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Importance: Preterm birth has been associated with cardiometabolic, respiratory, and neuropsychiatric disorders in adulthood. However, the prevalence of survival without any major comorbidities is unknown. Objective: To determine the prevalence of survival without major comorbidities in adulthood among persons born preterm vs full-term. Design, Setting, and Participants: National cohort study of all 2â¯566â¯699 persons born in Sweden from January 1, 1973, through December 31, 1997, who had gestational age data and who were followed up for survival and comorbidities through December 31, 2015 (ages 18-43 years). Exposures: Gestational age at birth. Main Outcomes and Measures: Survival without major comorbidities among persons born extremely preterm (22-27 weeks), very preterm (28-33 weeks), late preterm (34-36 weeks), or early term (37-38 weeks), compared with full-term (39-41 weeks). Comorbidities were defined using the Adolescent and Young Adult Health Outcomes and Patient Experience (AYA HOPE) Comorbidity Index, which includes conditions that commonly manifest in adolescence or young adulthood, including neuropsychiatric disorders; and the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), which includes major chronic disorders predictive of mortality in adulthood. Poisson regression was used to determine prevalence ratios and differences, adjusted for potential confounders. Results: In this study population, 48.6% were female, 5.8% were born preterm, and the median age at end of follow-up was 29.8 years (interquartile range, 12.6 years). Of all persons born preterm, 54.6% were alive with no AYA HOPE comorbidities at the end of follow-up. Further stratified, this prevalence was 22.3% for those born extremely preterm, 48.5% for very preterm, 58.0% for late preterm, 61.2% for early term, and 63.0% for full-term. These prevalences were significantly lower for earlier gestational ages vs full-term (eg, adjusted prevalence ratios: extremely preterm, 0.35 [95% CI, 0.33 to 0.36; P < .001]; all preterm, 0.86 [95% CI, 0.85 to 0.86; P < .001]; adjusted prevalence differences: extremely preterm, -0.41 [95% CI, -0.42 to -0.40; P < .001]; all preterm, -0.09 [95% CI, -0.09 to -0.09; P < .001]). Using the CCI, the corresponding prevalences were 73.1% (all preterm), 32.5% (extremely preterm), 66.4% (very preterm), 77.1% (late preterm), 80.4% (early term), and 81.8% (full-term) (adjusted prevalence ratios: extremely preterm, 0.39 [95% CI, 0.38 to 0.41; P < .001]; all preterm, 0.89 [95% CI, 0.89 to 0.89; P < .001]; adjusted prevalence differences: extremely preterm, -0.50 [95% CI, -0.51 to -0.49; P < .001]; all preterm, -0.09 [95% CI, -0.09 to -0.09; P < .001]). Conclusions and Relevance: Among persons born preterm in Sweden between 1973 and 1997, the majority survived to early to mid-adulthood without major comorbidities. However, outcomes were worse for those born extremely preterm.
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Comorbilidad , Recien Nacido Prematuro , Adolescente , Adulto , Estudios de Cohortes , Epidemiología , Femenino , Edad Gestacional , Humanos , Recien Nacido Extremadamente Prematuro , Masculino , Distribución de Poisson , Prevalencia , Sistema de Registros , Suecia/epidemiología , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: To investigate the relation between preterm birth (gestational age <37 weeks) and risk of CKD from childhood into mid-adulthood. DESIGN: National cohort study. SETTING: Sweden. PARTICIPANTS: 4 186 615 singleton live births in Sweden during 1973-2014. EXPOSURES: Gestational age at birth, identified from nationwide birth records in the Swedish birth registry. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: CKD, identified from nationwide inpatient and outpatient diagnoses through 2015 (maximum age 43 years). Cox regression was used to examine gestational age at birth and risk of CKD while adjusting for potential confounders, and co-sibling analyses assessed the influence of unmeasured shared familial (genetic or environmental) factors. RESULTS: 4305 (0.1%) participants had a diagnosis of CKD during 87.0 million person years of follow-up. Preterm birth and extremely preterm birth (<28 weeks) were associated with nearly twofold and threefold risks of CKD, respectively, from birth into mid-adulthood (adjusted hazard ratio 1.94, 95% confidence interval 1.74 to 2.16; P<0.001; 3.01, 1.67 to 5.45; P<0.001). An increased risk was observed even among those born at early term (37-38 weeks) (1.30, 1.20 to 1.40; P<0.001). The association between preterm birth and CKD was strongest at ages 0-9 years (5.09, 4.11 to 6.31; P<0.001), then weakened but remained increased at ages 10-19 years (1.97, 1.57 to 2.49; P<0.001) and 20-43 years (1.34, 1.15 to 1.57; P<0.001). These associations affected both males and females and did not seem to be related to shared genetic or environmental factors in families. CONCLUSIONS: Preterm and early term birth are strong risk factors for the development of CKD from childhood into mid-adulthood. People born prematurely need long term follow-up for monitoring and preventive actions to preserve renal function across the life course.
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Edad Gestacional , Nacimiento Prematuro/epidemiología , Insuficiencia Renal Crónica/diagnóstico , Insuficiencia Renal Crónica/prevención & control , Adolescente , Adulto , Niño , Preescolar , Diagnóstico Precoz , Femenino , Humanos , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Masculino , Embarazo , Insuficiencia Renal Crónica/epidemiología , Insuficiencia Renal Crónica/etiología , Factores de Riesgo , Suecia/epidemiología , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
Sleep apnea is increasing in prevalence, and is an important cause of cardiometabolic diseases and mortality worldwide. Its only established modifiable risk factor is obesity; however, up to half of all sleep apnea cases may occur in non-obese persons, and hence there is a pressing need to identify other modifiable risk factors to facilitate more effective prevention. We sought to examine, for the first time, cardiorespiratory fitness in relation to the risk of sleep apnea, independent of obesity. A national cohort study was conducted to examine cardiorespiratory fitness in all 1,547,478 Swedish military conscripts during 1969-1997 (97%-98% of all 18-year-old men) in relation to risk of sleep apnea through 2012 (maximum age 62â years). Cardiorespiratory fitness was measured as maximal aerobic workload in Watts, and sleep apnea was identified from nationwide outpatient and inpatient diagnoses. A total of 44,612 (2.9%) men were diagnosed with sleep apnea in 43.7 million person-years of follow-up. Adjusting for age, height, weight, socioeconomic factors and family history of sleep apnea, low cardiorespiratory fitness at age 18â years was associated with a significantly increased risk of sleep apnea in adulthood (lowest versus highest cardiorespiratory fitness tertile: incidence rate ratio, 1.44; 95% confidence interval, 1.40-1.49; pâ <â 0.001; continuous cardiorespiratory fitness per 100â Watts: incidence rate ratio, 0.71; 95% confidence interval, 0.70-0.73; pâ <â 0.001). An increased risk was observed even among men with normal body mass index (lowest versus highest cardiorespiratory fitness tertile: incidence rate ratio, 1.30; 95% confidence interval, 1.26-1.35; pâ <â 0.001). These findings identify low cardiorespiratory fitness early in life as a new modifiable risk factor for development of sleep apnea in adulthood.
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Capacidad Cardiovascular/fisiología , Síndromes de la Apnea del Sueño/complicaciones , Adolescente , Adulto , Estudios de Cohortes , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Prevalencia , Factores de Riesgo , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Breakthroughs in the treatment of preterm birth approximately 40 years ago have enabled a generation of preterm survivors to now reach mid-adulthood. Understanding their health sequelae is essential for guiding their long-term care. We did a study to examine preterm birth in relation to mortality into mid-adulthood. METHODS: A national cohort study was done of all 4â296â814 singleton livebirths in Sweden between 1973 and 2015, who were followed up for mortality through Dec 31, 2017 (maximum age 45 years). Cox regression was used to examine gestational age at birth in relation to all-cause and cause-specific mortality, and cosibling analyses assessed for potential confounding by shared familial (genetic or environmental) factors. FINDINGS: In 103·5 million person-years of follow-up, 43â916 (1·0%) deaths were reported. Gestational age at birth was inversely associated with mortality from infancy to mid-adulthood. Relative to full-term birth (39-41 weeks), the adjusted hazard ratios for mortality associated with gestational age at birth were: 66·14 (95% CI 63·09-69·34) for extremely preterm (22-27 weeks), 8·67 (8·32-9·03) for very preterm (28-33 weeks), 2·61 (2·52-2·71) for late preterm (34-36 weeks), and 1·34 (1·30-1·37) for early term (37-38 weeks), from birth to age 45 years; and 2·04 (0·92-4·55) for extremely preterm, 1·48 (1·17-1·87) for very preterm, 1·22 (1·07-1·39) for late preterm, and 1·16 (1·08-1·25) for early term, at ages 30-45 years. Preterm birth accounted for more deaths among males than females (additive interaction p<0·001). Multiple underlying causes were identified, including congenital anomalies; respiratory, endocrine, cardiovascular, and neurological diseases; cancer; and external causes. Cosibling analyses suggested that the observed associations were not due to shared genetic or environmental factors in families. INTERPRETATION: Preterm and early term birth should be recognised as chronic conditions that require long-term follow-up for adverse health sequelae in adulthood. FUNDING: National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute at the National Institutes of Health.
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Edad Gestacional , Mortalidad/tendencias , Nacimiento Prematuro/mortalidad , Sobrevivientes/estadística & datos numéricos , Nacimiento a Término , Adolescente , Adulto , Niño , Preescolar , Estudios de Cohortes , Femenino , Humanos , Recién Nacido , Masculino , Nacimiento Prematuro/epidemiología , Análisis de Regresión , Factores de Riesgo , Suecia/epidemiología , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
Patient counseling on physical fitness remains underutilized in primary care, despite its clinical and cost effectiveness. Most counseling interventions have focused on aerobic activity and neglected another vital component of physical fitness, muscle strengthening, which has recently been shown to be independently protective against cardiometabolic diseases and premature mortality. This article reviews the latest scientific evidence and makes recommendations toward a more comprehensive approach for promoting physical fitness in primary care. Given the high prevalence and wide-ranging health impacts of physical inactivity, counseling on physical fitness should be a standard part of wellness promotion and disease prevention and treatment for all patients. Interventions that include muscle strengthening will have a significantly greater impact on health outcomes than those focused on aerobic fitness alone. Counseling to promote both aerobic fitness and muscle strengthening is indicated for all patients, irrespective of body weight, and should begin early in life and continue across the life course.
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Consejo/estadística & datos numéricos , Promoción de la Salud/métodos , Acondicionamiento Físico Humano/fisiología , Atención Primaria de Salud/métodos , Promoción de la Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Humanos , Aptitud Física/fisiología , Atención Primaria de Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Conducta SedentariaRESUMEN
Tall stature and obesity have been associated with a higher risk of atrial fibrillation (AF), but there have been conflicting reports of the effects of aerobic fitness. We conducted a national cohort study to examine interactions between height or weight and level of aerobic fitness among 1,547,478 Swedish military conscripts during 1969-1997 (97%-98% of all 18-year-old men) in relation to AF identified from nationwide inpatient and outpatient diagnoses through 2012 (maximal age, 62 years). Increased height, weight, and aerobic fitness level (but not muscular strength) at age 18 years were all associated with a higher AF risk in adulthood. Positive additive and multiplicative interactions were found between height or weight and aerobic fitness level (for the highest tertiles of height and aerobic fitness level vs. the lowest, relative excess risk = 0.51, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.40, 0.62; ratio of hazard ratios = 1.50, 95% CI: 1.34, 1.65). High aerobic fitness levels were associated with higher risk among men who were at least 186 cm (6 feet, 1 inch) tall but were protective among shorter men. Men with the combination of tall stature and high aerobic fitness level had the highest risk (for the highest tertiles vs. the lowest, adjusted hazard ratio = 1.70, 95% CI: 1.61, 1.80). These findings suggest important interactions between body size and aerobic fitness level in relation to AF and may help identify high-risk subgroups.
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Fibrilación Atrial/etiología , Estatura , Peso Corporal , Aptitud Física , Adolescente , Adulto , Fibrilación Atrial/epidemiología , Ejercicio Físico , Humanos , Pacientes Internos/estadística & datos numéricos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Personal Militar/estadística & datos numéricos , Pacientes Ambulatorios/estadística & datos numéricos , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Factores de Riesgo , Suecia/epidemiología , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: Low physical fitness and obesity have been associated with higher risk of developing heart failure (HF), but their interactive effects are unknown. Elucidation of interactions among these common modifiable factors may help facilitate more effective primary prevention. METHODS: We conducted a national cohort study to examine the interactive effects of aerobic fitness, muscular strength and body mass index (BMI) among 1 330 610 military conscripts in Sweden during 1969-1997 (97%-98% of all 18-year-old men) on risk of HF identified from inpatient and outpatient diagnoses through 2012 (maximum age 62 years). RESULTS: There were 11 711 men diagnosed with HF in 37.8 million person-years of follow-up. Low aerobic fitness, low muscular strength and obesity were independently associated with higher risk of HF, after adjusting for each other, socioeconomic factors, other chronic diseases and family history of HF. The combination of low aerobic fitness and low muscular strength (lowest vs highest tertiles) was associated with a 1.7-fold risk of HF (95% CI 1.6 to 1.9; p<0.001; incidence rates per 100 000 person-years, 43.2 vs 10.8). These factors had positive additive and multiplicative interactions (p<0.001) and were associated with increased risk of HF even among men with normal BMI. CONCLUSIONS: Low aerobic fitness, low muscular strength and obesity at the age of 18 years were independently associated with higher risk of HF in adulthood, with interactive effects between aerobic fitness and muscular strength. These findings suggest that early-life interventions may help reduce the long-term risk of HF and should include both aerobic fitness and muscular strength, even among persons with normal BMI.
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Insuficiencia Cardíaca/epidemiología , Fuerza Muscular , Obesidad/epidemiología , Aptitud Física , Adolescente , Factores de Edad , Índice de Masa Corporal , Estado de Salud , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/diagnóstico , Humanos , Incidencia , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Personal Militar , Obesidad/diagnóstico , Pronóstico , Estudios Prospectivos , Medición de Riesgo , Factores de Riesgo , Suecia/epidemiología , Factores de TiempoRESUMEN
INTRODUCTION: Low aerobic fitness, low muscular strength, and obesity have been associated with premature mortality, but their interactive effects are unknown. This study examined interactions among these common, modifiable factors, to help inform more-effective preventive interventions. METHODS: This national cohort study included all 1,547,478 military conscripts in Sweden during 1969-1997 (97%-98% of all men aged 18 years each year). Aerobic fitness, muscular strength, and BMI measurements were examined in relation to all-cause and cardiovascular mortality through 2012 (maximum age, 62 years). Data were collected/analyzed in 2015-2016. RESULTS: Low aerobic fitness, low muscular strength, and obesity at age 18 years were independently associated with higher all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in adulthood. The combination of low aerobic fitness and muscular strength (lowest versus highest tertiles) was associated with twofold all-cause mortality (adjusted hazard ratio=2.01; 95% CI=1.93, 2.08; p<0.001; mortality rates per 100,000 person years, 247.2 vs 73.8), and 2.6-fold cardiovascular mortality (2.63; 95% CI=2.38, 2.91; p<0.001; 43.9 vs 8.3). These factors also had positive additive and multiplicative interactions in relation to all-cause mortality (their combined effect exceeded the sum or product of their separate effects; p<0.001), and were associated with higher mortality even among men with normal BMI. CONCLUSIONS: Low aerobic fitness, low muscular strength, and obesity at age 18 years were associated with increased mortality in adulthood, with interactive effects between aerobic fitness and muscular strength. Preventive interventions should begin early in life and include both aerobic fitness and muscular strength, even among those with normal BMI.
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Personal Militar , Fuerza Muscular/fisiología , Obesidad/epidemiología , Aptitud Física/fisiología , Adolescente , Adulto , Factores de Edad , Índice de Masa Corporal , Estudios de Cohortes , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Mortalidad Prematura , Obesidad/mortalidad , Suecia/epidemiología , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
AIMS: This study examines the association between the incidence of drug abuse (DA) and linking (communal) social capital, a theoretical concept describing the amount of trust between individuals and societal institutions. METHODS: We present results from an 8-year population-based cohort study that followed all residents in Sweden, aged 15-44, from 2003 through 2010, for a total of 1,700,896 men and 1,642,798 women. Linking social capital was conceptualized as the proportion of people in a geographically defined neighborhood who voted in local government elections. Multilevel logistic regression was used to estimate odds ratios (ORs) and between-neighborhood variance. RESULTS: We found robust associations between linking social capital and DA in men and women. For men, the OR for DA in the crude model was 2.11 [95% confidence interval (CI) 2.02-2.21] for those living in neighborhoods with the lowest vs. highest level of social capital. After accounting for neighborhood level deprivation, the OR fell to 1.59 (1.51-1-68). The ORs remained significant after accounting for age, family income, marital status, country of birth, education level, and region of residence, and after further accounting for comorbidities and family history of comorbidities and family history of DA. For women, the OR decreased from 2.15 (2.03-2.27) in the crude model to 1.31 (1.22-1.40) in the final model, adjusted for multiple neighborhood-level, individual-level variables, and family history for DA. CONCLUSIONS: Our study suggests that low linking social capital may have significant independent effects on DA.
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Características de la Residencia/estadística & datos numéricos , Capital Social , Trastornos Relacionados con Sustancias/epidemiología , Trastornos Relacionados con Sustancias/psicología , Confianza/psicología , Adolescente , Adulto , Estudios de Cohortes , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Apoyo Social , Factores Socioeconómicos , Suecia/epidemiología , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Early-life physical fitness has rarely been examined in relation to type 2 diabetes mellitus (DM) in adulthood because of the lengthy follow-up required. Elucidation of modifiable risk factors at young ages may help facilitate earlier and more effective interventions. OBJECTIVE: To examine aerobic capacity and muscle strength at age 18 years in relation to risk for type 2 DM in adulthood. DESIGN: National cohort study. SETTING: Sweden. PARTICIPANTS: 1 534 425 military conscripts from 1969 to 1997 (97% to 98% of all men aged 18 years nationwide) without prior type 2 DM. MEASUREMENTS: Aerobic capacity and muscle strength (measured in watts and newtons per kilogram of body weight, respectively) were examined in relation to type 2 DM identified from outpatient and inpatient diagnoses from 1987 to 2012 (maximum age, 62 years). RESULTS: 34 008 men were diagnosed with type 2 DM in 39.4 million person-years of follow-up. Low aerobic capacity and muscle strength were independently associated with increased risk for type 2 DM. The absolute difference in cumulative incidence of type 2 DM between the lowest and highest tertiles of both aerobic capacity and strength was 0.22% at 20 years of follow-up (95% CI, 0.20% to 0.25%), 0.76% at 30 years (CI, 0.71% to 0.81%), and 3.97% at 40 years (CI, 3.87% to 4.06%). Overall, the combination of low aerobic capacity and muscle strength was associated with a 3-fold risk for type 2 DM (adjusted hazard ratio, 3.07 [CI, 2.88 to 3.27]; P < 0.001), with a positive additive interaction (P < 0.001). These associations were seen even among men with normal body mass index. LIMITATION: This cohort did not include women and did not measure physical fitness at older ages. CONCLUSION: In this large cohort of Swedish male military conscripts, low aerobic capacity and muscle strength at age 18 years were associated with increased long-term risk for type 2 DM, even among those with normal body mass index. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: National Institutes of Health.
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Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiología , Personal Militar/estadística & datos numéricos , Aptitud Física , Adolescente , Adulto , Índice de Masa Corporal , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/fisiopatología , Prueba de Esfuerzo , Estudios de Seguimiento , Humanos , Incidencia , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Fuerza Muscular/fisiología , Consumo de Oxígeno , Factores de Riesgo , Factores Socioeconómicos , Suecia/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: High body mass index (BMI) and low physical fitness are risk factors for stroke, but their interactive effects are unknown. Elucidation of interactions between these modifiable risk factors can help inform preventive interventions in susceptible subgroups. METHODS: National cohort study of all 1,547,294 military conscripts in Sweden during 1969-1997 (97-98% of all 18-year-old males). Standardized aerobic capacity, muscular strength, and body mass index measurements were examined in relation to stroke identified from inpatient and outpatient diagnoses through 2012 (maximum age 62 years). RESULTS: Sixteen thousand nine hundred seventy-nine men were diagnosed with stroke in 39.7 million person-years of follow-up. High body mass index, low aerobic fitness, and (less strongly) low muscular fitness were associated with higher risk of any stroke, ischemic stroke, and intracerebral hemorrhage, independently of family history and sociodemographic factors. High body mass index (overweight/obese vs. normal) and low aerobic capacity (lowest vs. highest tertile) had similar effect magnitudes, and their combination was associated with highest stroke risk (incidence rate ratio, 2.36; 95% CI, 2.14-2.60; P < 0.001). Aerobic capacity and muscular strength had a positive additive and multiplicative interaction (P < 0.001), indicating that low aerobic capacity accounted for more strokes among men with low compared with high muscular strength. CONCLUSIONS: High body mass index and low aerobic capacity in late adolescence are associated with increased risk of stroke in adulthood. Low aerobic capacity and low muscular strength also have a synergistic effect on stroke risk. These findings suggest that preventive interventions should include weight control and aerobic fitness early in life, and muscular fitness especially among those with low aerobic capacity.
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Índice de Masa Corporal , Aptitud Física , Accidente Cerebrovascular/epidemiología , Adolescente , Adulto , Isquemia Encefálica/epidemiología , Hemorragia Cerebral/epidemiología , Estudios de Seguimiento , Humanos , Incidencia , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Personal Militar , Fuerza Muscular , Factores de Riesgo , Accidente Cerebrovascular/patología , Accidente Cerebrovascular/fisiopatología , Suecia/epidemiología , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: Greater blood pressure reactivity to psychological stress has been associated with higher risk of developing hypertension. We hypothesised that low stress resilience based on psychological assessment early in life is associated with hypertension in adulthood. METHODS: National cohort study of 1,547,182 military conscripts in Sweden during 1969-1997 (97-98% of all 18-year-old males) without prior history of hypertension, who underwent standardised psychological assessment by trained psychologists for stress resilience (1-9 scale), and were followed up for hypertension identified from outpatient and inpatient diagnoses during 1969-2012 (maximum age 62). RESULTS: 93,028 men were diagnosed with hypertension in 39.4 million person-years of follow-up. Adjusting for body mass index (BMI), family history and socioeconomic factors, low stress resilience at age 18 was associated with increased risk of hypertension in adulthood (lowest vs highest quintile: HR 1.43; 95% CI 1.40 to 1.46; p < 0.001; incidence rates, 278.7 vs 180.0 per 100,000 person-years), including a strong linear trend across the full range of stress resilience (p(trend) < 0.0001). We also found a positive additive interaction between stress resilience and BMI (p < 0.001), indicating that low stress resilience accounted for more hypertension cases among those with high BMI. Men with a combination of low stress resilience and high BMI had a more than threefold risk of hypertension. CONCLUSIONS: These findings suggest that low stress resilience may contribute to etiological pathways for hypertension and accounts for more cases among those with high BMI. If confirmed, this knowledge may help inform better preventive interventions by addressing psychosocial risk factors and stress management across the lifespan.
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Adaptación Psicológica/fisiología , Hipertensión , Resiliencia Psicológica , Estrés Psicológico , Adolescente , Adulto , Edad de Inicio , Índice de Masa Corporal , Estudios de Cohortes , Humanos , Hipertensión/diagnóstico , Hipertensión/epidemiología , Hipertensión/psicología , Estudios Longitudinales , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Técnicas Psicológicas , Factores de Riesgo , Estrés Psicológico/diagnóstico , Estrés Psicológico/epidemiología , Estrés Psicológico/fisiopatología , Estrés Psicológico/psicología , Suecia/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Psychosocial stress in adulthood is associated with a higher risk of type 2 diabetes, possibly mediated by behavioural and physiological factors. However, it is unknown whether low stress resilience earlier in life is related to subsequent development of type 2 diabetes. We examined whether low stress resilience in late adolescence is associated with an increased risk of type 2 diabetes in adulthood. METHODS: We conducted a national cohort study of all 1,534,425 military conscripts in Sweden during 1969-1997 (97-98% of all 18-year-old men nationwide each year) without prior diagnosis of diabetes, who underwent standardised psychological assessment for stress resilience (on a scale of 1-9) and were followed up for type 2 diabetes identified from outpatient and inpatient diagnoses during 1987-2012 (maximum attained age 62 years). RESULTS: There were 34,008 men diagnosed with type 2 diabetes in 39.4 million person-years of follow-up. Low stress resilience was associated with an increased risk of developing type 2 diabetes after adjusting for BMI, family history of diabetes, and individual and neighbourhood socioeconomic factors (HR for lowest vs highest quintile: 1.51; 95% CI 1.46, 1.57; p < 0.0001), including a strong linear trend across the full range of stress resilience (p trend < 0.0001). This association did not vary by BMI level, family history of diabetes or socioeconomic factors. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: These findings suggest that low stress resilience may play an important long-term role in aetiological pathways for type 2 diabetes. Further elucidation of the underlying causal factors may help inform more effective preventive interventions across the lifespan.
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Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiología , Estrés Psicológico/complicaciones , Estrés Psicológico/epidemiología , Adolescente , Índice de Masa Corporal , Estudios de Cohortes , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/etiología , Humanos , Masculino , Factores de Riesgo , Suecia/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
IMPORTANCE: High body mass index (BMI) and low physical fitness are risk factors for hypertension, but their interactive effects are unknown. Elucidation of interactions between these modifiable risk factors may help inform more effective interventions in susceptible subgroups. OBJECTIVE: To determine the interactive effects of BMI and physical fitness on the risk of hypertension in a large national cohort. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This cohort study included all 1,547,189 military conscripts in Sweden from January 1, 1969, through December 31, 1997 (97%-98% of all 18-year-old men nationwide each year), who were followed up through December 31, 2012 (maximum age, 62 years). Data analysis was conducted August 1 through August 15, 2015. EXPOSURES: Standardized aerobic capacity, muscular strength, and BMI measurements obtained at a military conscription examination. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Hypertension identified from outpatient and inpatient diagnoses. RESULTS: A total of 93,035 men (6.0%) were diagnosed with hypertension in 39.7 million person-years of follow-up. High BMI and low aerobic capacity (but not muscular strength) were associated with increased risk of hypertension, independent of family history and socioeconomic factors (BMI, overweight or obese vs normal: incidence rate ratio, 2.51; 95% CI, 2.46-2.55; P < .001; aerobic capacity, lowest vs highest tertile: incidence rate ratio, 1.50; 95% CI, 1.47-1.54; P < .001). Aerobic capacity was inversely associated with hypertension across its full distribution (incidence rate ratio per 100 W, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.69-0.71; P < .001). A combination of high BMI (overweight or obese vs normal) and low aerobic capacity (lowest vs highest tertile) was associated with the highest risk of hypertension (incidence rate ratio, 3.53; 95% CI, 3.41-3.66; P < .001) and had a negative additive and multiplicative interaction (P < .001). Although high BMI was a significant risk factor for hypertension, low aerobic capacity also was a significant risk factor among those with normal BMI. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this large national cohort study, high BMI and low aerobic capacity in late adolescence were associated with higher risk of hypertension in adulthood. If confirmed, our findings suggest that interventions to prevent hypertension should begin early in life and include not only weight control but aerobic fitness, even among persons with normal BMI.
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Índice de Masa Corporal , Tolerancia al Ejercicio , Hipertensión/epidemiología , Fuerza Muscular , Aptitud Física , Adolescente , Estudios de Seguimiento , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Riesgo , Suecia/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
Thyroid cancer has peak incidence among women of reproductive age, and growth factors, which have procarcinogenic properties, may play an important etiologic role. However, the association between fetal growth rate during a woman's pregnancy and her subsequent risk of thyroid cancer has not been previously examined. We conducted a national cohort study of 1,837,634 mothers who had a total of 3,588,497 live-births in Sweden in 1973-2008, followed up for thyroid cancer incidence through 2009. There were 2,202 mothers subsequently diagnosed with thyroid cancer in 36.8 million person-years of follow-up. After adjusting for maternal age, height, weight, smoking, and sociodemographic factors, high fetal growth (birth weight standardized for gestational age and sex) was associated with a subsequent increased risk of thyroid cancer in the mother (incidence rate ratio [IRR] per additional 1 standard deviation, 1.05; 95% CI, 1.01-1.09; p = 0.02). Each 1,000 g increase in the infant's birth weight was associated with a 13% increase in the mother's subsequent risk of thyroid cancer (IRR, 1.13; 95% CI, 1.05-1.22; p = 0.001). These findings appeared to involve both papillary and follicular subtypes, and did not vary significantly by the mother's height, weight or smoking status. In this large national cohort study, high fetal growth during a woman's pregnancy was independently associated with a subsequent increased risk of her developing thyroid cancer. If confirmed, these findings suggest an important role of maternal growth factors in the development of thyroid cancer, and potentially may help facilitate the identification of high-risk subgroups of women.
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Desarrollo Fetal , Neoplasias de la Tiroides/etiología , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Peso al Nacer , Estudios de Cohortes , Femenino , Humanos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Embarazo , RiesgoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Gender stereotypes in science impede supportive environments for women. Research suggests that women's perceptions of these environments are influenced by stereotype threat (ST): anxiety faced in situations where one may be evaluated using negative stereotypes. This study developed and tested ST metrics for first time use with junior faculty in academic medicine. METHODS: Under a 2012 National Institutes of Health Pathfinder Award, Stanford School of Medicine's Office of Diversity and Leadership, working with experienced clinicians, social scientists, and epidemiologists, developed and administered ST measures to a representative group of junior faculty. RESULTS: 174 School of Medicine junior faculty were recruited (62% women, 38% men; 75% assistant professors, 25% instructors; 50% white, 40% Asian, 10% underrepresented minority). Women reported greater susceptibility to ST than did men across all items including ST vulnerability (p < 0.001); rejection sensitivity (p = 0.001); gender identification (p < 0.001); perceptions of relative potential (p = 0.048); and, sense of belonging (p = 0.049). Results of career-related consequences of ST were more nuanced. Compared with men, women reported lower beliefs in advancement (p = 0.021); however, they had similar career interest and identification, felt just as connected to colleagues, and were equally likely to pursue careers outside academia (all p > 0.42). CONCLUSIONS: Innovative ST metrics can provide a more complete picture of academic medical center environments. While junior women faculty are susceptible to ST, they may not yet experience all of its consequences in their early careers. As such, ST metrics offer a tool for evaluating institutional initiatives to increase supportive environments for women in academic medicine.
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Logro , Docentes Médicos , Liderazgo , Médicos Mujeres/psicología , Prejuicio/psicología , Estereotipo , Centros Médicos Académicos , Adulto , California , Movilidad Laboral , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Grupos Minoritarios/psicología , Grupos Minoritarios/estadística & datos numéricos , Facultades de Medicina , Factores Socioeconómicos , Estados UnidosRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: Relationships among race/ethnicity, individual socio-economic status (SES), neighbourhood SES and acculturation are complex. We sought to answer whether: (i) race/ethnicity, individual SES and neighbourhood SES have independent effects on women's fruit and vegetable consumption (FVC); (ii) SES modifies the effects of race/ethnicity on FVC; and (iii) nativity modifies the effect of Latina ethnicity on FVC. DESIGN: Cross-sectional surveys from the population-based Geographic Research on Wellbeing (GROW) Study were linked with census-tract level data. FVC was indicated by (i) consuming fruits and vegetables less often than daily (LOWFV) and (ii) not having fruits and vegetables in the home very often. Other variables included age, marital status, race/ethnicity, country of birth, educational attainment, family income and longitudinal neighbourhood poverty (based on latent class growth models). Weighted logistic regression models accounting for the complex sample design were constructed. SETTING: California, USA, 2012-2013. SUBJECTS: Women (n 2669). RESULTS: In adjusted models, race/ethnicity, education and income were independently associated with FVC, but not neighbourhood poverty. Women of colour, high-school graduates and women with incomes at 301-400 % of the federal poverty level were at higher odds of LOWFV compared with non-Hispanic Whites, college graduates and those with incomes >400 % of the federal poverty level. Little evidence for interactions between race/ethnicity and individual or neighbourhood SES was found; similar patterns were observed for immigrant and US-born Latinas. CONCLUSIONS: Addressing the dietary needs of lower-SES communities requires multilevel interventions that simultaneously provide culturally tailored nutrition education and address the physical and economic accessibility of culturally acceptable fruits and vegetables.
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Dieta , Conducta Alimentaria , Factores Socioeconómicos , Adulto , California , Estudios Transversales , Etnicidad , Femenino , Frutas , Humanos , Renta , Pobreza , Verduras , Salud de la Mujer , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: High achievement in school has been associated with increased risk of eating disorders, including anorexia nervosa (AN) and bulimia nervosa (BN), but causality of these relationships is unclear. We sought to examine the association between school achievement and AN or BN in a national cohort and to determine the possible contribution of familial confounding using a co-relative design. METHOD: This national cohort study involved 1,800,643 persons born in Sweden during 1972 to 1990 who were still living in Sweden at age 16 years and were followed up for AN and BN identified from inpatient and outpatient diagnoses through 2012. We used Cox regression to examine the association between school achievement and subsequent risk of AN or BN, and stratified Cox models to examine the gradient in this association across different strata of co-relative pairs (first cousins, half siblings, full siblings). RESULTS: School achievement was positively associated with risk of AN among females and males (hazard ratio [HR] per additional 1 standard deviation, females: HR = 1.29; 95% CI = 1.25-1.33; males: HR = 1.29; 95% CI = 1.10-1.52), and risk of BN among females but not males (females: HR = 1.16; 95% CI = 1.11-1.20; males: HR = 1.05; 95% CI = 0.84-1.31). In co-relative analyses, as the degree of shared genetic and environmental factors increased (e.g., from first-cousin to full-sibling pairs), the association between school achievement and AN or BN substantially decreased. CONCLUSION: In this large national cohort study, high achievement in school was associated with increased risk of AN and BN, but this appeared to be explained by unmeasured familial (genetic and environmental) factors.
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Anorexia Nerviosa/epidemiología , Bulimia Nerviosa/epidemiología , Escolaridad , Familia/psicología , Hermanos/psicología , Adolescente , Adulto , Estudios de Cohortes , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Sistema de Registros , Factores de Riesgo , Instituciones Académicas , Suecia/epidemiología , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Behavioral shifts in eating, favoring the increased consumption of highly processed foods over healthier, home-cooked alternatives, have led to widespread health problems. This study reports on the effectiveness of a massive open online course (MOOC), offering integrated nutrition and cooking instruction, for improving eating behaviors and meal composition among course participants. METHODS: The course, consisting of 47 short (4-6 min.) videos, was offered through Coursera, an open, online learning platform, available to individuals worldwide who have access to the Internet. Beginning in January 2014, participants viewed course videos, completed quizzes and participated in optional cooking assignments, over a 5-week period. Participants were invited to complete optional pre- and post-course surveys assessing their eating behaviors, typical meal composition and perceived barriers to home cooking. McNemar-Bowker tests of symmetry and within subject t-tests were conducted to evaluate pre-post survey changes in the primary variables measured. RESULTS: 7,422 participants from more than 80 countries completed both pre- and post-course surveys, while 19,374 participants completed the pre-survey only. Class participants were primarily women in the child-rearing ages (20-49 years of age). There were significant positive changes in eating behaviors and meal composition over time, including an increase in the percentage of participants who reported cooking dinner at home using mostly fresh ingredients 5-7 times in the previous week (63.4 % to 71.4 %), and who felt that yesterday's dinner was very/extremely healthy (39.3 % to 56.4 %) and enjoyable (55.2 % to 66.7 %) (all p values < .0001). CONCLUSIONS: Integrated nutrition and cooking courses, delivered via open online learning platforms, offer a free and flexible venue for reaching adults worldwide and have the potential to catalyze powerful behavioral shifts that align well with efforts to improve eating behaviors and meal composition.