Biostatistical Aspects of Whole Genome Sequencing Studies: Preprocessing and Quality Control.

Rapid advances in high-throughput DNA sequencing technologies have enabled large-scale whole genome sequencing (WGS) studies. Before performing association analysis between phenotypes and genotypes, preprocessing and quality control (QC) of the raw sequence data need to be performed. Because many biostatisticians have not been working with WGS data so far, we first sketch Illumina's short-read sequencing technology. Second, we explain the general preprocessing pipeline for WGS studies. Third, we provide an overview of important QC metrics, which are applied to WGS data: on the raw data, after mapping and alignment, after variant calling, and after multisample variant calling. Fourth, we illustrate the QC with the data from the GENEtic SequencIng Study Hamburg-Davos (GENESIS-HD), a study involving more than 9000 human whole genomes. All samples were sequenced on an Illumina NovaSeq 6000 with an average coverage of 35× using a PCR-free protocol. For QC, one genome in a bottle (GIAB) trio was sequenced in four replicates, and one GIAB sample was successfully sequenced 70 times in different runs. Fifth, we provide empirical data on the compression of raw data using the DRAGEN original read archive (ORA). The most important quality metrics in the application were genetic similarity, sample cross-contamination, deviations from the expected Het/Hom ratio, relatedness, and coverage. The compression ratio of the raw files using DRAGEN ORA was 5.6:1, and compression time was linear by genome coverage. In summary, the preprocessing, joint calling, and QC of large WGS studies are feasible within a reasonable time, and efficient QC procedures are readily available.

Somatic symptom disorder symptoms in individuals at risk for heart failure: A cluster analysis with cross-sectional data from a population-based cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: Identifying whether experienced symptom burden in individuals with medical predisposition indicates somatic symptom disorder (SSD) is challenging, given the high overlap in the phenomenology of symptoms within this group. This study aimed to enhance understanding SSD in individuals at risk for heart failure. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: Cross-sectional data from the Hamburg City Health Study was analyzed including randomly selected individuals from the general population of Hamburg, Germany recruited from February 2016 to November 2018. SSD symptoms assessed with the Somatic Symptom Scale-8 and the Somatic Symptom Disorder-12 scale were categorized by applying cluster analysis including 412 individuals having at least 5% risk for heart failure-related hospitalization within the next ten years. Clusters were compared for biomedical and psychological factors using ANOVA and chi-square tests. Linear regressions, adjusting for sociodemographic, biomedical, and psychological factors, explored associations between clusters with general practitioner visits and quality of life. RESULTS: Three clusters emerged: none (n = 215; 43% female), moderate (n = 151; 48% female), and severe (n = 46; 54% female) SSD symptom burden. The SSS-8 mean sum scores were 3.4 (SD = 2.7) for no, 6.4 (SD = 3.4) for moderate, and 12.4 (SD = 3.7) for severe SSD symptom burden. The SSD-12 mean sum scores were 3.1 (SD = 2.6) for no, 12.2 (SD = 4.2) for moderate, and 23.5 (SD = 6.7) for severe SSD symptom burden. Higher SSD symptom burden correlated with biomedical factors (having diabetes: p = .005 and dyspnea: p ≤ .001) and increased psychological burden (depression severity: p ≤ .001; anxiety severity: p ≤ .001), irrespective of heart failure risk (p = .202). Increased SSD symptoms were associated with more general practitioner visits (ß = 0.172; p = .002) and decreased physical quality of life (ß = -0.417; p ≤ .001). CONCLUSION: Biomedical factors appear relevant in characterizing individuals at risk for heart failure, while psychological factors affect SSD symptom experience. Understanding SSD symptom diversity and addressing subgroup needs could prove beneficial.

Reduced olfactory bulb volume accompanies olfactory dysfunction after mild SARS-CoV-2 infection.

Despite its high prevalence, the determinants of smelling impairment in COVID-19 remain not fully understood. In this work, we aimed to examine the association between olfactory bulb volume and the clinical trajectory of COVID-19-related smelling impairment in a large-scale magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) analysis. Data of non-vaccinated COVID-19 convalescents recruited within the framework of the prospective Hamburg City Health Study COVID Program between March and December 2020 were analyzed. At baseline, 233 participants underwent MRI and neuropsychological testing as well as a structured questionnaire for olfactory function. Between March and April 2022, olfactory function was assessed at follow-up including quantitative olfactometric testing with Sniffin' Sticks. This study included 233 individuals recovered from mainly mild to moderate SARS-CoV-2 infections. Longitudinal assessment demonstrated a declining prevalence of self-reported olfactory dysfunction from 67.1% at acute infection, 21.0% at baseline examination and 17.5% at follow-up. Participants with post-acute self-reported olfactory dysfunction had a significantly lower olfactory bulb volume at baseline than normally smelling individuals. Olfactory bulb volume at baseline predicted olfactometric scores at follow-up. Performance in neuropsychological testing was not significantly associated with the olfactory bulb volume. Our work demonstrates an association of long-term self-reported smelling dysfunction and olfactory bulb integrity in a sample of individuals recovered from mainly mild to moderate COVID-19. Collectively, our results highlight olfactory bulb volume as a surrogate marker that may inform diagnosis and guide rehabilitation strategies in COVID-19.

Prognostic Value of Cardiovascular Biomarkers in the Population.

Importance: Identification of individuals at high risk for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease within the population is important to inform primary prevention strategies. Objective: To evaluate the prognostic value of routinely available cardiovascular biomarkers when added to established risk factors. Design, Setting, and Participants: Individual-level analysis including data on cardiovascular biomarkers from 28 general population-based cohorts from 12 countries and 4 continents with assessments by participant age. The median follow-up was 11.8 years. Exposure: Measurement of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I, high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide, B-type natriuretic peptide, or high-sensitivity C-reactive protein. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, which included all fatal and nonfatal events. The secondary outcomes were all-cause mortality, heart failure, ischemic stroke, and myocardial infarction. Subdistribution hazard ratios (HRs) for the association of biomarkers and outcomes were calculated after adjustment for established risk factors. The additional predictive value of the biomarkers was assessed using the C statistic and reclassification analyses. Results: The analyses included 164 054 individuals (median age, 53.1 years [IQR, 42.7-62.9 years] and 52.4% were women). There were 17 211 incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease events. All biomarkers were significantly associated with incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (subdistribution HR per 1-SD change, 1.13 [95% CI, 1.11-1.16] for high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I; 1.18 [95% CI, 1.12-1.23] for high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T; 1.21 [95% CI, 1.18-1.24] for N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide; 1.14 [95% CI, 1.08-1.22] for B-type natriuretic peptide; and 1.14 [95% CI, 1.12-1.16] for high-sensitivity C-reactive protein) and all secondary outcomes. The addition of each single biomarker to a model that included established risk factors improved the C statistic. For 10-year incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease in younger people (aged <65 years), the combination of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide, and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein resulted in a C statistic improvement from 0.812 (95% CI, 0.8021-0.8208) to 0.8194 (95% CI, 0.8089-0.8277). The combination of these biomarkers also improved reclassification compared with the conventional model. Improvements in risk prediction were most pronounced for the secondary outcomes of heart failure and all-cause mortality. The incremental value of biomarkers was greater in people aged 65 years or older vs younger people. Conclusions and Relevance: Cardiovascular biomarkers were strongly associated with fatal and nonfatal cardiovascular events and mortality. The addition of biomarkers to established risk factors led to only a small improvement in risk prediction metrics for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, but was more favorable for heart failure and mortality.

Transcatheter or Surgical Treatment of Aortic-Valve Stenosis.

BACKGROUND: Among low-risk patients with severe, symptomatic aortic stenosis who are eligible for both transcatheter aortic-valve implantation (TAVI) and surgical aortic-valve replacement (SAVR), data are lacking on the appropriate treatment strategy in routine clinical practice. METHODS: In this randomized noninferiority trial conducted at 38 sites in Germany, we assigned patients with severe aortic stenosis who were at low or intermediate surgical risk to undergo either TAVI or SAVR. Percutaneous- and surgical-valve prostheses were selected according to operator discretion. The primary outcome was a composite of death from any cause or fatal or nonfatal stroke at 1 year. RESULTS: A total of 1414 patients underwent randomization (701 to the TAVI group and 713 to the SAVR group). The mean (±SD) age of the patients was 74±4 years; 57% were men, and the median Society of Thoracic Surgeons risk score was 1.8% (low surgical risk). The Kaplan-Meier estimate of the primary outcome at 1 year was 5.4% in the TAVI group and 10.0% in the SAVR group (hazard ratio for death or stroke, 0.53; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.35 to 0.79; P<0.001 for noninferiority). The incidence of death from any cause was 2.6% in the TAVI group and 6.2% in the SAVR group (hazard ratio, 0.43; 95% CI, 0.24 to 0.73); the incidence of stroke was 2.9% and 4.7%, respectively (hazard ratio, 0.61; 95% CI, 0.35 to 1.06). Procedural complications occurred in 1.5% and 1.0% of patients in the TAVI and SAVR groups, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with severe aortic stenosis at low or intermediate surgical risk, TAVI was noninferior to SAVR with respect to death from any cause or stroke at 1 year. (Funded by the German Center for Cardiovascular Research and the German Heart Foundation; DEDICATE-DZHK6 ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT03112980.).

Impact of Quantitative ST-T Analysis in Patients with Suspected Myocardial Infarction Presenting with Right Bundle Branch Block.

BACKGROUND: While left bundle branch block (LBBB) is a well-known risk feature in patients with acute myocardial infarction, and a rapid invasive management is recommended, data supporting this strategy for patients with right bundle branch block (RBBB) is less robust. METHODS: In total, 2139 patients with suspected ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) were triaged to acute coronary angiography based on a prehospital 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG). Sensitivity and specificity for STEMI-ECG criteria were compared in RBBB and non-BBB patients. Adjusted hazard ratios for 1-year overall mortality were computed. RESULTS: STEMI was adjudicated in 1832/2139 (85.6%) of all patients and in 102/117 (87.2%) of RBBB patients. ST-segment deviation followed typical ST-T patterns in most RBBB patients. Of 17 RBBB patients without significant ST changes, STEMI was adjudicated in 14 (82%). Diagnostic accuracy of STEMI criteria was comparable in RBBB and non-RBBB patients for inferior (sensitivity: 51.1% vs 59.1%, P = .14; specificity: 66.7% vs 52.1%, P = .33) and anterior STEMI (sensitivity: 35.2% vs 36.6%, P = .80; specificity: 58.3% vs 49.5%, P = .55). Diagnostic performance was lower for lateral STEMI in RBBB patients (sensitivity: 14.8% vs 4.4%, P = .001; specificity: 75.0% vs 98.4%, P < .001). Patients with RBBB had higher 1-year mortality compared with non-BBB patients (hazard ratio 2.3%; 95% confidence interval, 1.25-4.21. CONCLUSION: ECG criteria used for detection of STEMI showed comparable diagnostic accuracy in RBBB and non-BBB patients. However, STEMI was frequently present in RBBB patients not fulfilling diagnostic ECG criteria. RBBB patients showed poorer outcome after 1 year. Consequently, the presence of RBBB in suspected STEMI cases signifies a high-risk feature, aligning with established guidelines.

Spatial characteristics of non-communicable diseases and their associations to social conditions in a large urban cohort in Germany-Results from the Hamburg City Health Study.

BACKGROUND: Non-communicable diseases (NCDs) are responsible for many deaths. They are associated with several modifiable and metabolic risk factors and are therefore prone to significant regional variations on different scales. However, only few intra-urban studies examined spatial variation in NCDs and its association with social circumstances, especially in Germany. Thus, the present study aimed to identify associations of personal risk factors and local social conditions with NCDs in a large German city. METHODS: This study is based on a population-based cohort of the Hamburg City Health Study including 10,000 probands. Six NCDs were analyzed (chronic obstructive pulmonary disease [COPD], coronary heart disease [CHD], diabetes mellitus, heart failure, depression, and hypertension) in 68 city district clusters. As risk factors, we considered socio-demographic variables (age, sex, education) and risk behaviour variables (smoking, alcohol consumption). Logistic regression analyses identified associations between the district clusters and the prevalence rates for each NCD. Regional variation was detected by Gini coefficients and spatial cluster analyses. Local social condition indexes were correlated with prevalence rates of NCDs on city district level and hot-spot analyses were performed for significant high or low values. RESULTS: The analyses included 7,308 participants with a mean age of 63.1 years (51.5% female). The prevalence of hypertension (67.6%) was the highest. Risk factor associations were identified between smoking, alcohol consumption and education and the prevalence of NCDs (hypertension, diabetes, and COPD). Significant regional variations were detected and persisted after adjusting for personal risk factors. Correlations for prevalence rates with the local social conditions were significant for hypertension (r = 0.294, p < 0.02), diabetes (r = 0.259, p = 0.03), and COPD (r = 0.360, p < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: The study shows that regional differences in NCD prevalence persist even after adjusting for personal risk factors. This highlights the central role of both personal socio-economic status and behaviors such as alcohol and tobacco consumption. It also highlights the importance of other potential regional factors (e.g. the environment) in shaping NCD prevalence. This knowledge helps policy- and decision-makers to develop intervention strategies.

A latent clinical-anatomical dimension relating metabolic syndrome to brain structure and cognition.

The link between metabolic syndrome (MetS) and neurodegenerative as well as cerebrovascular conditions holds substantial implications for brain health in at-risk populations. This study elucidates the complex relationship between MetS and brain health by conducting a comprehensive examination of cardiometabolic risk factors, brain morphology, and cognitive function in 40,087 individuals. Multivariate, data-driven statistics identified a latent dimension linking more severe MetS to widespread brain morphological abnormalities, accounting for up to 71% of shared variance in the data. This dimension was replicable across sub-samples. In a mediation analysis, we could demonstrate that MetS-related brain morphological abnormalities mediated the link between MetS severity and cognitive performance in multiple domains. Employing imaging transcriptomics and connectomics, our results also suggest that MetS-related morphological abnormalities are linked to the regional cellular composition and macroscopic brain network organization. By leveraging extensive, multi-domain data combined with a dimensional stratification approach, our analysis provides profound insights into the association of MetS and brain health. These findings can inform effective therapeutic and risk mitigation strategies aimed at maintaining brain integrity.

Sex-specific differences in physiological parameters related to SARS-CoV-2 infections among a national cohort (COVI-GAPP study).

Considering sex as a biological variable in modern digital health solutions, we investigated sex-specific differences in the trajectory of four physiological parameters across a COVID-19 infection. A wearable medical device measured breathing rate, heart rate, heart rate variability, and wrist skin temperature in 1163 participants (mean age = 44.1 years, standard deviation [SD] = 5.6; 667 [57%] females). Participants reported daily symptoms and confounders in a complementary app. A machine learning algorithm retrospectively ingested daily biophysical parameters to detect COVID-19 infections. COVID-19 serology samples were collected from all participants at baseline and follow-up. We analysed potential sex-specific differences in physiology and antibody titres using multilevel modelling and t-tests. Over 1.5 million hours of physiological data were recorded. During the symptomatic period of infection, men demonstrated larger increases in skin temperature, breathing rate, and heart rate as well as larger decreases in heart rate variability than women. The COVID-19 infection detection algorithm performed similarly well for men and women. Our study belongs to the first research to provide evidence for differential physiological responses to COVID-19 between females and males, highlighting the potential of wearable technology to inform future precision medicine approaches.

Unrecognized myocardial scar by late-gadolinium-enhancement cardiovascular magnetic resonance: Insights from the population-based Hamburg City Health Study.

BACKGROUND: The presence of myocardial scar is associated with poor prognosis in several underlying diseases. Late-gadolinium-enhancement (LGE) cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging reveals clinically silent "unrecognized myocardial scar" (UMS), but the etiology of UMS often remains unclear. This population-based CMR study evaluated prevalence, localization, patterns, and risk factors of UMS. METHODS: The study population consisted of 1064 consecutive Hamburg City Health Study participants without a history of coronary heart disease or myocarditis. UMS was assessed by standard-phase-sensitive-inversion-recovery LGE CMR. RESULTS: Median age was 66 [quartiles 59, 71] years and 37% (388/1064) were females. UMS was detected in 244 (23%) participants. Twenty-five participants (10%) had ischemic, and 217 participants (89%) had non-ischemic scar patterns, predominantly involving the basal inferolateral left-ventricular (LV) myocardium (75%). Two participants (1%) had coincident ischemic and non-ischemic scar. The presence of any UMS was independently associated with LV ejection fraction (odds ratios (OR) per standard deviation (SD) 0.77 (confidence interval (CI) 0.65-0.90), p = 0.002) and LV mass (OR per SD 1.54 (CI 1.31-1.82), p < 0.001). Ischemic UMS was independently associated with LV ejection fraction (OR per SD 0.58 (CI 0.39-0.86), p = 0.007), LV mass (OR per SD 1.74 (CI 1.25-2.45), p = 0.001), and diabetes (OR 4.91 (CI 1.66-13.03), p = 0.002). Non-ischemic UMS was only independently associated with LV mass (OR per SD 1.44 (CI 1.24-1.69), p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: UMS, in particular with a non-ischemic pattern, is frequent in individuals without known cardiac disease and predominantly involves the basal inferolateral LV myocardium. Presence of UMS is independently associated with a lower LVEF, a higher LV mass, and a history of diabetes.

Impact of sex and gender on post-COVID-19 syndrome, Switzerland, 2020.

BackgroundWomen are overrepresented among individuals with post-acute sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 infection (PASC). Biological (sex) as well as sociocultural (gender) differences between women and men might account for this imbalance, yet their impact on PASC is unknown.AimWe assessed the impact of sex and gender on PASC in a Swiss population.MethodOur multicentre prospective cohort study included 2,856 (46% women, mean age 44.2 ± 16.8 years) outpatients and hospitalised patients with PCR-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection.ResultsAmong those who remained outpatients during their first infection, women reported persisting symptoms more often than men (40.5% vs 25.5% of men; p < 0.001). This sex difference was absent in hospitalised patients. In a crude analysis, both female biological sex (RR = 1.59; 95% CI: 1.41-1.79; p < 0.001) and a score summarising gendered sociocultural variables (RR = 1.05; 95% CI: 1.03-1.07; p < 0.001) were significantly associated with PASC. Following multivariable adjustment, biological female sex (RR = 0.96; 95% CI: 0.74-1.25; p = 0.763) was outperformed by feminine gender-related factors such as a higher stress level (RR = 1.04; 95% CI: 1.01-1.06; p = 0.003), lower education (RR = 1.16; 95% CI: 1.03-1.30; p = 0.011), being female and living alone (RR = 1.91; 95% CI: 1.29-2.83; p = 0.001) or being male and earning the highest income in the household (RR = 0.76; 95% CI: 0.60-0.97; p = 0.030).ConclusionSpecific sociocultural parameters that differ in prevalence between women and men, or imply a unique risk for women, are predictors of PASC and may explain, at least in part, the higher incidence of PASC in women. Once patients are hospitalised during acute infection, sex differences in PASC are no longer evident.

GRACE scores or high-sensitivity troponin for timing of coronary angiography in non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndromes.

BACKGROUND: The GRACE risk score is generically recommended by guidelines for timing of invasive coronary angiography without stating which score should be used. The aim was to determine the diagnostic performance of different GRACE risk scores in comparison to the ESC 0/1 h-algorithm using high-sensitivity cardiac troponin (hs-cTn). METHODS: Prospectively enrolled patients presenting with symptoms suggestive of myocardial infarction (MI) in two large studies testing biomarker diagnostic strategies were included. Five GRACE risk scores were calculated. The amount of risk reclassification and the theoretical impact on guideline-recommended timing of invasive coronary angiography was studied. RESULTS: Overall, 8,618 patients were eligible for analyses. Comparing different GRACE risk scores, up to 63.8% of participants were reclassified into a different risk category. The proportion of MIs identified (i.e., sensitivity) dramatically differed between GRACE risk scores (range 23.8-66.5%) and was lower for any score than for the ESC 0/1 h-algorithm (78.1%). Supplementing the ESC 0/1 h-algorithm with a GRACE risk score slightly increased sensitivity (P < 0.001 for all scores). However, this increased the number of false positive results. CONCLUSION: The substantial amount of risk reclassification causes clinically meaningful differences in the proportion of patients meeting the recommended threshold for pursuing early invasive strategy according to the different GRACE scores. The single best test to detect MIs is the ESC 0/1 h-algorithm. Combining GRACE risk scoring with hs-cTn testing slightly increases the detection of MIs but also increases the number of patients with false positive results who would undergo potential unnecessarily early invasive coronary angiography.

Multimodal characterization of dilated cardiomyopathy: Geno- And Phenotyping of PrImary Cardiomyopathy (GrAPHIC).

AIMS: Cardiomyopathies (CMPs) are a heterogeneous group of diseases that are defined by structural and functional abnormalities of the cardiac muscle. Dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM), the most common CMP, is defined by left ventricular dilation and impaired contractility and represents a common cause of heart failure. Different phenotypes result from various underlying genetic and acquired causes with variable effects on disease development and progression, prognosis, and response to medical treatment. Current treatment algorithms do not consider these different aetiologies, due to lack of insights into treatable drivers of cardiac failure in patients with DCM. Our study aims to precisely phenotype and genotype the various subtypes of DCM and hereby lay the foundation for individualized therapy. METHODS AND RESULTS: The Geno- And Phenotyping of PrImary Cardiomyopathy (GrAPHIC) is a currently ongoing prospective observational monocentric cohort study that recruits patients with DCM after exclusion of other causes such as coronary artery disease, valvular dysfunction, myocarditis, exposure to toxins, and peripartum CMP. Patients are enrolled at our heart failure outpatient clinic or during hospitalization at the University Hospital Hamburg. Clinical parameters, multimodal imaging and functional assessment, cardiac biopsies, and blood samples are obtained to enable an integrated genomic, functional, and biomarker analysis. CONCLUSIONS: The GrAPHIC will contribute to a better understanding of the heterogeneous nature of primary CMPs focusing on DCM and provide improved prognostic approaches and more individualized therapies.

Diagnostic and prognostic value of the sex-specific 99th percentile of four high-sensitivity cardiac troponin assays in patients with suspected myocardial infarction.

AIMS: High-sensitivity cardiac troponin (hs-cTn) assays are used for detection of myocardial infarction (MI). Ninety-ninth percentiles show wide inter-assay variation. The use of sex-specific cut-offs is recommended as definitory cut-off for MI. We compared diagnostic performance and prognostic value of sex-specific 99th percentiles of four hs-cTn assays in patients with suspected MI. METHODS AND RESULTS: Concentrations of four hs-cTn assays were measured at presentation and after 3 h in patients with suspected MI. Final diagnoses were adjudicated according to the 4th Universal Definition of MI. Unisex and sex-specific 99th percentiles were evaluated as diagnostic cut-offs following the ESC 0/3 h algorithm. These cut-offs were used in Cox-regression analyses to investigate the association with a composite endpoint of MI, revascularization, cardiac rehospitalization, and death. Non-ST-elevation MI was diagnosed in 368 of 2718 patients. Applying the unisex 99th percentile, Elecsys hs-cTnT provided highest negative predictive value (NPV) of 99.7 and a positive predictive value (PPV) of 75.9. The analysed hs-cTnI assays showed slightly lower NPVs and comparable PPVs [Architect (NPV 98.0, PPV of 71.4); Atellica (NPV 97.7, PPV of 76.1); Pathfast (NPV 97.7, PPV of 66.6)]. Application of sex-specific 99th percentiles did not significantly affect diagnostic performance. Concentrations above 99th percentile were independent predictors for impaired long-term outcome (hazard ratios 1.2-1.5, P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: We describe a good diagnostic accuracy of four hs-cTn assays using the assay-specific 99th percentile for detection of MI. Application of sex-specific 99th percentiles did neither affect diagnostic performance nor prognostic value significantly. Finally, values above the 99th percentile were associated with poor long-term outcome.

Prognostic utility of a multi-biomarker panel in patients with suspected myocardial infarction.

BACKGROUND: The accurate identification of patients with high cardiovascular risk in suspected myocardial infarction (MI) is an unmet clinical need. Therefore, we sought to investigate the prognostic utility of a multi-biomarker panel with 29 different biomarkers in in 748 consecutive patients with symptoms indicative of MI using a machine learning-based approach. METHODS: Incident major cardiovascular events (MACE) were documented within 1 year after the index admission. The selection of the best multi-biomarker model was performed using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO). The independent and additive utility of selected biomarkers was compared to a clinical reference model and the Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) Score, respectively. Findings were validated using internal cross-validation. RESULTS: Median age of the study population was 64 years. At 1 year of follow-up, 160 cases of incident MACE were documented. 16 of the investigated 29 biomarkers were significantly associated with 1-year MACE. Three biomarkers including NT-proBNP (HR per SD 1.24), Apolipoprotein A-I (Apo A-I; HR per SD 0.98) and kidney injury molecule-1 (KIM-1; HR per SD 1.06) were identified as independent predictors of 1-year MACE. Although the discriminative ability of the selected multi-biomarker model was rather moderate, the addition of these biomarkers to the clinical reference model and the GRACE score improved model performances markedly (∆C-index 0.047 and 0.04, respectively). CONCLUSION: NT-proBNP, Apo A-I and KIM-1 emerged as strongest independent predictors of 1-year MACE in patients with suspected MI. Their integration into clinical risk prediction models may improve personalized risk stratification. Prognostic utility of a multi-biomarker approach in suspected myocardial infarction. In a cohort of 748 patients with symptoms indicative of myocardial infarction (MI) to the emergency department, we measured a 29-biomarker panel and performed regressions, machine learning (ML)-based variable selection and discriminative/reclassification analyses. We identified three biomarkers as top predictors for 1-year major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). Their integration into a clinical risk prediction model and the Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) Score allowed for marked improvement in discrimination and reclassification for 1-year MACE. Apo apolipoprotein; CRP C-reactive protein; CRS clinical risk score; ECG electrocardiogram; EN-RAGE extracellular newly identified receptor for advanced glycation end-products binding protein; FABP fatty acid-binding protein; GS Grace Score; hs-cTnI high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I; KIM-1 kidney injury molecule-1; LASSO least absolute shrinkage and selection operator; MACE major adverse cardiovascular events; MI myocardial infarction; NRI net reclassification improvement; NT-proBNP N-terminal prohormone of brain natriuretic peptide.

Inflammatory burden, lifestyle and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease: insights from a population based cohort study.

The inflammatory burden as measured by high-sensitivity C-reactive Protein (hsCRP) is recognized as a cardiovascular risk factor, which can however be affected by lifestyle-related risk factors (LRF). Up-to-date the interplay between hsCRP, LRF and presence and extent of atherosclerotic disease is still largely unknown, which we therefore sought to investigate in a contemporary population-based cohort. We included participants from the cross-sectional population-based Hamburg City Health Study. Affected vascular beds were defined as coronary, peripheral, and cerebrovascular arteries. LRF considered were lack of physical activity, overweight, active smoking and poor adherence to a Mediterranean diet. We computed multivariable analyses with hsCRP as the dependent variable and LRF as covariates according to the number of vascular beds affected. In the 6765 individuals available for analysis, we found a stepwise increase of hsCRP concentration both according to the number of LRF present as well as the number of vascular beds affected. Adjusted regression analyses showed an independent association between increasing numbers of LRF with hsCRP levels across the extent of atherosclerosis. We demonstrate increasing hsCRP concentrations according to both the number of LRF as well as the extent of atherosclerosis, emphasizing the necessity of lifestyle-related risk factor optimization.

Long-term outcome of patients presenting with myocardial injury or myocardial infarction.

AIMS: Patients with acute or chronic myocardial injury are frequently identified in the context of suspected myocardial infarction (MI). We aimed to investigate their long-term follow-up. METHODS AND RESULTS: We prospectively enrolled 2714 patients with suspected MI and followed them for all-cause mortality and a composite cardiovascular endpoint (CVE; cardiovascular death, MI, unplanned revascularization) for a median of 5.1 years. Final diagnoses were adjudicated by two cardiologists according to the Fourth Universal Definition of MI, including 143 (5.3%) ST-elevation MI, 236 (8.7%) non-ST-elevation MI (NSTEMI) Type 1 (T1), 128 (4.7%) NSTEMI T2, 86 (3.2%) acute and 677 (24.9%) with chronic myocardial injury, and 1444 (53.2%) with other reasons for chest pain (reference). Crude event rates per 1000 patient-years for all-cause mortality were highest in patients with myocardial injury (81.6 [71.7, 92.3]), and any type of MI (55.9 [46.3, 66.7]), compared to reference (12.2 [9.8, 15.1]). Upon adjustment, all diagnoses were significantly associated with all-cause mortality. Moreover, patients with acute (adj-HR 1.92 [1.08, 3.43]) or chronic (adj-HR 1.59 [1.16, 2.18]) myocardial injury, and patients with NSTEMI T1 (adj-HR 2.62 [1.85, 3.69]) and ST-elevation MI (adj-HR 3.66 [2.41, 5.57]) were at increased risk for cardiovascular events. CONCLUSION: Patients with myocardial injury are at a similar increased risk for death and cardiovascular events compared to patients with acute MI. Further studies need to determine appropriate management strategies for patients with myocardial injury. REGISTRATION: Clinicaltrials.gov (NCT02355457).

Effects of SARS-COV-2 infection on outcomes in patients hospitalized for acute cardiac conditions. A prospective, multicenter cohort study (Swiss Cardiovascular SARS-CoV-2 Consortium).

Background: Although the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-COV-2) causing coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) primarily affects the respiratory system, the disease entity has been associated with cardiovascular complications. This study sought to assess the effect of concomitant SARS-COV-2 infection on clinical outcomes of patients hospitalized primarily for acute cardiac conditions on cardiology wards in Switzerland. Methods: In this prospective, observational study conducted in 5 Swiss cardiology centers during the COVID-19 pandemic, patients hospitalized due to acute cardiac conditions underwent a reverse-transcriptase polymerase chain reaction test at the time of admission and were categorized as SARS-COV-2 positive (cases) or negative (controls). Patients hospitalized on cardiology wards underwent treatment for the principal acute cardiac condition according to local practice. Clinical outcomes were recorded in-hospital, at 30 days, and after 1 year and compared between cases and controls. To adjust for imbalanced baseline characteristics, a subgroup of patients derived by propensity matching was analyzed. Results: Between March 2020 and February 2022, 538 patients were enrolled including 122 cases and 416 controls. Mean age was 68.0 ± 14.7 years, and 75% were men. Compared with controls, SARS-COV-2-positive patients more commonly presented with acute heart failure (35% vs. 17%) or major arrhythmia (31% vs. 9%), but less commonly with acute coronary syndrome (26% vs. 53%) or severe aortic stenosis (4% vs. 18%). Mortality was significantly higher in cases vs. controls in-hospital (16% vs. 1%), at 30 days (19.0% vs. 2.2%), and at 1 year (28.7% vs. 7.6%: p < 0.001 for all); this was driven primarily (up to 30 days) and exclusively (at one-year follow-up) by higher non-cardiovascular mortality, and was accompanied by a greater incidence of worsening renal function in cases vs. controls. These findings were maintained in a propensity-matched subgroup of 186 patients (93 cases and 93 controls) with balanced clinical presentation and baseline characteristics. Conclusions: In this observational study of patients hospitalized for acute cardiac conditions, SARS-COV-2 infection at index hospitalization was associated with markedly higher all-cause and non-cardiovascular mortality throughout one-year follow-up. These findings highlight the need for effective, multifaceted management of both cardiac and non-cardiac morbidities and prolonged surveillance in patients with acute cardiac conditions complicated by SARS-COV-2 infection.