RESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: The clinical characteristics and prognosis of primary epithelial-myoepithelial carcinoma of salivary gland (EMC-SG) have not been defined well due to its rarity. The purpose of this study is to assess the proportion of EMC-SG among salivary gland cancers, describe the clinicopathological features and prognosis of this disease, further analyze the factors associated with EMC-SG survival, and establish individual survival-predicting models. METHODS: Data on patients diagnosed with salivary gland malignancy between 2000 and 2020 were collected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. The Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test were employed to estimate survival of EMC-SG patients. Univariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were developed to determine the EMC-SG survival-associated factors. Furthermore, EMC-SG nomograms were constructed. RESULTS: A total of 15 212 patients with salivary gland malignancy were identified. Of these, 310 cases were diagnosed with EMC-SG, representing a prevalence of 2.03% (95%CI 1.82%-2.28%). The overall survival (OS) rates for all 310 EMC-SG patients at 2-year, 5-year, and 10-year were 92.43%, 84.85%, and 73.39%, respectively. Age, primary site, and T stage were independent prognostic factors for OS, while pathological grade and the use of surgery were independent prognostic factors for cancer-specific survival (CSS). The concordance index (C-index) for the OS- and CSS-specific nomograms was 0.72 (95%CI 0.64-0.80) and 0.77 (95%CI 0.67-0.87), respectively. The calibration curve and receiver operating characteristic analysis demonstrated that the predicted values aligned well with the actual observations. Decision curve analysis indicated the superiority of the nomograms over the traditional Tumor Node Metastasis staging system. CONCLUSIONS: This study represents the largest cohort of EMC-SG patients used to investigate the characteristics and prognosis of this disease. EMC-SG patients often have a less aggressive course and favorable prognosis. The established nomograms provide a useful tool for clinicians to predict patient outcomes, and can assist in customizing the counseling approach for this rare disease.
Asunto(s)
Mioepitelioma , Programa de VERF , Neoplasias de las Glándulas Salivales , Humanos , Neoplasias de las Glándulas Salivales/patología , Neoplasias de las Glándulas Salivales/epidemiología , Neoplasias de las Glándulas Salivales/mortalidad , Femenino , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Pronóstico , Mioepitelioma/patología , Mioepitelioma/epidemiología , Mioepitelioma/mortalidad , Anciano , Adulto , Nomogramas , Tasa de Supervivencia , Estimación de Kaplan-Meier , Adulto Joven , Anciano de 80 o más AñosRESUMEN
Our objective was to evaluate the association of adjuvant radiation therapy (RT) to subsequent second primary malignancies (SPMs) in endometrial cancer survivors. Patients with endometrial cancer as their first malignancy were identified from 8 registries of the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. SPMs were defined as any type of primary malignancy that occurred more than 12 months after the diagnosis of endometrial cancer. Fine-Gray competing risk regression and Poisson regression were used to evaluate the radiotherapy-associated risk (RR) for SPMs. The Kaplan-Meier method was applied to assess the survival outcomes of endometrial cancer patients. Of 62,108 endometrial cancer patients,16,846 patients (27.12%) were in the RT group, and 45,262 patients (72.88%) were in the no-RT group. During the 30-year follow-up period, the cumulative incidence of SPMs was 20.9% and 19.7% in each group, respectively. In both multivariable competing risk regression analysis and Poisson regression analysis, adjuvant RT was found to be associated with a higher risk of developing colon and rectum cancer (adjusted hazard ratio (HR), 1.29; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.12-1.50; P < 0.001; adjusted RR, 1.29; 95% CI, 1.11-1.49; P < 0.001), lung and bronchus cancer (adjusted HR, 1.27; 95% CI, 1.08-1.50; P = 0.004; adjusted RR, 1.26; 95% CI, 1.07-1.49; P = 0.005), vulva cancer (adjusted HR, 1.72; 95% CI, 1.04-2.85; P = 0.036; adjusted RR, 1.74; 95% CI, 1.03-2.88; P = 0.035), urinary bladder cancer (adjusted HR, 1.86; 95% CI, 1.41-2.46; P < 0.001; adjusted RR, 1.85; 95% CI, 1.40-2.44; P < 0.001), and non-Hodgkin lymphoma (adjusted HR, 1.37; 95% CI, 1.06-1.77; P = 0.016; adjusted RR, 1.37; 95% CI, 1.05-1.76; P = 0.017). However, a slightly decreased risk of breast cancer was observed in patients who underwent adjuvant RT (adjusted HR, 0.89; 95% CI, 0.80-0.98; P = 0.021; adjusted RR, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.80-0.98; P = 0.020). The RR for colon and rectum cancer decreased with age and elevated with increasing latency since endometrial cancer diagnosis, and the RR for urinary bladder cancer showed a similar tendency with latency. SPMs can significantly impair the survival outcomes of primary endometrial cancer survivors. Our findings suggest that adjuvant RT for endometrial cancer patients increases the risk of non-Hodgkin lymphoma and several types of solid cancer. Long-term surveillance of these patients should be recommended for detecting SPMs.
Asunto(s)
Neoplasias Endometriales , Neoplasias Primarias Secundarias , Programa de VERF , Humanos , Femenino , Neoplasias Endometriales/radioterapia , Neoplasias Endometriales/epidemiología , Neoplasias Primarias Secundarias/epidemiología , Neoplasias Primarias Secundarias/etiología , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Retrospectivos , Anciano , Factores de Riesgo , Radioterapia Adyuvante/efectos adversos , Incidencia , Adulto , Neoplasias Inducidas por Radiación/epidemiología , Neoplasias Inducidas por Radiación/etiologíaRESUMEN
Background: Chemotherapy (CT) remains the primary treatment for locally advanced unresectable pancreatic cancer (LAUPC) and metastatic pancreatic cancer (MPC). The role of radiotherapy (RT) in these conditions remains unclear. This study compares the outcomes of CT alone versus CT combined with RT (combined-modality therapy [CMT]) in LAUPC and MPC patients. Materials and methods: We conducted a retrospective analysis of LAUPC and MPC patients treated with either CT or CMT from a single institution and Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox hazards models evaluated the association between treatment modalities and overall survival (OS). Propensity score matching (PSM) ensured balanced comparisons. Landmark analysis addressed immortal time bias. Subgroup analyses were based on clinical characteristics. eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) and Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) assessed outcome prediction and influence of significant predictors. Results: The study included 102 patients receiving CMT and 155 receiving CT at single institution, along with 1733 CMT and 9310 CT patients from the SEER dataset. In the single-institution cohort, CMT showed superior survival compared to CT both before (median OS: 20.5 vs. 11.5 months, hazard ratio [HR]: 0.47, 95% CI: 0.34-0.65, P=0.001) and after PSM (median OS: 22.2 vs. 11.8 months, HR: 0.49, 95% CI: 0.30-0.79, P=0.003). Multivariate analyses confirmed that CMT was independently associated with improved OS both before (HR: 0.54, 95% CI: 0.38-0.77, P=0.001) and after PSM (HR: 0.45, 95% CI: 0.27-0.73, P=0.001). Landmark analysis indicated better OS for patients receiving CMT compared to CT alone. Subgroup analysis revealed an OS benefit for CMT across most subgroups. SHAP value analysis indicated that CMT was the most significant contributor to survival outcomes. SEER database validation confirmed these findings. Conclusions: This study demonstrates that CMT significantly improves OS in LAUPC and MPC patients compared to CT alone. Integrating RT with CT could be beneficial for treating LAUPC and MPC.
RESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is a significant global health concern, particularly among Asian, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander (ANHPI) communities that face unique health challenges. Liver cancer disproportionately affects ANHPI populations and has intricate associations with CVD risks due to shared pathophysiological mechanisms and metabolic disturbances. However, the specific CVD risk profile of ANHPI liver cancer patients remains poorly understood. METHODS: Using Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER)-Medicare data, we identified and matched 1150 ANHPI and 2070 Non-Hispanic White (NHW) liver cancer patients diagnosed between 2000 and 2017. We used the Fine-Gray sub-distribution hazard model to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95â¯% confidence intervals (95â¯% CIs) for CVD risks, including ischemic heart disease (IHD), heart failure, and stroke, among ANHPI liver cancer patients compared to NHW counterparts and among ANHPI subgroups. RESULTS: ANHPI liver cancer patients demonstrated a lower risk of IHD compared to NHW counterparts (HR, 0.65, 95â¯% CI, 0.50, 0.86), aligning with broader trends. Subgroup analysis revealed notable heterogeneity within ANHPI populations, with Southeast Asian (HR, 0.65, 95â¯% CI, 0.42, 1.00) and Chinese patients (HR, 0.53, 95â¯% CI, 0.33-0.83) exhibiting lower IHD risks compared to their NHW counterparts. However, Native Hawaiian and Pacific Islander liver cancer patients showed elevated risks of heart failure (HR, 3.16, 95â¯% CI, 1.35-7.39) and IHD (HR, 5.64, 95â¯% CI, 2.19-14.53) compared to their Chinese counterparts. CONCLUSION: Our study highlights the complexity of CVD risks among ANHPI liver cancer patients. Addressing these disparities is crucial for improving cardiovascular outcomes and reducing the burden of CVD among ANHPI liver cancer patients.
RESUMEN
Background: Gastroenteropancreatic neuroendocrine carcinoma (GEP-NEC) is a rare group of diseases with poor prognosis and the assessment of its prognosis is a significant challenge. This study aimed to develop and validate a prognostic nomogram to assess overall survival (OS) in patients with GEP-NEC. Methods: Patients diagnosed with poorly differentiated GEP-NEC were collected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database between 2011 and 2015 and were randomly assigned to the training or validation cohort in a 7:3 ratio. The data included details of clinicopathological characteristics, therapeutic interventions and survival outcomes. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to identify independent prognostic factors. Nomogram was used to predict OS at 1 and 2 years. The nomogram was internally validated with validation cohort, and its predictive ability was evaluated using concordance index (C-index), receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration plots, decision curve analysis (DCA), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) index. Results: A total of 887 patients were divided into the training group (n=623) and the validation group (n=264). A total of 476 patients (53.66%) were in stage IV. Based on multivariate analysis, a nomogram was constructed with age, gender, N stage, tumor size, primary tumor resection, radiotherapy and chemotherapy (P<0.05). The C-index was 0.701 [95% confidential interval (CI): 0.677-0.725] and 0.731 (95% CI: 0.698-0.764) for the training and validation groups, respectively. The C-index, ROC, IDI and DCA results indicated that this nomogram model has a good predictive value. Conclusions: In this study, a nomogram model based on seven independent prognostic factors provided visualization of the risk and could help clinicians predict the 1-year and 2-year OS for GEP-NEC. This tool can provide personalized survival predictions and improve clinical decision making for the management of GEP-NEC.
RESUMEN
Background: The prognosis of lung metastasis in primary limb bone tumors represents a pivotal yet challenging aspect of oncological management. Despite advancements in diagnostic modalities, the predictive accuracy for metastatic spread remains suboptimal. This study aims to bridge this gap by leveraging the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database to construct a nomogram that forecasts the risk of lung metastasis, thereby enhancing clinical decision-making processes. Methods: A retrospective cohort, including 1,822 patients with primary limb bony tumors from 2010 to 2015 in the SEER database, was extracted. Using precise inclusion and exclusion criteria, variables essential for predicting lung metastasis were identified through univariate and multivariate analyses, along with least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression. These variables provided a solid basis for creating the multivariable nomogram, of which the discriminating power and utility were verified using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration plots, and decision curve analysis. Results: The model incorporated seven key predicting variables, including age, histological type, surgery, radiation, chemotherapy, T stage, and N stage. The nomogram emerged as a cohesive whole with good discriminative power. The area under the curve (AUC) was 0.806 in the training cohort and 0.767 in the validation cohort. The calibration curves demonstrated the model's validity by showing a good match between the actual outcomes and the model-predicted probabilities of lung metastasis. Conclusions: This study showed for the first time the reliability of the predictive model in translating the hard-to-interpret demographic, clinical, and pathologic data into a very usable predictive model. Thus, it represents a significant step toward demystifying the risk of lung metastasis in primary limb bone tumors. It is an invitation for a paradigm shift of oncology, to evidence-based, person-based oncology that is taking a new metric for cancer prognosis.
RESUMEN
Objective: We explored the oncological impact of tumor deposits (TDs) on colon cancer and proposed optimal modifications to the current staging system. Background: In the existing American Joint Committee on Cancer colon cancer staging system, TDs are incorporated into the N category as N1c. When lymph node metastases (LNMs) are present, their number is considered to determine nodal stages, such as N1a/b or N2a/b, regardless of TDs. Methods: 4212 patients with primary colon cancer who underwent surgical resection in the Seoul Colorectal Group (2010-2020) and 93,057 patients from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results*Stat database (2000-2017) were included in this study. Patients were classified according to the number of metastatic lymph nodes (LNs) (0/1-3/≥4) and the presence of TDs. Results: TDs were significantly associated with left colon cancer, a higher T category, and vascular/perineural invasion. Patients with TDs had higher recurrence rates (23.1 vs 7.5%, P < 0.001). The TD-positive patients had notably worse overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival rates. The survival outcomes of TD-positive patients without LNM were inferior to those of TD-negative patients with LN1-3 (5-year OS: 78.9 vs 87.8%, P = 0.04). The survival outcomes of TD-positive patients with LN1-3 were similar to those of TD-negative patients with LN ≥4 (5-year OS: 87.0 vs 77.1%, P = 0.11). Survival outcomes obtained using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results *Stat database yielded consistent results. Conclusions: TDs were associated with poor prognostic factors and had a significant impact on survival outcomes. The incorporation of tumor deposits into nodal classifications beyond the current N1c criteria may improve the staging system and more accurately reflect the recurrence and survival rates among patients with colon cancer. TD-positive in N1a or N1b could be categorized as N2.
RESUMEN
Background: Bone metastasis (BM) is a common site of metastasis in patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC), significantly impacting the quality of life and prognosis of affected individuals. This investigation aimed to assess the risk of BM development in ICC patients and to prognosticate for patients with ICC-associated BM (ICCBM) through the construction of two nomograms. Methods: We conducted a retrospective analysis of data from 2,651 ICC patients, including 148 cases of BM, documented in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database spanning 2010 to 2017. Independent predictors for the occurrence of BM in ICC patients were identified via univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses; simultaneously, independent prognostic indicators for ICCBM patients were ascertained through univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses. The utility of the nomograms was evaluated through calibration curves, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, decision curve analysis (DCA), and Kaplan-Meier (KM) analysis. Results: Independent risk factors for BM in ICC included sex, tumor size, lung metastasis, brain metastasis, and intrahepatic metastasis. For ICCBM patients, independent prognostic factors comprised age, chemotherapy, and radiotherapy. The prognostic nomogram exhibited C-indexes of 0.737 [95% confidential interval (CI): 0.682-0.792] for the training cohort and 0.696 (95% CI: 0.623-0.769) for the validation cohort. Calibration curves demonstrated strong concordance between predicted outcomes and observed events. The areas under the curve (AUC) for 3-, 6-, and 12-month cancer-specific survival (CSS) were 0.853, 0.781, and 0.739, respectively, in the training cohort, and 0.794, 0.822, and 0.780 in the validation cohort. DCA illustrated significant net benefits across a broad spectrum of threshold probabilities. KM analysis revealed 1-, 2-, and 3-year CSS rates of 23.91%, 7.55%, and 2.35%, respectively, with a median CSS of 6 months, underscoring the nomograms' capacity to distinctly stratify patients according to survival risk. Conclusions: The development of these nomograms offers substantial clinical utility in forecasting BM risk among ICC patients and prognosticating for those with ICCBM, thereby facilitating the formulation of more efficacious treatment modalities.
RESUMEN
Background: It has been discovered that the prognosis of patients with differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) correlates with age at initial diagnosis. However, there are disagreements over the optimal cutoff age among the numerous staging and risk stratification criteria, which make it inconsistent to predict the clinical prognosis of specific DTC patients. This study aimed to determine the optimum cutoff age for diagnosis in relation to the clinical outcomes of DTC using data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database. Methods: The best age cutoff value was determined by the X-tile software. The link between clinical characteristics and cancer-specific survival (CSS) was examined using univariate and multivariate Cox regression models. An additional application of the independent prognostic criteria, such as age stratifications, was applied to construct a nomogram model for predicting the chances of patient survival. Results: The most accurate diagnosis cutoff age for DTC patients was suggested to be 67 years old. The multivariate analysis, using factors determined by univariate analysis, showed that age [>67 years, hazard rate (HR) =5.049, 95% confidence interval (CI): 4.509-5.653, P<0.001], sex (female, HR =0.651, 95% CI: 0.584-0.727, P<0.001), tumor size (>20 and ≤40 mm, HR =2.296, 95% CI: 1.983-2.658, P<0.001; >40 mm, HR =4.976, 95% CI: 4.304-5.752, P<0.001), lymphadenectomy (HR =1.337, 95% CI: 1.186-1.506, P<0.001), distant metastasis (HR =12.166, 95% CI: 10.749-13.769, P<0.001) and surgical treatment (HR =0.173, 95% CI: 0.144-0.210, P<0.001) were independent factors for CSS. Patients in the high-risk group had worse survival rates, and the C-index for the CSS prediction model with age (cutoff of 67) and other independent clinicopathological variables was 0.906. Conclusions: Accordingly, the optimal cutoff age for predicting death from DTC specifically is 67 years old at the time of the initial diagnosis. It might be a more suitable factor when used in risk stratification for patients with DTC.
RESUMEN
Background: With improving prognosis in upper-tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC), an increasing number of second primary malignancies (SPMs) are being identified. However, there is limited research on SPMs following UTUC. This study aims to evaluate the risk of SPMs in UTUC patients and create a nomogram to predict their survival rates. Methods: Utilizing data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database, we assessed the risk of SPMs among UTUC patients. Additionally, we developed and validated an overall survival (OS) nomogram for SPM patients post-UTUC diagnosis. Results: The prevalence of SPMs among UTUC patients was 30.23%, with solid tumors being the most prevalent type of second malignancy, constituting 95.30% of all SPMs. The overall risk of SPMs was significantly elevated across all subgroups. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses identified age, race, gender, UTUC SEER historic stage, surgery, SPM site, histologic type, grade, and SEER historic stage as independent prognostic factors for SPM OS. Subsequently, we developed a nomogram for predicting SPM OS. The C-index for the training and validation sets were 0.72 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.70-0.74] and 0.71 (95% CI: 0.67-0.75), respectively. The area under the curve (AUC) demonstrated good performance of our model in predicting the 3-year (0.73 and 0.737) and 5-year (0.723 and 0.733) OS of SPMs in both sets. Conclusions: This study represents the first comprehensive analysis of SPM incidence in UTUC patients and introduces a nomogram for predicting SPM prognosis.
RESUMEN
Background: Upper tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC) is an aggressive disease with a high progression rate. The standardmanagement for this disease is nephroureterectomy. Nephron sparing nonradical surgery is an alternative therapeutic approach. In men with limited life expectancy, the potential harm of UTUC progression must be weighed against surgical morbidity and mortality, and thus, more conservative approaches may be selected. This study aims to investigate the comparative benefits of radical and conservative surgical management in patients older than 80 years with localized UTUC. Materials and methods: A search was conducted in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database for patients older than 80 years who were diagnosed with localized (T1-2N0M0) cancer in the renal pelvis or ureter as the only malignancy from 2004 to 2015. Patients were divided into 3 therapeutic groups: no surgery, local intervention (ie, local tumor excision or segmented ureterectomy), and radical surgery (nephroureterectomy). Demographic and cancer-related parameter data were collected. Logistic regression analysis was conducted to investigate predictors for surgical treatment. Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox regression were used to analyze survival outcomes. Results: Data from 774 patients were analyzed, including 205 in the no-surgery group, 181 in the local intervention group, and 388 in the radical surgery group. Older, African American patients with T1 stage disease were less likely to receive surgical treatment. Among surgically treated patients, renal pelvic tumors, and high-grade and T2 stage disease were associated with radical resection. Surgically treated patients had a longer median overall survival (OS) than in those treated nonsurgically (13, 35, and 47 months in no-surgery, local intervention, and radical surgery groups, respectively; p < 0.001). Although surgically treated patients demonstrated higher 5-year OS (8.8% [no surgery], 23.2% [local intervention], and 23.5% [radical surgery], p < 0.001) and 5-year disease-specific survival (DSS) (41.0%[no surgery], 69.1%[local intervention], and 72.9%[radical surgery]; p < 0.001) than in those treated nonsurgically, no significant differences were found between the local intervention and radical surgery groups (p > 0.05). Based on multivariate Cox regression analysis, surgical treatments, including both nonradical and radical resection, were independently associated with improved OS and DSS after controlling for age, marital status, tumor grade, and radiation status. Conclusions: Patients older than 80 years with localized UTUC who undergo surgery demonstrate longer survival. Radical and nonradical resections seemto have similar OS and DSS outcomes. Thus, when clinically indicated in this population, a more conservative surgical approach may be reasonable.
RESUMEN
PURPOSE: This study aimed to analyze the association between the primary tumor site and clinicopathological characteristics and survival prognosis of breast cancer (BC) patients using a large population database. METHODS: BC patients screened in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database were categorized into 6 groups based on primary sites. Descriptive statistics, Kaplan-Meier curves, Cox regression models, forest plots were used to assess the effect of primary sites on overall survival (OS) and breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS). Multivariate Cox proportional analyses were conducted to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and adjusted subgroups' hazard ratios (AHRs). Nomograms were utilized to predict OS and BCSS. RESULTS: Among 193,043 BC patients, the highest incidence was found in the upper outer quadrant (52.60%). Central portion patients are associated with more clinical features indicating a poor prognosis, and had worse OS and BCSS than other sites. Univariate and multifactorial Cox analyses showed associations between OS/BCSS and various factors. Subgroup analyses revealed differences in OS and BCSS between central portion and upper outer quadrant varied among age, T and N stage. The nomogram was established to predict the survival of central portion BC patients. CONCLUSIONS: Primary tumor site is associated with clinicopathological features and prognosis of BC, may be influenced by age at diagnosis and T and N stage. Central portion BC patients have worse prognosis due to older age at diagnosis, higher T stage and higher likelihood of lymph node metastasis. Early diagnosis and treatment may help to improve survival of central portion BC.
RESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Persistent debates exist regarding the superiority of neoadjuvant therapy (NAT) over adjuvant therapy (AT) for patients with T1c, node-negative, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-positive (HER2+) breast cancer, and relevant guidelines for these patients are lacking. METHODS: Data on patients with T1cN0M0-stage HER2+ breast cancer who received chemotherapy and surgery were extracted from 2010 to 2020 from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. Propensity score matching (PSM) was used to create well-balanced cohorts for the NAT and AT groups. Kaplan-Meier (KM) analysis and Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess the differences between NAT and AT in terms of overall survival (OS) and breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS). Additionally, logistic regression models were used to explore factors associated with response to NAT. RESULTS: After PSM, 2140 patient pairs were successfully matched, which achieved a balanced distribution between the NAT and AT groups. KM curves revealed similar OS and BCSS between patients receiving NAT and those undergoing AT. A multivariate Cox model identified achieving pathological complete response (pCR) after NAT, compared with AT, as a protective prognostic factor for OS (hazard ratio, 0.52; 95% CI, 0.35-0.77; p < .001) and BCSS (hazard ratio, 0.60; 95% CI, 0.37-0.98; p = .041). A logistic regression model revealed that White race and hormone receptor-negative status independently predicted pCR. CONCLUSIONS: For patients with T1cN0M0-stage HER2+ breast cancer, NAT demonstrated comparable OS and BCSS to AT. Patients who achieved pCR after NAT exhibited significantly better survival outcomes compared with those who received AT.
RESUMEN
Background: Only a small percentage of patients with large hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) can undergo surgical resection (SR) therapy while the prognosis of patients with large HCC is poor. However, innovations in surgical techniques have expanded the scope of surgical interventions accessible to patients with large HCC. Currently, most of the existing nomograms are focused on patients with large HCC, and research on patients who undergo surgery is limited. This study aimed to establish a nomogram to predict cancer-specific survival (CSS) in patients with large HCC who will undergo SR. Methods: The study retrieved data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database encompassing patients with HCC between 2010 and 2015. Patients with large HCC accepting SR were eligible participants. Patients were randomly divided into the training (70%) and internal validation (30%) groups. Patients from Air Force Medical Center between 2012 and 2019 who met the inclusion and exclusion criteria were used as external datasets. Demographic information such as sex, age, race, etc. and clinical characteristics such as chemotherapy, histological grade, fibrosis score, etc. were analyzed. CSS was the primary endpoint. All-subset regression and Cox regression were used to determine the relevant variables required for constructing the nomogram. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was used to evaluate the clinical utility of the nomogram. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and calibration curve were used to validate the nomogram. The Kaplan-Meier curve was used to assess the CSS of patients with HCC in different risk groups. Results: In total, 1,209 eligible patients from SEER database and 21 eligible patients from Air Force Medical Center were included. Most patients were male and accepted surgery to lymph node. The independent prognostic factors included sex, histological grade, T stage, chemotherapy, α-fetoprotein (AFP) level, and vascular invasion. The CSS rate for training cohort at 12, 24, and 36 months were 0.726, 0.731, and 0.725 respectively. The CSS rate for internal validation cohort at 12, 24, and 36 months were 0.785, 0.752, and 0.734 respectively. The CSS rate for external validation cohort at 12, 24, and 36 months were 0.937, 0.929, and 0.913 respectively. The calibration curve demonstrated good consistency between the newly established nomogram and real-world observations. The Kaplan-Meier curve showed significantly unfavorable CSS in the high-risk group (P<0.001). DCA demonstrated favorable clinical applicability of the nomogram. Conclusions: The nomogram constructed based on sex, histological grade, T stage, chemotherapy and AFP levels can predict the CSS in patients with large HCC accepting SR, which may aid in clinical decision-making and treatment.
RESUMEN
INTRODUCTION: With advances in therapeutics and longer survival across different cancer spectrums, the incidence of therapy-related acute myeloid leukemia (tAML) has continued to rise. This study aims to evaluate the trend of survival outcomes and their association with sociodemographic factors in tAML over the last 20 years. METHODS: We identified tAML patients between 2000 and 2020 from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. Patients were divided into 4 age groups: 18-39, 40-59, 60-69, and >= 70 years, and 4 diagnostic periods: 2000-2005, 2006-2010, 2011-2015, and 2016-2020. Overall survival (OS) was compared using Kaplan Meier and log-rank methods. RESULTS: The 1-year (and 5-year) OS in patients with tAML was 59.3% (33.7%), 48.2% (24.8%), 37.2% (11.1%), and 32.9% (5.5%) in age groups 18-39, 40-59, 60-69, and >=70 years, respectively. The 1-year (and 5-year) OS based on the year of diagnosis was 20.9% (13.2%), 36.8% (15.2%), 41.9% (13.88%), and 40.4% (not reached) for 2000-2005, 2006-2010, 2011-2015, and 2016-2020 respectively. Among the youngest cohort aged 18-39 years, 1-year OS was 35.7%, 57.7%, 66.7%, and 59.6%, respectively, in 4 diagnostic periods, whereas 1-year OS was 10.5%, 23.9%, 32.2%, and 36.9%, respectively, in the oldest cohort aged >=70 years. Age, year of diagnosis, and geographic location were independent prognostic markers of OS. CONCLUSION: Our study demonstrates a significant improvement in the 1-year OS of tAML patients over the last decade, but the long-term prognosis remains dismal. Older patients continue to show improved survival in recent years with the addition of newer intensive and nonintensive options.
Asunto(s)
Leucemia Mieloide Aguda , Programa de VERF , Humanos , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Masculino , Leucemia Mieloide Aguda/mortalidad , Leucemia Mieloide Aguda/epidemiología , Leucemia Mieloide Aguda/terapia , Adulto , Programa de VERF/estadística & datos numéricos , Anciano , Pronóstico , Adulto Joven , Adolescente , Neoplasias Primarias Secundarias/epidemiología , Neoplasias Primarias Secundarias/mortalidad , Neoplasias Primarias Secundarias/etiologíaRESUMEN
Background: Small bowel adenocarcinoma (SBA) is a rare gastrointestinal malignancy with an increasing incidence and a high propensity for liver metastasis (LM). This study aimed to investigate the risk factors for synchronous LM and prognostic factors in patients with LM. Methods: Utilizing the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database, this study analyzed data from 2,064 patients diagnosed with SBA between 2010 and 2020. Logistic regression was used to determine risk factors for synchronous LM. A nomogram was developed to predict the risk of LM in SBA patients, and its predictive performance was assessed through receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and calibration curves. Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression analyses were conducted to evaluate survival outcomes for SBA patients with LM. Results: Synchronous LM was present in 13.4% of SBA patients (n = 276). Six independent predictive factors for LM were identified, including tumor location, T stage, N stage, surgical intervention, retrieval of regional lymph nodes (RORLN), and chemotherapy. The nomogram demonstrated good discriminative ability, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 83.8%. Patients with LM had significantly lower survival rates than those without LM (P < 0.001). Survival analysis revealed that advanced age, tumor location in the duodenum, surgery, RORLN and chemotherapy were associated with cancer-specific survival (CSS) in patients with LM originating from SBA. Conclusions: This study highlights the significant impact of LM on the survival of SBA patients and identifies key risk factors for its occurrence. The developed nomogram aids in targeted screening and personalized treatment planning.
RESUMEN
Background: Roughly 5% to 10% of soft tissue sarcomas fall under the category of synovial sarcomas (SSs), a rare and malignant tumor originating from soft tissues with unclear differentiation, primarily affecting teenagers and young adults. The goal of this study was to assess the latest survival rates for SS of children and the risk factors affecting survival using the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database. Methods: Age, sex, race, SEER stage, surgery, radiation, chemotherapy, laterality, site of SS, and survival time were collected in the SEER database for survival and prognostic factor analysis. The overall survival curves and cancer special survival were obtained by Kaplan-Meier according to different factors. A multivariate Cox regression model and a predictive nomogram have also been constructed. Results: A total of 130 patients were enrolled in the study. In the overall survival analysis, age (P=0.01), male (P=0.04), no surgery (P<0.01), chemotherapy (P<0.01), primary tumor site in soft tissue (P=0.02), and in distant of SEER stage (P<0.01) were associated with a worse prognosis in children with SS. Multivariate analysis showed that chemotherapy and in distant of SEER stage were independent indicators of unfavorable prognosis. A similar result was released in the specialized cancer survival analysis. A nomogram was used to predict the prognosis of SS in children and a calibration curve was used to validate the nomogram prediction against the actual observed survival outcomes. Conclusions: In summary, chemotherapy, and worse SEER stage were associated with poorer overall and cancer special survivals. Nomogram was able to predict the probability of 1-, 5- and 10-year overall survivals and showed good consistency with the actual observed outcomes.
RESUMEN
Background: Primary esophageal small-cell carcinoma (PESC) is a rare tumor with poor efficacy, and there is currently no standardized treatment method. Our aim is to explore the prognostic factors and possible optimal treatment modalities for limited-stage PESC. Methods: We retrospectively searched the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database from 1975 to 2019 for data of patients with limited-stage PESC. Kaplan-Meier method was used to plot survival curves, calculate survival rates, and Log-rank was used to test the differences among survival curves. Prognostic factors were explored through univariate and multivariate Cox regression survival analyses; Cox regression survival analysis was also conducted to analyze the risk of death among treatment groups and compare the survival differences among each treatment group. The non-single treatment (ST) group was defined as the comprehensive treatment (CT) group and it was compared against the ST group. Results: A total of 186 cases of limited-stage PESC were included in the study, there were differences in survival time among different groups due to differences in age, year, median household income, and N stage (P<0.001, P=0.041, P=0.002, P=0.001). The median overall survival (mOS) of the surgical group (19 months) was longer than that of the nonsurgical group (11 months) (P=0.01). The mOS of the chemotherapy group (16 months) was longer than that of the non-chemotherapy group (4 months) (P<0.001). The mOS of the radiotherapy group (16 months) was longer than that of the non-radiotherapy group (8 months) (P<0.001). Univariate analysis showed that age ≥80 years (P=0.006), year (1997-2007) (P=0.01), year (2008-2019) (P=0.01), N2 (P=0.003), surgery (P=0.02), radiotherapy (P<0.001), and chemotherapy (P<0.001) were prognostic factors affecting overall survival (OS) in limited-stage PESC patients. Multivariate analysis showed that SEER stage (P=0.02), age (P=0.007), radiotherapy (P<0.001), surgery (P=0.006), and chemotherapy (P<0.001) were independent prognostic factors affecting OS in patients of limited-stage PESC. Prognosis was better in the non-monotherapy group than in each monotherapy group. The CT group is superior to the ST group (P<0.001). The surgery combined with chemotherapy (SC) group had the longest mOS and the highest reduced risk of death, but there was no statistical difference. Conclusions: SEER stage, age, radiotherapy, chemotherapy, and surgery were independent prognostic factors in limited-stage patients; CT outperformed ST; the SC group had the longest median survival, but showed no statistical difference.
RESUMEN
Background: Osteosarcoma is the most common mesenchymal cell malignancy, 10% of which is fibroblastic osteosarcoma (FOS). Due to the low incidence of osteosarcoma, the impact of many pathological factors on survival is still unclear, especially FOS. The goal of this study was to assess the latest survival rates for FOS and the risk factors affecting survival using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Methods: Age, sex, race, SEER stage, surgery, radiation, chemotherapy, site of FOS, and survival time were collected from the SEER database for survival and prognostic factor analysis. The patients were randomly assigned to either the training cohort or the testing cohort. The overall survival (OS) curves were obtained by Kaplan-Meier according to different factors. A multivariate Cox regression model and a predictive nomogram have also been constructed. Results: The study enrolled a total of 120 patients. OS at 1, 3, and 5 years for all patients was 90.83%, 79.17%, and 70.83%, respectively. In the 5-year survival analysis, in distant of SEER stage (P<0.01), radiation (P=0.03), and no surgery (P<0.01) were associated with a worse prognosis in patients with FOS. Multivariate analysis showed that age, and in distant of SEER stage were independent indicators of unfavorable prognosis. A nomogram was used to predict the prognosis of FOS and a calibration curve was used to validate the nomogram prediction against the actual observed survival outcomes. Conclusions: In summary, older age, and worse SEER stage were associated with poorer OS. The nomogram effectively predicted the probabilities of 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS, demonstrating strong concordance with the actual observed outcomes.
RESUMEN
Background: Liver metastases from cancer of unknown primary (CUPL) constitute a rare disease, particularly among individuals younger than 50 years old. This paper aims to investigate the clinical characteristics of patients with CUPL and analyze prognostic differences across distinct age groups. Methods: Data pertaining to patients with CUPL were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Propensity score matching (PSM) was employed to adjust for clinical variables. Cox regression analysis identified risk factors influencing overall survival (OS), while competing-risk analyses were conducted to determine prognostic factors for cancer-specific survival (CSS). Survival differences were compared using the Kaplan-Meier method and cumulative incidence function (CIF). Results: The study encompassed 4,691 patients, with 319 (6.8%) in the age <50 years group and 4,372 (93.2%) in the age ≥50 years group. Individuals with unexplained liver metastases exhibited a 1-year OS rate of 14.7% and a 1-year CSS rate of 23%. Following matching, age, histology, brain metastases, and chemotherapy were identified as independent prognostic factors affecting OS. Additionally, race, grade, histology, brain metastases, and chemotherapy were recognized as independent prognostic factors influencing CSS. Notably, the age <50 years group demonstrated superior OS and CSS compared to the age ≥50 years group before and after PSM. Among patients undergoing chemotherapy, the age <50 years group exhibited enhanced OS and CSS compared to their age ≥50 years counterparts. Furthermore, in individuals subjected to radiotherapy, the age <50 years group demonstrated superior OS, although no significant difference in CSS was observed. Conclusions: The survival prognosis of patients with CUPL was found to be poor. However, both OS and CSS were more favorable in the age <50 years group compared to the age ≥50 years group. Additionally, radiotherapy and chemotherapy were associated with an OS benefit for patients in the age <50 years group.