Safety and Efficacy of Sodium-Glucose Transport Protein 2 Inhibitors and Glucagon-like Peptide-1 Receptor Agonists in Diabetic Kidney Transplant Recipients: Synthesis of Evidence.

Background: This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of novel antidiabetics, namely, sodium-glucose transport protein 2 inhibitors (SGLT2-i) and glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP1-RA), in diabetic kidney transplant recipients. Methods: Medline, Scopus, Web of Science, CENTRAL, and Clinicaltrials.gov were systematically searched from inception until 25 August 2024. Pooled estimates were obtained by applying random-effects models. Results: Overall, 18 studies (17 observational studies and one randomized controlled trial) were included. GLP1-RA were administered to 270 and SGLT2-i to 1003 patients. After GLP1-RA therapy, patients presented significantly lower glycated hemoglobin [mean difference (MD): -0.61%; 95% confidence interval (CI): -0.99; -0.23] and body weight (MD: -3.32 kg; 95% CI: -5.04; -1.59) but a similar estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and systolic blood pressure. After SGLT2-i therapy, patients had significantly lower glycated hemoglobin (MD: -0.40%, 95% CI: -0.57; -0.23) and body weight (MD: -2.21 kg, 95% CI: -2.74; -1.67), while no difference was noted in eGFR or systolic blood pressure. Preliminary data have shown an association between SGLT2-i use and a reduced risk of cardiovascular events, graft loss, and mortality. Evidence regarding the association between GLP1-RA and SGLT2-i and proteinuria was mixed. No significant effects on calcineurin inhibitor levels were observed. The risk of urinary tract infections was similar among patients treated with SGLT2-i or placebo (odds ratio: 0.84, 95% CI: 0.43; 1.64). Conclusions: Observational data suggest that GLP1-RA and SGLT2-i administration in diabetic kidney transplant recipients may be associated with better glycemic control and reduced body weight, presenting an acceptable safety profile.

Adherence to Mediterranean diet and asthma control. Results from a small study among asthmatic patients in Greece.

OBJECTIVES: Current variations in asthma prevalence and clinical characteristics suggest that lifestyle choices including dietary habits, may affect the pathogenesis and/or clinical expression of the disease. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the association between adherence to Mediterranean diet (MD) and asthma control, considering disease severity. METHODS: Adherence to MD was assessed through a questionnaire, the MD Adherence Screener (MEDAS), previously validated in Mediterranean populations. Each participant received a score ranging from 0 to 14. A score higher than 10 indicates high MD adherence. The level of asthma control was assessed by the Asthma Control Test and two groups were formed (controlled vs. partly controlled/uncontrolled). RESULTS: The study sample included 105 participants (34% males). About 45% of participants were severe asthmatics. Adherence to MD was associated with 14% higher, though not statistically significant, probability of controlled asthma in the overall study sample (OR = 1.14; 95% CI = 0.46-2.81) and 60% higher probability of controlled asthma among severe asthmatics (OR = 1.60, 95% CI = 0.46-5.59). CONCLUSIONS: These results indicate a possible association between adherence to MD and asthma control, but findings are restricted by the study's small sample size which does not allow asserting the inference.

Smoking and alcohol by HPV status in head and neck cancer: a Mendelian randomization study.

HPV-positive and HPV-negative head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) are recognized as distinct entities. There remains uncertainty surrounding the causal effects of smoking and alcohol on the development of these two cancer types. Here we perform multivariable Mendelian randomization (MR) to evaluate the causal effects of smoking and alcohol on the risk of HPV-positive and HPV-negative HNSCC in 3431 cases and 3469 controls. Lifetime smoking exposure, as measured by the Comprehensive Smoking Index (CSI), is associated with increased risk of both HPV-negative HNSCC (OR = 3.03, 95%CI:1.75-5.24, P = 7.00E-05) and HPV-positive HNSCC (OR = 2.73, 95%CI:1.39-5.36, P = 0.003). Drinks Per Week is also linked with increased risk of both HPV-negative HNSCC (OR = 7.72, 95%CI:3.63-16.4, P = 1.00E-07) and HPV-positive HNSCC (OR = 2.66, 95%CI:1.06-6.68, P = 0.038). Smoking and alcohol independently increase the risk of both HPV-positive and HPV-negative HNSCC. These findings have important implications for understanding the modifying risk factors between HNSCC subtypes.

Efficacy and safety of statin therapy in kidney transplant recipients: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Dyslipidemia represents an important risk factor for cardiovascular diseases, although its optimal management after kidney transplantation remains unclear. The present meta-analysis aimed to shed light on the efficacy and safety of statins among kidney transplant recipients, evaluating their potential effects on the risk of cardiovascular events, mortality and graft survival. METHODS: Medline, Scopus, Web of Science, CENTRAL, Clinicaltrials.gov and Google Scholar were systematically searched from their inception through April 20, 2024. Both randomized controlled trials and observational studies evaluating the effects of statin administration after kidney transplantation were held eligible. Random-effects models were fitted using the maximum likelihood method, while the certainty of evidence was appraised following the GRADE (Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluations) approach. RESULTS: Overall, 27 studies (10 randomized controlled trials and 17 observational studies) were included. Statin use compared to no use was associated with a lower risk of major adverse cardiovascular events [Relative risk (RR): 0.87, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.67-0.96, moderate certainty] and overall mortality (RR: 0.84, 95% CI: 0.74-0.94, low certainty). The risk of graft loss did not differ between the compared groups (RR: 0.72, 95% CI: 0.48-1.08, very low certainty). Regarding safety endpoints, statin use was associated with a lower risk of hepatotoxicity (RR: 0.81, 95% CI: 0.70-0.93, moderate certainty), but with a greater risk of rhabdomyolysis (RR: 1.37, 95% CI: 1.10-1.70, low certainty) and cataract (RR: 1.22, 95% CI: 1.14-1.31, moderate certainty). No statistically significant differences between the compared groups with and without statin use were observed concerning the risk of creatine kinase elevation, post-transplant diabetes mellitus, hip fracture, venous thromboembolism, or cancer. CONCLUSIONS: Among kidney transplant recipients, statin use is associated with a lower risk of cardiovascular events and better patient survival, presenting an acceptable safety profile. Further large-scale studies are needed to determine the optimal statin dosing strategy and lipid-lowering goals, depending on comorbidities and immunosuppression regimens. REGISTRATION: https://doi.org/10.17504/protocols.io.5qpvok3yzl4o/v1 .

Relapses and serious adverse events during rituximab maintenance therapy in ANCA-associated vasculitis: a multicentre retrospective study.

OBJECTIVES: There are limited real-life data regarding the efficacy and safety of rituximab (RTX) as a remission-maintenance agent in microscopic-polyangiitis (ΜPA) and granulomatosis-with-polyangiitis (GPA). We aimed to estimate the incidence and risk factors for relapses, as well serious-adverse-events (SAEs) in MPA/GPA patients during RTX-maintenance. METHODS: Retrospective cohort of newly-diagnosed/relapsing GPA/MPA patients who received RTX-maintenance (≥1 RTX-cycle, ≥6 months follow-up) following complete-remission (Birmingham-Vasculitis-Activity-Score-version-3 = 0 plus prednisolone ≤7.5 mg/day) with induction regimens. SAEs included serious-infections, COVID-19-associated hospitalizations, deaths, cardiovascular-events, malignancies and hypogammaglobulinemia. Incidence-rates (IR) and relapse-free survival through Kaplan-Meier plots were estimated. Cox-regression was conducted to investigate factors associated with the time-to-relapse. RESULTS: 101 patients were included; 48% females, 69% GPA, 53% newly diagnosed, median age: 63 years. During follow-up (294.5 patient-years, median: 3 RTX-cycles), 30 relapses (57% major) occurred among 24 patients (24%, IR 10.2/100 patient-years). Kidney involvement (adjusted-Hazard-Ratio/aHR: 0.20; 95% CI: 0.06-0.74, p= 0.016), prior induction with RTX plus cyclophosphamide (vs RTX monotherapy: aHR = 0.02; 95% CI: 0.001-0.43, p= 0.012) and shorter time-interval until complete-remission (aHR = 1.07; 95% CI: 1.01-1.14, p= 0.023) were associated with decreased relapse-risk. We recorded 17 serious-infections (IR 5.8/100 patient-years), 11 COVID-19-associated hospitalizations (IR 3.7/100 patient-years), 4 malignancies (IR 1.4/100 patient-years), 6 cardiovascular-events (IR 2/100 patient-years) and 10 deaths (IR 3.4/100 patient-years). CONCLUSION: In this real-world study, relapses during RTX-maintenance occurred in approximately in 1 out of 4 patients. Kidney involvement, induction with RTX plus cyclophosphamide and earlier achievement of complete-remission were associated with lower relapse-risk. Serious-infections rate was consistent with previous reports, whereas an increased rate of COVID19-associated hospitalizations was observed.

Development and external validation of a head and neck cancer risk prediction model.

BACKGROUND: Head and neck cancer (HNC) incidence is on the rise, often diagnosed at late stage and associated with poor prognoses. Risk prediction tools have a potential role in prevention and early detection. METHODS: The IARC-ARCAGE European case-control study was used as the model development dataset. A clinical HNC risk prediction model using behavioral and demographic predictors was developed via multivariable logistic regression analyses. The model was then externally validated in the UK Biobank cohort. Model performance was tested using discrimination and calibration metrics. RESULTS: 1926 HNC cases and 2043 controls were used for the development of the model. The development dataset model including sociodemographic, smoking, and alcohol variables had moderate discrimination, with an area under curve (AUC) value of 0.75 (95% CI, 0.74-0.77); the calibration slope (0.75) and tests were suggestive of good calibration. 384 616 UK Biobank participants (with 1177 HNC cases) were available for external validation of the model. Upon external validation, the model had an AUC of 0.62 (95% CI, 0.61-0.64). CONCLUSION: We developed and externally validated a HNC risk prediction model using the ARCAGE and UK Biobank studies, respectively. This model had moderate performance in the development population and acceptable performance in the validation dataset. Demographics and risk behaviors are strong predictors of HNC, and this model may be a helpful tool in primary dental care settings to promote prevention and determine recall intervals for dental examination. Future addition of HPV serology or genetic factors could further enhance individual risk prediction.

Galectin-3 in chronic kidney disease.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: High serum galectin-3 has been associated with adverse outcomes among dialysis patients, although its prognostic role remains unclear among individuals with earlier-stage chronic kidney disease. The present systematic review aims to evaluate the association of serum galectin-3 with survival, cardiovascular disease and kidney disease progression among non-dialysis chronic kidney disease patients. METHODS: PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science, CENTRAL and Google Scholar were systematically searched till November 10, 2023. All observational studies assessing the prognostic role of serum galectin-3 in patients with non-dialysis chronic kidney disease were included. RESULTS: Overall, 12 studies (10 cohort, 2 cross-sectional) were included, comprising 9,349 patients. The endpoint of survival was assessed in 5 studies, indicating a significant association between increasing serum galectin-3 levels and higher all-cause mortality risk (Hazard ratio per unit: 1.22, 95 % confidence intervals-CI: 1.05-1.41, ≥6 ng/mL: 2.66, 95 % CI: 1.68-4.23). Current evidence coming from 4 studies was inconclusive regarding the potential link of galectin-3 and kidney function decline, yielding conflicting results. No significant associations between serum galectin-3 and heart failure, cardiovascular events or death were consistently reported. CONCLUSIONS: This systematic review supports the prognostic role of galectin-3 in chronic kidney disease, as its increased serum values may be associated with higher all-cause mortality risk. No clear role could be supported for serum galectin-3 regarding the prediction of cardiovascular disease or kidney disease progression.

The Complexity of Tobacco Smoke-Induced Mutagenesis in Head and Neck Cancer.

Tobacco smoke, alone or combined with alcohol, is the predominant cause of head and neck cancer (HNC). Here, we further explore how tobacco exposure contributes to cancer development by mutational signature analysis of 265 whole-genome sequenced HNC from eight countries. Six tobacco-associated mutational signatures were detected, including some not previously reported. Differences in HNC incidence between countries corresponded with differences in mutation burdens of tobacco-associated signatures, consistent with the dominant role of tobacco in HNC causation. Differences were found in the burden of tobacco-associated signatures between anatomical subsites, suggesting that tissue-specific factors modulate mutagenesis. We identified an association between tobacco smoking and three additional alcohol-related signatures indicating synergism between the two exposures. Tobacco smoking was associated with differences in the mutational spectra and repertoire of driver mutations in cancer genes, and in patterns of copy number change. Together, the results demonstrate the multiple pathways by which tobacco smoke can influence the evolution of cancer cell clones.

Association of soluble suppression of tumorigenicity 2 with mortality and adverse outcomes in chronic kidney disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Early risk stratification is necessary to prevent chronic kidney disease progression and complications. This systematic review aims to evaluate the association of soluble suppression of tumorigenicity 2 (sST2), a member of the interleukin-1 receptor family, with all-cause mortality, cardiovascular disease and renal function deterioration among chronic kidney disease patients. METHODS: PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science, CENTRAL and Google Scholar were systematically searched from inception to December 20, 2023. Cohort studies examining the prognostic role of sST2 levels in pre-dialysis and dialysis patients were included. In case of 3 or more studies per outcome, conventional and dose-response meta-analyses were conducted. RESULTS: Overall, 21 studies were included comprising 15,100 patients. In pre-dialysis patients, the qualitative synthesis of studies suggested that high sST2 is associated with significantly increased all-cause mortality, while evidence regarding cardiovascular events or kidney disease progression was conflicting. In the dialysis population, high sST2 was linked to an elevated risk of all-cause (Hazard ratio-HR: 3.00, 95% confidence intervals-CI: 1.95-4.61) and cardiovascular (HR: 2.38, 95% CI: 1.69-3.34) mortality. Dose-response meta-analysis suggested a log-linear association of sST2 with both all-cause (χ2: 34.65, p value < 0.001) and cardiovascular (χ2: 29.14, p value < 0.001) mortality, whereas findings regarding cardiovascular events were limited with mixed results. CONCLUSIONS: High sST2 values are associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality in pre-dialysis and dialysis patients, as well as with an elevated risk of cardiovascular mortality in the dialysis population. Further studies are needed to elucidate its potential association with cardiovascular events and kidney disease progression.

Epstein-Barr Virus DNA Is Associated With Conjunctival Squamous Cell Carcinomas: A Case-Control Study From Zimbabwe.

Incidence of conjunctival squamous cell carcinoma (cSCC) in Zimbabwe is >30-fold higher than the global average. cSCC risk is notably higher among people with human immunodeficiency virus, implicating impaired immune response and a yet unknown infectious etiology. Formalin-fixed, paraffin-embedded blocks from Zimbabwe, comprising conjunctival precancer (n = 78), invasive cSCC cases (n = 148) and nonmalignant eye lesions (n = 119), were tested for multiple DNA viruses using Luminex bead-based technology. Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) type 1 positivity was strongly associated with cSCC diagnosis (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 5.6 [95% confidence interval {CI}, 3.0-10.4) and marginally associated with precancer (aOR, 2.1 [95% CI, 1.0-4.5]). On analyzing EBV transcriptional activity with any of LMP1, EBNA1, and BZLF1, RNA transcripts were detected in 5 of 112 controls, 3 of 67 precancers, and 10 of 139 cases and none were associated with conjunctival case status. Our EBV DNA data suggest that EBV may play a role in cSCC. However, the low detection rate of EBV RNA supports further investigation to infer causality.

Association of kidney function with physical performance: the Maastricht study.

BACKGROUND: Kidney failure has been associated with decreased physical capacity, although evidence regarding the physical performance of individuals with earlier stages of chronic kidney disease (CKD) remains limited. METHODS: Cross-sectional data were derived from the prospective, population-based Maastricht Study. Multivariate linear regression models were fitted to assess the association of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and albuminuria categories with physical performance test outcomes. RESULTS: Overall, 7396 participants were included. Compared to eGFR 60-90 ml/min/1.73 m2, values < 60 ml/min/1.73 m2 were associated with significantly shorter 6-min walk distance (ß: - 13.04 m, 95% confidence intervals-CI - 19.95; - 6.13), worse timed chair rise stand test time (ß: 0.91 s, 95% CI 0.36; 1.47), lower maximal grip (ß: - 0.83 kg, 95% CI - 1.50; - 0.15) and elbow flexion (ß: - 3.64 Nm, 95% CI - 7.11; - 0.16) strength. Additionally, eGFR > 90 ml/min/1.73 m2 was linked to significantly shorter 6-min walk distance (ß: - 6.13 m, 95% CI - 9.44; - 2.82). Urinary albumin excretion > 30 mg/24 h was associated with shorter 6-min walk distance (ß: - 12.48 m, 95% CI - 18.28; - 6.68), worse timed chair rise stand test time (ß: 0.51 s, 95% CI 0.11; 1.06), lower maximal grip (ß: - 1.34 kg, 95% CI - 1.91; - 0.76) and elbow flexion strength (ß: - 3.31 Nm, 95% CI - 5.80; - 0.82). CONCLUSIONS: Reduced eGFR and higher albuminuria levels were associated with worse physical performance, especially shorter 6-min walk distance and lower muscle strength. The relationship between eGFR and physical function was non-linear, with also high eGFR values being associated with worse performance, especially in the six-minute walk test.

Molecular epidemiology of HIV among people who inject drugs after the HIV-outbreak in Athens, Greece: Evidence for a 'slow burn' outbreak.

BACKGROUND: New diagnoses of HIV-1 infection among people who inject drugs (PWID) in Athens, Greece, saw a significant increase in 2011 and a subsequent decline after 2013. Despite this, ongoing HIV-1 transmission persisted from 2014 to 2020 within this population. Our objective was to estimate the time of infection for PWID in Athens following the HIV-1 outbreak, explore the patterns of HIV-1 dispersal over time, and determine the duration from infection to diagnosis. METHODS: Time from HIV-1 infection to diagnosis was estimated for 844 individuals infected within 4 PWID-specific clusters and for 8 PWID infected with sub-subtype A6 diagnosed during 2010-2019. Phylogeny reconstruction was performed using the maximum-likelihood method. HIV-1 infection dates were based on molecular clock calculations. RESULTS: In total 86 of 92 (93.5%) sequences from PWID diagnosed during 2016-2019 were either related to the previously identified PWID-specific clusters (n = 81) or belonged to a new A6 cluster (n = 5). The median time between infection and diagnosis was 0.42 years during the outbreak period and 0.70 years during 2016-2019 (p < 0.001). The proportion of clustered sequences from PWID was very low at 5.3% during the pre-outbreak period (1998-2009), saw an increase to 41.7% one year before the outbreak in 2010, and consistently remained high during the whole period after 2011, spanning the post-outbreak period (2016-2019) with a range from 92.9% to 100%. CONCLUSIONS: The substantial proportion of clustered infections (93.5%) during 2016-2019 implies a persistent 'slow burn' HIV outbreak among PWID in Athens, suggesting that the outbreak was not successfully eliminated. The consistently high proportion of clustered sequences since the onset of the outbreak suggests the persistence of ongoing HIV-1 transmission attributed to injection practices. Our findings underscore the importance of targeted interventions among PWID, considering the ongoing transmission rate and prolonged time from infection to diagnosis.

Association of serum galectin-3 levels with mortality and cardiovascular disease outcomes in hemodialysis patients: a systematic review and dose-response meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Galectin-3 has been proposed as a candidate marker for cardiovascular risk stratification, although its role in kidney failure is unclear. The aim of this systematic review was to assess the association of serum galectin-3 levels with overall survival and cardiovascular outcomes among hemodialysis patients. METHODS: Medline, Scopus, Web of Science and CENTRAL were systematically searched from inception till Aug 20, 2023. Observational studies evaluating the association of serum galectin-3 with mortality, cardiovascular disease and arterial stiffness in hemodialysis patients were included. The exposure-response relationship between galectin-3 and mortality was explored by dose-response meta-analysis using restricted cubic splines in a one-stage approach. RESULTS: Overall, 13 studies were included (9 cohort and 4 cross-sectional), comprising 6025 hemodialysis individuals. Increasing galectin-3 values were associated with greater all-cause mortality risk (χ2: 18.71, p-value < 0.001) and an insignificant trend toward higher cardiovascular mortality risk (χ2: 5.06, p-value: 0.079). Compared to a reference galectin-3 value of 10 ng/ml, all-cause mortality risk was significantly higher with levels of 20 ng/ml (Hazard ratio-HR: 2.62, 95% confidence intervals-CI: 1.66-4.15), 30 ng/ml (HR: 3.78, 95% CI: 2.05-6.97) and 40 ng/ml (HR: 4.01, 95% CI: 2.14-7.52). Qualitative synthesis of evidence indicated that serum galectin-3 may be linked to abdominal aortic calcification severity and progression, as well as to left ventricular systolic and diastolic dysfunction. CONCLUSIONS: This study suggests that high serum galectin-3 levels are associated with greater all-cause mortality risk among patients on maintenance hemodialysis. Preliminary cross-sectional evidence indicates that serum galectin-3 may be associated with arterial stiffness and left ventricular dysfunction.

Dietary intake of vitamin C and gastric cancer: a pooled analysis within the Stomach cancer Pooling (StoP) Project.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies suggest that dietary vitamin C is inversely associated with gastric cancer (GC), but most of them did not consider intake of fruit and vegetables. Thus, we aimed to evaluate this association within the Stomach cancer Pooling (StoP) Project, a consortium of epidemiological studies on GC. METHODS: Fourteen case-control studies were included in the analysis (5362 cases, 11,497 controls). We estimated odds ratios (ORs) and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the association between dietary intake of vitamin C and GC, adjusted for relevant confounders and for intake of fruit and vegetables. The dose-response relationship was evaluated using mixed-effects logistic models with second-order fractional polynomials. RESULTS: Individuals in the highest quartile of dietary vitamin C intake had reduced odds of GC compared with those in the lowest quartile (OR: 0.64; 95% CI: 0.58, 0.72). Additional adjustment for fruit and vegetables intake led to an OR of 0.85 (95% CI: 0.73, 0.98). A significant inverse association was observed for noncardia GC, as well as for both intestinal and diffuse types of the disease. The results of the dose-response analysis showed decreasing ORs of GC up to 150-200 mg/day of vitamin C (OR: 0.54; 95% CI: 0.41, 0.71), whereas ORs for higher intakes were close to 1.0. CONCLUSIONS: The findings of our pooled study suggest that vitamin C is inversely associated with GC, with a potentially beneficial effect also for intakes above the currently recommended daily intake (90 mg for men and 75 mg for women).

The Mutographs biorepository: A unique genomic resource to study cancer around the world.

Large-scale biorepositories and databases are essential to generate equitable, effective, and sustainable advances in cancer prevention, early detection, cancer therapy, cancer care, and surveillance. The Mutographs project has created a large genomic dataset and biorepository of over 7,800 cancer cases from 30 countries across five continents with extensive demographic, lifestyle, environmental, and clinical information. Whole-genome sequencing is being finalized for over 4,000 cases, with the primary goal of understanding the causes of cancer at eight anatomic sites. Genomic, exposure, and clinical data will be publicly available through the International Cancer Genome Consortium Accelerating Research in Genomic Oncology platform. The Mutographs sample and metadata biorepository constitutes a legacy resource for new projects and collaborations aiming to increase our current research efforts in cancer genomic epidemiology globally.

Aspirin for the Primary Prevention of Cardiovascular Diseases in Patients with Chronic Kidney Disease: An Updated Meta-analysis.

AIM: Chronic kidney disease is associated with increased risk of cardiovascular diseases (CVD). This meta-analysis aims to evaluate the efficacy and safety of aspirin administered for primary prevention of CVD in patients with chronic kidney disease. METHODS: PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science, CENTRAL and Clinicaltrials.gov were systematically searched from inception to 22 June 2023. Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and cohort studies evaluating aspirin as primary prevention of CVD in chronic kidney disease were included. Meta-analysis was conducted using random-effects models. RESULTS: Overall, 11 studies (6 RCTs and 5 cohort studies) with 24,352 patients were included. The meta-analysis of RCTs indicated that aspirin was associated with lower risk of major adverse cardiovascular events [hazard ratio (HR): 0.79; 95% confidence intervals (CI): 0.64-0.97] and higher risk of major bleeding [risk ratio (RR): 1.35; 95% CI 1.15-1.58]. Incorporating observational evidence led to statistically non-significant findings in terms of risk of both cardiovascular events (pooled HR: 0.97; 95% CI 0.75-1.25; low certainty) and major bleeding (pooled RR: 1.21; 95% CI 0.99-1.48; moderate certainty). No statistically significant differences between aspirin and placebo were observed in the outcomes of mortality, coronary heart disease, stroke and renal events. CONCLUSIONS: RCT evidence points to a possible benefit in cardiovascular event reduction from aspirin administration, at the cost of increased major bleeding risk. This finding was not confirmed when the existing observational evidence was incorporated. Further research should determine the most appropriate subpopulation of chronic kidney disease patients that would benefit the most from prophylactic aspirin therapy. REGISTRATION:  The study protocol has been prospectively registered and is publicly available from: https://doi.org/10.17504/protocols.io.261ged63jv47/v1 .

Diagnostic accuracy of HPV16 early antigen serology for HPV-driven oropharyngeal cancer is independent of age and sex.

A growing proportion of head and neck cancer (HNC), especially oropharyngeal cancer (OPC), is caused by human papillomavirus (HPV). There are several markers for HPV-driven HNC, one being HPV early antigen serology. We aimed to investigate the diagnostic accuracy of HPV serology and its performance across patient characteristics. Data from the VOYAGER consortium was used, which comprises five studies on HNC from North America and Europe. Diagnostic accuracy, that is, sensitivity, specificity, Cohen's kappa and correctly classified proportions of HPV16 E6 serology, was assessed for OPC and other HNC using p16INK4a immunohistochemistry (p16), HPV in situ hybridization (ISH) and HPV PCR as reference methods. Stratified analyses were performed for variables including age, sex, smoking and alcohol use, to test the robustness of diagnostic accuracy. A risk-factor analysis based on serology was conducted, comparing HPV-driven to non-HPV-driven OPC. Overall, HPV serology had a sensitivity of 86.8% (95% CI 85.1-88.3) and specificity of 91.2% (95% CI 88.6-93.4) for HPV-driven OPC using p16 as a reference method. In stratified analyses, diagnostic accuracy remained consistent across sex and different age groups. Sensitivity was lower for heavy smokers (77.7%), OPC without lymph node involvement (74.4%) and the ARCAGE study (66.7%), while specificity decreased for cases with <10 pack-years (72.1%). The risk-factor model included study, year of diagnosis, age, sex, BMI, alcohol use, pack-years, TNM-T and TNM-N stage. HPV serology is a robust biomarker for HPV-driven OPC, and its diagnostic accuracy is independent of age and sex. Future research is suggested on the influence of smoking on HPV antibody levels.

Reproductive factors, hormonal interventions, and gastric cancer risk in the Stomach cancer Pooling (StoP) Project.

BACKGROUND: Gastric cancer incidence is higher in men, and a protective hormone-related effect in women is postulated. We aimed to investigate and quantify the relationship in the Stomach cancer Pooling (StoP) Project consortium. METHODS: A total of 2,084 cases and 7,102 controls from 11 studies in seven countries were included. Summary odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) assessing associations of key reproductive factors and menopausal hormone therapy (MHT) with gastric cancer were estimated by pooling study-specific ORs using random-effects meta-analysis. RESULTS: A duration of fertility of ≥ 40 years (vs. < 20), was associated with a 25% lower risk of gastric cancer (OR = 0.75; 95% CI: 0.58-0.96). Compared with never use, ever, 5-9 years and ≥ 10 years use of MHT in postmenopausal women, showed ORs of 0.73 (95% CI: 0.58-0.92), 0.53 (95% CI: 0.34-0.84) and 0.71 (95% CI: 0.50-1.00), respectively. The associations were generally similar for anatomical and histologic subtypes. CONCLUSION: Our results support the hypothesis that reproductive factors and MHT use may lower the risk of gastric cancer in women, regardless of anatomical or histologic subtypes. Given the variation in hormones over the lifespan, studies should address their effects in premenopausal and postmenopausal women. Furthermore, mechanistic studies may inform potential biological processes.