Differences in impact of current and former shift work on cardiovascular risk factors, carotid atherosclerosis, and white matter integrity.

Study Objectives: The association of shift work (SW) and disrupted circadian rhythm with markers of large artery atherosclerosis and cerebral small vessel disease is uncertain. We aimed to study the separate association of current and former SW with these markers. Methods: We included participants from the population-based Hamburg City Health Study. SW was defined by monthly working hours between 06:00 pm and 07:00 am containing night shifts for at least 12 months. Cross-sectional data were obtained from structured questionnaires, laboratory analyses, physical examinations, brain magnetic resonance imaging, and carotid ultrasound. We performed multivariable regression analysis with carotid intima-media thickness (CIMT), and peak-width skeletonized mean diffusivity (PSMD) as dependent variables. Results: Three hundred and forty-four current, 238 former, and 7162 never-shift workers were included. The median age was 60 years for both current and former shift workers, and total duration of SW was comparable for the two groups. Current shift workers were less frequently female (27.3% vs. 44.5%; p < .001), had more frequent hyperlipidemia (31.5% vs. 22.3%; p = .024), and diabetes (16.2% vs. 3.2%; p < .001). After adjustment for age and sex, reduced quality of sleep (ß = 1.61, p = .001) and low education (ß = 2.63, p < .001) were associated with current but not former SW. Adjusted for age and sex, the current SW was associated with higher CIMT (ß = 0.02, p = .001) and PSMD (ß = 9.06e-06, p = .006), whereas former SW was not. Adjusted for risk factors, current SW remained associated with PSMD (ß = 9.91e-06, p = .006) but not with CIMT. Conclusions: Current SW was associated with CIMT and with PSMD, with the latter association remaining after adjustment for risk factors. Former SW showed no associations with CIMT or PSMD. This may indicate that current SW is linked with increased neurovascular risk through disrupted circadian rhythms. Trial Registration Information: The trial was submitted at http://www.clinicaltrials.gov, under NCT03934957 on January 4, 2019. The first participant was enrolled in February 2016.

Impact of Lipoprotein(a) Level on Low-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol- or Apolipoprotein B-Related Risk of Coronary Heart Disease.

BACKGROUND: Conventional low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) quantification includes cholesterol attributable to lipoprotein(a) (Lp(a)-C) due to their overlapping densities. OBJECTIVES: The purposes of this study were to compare the association between LDL-C and LDL-C corrected for Lp(a)-C (LDLLp(a)corr) with incident coronary heart disease (CHD) in the general population and to investigate whether concomitant Lp(a) values influence the association of LDL-C or apolipoprotein B (apoB) with coronary events. METHODS: Among 68,748 CHD-free subjects at baseline LDLLp(a)corr was calculated as "LDL-C-Lp(a)-C," where Lp(a)-C was 30% or 17.3% of total Lp(a) mass. Fine and Gray competing risk-adjusted models were applied for the association between the outcome incident CHD and: 1) LDL-C and LDLLp(a)corr in the total sample; and 2) LDL-C and apoB after stratification by Lp(a) mass (≥/<90th percentile). RESULTS: Similar risk estimates for incident CHD were found for LDL-C and LDL-CLp(a)corr30 or LDL-CLp(a)corr17.3 (subdistribution HR with 95% CI) were 2.73 (95% CI: 2.34-3.20) vs 2.51 (95% CI: 2.15-2.93) vs 2.64 (95% CI: 2.26-3.10), respectively (top vs bottom fifth; fully adjusted models). Categorization by Lp(a) mass resulted in higher subdistribution HRs for uncorrected LDL-C and incident CHD at Lp(a) ≥90th percentile (4.38 [95% CI: 2.08-9.22]) vs 2.60 [95% CI: 2.21-3.07]) at Lp(a) <90th percentile (top vs bottom fifth; Pinteraction0.39). In contrast, apoB risk estimates were lower in subjects with higher Lp(a) mass (2.43 [95% CI: 1.34-4.40]) than in Lp(a) <90th percentile (3.34 [95% CI: 2.78-4.01]) (Pinteraction0.49). CONCLUSIONS: Correction of LDL-C for its Lp(a)-C content provided no meaningful information on CHD-risk estimation at the population level. Simple categorization of Lp(a) mass (≥/<90th percentile) influenced the association between LDL-C or apoB with future CHD mostly at higher Lp(a) levels.

Biostatistical Aspects of Whole Genome Sequencing Studies: Preprocessing and Quality Control.

Rapid advances in high-throughput DNA sequencing technologies have enabled large-scale whole genome sequencing (WGS) studies. Before performing association analysis between phenotypes and genotypes, preprocessing and quality control (QC) of the raw sequence data need to be performed. Because many biostatisticians have not been working with WGS data so far, we first sketch Illumina's short-read sequencing technology. Second, we explain the general preprocessing pipeline for WGS studies. Third, we provide an overview of important QC metrics, which are applied to WGS data: on the raw data, after mapping and alignment, after variant calling, and after multisample variant calling. Fourth, we illustrate the QC with the data from the GENEtic SequencIng Study Hamburg-Davos (GENESIS-HD), a study involving more than 9000 human whole genomes. All samples were sequenced on an Illumina NovaSeq 6000 with an average coverage of 35× using a PCR-free protocol. For QC, one genome in a bottle (GIAB) trio was sequenced in four replicates, and one GIAB sample was successfully sequenced 70 times in different runs. Fifth, we provide empirical data on the compression of raw data using the DRAGEN original read archive (ORA). The most important quality metrics in the application were genetic similarity, sample cross-contamination, deviations from the expected Het/Hom ratio, relatedness, and coverage. The compression ratio of the raw files using DRAGEN ORA was 5.6:1, and compression time was linear by genome coverage. In summary, the preprocessing, joint calling, and QC of large WGS studies are feasible within a reasonable time, and efficient QC procedures are readily available.

Sex hormone-binding globulin may explain sex differences for glucose homeostasis and incidence of type 2 diabetes: the KORA study.

Research has indicated that sex hormone-binding globulin (SHBG) is associated with glucose homeostasis and may play a role in the etiology of type 2 diabetes (T2D). While it is unclear whether SHBG may mediate sex differences in glucose control and subsequently, incidence of T2D. We used observational data from the German population-based KORA F4 study (n = 1937, mean age: 54 years, 41% women) and its follow-up examination KORA FF4 (median follow-up 6.5 years, n = 1387). T2D was initially assessed by self-report and validated by contacting the physicians and/ or reviewing the medical charts. Mediation analyses were performed to assess the role of SHBG in mediating the association between sex (women vs. men) and glucose- and insulin-related traits (cross-sectional analysis) and incidence of T2D (longitudinal analysis). After adjustment for confounders, (model 1: adjusted for age; model 2: model 1 + smoking + alcohol consumption + physical activity), women had lower fasting glucose levels compared to men (ß = -4.94 (mg/dl), 95% CI: -5.77, -4.11). SHBG levels were significantly higher in women than in men (ß = 0.47 (nmol/l), 95% CI:0.42, 0.51). Serum SHBG may mediate the association between sex and fasting glucose levels with a proportion mediated (PM) of 30% (CI: 22-41%). Also, a potential mediatory role of SHBG was observed for sex differences in incidence of T2D (PM = 95% and 63% in models 1 and 2, respectively). Our novel findings suggest that SHBG may partially explain sex-differences in glucose control and T2D incidence.

Population-based reference values for kidney function and kidney function decline in 25- to 95-year-old Germans without and with diabetes.

Understanding normal aging of kidney function is pivotal to help distinguish individuals at particular risk for chronic kidney disease. Glomerular filtration rate (GFR) is typically estimated via serum creatinine (eGFRcrea) or cystatin C (eGFRcys). Since population-based age-group-specific reference values for eGFR and eGFR-decline are scarce, we aimed to provide such reference values from population-based data of a wide age range. In four German population-based cohorts (KORA-3, KORA-4, AugUR, DIACORE), participants underwent medical exams, interview, and blood draw up to five times within up to 25 years. We analyzed eGFRcrea and eGFRcys cross-sectionally and longitudinally (12,000 individuals, age 25-95 years). Cross-sectionally, we found age-group-specific eGFRcrea to decrease approximately linearly across the full age range, for eGFRcys up to the age of 60 years. Within age-groups, there was little difference by sex or diabetes status. Longitudinally, linear mixed models estimated an annual eGFRcrea decline of -0.80 [95% confidence interval -0.82, -0.77], -0.79 [-0.83, -0.76], and -1.20 mL/min/1.73m2 [-1.33, -1.08] for the general population, "healthy" individuals, or individuals with diabetes, respectively. Reference values for eGFR using cross-sectional data were shown as percentile curves for "healthy" individuals and for individuals with diabetes. Reference values for eGFR-decline using longitudinal data were presented as 95% prediction intervals for "healthy" individuals and for individuals with diabetes, obesity, and/or albuminuria. Thus, our results can help clinicians to judge eGFR values in individuals seen in clinical practice according to their age and to understand the expected range of annual eGFR-decline based on their risk profile.

Cost-effectiveness of applying high-sensitivity troponin I to a score for cardiovascular risk prediction in asymptomatic population.

INTRODUCTION: Risk stratification scores such as the European Systematic COronary Risk Evaluation (SCORE) are used to guide individuals on cardiovascular disease (CVD) prevention. Adding high-sensitivity troponin I (hsTnI) to such risk scores has the potential to improve accuracy of CVD prediction. We investigated how applying hsTnI in addition to SCORE may impact management, outcome, and cost-effectiveness. METHODS: Characteristics of 72,190 apparently healthy individuals from the Biomarker for Cardiovascular Risk Assessment in Europe (BiomarCaRE) project were included into a discrete-event simulation comparing two strategies for assessing CVD risk. The standard strategy reflecting current practice employed SCORE (SCORE); the alternative strategy involved adding hsTnI information for further stratifying SCORE risk categories (S-SCORE). Individuals were followed over ten years from baseline examination to CVD event, death or end of follow-up. The model tracked the occurrence of events and calculated direct costs of screening, prevention, and treatment from a European health system perspective. Cost-effectiveness was expressed as incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) in € per quality-adjusted life year (QALYs) gained during 10 years of follow-up. Outputs were validated against observed rates, and results were tested in deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses. RESULTS: S-SCORE yielded a change in management for 10.0% of individuals, and a reduction in CVD events (4.85% vs. 5.38%, p<0.001) and mortality (6.80% vs. 7.04%, p<0.001). S-SCORE led to 23 (95%CI: 20-26) additional event-free years and 7 (95%CI: 5-9) additional QALYs per 1,000 subjects screened, and resulted in a relative risk reduction for CVD of 9.9% (95%CI: 7.3-13.5%) with a number needed to screen to prevent one event of 183 (95%CI: 172 to 203). S-SCORE increased costs per subject by 187€ (95%CI: 177 € to 196 €), leading to an ICER of 27,440€/QALY gained. Sensitivity analysis was performed with eligibility for treatment being the most sensitive. CONCLUSION: Adding a person's hsTnI value to SCORE can impact clinical decision making and eventually improves QALYs and is cost-effective compared to CVD prevention strategies using SCORE alone. Stratifying SCORE risk classes for hsTnI would likely offer cost-effective alternatives, particularly when targeting higher risk groups.

Serum Concentrations of Matrix Metalloproteinase-1 and Procollagen Type I Carboxy Terminal Propeptide Discriminate Infarct-Like Myocarditis and Non-ST-Segment-Elevation Myocardial Infarction.

BACKGROUND: Biomarkers simplifying the diagnostic workup by discriminating between non-ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) and infarct-like myocarditis are an unmet clinical need. METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 105 subjects were categorized into groups as follows: ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction (n=36), NSTEMI (n=22), infarct-like myocarditis (n=19), cardiomyopathy-like myocarditis (n=18), and healthy control (n=10). All subjects underwent cardiac magnetic resonance imaging, and serum concentrations of matrix metalloproteinase-1 (MMP-1) and procollagen type I carboxy terminal propeptide (PICP) were measured. Biomarker concentrations in subjects presenting with acute coronary syndrome and non-ST-segment-elevation, for example NSTEMI or infarct-like myocarditis, categorized as the non-ST-segment-elevation acute coronary syndrome-like cohort, were of particular interest for this study. Compared with healthy controls, subjects with myocarditis had higher serum concentrations of MMP-1 and PICP, while no difference was observed in individuals with myocardial infarction. In the non-ST-segment-elevation acute coronary syndrome-like cohort, MMP-1 concentrations discriminated infarct-like myocarditis and NSTEMI with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.95 (95% CI, 0.89-1.00), whereas high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T performed inferiorly (AUC, 0.74 [95% CI, 0.58-0.90]; P=0.012). Application of an optimal MMP-1 cutoff had 94.4% sensitivity (95% CI, 72.7%-99.9%) and 90.9% specificity (95% CI, 70.8%-98.9%) for the diagnosis of infarct-like myocarditis in this cohort. The AUC of PICP in this context was 0.82 (95% CI, 0.68-0.97). As assessed by likelihood ratio tests, incorporating MMP-1 or PICP with age and C-reactive protein into composite prediction models enhanced their diagnostic performance. CONCLUSIONS: MMP-1 and PICP could potentially be useful biomarkers for differentiating between NSTEMI and infarct-like myocarditis in individuals with non-ST-segment-elevation acute coronary syndrome-like presentation, though further research is needed to validate their clinical applicability.

High Circulating Dipeptidyl Peptidase 3 Predicts Mortality and Need for Organ Support in Cardiogenic Shock: An Ancillary Analysis of the ACCOST-HH Trial.

BACKGROUND: Cardiogenic shock (CS) is burdened with high mortality. Efforts to improve outcome are hampered by the difficulty of individual risk stratification and the lack of targetable pathways. Previous studies demonstrated that elevated circulating dipeptidyl peptidase 3 (cDPP3) is an early predictor of short-term outcome in CS, mostly of ischemic origin. Our objective was to investigate the association between cDPP3 and short-term outcomes in a diverse population of patients with CS. METHODS AND RESULTS: cDPP3 was measured at baseline and after 72 hours in the AdreCizumab against plaCebO in SubjecTs witH cardiogenic sHock (ACCOST-HH) trial. The association of cDPP3 with 30-day mortality and need for organ support was assessed. Median cDPP3 concentration at baseline was 43.2 ng/mL (95% confidence interval [CI], 21.2-74.0 ng/mL) and 77 of the 150 patients (52%) had high cDPP3 over the predefined cutoff of 40 ng/mL. Elevated cDPP3 was associated with higher 30-day mortality (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] = 1.7; 95% CI, 1.0-2.9), fewer days alive without cardiovascular support (aHR, 3 days [95% CI, 0-24 days] vs aHR, 21 days [95% CI, 5-26 days]; P < .0001) and a greater need for renal replacement therapy (56% vs 22%; P < .0001) and mechanical ventilation (90 vs 74%; P = .04). Patients with a sustained high cDPP3 had a poor prognosis (reference group). In contrast, patients with an initially high but decreasing cDPP3 at 72 hours had markedly lower 30-day mortality (aHR, 0.17; 95% CI, 0.084-0.34), comparable with patients with a sustained low cDPP3 (aHR, 0.23; 95% CI, 0.12-0.41). The need for organ support was markedly decreased in subpopulations with sustained low or decreasing cDPP3. CONCLUSIONS: The present study confirms the prognostic value of cDPP3 in a contemporary population of patients with CS.

Association of an impaired GH-IGF-I axis with cardiac wasting in patients with advanced cancer.

BACKGROUND: Growth hormone (GH) resistance is characterized by high GH levels but low levels of insulin-like growth factor-I (IGF-I) and growth hormone binding protein (GHBP) and, for patients with chronic disease, is associated with the development of cachexia. OBJECTIVES: We investigated whether GH resistance is associated with changes in left ventricular (LV) mass (cardiac wasting) in patients with cancer. METHODS: We measured plasma IGF-I, GH, and GHBP in 159 women and 148 men with cancer (83% stage III/IV). Patients were grouped by tertile of echocardiographic LVmass/height2 (women, < 50, 50-61, > 61 g/m2; men, < 60, 60-74, > 74 g/m2) and by presence of wasting syndrome with unintentional weight loss (BMI < 24 kg/m2 and weight loss ≥ 5% in the prior 12 months). Repeat echocardiograms were obtained usually within 3-6 months for 85 patients. RESULTS: Patients in the lowest LVmass/height2 tertile had higher plasma GH (median (IQR) for 1st, 2nd, and 3rd tertile women, 1.8 (0.9-4.2), 0.8 (0.2-2.2), 0.5 (0.3-1.6) ng/mL, p = 0.029; men, 2.1 (0.8-3.2), 0.6 (0.1-1.7), 0.7 (0.2-1.9) ng/mL, p = 0.003). Among women, lower LVmass was associated with higher plasma IGF-I (68 (48-116), 72 (48-95), 49 (35-76) ng/mL, p = 0.007), whereas such association did not exist for men. Patients with lower LVmass had lower log IGF-I/GH ratio (women, 1.60 ± 0.09, 2.02 ± 0.09, 1.88 ± 0.09, p = 0.004; men, 1.64 ± 0.09, 2.14 ± 0.11, 2.04 ± 0.11, p = 0.002). GHBP was not associated with LVmass. Patients with wasting syndrome with unintentional weight loss had higher plasma GH and GHBP, lower log IGF-I/GH ratio, and similar IGF-I. Overall, GHBP correlated inversely with log IGF-I/GH ratio (women, r = - 0.591, p < 0.001; men, r = - 0.575, p < 0.001). Additionally, higher baseline IGF-I was associated with a decline in LVmass during follow-up (r = - 0.318, p = 0.003). CONCLUSION: In advanced cancer, reduced LVmass is associated with increased plasma GH and reduced IGF-I/GH ratio, suggesting increasing GH resistance, especially for patients with wasting syndrome with unintentional weight loss. Higher baseline IGF-I was associated with a decrease in relative LVmass during follow-up.

Blood-based cardiometabolic phenotypes in atrial fibrillation and their associated risk: EAST-AFNET 4 biomolecule study.

AIMS: Atrial fibrillation (AF) and concomitant cardiometabolic disease processes interact and combine to lead to adverse events, such as stroke, heart failure, myocardial infarction, and cardiovascular death. Circulating biomolecules provide quantifiable proxies for cardiometabolic disease processes. The aim of this study was to test whether biomolecule combinations can define phenotypes in patients with AF. METHODS AND RESULTS: This pre-specified analysis of the EAST-AFNET 4 biomolecule study assigned patients to clusters using polytomous variable latent-class analysis based on baseline concentrations of 13 precisely quantified biomolecules potentially reflecting ageing, cardiac fibrosis, metabolic dysfunction, oxidative stress, cardiac load, endothelial dysfunction, and inflammation. In each cluster, rates of cardiovascular death, stroke, or hospitalization for heart failure or acute coronary syndrome, the primary outcome of EAST-AFNET 4, were calculated and compared between clusters over median 5.1 years follow-up. Findings were independently validated in a prospective cohort of 748 patients with AF (BBC-AF; median follow-up 2.9 years).Unsupervised biomolecule analysis assigned 1586 patients (71 years old, 46% women) into four clusters. The highest risk cluster was dominated by elevated bone morphogenetic protein 10, insulin-like growth factor-binding protein 7, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide, angiopoietin 2, and growth differentiation factor 15. Patients in the lowest risk cluster showed low concentrations of these biomolecules. Two intermediate-risk clusters differed by high or low concentrations of C-reactive protein, interleukin-6, and D-dimer. Patients in the highest risk cluster had a five-fold higher cardiovascular event rate than patients in the low-risk cluster. Early rhythm control was effective across clusters (Pinteraction = 0.63). Sensitivity analyses and external validation in BBC-AF replicated clusters and risk gradients. CONCLUSION: Biomolecule concentrations identify cardiometabolic subphenotypes in patients with AF at high and low cardiovascular risk.

A latent clinical-anatomical dimension relating metabolic syndrome to brain structure and cognition.

The link between metabolic syndrome (MetS) and neurodegenerative as well as cerebrovascular conditions holds substantial implications for brain health in at-risk populations. This study elucidates the complex relationship between MetS and brain health by conducting a comprehensive examination of cardiometabolic risk factors, brain morphology, and cognitive function in 40,087 individuals. Multivariate, data-driven statistics identified a latent dimension linking more severe MetS to widespread brain morphological abnormalities, accounting for up to 71% of shared variance in the data. This dimension was replicable across sub-samples. In a mediation analysis, we could demonstrate that MetS-related brain morphological abnormalities mediated the link between MetS severity and cognitive performance in multiple domains. Employing imaging transcriptomics and connectomics, our results also suggest that MetS-related morphological abnormalities are linked to the regional cellular composition and macroscopic brain network organization. By leveraging extensive, multi-domain data combined with a dimensional stratification approach, our analysis provides profound insights into the association of MetS and brain health. These findings can inform effective therapeutic and risk mitigation strategies aimed at maintaining brain integrity.

New race-free creatinine- and cystatin C-based equations for the estimation of glomerular filtration rate and association with cardiovascular mortality in the AtheroGene study.

Renal function is associated with cardiovascular outcomes and mortality. Among equations used to eGFR, CKD-EPI equations show more accurate association with cardiovascular risk and mortality than MDRD. Recently, new CKD-EPI equations were proposed which do not include race and would be considered sufficiently accurate to estimate eGFR in clinical practice. It is unknown if these new race-free equations are comparably well associated with cardiovascular outcomes in high-risk individuals. The analysis was performed in the AtheroGene Study cohort including patients at high cardiovascular risk. eGFR was determined using the established as well as the recently developed formulas which are calculated without the otherwise existing coefficient for black race. The outcome was cardiovascular death. Analyses included Cox-proportional hazard regression and area-under-the-curve calculation. The analysis included 2089 patients followed up for a median of 3.8 years with a maximum of 6.9 years, corresponding to an overall period of 7701 patient-years. Cardiovascular death occurred in 93 (4.45%), corresponding to an annualized rate of 1.2/100 person-years. In all Cox regression analyses, the estimated adjusted GFR was an independent predictor of cardiovascular death. The equations which included cystatin C showed higher C-index compared to those which did not include cystatin C (0.75-0.76 vs. 0.71, respectively). The equations for the estimation of eGFR which include cystatin C are better associated with cardiovascular death compared to the race-free equations which include only creatinine. This finding adds on the related literature which supports the elimination of race in GFR-estimating equations, and promotion of the use of cystatin C.

TGFß level in healthy and children with Marfan syndrome-effective reduction under sartan therapy.

Introduction: Transforming growth factor ß (TGFß) metabolism plays an important role in the pathogenesis of Marfan syndrome (MFS). Accordingly, drug therapy uses TGFß receptor blockade to slow down the cardiovascular manifestations, above all aortic root dilatation. Angiotensin II type 1 receptor blockers (ARBs) have been shown to reduce TGFß levels in adults. Data on childhood are lacking and are now being investigated in the TiGer For Kids study presented here. Methods: We examined 125 children without chronic disease and 31 pediatric Marfan patients with a proven FBN1 variant with regard to TGFß levels. In addition, we measured TGFß levels during the initiation of ARB therapy in pediatric Marfan patients. Results: In children without chronic disease, TGFß levels were found to decrease from childhood to adolescence (p < 0.0125). We could not measure a relevantly increased TGFß level in pediatric Marfan patients. However, we showed a significant suppression of the TGFß level after treatment with ARBs (p < 0.0125) and a renewed increase shortly before the next dose. Discussion: The TGFß level in childhood changes in an age-dependent manner and decreases with age. The TGFß level drops significantly after taking ARBs. Based on our experience and data, a TGFß receptor blockade in childhood seems reasonable. So far, TGFß level cannot be used as an MFS screening biomarker.

C-reactive protein modifies lipoprotein(a)-related risk for coronary heart disease: the BiomarCaRE project.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Recent investigations have suggested an interdependence of lipoprotein(a) [Lp(a)]-related risk for cardiovascular disease with background inflammatory burden. The aim the present analysis was to investigate whether high-sensitive C-reactive protein (hsCRP) modulates the association between Lp(a) and coronary heart disease (CHD) in the general population. METHODS: Data from 71 678 participants from 8 European prospective population-based cohort studies were used (65 661 without/6017 with established CHD at baseline; median follow-up 9.8/13.8 years, respectively). Fine and Gray competing risk-adjusted models were calculated according to accompanying hsCRP concentration (<2 and ≥2 mg/L). RESULTS: Among CHD-free individuals, increased Lp(a) levels were associated with incident CHD irrespective of hsCRP concentration: fully adjusted sub-distribution hazard ratios [sHRs (95% confidence interval)] for the highest vs. lowest fifth of Lp(a) distribution were 1.45 (1.23-1.72) and 1.48 (1.23-1.78) for a hsCRP group of <2 and ≥2 mg/L, respectively, with no interaction found between these two biomarkers on CHD risk (Pinteraction = 0.82). In those with established CHD, similar associations were seen only among individuals with hsCRP ≥ 2 mg/L [1.34 (1.03-1.76)], whereas among participants with a hsCRP concentration <2 mg/L, there was no clear association between Lp(a) and future CHD events [1.29 (0.98-1.71)] (highest vs. lowest fifth, fully adjusted models; Pinteraction = 0.024). CONCLUSIONS: While among CHD-free individuals Lp(a) was significantly associated with incident CHD regardless of hsCRP, in participants with CHD at baseline, Lp(a) was related to recurrent CHD events only in those with residual inflammatory risk. These findings might guide adequate selection of high-risk patients for forthcoming Lp(a)-targeting compounds.

Disturbed atrial metabolism, shear stress, and cardiac load contribute to atrial fibrillation after ablation: AXAFA biomolecule study.

AIMS: Different disease processes can combine to cause atrial fibrillation (AF). Their contribution to recurrent AF after ablation in patients is not known. Cardiovascular processes associated with recurrent AF after AF ablation were determined by quantifying biomolecules related to inflammation, metabolism, proliferation, fibrosis, shear stress, atrial pressure, and others in the AXAFA biomolecule study. METHODS AND RESULTS: Twelve circulating cardiovascular biomolecules (ANGPT2, BMP10, CA125, hsCRP, ESM1, FABP3, FGF23, GDF15, IGFBP7, IL6, NT-proBNP, and hsTnT) were quantified in plasma samples obtained prior to a first AF ablation using high-throughput, high-precision assays. Cox regression was used to identify biomolecules associated with recurrent AF during the first 3 months after AF ablation. In 433 patients (64 years [58, 70]; 33% women), baseline concentrations of ANGPT2, BMP10, hsCRP, FGF23, FABP3, GDF15, and NT-proBNP were elevated in patients with recurrent AF (120/433; 28%). After adjustment for 11 clinical features and randomized treatment, elevated NT-proBNP [hazard ratio (HR) 1.58, 95% confidence interval (1.29, 1.94)], ANGPT2 [HR 1.37, (1.12, 1.67)], and BMP10 [HR 1.24 (1.02, 1.51)] remained associated with recurrent AF. Concentrations of ANGPT2, BMP10, and NT-proBNP decreased in patients who remained arrhythmia free, but not in patients with recurrent AF, highlighting their connection to AF. The other eight biomarkers showed unchanged concentrations. CONCLUSION: Elevated concentrations of ANGPT2, BMP10, and NT-proBNP are associated with recurrent AF after a first AF ablation, suggesting that processes linked to disturbed cardiomyocyte metabolism, altered atrial shear stress, and increased load contribute to AF after AF ablation in patients.

Diagnostic and prognostic value of the sex-specific 99th percentile of four high-sensitivity cardiac troponin assays in patients with suspected myocardial infarction.

AIMS: High-sensitivity cardiac troponin (hs-cTn) assays are used for detection of myocardial infarction (MI). Ninety-ninth percentiles show wide inter-assay variation. The use of sex-specific cut-offs is recommended as definitory cut-off for MI. We compared diagnostic performance and prognostic value of sex-specific 99th percentiles of four hs-cTn assays in patients with suspected MI. METHODS AND RESULTS: Concentrations of four hs-cTn assays were measured at presentation and after 3 h in patients with suspected MI. Final diagnoses were adjudicated according to the 4th Universal Definition of MI. Unisex and sex-specific 99th percentiles were evaluated as diagnostic cut-offs following the ESC 0/3 h algorithm. These cut-offs were used in Cox-regression analyses to investigate the association with a composite endpoint of MI, revascularization, cardiac rehospitalization, and death. Non-ST-elevation MI was diagnosed in 368 of 2718 patients. Applying the unisex 99th percentile, Elecsys hs-cTnT provided highest negative predictive value (NPV) of 99.7 and a positive predictive value (PPV) of 75.9. The analysed hs-cTnI assays showed slightly lower NPVs and comparable PPVs [Architect (NPV 98.0, PPV of 71.4); Atellica (NPV 97.7, PPV of 76.1); Pathfast (NPV 97.7, PPV of 66.6)]. Application of sex-specific 99th percentiles did not significantly affect diagnostic performance. Concentrations above 99th percentile were independent predictors for impaired long-term outcome (hazard ratios 1.2-1.5, P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: We describe a good diagnostic accuracy of four hs-cTn assays using the assay-specific 99th percentile for detection of MI. Application of sex-specific 99th percentiles did neither affect diagnostic performance nor prognostic value significantly. Finally, values above the 99th percentile were associated with poor long-term outcome.

Multimodal characterization of dilated cardiomyopathy: Geno- And Phenotyping of PrImary Cardiomyopathy (GrAPHIC).

AIMS: Cardiomyopathies (CMPs) are a heterogeneous group of diseases that are defined by structural and functional abnormalities of the cardiac muscle. Dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM), the most common CMP, is defined by left ventricular dilation and impaired contractility and represents a common cause of heart failure. Different phenotypes result from various underlying genetic and acquired causes with variable effects on disease development and progression, prognosis, and response to medical treatment. Current treatment algorithms do not consider these different aetiologies, due to lack of insights into treatable drivers of cardiac failure in patients with DCM. Our study aims to precisely phenotype and genotype the various subtypes of DCM and hereby lay the foundation for individualized therapy. METHODS AND RESULTS: The Geno- And Phenotyping of PrImary Cardiomyopathy (GrAPHIC) is a currently ongoing prospective observational monocentric cohort study that recruits patients with DCM after exclusion of other causes such as coronary artery disease, valvular dysfunction, myocarditis, exposure to toxins, and peripartum CMP. Patients are enrolled at our heart failure outpatient clinic or during hospitalization at the University Hospital Hamburg. Clinical parameters, multimodal imaging and functional assessment, cardiac biopsies, and blood samples are obtained to enable an integrated genomic, functional, and biomarker analysis. CONCLUSIONS: The GrAPHIC will contribute to a better understanding of the heterogeneous nature of primary CMPs focusing on DCM and provide improved prognostic approaches and more individualized therapies.

High-Sensitivity Cardiac Troponin I Enhances Preeclampsia Prediction Beyond Maternal Factors and the sFlt-1/PlGF Ratio.

BACKGROUND: Preeclampsia shares numerous risk factors with cardiovascular diseases. Here, we aimed to assess the potential utility of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I (hs-cTnI) values during pregnancy in predicting preeclampsia occurrence. METHODS: This study measured hs-cTnI levels in 3721 blood samples of 2245 pregnant women from 4 international, prospective cohorts. Three analytical approaches were used: (1) a cross-sectional analysis of all women using a single blood sample, (2) a longitudinal analysis of hs-cTnI trajectories in women with multiple samples, and (3) analyses of prediction models incorporating hs-cTnI, maternal factors, and the sFlt-1 (soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase 1)/PlGF (placental growth factor) ratio. RESULTS: Women with hs-cTnI levels in the upper quarter had higher odds ratios for preeclampsia occurrence compared with women with levels in the lower quarter. Associations were driven by preterm preeclampsia (odds ratio, 5.78 [95% CI, 2.73-12.26]) and remained significant when using hs-cTnI as a continuous variable adjusted for confounders. Between-trimester hs-cTnI trajectories were independent of subsequent preeclampsia occurrence. A prediction model incorporating a practical hs-cTnI level of detection cutoff (≥1.9 pg/mL) alongside maternal factors provided comparable performance with the sFlt-1/PlGF ratio. A comprehensive model including sFlt-1/PlGF, maternal factors, and hs-cTnI provided added value (cross-validated area under the receiver operator characteristic, 0.78 [95% CI, 0.73-0.82]) above the sFlt-1/PlGF ratio alone (cross-validated area under the receiver operator characteristic, 0.70 [95% CI, 0.65-0.76]; P=0.027). As assessed by likelihood ratio tests, the addition of hs-cTnI to each prediction model significantly improved the respective prediction model not incorporating hs-cTnI, particularly for preterm preeclampsia. Net reclassification improvement analyses indicated that incorporating hs-cTnI improved risk prediction predominantly by correctly reclassifying women with subsequent preeclampsia occurrence. CONCLUSIONS: These exploratory findings uncover a potential role for hs-cTnI as a complementary biomarker in the prediction of preeclampsia. After validation in prospective studies, hs-cTnI, alongside maternal factors, may either be considered as a substitute for angiogenic biomarkers in health care systems where they are sparce or unavailable, or as an enhancement to established prediction models using angiogenic markers.

Deep learning-based NT-proBNP prediction from the ECG for risk assessment in the community.

OBJECTIVES: The biomarker N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) has predictive value for identifying individuals at risk for cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, it is not widely used for screening in the general population, potentially due to financial and operational reasons. This study aims to develop a deep-learning model as an efficient means to reliably identify individuals at risk for CVD by predicting serum levels of NT-proBNP from the ECG. METHODS: A deep convolutional neural network was developed using the population-based cohort study Hamburg City Health Study (HCHS, n=8,253, 50.9 % women). External validation was performed in two independent population-based cohorts (SHIP-START, n=3,002, 52.1 % women, and SHIP-TREND, n=3,819, 51.2 % women). Assessment of model performance was conducted using Pearson correlation (R) and area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUROC). RESULTS: NT-proBNP was predictable from the ECG (R, 0.566 [HCHS], 0.642 [SHIP-START-0], 0.655 [SHIP-TREND-0]). Across cohorts, predicted NT-proBNP (pNT-proBNP) showed good discriminatory ability for prevalent and incident heart failure (HF) (baseline: AUROC 0.795 [HCHS], 0.816 [SHIP-START-0], 0.783 [SHIP-TREND-0]; first follow-up: 0.669 [SHIP-START-1, 5 years], 0.689 [SHIP-TREND-1, 7.3 years]), comparable to the discriminatory value of measured NT-proBNP. pNT-proBNP also demonstrated comparable results for other incident CVD, including atrial fibrillation, stroke, myocardial infarction, and cardiovascular death. CONCLUSIONS: Deep learning ECG algorithms can predict NT-proBNP concentrations with high diagnostic and predictive value for HF and other major CVD and may be used in the community to identify individuals at risk. Long-standing experience with NT-proBNP can increase acceptance of such deep learning models in clinical practice.