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Purpose: Hospitalized hypertensive patients rely on blood pressure medication, yet there is limited research on the sole use of amlodipine, despite its proven efficacy in protecting target organs and reducing mortality. This study aims to identify key indicators influencing the efficacy of amlodipine, thereby enhancing treatment outcomes. Patients and Methods: In this multicenter retrospective study, 870 hospitalized patients with primary hypertension exclusively received amlodipine for the first 5 days after admission, and their medical records contained comprehensive blood pressure records. They were categorized into success (n=479) and failure (n=391) groups based on average blood pressure control efficacy. Predictive models were constructed using six machine learning algorithms. Evaluation metrics encompassed the area under the curve (AUC), accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV). SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) analysis assessed feature contributions to efficacy. Results: All six machine learning models demonstrated superior predictive performance. Following variable reduction, the model predicting amlodipine efficacy was reconstructed using these algorithms, with the light gradient boosting machine (LightGBM) model achieving the highest overall performance (AUC = 0.803). Notably, amlodipine showed enhanced efficacy in patients with low platelet distribution width (PDW) values, as well as high hematocrit (HCT) and thrombin time (TT) values. Conclusion: This study utilized machine learning to predict amlodipine's effectiveness in hypertension treatment, pinpointing key factors: HCT, PDW, and TT levels. Lower PDW, along with higher HCT and TT, correlated with enhanced treatment outcomes. This facilitates personalized treatment, particularly for hospitalized hypertensive patients undergoing amlodipine monotherapy.
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Background: This study aimed to identify the predictive factors for prolonged length of stay (LOS) in elderly type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) patients suffering from cerebral infarction (CI) and construct a predictive model to effectively utilize hospital resources. Methods: Clinical data were retrospectively collected from T2DM patients suffering from CI aged ≥65 years who were admitted to five tertiary hospitals in Southwest China. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression model and multivariable logistic regression analysis were conducted to identify the independent predictors of prolonged LOS. A nomogram was constructed to visualize the model. The discrimination, calibration, and clinical practicality of the model were evaluated according to the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), calibration curve, decision curve analysis (DCA), and clinical impact curve (CIC). Results: A total of 13,361 patients were included, comprising 6,023, 2,582, and 4,756 patients in the training, internal validation, and external validation sets, respectively. The results revealed that the ACCI score, OP, PI, analgesics use, antibiotics use, psychotropic drug use, insurance type, and ALB were independent predictors for prolonged LOS. The eight-predictor LASSO logistic regression displayed high prediction ability, with an AUROC of 0.725 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.710-0.739), a sensitivity of 0.662 (95% CI: 0.639-0.686), and a specificity of 0.675 (95% CI: 0.661-0.689). The calibration curve (bootstraps = 1,000) showed good calibration. In addition, the DCA and CIC also indicated good clinical practicality. An operation interface on a web page (https://xxmyyz.shinyapps.io/prolonged_los1/) was also established to facilitate clinical use. Conclusion: The developed model can predict the risk of prolonged LOS in elderly T2DM patients diagnosed with CI, enabling clinicians to optimize bed management.
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To evaluate the impact of neoadjuvant chemotherapy on perioperative immune function in breast cancer patients, focusing on CD3+, CD4+, CD8+, and natural killer (NK) cells, as well as the CD4+/CD8+ ratio. We retrospectively reviewed medical records of breast cancer patients who underwent surgery with or without neoadjuvant chemotherapy at our medical center from January 2020 to December 2022. Patients were matched 1:1 based on propensity scores. Immune cell proportions and the CD4+/CD8+ ratio were compared on preoperative day one and postoperative days one and seven. Among matched patients, immune cell proportions and the CD4+/CD8+ ratio did not significantly differ between those who received neoadjuvant chemotherapy and those who did not at any of the three time points. Similar results were observed in chemotherapy-sensitive patients compared to the entire group of patients who did not receive neoadjuvant chemotherapy. However, chemotherapy-insensitive patients had significantly lower proportions of CD4+ and NK cells, as well as a lower CD4+/CD8+ ratio, at all three time points compared to patients who did not receive neoadjuvant chemotherapy. Neoadjuvant chemotherapy may impair immune function in chemotherapy-insensitive patients, but not in those who are sensitive to the treatment.
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Neoplasias de la Mama , Células Asesinas Naturales , Terapia Neoadyuvante , Puntaje de Propensión , Humanos , Neoplasias de la Mama/tratamiento farmacológico , Neoplasias de la Mama/inmunología , Neoplasias de la Mama/cirugía , Femenino , Terapia Neoadyuvante/métodos , Estudios Retrospectivos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Células Asesinas Naturales/inmunología , Células Asesinas Naturales/efectos de los fármacos , Adulto , Anciano , Periodo Perioperatorio , Relación CD4-CD8 , Quimioterapia Adyuvante/métodosRESUMEN
Lanthanum nickelate (LaNiO3), known for its high visible-light absorption, is a promising photocatalyst for water purification. However, the low conduction band position and high photogenerated carrier complexation rate of pure LaNiO3 limit its photocatalytic activity. To address this issue, we investigated the synergistic effects of doping and constructing heterojunctions. A La0.9Sr0.1NiO3 (20%)/g-C3N4 (L2CN8) heterojunction was successfully created. In addition, various characterisation techniques were then employed to analyse the structure-performance relationships of these heterojunction photocatalysts in degrading organic dyes. Results revealed that at a 10% Sr doping level, the oxygen vacancy content was 0.68, which is significantly higher than that of LaNiO3 (0.05). The increased number of oxygen vacancies enhanced the electron capture ability and improved the separation efficiency of photogenerated carriers. Furthermore, the optimised L2CN8 (20 mg) achieved 81.2% and 73.8% removal of methylene blue (50.0 mL, 10 mg L-1) and tetracycline (50.0 mL, 10 mg L-1) under simulated visible-light irradiation (λ > 420 nm). Furthermore, an active species capture experiment confirmed the significant role of superoxide radicals (·O2-) in the degradation process. Based on these experimental findings, we proposed a rational Z-type charge transfer mechanism. This study holds great importance for water pollution control and environmental protection.
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To establish and validate a predictive model for breast cancer-related lymphedema (BCRL) among Chinese patients to facilitate individualized risk assessment. We retrospectively analyzed data from breast cancer patients treated at a major single-center breast hospital in China. From 2020 to 2022, we identified risk factors for BCRL through logistic regression and developed and validated a nomogram using R software (version 4.1.2). Model validation was achieved through the application of receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC), a calibration plot, and decision curve analysis (DCA), with further evaluated by internal validation. Among 1485 patients analyzed, 360 developed lymphedema (24.2%). The nomogram incorporated body mass index, operative time, lymph node count, axillary dissection level, surgical site infection, and radiotherapy as predictors. The AUCs for training (N = 1038) and validation (N = 447) cohorts were 0.779 and 0.724, respectively, indicating good discriminative ability. Calibration and decision curve analysis confirmed the model's clinical utility. Our nomogram provides an accurate tool for predicting BCRL risk, with potential to enhance personalized management in breast cancer survivors. Further prospective validation across multiple centers is warranted.
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Linfedema del Cáncer de Mama , Neoplasias de la Mama , Nomogramas , Humanos , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Linfedema del Cáncer de Mama/diagnóstico , Linfedema del Cáncer de Mama/etiología , Estudios Retrospectivos , Neoplasias de la Mama/complicaciones , Factores de Riesgo , Adulto , Curva ROC , Anciano , China/epidemiología , Medición de RiesgoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Minimal access breast surgery (MABS) is commonly employed in the management of breast cancer, but there is limited research on the postoperative immune function associated with MABS. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to assess the postoperative immune function in breast patients who underwent MABS or conventional open breast surgery (COBS). METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed the medical records of 829 breast cancer patients treated with either MABS or COBS at a single hospital between January 2020 and June 2023. Among them, 116 matched pairs were obtained through 1:1 propensity score matching (PSM). Flow cytometry was used to measure the percentages of CD3+, CD4+, and CD8+ cells, as well as the CD4+/CD8+ ratio, on three different time points: preoperative day 1 (PreD1), postoperative day 1 (PostD1), and postoperative day 7 (PostD7). RESULTS: Both the MABS and COBS groups demonstrated a significant reduction in the percentages of CD3+, CD4+, and CD8+ cells, along with the CD4+/CD8+ ratio, from PreD1 to PostD1. Interestingly, the MABS group showed a reversal of these parameters, returning to preoperative levels by PostD7. Conversely, the COBS group showed an increase in these parameters from PostD1 to PostD7, but they still remained significantly lower than preoperative levels at PostD7. CONCLUSION: MABS treatment may result in reduced postoperative immune suppression and faster recovery of preoperative immune function compared to COBS in patients.
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Neoplasias de la Mama , Mastectomía , Puntaje de Propensión , Humanos , Femenino , Neoplasias de la Mama/cirugía , Neoplasias de la Mama/inmunología , Neoplasias de la Mama/patología , Estudios Retrospectivos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Pronóstico , Estudios de Seguimiento , Procedimientos Quirúrgicos Mínimamente Invasivos/métodos , Periodo Posoperatorio , Adulto , AncianoRESUMEN
To examine the influence of Body Mass Index (BMI) on laparoscopic gastrectomy (LG) short-term and long-term outcomes for gastric cancer. A retrospective analysis was conducted on gastric cancer patients undergoing LG at the Third Hospital of Nanchang City from January 2013 to January 2022. Based on WHO BMI standards, patients were categorized into normal weight, overweight, and obese groups. Factors such as operative time, intraoperative blood loss, postoperative complications, and overall survival were assessed. Across different BMI groups, it was found that an increase in BMI was associated with longer operative times (average times: 206.22 min for normal weight, 231.32 min for overweight, and 246.78 min for obese), with no significant differences noted in intraoperative blood loss, postoperative complications, or long-term survival among the groups. The impact of BMI on long-term survival following LG for gastric cancer was found to be insignificant, with no notable differences in survival outcome between different BMI groups. Although higher BMI is associated with increased operative time in LG for gastric cancer, it does not significantly affect intraoperative blood loss, postoperative complications, recovery, or long-term survival. LG is a feasible treatment choice for obese patients with gastric cancer.
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Índice de Masa Corporal , Gastrectomía , Laparoscopía , Complicaciones Posoperatorias , Neoplasias Gástricas , Humanos , Neoplasias Gástricas/cirugía , Neoplasias Gástricas/mortalidad , Neoplasias Gástricas/patología , Gastrectomía/métodos , Gastrectomía/efectos adversos , Masculino , Laparoscopía/métodos , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Retrospectivos , Anciano , Resultado del Tratamiento , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/etiología , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/epidemiología , Tempo Operativo , Obesidad/complicaciones , Obesidad/cirugía , Adulto , Pérdida de Sangre QuirúrgicaRESUMEN
Background and Aims: Influenza is one of the most widespread respiratory infections and poses a huge burden on health care worldwide. Vaccination is key to preventing and controlling influenza. Influenza vaccine hesitancy is an important reason for the low vaccination rate. In 2019, Vaccine hesitancy was identified as one of the top 10 threats to global health by the World Health Organization. However, there remains a glaring scarcity of bibliometric research in that regard. This study sought to identify research hotspots and future development trends on influenza vaccine hesitation and provide a new perspective and reference for future research. Methods: We retrieved publications on global influenza vaccine hesitancy from the Web of Science Core Collection database, Scopus, and PubMed databases from inception to 2022. This study used VOSviewer and CiteSpace for visualization analysis. Results: Influenza vaccine hesitancy-related publications increased rapidly from 2012 and peaked in 2022. One hundred and nine countries contributed to influenza vaccine hesitation research, and the United States ranked first with 541 articles and 7161 citations. Vaccines-Basel was the journal with the largest number of published studies on influenza vaccine hesitations. MacDonald was the most frequently cited author. The most popular research topics on influenza vaccine hesitancy were (1) determinants of influenza vaccination in specific populations, such as healthcare workers, children, pregnant women, and so on; (2) influenza and COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy during the COVID-19 pandemic. Conclusions: The trend in the number of annual publications related to influenza vaccine hesitancy indicating the COVID-19 pandemic will prompt researchers to increase their attention to influenza vaccine hesitancy. With healthcare workers as the key, reducing vaccine hesitancy and improving vaccine acceptance in high-risk groups will be the research direction in the next few years.
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BACKGROUND: Although the elderly constitute more than a third of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients, they have not been adequately represented in treatment and prognosis studies. Thus, there is not enough evidence to guide the treatment of such patients. The objective of this study is to identify the prognostic factors of older patients with HCC and to construct a new prognostic model for predicting their overall survival (OS). METHODS: 2,721 HCC patients aged ≥ 65 were extracted from the public database-Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) and randomly divided into a training set and an internal validation set with a ratio of 7:3. 101 patients diagnosed from 2008 to 2017 in the First Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang University School of Medicine were identified as the external validation set. Univariate cox regression analyses and multivariate cox regression analyses were adopted to identify these independent prognostic factors. A predictive nomogram-based risk stratification model was proposed and evaluated using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), calibration curves, and a decision curve analysis (DCA). RESULTS: These attributes including age, sex, marital status, T stage, N stage, surgery, chemotherapy, tumor size, alpha-fetoprotein level, fibrosis score, bone metastasis, lung metastasis, and grade were the independent prognostic factors for older patients with HCC while predicting survival duration. We found that the nomogram provided a good assessment of OS at 1, 3, and 5 years in older patients with HCC (1-year OS: (training set: AUC = 0.823 (95%CI 0.803-0.845); internal validation set: AUC = 0.847 (95%CI 0.818-0.876); external validation set: AUC = 0.732 (95%CI 0.521-0.943)); 3-year OS: (training set: AUC = 0.813 (95%CI 0.790-0.837); internal validation set: AUC = 0.844 (95%CI 0.812-0.876); external validation set: AUC = 0.780 (95%CI 0.674-0.887)); 5-year OS: (training set: AUC = 0.839 (95%CI 0.806-0.872); internal validation set: AUC = 0.800 (95%CI 0.751-0.849); external validation set: AUC = 0.821 (95%CI 0.727-0.914)). The calibration curves showed that the nomogram was with strong calibration. The DCA indicated that the nomogram can be used as an effective tool in clinical practice. The risk stratification of all subgroups was statistically significant (p < 0.05). In the stratification analysis of surgery, larger resection (LR) achieved a better survival curve than local destruction (LD), but a worse one than segmental resection (SR) and liver transplantation (LT) (p < 0.0001). With the consideration of the friendship to clinicians, we further developed an online interface (OHCCPredictor) for such a predictive function ( https://juntaotan.shinyapps.io/dynnomapp_hcc/ ). With such an easily obtained online tool, clinicians will be provided helpful assistance in formulating personalized therapy to assess the prognosis of older patients with HCC. CONCLUSIONS: Age, sex, marital status, T stage, N stage, surgery, chemotherapy, tumor size, AFP level, fibrosis score, bone metastasis, lung metastasis, and grade were independent prognostic factors for elderly patients with HCC. The constructed nomogram model based on the above factors could accurately predict the prognosis of such patients. Besides, the developed online web interface of the predictive model provide easily obtained access for clinicians.
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Carcinoma Hepatocelular , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Neoplasias Pulmonares , Anciano , Humanos , Medición de Riesgo , Fibrosis , PronósticoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: This study aimed to construct a risk prediction model to estimate the odds of osteoporosis (OP) in elderly patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and evaluate its prediction efficiency. METHODS: This study included 21,070 elderly patients with T2DM who were hospitalized at six tertiary hospitals in Southwest China between 2012 and 2022. Univariate logistic regression analysis was used to screen for potential influencing factors of OP and least absolute shrinkage. Further, selection operator regression (LASSO) and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to select variables for developing a novel predictive model. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), calibration curve, decision curve analysis (DCA), and clinical impact curve (CIC) were used to evaluate the performance and clinical utility of the model. RESULTS: The incidence of OP in elderly patients with T2DM was 7.01% (1,476/21,070). Age, sex, hypertension, coronary heart disease, cerebral infarction, hyperlipidemia, and surgical history were the influencing factors. The seven-variable model displayed an AUROC of 0.713 (95% confidence interval [CI]:0.697-0.730) in the training set, 0.716 (95% CI: 0.691-0.740) in the internal validation set, and 0.694 (95% CI: 0.653-0.735) in the external validation set. The optimal decision probability cut-off value was 0.075. The calibration curve (bootstrap = 1,000) showed good calibration. In addition, the DCA and CIC demonstrated good clinical practicality. An operating interface on a webpage ( https://juntaotan.shinyapps.io/osteoporosis/ ) was developed to provide convenient access for users. CONCLUSIONS: This study constructed a highly accurate model to predict OP in elderly patients with T2DM. This model incorporates demographic characteristics and clinical risk factors and may be easily used to facilitate individualized prediction.
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Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Osteoporosis , Anciano , Humanos , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/complicaciones , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/diagnóstico , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiología , Estudios Retrospectivos , Osteoporosis/diagnóstico , Osteoporosis/epidemiología , Factores de Riesgo , Infarto CerebralRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Influenza-related encephalopathy is a rapidly progressive encephalopathy that usually presents during the early phase of influenza infection and primarily manifests as central nervous system dysfunction. This study aimed to analyze the current research status and hotspots of influenza-related encephalopathy since 2000 through bibliometrics analysis. METHODS: The Web of Science Core Collection (WOSCC) was used to extract global papers on influenza-related encephalopathy from 2000 to 2022. Meanwhile, the VOSviewer and CiteSpace software were used for data processing and result visualization. RESULTS: A total of 561 published articles were included in the study. Japan was the country that published the most articles, with 205 articles, followed by the United States and China. Okayama University and Tokyo Medical University published the most articles, followed by Nagoya University, Tokyo University, and Juntendo University. Based on the analysis of keywords, four clusters with different research directions were identified: "Prevalence of H1N1 virus and the occurrence of neurological complications in different age groups," "mechanism of brain and central nervous system response after influenza virus infection," "various acute encephalopathy" and "diagnostic indicators of influenza-related encephalopathy." CONCLUSIONS: The research progress, hotspots, and frontiers on influenza-related encephalopathy after 2000 were described through the visualization of bibliometrics. The findings will lay the groundwork for future studies and provide a reference for influenza-related encephalopathy. Research on influenza-related encephalopathy is basically at a stable stage, and the number of research results is related to outbreaks of the influenza virus.
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Encefalopatías , Subtipo H1N1 del Virus de la Influenza A , Gripe Humana , Humanos , Gripe Humana/complicaciones , Gripe Humana/epidemiología , Encefalopatías/epidemiología , Encefalopatías/etiología , Bibliometría , EncéfaloRESUMEN
OBJECTIVES: To appraise effective predictors for infection in patients with decompensated cirrhosis (DC) by using XGBoost algorithm in a retrospective case-control study. METHODS: Clinical data were retrospectively collected from 6,648 patients with DC admitted to five tertiary hospitals. Indicators with significant differences were determined by univariate analysis and least absolute contraction and selection operator (LASSO) regression. Further multi-tree extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) machine learning-based model was used to rank importance of features selected from LASSO and subsequently constructed infection risk prediction model with simple-tree XGBoost model. Finally, the simple-tree XGBoost model is compared with the traditional logical regression (LR) model. Performances of models were evaluated by area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), sensitivity, and specificity. RESULTS: Six features, including total bilirubin, blood sodium, albumin, prothrombin activity, white blood cell count, and neutrophils to lymphocytes ratio were selected as predictors for infection in patients with DC. Simple-tree XGBoost model conducted by these features can predict infection risk accurately with an AUROC of 0.971, sensitivity of 0.915, and specificity of 0.900 in training set. The performance of simple-tree XGBoost model is better than that of traditional LR model in training set, internal verification set, and external feature set (P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The simple-tree XGBoost predictive model developed based on a minimal amount of clinical data available to DC patients with restricted medical resources could help primary healthcare practitioners promptly identify potential infection.
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Albúminas , Algoritmos , Humanos , Estudios Retrospectivos , Estudios de Casos y Controles , Área Bajo la CurvaRESUMEN
Background: Since severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome virus (SFTSV) was first reported in 2009, a large number of relevant studies have been published. However, no bibliometrics analysis has been conducted on the literature focusing on SFTSV. This study aims to evaluate the research hotspots and future development trends of SFTSV research through bibliometric analysis, and to provide a new perspective and reference for future SFTSV research and the prevention of SFTSV. Methods: We retrieved global publications on SFTSV from the Web of Science Core Collection (WoSCC) and Scopus databases from inception of the database until 2022 using VOSviewer software and CiteSpace was used for bibliometric analysis. Results: The number of SFTSV-related publications has increased rapidly since 2011, peaking in 2021. A total of 45 countries/regions have published relevant publications, with China topping the list with 359. The Viruses-Basel has published the most papers on SFTSV. In addition, Yu et al. have made the greatest contribution to SFTSV research, with their published paper being the most frequently cited. The most popular SFTSV study topics included: (1) pathogenesis and symptoms, (2) characteristics of the virus and infected patients, and (3) transmission mechanism and risk factors for SFTSV. Conclusions: In this study, we provide a detailed description of the research developments in SFTSV since its discovery and summarize the SFTSV research trends. SFTSV research is in a phase of explosive development, and a large number of publications have been published in the past decade. There is a lack of collaboration between countries and institutions, and international collaboration and exchanges should be strengthened in the future. The current research hotpots of SFTSV is antiviral therapy, immunotherapy, virus transmission mechanism and immune response.
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Síndrome de Trombocitopenia Febril Grave , Humanos , Bibliometría , China , Bases de Datos Factuales , InmunoterapiaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Length of stay (LOS) is an important metric for evaluating the management of inpatients. This study aimed to explore the factors impacting the LOS of inpatients with type-2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and develop a predictive model for the early identification of inpatients with prolonged LOS. METHODS: A 13-year multicenter retrospective study was conducted on 83,776 patients with T2DM to develop and validate a clinical predictive tool for prolonged LOS. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression model and multivariable logistic regression analysis were adopted to build the risk model for prolonged LOS, and a nomogram was taken to visualize the model. Furthermore, receiver operating characteristic curves, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis and clinical impact curves were used to respectively validate the discrimination, calibration, and clinical applicability of the model. RESULTS: The result showed that age, cerebral infarction, antihypertensive drug use, antiplatelet and anticoagulant use, past surgical history, past medical history, smoking, drinking, and neutrophil percentage-to-albumin ratio were closely related to the prolonged LOS. Area under the curve values of the nomogram in the training, internal validation, external validation set 1, and external validation set 2 were 0.803 (95% CI [confidence interval] 0.799-0.808), 0.794 (95% CI 0.788-0.800), 0.754 (95% CI 0.739-0.770), and 0.743 (95% CI 0.722-0.763), respectively. The calibration curves indicated that the nomogram had a strong calibration. Besides, decision curve analysis, and clinical impact curves exhibited that the nomogram had favorable clinical practical value. Besides, an online interface ( https://cytjt007.shinyapps.io/prolonged_los/ ) was developed to provide convenient access for users. CONCLUSION: In sum, the proposed model could predict the possible prolonged LOS of inpatients with T2DM and help the clinicians to improve efficiency in bed management.
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Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Humanos , Estudios Retrospectivos , Estudios de Casos y Controles , Factores de Riesgo , AlbúminasRESUMEN
Background: Globally, blood pressure management strategies were ineffective, and a low percentage of patients receiving hypertension treatment had their blood pressure controlled. In this study, we aimed to build a medication prediction model by correlating patient attributes with medications to help physicians quickly and rationally match appropriate medications. Methods: We collected clinical data from elderly hypertensive patients during hospitalization and combined statistical methods and machine learning (ML) algorithms to filter out typical indicators. We constructed five ML models to evaluate all datasets using 5-fold cross-validation. Include random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), light gradient boosting machine (LightGBM), artificial neural network (ANN), and naive Bayes (NB) models. And the performance of the models was evaluated using the micro-F1 score. Results: Our experiments showed that by statistical methods and ML algorithms for feature selection, we finally selected Age, SBP, DBP, Lymph, RBC, HCT, MCHC, PLT, AST, TBIL, Cr, UA, Urea, K, Na, Ga, TP, GLU, TC, TG, γ-GT, Gender, HTN CAD, and RI as feature metrics of the models. LightGBM had the best prediction performance with the micro-F1 of 78.45%, which was higher than the other four models. Conclusion: LightGBM model has good results in predicting antihypertensive medication regimens, and the model can be beneficial in improving the personalization of hypertension treatment.
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Background: Depression is associated with an increased risk of death in patients with coronary heart disease (CHD). This study aimed to explore the factors influencing depression in elderly patients with CHD and to construct a prediction model for early identification of depression in this patient population. Materials and methods: We used propensity-score matching to identify 1,065 CHD patients aged ≥65 years from four hospitals in Chongqing between January 2015 and December 2021. The patients were divided into a training set (n = 880) and an external validation set (n = 185). Univariate logistic regression, multivariate logistic regression, and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression were used to determine the factors influencing depression. A nomogram based on the multivariate logistic regression model was constructed using the selected influencing factors. The discrimination, calibration, and clinical utility of the nomogram were assessed by the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic curve, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA) and clinical impact curve (CIC), respectively. Results: The predictive factors in the multivariate model included the lymphocyte percentage and the blood urea nitrogen and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels. The AUC values of the nomogram in the training and external validation sets were 0.762 (95% CI = 0.722-0.803) and 0.679 (95% CI = 0.572-0.786), respectively. The calibration curves indicated that the nomogram had strong calibration. DCA and CIC indicated that the nomogram can be used as an effective tool in clinical practice. For the convenience of clinicians, we used the nomogram to develop a web-based calculator tool (https://cytjt007.shinyapps.io/dynnomapp_depression/). Conclusion: Reductions in the lymphocyte percentage and blood urea nitrogen and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels were reliable predictors of depression in elderly patients with CHD. The nomogram that we developed can help clinicians assess the risk of depression in elderly patients with CHD.
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The COVID-19 pandemic has had a great impact on the global economy and trade, and border regions have been hit severely because of their high dependency on foreign trade. To understand better the economic impact of COVID-19 on border regions, we developed a COVID-19 economic resilience analytical framework and empirically examined 10 Chinese-Russian border cities in Northeast China. We quantitatively analyzed five dimensions of economic resilience, distinguished four types of shock, and examined the determinants of economic resilience. The results show that: (1) the COVID-19 pandemic has wide-ranging impacts in the border areas, with import-export trade and retail sales of consumer goods being the most vulnerable and sensitive to the shock. The whole economy of the border areas is in the downward stage of the resistance period; (2) from a multi-dimensional perspective, foreign trade and consumption are the most vulnerable components of the borderland economic system, while industrial resilience and income resilience have improved against the trend, showing that they have good crisis resistance; (3) borderland economic resilience is a spatially heterogeneous phenomenon, with each border city showing different characteristics; (4) economic openness, fiscal expenditure, and asset investment are the key drivers of economic resilience, and the interaction between the influencing factors presents a nonlinear and bi-factor enhancement of them. The findings shed light on how border economies can respond to COVID-19, and how they are useful in formulating policies to respond to the crisis.
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COVID-19 , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiología , Pandemias , Desarrollo Económico , China/epidemiología , CiudadesRESUMEN
The notion of resilience has been increasingly adopted in economic geography, concerning how regions resist and recover from all kinds of shocks. Most of the literature on the resilience of coastal areas focuses on biophysical stressors, such as climate change and some environmental factors. In this research, we analyze the regional economic resilience characteristics responding to the Great Financial Crisis in 2008 and its main determinants. We conclude that the coastal areas encountered more recession (or less growth) in the long term, and the secondary industry showed higher resilience than the tertiary industry. The influential factors of regional economic resilience varied across different stages of the crisis, and for the long term, good financial arrangement and governance ability could prompt the regional resilience to the crisis. Finally, some policy implications are proposed which may benefit dealings with major shocks such as economic crises and COVID-19.
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COVID-19 , Recesión Económica , COVID-19/epidemiología , China , Atención a la Salud , Humanos , IndustriasRESUMEN
Background: The International Normalized Ratio (INR) is significantly associated with Hepatic Encephalopathy (HE) in patients with liver cirrhosis. However, the dose-response relationship between continuous INR changes and HE risk has not been clearly defined. Thus, our goal was to explore the continuous relationship between HE and INR among patients hospitalized with liver cirrhosis and to evaluate the role of the INR as a risk factor for HE in these patients. Methods: A total of 6,266 people were extracted from the Big Data Platform of the Medical Data Research Institute of Chongqing Medical University. In this study, unconditional logistic regression and restricted cubic spline (RCS) model were used to analyze the dose-response association of INR with HE. Alcoholic liver disease, smoking status, and drinking status were classified for subgroup analysis. Results: The prevalence of HE in the study population was 8.36%. The median INR was 1.4. After adjusting for alcoholic liver disease, age, smoking status, drinking status, total bilirubin, neutrophil percentage, total hemoglobin, aspartate aminotransferase, serum sodium, albumin, lymphocyte percentage, serum creatinine, red blood cell, and white blood cell, multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that INR ≥ 1.5 (OR = 2.606, 95% CI: 2.072-3.278) was significantly related to HE risk. The RCS model showed a non-linear relationship between the INR and HE (non-linear test, χ2 = 30.940, P < 0.001), and an increased INR was an independent and adjusted dose-dependent risk factor for HE among patients with liver cirrhosis. Conclusion: This finding could guide clinicians to develop individualized counseling programs and treatments for patients with HE based on the INR risk stratification.
Asunto(s)
Encefalopatía Hepática , Hepatopatías Alcohólicas , Encefalopatía Hepática/complicaciones , Encefalopatía Hepática/etiología , Humanos , Relación Normalizada Internacional/efectos adversos , Cirrosis Hepática/complicaciones , Hepatopatías Alcohólicas/complicaciones , Factores de RiesgoRESUMEN
STUDY OBJECTIVES: There is no consensus information on infections associated with nonbenzodiazepines. Knowledge about infections related to newly marketed hypnotics (orexin receptor antagonists and melatonin receptor agonists) is scarce. The study aimed to detect infection signals for nonbenzodiazepines, orexin receptor antagonists, and melatonin receptor agonists by analyzing data from the U.S. Food & Drug Administration adverse event reporting system. METHODS: A disproportionality analysis was performed to quantitatively detect infection signals for hypnotics by calculating the reporting odds ratio and the 95% confidence interval. Data registered in the U.S. Food & Drug Administration adverse event reporting system from 2010-2020 were retrieved. RESULTS: A total of 3,092 patients with infection were extracted for the 3 classes of hypnotic drugs. Nonbenzodiazepines were associated with a higher disproportionality of infections (reporting odds ratio: 1.10; 95% confidence interval, 1.06-1.14). The association of infections was not present for melatonin receptor agonists (reporting odds ratio: 0.86; 95% confidence interval, 0.74-1.00) and orexin receptor antagonists (reporting odds ratio: 0.19; 95% confidence interval, 0.15-0.25). Significant reporting associations were identified for nonbenzodiazepines concerning the categories of bone and joint infections, dental and oral soft tissue infections, upper respiratory tract infections, and urinary tract infections. CONCLUSIONS: Nonbenzodiazepines had a positive signal for infections, while orexin receptor antagonists and melatonin receptor agonists had a negative signal. More research needs to be conducted to confirm this relationship. CITATION: Meng L, Huang J, He Q, et al. Hypnotics and infections: disproportionality analysis of the U.S. Food & Drug Administration adverse event reporting system database. J Clin Sleep Med. 2022;18(9):2229-2235.