Results From the Big Ten COVID-19 Cardiac Registry: Impact of SARS-COV-2 on Myocardial Involvement.

OBJECTIVE: COVID-19 has been associated with myocardial involvement in collegiate athletes. The first report from the Big Ten COVID-19 Cardiac Registry (Registry) was an ecological study that reported myocarditis in 37 of 1597 athletes (2.3%) based on local clinical diagnosis. Our objective was to assess the relationship between athlete and clinical characteristics and myocardial involvement. DESIGN: Cross-sectional study. SETTING: We analyzed data from 1218 COVID-19 positive Big Ten collegiate athletes who provided informed consent to participate in the Registry. PARTICIPANTS: 1218 athletes with a COVID-19-positive PCR test before June 1, 2021. ASSESSMENT OF INDEPENDENT VARIABLES: Demographic and clinical characteristics of athletes were obtained from the medical record. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Myocardial involvement was diagnosed based on local clinical, cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR), electrocardiography, troponin assay, and echocardiography. We assessed the association of clinical factors with myocardial involvement using logistic regression and estimated the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. RESULTS: 25 of 1218 (2.0%) athletes met criteria for myocardial involvement. The logistic regression model used to predict myocardial involvement contained indicator variables for chest pain, new exercise intolerance, abnormal echocardiogram (echo), and abnormal troponin. The area under the ROC curve for these indicators was 0.714. The presence of any of these 4 factors in a collegiate athlete who tested positive for COVID-19 would capture 55.6% of cases. Among noncases without missing data, 86.9% would not be flagged for possible myocardial involvement. CONCLUSION: Myocardial involvement was infrequent. We predicted case status with good specificity but deficient sensitivity. A diagnostic approach for myocardial involvement based exclusively on symptoms would be less sensitive than one based on symptoms, echo, and troponin level evaluations. Abnormality of any of these evaluations would be an indication for CMR.

Association Between FEV1 Decline Rate and Mortality in Long-Term Follow-Up of a 21-Patient Pilot Clinical Trial of Inhaled Liposomal Cyclosporine Plus Standard-of-Care Versus Standard-of-Care Alone for Bronchiolitis Obliterans Syndrome After Lung Transplantation.

BACKGROUND The association between forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1) trajectory and mortality in bronchiolitis obliterans syndrome (BOS) is not well defined. Using long-term data from a prior clinical trial of inhaled liposomal cyclosporine A (L-CsA-I) for lung transplant patients with BOS, this study examined the association between longitudinal FEV1 change and mortality. MATERIAL AND METHODS We analyzed long-term data from a clinical trial which randomized 21 patients with BOS (³20% decrease in FEV1 from personal maximum) to receive L-CsA-I plus standard-of-care (n=11) or standard-of-care (SOC) alone (n=10) for 24 weeks. A joint statistical model, combining a linear mixed model for FEV1 change and Cox regression for mortality, was utilized to examine the overall association between FEV1 trajectory and mortality during follow-up. RESULTS The 21 trial participants (10 single, 11 double lung recipients) had a mean FEV1 of 1.7±0.6 Liters at randomization. Median follow-up post-randomization was 35 months. In joint model analysis, 1 percent FEV1 decline predicted 1.076-fold increased mortality risk (95% confidence interval: -0.998 to 1.160, p=0.058). FEV1 decline was reduced by 2.6% per year in L-CsA-I patients compared to SOC (p=0.210), and overall survival at 1/3/5 years was 91%/64%/27% vs 90%/20%/0% for L-CsA-I versus SOC, respectively (p=0.164). CONCLUSIONS In BOS patients, greater longitudinal FEV1 decline predicts increased mortality. Trends towards prolonged stabilization of FEV1 and improved survival were observed with L-CsA-I receipt. Further analyses will aid in evaluating the utility of FEV1 change as a survival predictor, having implications in BOS management and future trial design.

Shoulder pain, health-related quality of life and physical function in community-dwelling older adults.

The impact of shoulder pain on health-related quality of life and physical function among community-dwelling older adults (>60 years) not seeking medical care is not well understood. Forty-four community-dwelling older adult volunteers with low comorbidity were stratified into two groups by the presence (n = 18) or absence (n = 26) of shoulder pain. Participants completed the 36-Item Short Form and American Shoulder and Elbow Surgeon surveys and received shoulder range of motion and magnetic resonance imaging testing. Participants with shoulder pain perceived more difficulty accomplishing usual tasks secondary to their physical and emotion health and displayed inferior shoulder function, relative to participants without shoulder pain. This study suggests that shoulder pain reduces quality of life and physical function in the population of community-dwelling older adults not seeking medical evaluation for their symptoms.

Effect of Doxycycline on Progression of Arterial Calcification in the Noninvasive Treatment of Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Clinical Trial (N-TA(3)CT).

BACKGROUND: Doxycycline has been shown to prevent arterial calcification via attenuation of matrix metalloproteinases (MMP) in preclinical models. We assessed the effects of doxycycline on progression of arterial calcification in patients enrolled in the Non-Invasive Treatment of Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Clinical Trial (N-TA3CT). METHODS: Two hundred and sixty-one patients were randomized to 100 mg doxycycline twice daily or placebo. Arterial calcification was measured in abdominal vessels on noncontrast computed tomography scans. Patients with baseline computed tomography scan and 1 or more follow-up scans within the 2-year study were included for analysis. For individual arteries, mean change in iliofemoral artery calcification over time was calculated via linear regression. Serum MMP-3 and MMP-9 levels were measured at baseline and 6 months. RESULTS: Sixty-five patients in the doxycycline and 66 in the placebo arm were included in this analysis. Baseline characteristics between the groups were similar. The unadjusted mean change in iliofemoral calcium score per year trended toward higher values in patients treated with doxycycline compared with placebo (322 ± 399 units/year vs. 217 ± 307 units/year, P = 0.09). After 6 months, changes in serum MMP-3 and MMP-9 levels were not significantly different between study arms. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with small aortic aneurysm, treatment with doxycycline 100 mg twice daily did not decrease circulating levels of the matrix degrading enzymes MMP-3 and 9 or alter the progression of arterial calcification.

Design and rationale of the CHILL phase II trial of hypothermia and neuromuscular blockade for acute respiratory distress syndrome.

The Cooling to Help Injured Lungs (CHILL) trial is an open label, two group, parallel design multicenter, randomized phase IIB clinical trial assessing the efficacy and safety of targeted temperature management with combined external cooling and neuromuscular blockade to block shivering in patients with early moderate-severe acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS). This report provides the background and rationale for the clinical trial and outlines the methods using the Consolidated Standards of Reporting Trials guidelines. Key design challenges include: [1] protocolizing important co-interventions; [2] incorporation of patients with COVID-19 as the cause of ARDS; [3] inability to blind the investigators; and [4] ability to obtain timely informed consent from patients or legally authorized representatives early in the disease process. Results of the Reevaluation of Systemic Early Neuromuscular Blockade (ROSE) trial informed the decision to mandate sedation and neuromuscular blockade only in the group assigned to therapeutic hypothermia and proceed without this mandate in the control group assigned to a usual temperature management protocol. Previous trials conducted in National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute ARDS Clinical Trials (ARDSNet) and Prevention and Early Treatment of Acute Lung Injury (PETAL) Networks informed ventilator management, ventilation liberation and fluid management protocols. Since ARDS due to COVID-19 is a common cause of ARDS during pandemic surges and shares many features with ARDS from other causes, patients with ARDS due to COVID-19 are included. Finally, a stepwise approach to obtaining informed consent prior to documenting critical hypoxemia was adopted to facilitate enrollment and reduce the number of candidates excluded because eligibility time window expiration.

Combining exercise, protein supplementation and electric stimulation to mitigate muscle wasting and improve outcomes for survivors of critical illness-The ExPrES study.

BACKGROUND: Neuromuscular electrical stimulation (NMES) with high protein supplementation (HPRO) to preserve muscle mass and function has not been assessed in ICU patients. We compared the effects of combining NMES and HPRO with mobility and strength rehabilitation (NMES+HPRO+PT) to standardized ICU care. OBJECTIVES: To assess the effectiveness of combined NMES+HPRO+PT in mitigating sarcopenia as evidenced by CT volume and cross-sectional area when compared to usual ICU care. Additionally, we assessed the effects of the combined therapy on select clinical outcomes, including nutritional status, nitrogen balance, delirium and days on mechanical ventilation. METHODS: Participants were randomized by computer generated assignments to receive either NMES+HPRO+PT or standard care. Over 14 days the standardized ICU care group (N = 23) received usual critical care and rehabilitation while the NMES+HPRO+PT group (N = 16) received 30 min neuromuscular electrical stimulation of quadriceps and dorsiflexors twice-daily for 10 days and mean 1.3 ± 0.4 g/kg body weight of high protein supplementation in addition to standard care. Nonresponsive participants received passive exercises and, once responsive, were encouraged to exercise actively. Primary outcome measures were muscle volume and cross-sectional area measured using CT-imaging. Secondary outcomes included nutritional status, nitrogen balance, delirium and days on mechanical ventilation. RESULTS: The NMES+HPRO+PT group (N = 16) lost less lower extremity muscle volume compared to the standard care group (N = 23) and had larger mean combined thigh cross-sectional area. The nitrogen balance remained negative in the standard care group, while positive on days 5, 9, and 14 in the NMES+HPRO+PT group. Standard care group participants experienced more delirium than the NMES+HPRO+PT group. No differences between groups when comparing length of stay or mechanical ventilation days. CONCLUSIONS: The combination of neuromuscular electrical stimulation, high protein supplementation and mobility and strength rehabilitation resulted in mitigation of lower extremity muscle loss and less delirium in mechanically ventilated ICU patients. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Clinicaltrials.gov identifier: NCT02509520. Registered July 28, 2015.

Predicting the likelihood of lower respiratory tract Ureaplasma infection in preterms.

OBJECTIVE: To develop predictive models of Ureaplasma spp lower airway tract infection in preterm infants. METHODS: A dataset was assembled from five cohorts of infants born <33 weeks gestational age (GA) enrolled over 17 years (1999-2016) with culture and/or PCR-confirmed tracheal aspirate Ureaplasma status in the first week of life (n=415). Seventeen demographic, obstetric and neonatal factors were analysed including admission white blood cell (WBC) counts. Best subset regression was used to develop three risk scores for lower airway Ureaplasma infection: (1) including admission laboratory values, (2) excluding admission laboratory values and (3) using only data known prenatally. RESULTS: GA and rupture of membranes >72 hours were significant predictors in all 3 models. When all variables including admission laboratory values were included in the regression, WBC count was also predictive in the resulting model. When laboratory values were excluded, delivery route was found to be an additional predictive factor. The area under the curve for the receiver operating characteristic indicated high predictive ability of each model to identify infants with lower airway Ureaplasma infection (range 0.73-0.77). CONCLUSION: We developed predictive models based on clinical and limited laboratory information available in the perinatal period that can distinguish between low risk (<10%) and high risk (>40%) of lower airway Ureaplasma infection. These may be useful in the design of phase III trials of therapeutic interventions to prevent Ureaplasma-mediated lung disease in preterm infants and in clinical management of at-risk infants.

Identification of Community-Dwelling Older Adults With Shoulder Dysfunction: A Pilot Study to Evaluate the Disabilities of the Arm, Shoulder and Hand Survey.

Introduction: The Disabilities of the Arm, Shoulder and Hand (DASH) survey estimates the upper limbs' dysfunction in one score, but limited evidence exists to justify use of DASH to screen older adults for shoulder dysfunction at routine health maintenance primary care visits. We sought (1) to determine if the DASH, American Shoulder and Elbow Surgeons (ASES) and Simple Shoulder Test (SST) surveys are related to one another and (2) to determine the relationship of DASH, ASES and SST scores with 36-Item Short Form (SF-36) subscales, shoulder forward flexion range of motion (FF-ROM) and abduction (ABD-ROM) in older adults. Methods: Prospective pilot study of 23 community-dwelling adult volunteers [mean age (± standard deviation), 69.3 ± 6.7 years; range, 61-84 years, with no rotator cuff repair or joint replacement. Shoulder MRI, ROM testing, DASH, ASES, SST, SF-36, Katz activities of daily living (ADLs), and Lawton-Brody instrumental ADLs (IADLs) were completed at one time point. Descriptive and correlation analyses were performed. Results: Means: DASH, 17.4 ± 19.5; ASES, 81.3 ± 19.7; SST, 71.7 ± 28.5; Katz ADLs, 5.9 ± .3; Lawton-Brody IADLs, 8.0 ± .0; FF-ROM, 140.2° ± 31.5°; and ABD-ROM, 128.3° ± 31.9°. Nearly 48% had supraspinatus tendon tear. Correlation among DASH, ASES, and SST was strong (|rho ≥.88|; P < .001). DASH, ASES, and SST had strong correlation (|rho ≥.71|;P < .001) with shoulder FF-ROM and ABD-ROM. DASH had near equivalent or slightly stronger correlation for all SF-36 subscales relative to ASES and SST. DASH showed strong or moderate correlation (P < .05) to most SF-36 subscales. Conclusion: DASH, ASES and SST strongly correlated with one another. DASH, relative to ASES and SST, has similar correlation to shoulder FF-ROM, ABD-ROM and SF-36 subscales in older adults. Our pilot study suggests that the DASH survey has potential utility to identify occult shoulder dysfunction in community-dwelling older adults who have normal Katz ADLs and Lawton-Brody IADLs if administered during routine health maintenance primary care visits.

Role of volume in small abdominal aortic aneurysm surveillance.

OBJECTIVE: Current management of small abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs) primarily involves serial imaging surveillance of maximum transverse diameter (MTD) to estimate rupture risk. Other measurements, such as volume and tortuosity, are less well-studied and may help characterize and predict AAA progression. This study evaluated predictors of AAA volume growth and discusses the role of volume in clinical practice. METHODS: Subjects from the Non-invasive Treatment of Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Clinical Trial (baseline AAA MTD, 3.5-5.0 cm) with ≥2 computed tomography scans were included in this study (n = 250). Computed tomography scans were conducted approximately every 6 months over 2 years. MTD, volume, and tortuosity were used to model growth. Univariable and multivariable backwards elimination least squares regressions assessed associations with volume growth. RESULTS: Baseline MTD accounted for 43% of baseline volume variance (P < .0001). Mean volume growth rate was 10.4 cm3/year (standard deviation, 8.8 cm3/year) (mean volume change +10.4%). Baseline volume accounted for 30% of volume growth variance; MTD accounted for 13% of volume growth variance. More tortuous aneurysms at baseline had significantly larger volume growth rates (difference, 32.8 cm3/year; P < .0001). Univariable analysis identified angiotensin II receptor blocker use (difference, -3.4 cm3/year; P = .02) and history of diabetes mellitus (difference, -2.8 cm3/year; P = .04) to be associated with lower rates of volume growth. Baseline volume, tortuosity index, current tobacco use, and absence of diabetes mellitus remained significantly associated with volume growth in multivariable analysis. AAAs that reached the MTD threshold for repair had a wide range of volumes: 102 cm3 to 142 cm3 in female patients (n = 5) and 105 cm3 to 229 cm3 in male patients (n = 20). CONCLUSIONS: Baseline AAA volume and MTD were found to be moderately correlated. On average, AAA volume grows about 10% annually. Baseline volume, tortuosity, MTD, current tobacco use, angiotensin II receptor blocker use, and history of diabetes mellitus were predictive of volume growth over time.

Dental care use and other population characteristics of older Americans with self-reported chronic conditions in the health and retirement study.

OBJECTIVES: To analyze relative differences in oral health care utilization, oral health, and other population characteristics of older Americans with respect to self-reported chronic conditions in the health and retirement study. METHODS: Differences in estimated percentages of those with specific chronic conditions by selected attributes were tested for statistical significance with standardized normal Z tests and logistic regressions. All estimates were based on weighted data from 1992 to 2016 Early Release RAND HRS Longitudinal file. SE estimates for the percentages accounted for the complex sample design of the survey. RESULTS: We establish that the strength of the associations between regular use of dental care and the absence of a chronic condition is similar in magnitude to having a college education, living in a high-income family, never smoking, not having certain functional limitations, and being under 65 years of age. DISCUSSION: These cross-sectional findings establish the relative strength of relationships between dental care use, oral health status, and other population characteristics and eight diagnosed conditions. Further work beyond the scope of this paper is needed to confirm these results as either attributes of those with the disease or causal risk factors for the onset of the condition.

Randomized trial of azithromycin to eradicate Ureaplasma respiratory colonization in preterm infants: 2-year outcomes.

BACKGROUND: To assess the potential impact of azithromycin treatment in the first week following birth on 2-year outcomes in preterm infants with and without Ureaplasma respiratory colonization who participated in a double-blind, placebo-controlled randomized controlled trial. METHODS: Respiratory morbidity was assessed at NICU discharge and at 6, 12, and 22-26 months corrected age using pulmonary questionnaires. Comprehensive neurodevelopmental assessments were completed between 22 and 26 months corrected age. The primary and secondary composite outcomes were death or severe respiratory morbidity and death or moderate-severe neurodevelopmental impairment, respectively, at 22-26 months corrected age. RESULTS: One hundred and twenty-one randomized participants (azithromycin, N = 60; placebo, N = 61) were included in the intent-to-treat analysis. There were no significant differences in death or serious respiratory morbidity (34.8 vs 30.4%, p = 0.67) or death or moderate-severe neurodevelopmental impairment (47 vs 33%, p = 0.11) between the azithromycin and placebo groups. Among all trial participants, tracheal aspirate Ureaplasma-positive infants experienced a higher frequency of death or serious respiratory morbidity at 22-26 months corrected age (58%) than tracheal aspirate Ureaplasma-negative infants (34%) or non-intubated infants (21%) (p = 0.028). CONCLUSIONS: We did not observe strong evidence of a difference in long-term pulmonary and neurodevelopment outcomes in preterm infants treated with azithromycin in the first week of life compared to placebo. IMPACT: No strong evidence of a difference in long-term pulmonary and neurodevelopment outcomes was identified at 22-26 months corrected age in infants treated with azithromycin in the first week of life compared to placebo. The RCT is the first study of 2-year pulmonary and neurodevelopmental outcomes of azithromycin treatment in ELGANs. Provides evidence that ELGANs with lower respiratory tract Ureaplasma have the most frequent serious respiratory morbidity in the first 2 years of life, suggesting that a Phase III trial of azithromycin to prevent BPD targeting this population is warranted.

The effect of diabetes on abdominal aortic aneurysm growth over 2 years.

OBJECTIVE: Abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) is a common progressive disease and a significant cause of morbidity and mortality. Prior investigations have shown that diabetes mellitus (DM) may be relatively protective of AAA incidence and growth. The Non-invasive Treatment of Aortic Aneurysm Clinical Trial (N-TA3CT) is a contemporary study of small AAA growth that provides a unique opportunity to validate and explore the effect of DM on AAA. Confirming the effect of DM on AAA growth in this study may present opportunities to explore for clues to potential biologic mechanisms as well as inform current patient management. METHODS: This is a secondary analysis examining the association of diabetes and aneurysm growth within N-TA3CT: a placebo-controlled multicenter trial of doxycycline in 261 patients with AAA maximum transverse diameters (MTDs) between 3.5 and 5 cm. The primary outcome is the change in the MTD from baseline as determined by computed tomography (CT) scans obtained during the trial. Secondary outcome is the growth pattern of the AAA. Baseline characteristics and growth patterns were assessed with t tests (continuous) or χ2 tests (categorical). Unadjusted and adjusted longitudinal analyses were performed with a repeated measures linear mixed model to compare AAA growth rates between patients with and without diabetes. RESULTS: Of 261 patients, 250 subjects had sufficient imaging and were included in this study. There were 56 patients (22.4%) with diabetes and 194 (77.6%) without. Diabetes was associated with higher body mass index and increased rates of hypercholesterolemia and coronary artery disease (P < .05). Diabetes was also associated with increased frequency of treatment for atherosclerosis and hypertension including treatment with statin, angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor, angiotensin II receptor blocker, anti-platelet, and diuretic therapy (P < .05). Baseline MTD was not significantly different between those with (4.32 cm) and without DM (4.30 cm). Median growth rate for patients with diabetes was 0.12 cm/y (interquartile range, 0.07-0.22 cm/y) and 0.19 cm/y (interquartile range, 0.12-0.27 cm/y) in patients without DM, which was significantly different on unadjusted analysis (P < .0001). Diabetes remained significantly associated with AAA growth after adjustment for other relevant clinical factors (coef, -0.057; P < .0001). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with diabetes have more than a 35% reduction in the median growth rates of AAA despite more severe concomitant vascular comorbidities and similar initial sizes of aneurysms. This effect persists and remains robust after adjusted analysis; and slower growth rates may delay the time to reach repair threshold. Rapid growth (>0.5 cm/y) is infrequent in patients with DM.

Prevalence of Clinical and Subclinical Myocarditis in Competitive Athletes With Recent SARS-CoV-2 Infection: Results From the Big Ten COVID-19 Cardiac Registry.

Importance: Myocarditis is a leading cause of sudden death in competitive athletes. Myocardial inflammation is known to occur with SARS-CoV-2. Different screening approaches for detection of myocarditis have been reported. The Big Ten Conference requires comprehensive cardiac testing including cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging for all athletes with COVID-19, allowing comparison of screening approaches. Objective: To determine the prevalence of myocarditis in athletes with COVID-19 and compare screening strategies for safe return to play. Design, Setting, and Participants: Big Ten COVID-19 Cardiac Registry principal investigators were surveyed for aggregate observational data from March 1, 2020, through December 15, 2020, on athletes with COVID-19. For athletes with myocarditis, presence of cardiac symptoms and details of cardiac testing were recorded. Myocarditis was categorized as clinical or subclinical based on the presence of cardiac symptoms and CMR findings. Subclinical myocarditis classified as probable or possible myocarditis based on other testing abnormalities. Myocarditis prevalence across universities was determined. The utility of different screening strategies was evaluated. Exposures: SARS-CoV-2 by polymerase chain reaction testing. Main Outcome and Measure: Myocarditis via cardiovascular diagnostic testing. Results: Representing 13 universities, cardiovascular testing was performed in 1597 athletes (964 men [60.4%]). Thirty-seven (including 27 men) were diagnosed with COVID-19 myocarditis (overall 2.3%; range per program, 0%-7.6%); 9 had clinical myocarditis and 28 had subclinical myocarditis. If cardiac testing was based on cardiac symptoms alone, only 5 athletes would have been detected (detected prevalence, 0.31%). Cardiac magnetic resonance imaging for all athletes yielded a 7.4-fold increase in detection of myocarditis (clinical and subclinical). Follow-up CMR imaging performed in 27 (73.0%) demonstrated resolution of T2 elevation in all (100%) and late gadolinium enhancement in 11 (40.7%). Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study of 1597 US competitive athletes with CMR screening after COVID-19 infection, 37 athletes (2.3%) were diagnosed with clinical and subclinical myocarditis. Variability was observed in prevalence across universities, and testing protocols were closely tied to the detection of myocarditis. Variable ascertainment and unknown implications of CMR findings underscore the need for standardized timing and interpretation of cardiac testing. These unique CMR imaging data provide a more complete understanding of the prevalence of clinical and subclinical myocarditis in college athletes after COVID-19 infection. The role of CMR in routine screening for athletes safe return to play should be explored further.

Evaluating Growth Patterns of Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Diameter With Serial Computed Tomography Surveillance.

Importance: Small abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs) are common in the elderly population. Their growth rates and patterns, which drive clinical surveillance, are widely disputed. Objective: To assess the growth patterns and rates of AAAs as documented on serial computed tomography (CT) scans. Design, Setting, and Participants: Cohort study and secondary analysis of the Non-Invasive Treatment of Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Clinical Trial (N-TA3CT), a randomized, double-blind placebo-controlled clinical trial conducted from 2013 to 2018, with CT imaging every 6 months for 2 years. The trial was a multicenter, observational secondary analysis, not related to treatment hypotheses of data collected in the N-TA3CT. Participants included 254 patients with baseline AAA diameter between 3.5 and 5.0 cm. Exposures: Patients received serial CT scan measurements, analyzed for maximum transverse diameter, at 6-month intervals. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary study outcome was AAA annual growth rate. Secondary analyses included characterizing AAA growth patterns, assessing likelihood of AAA diameter to exceed sex-specific intervention thresholds over 2 years. Results: A total of 254 patients, 35 women with baseline AAA diameter 3.5 to 4.5 cm and 219 men with baseline diameter 3.5 to 5.0 cm, were included. Yearly growth rates of AAA diameters were a median of 0.17 cm/y (interquartile range [IQR], 0.16) and a mean (SD), 0.19 (0.14) cm/y. Ten percent of AAAs displayed minimal to no growth (<0.05 cm/y), 62% displayed low growth (0.05-0.25 cm/y), and 28% displayed high growth (>0.25 cm/y). Baseline AAA diameter accounted for 5.4% of variance of growth rate (P < .001; R2, 0.054). Most AAAs displayed linear growth (70%); large variations in interval growth rates occurred infrequently (3% staccato growth and 4% exponential growth); and some patients' growth patterns were not clearly classifiable (23% indeterminate). No patients with a maximum transverse diameter less than 4.25 cm exceeded sex-specific repair thresholds at 2 years (men, 0 of 92; 95% CI, 0.00-0.055; women, 0 of 25 ; 95% CI, 0.00-0.247). Twenty-six percent of patients with a maximum transverse diameter of at least 4.25 cm exceeded sex-specific repair thresholds at 2 years (n = 12 of 83 men with diameter ranging from 4.25 to <4.75 cm; 95% CI, 0.091-0.264; n = 21 of 44 men with diameter ranging from 4.75-5.0 cm; 95% CI, 0.362-0.669; n = 3 of 10 women with diameter ≥4.25 cm; 95% CI, 0.093-0.726). Conclusions and Relevance: Most small AAAs showed linear growth; large intrapatient variations in interval growth rates were infrequently observed over 2 years. Linear growth modeling of AAAs in individual patients suggests smaller AAAs (<4.25 cm) can be followed up with a CT scan in at least 2 years with little chance of exceeding interventional thresholds. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT01756833.

High-Flow Nasal Cannula Oxygen in Patients Having Anesthesia for Advanced Esophagogastroduodenoscopy: HIFLOW-ENDO, a Randomized Clinical Trial.

BACKGROUND: Over 6 million esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD) procedures are performed in the United States each year. Patients having anesthesia for advanced EGD procedures, such as interventional procedures, are at high risk for hypoxemia. METHODS: Our primary study aim was to evaluate whether high-flow nasal cannula (HFNC) oxygen reduces the incidence of hypoxemia during anesthesia for advanced EGD. Secondarily, we studied whether HFNC oxygen reduces hypercarbia or hypotension. After obtaining written informed consent, adults having anesthesia for advanced EGD, expected to last longer than 15 minutes, were randomly assigned to receive HFNC oxygen or standard nasal cannula (SNC) oxygen. The primary outcome was occurrence of one or more hypoxemia events during anesthesia, defined by arterial oxygen saturation <92% for at least 15 consecutive seconds. Secondary outcomes were occurrence of one or more hypercarbia or hypotension events. A hypercarbia event was defined by a transcutaneous CO2 measurement 20 mm Hg or more above baseline, and a hypotension event was defined by a mean arterial blood pressure measurement 25% or more below baseline. RESULTS: Two hundred seventy-one adult patients were enrolled and randomized, and 262 patients completed study procedures. Eight randomized patients did not complete study procedures due to changes in their anesthesia or endoscopy plan. One patient was excluded from analysis because their procedure was aborted after 1 minute. Patients who received HFNC oxygen (N = 132) had a significantly lower incidence of hypoxemia than those who received SNC oxygen (N = 130; 21.2% vs 33.1%; hazard ratio [HR] = 0.59 [95% confidence interval {CI}, 0.36-0.95]; P = .03). There was no difference in the incidence of hypercarbia or hypotension between the groups. The HR for hypercarbia with HFNC oxygen was 1.29 (95% CI, 0.89-1.88; P = .17), and the HR for hypotension was 1.25 (95% CI, 0.86-1.82; P = .25). CONCLUSIONS: HFNC oxygen reduces the incidence of hypoxemia during anesthesia for advanced EGD and may offer an opportunity to enhance patient safety during these procedures.

Survival benefit of lung transplantation compared with medical management and pulmonary rehabilitation for patients with end-stage COPD.

BACKGROUND: COPD patients account for a large proportion of lung transplants; lung transplantation survival benefit for COPD patients is not well established. METHODS: We identified 4521 COPD patients in the United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) dataset transplanted from May 2005 to August 2016, and 604 patients assigned to receive pulmonary rehabilitation and medical management in the National Emphysema Treatment Trial (NETT). After trimming the populations for NETT eligibility criteria and data completeness, 1337 UNOS and 596 NETT patients remained. Kaplan-Meier estimates of transplant-free survival from transplantation for UNOS, and NETT randomisation, were compared between propensity score-matched UNOS (n=401) and NETT (n=262) patients. RESULTS: In propensity-matched analyses, transplanted patients had better survival compared to medically managed patients in NETT (p=0.003). Stratifying on 6 min walk distance (6 MWD) and FEV1, UNOS patients with 6 MWD <1000 ft (∼300 m) or FEV1 <20% of predicted had better survival than NETT counterparts (median survival 5.0 years UNOS versus 3.4 years NETT; log-rank p<0.0001), while UNOS patients with 6 MWD ≥1000 ft (∼300 m) and FEV1 ≥20% had similar survival to NETT counterparts (median survival, 5.4 years UNOS versus 4.9 years NETT; log-rank p=0.73), interaction p=0.01. CONCLUSIONS: Overall survival is better for matched lung transplant patients compared with medical management alone. Patients who derive maximum benefit are those with 6 MWD <1000 ft (∼300 m) or FEV1 <20% of predicted, compared with pulmonary rehabilitation and medical management.

Effect of Doxycycline on Aneurysm Growth Among Patients With Small Infrarenal Abdominal Aortic Aneurysms: A Randomized Clinical Trial.

Importance: Abdominal aortic aneurysms affect more than 3% of US older adults. Objective: To test whether doxycycline reduces the growth of abdominal aortic aneurysm over 2 years as measured by maximum transverse diameter. Design, Setting, and Participants: Parallel, 2-group, randomized clinical trial that was conducted at 22 US clinical centers between May 2013 and January 2017, and enrolled patients 50 years or older with small (3.5-5.0 cm for men, 3.5-4.5 cm for women) infrarenal aneurysms. The final date of follow-up was July 31, 2018. Interventions: Patients were randomized to receive twice daily for 2 years doxycycline 100 mg orally (as capsules) (n = 133) or placebo (n = 128). Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was change in abdominal aortic aneurysm maximum transverse diameter measured from CT images at baseline and follow-up at 2 years. Patients were assigned ranks based on the maximum transverse diameter (measured or imputed) of the aorta and also if they underwent aneurysm repair or died. The ranks were converted to scores having a normal distribution to facilitate the primary analysis ("normal scores"). Results: Of 261 patients randomized, no follow-up CT scans were obtained on 7 (3%), leaving a final analysis set of 129 patients assigned to doxycycline and 125 to placebo (mean [SD] age, 71.0 years [7.4 years], 35 women [14%]). The outcome normal scores used in the primary analysis were based on maximum transverse diameter (measured or imputed) in 113 patients (88%) in the doxycycline group and 112 patients (90%) in the placebo group; aneurysm repair in 13 (10%) and 9 (7%), and death in 3 (2%) and 4 (3%), respectively. The primary outcome, normal scores reflecting change in aortic diameter, did not differ significantly between the 2 groups, mean change in normal scores, 0.0262 vs -0.0258 (1-sided P = .71). Mean (SD) baseline maximum transverse diameter was 4.3 cm (0.4 cm) for doxycycline and 4.3 cm (0.4 cm) for placebo. At the 2-year follow-up, the change in measured maximum transverse diameter was 0.36 cm (95% CI, 0.31 to 0.40 cm) for 96 patients in the doxycycline group vs 0.36 cm (95% CI, 0.30 to 0.41 cm) for 101 patients in the placebo group (difference, 0.0; 95% CI, -0.07 to 0.07 cm; 2-sided P = .93). No patients were withdrawn from the study because of adverse effects. Joint pain occurred in 84 of 129 patients (65%) with doxycycline and 79 of 125 (63%) with placebo. Conclusions and Relevance: Among patients with small infrarenal abdominal aortic aneurysms, doxycycline compared with placebo did not significantly reduce aneurysm growth at 2 years. These findings do not support the use of doxycycline for reducing the growth of small abdominal aortic aneurysms. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT01756833.

Randomised trial of azithromycin to eradicate Ureaplasma in preterm infants.

OBJECTIVE: To test whether azithromycin eradicates Ureaplasma from the respiratory tract in preterm infants. DESIGN: Prospective, phase IIb randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial. SETTING: Seven level III-IV US, academic, neonatal intensive care units (NICUs). PATIENTS: Infants 240-286 weeks' gestation (stratified 240-266; 270-286 weeks) randomly assigned within 4 days following birth from July 2013 to August 2016. INTERVENTIONS: Intravenous azithromycin 20 mg/kg or an equal volume of D5W (placebo) every 24 hours for 3 days. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary efficacy outcome was Ureaplasma-free survival. Secondary outcomes were all-cause mortality, Ureaplasma clearance, physiological bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD) at 36 weeks' postmenstrual age, comorbidities of prematurity and duration of respiratory support. RESULTS: One hundred and twenty-one randomised participants (azithromycin: n=60; placebo: n=61) were included in the intent-to-treat analysis (mean gestational age 26.2±1.4 weeks). Forty-four of 121 participants (36%) were Ureaplasma positive (azithromycin: n=19; placebo: n=25). Ureaplasma-free survival was 55/60 (92% (95% CI 82% to 97%)) for azithromycin compared with 37/61 (61% (95% CI 48% to 73%)) for placebo. Mortality was similar comparing the two treatment groups (5/60 (8%) vs 6/61 (10%)). Azithromycin effectively eradicated Ureaplasma in all azithromycin-assigned colonised infants, but 21/25 (84%) Ureaplasma-colonised participants receiving placebo were culture positive at one or more follow-up timepoints. Most of the neonatal mortality and morbidity was concentrated in 21 infants with lower respiratory tract Ureaplasma colonisation. In a subgroup analysis, physiological BPD-free survival was 5/10 (50%) (95% CI 19% to 81%) among azithromycin-assigned infants with lower respiratory tract Ureaplasma colonisation versus 2/11 (18%) (95% CI 2% to 52%) in placebo-treated infants. CONCLUSION: A 3-day azithromycin regimen effectively eradicated respiratory tract Ureaplasma colonisation in this study. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT01778634.

Asymptomatic carotid stenosis is associated with mobility and cognitive dysfunction and heightens falls in older adults.

BACKGROUND: Atherosclerosis of the carotid bifurcation with plaque formation causes asymptomatic carotid artery stenosis (ACAS), which may also be associated with cerebral hypoperfusion. Cerebral hypoperfusion adversely affects multiple aspects of mobility and cognition. This study tests the hypothesis that community-dwelling older adults with a 50% or greater diameter-reducing ACAS will have mobility and cognitive impairments that heighten their risk for falls. METHODS: Eighty community-dwelling adults completed a mobility assessment (Short Physical Performance Battery, Berg Balance Scale, Four Square Step Test, Dynamic Gait Index, Timed Up and Go, and gait speed), self-reported physical function (Activities-Specific Balance Confidence, SF-12 Physical Function Component), and cognitive tests (Mini-Mental State Examination). Falls were recorded for the past 6 months. Standardized carotid ultrasound examination classified participants into no stenosis (<50% diameter reduction) (n = 54), moderate stenosis (50%-69%) (n = 17), and high-grade stenosis (70%-99%) (n = 9) groups. Linear and logistic regression analyses determined the associations between these measures and the degree of stenosis (three groups). RESULTS: Logistic regression analysis showed their degree of stenosis was associated with reductions in mobility (Short Physical Performance Battery [P = .008], Berg Balance Scale [P = .0008], Four Square Step Test [P = .005], DGI [P = .0001], TUG [P = .0004], gait speed [P = .02]), perceived physical function (ABC [P < .0001], SF-12 Physical Function Component [P < .0001]), and cognition (MMSE [P = .003]). Adults with moderate- and high-grade stenosis had a greater incidence of falls compared with those without stenosis (relative risk, 2.86; P = .01). Results remained unchanged after adjustment for age, sex and cardiovascular risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: ACAS is associated with impaired mobility and cognition that are accompanied with increased fall risk. These impairments increased with worsening severity.