Clinical and demographic characteristics predictive of treatment outcomes for certolizumab pegol in moderate to severe Crohn's disease: analyses from the 7-year PRECiSE 3 study.

BACKGROUND: Clinical factors were previously identified as predictors of short-term treatment efficacy in Crohn's disease (CD). The PRECiSE 3 (P3) 7-year trial provides an opportunity to study predictors of short- and long-term clinical remission among CD patients treated with certolizumab pegol (CZP). AIM: To identify factors that influence long-term remission of CD with CZP treatment. METHODS: Patients who had completed placebo-controlled studies (PRECiSE 1/PRECiSE 2, P1/P2) enrolled in P3 and received open-label CZP 400 mg every 4 weeks up to 7 years. Baseline predictors included, but were not limited to, smoking status, disease duration, prior inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) surgery, Harvey-Bradshaw Index (HBI), albumin, haematocrit and CZP exposure; association with time to initial remission (HBI ≤4) was tested for patients who received CZP in P1/P2; time to loss of remission/frequency of maintenance of remission was also tested. Univariate analyses and multivariate Cox or logistic regression models were used. RESULTS: Predictors for initial remission (N = 377) included age, haematocrit, prior IBD surgery and entry HBI (P < 0.05 for all). Predictors for loss of remission (N = 437) included HBI, serum albumin concentration, haematocrit, smoking status and exposure. Predictors of maintenance of remission (N = 437) included haematocrit, IBD surgery, HBI, disease duration, serum albumin concentration and exposure. Significant predictors were confirmed with stepwise multivariate regression models. CONCLUSIONS: These analyses identified several influential parameters for short-and long-term remission of Crohn's disease with certolizumab pegol treatment. The data yield valuable hypotheses regarding factors that influence certolizumab pegol treatment. More investigation is needed. (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier NCT00552058).

Long-term safety and efficacy of certolizumab pegol in the treatment of Crohn's disease: 7-year results from the PRECiSE 3 study.

BACKGROUND: The efficacy and safety of certolizumab pegol (CZP) in moderate-to-severe Crohn's disease were demonstrated in two 26-week double-blind studies (PRECiSE 1 & 2). AIM: To report the safety and efficacy outcomes of long-term, CZP therapy from PRECiSE 3, in which patients received treatment up to 7 years treatment. METHODS: Patients completing PRECiSE 1 or 2 were eligible to enter PRECiSE 3 in which they received CZP 400 mg, open-label, every 4 weeks (without additional induction therapy) for up to 7 years, for up to 91 doses from study start. Safety (adverse events, including infections and malignancies) and efficacy (Harvey-Bradshaw Index, faecal calprotectin, C-reactive protein) were prospectively monitored. Remission was analysed using observed cases, last observation carried forward imputation and nonresponder imputation. RESULTS: A total of 595 patients entered the study; 117 (20%) completed 7 years. Discontinuation rates were 29.2%, 13.6%, 16.1%, 7.9%, 5.0%, 4.5% and 3.9% (years 1-7 respectively). During 1920 patient-years of exposure to CZP, no new safety signals were observed. Incidence rates (new cases/100 patient-years) for serious infections and malignant neoplasms were 4.37 and 1.06 respectively. No lymphoproliferative malignancies were reported. Clinical remission rates were ≥68% at each year (observed cases); rates by last observation carried forward and nonresponder imputation were 58% and 45% at year 1, 56% and 26% at year 3 and 55% and 13% at year 7 respectively. CONCLUSION: Certolizumab pegol was well tolerated in the long-term treatment of Crohn's disease, with sustained remission in some patients continuing in the study for up to 7 years. ClinicalTrials.gov identifier NCT00552058.

Characteristics associated with reported sputum culture conversion in the era of re-emergent Mycobacterium tuberculosis in the State of North Carolina, 1993-1998.

OBJECTIVE: To determine predictors of sputum culture conversion among patients undergoing treatment for pulmonary tuberculosis. DESIGN: Cohort study based on data collected through the expanded tuberculosis control program in the State of North Carolina, USA. Survival analysis using Kaplan-Meier product-limit estimator and Cox proportional hazards models was employed to compute estimates for time to sputum conversion and rate ratios, respectively. RESULTS: Sputum conversion was reported in 1144 of 1735 cases (66%). Documented conversion rose significantly from 52.9% at baseline to a peak of 95.1% by the end of the study, representing a 5.1% annual increase in the proportion of patients with reported conversion (P = 0.007). Patients co-infected with the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) had a 46% lower rate of sputum conversion than non-HIV-infected TB patients (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 0.54, 95%CI 0.44-0.67). Other significant predictors of reported conversion rates included directly observed therapy (DOT) (P = 0.02), the number of drugs used in the therapy regimen (P = 0.001), and non-injectable drug use (P = 0.012). CONCLUSION: The rate of reported sputum culture conversion in TB patients was low, consistent with an earlier population-based report. The symbiotic relationship between HIV and mycobacterial infection might be a factor that compromised response to therapy in coinfected individuals.