RESUMEN
BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to develop and validate radiogenomic models to predict the MDM2 gene amplification status and differentiate between ALTs and lipomas on preoperative MR images. METHODS: MR images were obtained in 257 patients diagnosed with ALTs (n = 65) or lipomas (n = 192) using histology and the MDM2 gene analysis as a reference standard. The protocols included T2-, T1-, and fat-suppressed contrast-enhanced T1-weighted sequences. Additionally, 50 patients were obtained from a different hospital for external testing. Radiomic features were selected using mRMR. Using repeated nested cross-validation, the machine-learning models were trained on radiomic features and demographic information. For comparison, the external test set was evaluated by three radiology residents and one attending radiologist. RESULTS: A LASSO classifier trained on radiomic features from all sequences performed best, with an AUC of 0.88, 70% sensitivity, 81% specificity, and 76% accuracy. In comparison, the radiology residents achieved 60-70% accuracy, 55-80% sensitivity, and 63-77% specificity, while the attending radiologist achieved 90% accuracy, 96% sensitivity, and 87% specificity. CONCLUSION: A radiogenomic model combining features from multiple MR sequences showed the best performance in predicting the MDM2 gene amplification status. The model showed a higher accuracy compared to the radiology residents, though lower compared to the attending radiologist.
RESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Respiratory failure worsens the outcome of acute pancreatitis (AP) and underlying factors might be early detectable. AIMS: To evaluate the prevalence and prognostic relevance of early pleuropulmonary pathologies and pre-existing chronic lung diseases (CLD) in AP patients. METHODS: Multicentre retrospective cohort study. Caudal sections of the thorax derived from abdominal contrast enhanced computed tomography (CECT) performed in the early phase of AP were assessed. Independent predictors of severe AP were identified by binary logistic regression analysis. A one-year survival analysis using Kaplan-Meier curves and log rank test was performed. RESULTS: 358 patients were analysed, finding pleuropulmonary pathologies in 81%. CECTs were performed with a median of 2 days (IQR 1-3) after admission. Multivariable analysis identified moderate to severe or bilateral pleural effusions (PEs) (OR = 4.16, 95%CI 2.05-8.45, p<0.001) and pre-existing CLD (OR = 2.93, 95%CI 1.17-7.32, p = 0.022) as independent predictors of severe AP. Log rank test showed a significantly worse one-year survival in patients with bilateral compared to unilateral PEs in a subgroup. CONCLUSIONS: Increasing awareness of the prognostic impact of large and bilateral PEs and pre-existing CLD could facilitate the identification of patients at high risk for severe AP in the early phase and thus improve their prognosis.