences of ageing. In a socio-political context which promotes ageing in place, the social factors shaping experiences of ageing in place must be considered. This involves attending to the challenges of later life, particularly health and especially mobility and physical function. Currently, those with resources (social and economic) are better equipped to respond to such challenges, thus potentially exacerbating widening inequalities in ageing. By foregrounding the perspectives of those ageing in place alongside social factors shaping their experiences, our study has important implications for policy and health and social care. We show that a more equitable allocation of resources is vital to fulfil the ageing in place policy agenda. Furthermore, we highlight a need to recognise commitments to ageing in place displayed by people aged 80 and above, especially when remaining in place becomes difficult to achieve.

The impact of the English national health inequalities strategy on inequalities in mortality at age 65: a time-trend analysis.

BACKGROUND: During the 1997-2010 Labour government, several policies were implemented to narrow health inequalities as part of a national health inequalities strategy. Many of these policies are likely to have had a disproportionately large impact on people aged 65 and over. We aimed to understand the association between the health inequalities strategy period and inequalities in mortality at age 65-69. METHODS: We use population at risk and mortality data covering 1991-2019 to calculate mortality rate at age 65-69 at the Local Authority level. We use the 2019 Index of Multiple Deprivation to examine geographical inequalities. We employ segmented linear regression models with marginal spline terms for the strategy period and interact these with an indicator of deprivation to understand how inequalities changed before, during and after the strategy. The reporting of this study adheres to STROBE guidelines. RESULTS: Mortality rates in each deprivation quintile improved continuously throughout the period of study. Prior to the programme (1991-9) there was no significant change in absolute inequalities. However, during the strategy (2000-10) there was a significant decrease in absolute inequalities of -9.66 (-17.48 to -1.84). The period following the strategy (2011-19) was associated with a significant increase in absolute inequalities of 12.84 (6.60 to 19.08). Our results were robust to a range of sensitivity tests. CONCLUSION: The English health inequalities strategy was associated with a significant reduction in absolute inequality in mortality age 65-69. Future strategies to address inequalities in ageing populations may benefit from adopting a similar approach.

Characteristics of older unpaid carers in England: a study of social patterning from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing.

BACKGROUND: A growing number of older people provide unpaid care, but contemporary research evidence on this group is limited. AIM: This study aims to describe the characteristics of older people who provide unpaid care and how these vary by socioeconomic position. METHODS: Using recent information from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA wave 9, 2019), we analysed cross-sectional data on 1,282 unpaid carers aged ≥50. Data on sociodemographics, health, social wellbeing, care intensity and caregiver-recipient relationships were extracted. Total net non-pension wealth quintiles were used as a relative measure of socioeconomic position. Differences between the poorest and richest wealth quintiles were examined through logistic regression. FINDINGS: Most older carers in ELSA were female and looking after another older person. Poor mental and physical health and social isolation were common, and socially patterned. Compared with carers in the middle wealth group, the poorest group were more likely to be living with the person they cared for (odds ratio (OR) 1.56 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.03-2.36]) and more likely to experience loneliness (OR 2.29 [95% CI 1.42-3.69]), dependency (i.e. the need for help with activities of daily living) (OR 1.62 [95% CI 1.05-2.51]), chronic pain (OR 1.81 [95% CI 1.23-2.67]), a higher number of diseases (OR 1.75 [95% CI 1.15-2.65]) and fair/poor self-rated health (OR 2.59 [95% CI 1.79-3.76]). The poorest carers were also less likely to have a high quality of life (OR 0.51 [95% CI 0.33-0.80]) or be in work (OR 0.33 [95% CI 0.19-0.59]). CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest that financially disadvantaged unpaid carers (and their households) may have the greatest needs for intervention and support. Focussing resources on this group has potential to address social inequalities.

Demographic, health, physical activity, and workplace factors are associated with lower healthy working life expectancy and life expectancy at age 50.

Although retirement ages are rising in the United Kingdom and other countries, the average number of years people in England can expect to spend both healthy and work from age 50 (Healthy Working Life Expectancy; HWLE) is less than the number of years to the State Pension age. This study aimed to estimate HWLE with the presence and absence of selected health, socio-demographic, physical activity, and workplace factors relevant to stakeholders focusing on improving work participation. Data from 11,540 adults in the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing were analysed using a continuous time 3-state multi-state model. Age-adjusted hazard rate ratios (aHRR) were estimated for transitions between health and work states associated with individual and combinations of health, socio-demographic, and workplace factors. HWLE from age 50 was 3.3 years fewer on average for people with pain interference (6.54 years with 95% confidence interval [6.07, 7.01]) compared to those without (9.79 [9.50, 10.08]). Osteoarthritis and mental health problems were associated with 2.2 and 2.9 fewer healthy working years respectively (HWLE for people without osteoarthritis: 9.50 years [9.22, 9.79]; HWLE with osteoarthritis: 7.29 years [6.20, 8.39]; HWLE without mental health problems: 9.76 years [9.48, 10.05]; HWLE with mental health problems: 6.87 years [1.58, 12.15]). Obesity and physical inactivity were associated with 0.9 and 2.0 fewer healthy working years respectively (HWLE without obesity: 9.31 years [9.01, 9.62]; HWLE with obesity: 8.44 years [8.02, 8.86]; HWLE without physical inactivity: 9.62 years [9.32, 9.91]; HWLE with physical inactivity: 7.67 years [7.23, 8.12]). Workers without autonomy at work or with inadequate support at work were expected to lose 1.8 and 1.7 years respectively in work with good health from age 50 (HWLE for workers with autonomy: 9.50 years [9.20, 9.79]; HWLE for workers lacking autonomy: 7.67 years [7.22, 8.12]; HWLE for workers with support: 9.52 years [9.22, 9.82]; HWLE for workers with inadequate support: 7.86 years [7.22, 8.12]). This study identified demographic, health, physical activity, and workplace factors associated with lower HWLE and life expectancy at age 50. Identifying the extent of the impact on healthy working life highlights these factors as targets and the potential to mitigate against premature work exit is encouraging to policy-makers seeking to extend working life as well as people with musculoskeletal and mental health conditions and their employers. The HWLE gaps suggest that interventions are needed to promote the health, wellbeing and work outcomes of subpopulations with long-term health conditions.

Synchrotron-based x ray fluorescence ghost imaging.

X ray fluorescence ghost imaging (XRF-GI) was recently demonstrated for x ray lab sources. It has the potential to reduce the acquisition time and deposited dose by choosing their trade-off with a spatial resolution while alleviating the focusing constraints of the probing beam. Here, we demonstrate the realization of synchrotron-based XRF-GI: we present both an adapted experimental setup and its corresponding required computational technique to process the data. This extends the above-mentioned potential advantages of GI to synchrotron XRF imaging. In addition, it enables new strategies to improve resilience against drifts at all scales and the study of previously inaccessible samples, such as liquids.

Associations Between Local Area Deprivation and Physical Activity Participation in People with Cognitive Impairment in the North East of England.

BACKGROUND: Promoting physical activity, such as habitual walking behaviors, in people with cognitive impairment may support their ability to remain independent with a good quality of life for longer. However, people with cognitive impairment participate in less physical activity compared to cognitively unimpaired older adults. The local area in which people live may significantly impact abilities to participate in physical activity. For example, people who live in more deprived areas may have less safe and walkable routes. OBJECTIVE: To examine this further, this study aimed to explore associations between local area deprivation and physical activity in people with cognitive impairment and cognitively unimpaired older adults (controls). METHODS: 87 participants with cognitive impairment (mild cognitive impairment or dementia) and 27 older adult controls from the North East of England were included in this analysis. Participants wore a tri-axial wearable accelerometer (AX3, Axivity) on their lower backs continuously for seven days. The primary physical activity outcome was daily step count. Individuals' neighborhoods were linked to UK government area deprivation statistics. Hierarchical Bayesian models assessed the association between local area deprivation and daily step count in people with cognitive impairment and controls. RESULTS: Key findings indicated that there was no association between local area deprivation and daily step count in people with cognitive impairment, but higher deprivation was associated with lower daily steps for controls. CONCLUSION: These findings suggest that cognitive impairment may be associated with lower participation in physical activity which supersedes the influence of local area deprivation observed in normal aging.

Mask design, fabrication, and experimental ghost imaging applications for patterned X-ray illumination.

A set of non-configurable transversely-displaced masks has been designed and fabricated to generate high-quality X-ray illumination patterns for use in imaging techniques such as ghost imaging (GI), ghost projection, and speckle tracking. The designs include a range of random binary and orthogonal patterns, fabricated through a combination of photolithography and gold electroplating techniques. We experimentally demonstrated that a single wafer can be used as an illumination mask for GI, employing individual illumination patterns and also a mixture of patterns, using a laboratory X-ray source. The quality of the reconstructed X-ray ghost images has been characterized and evaluated through a range of metrics.

Is polypharmacy associated with difficulty taking medicines in people aged ≥85 living at home? Findings from the Newcastle 85+ Study.

It is unclear whether polypharmacy is associated with difficulty taking medications amongst people aged ≥85 living at home. This is despite the projected decline in availability of family carers, who may support independent living. Using Newcastle 85+ Study data and mixed-effects modelling, we investigated the association between polypharmacy and difficulty taking medications amongst 85-year-olds living at home, over a 10-year time period. Polypharmacy was not associated with difficulty taking medications as either a continuous (OR = 0.99 [0.91-1.08]) or categorical variable (5-9 medications, OR = 0.69 [0.34-1.41]; ≥10 medications, OR = 0.85 [0.34-2.07]). The significant predictors included disability, visual impairment and cognitive impairment. Our results suggest that people aged ≥85 living at home with disability, visual impairment and/or cognitive impairment will have difficulty taking their medications, regardless of how many they are prescribed. Therefore, healthcare professionals should routinely ask about, assess and address problems that these patient groups may have with taking their medicines, independent of the number of drugs taken.

Paleo-biodegradation and hydrocarbon mixing in a major hybrid petroleum reservoir.

Some of the parental material for hydrocarbons produced from low-permeability reservoirs in Western Canada corresponds to thermal products from biodegraded oil. This has been proved by the occurrence of framboidal pyrite, which is often formed during microbial sulfate reduction (MSR). In addition, the identified pyrite framboids are associated with the presence of phosphorus (P). Phosphorus (as phosphate) is a key nutrient and energy carrier for sulfate-reducing bacteria. The pyrite-P assemblage occurs embedded in solid bitumen (thermal residue), which confirms that migrated hydrocarbons provided the environment for microbial growth. Molecular products of severe biodegradation such as 17-nortricyclic terpanes were also detected. Biodegradation effects have been masked not only by thermal degradation of biodegraded oil during maximum burial, but also due to hydrocarbon mixing with late gas-condensate charges. Suitable conditions for biodegradation (< 80 °C, basin uplift) occurred during the Early Cretaceous. The confirmation of paleo-biodegradation means that there was a significant hydrocarbon loss that we have not accounted for. Likewise, MSR and Early Cretaceous seawater sulfate might have played an important role in the generation of the hydrogen sulfide (H2S) detected today.

National Early Warning Scores Following Emergency Hospital Transfer: Implications for Care Home Residents.

OBJECTIVE: Care home residents have high rates of hospital admission. The UK National Early Warning Score (NEWS2) standardizes the secondary care response to acute illness. However, the ability of NEWS2 to predict adverse health outcomes specifically for care home residents is unknown. This study explored the relationship between NEWS2 on admission to hospital and resident outcome 7 days later. DESIGN: Repeated cross-sectional study. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: Data on UK care home residents admitted to 160 hospitals in two 24-hour periods (2019 and 2020). METHOD: Chi-squared and Kruskal-Wallis tests, and multinomial regression were used to explore the association between low (score ≤2), intermediate (3-4), high (5-6), and critically high (≥7) NEWS2 on admission and each of the following: discharge on day of admission, admission and discharge within 7 days, prolonged hospital admission (>7 days), and death. RESULTS: From 665 resident admissions across 160 hospital sites, NEWS2 was low for 54%, intermediate for 18%, high for 13%, and critically high for 16%. The 7-day outcome was 10% same-day discharge, 47% admitted and subsequently discharged, 34% remained inpatients, and 8% died. There is a significant association between NEWS2 and these outcomes (P < .001). Compared with those with low NEWS2, residents with high and critically high NEWS2 had 3.6 and 9.5 times increased risk of prolonged hospitalization [relative risk ratio (RRR) 3.56; 95% CI 1.02-12.37; RRR 9.47; CI 2.20-40.67], respectively. The risk of death was approximately 14 times higher for residents with high NEWS2 (RRR 13.62; CI 3.17-58.49) and 54 times higher (RRR 53.50; CI 11.03-259.54) for critically high NEWS2. CONCLUSION AND IMPLICATIONS: Higher NEWS2 measurements on admission are associated with an increased risk of hospitalization up to 7 days duration, prolonged admission, and mortality for care home residents. NEWS2 may have a role as an adjunct to acute care decision making for hospitalized residents.

The association between multimorbidity and mobility disability-free life expectancy in adults aged 85 years and over: A modelling study in the Newcastle 85+ cohort.

BACKGROUND: Mobility disability is predictive of further functional decline and can itself compromise older people's capacity (and preference) to live independently. The world's population is also ageing, and multimorbidity is the norm in those aged ≥85. What is unclear in this age group, is the influence of multimorbidity on (a) transitions in mobility disability and (b) mobility disability-free life expectancy (mobDFLE). METHODS AND FINDINGS: Using multistate modelling in an inception cohort of 714 85-year-olds followed over a 10-year period (aged 85 in 2006 to 95 in 2016), we investigated the association between increasing numbers of long-term conditions and (1) mobility disability incidence, (2) recovery from mobility disability and (3) death, and then explored how this shaped the remaining life expectancy free from mobility disability at age 85. Models were adjusted for age, sex, disease group count, BMI and education. We defined mobility disability based on participants' self-reported ability to get around the house, go up and down stairs/steps, and walk at least 400 yards; participants were defined as having mobility disability if, for one or more these activities, they had any difficulty with them or could not perform them. Data were drawn from the Newcastle 85+ Study: a longitudinal population-based cohort study that recruited community-dwelling and institutionalised individuals from Newcastle upon Tyne and North Tyneside general practices. We observed that each additional disease was associated with a 16% increased risk of incident mobility disability (hazard ratio (HR) 1.16, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.07 to 1.25, p < 0.001), a 26% decrease in the chance of recovery from this state (HR 0.74, 95% CI: 0.63 to 0.86, p < 0.001), and a 12% increased risk of death with mobility disability (HR: 1.12, 95% CI: 1.07- to .17, p < 0.001). This translated to reductions in mobDFLE with increasing numbers of long-term conditions. However, residual and unmeasured confounding cannot be excluded from these analyses, and there may have been unobserved transitions to/from mobility disability between interviews and prior to death. CONCLUSIONS: We suggest 2 implications from this work. (1) Our findings support calls for a greater focus on the prevention of multimorbidity as populations age. (2) As more time spent with mobility disability could potentially lead to greater care needs, maintaining independence with increasing age should also be a key focus for health/social care and reablement services.

Vascular disease and apathy symptoms in the very old: A cross-sectional and longitudinal meta-analysis of individual participant data.

OBJECTIVES: Previous findings suggest a vascular foundation underlying apathy, but transdiagnostic and prospective evidence on vascular apathy is scarce. This study examines the association between vascular disease and the presence and development of apathy symptoms in the very old. METHODS: Four cohorts of the Towards Understanding Longitudinal International older People Studies (TULIPS)-consortium were included in a two-staged, individual participant data meta-analysis using generalized linear mixed models. Vascular disease was defined as a history of any clinical atherosclerotic pathology (angina pectoris, myocardial infarction, intermittent claudication, transient ischemic attack, stroke or related surgeries) and was related to apathy symptoms as repeatedly measured by the Geriatric Depression Scale (GDS-3A ≥2) over a maximum of 5 years. RESULTS: Of all 1868 participants (median age 85 years old), 53.9% had vascular disease and 44.3% experienced apathy symptoms. Participants with vascular disease had a 76% higher risk of apathy symptoms at baseline (odds ratio (OR) 1.76, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.32-2.35), irrespective of depressive symptoms and only partially explained by stroke. Conversely, there was no association of vascular disease with the occurrence of apathy symptoms longitudinally, both in those with apathy at baseline (OR 1.00, 95% CI 0.84-1.20) and without (OR 0.96, 95% CI 0.84-1.09). CONCLUSIONS: Vascular disease in the very old is associated with apathy symptoms cross-sectionally, but not proven longitudinally, independent of depressive symptoms. These findings query a vascular cause underlying apathy symptoms. However, the consistency of our cross-sectional findings in direction and magnitude across the TULIPS-consortium do emphasize international relevance of the interplay of vascular factors and apathy in advanced age, which meaning needs further unravelling.

Does polypharmacy shape dependency transitions in the very old? Findings from the Newcastle 85+ Study.

BACKGROUND: helping older people to maintain their independence, and identifying risk factors that compromise this, is of high importance. Polypharmacy is common in the very old (aged ≥ 85) but whether it can shape transitions in dependency in this fastest growing subpopulation is unclear. METHODS: using Newcastle 85+ Study data and multi-state modelling, we investigated the association between each additional medication prescribed and the progression of and recovery from dependency states, over 10 years (age 85-95). Participants were defined as either free from care (independent), requiring care less often than daily (low dependency), or requiring care at regular intervals each day or 24 hourly (medium/high dependency). RESULTS: each additional medication prescribed was associated with a 10% decreased chance of recovery from low dependence to independence (hazard ratio (HR): 0.90, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.82-0.99). DISCUSSION: when a relatively able person visits the GP or clinical pharmacist, careful consideration should be given to whether the potential benefits from adding a new medication outweigh the risk to reduced recovery of independence.

Factors associated with unmet need for support to maintain independence in later life: a systematic review of quantitative and qualitative evidence.

BACKGROUND: populations are considered to have an 'unmet need' when they could benefit from, but do not get, the necessary support. Policy efforts to achieve equitable access to long-term care require an understanding of patterns of unmet need. A systematic review was conducted to identify factors associated with unmet need for support to maintain independence in later life. METHODS: seven bibliographic databases and four non-bibliographic evidence sources were searched. Quantitative observational studies and qualitative systematic reviews were included if they reported factors associated with unmet need for support to maintain independence in populations aged 50+, in high-income countries. No limits to publication date were imposed. Studies were quality assessed and a narrative synthesis used, supported by forest plots to visualise data. FINDINGS: forty-three quantitative studies and 10 qualitative systematic reviews were included. Evidence across multiple studies suggests that being male, younger age, living alone, having lower levels of income, poor self-rated health, more functional limitations and greater severity of depression were linked to unmet need. Other factors that were reported in single studies were also identified. In the qualitative reviews, care eligibility criteria, the quality, adequacy and absence of care, and cultural and language barriers were implicated in unmet need. CONCLUSIONS: this review identifies which groups of older people may be most at risk of not accessing the support they need to maintain independence. Ongoing monitoring of unmet need is critical to support policy efforts to achieve equal ageing and equitable access to care.

Investigating the impact on mental wellbeing of an increase in pensions: A longitudinal analysis by area-level deprivation in England, 1998-2002.

In 1997 approximately two million people aged 60 years or over were living poverty in the UK. In 1999 the UK Government raised real pension incomes of low-income pensioners by around a third through the introduction of the Minimum Income Guarantee (MIG). This study explores the implications of this change for pensioners' mental wellbeing with a focus on differences by area level deprivation in England. We explore mental wellbeing outcomes of 205 men (750 person-year observations) and 367 women (1,336 person-year observations) of state pension age from scores on the General Health Questionnaire from the British Household Panel Survey using a panel difference-in-difference estimation procedure. We compare the mental wellbeing of pensioners receiving MIG to that of low-income pensioners not claiming MIG, from 1998 to 2002. To investigate differences by area deprivation we use quintiles of the of the distributions of the 2000 and 2019 local-authority-level English Index of Multiple Deprivation. Models controlled for age, marital status and year. Between 1998 and 2002, 136 (38%) of low-income women and 57 (28%) of low-income men in the sample were claiming MIG at any one time. Income increased by 31% for men and 22% for women. There was no change in mental wellbeing for women but we found an improvement for men overall and for men living in the most deprived areas, in the latter case with a decrease of the GHQ-12 score of 2.43 points (95% CI: -5.49, 0.02). This estimate was similar across all measures of deprivation, and across both years of IMD. This study provides tentative evidence that the increase in pension income in England for low-income pensioners contributed to a reduction of inequalities in mental wellbeing for men. This needs to be considered in terms of future state pension policies.

Projections of dependency and associated social care expenditure for the older population in England to 2038: effect of varying disability progression.

OBJECTIVES: to assess the effect of recent stalling of life expectancy and various scenarios for disability progression on projections of social care expenditure between 2018 and 2038, and the likelihood of reaching the Ageing Society Grand Challenge mission of five extra healthy, independent years at birth. DESIGN: two linked projections models: the Population Ageing and Care Simulation (PACSim) model and the Care Policy and Evaluation Centre long-term care projections model, updated to include 2018-based population projections. POPULATION: PACSim: about 303,589 individuals aged 35 years and over (a 1% random sample of the England population in 2014) created from three nationally representative longitudinal ageing studies. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Total social care expenditure (public and private) for older people, and men and women's independent life expectancy at age 65 (IndLE65) under five scenarios of changing disability progression and recovery with and without lower life expectancy. RESULTS: between 2018 and 2038, total care expenditure was projected to increase by 94.1%-1.25% of GDP; men's IndLE65 increasing by 14.7% (range 11.3-16.5%), exceeding the 8% equivalent of the increase in five healthy, independent years at birth, although women's IndLE65 increased by only 4.7% (range 3.2-5.8%). A 10% reduction in disability progression and increase in recovery resulted in the lowest increase in total care expenditure and increases in both men's and women's IndLE65 exceeding 8%. CONCLUSIONS: interventions that slow down disability progression, and improve recovery, could significantly reduce social care expenditure and meet government targets for increases in healthy, independent years.

Prescribing at 95 years of age: cross-sectional findings from the Newcastle 85+ study.

BACKGROUND: Previous research has examined prescribing amongst 85-year-olds in English primary care, but less is known about prescribing amongst 95-year-olds in spite of population ageing. AIM: We describe the most commonly prescribed medicines in a cohort of 95-year-olds, using 10-year follow-up data from the Newcastle 85+ Study (n = 90). METHOD: A total of 1040 participants were recruited to the Newcastle 85+ Study through general practices at 85-years of age, and 90 surviving participants were re-contacted and assessed at 95-years of age. Prescribed medications from general practice medical records were examined through cross-tabulations and classified as preventative or for symptom control based on their customary usage. RESULTS: Preventative medications with unclear evidence of benefit such as statins (36.7%), aspirin (21.1%) and bisphosphonates (18.9%) were frequently prescribed. CONCLUSIONS: Future research in a larger clinical dataset could investigate this preliminary trend, which suggests that benefit/risk information for preventive medication, and evidence for deprescribing, is needed in the very old.

Disentangling the varying associations between systolic blood pressure and health outcomes in the very old: an individual patient data meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVES: While randomized controlled trials have proven the benefits of blood pressure (BP) lowering in participating octogenarians, population-based observational studies suggest an association between low systolic blood pressure (SBP) and faster overall decline. This study investigates the effects of BP-lowering treatment, a history of cardiovascular diseases (CVD), and cognitive and physical fitness on the associations between SBP and health outcomes in the very old. METHODS: Five cohorts from the Towards Understanding Longitudinal International older People Studies (TULIPS) consortium were included in a two-step individual participant data meta-analysis (IPDMA). We pooled hazard ratios (HR) from Cox proportional-hazards models for 5-year mortality and estimates of linear mixed models for change in cognitive and functional decline. Models were stratified by BP-lowering treatment, history of CVD, Mini-Mental State Examination scores, grip strength (GS) and body mass index (BMI). RESULTS: Of all 2480 participants (59.9% females, median 85 years), median baseline SBP was 149 mmHg, 64.3% used BP-lowering drugs and 47.3% had a history of CVD. Overall, higher SBP was associated with lower all-cause mortality (pooled HR 0.91 [95% confidence interval 0.88-0.95] per 10 mmHg). Associations remained irrespective of BP-lowering treatment, history of CVD and BMI, but were absent in octogenarians with above-median MMSE and GS. In pooled cohorts, SBP was not associated with cognitive and functional decline. CONCLUSION: While in the very old with low cognitive or physical fitness a higher SBP was associated with a lower all-cause mortality, this association was not evident in fit octogenarians. SBP was not consistently associated with cognitive and functional decline.

Least-squares and maximum-likelihood in computed tomography.

Purpose: Existing maximum-likelihood (ML) methods in computed tomography usually require significant computing resources to implement, and/or are limited to particular measurement noise models that are representative of the simplest theoretical archetypes. There is an absence of general procedures to produce rapid ML methods that account precisely for the noise model of a given experiment. We investigate a mathematical-computational procedure of producing constrained quadratic optimization reconstruction algorithms that fill this niche, requiring less computing resources than the exact (expectation-maximization) procedures and having comparable performance with least-squares iterative methods. This allows high-fidelity reconstructions to be practically achievable for largely arbitrary noise models. Approach: We identify a systematic mathematical procedure to produce constrained quadratic optimization methods that maximize tomogram likelihood under arbitrary noise models, which are tunable to specific characteristics of the experiment. This procedure is applied to a general theory of mixed Poisson-Gaussian noise in transmission tomography, and to a theory of invertible linear transformations of measurement intensity subject to Poisson noise. We perform tomographic reconstructions of a very highly attenuating two-dimensional object phantom and compare the speed and fidelity of reconstruction with alternative quadratic metrics ( ℓ 2 -minimization among others). Results: Quantitative metrics reveal that reconstructions under our systematically produced quadratic methods achieved significantly greater reconstruction fidelity with less computation than the optimized conventional, untuned quadratic metrics with a comparable procedure. Conclusion: Constrained quadratic optimization methods appear to apply sufficiently good approximations to achieve a high reconstruction fidelity with a simple quadratic metric amenable to a broad class of minimization methods. These preliminary simulation-based results are very promising and suggest that such methods may be used to produce high-fidelity reconstructions with less computation than many other statistical methods. By design, these quadratic methods are also explicit and quantitative in their description, allowing fine-tuning according to the specific uncertainties and noise model of the experiment. Further research is required to ascertain the full practical potential of these methods.