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1.
Lancet Glob Health ; 12(11): e1881-e1890, 2024 Nov.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39424575

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Epidemic forms of hepatitis E cause high mortality among pregnant people, with case fatality risks over 30% and adverse fetal outcomes. In 2022, the first mass reactive vaccination campaign against hepatitis E was conducted in South Sudan with the HEV239 vaccine. We aimed to assess whether vaccination against hepatitis E in pregnancy increases the risk of fetal loss in a cohort of vaccinated and unvaccinated pregnant people. METHODS: In this emulated target trial, an exhaustive pregnancy census was conducted in Bentiu internally displaced persons camp after the second of three vaccination rounds. Women and girls aged 14-45 years with no current jaundice or acute illness were eligible for participation. Individuals who consented were revisited 28 days after their delivery date to document the pregnancy outcome. We used an emulated target trial framework to address biases inherent in observational studies. We matched vaccinated to unvaccinated participants on age, gestational age, and vaccination propensity score and estimated cumulative incidence functions for fetal loss in vaccinated compared to unvaccinated women in a competing risks framework using the Aalen-Johansen estimator. FINDINGS: Between May 16 and June 30, 2022, 3421 participants were enrolled and followed up for inclusion in analysis. Among 2741 women who had a pregnancy outcome after the start of the vaccination campaign, 67 (2·4%) were vaccinated before conception, 2036 (74·3%) were vaccinated during pregnancy, and 638 (23·2%) were not vaccinated. Among the 2407 women retained in the matched analyses, the cumulative risk of fetal loss among individuals vaccinated during pregnancy was 7·2% (95% CI 5·6-8·7) compared with 6·1% (3·7-9·2) among unvaccinated individuals, implying a risk ratio of 1·2 (95% CI 0·7-1·9). INTERPRETATION: No evidence of increased risk of fetal loss was found among individuals vaccinated during pregnancy. FUNDING: Médecins Sans Frontières.


Asunto(s)
Hepatitis E , Vacunación Masiva , Vacunas contra Hepatitis Viral , Humanos , Femenino , Embarazo , Sudán del Sur/epidemiología , Adulto , Adulto Joven , Adolescente , Hepatitis E/prevención & control , Hepatitis E/epidemiología , Vacunación Masiva/estadística & datos numéricos , Vacunas contra Hepatitis Viral/administración & dosificación , Persona de Mediana Edad , Complicaciones Infecciosas del Embarazo/prevención & control , Campos de Refugiados , Refugiados/estadística & datos numéricos , Resultado del Embarazo/epidemiología
2.
PLoS Negl Trop Dis ; 18(1): e0011661, 2024 Jan.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38252655

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: Hepatitis E (HEV) genotypes 1 and 2 are the common cause of jaundice and acute viral hepatitis that can cause large-scale outbreaks. HEV infection is associated with adverse fetal outcomes and case fatality risks up to 31% among pregnant women. An efficacious three-dose recombinant vaccine (Hecolin) has been licensed in China since 2011 but until 2022, had not been used for outbreak response despite a 2015 WHO recommendation. The first ever mass vaccination campaign against hepatitis E in response to an outbreak was implemented in 2022 in Bentiu internally displaced persons camp in South Sudan targeting 27,000 residents 16-40 years old, including pregnant women. METHODS: We conducted a vaccination coverage survey using simple random sampling from a sampling frame of all camp shelters following the third round of vaccination. For survey participants vaccinated in the third round in October, we asked about the onset of symptoms experienced within 72 hours of vaccination. During each of the three vaccination rounds, passive surveillance of adverse events following immunisation (AEFI) was put in place at vaccination sites and health facilities in Bentiu IDP camp. RESULTS: We surveyed 1,599 individuals and found that self-reported coverage with one or more dose was 86% (95% CI 84-88%), 73% (95% CI 70-75%) with two or more doses and 58% (95% CI 55-61%) with three doses. Vaccination coverage did not differ significantly by sex or age group. We found no significant difference in coverage of at least one dose between pregnant and non-pregnant women, although coverage of at least two and three doses was 8 and 14 percentage points lower in pregnant women. The most common reasons for non-vaccination were temporary absence or unavailability, reported by 60% of unvaccinated people. Passive AEFI surveillance captured few mild AEFI, and through the survey we found that 91 (7.6%) of the 1,195 individuals reporting to have been vaccinated in October 2022 reported new symptoms starting within 72 hours after vaccination, most commonly fever, headache or fatigue. CONCLUSIONS: We found a high coverage of at least one dose of the Hecolin vaccine following three rounds of vaccination, and no severe AEFI. The vaccine was well accepted and well tolerated in the Bentiu IDP camp community and should be considered for use in future outbreak response.


Asunto(s)
Hepatitis E , Refugiados , Humanos , Femenino , Embarazo , Adolescente , Adulto Joven , Adulto , Cobertura de Vacunación , Hepatitis E/epidemiología , Hepatitis E/prevención & control , Sudán del Sur/epidemiología , Vacunación/efectos adversos , Programas de Inmunización
4.
J Int AIDS Soc ; 25(11): e26033, 2022 11.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36419346

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: The potential disruption in antiretroviral therapy (ART) services in Africa at the start of the COVID-19 pandemic raised concern for increased morbidity and mortality among people living with HIV (PLHIV). We describe HIV treatment trends before and during the pandemic and interventions implemented to mitigate COVID-19 impact among countries supported by the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) through the President's Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief (PEPFAR). METHODS: We analysed quantitative and qualitative data reported by 10,387 PEPFAR-CDC-supported ART sites in 19 African countries between October 2019 and March 2021. Trends in PLHIV on ART, new ART initiations and treatment interruptions were assessed. Viral load coverage (testing of eligible PLHIV) and viral suppression were calculated at select time points. Qualitative data were analysed to summarize facility- and community-based interventions implemented to mitigate COVID-19. RESULTS: The total number of PLHIV on ART increased quarterly from October 2019 (n = 7,540,592) to March 2021 (n = 8,513,572). The adult population (≥15 years) on ART increased by 14.0% (7,005,959-7,983,793), while the paediatric population (<15 years) on ART declined by 2.6% (333,178-324,441). However, the number of new ART initiations dropped between March 2020 and June 2020 by 23.4% for adults and 26.1% for children, with more rapid recovery in adults than children from September 2020 onwards. Viral load coverage increased slightly from April 2020 to March 2021 (75-78%) and viral load suppression increased from October 2019 to March 2021 (91-94%) among adults and children combined. The most reported interventions included multi-month dispensing (MMD) of ART, community service delivery expansion, and technology and virtual platforms use for client engagement and site-level monitoring. MMD of ≥3 months increased from 52% in October 2019 to 78% of PLHIV ≥ age 15 on ART in March 2021. CONCLUSIONS: With an overall increase in the number of people on ART, HIV programmes proved to be resilient, mitigating the impact of COVID-19. However, the decline in the number of children on ART warrants urgent investigation and interventions to prevent further losses experienced during the COVID-19 pandemic and future public health emergencies.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Infecciones por VIH , Adulto , Niño , Humanos , Adolescente , Infecciones por VIH/tratamiento farmacológico , Infecciones por VIH/epidemiología , Infecciones por VIH/prevención & control , COVID-19/prevención & control , Pandemias/prevención & control , Antirretrovirales/uso terapéutico , África/epidemiología
5.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 28(11)2022 11.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36286224

RESUMEN

We applied a new serosurveillance tool to estimate typhoidal Salmonella burden using samples collected during 2020 from a population in Juba, South Sudan. By using dried blood spot testing, we found an enteric fever seroincidence rate of 30/100 person-years and cumulative incidence of 74% over a 4-year period.


Asunto(s)
Fiebre Paratifoidea , Fiebre Tifoidea , Humanos , Fiebre Tifoidea/epidemiología , Salmonella paratyphi A , Salmonella typhi , Sudán del Sur/epidemiología , Salmonella , Fiebre Paratifoidea/epidemiología
6.
Pan Afr Med J ; 42(Suppl 1): 4, 2022.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36158931

RESUMEN

Introduction: South Sudan is facing a protracted humanitarian crisis with increasing population vulnerability. The study aimed to describe the epidemiology of COVID-19 in displaced populations in South Sudan. Methods: the study involved the internally displaced populations (IDP) in Bentiu IDP camp, South Sudan. This was a descriptive cross-sectional study involving individuals that met the COVID-19 probable and confirmed case definitions from May 2020 to November 2021. Case data were managed using Microsoft Excel databases. Results: the initial COVID-19 case in Bentiu IDP camp was reported on 2 May 2020. The overall cumulative attack rate (cases per million) was 3,230 for Bentiu IDP and 1,038 at the national level. The COVID-19 Case Fatality Ratio (CFR) among the IDPs was 19.08% among confirmed and 1.06% at the national level. There was one wave of COVID-19 transmission in the IDPs that coincided with the second COVID-19 wave in South Sudan for the period May 2020 to November 2021. Adult males aged 20-49 years were the most affected and constituted 47.1% of COVID-19 cases. Most severe cases were reported among adults 60-69 years (53%) and ≥ 70 years (80%). The risk of COVID-19 death (deaths per 10,000) increased with age and was highest in patients aged ≥ 60 years at 64.1. The commonest underlying illnesses among COVID-19 deaths was HIV-related illness, heart disease, and tuberculosis. Conclusion: COVID-19 constitutes a significant impact on internally displaced populations of South Sudan. The COVID-19 response in displaced populations and the high-risk groups therein should be optimized.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Adulto , Humanos , Masculino , COVID-19/epidemiología , Estudios Transversales , Incidencia , Sudán del Sur/epidemiología , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Anciano , Adulto Joven
7.
Pan Afr Med J ; 42(Suppl 1): 6, 2022.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36158929

RESUMEN

Introduction: South Sudan has been implementing the Integrated Disease Surveillance and Response (IDSR) strategy since 2006, along with Early Warning and Alert Response and Network (EWARN). The IDSR/EWARN stakeholders commissioned an independent evaluation to establish performance at national, state, county, health facility, and community levels in the first half of 2021. Methods: the evaluation was conducted between June and September 2021 (during the COVID-19 pandemic) and was based on the World Health Organization (WHO) protocols for monitoring and evaluating communicable disease surveillance and response systems and the guidelines for evaluating EWARN. Results: integrated disease surveillance and response/early warning and alert response and network indicator data showed improving timeliness and completeness from the beginning of 2021 to week 16 and then a slight depression of timeliness by week 32, while completeness remained high. Event-based surveillance was active at the beginning of 2021 and in week 32. However, there was inadequate sample collection to investigate acute watery diarrhea, bloody diarrhea, and acute jaundice syndrome alerts. Respondents in all cadres had substantial experience working in IDSR/EWARN. All respondents performed the various IDSR/EWARN tasks and duties as expected, but needed more resources and training. Conclusion: while IDSR/EWARN is performing relatively well, confirmation of priority diseases by the laboratories needs to be strengthened. Health facilities need more regular supervision from the higher levels. Community health workers need more training on IDSR/EWARN. The whole IDSR/EWARN system needs more resources, particularly for communication and transport and to confirm priority diseases. Staff at all levels requested more training in IDSR/EWARN.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Control de Enfermedades Transmisibles , COVID-19/epidemiología , Control de Enfermedades Transmisibles/métodos , Diarrea , Brotes de Enfermedades , Humanos , Pandemias , Vigilancia de la Población/métodos , Sudán del Sur/epidemiología
8.
Pan Afr Med J ; 42(Suppl 1): 13, 2022.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36158932

RESUMEN

Introduction: decades of instability continue to impact the implementation of the Integrated Disease Surveillance and Response (IDSR) strategy. The study reviewed the progress and outcomes of rolling out IDSR in South Sudan. Methods: this descriptive cross-sectional study used epidemiological data for 2019, 2020, and other program data to assess indicators for the five surveillance components including surveillance priorities, core and support functions, and surveillance system structure and quality. Results: South Sudan expanded the priority disease scope from 26 to 59 to align with national and regional epidemiological trends and the International Health Regulations (IHR) 2005. Completing the countrywide rollout of electronic Early Warning Alert and Response (EWARS) reporting has improved both the timeliness and completeness of weekly reporting to 78% and 90%, respectively, by week 39 of 2020 in comparison to a baseline of 54% on both timeliness and completeness of reporting in 2019. The National Public Health Laboratory confirmatory testing capacities have been expanded to include cholera, measles, HIV, tuberculosis (TB), influenza, Ebola, yellow fever, and Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome 2 (SARS-COV-2). Rapid response teams have been established to respond to epidemics and pandemics. Conclusion: since 2006, South Sudan has registered progress towards using indicator and event-based surveillance and continues to strengthen IHR (2005) capacities. Following the adoption of third edition IDSR guidelines, the current emphasis entails maintaining earlier gains and strengthening community and event-based surveillance, formalizing cross-sectoral one-health engagement, optimal EWARS and District Health Information Systems (DHIS2) use, and strengthening cross-border surveillance. It is also critical that optimal government, and donors' resources are dedicated to supporting health system strengthening and disease surveillance.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Brotes de Enfermedades , Estudios Transversales , Humanos , Vigilancia de la Población , SARS-CoV-2 , Sudán del Sur/epidemiología
9.
Pan Afr Med J ; 42(Suppl 1): 5, 2022.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36158935

RESUMEN

Introduction: the emergence and re-emergence of zoonotic diseases have threatened both human and animal health globally since their identification in the 20th century. Rift Valley fever (RVF) virus is a recurrent zoonotic disease in South Sudan, with the earliest RVF cases confirmed in 2007 in Kapoeta North County, Eastern Equatoria state. Methods: we analyzed national RVF outbreak data to describe the epidemiological pattern of the RVF outbreak in Yirol East county in Lakes State. The line list of cases (confirmed, probable, suspected, and non-cases) was used to describe the pattern and risk factors associated with the outbreak. The animal and human blood samples were tested using Enzyme-Linked Immunosorbent Assay (ELISA) (Immunoglobulin IgG and IgM) and Reverse Transcriptase-Polymerase Chain Reaction (RT-PCR). Qualitative data were collected from weekly RVF situation reports, and national guidelines and policies. Results: between December 2017 and December 2018, 58 suspected human RVF cases were reported. The cases were reclassified based on laboratory and investigations results, such that as of 16th December 2018, there were a total of six (10.3%) laboratory-confirmed, three (5.2%) probable, one (1.7%) suspected, and 48 (82.8%) non-cases were reported. A total of four deaths were reported during the outbreak (case fatality rate (CFR) 6.8% (4/58). A total of 28 samples were collected from animals; of these, six tested positives for RVF (positivity rate of 32.1% (9/28). The outbreak was announced in March 2018, after four months of the first reported suspected RVF case. Several factors were attributed to the delayed notification and outbreak announcement such as lack of multi-sectorial coordination at the state and county level, multi-sectoral coordination at national level mostly attended by public health experts from human health, inadequate animal health surveillance, poor coordination between livestock disease surveillance and public health surveillance, limited in-country laboratory diagnostic capacity, the laboratory results for the animal health took longer than expected, and lack of a national One Health approach strategy. Conclusion: the outbreak demonstrated gaps to investigate and respond to zoonotic disease outbreaks in South Sudan.


Asunto(s)
Salud Única , Fiebre del Valle del Rift , Virus de la Fiebre del Valle del Rift , Animales , Brotes de Enfermedades , Humanos , Inmunoglobulina G , Inmunoglobulina M , ADN Polimerasa Dirigida por ARN , Fiebre del Valle del Rift/epidemiología , Sudán del Sur/epidemiología , Zoonosis/epidemiología
10.
Pan Afr Med J ; 42(Suppl 1): 10, 2022.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36158936

RESUMEN

Introduction: the study was conducted to assess the readiness and capacity of the core components of infection prevention and control and water, sanitation and hygiene in health facilities to effectively contain potential outbreaks of Ebola virus and other diseases in South Sudan. Methods: it is a descriptive cross-sectional study which was conducted in health facilities in six high-risk States of the country from September 2020 to December 2021. Data was collected using a structured questionnaire and analyzed with Microsoft Excel software. Results: one hundred and fifty-one (151) health facilities with a total bed capacity of 3089 were enrolled into the study. Overall, the least prepared infection prevention and control, water and sanitation core components in ascending order were the coordination committee structure (13.19%), guidelines and SOPs (21.85%), vector control (22.02%), staff management (30.63%), and training received (33.64%). The best prepared components in descending order were integrated disease surveillance and response capacity (69.83%), medical waste management system (57.12%) and infrastructure compliance (54.69%). Conclusion: the findings of this study which is comparable to those of other studies in similar settings validates the perception that Infection Prevention and Control/Water, Sanitation, and Hygiene (IPC/WASH) capacity and readiness is inadequate in South Sudan. To scale up these core components, we recommend development and implementation of a comprehensive and long-term infection prevention and control strategic plan as part of the country's broader health sector recovery planning.


Asunto(s)
Ebolavirus , Fiebre Hemorrágica Ebola , Estudios Transversales , Brotes de Enfermedades/prevención & control , Instituciones de Salud , Fiebre Hemorrágica Ebola/epidemiología , Fiebre Hemorrágica Ebola/prevención & control , Humanos , Saneamiento , Sudán del Sur/epidemiología , Agua
11.
Pan Afr Med J ; 42(Suppl 1): 9, 2022.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36158938

RESUMEN

Introduction: South Sudan is affected by a high burden of Neglected Tropical Diseases (NTDs). The country is very vulnerable to NTDs due to its favourable tropical climate and multiple risk factors. However, the distribution of the diseases and the populations at risk for the various NTDs is unknown. This paper describes the distribution of lymphatic filariasis (LF) in 58 counties of South Sudan. Methods: a descriptive quantitative cross-sectional study of LF in 58 counties in 8 states of South Sudan recruited adult volunteers aged ≥ 15 years tested for circulating filarial antigens (CFA). A quantitative descriptive statistical was performed to determine the prevalence rates and the endemicity (CFA positivity rate ≥1%) of lymphatic filariasis in 9213 adult individuals from 101 villages. Results: the overall prevalence of positive CFA was 1.6%, and the highest state prevalence was reported in the Upper Nile state at 3.4%. Based on the prevalence of positive CFA 64% of the surveyed counties are endemic to lymphatic filariasis. The endemicity ranged from 1-11.1% positive CFA. The highest prevalence of positive CAF was observed in the >50 years old age group (2.7%), followed by the 46-50 age group (2.3%). Males tested more positive than females (52.4% Vs 47.6%). Participants were three times more likely to test positive for CFA on filarial test strips (FTS) compared to immunochromatographic test (ICT). There was a statistically significant difference in the prevalence of positive CFA among the two tests (P=.002). Conclusion: the distribution of LF is widespread, with varying transmission risks. The produced prevalence maps of infection provided evidence on the areas for targeted interventions in the national NTD program in South Sudan. An increased number of positive CFA were identified using FTS than ICT; hence, it is advisable to use FTS in the future transmission survey.


Asunto(s)
Filariasis Linfática , Adulto , Animales , Antígenos Helmínticos , Estudios Transversales , Filariasis Linfática/epidemiología , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Prevalencia , Sudán del Sur/epidemiología , Wuchereria bancrofti
13.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 27(12): 3133-3136, 2021 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34708685

RESUMEN

As the coronavirus pandemic continues, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) sequence data are required to inform vaccine efforts. We provide SARS-CoV-2 sequence data from South Sudan and document the dominance of SARS-CoV-2 lineage B.1.525 (Eta variant) during the country's second wave of infection.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Humanos , Pandemias , Sudán del Sur/epidemiología
14.
MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep ; 70(22): 811-817, 2021 Jun 04.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34081689

RESUMEN

Early models predicted substantial COVID-19-associated morbidity and mortality across Africa (1-3). However, as of March 2021, countries in Africa are among those with the lowest reported incidence of COVID-19 worldwide (4). Whether this reflects effective mitigation, outbreak response, or demographic characteristics, (5) or indicates limitations in disease surveillance capacity is unclear (6). As countries implemented changes in funding, national policies, and testing strategies in response to the COVID-19 pandemic, surveillance capacity might have been adversely affected. This study assessed whether changes in surveillance operations affected reporting in South Sudan; testing and case numbers reported during April 6, 2020-February 21, 2021, were analyzed relative to the timing of funding, policy, and strategy changes.* South Sudan, with a population of approximately 11 million, began COVID-19 surveillance in February 2020 and reported 6,931 cases through February 21, 2021. Surveillance data analyzed were from point of entry screening, testing of symptomatic persons who contacted an alert hotline, contact tracing, sentinel surveillance, and outbound travel screening. After travel restrictions were relaxed in early May 2020, international land and air travel resumed and mandatory requirements for negative pretravel test results were initiated. The percentage of all testing accounted for by travel screening increased >300%, from 21.1% to 91.0% during the analysis period, despite yielding the lowest percentage of positive tests among all sources. Although testing of symptomatic persons and contact tracing yielded the highest percentage of COVID-19 cases, the percentage of all testing from these sources decreased 88%, from 52.6% to 6.3% after support for these activities was reduced. Collectively, testing increased over the project period, but shifted toward sources least likely to yield positive results, possibly resulting in underreporting of cases. Policy, funding, and strategy decisions related to the COVID-19 pandemic response, such as those implemented in South Sudan, are important issues to consider when interpreting the epidemiology of COVID-19 outbreaks.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19/prevención & control , Toma de Decisiones , Financiación Gubernamental , Vigilancia en Salud Pública , Salud Pública/economía , Política Pública , COVID-19/epidemiología , Humanos , Sudán del Sur/epidemiología
15.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 27(6): 1598-1606, 2021 06.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34013872

RESUMEN

Relatively few coronavirus disease cases and deaths have been reported from sub-Saharan Africa, although the extent of its spread remains unclear. During August 10-September 11, 2020, we recruited 2,214 participants for a representative household-based cross-sectional serosurvey in Juba, South Sudan. We found 22.3% of participants had severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) receptor binding domain IgG titers above prepandemic levels. After accounting for waning antibody levels, age, and sex, we estimated that 38.3% (95% credible interval 31.8%-46.5%) of the population had been infected with SARS-CoV-2. At this rate, for each PCR-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection reported by the Ministry of Health, 103 (95% credible interval 86-126) infections would have been unreported, meaning SARS-CoV-2 has likely spread extensively within Juba. We also found differences in background reactivity in Juba compared with Boston, Massachusetts, USA, where the immunoassay was validated. Our findings underscore the need to validate serologic tests in sub-Saharan Africa populations.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , África del Sur del Sahara , Anticuerpos Antivirales , Boston , Estudios Transversales , Humanos , Inmunoglobulina G , Massachusetts , Estudios Seroepidemiológicos , Sudán del Sur
16.
medRxiv ; 2021 Mar 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33758900

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Relatively few COVID-19 cases and deaths have been reported through much of sub-Saharan Africa, including South Sudan, although the extent of SARS-CoV-2 spread remains unclear due to weak surveillance systems and few population-representative serosurveys. METHODS: We conducted a representative household-based cross-sectional serosurvey in Juba, South Sudan. We quantified IgG antibody responses to SARS-CoV-2 spike protein receptor-binding domain and estimated seroprevalence using a Bayesian regression model accounting for test performance. RESULTS: We recruited 2,214 participants from August 10 to September 11, 2020 and 22.3% had anti-SARS-CoV-2 IgG titers above levels in pre-pandemic samples. After accounting for waning antibody levels, age, and sex, we estimated that 38.5% (32.1 - 46.8) of the population had been infected with SARS-CoV-2. For each RT-PCR confirmed COVID-19 case, 104 (87-126) infections were unreported. Background antibody reactivity was higher in pre-pandemic samples from Juba compared to Boston, where the serological test was validated. The estimated proportion of the population infected ranged from 30.1% to 60.6% depending on assumptions about test performance and prevalence of clinically severe infections. CONCLUSIONS: SARS-CoV-2 has spread extensively within Juba. Validation of serological tests in sub-Saharan African populations is critical to improve our ability to use serosurveillance to understand and mitigate transmission.

17.
Lancet Planet Health ; 4(12): e577-e587, 2020 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33278375

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Between 2014 and 2017, successive cholera epidemics occurred in South Sudan within the context of civil war, population displacement, flooding, and drought. We aim to describe the spatiotemporal and molecular features of the three distinct epidemic waves and explore the role of vaccination campaigns, precipitation, and population movement in shaping cholera spread in this complex setting. METHODS: In this descriptive epidemiological study, we analysed cholera linelist data to describe the spatiotemporal progression of the epidemics. We placed whole-genome sequence data from pandemic Vibrio cholerae collected throughout these epidemics into the global phylogenetic context. Using whole-genome sequence data in combination with other molecular attributes, we characterise the relatedness of strains circulating in each wave and the region. We investigated the association of rainfall and the instantaneous basic reproduction number using distributed lag non-linear models, compared county-level attack rates between those with early and late reactive vaccination campaigns, and explored the consistency of the spatial patterns of displacement and suspected cholera case reports. FINDINGS: The 2014 (6389 cases) and 2015 (1818 cases) cholera epidemics in South Sudan remained spatially limited whereas the 2016-17 epidemic (20 438 cases) spread among settlements along the Nile river. Initial cases of each epidemic were reported in or around Juba soon after the start of the rainy season, but we found no evidence that rainfall modulated transmission during each epidemic. All isolates analysed had similar genotypic and phenotypic characteristics, closely related to sequences from Uganda and Democratic Republic of the Congo. Large-scale population movements between counties of South Sudan with cholera outbreaks were consistent with the spatial distribution of cases. 21 of 26 vaccination campaigns occurred during or after the county-level epidemic peak. Counties vaccinated on or after the peak incidence week had 2·2 times (95% CI 2·1-2·3) higher attack rates than those where vaccination occurred before the peak. INTERPRETATION: Pandemic V cholerae of the same clonal origin was isolated throughout the study period despite interepidemic periods of no reported cases. Although the complex emergency in South Sudan probably shaped some of the observed spatial and temporal patterns of cases, the full scope of transmission determinants remains unclear. Timely and well targeted use of vaccines can reduce the burden of cholera; however, rapid vaccine deployment in complex emergencies remains challenging. FUNDING: The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.


Asunto(s)
Cólera/epidemiología , Epidemias , Conflictos Armados , Cólera/prevención & control , Sequías/estadística & datos numéricos , Estudios Epidemiológicos , Femenino , Inundaciones/estadística & datos numéricos , Humanos , Programas de Inmunización/métodos , Incidencia , Masculino , Dinámicas no Lineales , Filogenia , Lluvia , Sudán del Sur/epidemiología , Análisis Espacio-Temporal , Vibrio cholerae/genética , Secuenciación Completa del Genoma/métodos
18.
Infect Dis Poverty ; 9(1): 150, 2020 Oct 28.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33109262

RESUMEN

The ongoing pandemic of the coronavirus disease 2019 has spread rapidly to all countries of the world. Africa is particularly predisposed to an escalation of the pandemic and its negative impact given its weak economy and health systems. In addition, inadequate access to the social determinants of health such as water and sanitation and socio-cultural attributes may constrain the implementation of critical preventive measures such as hand washing and social distancing on the continent.Given these facts, the continent needs to focus on targeted and high impact prevention and control strategies and interventions which could break the chain of transmission quickly. We conclude that the available body of scientific evidence on the coronavirus disease 2019 holds the key to the development of such strategies and interventions.Going forward, we recommend that the African research community should scale up research to provide scientific evidence for a better characterization of the epidemiology, transmission dynamics, prevention and control of the virus on the continent.


Asunto(s)
Infecciones por Coronavirus/prevención & control , África/epidemiología , Betacoronavirus/aislamiento & purificación , COVID-19 , Infecciones por Coronavirus/epidemiología , Infecciones por Coronavirus/transmisión , Desinfección de las Manos , Educación en Salud , Planificación en Salud , Servicios de Salud , Humanos , Control de Infecciones/métodos , Pandemias , Neumonía Viral , Política Pública , SARS-CoV-2 , Saneamiento
19.
Pan Afr Med J ; 37: 384, 2020.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33796197

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) was declared a pandemic on March 11, 2020. South Sudan, a low-income and humanitarian response setting, reported its first case of COVID-19 on April 5, 2020. We describe the socio-demographic and epidemiologic characteristics of COVID-19 cases in this setting. METHODS: we conducted a cross-sectional descriptive analysis of data for 1,330 confirmed COVID-19 cases from the first 60 days of the outbreak. RESULTS: among the 1,330 confirmed cases, the mean age was 37.1 years, 77% were male, 17% were symptomatic with 95% categorized as mild, and the case fatality rate was 1.1%. Only 24.7% of cases were detected through alerts and sentinel site surveillance, with 95% of the cases reported from the capital, Juba. Epidemic doubling time averaged 9.8 days (95% confidence interval [CI] 7.7 - 13.4), with an attack rate of 11.5 per 100,000 population. Test positivity rate was 18.2%, with test rate per 100,000 population of 53 and mean test turn-around time of 9 days. The case to contact ratio was 1: 2.2. CONCLUSION: this 2-month initial period of COVID-19 in South Sudan demonstrated mostly young adults and men affected, with most cases reported as asymptomatic. Systems´ limitations highlighted included a small proportion of cases detected through surveillance, low testing rates, low contact elicitation, and long collection to test turn-around times limiting the country´s ability to effectively respond to the outbreak. A multi-pronged response including greater access to testing, scale-up of surveillance, contact tracing and community engagement, among other interventions are needed to improve the COVID-19 response in this setting.


Asunto(s)
Prueba de COVID-19 , COVID-19/epidemiología , Brotes de Enfermedades , Sistemas de Socorro , Adolescente , Adulto , Distribución por Edad , Anciano , COVID-19/diagnóstico , Niño , Preescolar , Trazado de Contacto , Estudios Transversales , Femenino , Humanos , Incidencia , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Vigilancia de Guardia , Distribución por Sexo , Sudán del Sur , Adulto Joven
20.
PLoS Negl Trop Dis ; 12(10): e0006826, 2018 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30273342

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: A clear understanding of the knowledge, attitudes and practices (KAP) of a particular community is necessary in order to improve control of human African trypanosomiasis (HAT).New screening and diagnostic tools and strategies were introduced into South Sudan, as part of integrated delivery of primary healthcare. Knowledge and awareness on HAT, its new/improved screening and diagnostic tools, the places and processes of getting a confirmatory diagnosis and treatment are crucial to the success of this strategy. METHODOLOGY: A KAP survey was carried out in Yei County, South Sudan, to identify gaps in community KAP and determine the preferred channels and sources of information on the disease. The cross-sectional KAP survey utilized questionnaires, complemented with key informant interviews and a focus group discussion to elicit communal as well as individual KAP on HAT. FINDINGS: Most (90%) of the respondents had general knowledge on HAT. Lower levels of education, gender and geographic locations without a history of HAT interventions were associated with incorrect knowledge and/or negative perceptions about the treatability of HAT. Symptoms appearing in the late stage were best known. A majority (97.2%) would seek treatment for HAT only in a health centre. However, qualitative data indicates that existing myths circulating in the popular imagination could influence people's practices. Seventy-one percent of the respondents said they would offer social support to patients with HAT but qualitative data highlights that stigma still exists. Misconceptions and stigma can negatively influence the health seeking behaviour of HAT cases. In relation to communication, the top preferred and effective source of communication was radio (24%). CONCLUSION: Gaps in relation to KAP on HAT still exist in the community. Perceptions on HAT, specifically myths and stigma, were key gaps that need to be bridged through effective education and communication strategies for HAT control alongside other interventions.


Asunto(s)
Manejo de la Enfermedad , Transmisión de Enfermedad Infecciosa/prevención & control , Conocimientos, Actitudes y Práctica en Salud , Tripanosomiasis Africana/psicología , Adolescente , Adulto , Estudios Transversales , Humanos , Entrevistas como Asunto , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Sudán del Sur , Tripanosomiasis Africana/diagnóstico , Tripanosomiasis Africana/tratamiento farmacológico , Tripanosomiasis Africana/prevención & control , Adulto Joven
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