Pharmacometric Analyses to Support Early Development Decisions for LY2878735: A Novel Serotonin Norepinephrine Reuptake Inhibitor.

LY2878735 is a novel dual serotonin (5-hydroxytryptamine (5-HT)) and norepinephrine (NE) reuptake inhibitor (SNRI) in development for chronic pain indications. In vitro profile suggests a more balanced profile as compared with other SNRI's, which is expected to confer superior clinical efficacy. LY2878735 is metabolized partly by the genetically polymorphic cytochrome P450 (CYP) 2D6 pathway, raising pharmacokinetic (PK) variability concerns. Phase 1 PK and biomarker data were analyzed by pharmacometric methods to characterize the balance between dual-target engagement and adverse effects on heart rate (HR) and blood pressure (BP). A narrow range of plasma LY2878735 levels was associated with an acceptable balance. As compared with poor metabolizers (PM), CYP2D6 extensive metabolizers (EM) have 21- and threefold higher clearance and distribution volume, respectively. Even with a CYP2D6-based dosing paradigm, a superior therapeutic index comparable to duloxetine, a widely used SNRI, was not achievable and LY2878735 development was thus terminated. Model-based approach effectively synthesizes PK-pharmacodynamic (PD) relationships, enabling efficient early development decisions.CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology (2013) 2, e66; doi:10.1038/psp.2013.43; published online 21 August 2013.

Pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic determinants of oseltamivir efficacy using data from phase 2 inoculation studies.

Given the limited understanding about pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic (PK-PD) determinants of oseltamivir efficacy, data from two phase 2 influenza virus inoculation studies were evaluated. Healthy volunteers in studies 1 and 2 were experimentally infected with influenza A/Texas (the concentration of neuraminidase inhibitor which reduced neuraminidase activity by 50% [IC(50)] = 0.18 nM) or B/Yamagata (IC(50) = 16.76 nM), respectively. In study 1, 80 subjects received 20, 100, or 200 mg of oral oseltamivir twice daily (BID), 200 mg oseltamivir once daily, or placebo for 5 days. In study 2, 60 subjects received 75 or 150 mg of oral oseltamivir BID or placebo for 5 days. Oseltamivir carboxylate (OC) (active metabolite) PK was evaluated using individual PK data and a population PK model to derive individual values for area under the concentration-time curve from 0 to 24 h (AUC(0-24)), minimum concentration of OC in plasma (C(min)), and maximum concentration of OC in plasma (C(max)). Exposure-response relationships were evaluated for continuous (area under composite symptom score curve [AUCSC], area under the viral titer curve, and peak viral titer) and time-to-event (alleviation of composite symptom scores and cessation of viral shedding) efficacy endpoints. Univariable analyses suggested the existence of intuitive and highly statistically significant relationships between OC AUC(0-24 )evaluated as a 3-group variable and AUCSC, time to alleviation of composite symptom scores, and time to cessation of viral shedding. The upper OC AUC(0-24) threshold (~14,000 ng · h/ml) was similar among these endpoints. Multivariable analyses failed to demonstrate the influence of study/strain on efficacy endpoints. These results provide the first demonstration of exposure-response relationships for efficacy for oseltamivir against influenza and suggest that OC exposures beyond those achieved with the approved oseltamivir dosing regimen will provide enhanced efficacy. The clinical applicability of these observations requires further investigation.

Population pharmacokinetic analysis of clopidogrel in healthy Jordanian subjects with emphasis optimal sampling strategy.

AIM: Clopidogrel is metabolized primarily into an inactive carboxyl metabolite (clopidogrel-IM) or to a lesser extent an active thiol metabolite. A population pharmacokinetic (PK) model was developed using NONMEM(®) to describe the time course of clopidogrel-IM in plasma and to design a sparse-sampling strategy to predict clopidogrel-IM exposures for use in characterizing anti-platelet activity. METHODS: Serial blood samples from 76 healthy Jordanian subjects administered a single 75 mg oral dose of clopidogrel were collected and assayed for clopidogrel-IM using reverse phase high performance liquid chromatography. A two-compartment (2-CMT) PK model with first-order absorption and elimination plus an absorption lag-time was evaluated, as well as a variation of this model designed to mimic enterohepatic recycling (EHC). Optimal PK sampling strategies (OSS) were determined using WinPOPT based upon collection of 3-12 post-dose samples. RESULTS: A two-compartment model with EHC provided the best fit and reduced bias in C(max) (median prediction error (PE%) of 9.58% versus 12.2%) relative to the basic two-compartment model, AUC(0-24) was similar for both models (median PE% = 1.39%). The OSS for fitting the two-compartment model with EHC required the collection of seven samples (0.25, 1, 2, 4, 5, 6 and 12 h). Reasonably unbiased and precise exposures were obtained when re-fitting this model to a reduced dataset considering only these sampling times. CONCLUSIONS: A two-compartment model considering EHC best characterized the time course of clopidogrel-IM in plasma. Use of the suggested OSS will allow for the collection of fewer PK samples when assessing clopidogrel-IM exposures.

Exposure-response analyses of tigecycline efficacy in patients with complicated intra-abdominal infections.

Exposure-response analyses were performed to test the microbiological and clinical efficacies of tigecycline in complicated intra-abdominal infections where Escherichia coli and Bacteroides fragilis are the predominant pathogens. Data from evaluable patients enrolled in three clinical trials were pooled. Patients received intravenous tigecycline (100-mg loading dose followed by 50 mg every 12 h or 50-mg loading dose followed by 25 mg every 12 h). At the test-of-cure visit, microbiological and clinical responses were evaluated. Patients were prospectively classified into cohorts based on infection with a baseline pathogen(s): E. coli only (cohort 1), other mono- or polymicrobial Enterobacteriaceae (cohort 2), at least one Enterobacteriaceae pathogen plus an anaerobe(s) (cohort 3), at least one Enterobacteriaceae pathogen plus a gram-positive pathogen(s) (cohort 4), and all other pathogens (cohort 5). The cohorts were prospectively combined to increase sample size. Logistic regression was used to evaluate ratio of steady-state 24-hour area under the concentration-time curve (AUC) to MIC as a response predictor, and classification-and-regression-tree (CART) analyses were utilized to determine AUC/MIC breakpoints. Analysis began with cohorts 1, 2, and 3 pooled, which included 71 patients, with 106 pathogens. The small sample size precluded evaluation of cohorts 1 (34 patients, 35 E. coli pathogens) and 2 (16 patients, 24 Enterobacteriaceae). CART analyses identified a significant AUC/MIC breakpoint of 6.96 for microbiological and clinical responses (P values of 0.0004 and 0.399, respectively). The continuous AUC/MIC ratio was also borderline predictive of microbiological response (P = 0.0568). Cohort 4 (21 patients, 50 pathogens) was evaluated separately; however, an exposure-response relationship was not detected; cohort 5 (31 patients, 60 pathogens) was not evaluated. The prospective approach of creating homogenous populations of pathogens was critical for identifying exposure-response relationships in complicated intra-abdominal infections.

Population pharmacokinetics of tigecycline in healthy volunteers.

Tigecycline, a novel glycylcycline, possesses broad-spectrum antimicrobial activity. A structural population pharmacokinetic model for tigecycline was developed based on data pooled from 5 phase I studies. Intravenous tigecycline was administered as single (12.5-300 mg) or multiple (25-100 mg) doses every 12 hours for up to 10 days. Three-compartment models with zero-order input and first-order elimination separately described the single- or multiple-dose full-profile data. Additional models were evaluated using a subset of the phase I data mimicking the phase II/III trial sparse-sampling scheme and dosage. A 2-compartment model best described the reduced phase I data following single or multiple doses and provided reliably accurate estimates of tigecycline AUC(0-12). This modeling supported phase II/III population pharmacokinetic model development to further determine individual patient tigecycline exposures for safety and efficacy analyses.

Exposure-response analyses of tigecycline efficacy in patients with complicated skin and skin-structure infections.

Exposure-response analyses were performed for the microbiological and clinical efficacy of tigecycline in the treatment of complicated skin and skin-structure infections, where Staphylococcus aureus and streptococci are the predominant pathogens. A prospective method was developed to create homogeneous patient populations for PK-PD analyses. Evaluable patients from three clinical trials were pooled for analysis. Patients received a tigecycline 100-mg loading dose/50 mg every 12 h or a 50-mg loading dose/25 mg every 12 h. At the test-of-cure visit, microbiologic and clinical responses were evaluated. Patients were prospectively evaluated and classified into cohorts based on baseline pathogens: S. aureus only (cohort 1), monomicrobial S. aureus or streptococci (cohort 2), two gram-positive pathogens (cohort 3), polymicrobial (cohort 4), or other monomicrobial infections (cohort 5). A prospective procedure for combining cohorts was used to increase the sample size. Logistic regression evaluated steady-state 24-h area under the concentration-time curve (AUC(24))/MIC ratio as a predictor of response, and classification and regression tree (CART) analyses were utilized to determine AUC/MIC breakpoints. Analysis began with pooled cohorts 2 and 3, the focus of these analyses, and included 35 patients with 40 S. aureus and/or streptococcal pathogens. CART analyses identified a significant AUC/MIC breakpoint of 17.9 (P = 0.0001 for microbiological response and P = 0.0376 for clinical response). The continuous AUC/MIC ratio was predictive of microbiological response based on sample size (P = 0.0563). Analysis of all pathogens combined decreased the ability to detect exposure-response relationships. The prospective approach of creating homogeneous populations based on S. aureus and streptococci pathogens was critical for identifying exposure-response relationships.

Population pharmacokinetics of tigecycline in patients with complicated intra-abdominal or skin and skin structure infections.

Tigecycline, a first-in-class expanded glycylcycline antimicrobial agent, has demonstrated efficacy in the treatment of complicated skin and skin structure infections (cSSSI) and complicated intra-abdominal (cIAI) infections. A population pharmacokinetic (PK) model for tigecycline was developed for patients with cSSSI or cIAI enrolled in two phase 2 clinical trials, and the influence of selected demographic factors and clinical laboratory measures was investigated. Tigecycline was administered as an intravenous loading dose followed by a 0.5- or 1-h infusion every 12 h for up to 14 days. Blood samples were collected the day before or the day of hospital discharge for the determination of serum tigecycline concentrations. Patient covariates were evaluated using stepwise forward (alpha = 0.05) and backward (alpha = 0.001) procedures. The predictive performance of the model was assessed separately using pooled data from either two phase 3 studies for patients with cSSSI or two phase 3 studies for patients with cIAI. A two-compartment model with zero-order input and first-order elimination adequately described the steady-state tigecycline concentration-time data. Tigecycline clearance was shown to increase with increasing weight, increasing creatinine clearance, and male gender (P < 0.001). The final model provided a relatively unbiased fit to each data set. Individual predicted values of the area under the concentration-time curve from 0 to 12 h (AUC(0-12)) were generally unbiased (median prediction error, -1.60% to -3.78%) and were similarly precise (median absolute prediction error, <4%) when compared across data sets. The population PK model provided the basis to obtain individual estimates of steady-state AUC(0-12) in later exposure-response analyses of tigecycline safety and efficacy in patients with cSSSI or cIAI.