Epidemiological evolution and economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic in the European Union and worldwide and effects of control strategies on them: An ecological study.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the epidemiological evolution and economic impact of COVID-19 pandemic in the European Union (EU) and worldwide, and the effects of control strategies on them. MATERIAL AND METHODS: We collected incidence, mortality, and gross domestic product (GDP) data between the first quarter of 2020 and of 2023. Then, we reviewed the effectiveness of the mitigation and zero-COVID control strategies. The statistical analysis was done calculating the incidence rate ratio (IRR) of two rates and its 95% confidence interval (CI). RESULTS: In the EU, COVID-19 presented six epidemic waves. The sixth one at the beginning of 2022 was the biggest. Globally, the biggest wave occurred at the beginning of 2023. Highest mortality rates were observed in the EU during 2020-2021 and globally at the beginning of 2021. In mitigation countries, mortality was much higher than in zero-COVID countries (IRR=6.82 [95% CI: 6.14-7.60]; p<0.001). A GDP reduction was observed worldwide, except in Asia. None of the eight zero-COVID countries presented a GDP growth percentage lower than the EU percentage in 2020, and 3/8 in 2022 (p=0.054). COVID-19 pandemic caused epidemic waves with high mortality rates and a negative impact on GDP. CONCLUSION: The zero-COVID strategy was more effective in avoiding mortality and potentially had a lower impact on GDP in the first pandemic year.

Factors associated with referrals for directly observed treatment and unsuccessful treatment.

To describe the characteristics of people indicated for directly observed treatment (DOT) in Spain, and the factors associated with unsuccessful treatment.This was a multicentre observational study based on a prospective follow-up of patients over 18 years old diagnosed with TB between 2006 and 2019 from the registry of the Programa Integrado de Investigación en Tuberculosis (PII-TB). Sociodemographic and clinical variables were collected. Adjusted odds ratios (aORs) were calculated for the indication of DOT and for having an unsuccessful treatment.A total of 7,883 patients were included. The indication of DOT was associated with being homeless (aOR 5.93, 95% CI 3.03-11.59), inactivity status (aOR 2.55, 95% CI 2.02-3.23), alcohol consumption (aOR 1.94, 95% CI 1.51-2.48), parenteral drug use (aOR 1.77, 95% CI 1.06-2.95) and HIV diagnosis (aOR 1.96, 95% CI 1.16-3.29). Unsuccessful treatment was associated with having an HIV diagnosis (aPR 2.31, 95% CI 1.31-4.08), having a worse clinical and radiological evolution (clinical progression: APR 15.59, 95% CI 8.21-29.60; radiological progression: aPR 12.84, 95% CI 6.46-25.52), need for hospitalisation (aPR 1.73, 95% CI 1.10-2.73), unsatisfactory tolerability (aPR 2.82, 95% CI 1.49-5.29), the existence of difficulties in understanding the prescribed treatment (aPR 1.92, 95% CI 1.21-3.06), as well as worse treatment satisfaction (aPR 7.27, 95% CI 4.32-12.24).The prioritisation of vulnerable populations is a key aspect to carry out the new Global Plan to End TB 2023-2030. In these groups DOT indication should be increased to ensure adherence and patient follow-up and outcomes..

Spatial distribution and temporal dynamics of invasive and native mosquitoes in a large Mediterranean city.

Mosquitoes, including invasive species like the Asian tiger mosquito Aedes albopictus, alongside native species Culex pipiens s.l., pose a significant nuisance to humans and serve as vectors for mosquito-borne diseases in urban areas. Understanding the impact of water infrastructure characteristics, climatic conditions, and management strategies on mosquito occurrence and effectiveness of control measures to assess their implications on mosquito occurrence is crucial for effective vector control. In this study, we examined data collected during the local vector control program in Barcelona, Spain, focusing on 234,225 visits to 31,334 different sewers, as well as 1817 visits to 152 fountains between 2015 and 2019. We investigated both the colonization and recolonization processes of mosquito larvae within these water infrastructures. Our findings revealed higher larval presence in sandbox-sewers compared to siphonic or direct sewers, and the presence of vegetation and the use of naturalized water positively influenced larval occurrence in fountains. The application of larvicidal treatment significantly reduced larvae presence; however, recolonization rates were negatively affected by the time elapsed since treatment. Climatic conditions played a critical role in the colonization and recolonization of sewers and urban fountains, with mosquito occurrence exhibiting non-linear patterns and, generally, increasing at intermediate temperatures and accumulated rainfall levels. This study emphasizes the importance of considering sewers and fountains characteristics and climatic conditions when implementing vector control programs to optimize resources and effectively reduce mosquito populations.

Diagnostic benefits of adding EspC, EspF and Rv2348-B to the QuantiFERON Gold In-tube antigen combination.

Interferon (IFN)-γ release assays (IGRAs) are used to diagnose latent tuberculosis (TB) infection (LTBI). To improve the accuracy of these tests, different approaches, such as alternative cytokine detection and using different antigens, are considered. Following this purpose, this study aims to evaluate the addition of EspC, EspF and Rv2348-B to those present in the QuantiFERON-TB Gold In-Tube (QFN-G-IT). We included 115 subjects: 74 active TB patients, 17 LTBI individuals and 24 healthy controls. Whole blood samples were collected in QFN-G-IT and in-house tubes containing different combinations of EspC, EspF and Rv2348-B, together with ESAT-6, CFP-10, and TB7.7. After overnight incubation at 37 ºC, plasma was harvested and IFN-γ quantified. IFN-γ levels in the QFN-G-IT and in-house tubes correlated very good (Spearman Rho(r) > 0.86). In-house antigen combinations distinguished healthy individuals from those with active TB and LTBI (specificities and sensitivities higher than 87.5% and 96.3%, respectively [AUC > 0.938]). Adding EspC, EspF and Rv2348-B, increased the sensitivity of the test, being the addition of EspC and Rv2348-B the combination that yielded a higher sensitivity with no specificity loss. Addition of these antigens could improve diagnosis in patients with impaired or immature immune response who are at high risk of developing TB.

[Contact tracing in patients infected with SARS-CoV-2. The fundamental role of Primary Health Care and Public Health]. / Estudio de contactos en infectados por SARS-CoV-2. El papel fundamental de la Atención Primaria y de la Salud Pública.

The aim of this study was to promote the rapid identification of the contacts of patients infected with SARS-CoV-2 and therefore the control of the pandemic. Different methodologies and recommendations on contact tracing for Primary Health Care (PHC) and Public Health Services (PHS), like articles in Pubmed about COVID-19 and contact tracing, official contact definitions, the classic contact tracing model in tuberculosis (TB), information about apps for contact tracing and the role of the diagnostic tests, were reviewed. To establish efficient prevention and control measures, it is always necessary to implement contact tracing based on clinical suspicion, early diagnosis and isolation of cases and contacts and their follow-up. The classic contact tracing model in TB can be applied to this new infection, but accelerating the process given its acute nature and its potential severity. Good coordination between PHC and PHS and having sufficient resources is essential.

Use of IP-10 detection in dried plasma spots for latent tuberculosis infection diagnosis in contacts via mail.

The aim of this study was to test the use of IP-10 detection in dried plasma from contact studies individuals (contacts of smear positive patients), by comparing it with IP-10 and IFN-γ detection in direct plasma, to establish IP-10 detection in DPS as a useful assay for LTBI diagnosis. Whole blood samples were collected from 80 subjects: 12 with active tuberculosis (TB), and 68 from contact studies. The amount of IFN-γ produced by sensitized T cells was determined in direct plasma by QuantiFERON Gold In-Tube test. IP-10 levels were determined in direct and dried plasma by an in-house ELISA. For dried plasma IP-10 determination, two 25 µl plasma drops were dried in Whatman903 filter paper and sent by mail to the laboratory. Regarding TB patients, 100.0%, 91.7% and 75.0% were positive for IFN-γ detection and IP-10 detection in direct and dried plasma, respectively. In contacts, 69.1%, 60.3% and 48.5% had positive results after IFN-γ and IP-10 in direct and dried plasma, respectively. The agreement among in vitro tests was substantial and IP-10 levels in direct and dried plasma were strongly correlated (r = 0.897). In conclusion, IP-10 detection in dried plasma is a simple and safe method that would help improve LTBI management.

Impact of socio-economic inequities on tuberculosis in a Southern European city: what is the effect of the recession?

INTRODUCTION: Economic crises affect a population's health, particularly among the most deprived. The increase in health inequalities in the latest recession may have influenced the incidence of tuberculosis (TB). We analysed the effect of socio-economic inequities and recession on TB incidence in Barcelona, Spain. METHODS: We conducted a population-based incidence study of TB cases in Barcelona of patients who started treatment between 2003 and 2015. A multilevel interrupted time-series analysis was performed to analyse differences in incidence trends between the pre-recession (until 2008) and recession periods. RESULTS: We found differences in TB incidence according to deprivation and immigration status. TB incidence among the most deprived neighbourhoods was 2.72 times higher than the least deprived neighbourhoods. Compared with native-born persons, incidence was nine times higher among those born in Africa, and six times higher among those born in Asia and Oceania. The previous decreasing trend in incidence (4%) was accentuated during the recession (7%). CONCLUSIONS: TB incidence decreased during the recession, probably due to a reduction in the number of new immigrants and the TB programme. However, incidence was highly unequal between districts with different levels of deprivation, and between foreign-born persons from different geographic regions. Social measures are important to reduce inequalities and TB incidence in Barcelona.

Tuberculosis clinical units improve contact tracing.

INTRODUCTION: The Barcelona Tuberculosis Programme was established in 1987, and in 2007 five tuberculosis (TB) clinical units were created to improve the follow-up of cases and contacts. This included the designation of a nurse for case management. OBJECTIVE: To assess the impact of the TB clinical units on the screening programme for TB contacts. METHODS: Before-after population-based study before (2003-2007) and after (2008-2013) the creation of the clinical units. To determine which factors were related to contact tracing, we fitted a multivariate logistic regression model to estimate odds ratios (OR) with their 95% confidence intervals (CIs). RESULTS: Following the creation of the clinical units, the proportion of prescriptions for latent tuberculous infection among contacts in the clinical units increased from 40.7% to 57.4% (P < 0.001), and treatment adherence from 75.9% to 80.3% (P = 0.035). One factor associated with contact tracing was receiving care after the creation of the clinical units (2008-2013) (OR 1.2, 95%CI 1.0-1.3). During the second period, receiving care outside the clinical units reduced the probability of contact tracing (OR 0.7, 95%CI 0.5-0.9). CONCLUSION: The creation of the TB clinical units represents an organisational improvement for the study and management of contacts of patients with TB.

Factors Associated with Fatality during the Intensive Phase of Anti-Tuberculosis Treatment.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the case-fatality rate (CFR) at the end of the intensive phase of tuberculosis (TB) treatment, and factors associated with fatality. METHODS: TB patients diagnosed between 2006 and 2013 were followed-up during treatment. We computed the CFR at the end of the intensive phase of TB treatment, and the incidence of death per 100 person-days (pd) of follow-up. We performed survival analysis using the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox regression, and calculate hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). RESULTS: A total of 5,182 patients were included, of whom 180 (3.5%) died; 87 of these deaths (48.3%) occurred during the intensive phase of treatment, with a CFR of 1.7%. The incidence of death was 0.028/100 pd. The following factors were associated with death during the intensive phase: being >50 years (HR = 36.9;CI:4.8-283.4); being retired (HR = 2.4;CI:1.1-5.1); having visited the emergency department (HR = 3.1;CI:1.2-7.7); HIV infection (HR = 3.4;CI:1.6-7.2); initial standard treatment with 3 drugs (HR = 2.0;CI:1.2-3.3) or non-standard treatments (HR = 2.68;CI:1.36-5.25); comprehension difficulties (HR = 2.8;CI:1.3-6.1); and smear-positive sputum (HR = 2.3-CI:1.0-4.8). CONCLUSION: There is a non-negligible CFR during the intensive phase of TB, whose reduction should be prioritised. The CFR could be a useful indicator for evaluating TB programs.

Survival of a large cohort of HIV-infected tuberculosis patients in the era of highly active antiretroviral treatment.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the survival rate, predictive factors and causes of death in a cohort of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infected tuberculosis (TB) patients in the era of highly active antiretroviral treatment (HAART). DESIGN: This retrospective cohort study included all HIV-infected TB patients reported in Barcelona between 1996 and 2006. A survival analysis was conducted based on the Kaplan-Meier estimator and Cox proportional hazards; hazard ratios (HRs) and their 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated. Causes of death were classified using the International Classification of Diseases (ICD) 9 and ICD-10, and defined as acquired immune-deficiency syndrome (AIDS) related, non-AIDS-related or unknown. RESULTS: Of the 792 patients included, 341 (43.1%) died. Survival at 10 years was 47.4% (95%CI 45.2-49.6). Poorer survival was observed in patients aged >30 years (HR 1.6, 95%CI 1.1-2.1), inner-city residents (HR 1.3, 95%CI 1.1-1.7), injecting drug users (HR 1.4, 95%CI 1.1-1.8), those with a non-cavitary radiological pattern (HR 1.5, 95%CI 1.0-2.2), those with <200 CD4/microl (HR 1.8, 95%CI 1.2-2.7) and those diagnosed with AIDS prior to their TB episode (HR 1.85, 95%CI 1.4-2.2). No differences were found for TB treatment (6 vs. 9 months) or for anti-tuberculosis drug resistance; 64.8% of the deaths were non-AIDS-related. CONCLUSIONS: Poor survival was observed despite the availability of HAART, and non-AIDS-related mortality was high. Earlier HAART could help address AIDS and non-AIDS-related mortality.

Tuberculosis recurrence and its associated risk factors among successfully treated patients.

BACKGROUND: Little is known about recurrent tuberculosis (TB) in developed countries. The objective of this study was to determine the probability of TB recurrence and the associated risk factors among cured patients in a city with moderate TB incidence. METHODS: A population-based retrospective longitudinal study was carried out in Barcelona, Spain. All patients with culture-confirmed TB and drug susceptibility testing were included between 1995 and 1997 and followed until December 2005. The authors defined recurrence as a new TB event after a patient was considered cured and had remained free of the disease for a minimum of 1 year. Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression were used in the statistical analysis. HRs with 95% CIs were calculated. RESULTS: Among the 681 patients studied, the authors observed 29 recurrences (recurrence rate 0.53/100 person-years of follow-up). The mean incidence of TB in Barcelona from 1995 to 2005 was 36.25 cases per 100,000 inhabitants. The incidence of recurrence was 14.6 times higher in the cohort than the incidence of a first TB episode in the general population. The factors associated with recurrence at bivariate level were being male, being an immigrant, being an intravenous drug user (IDU), having human immunodeficiency virus, smoking, being an alcoholic, being in prison, and having both pulmonary and extrapulmonary TB. At multivariate level, only being an immigrant (HR 3.2, 95% CI 1.2 to 9), an IDU (HR 2.9, 95% CI 1.3 to 6.4) and male (HR 4.3, 95% CI 1.3 to 14.6) were associated. CONCLUSION: Having TB in the past is a risk factor for developing TB. Social policies must be implemented in populations at risk of recurrence, especially in immigrants and IDUs.

Acute calcific tendinitis in children.

Acute calcific tendinitis is uncommon in children. Clinical manifestations are similar to those in adults. The abrupt onset, functional impairment, and frequent presence of fever suggest an infection. Radiographic findings establish the diagnosis, obviating the need for further investigations.

[Percutaneous catheterization of the subclavian vein and/or the Pirogoff angle]. / Remarques à propos du cathétérisme veineux percutané de la veine sous-clavière et/ou du confluent de Pirogoff.

The approach to the sub-clavian venous axis being carried out blindly, the difficulties encountered oblige one: - to avoid the danger (pleural dome in particular); - to guide the catheter along the sub-clavian axis (and not in the jugular vein) and therefore to know the anatomical landmarks and a precise method. A variant of the CARLE technique, that which is proposed is based on no other anatomical argument than the direction of the sub-clavian axis and of its junction. The puncture site is higher and more external, a guiding finger shows the pathway in such a way as to try and leave the dangers behind the pathway of the needle. The obligatory long tunnelization of the catheter, becomes an advantage (fights against the danger of infection) to be added to the already known advantages of this pathway.

[Necrosis and ischemia of the femoral head during arteritis of the lower extremities. Survey of 138 patients with arteritis and 159 aortographies]. / Nécrose et ischémie de la tête fémorale au cours des artérites des membres inférieurs Enquête sur 138 artéritiques et 159 aortographies

Among 138 subjects suffering form arteritis of the lower limbs, the authors found clinical signs of lesions in one or both hips in 47.6 percent of cases and radiological signs in one or both hips in 42.8 percent of cases. Five patients presented a distinct flattening of the femoral head indicating necrosis at stage III, 19 showed voluminous or multiple dense islets in the femoral collar or head indicating necrotic lesions at stage II, and 26 showed narrowing of the superior joint space mostly on the internal side. The authors think ihat the latter sign indicates ischaemic chondropathy. Eleven of the 138 patients had undergone pertrochanteric phlebography : this was abnormal in all 11 cases. At the same time the authors studied the coxofemorals on 159 aortograms and found, among other anomalies, 2 cases of advanced necrosis at the stage of rupture (stage III). This study tends to confirm the occurrence of necrotic lesions of the femur that are secondary to arteriopathies.