Status of COVID-19 Patients Treated With Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation in Japan: Nationwide Database Analysis.

Background The report of epidemiological data on coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients treated using extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) in Japan has been limited. Our study seeks to fill the existing gap in knowledge by providing an in-depth analysis of the clinical epidemiological characteristics and diverse medical outcomes of COVID-19 patients treated with ECMO in Japan. Methods This study used the COVID-19 Registry Japan nationwide database. We included patients aged 18 years or older enrolled between March 17, 2020, and February 1, 2022, with traceable ECMO data. The items on clinical epidemiological characteristics and various medical outcomes were collected. Statistical analysis included a median and interquartile range (IQR) for continuous variables and frequencies for categorical variables. Results The number of participating hospitals was 731, and the number of patients enrolled for analysis was 49,590. Of these, 196 (0.4%) patients received ECMO. Hospital mortality was 33.2%, and discharge to home was 23.0% in the ECMO group. The complications during hospitalization included pneumothorax (9.7%), seizures (4.1%), stroke (4.6%), and pulmonary thromboembolism (2.0%). At discharge, 38.3% had worsened self-care ability, and 38.8% had worsened ambulatory function. Conclusions The results of ECMO treatment in Japan showed that the mortality and complication rates were well-controlled compared with those worldwide.

GVHD targets organoid-forming bile duct stem cells via a TGF-ß-dependent manner.

Graft-versus-host disease (GVHD) is a major life-threatening complication that occurs after allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT). While adult tissue stem cells have been identified as targets of GVHD in the skin and gut, their role in hepatic GVHD is yet to be clarified. In the current study, we explored the fate of bile duct stem cells (BDSCs), capable of generating liver organoids in vitro, during hepatic GVHD after allogeneic HCT. We observed a significant expansion of biliary epithelial cells (BECs) upon injury early after allogeneic HCT. Organoid-forming efficiency from the bile duct was also significantly increased early after allogeneic HCT. Subsequently, the organoid-forming efficiency from bile ducts was markedly decreased in association with the reduction of BECs and the elevation of plasma concentrations of bilirubin, suggesting that GVHD targets BDSCs and impairs the resilience of BECs. The growth of liver organoids in the presence of liver-infiltrating mononuclear cells from allogeneic recipients, but not from syngeneic recipients, significantly reduced in a TGF--dependent manner. Administration of SB-431542, an inhibitor of TGF-ß signaling, from day 14 to day 28 protected organoid-forming BDSCs against GVHD and mitigated biliary dysfunction after allogeneic HCT, suggesting that BDSCs are a promising therapeutic target for hepatic GVHD.

Insulin resistance assessed by short insulin tolerance test and its association with obesity and insulin resistance-related parameters in humans: A pilot randomized trial.

The aim of this study was to examine the association of insulin resistance (evaluated by the short insulin tolerance test [SITT]) with parameters related to obesity and insulin resistance. We prospectively recruited controls and patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), subjected them to the SITT, and calculated the K indices of the intravenous insulin tolerance test (KITT(iv)) and the subcutaneous insulin tolerance test (KITT(sc)). We compared KITT(iv) results between the volunteers and patients and examined its correlation with KITT(sc). We also examined the association of KITT(iv) with obesity, insulin resistance-related parameters, and the insulin dose required for glycemic control. A total of 24 participants (seven controls and 17 patients with T2DM) were studied. The mean KITT(iv) was significantly lower in patients with T2DM than in the controls (2.5%±2.1% vs. 4.5%±1.8%). In all participants, KITT(iv) was significantly correlated with the homeostasis model assessment for insulin resistance (HOMA-IR) values (r = -0.601, p<0.05) but not with KITT(sc) (p = 0.62). KITT(iv) was correlated positively with the serum adiponectin concentration, but negatively with the visceral fat area and serum concentrations of tumor necrosis factor-α and branched-chain amino acids. In patients with T2DM, KITT(iv) and HOMA-IR values were significantly correlated with the total insulin dose required for glycemic control. Insulin resistance evaluated using KITT(iv) was correlated with the HOMA-IR values, but not with the resistance evaluated using KITT(sc). The degree of insulin resistance was associated with biomarkers, such as adiponectin, tumor necrosis factor-α, branched-chain amino acids, the visceral fat area, and the dose of insulin required for glycemic control.

Event-free survival at 36 months is a suitable endpoint for diffuse large B-cell lymphoma patients treated with immunochemotherapy: real-world evidence from the North Japan Hematology Study Group.

Information regarding follow-up duration after treatment for newly diagnosed diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) is important. However, a clear endpoint has yet to be established. We totally enrolled 2182 patients newly diagnosed with DLBCL between 2008 and 2018. The median age of the patients was 71 years. All patients were treated with rituximab- and anthracycline-based chemotherapies. Each overall survival (OS) was compared with the age- and sex-matched Japanese general population (GP) data. At a median follow-up of 3.4 years, 985 patients experienced an event and 657 patients died. Patients who achieved an event-free survival (EFS) at 36 months (EFS36) had an OS equivalent to that of the matched GP (standard mortality ratio [SMR], 1.17; P=0.1324), whereas those who achieved an EFS24 did not have an OS comparable to that of the matched GP (SMR, 1.26; P=0.0095). Subgroup analysis revealed that relatively old patients (>60 years), male patients, those with limited-stage disease, those with a good performance status, and those with low levels of soluble interleukin 2 receptor already had a comparable life expectancy to the matched GP at an EFS24. In contrast, relatively young patients had a shorter life expectancy than matched GP, even with an EFS36. In conclusion, an EFS36 was shown to be a more suitable endpoint for newly diagnosed DLBCL patients than an EFS24. Of note, younger patients require a longer EFS period than older patients in order to obtain an equivalent life expectancy to the matched GP.

Exploratory analysis of the accuracy of echocardiographic parameters for the assessment of right ventricular function and right ventricular-pulmonary artery coupling.

Echocardiography is a widely used modality for the assessment of right ventricular (RV) function; however, few studies have comprehensively compared the accuracy of echocardiographic parameters using invasively obtained reference values. Therefore, this exploratory study aimed to compare the accuracy of echocardiographic parameters of RV function and RV-pulmonary artery (PA) coupling. We calculated four indices of RV function (end-systolic elastance [Ees] for systolic function [contractility], τ for relaxation, and ß and end-diastolic elastance [Eed] for stiffness), and an index of RV-PA coupling (Ees/arterial elastance [Ea]), using pressure catheterization, cardiac magnetic resonance imaging, and a single-beat method. We then compared the correlations of RV indices with echocardiographic parameters. In 63 participants (54 with pulmonary hypertension (PH) and nine without PH), Ees and τ correlated with several echocardiographic parameters, such as RV diameter and area, but the correlations were moderate (|correlation coefficients (ρ)| < 0.5 for all parameters). The correlations of ß and Eed with echocardiographic parameters were weak, with |ρ| < 0.4. In contrast, Ees/Ea closely correlated with RV free wall longitudinal strain (RVFW-LS)/estimated systolic PA pressure (eSPAP) (ρ = -0.72). Ees/Ea also correlated with tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion/eSPAP, RV diameter, and RV end-systolic area, with |ρ | >0.65. In addition, RVFW-LS/eSPAP yielded high sensitivity (0.84) and specificity (0.75) for detecting reduced Ees/Ea. The present study indicated a limited accuracy of echocardiographic parameters in assessing RV systolic and diastolic function. In contrast to RV function, they showed high accuracy for assessing RV-PA coupling, with RVFW-LS/eSPAP exhibiting the highest accuracy.

A nationwide phase II study of delayed local treatment for children with high-risk neuroblastoma: The Japan Children's Cancer Group Neuroblastoma Committee Trial JN-H-11.

PURPOSE: Survival rates of patients with high-risk neuroblastoma are unacceptable. A time-intensified treatment strategy with delayed local treatment to control systemic diseases has been developed in Japan. We conducted a nationwide, prospective, single-arm clinical trial with delayed local treatment. This study evaluated the safety and efficacy of delayed surgery to increase treatment intensity. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Seventy-five patients with high-risk neuroblastoma were enrolled in this study between May 2011 and September 2015. Delayed local treatment consisted of five courses of induction chemotherapy (cisplatin, pirarubicin, vincristine, and cyclophosphamide) and myeloablative high-dose chemotherapy (melphalan, etoposide, and carboplatin), followed by local tumor extirpation with surgery and irradiation. The primary endpoint was progression-free survival (PFS). The secondary endpoints were overall survival (OS), response rate, adverse events, and surgical complications. RESULTS: Seventy-five patients were enrolled, and 64 were evaluable (stage 3, n = 8; stage 4, n = 56). The estimated 3-year PFS and OS rates (95% confidence interval [CI]) were 44.4% [31.8%-56.3%] and 80.7% [68.5%-88.5%], resspectively. The response rate of INRC after completion of the treatment protocol was 66% (42/64; 95% CI: 53%-77%; 23 CR [complete response], 10 VGPR [very good partial response], and nine PR [partial response]). None of the patients died during the protocol treatment or within 30 days of completion. Grade 4 adverse effects, excluding hematological adverse effects, occurred in 48% of patients [31/64; 95% CI: 36%-61%]. Major Surgical complications were observed in 25% of patients [13/51; 95% CI: 14%-40%]. CONCLUSION: This study indicates that delayed local treatment is feasible and shows promising efficacy, suggesting that this treatment should be considered further in a comparative study of high-risk neuroblastoma.

Phase II trial of niraparib for BRCA-mutated biliary tract, pancreatic and other gastrointestinal cancers: NIR-B.

Due to the widespread use of cancer genetic testing in gastrointestinal cancer, the BRCA1/2 genetic mutation has been identified in biliary tract cancer as well as pancreatic cancer. Niraparib is a poly(ADP-ribose) polymerase (PARP) inhibitor, and PARP inhibitors exert their cytotoxicity against cancer cells in the context of homologous recombination deficiency, such as BRCA mutations, via the mechanism of synthetic lethality. The aim of this phase II NIR-B trial is to evaluate the efficacy and safety of niraparib for patients with unresectable advanced or recurrent biliary tract cancer, pancreatic cancer or other gastrointestinal cancers with germline or somatic BRCA1/2 mutations revealed by genetic testing. The primary end point is an investigator-assessed objective response rate in each cohort.Clinical Trial Registration: jRCT2011200023 (ClinicalTrials.gov).

A clinical study to confirm the efficacy and safety of niraparib for people with advanced biliary tract, pancreatic and other abdominal cancers with the BRCA genetic mutation: the NIR-B trial.BRCA gene is involved in repairing DNA injury and plays an important role in cancer growth. Cells with a mutation in the BRCA gene cannot repair DNA using a method called homologous recombination repair. Niraparib is part of a class of drugs called 'PARP inhibitors' that inhibit enzymes called 'PARP' involved in repairing DNA injury, and has shown efficacy against cancers with BRCA gene mutations. BRCA gene mutations are infrequent but have been found in a variety of cancers. The NIR-B trial is a clinical trial to evaluate the efficacy and safety of niraparib for people with advanced biliary tract, pancreatic and other abdominal cancers with BRCA gene mutations.

Surgical Resection of Primary Tumor for Bone Metastatic Breast Cancer Patients at Initial Presentation.

BACKGROUND/AIM: The purpose of this study was to investigate whether primary tumor resection in patients with bone metastatic breast cancer has an impact on survival using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database, considering subtype classification. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We included all female patients with bone metastatic breast cancer at initial presentation between 2010 and 2016 with known hormone receptor (HR) and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) statuses. Cases showing unknown cause of death or unknown HR/HER2 status were excluded. Survival analysis was performed using Cox proportional hazards modeling to calculate hazard ratios (HZR). RESULTS: Of the 13,450 patients included in this study, 2,073 patients were HR+/HER2+, 8,597 patients were HR+/HER2-, 797 patients were HR-/HER2+, and 1,182 patients were HR-/HER2- (triple-negative). Five-year overall survival (OS) rate was 34.5% in HR+/HER2+, 26.0% in HR+/HER2-, 29.2% in HR-/HER2+ and 8.0% in triple-negative. Triple-negative patients showed the worsen OS [HR+/HER2+: HZR=2.1, 95% confidence interval (CI)=1.9-2.3; HR+/HER2-: HZR= 2.4, 95%CI=2.2-2.6; HR-/HER2+: HZR=1.5, 95%CI=1.3-1.6]. After excluding patients who died within six months, primary tumor resection prolonged survival in each subtype classification except HR-/HER2+. CONCLUSION: Patients with triple-negative bone metastatic breast cancer showed unfavorable survival. Primary tumor resection prolonged survival in each subtype except for HR-/HER2+.

Incidence of atrial fibrillation after esophageal cancer surgery with L-carnitine use: a preliminary single-group interventional study.

PURPOSE: We aimed to investigate the POAF rate and blood FABP4 levels after perioperative L-carnitine administration in patients with esophageal cancer. METHODS: L-carnitine (3 g in three divided doses) was administered to 15 patients 2 days before and 3 days after surgery. POAF during the study period and blood FABP4 levels (ELISA) before and after L-carnitine administration were evaluated. Accurate 95% confidence intervals (CI) for POAF incidence and changes in blood FABP4 levels were calculated. The preoperative predicted POAF rate was calculated using an application for esophageal cancer. The correlation between FABP4 levels and the predicted POAF rate was analyzed using Pearson's coefficient (r). RESULTS: Thirteen patients completed this study. The predicted POAF rate was 24% (17%, 34%) (median; interquartile range). The actual incidence of POAF was 7.7% (95% CI: 0.2-36%). Blood FABP4 levels changed from 10.3 to 7.0 ng/mL; the average change was - 3.3 (95% CI: - 6.6 to - 0.1). A positive correlation was found between preoperative FABP4 levels and the predicted POAF rates (r = 0.564). CONCLUSIONS: The POAF rate after esophageal surgery was 7.7% for L-carnitine. L-carnitine may reduce blood FABP4 levels. This preliminary study will contribute to the planning of sample sizes in future randomized trials.

Weight loss and functional decline in older Japanese people: A cohort study using large-scale claims data.

BACKGROUND: The association between weight loss and subsequent functional decline is uncertain. The study aims to elucidate the association between weight loss over a year and subsequent functional decline requiring assistance in performing their activities of daily living in older individuals. METHODS: The study used data from the publicly funded Long-Term Care Insurance service in Japan, which provides coverage for long-term care services for individuals unable to perform activities of daily living due to physical or cognitive impairment. The study enrolled people born in or before 1949, who underwent health checkups in both 2014 and 2015. The participants were followed from 2015 to the worsening of functional decline requiring long-term care services, death, or February 28, 2019, whichever occurred first. The risk of subsequent functional decline in each weight loss category was estimated using a Cox regression model adjusted for age, sex, baseline body mass index, smoking, and Charlson comorbidity index. RESULTS: We identified 67,452 eligible individuals from the database. The median follow-up period was 1,284 days. The hazard ratios (95 % confidence interval) of functional decline for -1 %, -2 %, -3 %, -4 %, and ≤-5% weight change compared to 0 % weight change were 1.17 (1.03-1.32), 1.26 (1.11-1.43), 1.29 (1.12-1.49), 1.61 (1.39-1.87), and 1.79 (1.58-1.99), respectively. CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS: Older people with weight loss of 1 % or more were at risk of functional decline. Close weight monitoring may serve as an easy and inexpensive means of identifying older individuals at risk of functional decline.

Exploring the influence of a financial incentive scheme on early mobilization and rehabilitation in ICU patients: an interrupted time-series analysis.

BACKGROUND: Clinical guidelines recommend early mobilization and rehabilitation (EMR) for patients who are critically ill. However, various barriers impede its implementation in real-world clinical settings. In 2018, the Japanese universal healthcare coverage system announced a unique financial incentive scheme to facilitate EMR for patients in intensive care units (ICU). This study evaluated whether such an incentive improved patients' activities of daily living (ADL) and reduced their hospital length of stay (LOS). METHODS: Using the national inpatient database in Japan, we identified patients admitted to the ICU, who stayed over 48 hours between April 2017 and March 2019. The financial incentive required medical institutions to form a multidisciplinary team approach for EMR, development and periodic review of the standardized rehabilitation protocol, starting rehabilitation within 2 days of ICU admission. The incentive amounted to 34.6 United States Dollars per patient per day with limit 14 days, structured as a per diem payment. Hospitals were not mandated to provide detailed information on individual rehabilitation for government, and the insurer made payments directly to the hospitals based on their claims. Exposure was the introduction of the financial incentive defined as the first day of claim by each hospital. We conducted an interrupted time-series analysis to assess the impact of the financial incentive scheme. Multivariable radon-effects regression and Tobit regression analysis were performed with random intercept for the hospital of admission. RESULTS: A total of 33,568 patients were deemed eligible. We confirmed that the basic assumption of ITS was fulfilled. The financial incentive was associated with an improvement in the Barthel index at discharge (0.44 points change in trend per month; 95% confidence interval = 0.20-0.68) and shorter hospital LOS (- 0.66 days change in trend per month; 95% confidence interval = - 0.88 - -0.44). The sensitivity and subgroup analyses showed consistent results. CONCLUSIONS: The study suggests a potential association between the financial incentive for EMR in ICU patients and improved outcomes. This incentive scheme may provide a unique solution to EMR barrier in practice, however, caution is warranted in interpreting these findings due to recent changes in ICU care practices.

Longitudinal mortality risks and kidney functional outcomes in Japanese living kidney donors.

OBJECTIVES: Previous studies suggested that living kidney donors do not have a higher risk of death or kidney failure than the general population. However, living kidney donor risk is controversial. Furthermore, only a few studies have evaluated long-term kidney function after kidney donation. METHODS: This study evaluated Japanese kidney donor' long-term outcomes, including mortality and kidney function. From 1965 to 2015, 230 donors (76 males, 154 females, and a median age of 54) were enrolled in this study. The median observation period was 11.0 (range, 0.3-41.0) years. RESULTS: In total, 215 donors were still alive, and 15 had died. Causes of death included malignancies, cardiovascular disease, pneumonia, suicide, gastrointestinal bleeding, and kidney failure. Actual donor survival rates at 10, 20, and 30 years were 95.3%, 90.7%, and 80.9%, respectively. These values were comparable to age- and gender-matched expected survival. Long-term kidney function after donation was evaluated in 211 donors with serum creatinine data. Two donors developed kidney failure 24 and 26 years post-donation, respectively. The percentage of donors whose estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) remained ≥45 mL/min/1.73 m2 at 10, 20, and 30 years after donation were 84.2%, 73.0%, and 63.9%, respectively. Survival rates of donors with eGFR <45 mL/min/1.73 m2 were comparable to those in persons with eGFR >45 mL/min/1.73 m2. CONCLUSION: Our findings revealed that kidney donors did not have a higher long-term risk of death than the general population. Although some donors showed decreased kidney function after donation, kidney function did not impact their survival.

Decoupling power and type I error rate considerations when incorporating historical control data using a test-then-pool approach.

To accelerate a randomized controlled trial, historical control data may be used after ensuring little heterogeneity between the historical and current trials. The test-then-pool approach is a simple frequentist borrowing method that assesses the similarity between historical and current control data using a two-sided test. A limitation of the conventional test-then-pool method is the inability to control the type I error rate and power for the primary hypothesis separately and flexibly for heterogeneity between trials. This is because the two-sided test focuses on the absolute value of the mean difference between the historical and current controls. In this paper, we propose a new test-then-pool method that splits the two-sided hypothesis of the conventional method into two one-sided hypotheses. Testing each one-sided hypothesis with different significance levels allows for the separate control of the type I error rate and power for heterogeneity between trials. We also propose a significance-level selection approach based on the maximum type I error rate and the minimum power. The proposed method prevented a decrease in power even when there was heterogeneity between trials while controlling type I error at a maximum tolerable type I error rate larger than the targeted type I error rate. The application of depression trial data and hypothetical trial data further supported the usefulness of the proposed method.

Bone metastatic cancer of unknown primary at initial presentation.

INTRODUCTION: Cancer of unknown primary (CUP) is a challenging malignancy. The purpose of this study was to investigate the clinical characteristics and prognosis of bone metastatic CUP using the population-based Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. METHODS: From the SEER database, we identified 1908 patients with bone metastatic CUP at initial presentation between 2010 and 2018. Histology was subdivided following International Classification of Diseases for Oncology codes as Adenocarcinoma, Squamous cell, Neuroendocrine, or Carcinoma not otherwise specified (NOS). Cox proportional hazard modeling was applied using factors of age, sex, ethnicity, histological subtype, and therapeutic intervention. RESULTS: Among the 1908 patients, histology was Neuroendocrine in 240 patients, Squamous cell in 201 patients, Adenocarcinoma in 810 patients and NOS in 657 patients. In each subtype, patients tended to be predominantly male and white. Chemotherapy was introduced for 28% of patients and radiation for 34% in the entire cohort. Survival in patients with bone metastatic CUP was unfavorable, with a median survival of 2 months. Among the histological subtypes, Adenocarcinoma showed shorter survival than the other groups. In addition, treatment interventions such as chemotherapy and radiation therapy prolonged survival, particularly for Squamous cell, Adenocarcinoma and NOS, but not for Neuroendocrine. DISCUSSION: Bone metastatic CUP showed extremely poor prognosis, but treatment interventions such as chemotherapy and radiation generally offered survival benefits. Further randomized clinical research is needed to confirm the present results.

A machine-learning-based prediction of non-home discharge among acute heart failure patients.

BACKGROUND: Scarce data on factors related to discharge disposition in patients hospitalized for acute heart failure (AHF) were available, and we sought to develop a parsimonious and simple predictive model for non-home discharge via machine learning. METHODS: This observational cohort study using a Japanese national database included 128,068 patients admitted from home for AHF between April 2014 and March 2018. The candidate predictors for non-home discharge were patient demographics, comorbidities, and treatment performed within 2 days after hospital admission. We used 80% of the population to develop a model using all 26 candidate variables and using the variable selected by 1 standard-error rule of Lasso regression, which enhances interpretability, and 20% to validate the predictive ability. RESULTS: We analyzed 128,068 patients, and 22,330 patients were not discharged to home; 7,879 underwent in-hospital death and 14,451 were transferred to other facilities. The machine-learning-based model consisted of 11 predictors, showing a discrimination ability comparable to that using all the 26 variables (c-statistic: 0.760 [95% confidence interval, 0.752-0.767] vs. 0.761 [95% confidence interval, 0.753-0.769]). The common 1SE-selected variables identified throughout all analyses were low scores in activities of daily living, advanced age, absence of hypertension, impaired consciousness, failure to initiate enteral alimentation within 2 days and low body weight. CONCLUSIONS: The developed machine learning model using 11 predictors had a good predictive ability to identify patients at high risk for non-home discharge. Our findings would contribute to the effective care coordination in this era when HF is rapidly increasing in prevalence.

Amputation surgery associated with shortened survival in patients with localized soft tissue sarcoma.

BACKGROUND: The objectives of this study were to clarify whether localized extremity soft tissue sarcoma (STS) patients who underwent amputation surgery experienced worsened survival and to identify those patients for whom amputation surgery worsened survival. METHODS: Using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database, we identified 8897 patients with localized extremity STS between 1983 and 2016. Of these 6431 patients, 733 patients underwent amputation surgery (Amputation group), and 5698 underwent limb-sparing surgery (Limb-sparing group). RESULTS: After adjusting for patient background by propensity score matching, a total of 1346 patients were included. Patients in the Amputation group showed worsened survival (cancer-specific survival (CSS): hazard ratio (HR) = 1.42, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.15-1.75, overall survival (OS): HR = 1.41, 95%CI 1.20-1.65). In subclass analysis, patients with high-grade STS, spindle cell sarcoma and liposarcoma in the Amputation group showed shortened survival (high-grade-CSS: HR = 1.44, 95%CI 1.16-1.77, OS: HR = 1.38, 95%CI 1.18-1.62; spindle cell sarcoma-CSS: HR = 4.75, 95%CI 1.56-14.4, OS: HR = 2.32, 95%CI 1.45-3.70; liposarcoma-CSS: HR = 2.91, 95%CI 1.54-5.50, OS: HR = 2.32, 95%CI 1.45-3.70). CONCLUSIONS: Survival was shortened in localized extremity STS patients who received amputation surgery.

Applicable predictive factors extracted from peak flow trajectory for the prediction of asthma exacerbation.

BACKGROUND: Real-time asthma exacerbation prediction and acute asthma attack detection are essential for patients with severe asthma. Peak expiratory flow (PEF) exhibits a potential for use in long-term asthma self-monitoring. However, the method for processing PEF calculations remains to be clarified. OBJECTIVE: To develop clinically applicable novel exacerbation predictors calculated using PEF records. METHODS: Previously proposed exacerbation predictors, including the slope of PEF, percentage predicted PEF, percentage best PEF, the highest PEF over the lowest PEF within specific periods, and PEF coefficient of variation, in addition to a novel indicator delta PEF moving average (ΔMA), defined as the difference between 14-day and 3-day average PEF values, along with moving average (MA) adjusted for PEF reference (%ΔMA), were verified using the Hokkaido-based Investigative Cohort Analysis for Refractory Asthma data of 127 patients with severe asthma from whom 73,503 PEF observations were obtained. Receiver operating characteristic curves for all predictors were drawn, and the corresponding areas under the curve (AUCs) were computed. Regression analysis for MA and percentage MA were conducted. RESULTS: The most outstanding performance was shown by ΔMA and %ΔMA, with AUC values of 0.659 and 0.665 in the univariate model, respectively. When multivariate models were incorporated with random intercepts for individual participants, the AUC for ΔMA and %ΔMA increased to 0.907 and 0.919, respectively. CONCLUSION: The MA and percentage MA are valuable indicators that should be considered when deriving predictors from the PEF trajectory for monitoring exacerbations in patients with severe asthma. TRIAL REGISTRATION: The Hokkaido-based Investigative Cohort Analysis for Refractory Asthma was registered in the University Hospital Medical Information Network Clinical Trials Registry (UMIN ID: 000003254). https://center6.umin.ac.jp/cgi-open-bin/ctr_e/ctr_view.cgi?recptno=R000003917.

Posttransplant cyclophosphamide in unrelated and related peripheral blood stem cell transplantation from HLA-matched and 1 allele mismatched donor.

Posttransplant cyclophosphamide (PTCy)-based graft-versus-host disease (GVHD) prophylaxis has been increasingly used in HLA-haploidentical transplantation and recent studies also demonstrated the efficacy of PTCy in HLA-matched transplantation. We conducted a prospective multicenter phase II study to evaluate the safety and efficacy of PTCy with tacrolimus and mycophenolate mofetil in 43 patients who underwent HLA-matched (n = 21), 1 allele mismatched (n = 20), or 2 allele mismatched (n = 2) peripheral blood stem cell transplantation (PBSCT) following myeloablative (n = 28) or reduced-intensity (n = 15) conditioning. The incidence of grade III-IV acute GVHD at 100 days was 2.3%. The incidences of grades II-IV acute GVHD, all grade chronic GVHD, and moderate to severe chronic GVHD at 2 years were 16.3%, 14.0%, and 4.7%, respectively. Overall survival, disease-free survival, and non-relapse mortality at 2 years were 75.3%, 74.0%, and 7.0%, respectively. GVHD-free, relapse-free survival at 2 years was 67.0%. The rate of off-immunosuppressants in patients who survived without relapse at 2 years was 85.4%. These results indicate that PTCy is a valid option for GVHD prophylaxis in both HLA-matched and HLA 1-2 allele mismatched PBSCT.