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Introduction: The 21-point Brain Care Score (BCS) is a novel tool designed to motivate individuals and care providers to take action to reduce the risk of stroke and dementia by encouraging lifestyle changes. Given that late-life depression is increasingly recognized to share risk factors with stroke and dementia, and is an important clinical endpoint for brain health, we tested the hypothesis that a higher BCS is associated with a reduced incidence of future depression. Additionally, we examined its association with a brain health composite outcome comprising stroke, dementia, and late-life depression. Methods: The BCS was derived from the United Kingdom Biobank baseline evaluation in participants with complete data on BCS items. Associations of BCS with the risk of subsequent incident late-life depression and the composite brain health outcome were estimated using multivariable Cox proportional hazard models. These models were adjusted for age at baseline and sex assigned at birth. Results: A total of 363,323 participants were included in this analysis, with a median BCS at baseline of 12 (IQR: 11-14). There were 6,628 incident cases of late-life depression during a median follow-up period of 13 years. Each five-point increase in baseline BCS was associated with a 33% lower risk of incident late-life depression (95% CI: 29%-36%) and a 27% lower risk of the incident composite outcome (95% CI: 24%-30%). Discussion: These data further demonstrate the shared risk factors across depression, dementia, and stroke. The findings suggest that a higher BCS, indicative of healthier lifestyle choices, is significantly associated with a lower incidence of late-life depression and a composite brain health outcome. Additional validation of the BCS is warranted to assess the weighting of its components, its motivational aspects, and its acceptability and adaptability in routine clinical care worldwide.
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OBJECTIVES: To investigate associations between health-related behaviors as measured using the Brain Care Score (BCS) and neuroimaging markers of white matter injury. METHODS: This prospective cohort study in the UK Biobank assessed the BCS, a novel tool designed to empower patients to address 12 dementia and stroke risk factors. The BCS ranges from 0 to 21, with higher scores suggesting better brain care. Outcomes included white matter hyperintensities (WMH) volume, fractional anisotropy (FA), and mean diffusivity (MD) obtained during 2 imaging assessments, as well as their progression between assessments, using multivariable linear regression adjusted for age and sex. RESULTS: We included 34,509 participants (average age 55 years, 53% female) with no stroke or dementia history. At first and repeat imaging assessments, every 5-point increase in baseline BCS was linked to significantly lower WMH volumes (25% 95% CI [23%-27%] first, 33% [27%-39%] repeat) and higher FA (18% [16%-20%] first, 22% [15%-28%] repeat), with a decrease in MD (9% [7%-11%] first, 10% [4%-16%] repeat). In addition, a higher baseline BCS was associated with a 10% [3%-17%] reduction in WMH progression and FA decline over time. DISCUSSION: This study extends the impact of the BCS to neuroimaging markers of clinically silent cerebrovascular disease. Our results suggest that improving one's BCS could be a valuable intervention to prevent early brain health decline.
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Neuroimagen , Humanos , Femenino , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Neuroimagen/métodos , Estudios Prospectivos , Encéfalo/diagnóstico por imagen , Sustancia Blanca/diagnóstico por imagen , Sustancia Blanca/patología , Imagen por Resonancia Magnética , Estudios de Cohortes , Imagen de Difusión Tensora , Factores de Riesgo , Anciano , AdultoRESUMEN
Fall-related injuries (FRIs) are a major cause of hospitalizations among older patients, but identifying them in unstructured clinical notes poses challenges for large-scale research. In this study, we developed and evaluated Natural Language Processing (NLP) models to address this issue. We utilized all available clinical notes from the Mass General Brigham for 2,100 older adults, identifying 154,949 paragraphs of interest through automatic scanning for FRI-related keywords. Two clinical experts directly labeled 5,000 paragraphs to generate benchmark-standard labels, while 3,689 validated patterns were annotated, indirectly labeling 93,157 paragraphs as validated-standard labels. Five NLP models, including vanilla BERT, RoBERTa, Clinical-BERT, Distil-BERT, and SVM, were trained using 2,000 benchmark paragraphs and all validated paragraphs. BERT-based models were trained in three stages: Masked Language Modeling, General Boolean Question Answering (QA), and QA for FRI. For validation, 500 benchmark paragraphs were used, and the remaining 2,500 for testing. Performance metrics (precision, recall, F1 scores, Area Under ROC [AUROC] or Precision-Recall [AUPR] curves) were employed by comparison, with RoBERTa showing the best performance. Precision was 0.90 [0.88-0.91], recall [0.90-0.93], F1 score 0.90 [0.89-0.92], AUROC and AUPR curves of 0.96 [0.95-0.97]. These NLP models accurately identify FRIs from unstructured clinical notes, potentially enhancing clinical notes-based research efficiency.
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BACKGROUND: Identical bursts on electroencephalography (EEG) are considered a specific predictor of poor outcomes in cardiac arrest, but its relationship with structural brain injury severity on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) is not known. METHODS: This was a retrospective analysis of clinical, EEG, and MRI data from adult comatose patients after cardiac arrest. Burst similarity in first 72 h from the time of return of spontaneous circulation were calculated using dynamic time-warping (DTW) for bursts of equal (i.e., 500 ms) and varying (i.e., 100-500 ms) lengths and cross-correlation for bursts of equal lengths. Structural brain injury severity was measured using whole brain mean apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) on MRI. Pearson's correlation coefficients were calculated between mean burst similarity across consecutive 12-24-h time blocks and mean whole brain ADC values. Good outcome was defined as Cerebral Performance Category of 1-2 (i.e., independence for activities of daily living) at the time of hospital discharge. RESULTS: Of 113 patients with cardiac arrest, 45 patients had burst suppression (mean cardiac arrest to MRI time 4.3 days). Three study participants with burst suppression had a good outcome. Burst similarity calculated using DTW with bursts of varying lengths was correlated with mean ADC value in the first 36 h after cardiac arrest: Pearson's r: 0-12 h: - 0.69 (p = 0.039), 12-24 h: - 0.54 (p = 0.002), 24-36 h: - 0.41 (p = 0.049). Burst similarity measured with bursts of equal lengths was not associated with mean ADC value with cross-correlation or DTW, except for DTW at 60-72 h (- 0.96, p = 0.04). CONCLUSIONS: Burst similarity on EEG after cardiac arrest may be associated with acute brain injury severity on MRI. This association was time dependent when measured using DTW.
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BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: Epileptiform activity (EA), including seizures and periodic patterns, worsens outcomes in patients with acute brain injuries (e.g., aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage [aSAH]). Randomized control trials (RCTs) assessing anti-seizure interventions are needed. Due to scant drug efficacy data and ethical reservations with placebo utilization, and complex physiology of acute brain injury, RCTs are lacking or hindered by design constraints. We used a pharmacological model-guided simulator to design and determine the feasibility of RCTs evaluating EA treatment. METHODS: In a single-center cohort of adults (age >18) with aSAH and EA, we employed a mechanistic pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic framework to model treatment response using observational data. We subsequently simulated RCTs for levetiracetam and propofol, each with three treatment arms mirroring clinical practice and an additional placebo arm. Using our framework, we simulated EA trajectories across treatment arms. We predicted discharge modified Rankin Scale as a function of baseline covariates, EA burden, and drug doses using a double machine learning model learned from observational data. Differences in outcomes across arms were used to estimate the required sample size. RESULTS: Sample sizes ranged from 500 for levetiracetam 7 mg/kg versus placebo, to >4000 for levetiracetam 15 versus 7 mg/kg to achieve 80% power (5% type I error). For propofol 1 mg/kg/h versus placebo, 1200 participants were needed. Simulations comparing propofol at varying doses did not reach 80% power even at samples >1200. CONCLUSIONS: Our simulations using drug efficacy show sample sizes are infeasible, even for potentially unethical placebo-control trials. We highlight the strength of simulations with observational data to inform the null hypotheses and propose use of this simulation-based RCT paradigm to assess the feasibility of future trials of anti-seizure treatment in acute brain injury.
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Anticonvulsivantes , Levetiracetam , Convulsiones , Humanos , Anticonvulsivantes/administración & dosificación , Levetiracetam/administración & dosificación , Convulsiones/tratamiento farmacológico , Convulsiones/etiología , Adulto , Persona de Mediana Edad , Masculino , Femenino , Propofol/administración & dosificación , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como Asunto/métodos , Lesiones Encefálicas/tratamiento farmacológico , Lesiones Encefálicas/complicaciones , Hemorragia Subaracnoidea/tratamiento farmacológico , Hemorragia Subaracnoidea/complicaciones , Anciano , Proyectos de InvestigaciónRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: In intensive care units (ICUs), critically ill patients are monitored with electroencephalography (EEG) to prevent serious brain injury. EEG monitoring is constrained by clinician availability, and EEG interpretation can be subjective and prone to interobserver variability. Automated deep-learning systems for EEG could reduce human bias and accelerate the diagnostic process. However, existing uninterpretable (black-box) deep-learning models are untrustworthy, difficult to troubleshoot, and lack accountability in real-world applications, leading to a lack of both trust and adoption by clinicians. METHODS: We developed an interpretable deep-learning system that accurately classifies six patterns of potentially harmful EEG activity - seizure, lateralized periodic discharges (LPDs), generalized periodic discharges (GPDs), lateralized rhythmic delta activity (LRDA), generalized rhythmic delta activity (GRDA), and other patterns - while providing faithful case-based explanations of its predictions. The model was trained on 50,697 total 50-second continuous EEG samples collected from 2711 patients in the ICU between July 2006 and March 2020 at Massachusetts General Hospital. EEG samples were labeled as one of the six EEG patterns by 124 domain experts and trained annotators. To evaluate the model, we asked eight medical professionals with relevant backgrounds to classify 100 EEG samples into the six pattern categories - once with and once without artificial intelligence (AI) assistance - and we assessed the assistive power of this interpretable system by comparing the diagnostic accuracy of the two methods. The model's discriminatory performance was evaluated with area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and area under the precision-recall curve. The model's interpretability was measured with task-specific neighborhood agreement statistics that interrogated the similarities of samples and features. In a separate analysis, the latent space of the neural network was visualized by using dimension reduction techniques to examine whether the ictal-interictal injury continuum hypothesis, which asserts that seizures and seizure-like patterns of brain activity lie along a spectrum, is supported by data. RESULTS: The performance of all users significantly improved when provided with AI assistance. Mean user diagnostic accuracy improved from 47 to 71% (P<0.04). The model achieved AUROCs of 0.87, 0.93, 0.96, 0.92, 0.93, and 0.80 for the classes seizure, LPD, GPD, LRDA, GRDA, and other patterns, respectively. This performance was significantly higher than that of a corresponding uninterpretable black-box model (with P<0.0001). Videos traversing the ictal-interictal injury manifold from dimension reduction (a two-dimensional representation of the original high-dimensional feature space) give insight into the layout of EEG patterns within the network's latent space and illuminate relationships between EEG patterns that were previously hypothesized but had not yet been shown explicitly. These results indicate that the ictal-interictal injury continuum hypothesis is supported by data. CONCLUSIONS: Users showed significant pattern classification accuracy improvement with the assistance of this interpretable deep-learning model. The interpretable design facilitates effective human-AI collaboration; this system may improve diagnosis and patient care in clinical settings. The model may also provide a better understanding of how EEG patterns relate to each other along the ictal-interictal injury continuum. (Funded by the National Science Foundation, National Institutes of Health, and others.).
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Studies suggest that self-reported seizure diaries suffer from 50% under-reporting on average. It is unknown to what extent this impacts medication management. This study used simulation to predict the seizure outcomes of a large heterogeneous clinic population treated with a standardized algorithm based on self-reported seizures. Using CHOCOLATES, a state-of-the-art realistic seizure diary simulator, 100 000 patients were simulated over 10 years. A standard algorithm for medication management was employed at 3 month intervals for all patients. The impact on true seizure rates, expected seizure rates, and time-to-steady-dose were computed for self-reporting sensitivities 0%-100%. Time-to-steady-dose and medication use mostly did not depend on sensitivity. True seizure rate decreased minimally with increasing self-reporting in a non-linear fashion, with the largest decreases at low sensitivity rates (0%-10%). This study suggests that an extremely wide range of sensitivity will have similar seizure outcomes when patients are clinically treated using an algorithm similar to the one presented. Conversely, patients with sensitivity ≤10% would be expected to benefit (via lower seizure rates) from objective devices that provide even small improvements in seizure sensitivity.
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Algoritmos , Anticonvulsivantes , Epilepsia , Convulsiones , Autoinforme , Humanos , Anticonvulsivantes/uso terapéutico , Epilepsia/tratamiento farmacológico , Convulsiones/tratamiento farmacológico , Convulsiones/diagnóstico , Masculino , Femenino , Resultado del Tratamiento , Simulación por Computador , AdultoRESUMEN
Work is ongoing to advance seizure forecasting, but the performance metrics used to evaluate model effectiveness can sometimes lead to misleading outcomes. For example, some metrics improve when tested on patients with a particular range of seizure frequencies (SF). This study illustrates the connection between SF and metrics. Additionally, we compared benchmarks for testing performance: a moving average (MA) or the commonly used permutation benchmark. Three data sets were used for the evaluations: (1) Self-reported seizure diaries of 3,994 Seizure Tracker patients; (2) Automatically detected (and sometimes manually reported or edited) generalized tonic-clonic seizures from 2,350 Empatica Embrace 2 and Mate App seizure diary users, and (3) Simulated datasets with varying SFs. Metrics of calibration and discrimination were computed for each dataset, comparing MA and permutation performance across SF values. Most metrics were found to depend on SF. The MA model outperformed or matched the permutation model in all cases. The findings highlight SF's role in seizure forecasting accuracy and the MA model's suitability as a benchmark. This underscores the need for considering patient SF in forecasting studies and suggests the MA model may provide a better standard for evaluating future seizure forecasting models.
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OBJECTIVE: Generalized periodic discharges are a repeated and generalized electroencephalography (EEG) pattern that can be seen in the context of altered mental status. This article describes a series of five individuals with generalized periodic discharges who demonstrated signs and symptoms of catatonia, a treatable neuropsychiatric condition. METHODS: Inpatients with a clinical diagnosis of catatonia, determined with the Bush-Francis Catatonia Rating Scale (BFCRS), and EEG recordings with generalized periodic discharges were analyzed in a retrospective case series. RESULTS: Five patients with catatonia and generalized periodic discharges on EEG were evaluated from among 106 patients with catatonia and contemporaneous EEG measurements. Four of these patients showed an improvement in catatonia severity when treated with benzodiazepines, with an average reduction of 6.75 points on the BFCRS. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with generalized periodic discharges, catatonia should be considered, in the appropriate clinical context. Patients with generalized periodic discharges and catatonia may benefit from treatment with empiric trials of benzodiazepines.
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Importance: The analysis of electronic medical records at scale to learn from clinical experience is currently very challenging. The integration of artificial intelligence (AI), specifically foundational large language models (LLMs), into an analysis pipeline may overcome some of the current limitations of modest input sizes, inaccuracies, biases, and incomplete knowledge bases. Objective: To explore the effectiveness of using an LLM for generating realistic clinical data and other LLMs for summarizing and synthesizing information in a model system, simulating a randomized clinical trial (RCT) in epilepsy to demonstrate the potential of inductive reasoning via medical chart review. Design: An LLM-generated simulated RCT based on a RCT for treatment with an antiseizure medication, cenobamate, including a placebo arm and a full-strength drug arm, evaluated by an LLM-based pipeline versus a human reader. Setting: Simulation based on realistic seizure diaries, treatment effects, reported symptoms and clinical notes generated by LLMs with multiple different neurologist writing styles. Participants: Simulated cohort of 240 patients, divided 1:1 into placebo and drug arms. Intervention: Utilization of LLMs for the generation of clinical notes and for the synthesis of data from these notes, aiming to evaluate the efficacy and safety of cenobamate in seizure control either with a human evaluator or AI-pipeline. Measures: The AI and human analysis focused on identifying the number of seizures, symptom reports, and treatment efficacy, with statistical analysis comparing the 50%-responder rate and median percentage change between the placebo and drug arms, as well as side effect rates in each arm. Results: AI closely mirrored human analysis, demonstrating the drug's efficacy with marginal differences (<3%) in identifying both drug efficacy and reported symptoms. Conclusions and Relevance: This study showcases the potential of LLMs accurately simulate and analyze clinical trials. Significantly, it highlights the ability of LLMs to reconstruct essential trial elements, identify treatment effects, and recognize reported symptoms, within a realistic clinical framework. The findings underscore the relevance of LLMs in future clinical research, offering a scalable, efficient alternative to traditional data mining methods without the need for specialized medical language training.
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BACKGROUND: Multi-center electronic health records (EHR) can support quality improvement initiatives and comparative effectiveness research in stroke care. However, limitations of EHR-based research include challenges in abstracting key clinical variables from non-structured data at scale. This is further compounded by missing data. Here we develop a natural language processing (NLP) model that automatically reads EHR notes to determine the NIH stroke scale (NIHSS) score of patients with acute stroke. METHODS: The study included notes from acute stroke patients (>= 18 years) admitted to the Massachusetts General Hospital (MGH) (2015-2022). The MGH data were divided into training (70%) and hold-out test (30%) sets. A two-stage model was developed to predict the admission NIHSS. A linear model with the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) was trained within the training set. For notes in the test set where the NIHSS was documented, the scores were extracted using regular expressions (stage 1), for notes where NIHSS was not documented, LASSO was used for prediction (stage 2). The reference standard for NIHSS was obtained from Get With The Guidelines Stroke Registry. The two-stage model was tested on the hold-out test set and validated in the MIMIC-III dataset (Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-MIMIC III 2001-2012) v1.4, using root mean squared error (RMSE) and Spearman correlation (SC). RESULTS: We included 4,163 patients (MGH = 3,876; MIMIC = 287); average age of 69 [SD 15] years; 53% male, and 72% white. 90% patients had ischemic stroke and 10% hemorrhagic stroke. The two-stage model achieved a RMSE [95% CI] of 3.13 [2.86-3.41] (SC = 0.90 [0.88-0. 91]) in the MGH hold-out test set and 2.01 [1.58-2.38] (SC = 0.96 [0.94-0.97]) in the MIMIC validation set. CONCLUSIONS: The automatic NLP-based model can enable large-scale stroke severity phenotyping from EHR and therefore support real-world quality improvement and comparative effectiveness studies in stroke.
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OBJECTIVE: Recently, a deep learning artificial intelligence (AI) model forecasted seizure risk using retrospective seizure diaries with higher accuracy than random forecasts. The present study sought to prospectively evaluate the same algorithm. METHODS: We recruited a prospective cohort of 46 people with epilepsy; 25 completed sufficient data entry for analysis (median = 5 months). We used the same AI method as in our prior study. Group-level and individual-level Brier Skill Scores (BSSs) compared random forecasts and simple moving average forecasts to the AI. RESULTS: The AI had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of .82. At the group level, the AI outperformed random forecasting (BSS = .53). At the individual level, AI outperformed random in 28% of cases. At the group and individual level, the moving average outperformed the AI. If pre-enrollment (nonverified) diaries (with presumed underreporting) were included, the AI significantly outperformed both comparators. Surveys showed most did not mind poor-quality LOW-RISK or HIGH-RISK forecasts, yet 91% wanted access to these forecasts. SIGNIFICANCE: The previously developed AI forecasting tool did not outperform a very simple moving average forecasting in this prospective cohort, suggesting that the AI model should be replaced.
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Predicción , Convulsiones , Humanos , Femenino , Masculino , Estudios Prospectivos , Adulto , Convulsiones/diagnóstico , Persona de Mediana Edad , Predicción/métodos , Epilepsia/diagnóstico , Inteligencia Artificial/tendencias , Adulto Joven , Aprendizaje Profundo/tendencias , Algoritmos , Diarios como Asunto , Estudios de Cohortes , AncianoRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: To assess the effectiveness of an educational program leveraging technology-enhanced learning and retrieval practice to teach trainees how to correctly identify interictal epileptiform discharges (IEDs). METHODS: This was a bi-institutional prospective randomized controlled educational trial involving junior neurology residents. The intervention consisted of three video tutorials focused on the six IFCN criteria for IED identification and rating 500 candidate IEDs with instant feedback either on a web browser (intervention 1) or an iOS app (intervention 2). The control group underwent no educational intervention ("inactive control"). All residents completed a survey and a test at the onset and offset of the study. Performance metrics were calculated for each participant. RESULTS: Twenty-one residents completed the study: control (n = 8); intervention 1 (n = 6); intervention 2 (n = 7). All but two had no prior EEG experience. Intervention 1 residents improved from baseline (mean) in multiple metrics including AUC (.74; .85; p < .05), sensitivity (.53; .75; p < .05), and level of confidence (LOC) in identifying IEDs/committing patients to therapy (1.33; 2.33; p < .05). Intervention 2 residents improved in multiple metrics including AUC (.81; .86; p < .05) and LOC in identifying IEDs (2.00; 3.14; p < .05) and spike-wave discharges (2.00; 3.14; p < .05). Controls had no significant improvements in any measure. SIGNIFICANCE: This program led to significant subjective and objective improvements in IED identification. Rating candidate IEDs with instant feedback on a web browser (intervention 1) generated greater objective improvement in comparison to rating candidate IEDs on an iOS app (intervention 2). This program can complement trainee education concerning IED identification.
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Background: Fractal motor activity regulation (FMAR), characterized by self-similar temporal patterns in motor activity across timescales, is robust in healthy young humans but degrades with aging and in Alzheimer's disease (AD). Objective: To determine the timescales where alterations of FMAR can best predict the clinical onset of AD. Methods: FMAR was assessed from actigraphy at baseline in 1,077 participants who had annual follow-up clinical assessments for up to 15 years. Survival analysis combined with deep learning (DeepSurv) was used to examine how baseline FMAR at different timescales from 3âminutes up to 6âhours contributed differently to the risk for incident clinical AD. Results: Clinical AD occurred in 270 participants during the follow-up. DeepSurv identified three potential regions of timescales in which FMAR alterations were significantly linked to the risk for clinical AD: <10, 20-40, and 100-200âminutes. Confirmed by the Cox and random survival forest models, the effect of FMAR alterations in the timescale of <10âminutes was the strongest, after adjusting for covariates. Conclusions: Subtle changes in motor activity fluctuations predicted the clinical onset of AD, with the strongest association observed in activity fluctuations at timescales <10âminutes. These findings suggest that short actigraphy recordings may be used to assess the risk of AD.
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Enfermedad de Alzheimer , Humanos , Enfermedad de Alzheimer/diagnóstico , Enfermedad de Alzheimer/complicaciones , Envejecimiento , Actividad MotoraRESUMEN
Background: Benzodiazepine use in older adults following acute ischemic stroke (AIS) is common, yet short-term safety concerning falls or fall-related injuries remains unexplored. Methods: We emulated a hypothetical randomized trial of benzodiazepine use during the acute post stroke recovery period to assess incidence of falls or fall related injuries in older adults. Using linked data from the Get With the Guidelines Registry and Mass General Brigham's electronic health records, we selected patients aged 65 and older admitted for Acute Ischemic Stroke (AIS) between 2014 and 2021 with no documented prior stroke and no benzodiazepine prescriptions in the previous 3 months. Potential for immortal-time and confounding biases was addressed via separate inverse-probability weighting strategies. Results: The study included 495 patients who initiated inpatient benzodiazepines within three days of admission and 2,564 who did not. After standardization, the estimated 10-day risk of falls or fall-related injuries was 694 events per 1000 (95% confidence interval CI: 676-709) for the benzodiazepine initiation strategy and 584 events per 1000 (95% CI: 575-595) for the non-initiation strategy. Subgroup analyses showed risk differences of 142 events per 1000 (95% CI: 111-165) and 85 events per 1000 (95% CI: 64-107) for patients aged 65 to 74 years and for those aged 75 years or older, respectively. Risk differences were 187 events per 1000 (95% CI: 159-206) for patients with minor (NIHSS≤ 4) AIS and 32 events per 1000 (95% CI: 10-58) for those with moderate-to-severe AIS. Conclusions: Initiating inpatient benzodiazepines within three days of AIS is associated with an elevated 10-day risk of falls or fall-related injuries, particularly for patients aged 65 to 74 years and for those with minor strokes. This underscores the need for caution with benzodiazepines, especially among individuals likely to be ambulatory during the acute and sub-acute post-stroke period.
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Autism spectrum disorder (ASD) is a complex neurodevelopmental condition characterized by diverse clinical features. EEG biomarkers such as spectral power and functional connectivity have emerged as potential tools for enhancing early diagnosis and understanding of the neural processes underlying ASD. However, existing studies yield conflicting results, necessitating a comprehensive, data-driven analysis. We conducted a retrospective cross-sectional study involving 246 children with ASD and 42 control children. EEG was collected, and diverse EEG features, including spectral power and spectral coherence were extracted. Statistical inference methods, coupled with machine learning models, were employed to identify differences in EEG features between ASD and control groups and develop classification models for diagnostic purposes. Our analysis revealed statistically significant differences in spectral coherence, particularly in gamma and beta frequency bands, indicating elevated long range functional connectivity between frontal and parietal regions in the ASD group. Machine learning models achieved modest classification performance of ROC-AUC at 0.65. While machine learning approaches offer some discriminative power classifying individuals with ASD from controls, they also indicate the need for further refinement.
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OBJECTIVE: Epilepsy management employs self-reported seizure diaries, despite evidence of seizure underreporting. Wearable and implantable seizure detection devices are now becoming more widely available. There are no clear guidelines about what levels of accuracy are sufficient. This study aimed to simulate clinical use cases and identify the necessary level of accuracy for each. METHODS: Using a realistic seizure simulator (CHOCOLATES), a ground truth was produced, which was then sampled to generate signals from simulated seizure detectors of various capabilities. Five use cases were evaluated: (1) randomized clinical trials (RCTs), (2) medication adjustment in clinic, (3) injury prevention, (4) sudden unexpected death in epilepsy (SUDEP) prevention, and (5) treatment of seizure clusters. We considered sensitivity (0%-100%), false alarm rate (FAR; 0-2/day), and device type (external wearable vs. implant) in each scenario. RESULTS: The RCT case was efficient for a wide range of wearable parameters, though implantable devices were preferred. Lower accuracy wearables resulted in subtle changes in the distribution of patients enrolled in RCTs, and therefore higher sensitivity and lower FAR values were preferred. In the clinic case, a wide range of sensitivity, FAR, and device type yielded similar results. For injury prevention, SUDEP prevention, and seizure cluster treatment, each scenario required high sensitivity and yet was minimally influenced by FAR. SIGNIFICANCE: The choice of use case is paramount in determining acceptable accuracy levels for a wearable seizure detection device. We offer simulation results for determining and verifying utility for specific use case and specific wearable parameters.
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Epilepsia Generalizada , Epilepsia , Muerte Súbita e Inesperada en la Epilepsia , Dispositivos Electrónicos Vestibles , Humanos , Muerte Súbita e Inesperada en la Epilepsia/prevención & control , Convulsiones/diagnóstico , Convulsiones/terapia , Epilepsia/diagnóstico , Electroencefalografía/métodosRESUMEN
Background and Objectives: Patterns of electrical activity in the brain (EEG) during sleep are sensitive to various health conditions even at subclinical stages. The objective of this study was to estimate sleep EEG-predicted incidence of future neurologic, cardiovascular, psychiatric, and mortality outcomes. Methods: This is a retrospective cohort study with 2 data sets. The Massachusetts General Hospital (MGH) sleep data set is a clinic-based cohort, used for model development. The Sleep Heart Health Study (SHHS) is a community-based cohort, used as the external validation cohort. Exposure is good, average, or poor sleep defined by quartiles of sleep EEG-predicted risk. The outcomes include ischemic stroke, intracranial hemorrhage, mild cognitive impairment, dementia, atrial fibrillation, myocardial infarction, type 2 diabetes, hypertension, bipolar disorder, depression, and mortality. Diagnoses were based on diagnosis codes, brain imaging reports, medications, cognitive scores, and hospital records. We used the Cox survival model with death as the competing risk. Results: There were 8673 participants from MGH and 5650 from SHHS. For all outcomes, the model-predicted 10-year risk was within the 95% confidence interval of the ground truth, indicating good prediction performance. When comparing participants with poor, average, and good sleep, except for atrial fibrillation, all other 10-year risk ratios were significant. The model-predicted 10-year risk ratio closely matched the observed event rate in the external validation cohort. Discussion: The incidence of health outcomes can be predicted by brain activity during sleep. The findings strengthen the concept of sleep as an accessible biological window into unfavorable brain and general health outcomes.
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One of the early markers of minimal hepatic encephalopathy (MHE) is the disruption of alpha rhythm observed in electroencephalogram (EEG) signals. However, the underlying mechanisms responsible for this occurrence remain poorly understood. To address this gap, we develop a novel biophysical model MHE-AWD-NCM, encompassing the communication dynamics between a cortical neuron population (CNP) and an astrocyte population (AP), aimed at investigating the relationship between alpha wave disturbance (AWD) and mechanistical principles, specifically concerning astrocyte-neuronal communication in the context of MHE. In addition, we introduce the concepts of peak power density and peak frequency within the alpha band as quantitative measures of AWD. Our model faithfully reproduces the characteristic EEG phenomenology during MHE and shows how impairments of communication between CNP and AP could promote AWD. The results suggest that the disruptions in feedback neurotransmission from AP to CNP, along with the inhibition of GABA uptake by AP from the extracellular space, contribute to the observed AWD. Moreover, we found that the variation of external excitatory stimuli on CNP may play a key role in AWD in MHE. Finally, the sensitivity analysis is also performed to assess the relative significance of above factors in influencing AWD. Our findings align with the physiological observations and provide a more comprehensive understanding of the complex interplay of astrocyte-neuronal communication that underlies the AWD observed in MHE, which potentially may help to explore the targeted therapeutic interventions for the early stage of hepatic encephalopathy.