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1.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39302759

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Clinical and pathological confirmation of the diagnosis for chronic kidney disease (CKD) has limitations, with up to one-third of individuals remaining without a formal diagnosis. Increasingly, data suggests that these limitations can be overcome by genetic testing. The objective of this study is to estimate the diagnostic yield of genetic testing in adults with CKD. METHODS: Cohort studies that report diagnostic yield of genetic testing in adults with CKD published in PubMed or Embase between January 1, 2005, and December 31, 2023, were included. The Joanna Briggs Institute critical appraisal tool for prevalence studies was used to assess bias. Duplicate independent data extraction and a meta-analysis of proportions using generalized linear mixed models was completed. RESULTS: We included 60 studies with 10,107 adults with CKD who underwent genetic testing. We found a diagnostic yield of 40% (95% CI; 33 to 46); yield varied by CKD subtype with the highest yield of 62% (95% CI; 57 to 68) in cystic kidney disease. Positive family history and presence of extra-kidney features were associated with higher diagnostic yield. Reclassification of the before testing diagnosis following a positive genetic testing result occurred in 17% of the solved cohort. Six studies showed the clinical benefits of genetic tests including cascade testing for family members and treatment changes. CONCLUSIONS: Overall, we show that genetic testing is informative in a high proportion of clinically selected adults with CKD. The study was limited by heterogeneity in reporting, testing technologies, and cohort characteristics. TRIAL REGISTRATION: PROSPERO (CRD42023386880).

4.
Transfus Med Rev ; 38(3): 150839, 2024 Jul.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39003803

RESUMEN

Surgical patients are often transfused to manage bleeding and anemia. Best practices for red blood cell (RBC) transfusion administration in patient having noncardiac surgery remains controversial and a robust evaluation and description of perioperative transfusion practices is lacking. We characterized perioperative hemoglobin concentrations and transfusion practices from the prospective VISION cohort which included 39,222 patients aged ≥45 years who had inpatient noncardiac surgery. Variations in transfusion practices were analyzed using hierarchical mixed models, and associations with mortality and complications were evaluated using a nested frailty survival model. Within the cohort, 16.1% (n = 6296) were given perioperative RBC transfusions, with the fraction declining from 20% to 13% over the 6-year study period. The proportion of patients transfused varied by surgery type from 6.4% for low-risk operations (i.e., minor surgery) to 31.5% for orthopedic surgeries. Variations were largely associated with patient hemoglobin concentrations, but also with center (range: 3.7%-27.3%) and country (0.4%-25.3%). Even after adjusting for baseline hemoglobin, comorbidities and type of surgery, both center and country were significant sources of variation in transfusion practices. Among transfused participants, 60.4% (n = 3728/6170) had at least 1 hemoglobin concentration ≤80g/L and 86.0% (n = 5305/6170) had at least 1 hemoglobin concentration ≤90g/L, suggesting that relatively restrictive transfusion strategies were used in most. The proportion of patients receiving at least 1 RBC transfusion declined from 20% to 13% over 6 years. However, there was considerable unexplained variation in transfusion practices.


Asunto(s)
Anemia , Transfusión de Eritrocitos , Hemoglobinas , Atención Perioperativa , Humanos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Femenino , Masculino , Anciano , Transfusión de Eritrocitos/estadística & datos numéricos , Atención Perioperativa/métodos , Atención Perioperativa/estadística & datos numéricos , Hemoglobinas/análisis , Anemia/terapia , Anemia/epidemiología , Estudios Prospectivos , Procedimientos Quirúrgicos Operativos/estadística & datos numéricos , Procedimientos Quirúrgicos Operativos/efectos adversos , Transfusión Sanguínea/estadística & datos numéricos , Transfusión Sanguínea/métodos
5.
Gene ; 927: 148731, 2024 Nov 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38944164

RESUMEN

Vascular calcification is prevalent in chronic kidney disease (CKD). Genetic causes of CKD account for 10-20% of adult-onset disease. Vascular calcification is thought to be one of the most important risk factors for increased cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in CKD patients and is detectable in 80% of patients with end stage kidney disease (ESKD). Despite the high prevalence of vascular calcification in CKD, no single gene cause has been described. We hypothesized that variants in vascular calcification genes may contribute to disease pathogenesis in CKD, particularly in families who exhibit a predominant vascular calcification phenotype. We developed a list of eight genes that are hypothesized to play a role in vascular calcification due to their involvement in the ectopic calcification pathway: ABCC6, ALPL, ANK1, ENPP1, NT5E, SLC29A1, SLC20A2, and S100A12. With this, we assessed exome data from 77 CKD patients, who remained unsolved following evaluation for all known monogenic causes of CKD. We also analyzed an independent cohort (Ontario Neurodegenerative Disease Research Initiative (ONDRI), n = 520) who were screened for variants in ABCC6 and compared this to a control cohort of healthy adults (n = 52). We identified two CKD families with heterozygous pathogenic variants (R1141X and A667fs) in ABCC6. We identified 10 participants from the ONDRI cohort with heterozygous pathogenic or likely pathogenic variant in ABCC6. Replication in a healthy control cohort did not reveal any variants. Our study provides preliminary data supporting the hypothesis that ABCC6 may play a role in vascular calcification in CKD. By screening CKD patients for genetic causes early in the diagnostic pathway, patients with genetic causes associated with vascular calcification can potentially be preventatively treated with new therapeutics with aims to decrease mortality.


Asunto(s)
Proteínas Asociadas a Resistencia a Múltiples Medicamentos , Insuficiencia Renal Crónica , Calcificación Vascular , Humanos , Proteínas Asociadas a Resistencia a Múltiples Medicamentos/genética , Calcificación Vascular/genética , Calcificación Vascular/patología , Insuficiencia Renal Crónica/genética , Masculino , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Adulto , Anciano , Predisposición Genética a la Enfermedad
6.
JAMA Netw Open ; 7(4): e244581, 2024 Apr 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38564217

RESUMEN

Importance: Although major bleeding is among the most common and prognostically important perioperative complications, the relative timing of bleeding events is not well established. This information is critical for preventing bleeding complications and for informing the timing of pharmacologic thromboprophylaxis. Objective: To determine the timing of postoperative bleeding among patients undergoing surgery for up to 30 days after surgery. Design, Setting, and Participants: This is a secondary analysis of a prospective cohort study. Patients aged 45 years or older who underwent inpatient noncardiac surgery were recruited in 14 countries between 2007 and 2013, with follow-up until December 2014. Data analysis was performed from June to July 2023. Exposure: Noncardiac surgery requiring overnight hospital admission. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome (postoperative major bleeding) was a composite of the timing of the following bleeding outcomes: (1) bleeding leading to transfusion, (2) bleeding leading to a postoperative hemoglobin level less than 7 g/dL, (3) bleeding leading to death, and (4) bleeding associated with reintervention. Each of the components of the composite primary outcome (1-4) and bleeding independently associated with mortality after noncardiac surgery, which was defined as a composite of outcomes 1 to 3, were secondary outcomes. Results: Among 39 813 patients (median [IQR] age, 63.0 [54.8-72.5] years; 19 793 women [49.7%]), there were 5340 major bleeding events (primary outcome) in 4638 patients (11.6%) within the first 30 days after surgery. Of these events, 42.7% (95% CI, 40.9%-44.6%) occurred within 24 hours after surgery, 77.7% (95% CI, 75.8%-79.5%) by postoperative day 7, 88.3% (95% CI, 86.5%-90.2%) by postoperative day 14, and 94.6% (95% CI, 92.7%-96.5%) by postoperative day 21. Within 48 hours of surgery, 56.2% of major bleeding events, 56.2% of bleeding leading to transfusion, 56.1% of bleeding independently associated with mortality after noncardiac surgery, 51.8% of bleeding associated with hemoglobin less than 7 g/dL, and 51.8% of bleeding associated with reintervention had occurred. Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study, of the major postoperative bleeding events in the first 30 days, more than three-quarters occurred during the first postoperative week. These findings are useful for researchers for the planning future clinical research and for clinicians in prevention of bleeding-related surgical complications and in decision-making regarding starting of pharmacologic thromboprophylaxis after surgery.


Asunto(s)
Anticoagulantes , Tromboembolia Venosa , Humanos , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios de Cohortes , Estudios Prospectivos , Tromboembolia Venosa/epidemiología , Tromboembolia Venosa/etiología , Tromboembolia Venosa/prevención & control , Hemorragia Posoperatoria/epidemiología , Pacientes Internos , Hemoglobinas
7.
Transplant Direct ; 10(4): e1604, 2024 Apr.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38464423

RESUMEN

Background: The Canadian Anatomic Kidney Score (CAKS) is a novel 6-point grading system that standardizes the gross description of a donor kidney across 3 components-vessels, anatomy, and sticky fat. We hypothesized that the CAKS predicts allograft functional outcomes and provides additional information to the Kidney Donor Profile Index (KDPI) and histologic assessment of the donor kidney. Methods: Single-center cohort of 145 patients who underwent renal transplantation with CAKS analysis between 2018 and 2021. CAKS was prospectively determined before transplantation. Preimplantation core biopsies were assessed according to the Remuzzi score (RS). The primary outcome was 1-y allograft function represented by an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). Results: Linear regression without adjustment for KDPI or RS showed a significant association between the CAKS and 1-y eGFR (-8.7 mL/min/1.73 m2 per point increase in CAKS; 95% CI, -13.0 to -4.4; P < 0.001). Most of that association was attributed to the vessel component (-12.1; -19.4 to -4.8; P = 0.002). Adjustment for KDPI and RS attenuated the relationship between 1-y function and CAKS (-4.6; -9.5 to 0.3; P = 0.065) and vessel component (-7.4; -15.2 to 0.5; P = 0.068). Conclusions: Anatomic assessment of donor kidneys at the time of transplantation associates with allograft function at 1 y. Vascular assessment appears to make the dominant contribution.

8.
J Clin Anesth ; 94: 111417, 2024 06.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38387241

RESUMEN

STUDY OBJECTIVE: To assess how kidney disease is handled in randomized trials evaluating the safety and efficacy of perioperative tranexamic acid, and to evaluate its effects across levels of kidney function. DESIGN: Systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials. SETTING: We screened studies from a previous comprehensive systematic review, and updated its search of PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane CENTRAL to July 31, 2023. PATIENTS: Patients undergoing non-obstetric surgery. INTERVENTIONS: Intravenous tranexamic acid compared to placebo or usual care without tranexamic acid. MEASUREMENT: We summarized the handling of kidney disease in eligibility criteria, dose adjustments for kidney function, and effects of tranexamic acid on thrombotic events, seizures, and bleeding by subgroups of kidney function. MAIN RESULTS: We evaluated 300 trials with 53,085 participants; 45,958 participants (86.6%) were enrolled in 228 trials (76.0%) that explicitly excluded patients with kidney disease. Definitions of kidney diseased used for exclusion varied widely. Most were non-specific and some corresponded to mild disease. Only 5 trials adjusted dosing for kidney function. Meta-analysis of two large trials found tranexamic acid unlikely to substantially increase or decrease the occurrence of thrombotic events in patients with eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73m2 (RR, 0.95; 95% CI: 0.83 to 1.07) or ≥ 60 mL/min/1.73m2 (RR, 1.00; 95% CI, 0.91 to 1.11; P for subgroup difference = 0.47), but both trials excluded patients with severe kidney disease. No analysis could be performed regarding seizure risk. One large trial in noncardiac surgery reported similar reduction in bleeding across subgroups of kidney function but excluded patients with creatinine clearance <30 mL/min. CONCLUSIONS: The large evidence base supporting perioperative tranexamic acid suffers from broad and unjustified exclusion of patients with kidney disease. Typical perioperative dosing of tranexamic acid is likely safe and effective in patients with creatinine clearance >30 mL/min, but effects in more severe kidney disease are unknown.


Asunto(s)
Antifibrinolíticos , Enfermedades Renales , Ácido Tranexámico , Humanos , Antifibrinolíticos/efectos adversos , Creatinina , Hemorragia/prevención & control , Ácido Tranexámico/efectos adversos
9.
Perioper Med (Lond) ; 13(1): 5, 2024 Jan 23.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38263259

RESUMEN

We systematically reviewed the literature to investigate the effects of peri-procedural desmopressin in patients without known inherited bleeding disorders undergoing surgery or other invasive procedures. We included 63 randomized trials (4163 participants) published up to February 1, 2023. Seven trials were published after a 2017 Cochrane systematic review on this topic. There were 38 trials in cardiac surgery, 22 in noncardiac surgery, and 3 in non-surgical procedures. Meta-analyses demonstrated that desmopressin likely does not reduce the risk of receiving a red blood cell transfusion (25 trials, risk ratio [RR] 0.95, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.86 to 1.05) and may not reduce the risk of reoperation due to bleeding (22 trials, RR 0.75, 95% CI 0.47 to 1.19) when compared to placebo or usual care. However, we demonstrated significant reductions in number of units of red blood cells transfused (25 trials, mean difference -0.55 units, 95% CI - 0.94 to - 0.15), total volume of blood loss (33 trials, standardized mean difference - 0.40 standard deviations; 95% CI - 0.56 to - 0.23), and the risk of bleeding events (2 trials, RR 0.45, 95% CI 0.24 to 0.84). The certainty of evidence of these findings was generally low. Desmopressin increased the risk of clinically significant hypotension that required intervention (19 trials, RR 2.15, 95% CI 1.36 to 3.41). Limited evidence suggests that tranexamic acid is more effective than desmopressin in reducing transfusion risk (3 trials, RR 2.38 favoring tranexamic acid, 95% CI 1.06 to 5.39) and total volume of blood loss (3 trials, mean difference 391.7 mL favoring tranexamic acid, 95% CI - 93.3 to 876.7 mL). No trials directly informed the safety and hemostatic efficacy of desmopressin in advanced kidney disease. In conclusion, desmopressin likely reduces periprocedural blood loss and the number of units of blood transfused in small trials with methodologic limitations. However, the risk of hypotension needs to be mitigated. Large trials should evaluate desmopressin alongside tranexamic acid and enroll patients with advanced kidney disease.

10.
Inflamm Bowel Dis ; 30(1): 156-158, 2024 Jan 05.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37987647

RESUMEN

We review concerns regarding use of placebo in clinical trials of inflammatory bowel disease. We propose alternate designs to overcome ethical issues, while providing data that are clinically relevant.


Asunto(s)
Colitis Ulcerosa , Enfermedades Inflamatorias del Intestino , Humanos , Enfermedades Inflamatorias del Intestino/tratamiento farmacológico , Colitis Ulcerosa/tratamiento farmacológico
11.
Anesthesiology ; 140(1): 8-24, 2024 Jan 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37713506

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: In previous analyses, myocardial injury after noncardiac surgery, major bleeding, and sepsis were independently associated with most deaths in the 30 days after noncardiac surgery, but most of these deaths occurred during the index hospitalization for surgery. The authors set out to describe outcomes after discharge from hospital up to 1 yr after inpatient noncardiac surgery and associations between predischarge complications and postdischarge death up to 1 yr after surgery. METHODS: This study was an analysis of patients discharged after inpatient noncardiac surgery in a large international prospective cohort study across 28 centers from 2007 to 2013 of patients aged 45 yr or older followed to 1 yr after surgery. The study estimated (1) the cumulative postdischarge incidence of death and other outcomes up to a year after surgery and (2) the adjusted time-varying associations between postdischarge death and predischarge complications including myocardial injury after noncardiac surgery, major bleeding, sepsis, infection without sepsis, stroke, congestive heart failure, clinically important atrial fibrillation or flutter, amputation, venous thromboembolism, and acute kidney injury managed with dialysis. RESULTS: Among 38,898 patients discharged after surgery, the cumulative 1-yr incidence was 5.8% (95% CI, 5.5 to 6.0%) for all-cause death and 24.7% (95% CI, 24.2 to 25.1%) for all-cause hospital readmission. Predischarge complications were associated with 33.7% (95% CI, 27.2 to 40.2%) of deaths up to 30 days after discharge and 15.0% (95% CI, 12.0 to 17.9%) up to 1 yr. Most of the association with death was due to myocardial injury after noncardiac surgery (15.6% [95% CI, 9.3 to 21.9%] of deaths within 30 days, 6.4% [95% CI, 4.1 to 8.7%] within 1 yr), major bleeding (15.0% [95% CI, 8.3 to 21.7%] within 30 days, 4.7% [95% CI, 2.2 to 7.2%] within 1 yr), and sepsis (5.4% [95% CI, 2.2 to 8.6%] within 30 days, 2.1% [95% CI, 1.0 to 3.1%] within 1 yr). CONCLUSIONS: One in 18 patients 45 yr old or older discharged after inpatient noncardiac surgery died within 1 yr, and one quarter were readmitted to the hospital. The risk of death associated with predischarge perioperative complications persists for weeks to months after discharge.


Asunto(s)
Alta del Paciente , Sepsis , Humanos , Estudios Prospectivos , Cuidados Posteriores , Hemorragia , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/epidemiología , Factores de Riesgo
12.
Inflamm Bowel Dis ; 2023 Dec 30.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38159079

RESUMEN

Noninferiority trials are designed to demonstrate that a new treatment is not unacceptably worse than a standard treatment, considering an allowable difference termed the noninferiority margin. We highlight that selection of noninferiority margins at the time of study design can be biased toward wider margins that favor noninferiority claims. We discuss a clinically oriented approach to interpretation of results with a focus on confidence intervals and recommend that readers base their judgments regarding noninferiority on margins reflecting patient values and preferences rather than those set by investigators. We provide examples from trials in inflammatory bowel diseases.

13.
Can J Kidney Health Dis ; 10: 20543581231205334, 2023.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37920776

RESUMEN

Background: We previously published a retrospective study of kidney biopsies performed in a tertiary care hospital in London, Ontario from 2012 to 2017. This study resulted in a change of practice in our institution to shorter postbiopsy monitoring for outpatients as well as the development of a risk calculator to predict serious bleeding complications. Objective: The primary objective of this study was to determine whether this shorter monitoring time is adequate in the outpatient setting. A secondary objective was to validate the bleeding risk calculator in both inpatients and outpatients. Design: This was a retrospective chart review. Setting: This study was performed at a tertiary academic hospital in London, Ontario, Canada. Participants: This was a retrospective study of 400 adult patients who underwent kidney biopsy between April 30, 2018 and February 25, 2022 at a tertiary academic hospital in London, Canada. Methods: We retrospectively assessed frequency and timing of major bleeding complications in patients who underwent kidney biopsy. In secondary analyses, we examined the prediction performance of the risk calculator in discrimination and calibration. Results: Major bleeding occurred in 7 patients (1.8%). Five of these patients required blood transfusions (1.3%) and 2 required embolization (0.5%). In the outpatient setting, any major bleeding events were identified immediately (1 patient) or on the routine 2-hour ultrasounds (1 patient). The risk calculator showed good discrimination (C-statistic, 0.91, 95% confidence interval [CI] = [0.84 to 0.95]) and calibration (slope, 1.10, 95% CI = [0.47 to 1.74]; intercept, 95% CI = -0.02 [-0.79 to 0.75]), but with much uncertainty in the estimates. Limitations: The occurrence of only a few major bleeding events limits the reliability of our assessment of our risk calculator. Conclusions: There appears to be little yield in extending observation beyond 2 hours after an outpatient kidney biopsy with the use of immediate and 2-hour postbiopsy ultrasounds. The bleeding risk calculator (http://perioperativerisk.com/kbrc) warrants further validation.


Contexte: Nous avons publié précédemment une étude rétrospective des biopsies rénales effectuées entre 2012 et 2017 dans un hôpital de soins tertiaires de London, en Ontario. Les résultats de cette précédente étude ont entraîné un changement de pratique dans notre établissement, soit une réduction de la durée de la surveillance post-biopsie pour les patients ambulatoires, et la mise au point d'un calculateur de risque permettant de prédire les complications hémorragiques graves. Objectifs: L'objectif principal de l'étude en cours était de vérifier si ce temps de surveillance plus court est adéquat pour les patients ambulatoires. Un deuxième objectif était de valider le calculateur de risque d'hémorragie chez les patients hospitalisés et les patients ambulatoires. Conception: Étude rétrospective des dossiers médicaux. Cadre: Étude réalisée dans un hôpital de soins tertiaires de London, en Ontario (Canada). Sujets: Cette étude rétrospective portait sur 400 patients adultes ayant subi une biopsie rénale entre le 30 avril 2018 et le 25 février 2022 dans un centre hospitalier universitaire de soins tertiaires de London, au Canada. Méthodes: Nous avons procédé à un examen rétrospectif de la fréquence des complications hémorragiques graves, et du moment où celles-ci surviennent, chez les patients ayant subi une biopsie rénale. Dans les analyses secondaires, nous avons examiné la puissance prédictive du calculateur de risque en matière de discrimination et d'étalonnage. Résultats: Sept patients (1,75 %) ont subi une hémorragie majeure; de ces patients, cinq ont eu besoin de transfusions sanguines (1,3 %) et deux, d'une embolisation (0,5 %). En contexte ambulatoire, tous les événements hémorragiques graves ont été détectés immédiatement (un patient) ou lors de l'échographie de routine à deux heures (un patient). Le calculateur de risque a montré une bonne discrimination (statistique C : 0,91 [IC 95 % : 0,84 à 0,95]) et un bon étalonnage (pente : 1,10 [0,47 à 1,74]; point d'intersection : -0,02 [-0,79 à 0,75]), mais une grande incertitude dans les estimations. Limitations: La fiabilité de l'évaluation de notre calculateur de risque est limitée par le très faible échantillon d'événements hémorragiques graves étant survenus. Conclusion: Il semble y avoir peu d'intérêt à prolonger la surveillance au-delà de deux heures après une biopsie rénale chez les patients ambulatoires lorsqu'une échographie est pratiquée immédiatement après la procédure et deux heures plus tard. Le calculateur de risque d'hémorragie (http://perioperativerisk.com/kbrc) nécessite une validation plus approfondie.

14.
BMJ Open ; 13(5): e068147, 2023 05 19.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37208131

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: Both B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) and N-terminal pro-BNP (NT-pro-BNP) are used to identify patients at risk of perioperative vascular events, but prognostic thresholds have been established in a large prospective cohort for NT-pro-BNP only. We designed this study to inform perioperative risk interpretation of BNP values. Our primary objective is to validate a formula to convert BNP to NT-pro-BNP concentrations before non-cardiac surgery. The secondary objective is to determine the association between BNP categories (established based on conversion from NT-pro-BNP categories) and a composite outcome of myocardial injury after non-cardiac surgery (MINS) and vascular death. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: This is a single-centre, prospective cohort study in patients undergoing non-cardiac surgery who are >65 years old, Revised Cardiac Risk Index ≥1 or >45 years old with significant cardiovascular disease. BNP and NT-pro-BNP will be measured preoperatively, and troponin measurements will be analysed on postoperative days 1, 2 and 3. MINS and vascular death will be ascertained up to 30 days after surgery. The primary analyses will compare measured NT-pro-BNP values to those predicted by an existing formula (from a non-surgical population) based on BNP concentrations and patient characteristics, and recalibrate and update the formula with additional variables. Secondary analyses will estimate the relationship between categories of measured BNP (corresponding to established NT-pro-BNP thresholds) and the composite of MINS and vascular death. The target sample size of 431 patients is based on our primary analysis (assessing the conversion formula). ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: Ethics approval has been obtained by the Queen's University Health Sciences Research Ethics Board, and all participants will provide informed consent for participation in the study. The results will be submitted for publication in conferences and in a peer-reviewed journal, and will inform perioperative vascular risk interpretation of preoperative BNP. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT05352698.


Asunto(s)
Péptido Natriurético Encefálico , Fragmentos de Péptidos , Humanos , Anciano , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Prospectivos , Biomarcadores , Pronóstico
15.
Kidney Int ; 103(2): 261-263, 2023 02.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36681456

RESUMEN

Aspirin effectively prevents subsequent cardiovascular events. A post hoc subgroup analysis of the International Polycap Study 3 (TIPS-3) trial suggests that patients with chronic kidney disease might also benefit from aspirin for primary prevention. We consider the merits of doing so in practice.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedades Cardiovasculares , Insuficiencia Renal Crónica , Humanos , Aspirina/efectos adversos , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/etiología , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/prevención & control , Inhibidores de Agregación Plaquetaria/efectos adversos , Prevención Primaria , Insuficiencia Renal Crónica/complicaciones
17.
J Clin Epidemiol ; 143: 202-211, 2022 03.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34800677

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Prognostic models combine several prognostic factors to provide an estimate of the likelihood (or risk) of future events in individual patients, conditional on their prognostic factor values. A fundamental part of evaluating prognostic models is undertaking studies to determine whether their predictive performance, such as calibration and discrimination, is reproduced across settings. Systematic reviews and meta-analyses of studies evaluating prognostic models' performance are a necessary step for selection of models for clinical practice and for testing the underlying assumption that their use will improve outcomes, including patient's reassurance and optimal future planning. METHODS: In this paper, we highlight key concepts in evaluating the certainty of evidence regarding the calibration of prognostic models. RESULTS AND CONCLUSION: Four concepts are key to evaluating the certainty of evidence on prognostic models' performance regarding calibration. The first concept is that the inference regarding calibration may take one of two forms: deciding whether one is rating certainty that a model's performance is satisfactory or, instead, unsatisfactory, in either case defining the threshold for satisfactory (or unsatisfactory) model performance. Second, inconsistency is the critical GRADE domain to deciding whether we are rating certainty in the model performance being satisfactory or unsatisfactory. Third, depending on whether one is rating certainty in satisfactory or unsatisfactory performance, different patterns of inconsistency of results across studies will inform ratings of certainty of evidence. Fourth, exploring the distribution of point estimates of observed to expected ratio across individual studies, and its determinants, will bear on the need for and direction of future research.


Asunto(s)
Pronóstico , Calibración , Predicción , Humanos , Probabilidad
18.
BMJ ; 374: n2209, 2021 09 30.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34593374

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To determine if virtual care with remote automated monitoring (RAM) technology versus standard care increases days alive at home among adults discharged after non-elective surgery during the covid-19 pandemic. DESIGN: Multicentre randomised controlled trial. SETTING: 8 acute care hospitals in Canada. PARTICIPANTS: 905 adults (≥40 years) who resided in areas with mobile phone coverage and were to be discharged from hospital after non-elective surgery were randomised either to virtual care and RAM (n=451) or to standard care (n=454). 903 participants (99.8%) completed the 31 day follow-up. INTERVENTION: Participants in the experimental group received a tablet computer and RAM technology that measured blood pressure, heart rate, respiratory rate, oxygen saturation, temperature, and body weight. For 30 days the participants took daily biophysical measurements and photographs of their wound and interacted with nurses virtually. Participants in the standard care group received post-hospital discharge management according to the centre's usual care. Patients, healthcare providers, and data collectors were aware of patients' group allocations. Outcome adjudicators were blinded to group allocation. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary outcome was days alive at home during 31 days of follow-up. The 12 secondary outcomes included acute hospital care, detection and correction of drug errors, and pain at 7, 15, and 30 days after randomisation. RESULTS: All 905 participants (mean age 63.1 years) were analysed in the groups to which they were randomised. Days alive at home during 31 days of follow-up were 29.7 in the virtual care group and 29.5 in the standard care group: relative risk 1.01 (95% confidence interval 0.99 to 1.02); absolute difference 0.2% (95% confidence interval -0.5% to 0.9%). 99 participants (22.0%) in the virtual care group and 124 (27.3%) in the standard care group required acute hospital care: relative risk 0.80 (0.64 to 1.01); absolute difference 5.3% (-0.3% to 10.9%). More participants in the virtual care group than standard care group had a drug error detected (134 (29.7%) v 25 (5.5%); absolute difference 24.2%, 19.5% to 28.9%) and a drug error corrected (absolute difference 24.4%, 19.9% to 28.9%). Fewer participants in the virtual care group than standard care group reported pain at 7, 15, and 30 days after randomisation: absolute differences 13.9% (7.4% to 20.4%), 11.9% (5.1% to 18.7%), and 9.6% (2.9% to 16.3%), respectively. Beneficial effects proved substantially larger in centres with a higher rate of care escalation. CONCLUSION: Virtual care with RAM shows promise in improving outcomes important to patients and to optimal health system function. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04344665.


Asunto(s)
Cuidados Posteriores/métodos , Monitoreo Ambulatorio/métodos , Procedimientos Quirúrgicos Operativos/enfermería , Telemedicina/métodos , Anciano , COVID-19/epidemiología , Canadá/epidemiología , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Errores de Medicación/estadística & datos numéricos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Dolor Postoperatorio/epidemiología , Pandemias , Alta del Paciente , Periodo Posoperatorio , Procedimientos Quirúrgicos Operativos/mortalidad
19.
JAMA Netw Open ; 4(8): e2121901, 2021 08 02.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34424303

RESUMEN

Importance: Severe acute kidney injury (AKI) is a serious postoperative complication. A tool for predicting the risk of AKI requiring kidney replacement therapy (KRT) after major noncardiac surgery might assist with patient counseling and targeted use of measures to reduce this risk. Objective: To derive and validate a predictive model for AKI requiring KRT after major noncardiac surgery. Design, Setting, and Participants: In this prognostic study, 5 risk prediction models were derived and internally validated in a population-based cohort of adults without preexisting kidney failure who underwent noncardiac surgery in Alberta, Canada, between January 1, 2004, and December 31, 2013. The best performing model and corresponding risk index were externally validated in a population-based cohort of adults without preexisting kidney failure who underwent noncardiac surgery in Ontario, Canada, between January 1, 2007, and December 31, 2017. Data analysis was conducted from September 1, 2019, to May 31, 2021. Exposures: Demographic characteristics, surgery type, laboratory measures, and comorbidities before surgery. Main Outcomes and Measures: Acute kidney injury requiring KRT within 14 days after surgery. Discrimination was assessed using the C statistic; calibration was assessed using calibration intercept and slope. Logistic recalibration was used to optimize model calibration in the external validation cohort. Results: The derivation cohort included 92 114 patients (52.2% female; mean [SD] age, 62.3 [18.0] years), and the external validation cohort included 709 086 patients (50.8% female; mean [SD] age, 61.0 [16.0] years). A total of 529 patients (0.6%) developed postoperative AKI requiring KRT in the derivation cohort, and 2956 (0.4%) developed postoperative AKI requiring KRT in the external validation cohort. The following factors were consistently associated with the risk of AKI requiring KRT: younger age (40-69 years: odds ratio [OR], 2.07 [95% CI, 1.69-2.53]; <40 years: OR, 3.73 [95% CI, 2.61-5.33]), male sex (OR, 1.55; 95% CI, 1.28-1.87), surgery type (colorectal: OR, 4.86 [95% CI, 3.28-7.18]; liver or pancreatic: OR, 6.46 [95% CI, 3.85-10.83]; other abdominal: OR, 2.19 [95% CI, 1.66-2.89]; abdominal aortic aneurysm repair: OR, 19.34 [95% CI, 14.31-26.14]; other vascular: OR, 7.30 [95% CI, 5.48-9.73]; thoracic: OR, 3.41 [95% CI, 2.07-5.59]), lower estimated glomerular filtration rate (OR, 0.97; 95% CI, 0.97-0.97 per 1 mL/min/1.73 m2 increase), lower hemoglobin concentration (OR, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.98-0.99 per 0.1 g/dL increase), albuminuria (mild: OR, 1.88 [95% CI, 1.52-2.33]; heavy: OR, 3.74 [95% CI, 2.98-4.69]), history of myocardial infarction (OR, 1.63; 95% CI, 1.32-2.03), and liver disease (mild: OR, 2.32 [95% CI, 1.66-3.24]; moderate or severe: OR, 4.96 [95% CI, 3.58-6.85]). In external validation, a final model including these variables showed excellent discrimination (C statistic, 0.95; 95% CI, 0.95-0.96), with sensitivity of 21.2%, specificity of 99.9%, positive predictive value of 38.1%, and negative predictive value of 99.7% at a predicted risk threshold of 10% or greater. Conclusions and Relevance: The findings suggest that this risk model can predict AKI requiring KRT after noncardiac surgery using routine preoperative data. The model may be feasible for implementation in clinical perioperative risk stratification for severe AKI.


Asunto(s)
Lesión Renal Aguda/etiología , Lesión Renal Aguda/terapia , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/etiología , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/terapia , Guías de Práctica Clínica como Asunto , Terapia de Reemplazo Renal/normas , Medición de Riesgo/normas , Lesión Renal Aguda/epidemiología , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Alberta/epidemiología , Estudios de Cohortes , Femenino , Predicción/métodos , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Oportunidad Relativa , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/epidemiología , Pronóstico , Medición de Riesgo/estadística & datos numéricos , Factores de Riesgo , Adulto Joven
20.
Can J Cardiol ; 37(12): 1934-1941, 2021 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34182021

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: In women, preeclampsia has a known association with increased long-term cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. However, it is unknown whether it is associated with increased postoperative cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in women. We aimed to determine if preeclampsia is an independent risk factor for myocardial injury after noncardiac surgery (MINS) and postoperative 30-day mortality. METHODS: This study was a large international multicentre cohort study of a representative sample of 40,004 patients recruited from August 2007 to November 2013. Participants were ≥ 45 years of age and underwent inpatient noncardiac surgery. Within this cohort, our study examined women with a history of pregnancy. Using multivariable models, we explored the association between a history of pregnancy affected by preeclampsia and our primary outcome of MINS and secondary outcome of postoperative mortality within 30 days. MINS was defined as prognostically relevant myocardial injury due to ischemia that occurred during or within 30 days after noncardiac surgery. RESULTS: Analyses were restricted to the 13,902 participants with a history of pregnancy. Among these women, 976 (7.0%) had a history of preeclampsia. A history of preeclampsia was associated with an increased risk of MINS, with an adjusted hazard ratio of 1.26 (95% confidence interval 1.03-1.53; P = 0.02). Preeclampsia was not significantly associated with 30-day mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Preeclampsia is a risk factor for MINS and should be considered in the preoperative cardiovascular risk assessment of women.


Asunto(s)
Isquemia Miocárdica/etiología , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/etiología , Preeclampsia/epidemiología , Medición de Riesgo/métodos , Biomarcadores/sangre , Femenino , Estudios de Seguimiento , Salud Global , Humanos , Incidencia , Persona de Mediana Edad , Isquemia Miocárdica/sangre , Isquemia Miocárdica/epidemiología , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/epidemiología , Embarazo , Pronóstico , Estudios Prospectivos , Factores de Riesgo , Tasa de Supervivencia/tendencias , Factores de Tiempo , Troponina T/sangre
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