Association of household food insecurity with sociodemographic factors and obesity in US youth: findings from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2017-2018.

Background: The objective is to determine the prevalence of household food insecurity (HFI) based on sociodemographic factors and their relationship to obesity in youth. Methods: The study included a sample of 1,962 youth (aged 6-18) from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES). The US Household Food Security Survey Module is used to measure food security over the past 12 months. Logistic regression models were used to estimate adjusted odds ratios (ORs) while controlling for covariates. Results: In total, 27.4% of the individuals surveyed experienced HFI. Youth from food insecure households were more likely to be obese (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]: 1.59 [95% confidence interval: 1.19-2.13]) and also having abdominal obesity (aOR: 1.56 [95% CI: 1.19-2.03]). however, factors such as non-Hispanic ethnicity, having a Head of household with a college degree, and households with an income exceeding 350% of the poverty line were associated with a reduced risk of facing HFI. Conclusion: Hispanic individuals, households with lower parental education levels, and lower family incomes, are disproportionately affected by food insecurity. Furthermore, HFI has been associated with an increased risk of overweight and abdominal obesity among youth. Addressing FI requires targeted policies and interventions that prioritize vulnerable groups.

Association between the AHA life's essential 8 and prediabetes/diabetes: a cross-sectional NHANES study.

Background and aims: The American Heart Association (AHA) recently introduced the Life's Essential 8 (LE8) to improve cardiovascular health (CVH). However, the association between LE8 and the risk of prediabetes or diabetes is not yet fully understood. Consequently, this study aims to assess the association between CVH, as evaluated by LE8, and the risk of prediabetes and diabetes. Methods and Results: This cross-sectional study encompassed 7,739 participants aged ≥20 years from the 2007-2018 National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys (NHANES). The CVH of participants was evaluated using the LE8, combining four health behaviors and three health factors. Glucose metabolic status categories included normal glucose metabolism, prediabetes including isolated impaired fasting glucose, isolated impaired glucose tolerance, both IFG and IGT, and diabetes. The associations between CVH and prediabetes and diabetes were analyzed using logistic regression, linear regression, restricted cubic splines, and subgroup analyses. Among 7,739 participants, 1,949 had iIFG, 1,165 were diagnosed with iIGT, 799 were IFG+IGT, and 537 were diagnosed with diabetes. After multivariable adjustments, CVH scores were inversely associated with prediabetes and diabetes, with the most robust inverse association observed between IFG+IGT and CVH across all prediabetes subgroups. Of all CVH components not directly in the causal pathway, body mass index (BMI) had the most robust associations with prediabetes and diabetes. Subgroup analyses indicated that the negative correlation between CVH and prediabetes was stronger among those with university or higher education. Conclusion: CVH, as defined by LE8, showed a significant negative association with prediabetes and diabetes.

Sex Differences in the Risk of Stroke Associated With Traditional and Non-Traditional Factors in a US Cohort of People With HIV Infection.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Although stroke risk associated with HIV may be greater for women than men, little is known about whether the impact of different factors on cerebrovascular risk varies by sex in people with HIV (PWH) and contributes to stroke risk disparities in this population. The primary objective of this study was to examine whether sex modifies the effect of demographics, cardiometabolic factors, health-related behaviors, and HIV-specific variables on stroke risk in PWH from the Centers for AIDS Research Network of Integrated Clinical Systems (CNICS) cohort. METHODS: In this observational cohort study, we analyzed data from clinical encounters for PWH followed at 5 CNICS sites from approximately 2005 to 2020. All potential stroke events were adjudicated by neurologists. Patient-reported outcomes collected at clinic visits, including substance use and depression, were also available. We used Cox proportional hazards models to determine whether sex modified the association of predictors of interest with incident stroke. RESULTS: Among 13,573 PWH (19% female sex at birth, mean age 44 years, mean follow-up 5.6 years), female sex was associated with a higher risk of stroke only among individuals aged 50 years or younger (hazard ratio [HR] 2.01 at age 40 [1.25-3.21] vs HR 0.60 at age 60 [0.34-1.06]; p = 0.001 for the interaction). Younger female participants who developed a stroke were more likely to have treated hypertension, a higher cardiovascular risk score, and detectable HIV than younger male participants whereas these factors were comparable by sex among older participants who developed a stroke. Sex modified the effect of detectable HIV (HR 4.66 for female participants [2.48-8.74] vs HR 1.30 for male participants [0.83-2.03]; p = 0.001 for the interaction), methamphetamine use (HR 4.78 for female participants [1.47-15.56] vs HR 1.19 for male participants [0.62-2.29]; p = 0.04 for the interaction), and treated hypertension (HR 3.44 for female participants [1.74-6.81] vs HR 1.66 for male participants [1.14-2.41]; p = 0.06 for the interaction) on stroke risk. DISCUSSION: Younger female participants with HIV were at elevated cerebrovascular risk compared with younger male participants. Several risk factors had a greater adverse effect on stroke risk in female participants than in male participants, including HIV viremia, methamphetamine use, and treated hypertension. These findings underscore the importance of a personalized approach to predict and prevent cerebrovascular risk among PWH.

The impact of cannabis use disorder on urologic oncologic surgery morbidity, length of stay, and inpatient cost: analysis of the National Inpatient Sample from 2003 to 2014.

PURPOSE: This study examined the impact of cannabis use disorder (CUD) on inpatient morbidity, length of stay (LOS), and inpatient cost (IC) of patients undergoing urologic oncologic surgery. METHODS: The National Inpatient Sample (NIS) from 2003 to 2014 was analyzed for patients undergoing prostatectomy, nephrectomy, or cystectomy (n = 1,612,743). CUD was identified using ICD-9 codes. Complex-survey procedures were used to compare patients with and without CUD. Inpatient major complications, high LOS (4th quartile), and high IC (4th quartile) were examined as endpoints. Univariable and multivariable analysis (MVA) were performed to compare groups. RESULTS: The incidence of CUD increased from 51 per 100,000 admissions in 2003 to 383 per 100,000 in 2014 (p < 0.001). Overall, 3,503 admissions had CUD. Patients with CUD were more frequently younger (50 vs. 61), male (86% vs. 78.4%), Black (21.7% vs. 9.2%), and had 1st quartile income (36.1% vs. 20.6%); all p < 0.001. CUD had no impact on any complication rates (all p > 0.05). However, CUD patients had higher LOS (3 vs. 2 days; p < 0.001) and IC ($15,609 vs. $12,415; p < 0.001). On MVA, CUD was not an independent predictor of major complications (p = 0.6). Conversely, CUD was associated with high LOS (odds ratio (OR) 1.31; 95% CI 1.08-1.59) and high IC (OR 1.33; 95% CI 1.12-1.59), both p < 0.01. CONCLUSION: The incidence of CUD at the time of urologic oncologic surgery is increasing. Future research should look into the cause of our observed phenomena and how to decrease LOS and IC in CUD patients.

The Comparison of Newly Diagnosed Invasive Breast Patient Cohorts in Genomics Evidence Neoplasia Information Exchange Biopharma Collaborative (GENIE-BPC) and Other Real-World Databases.

BACKGROUND: Oncology databases that integrate genomic and clinical data have become valuable resources for precision medicine. However, the generalizability of these databases has not been comprehensively assessed. OBJECTIVES: To describe the demographics, clinical characteristics, treatments, and overall survival of breast cancer cohorts in GENIE-BPC and three other databases. METHODS: This study utilized GENIE-BPC, SEER, SEER-Medicare, and Merative MarketScan Research Databases. Women with invasive breast cancer were identified through EHR, cancer registries or ICD-9/10-CM codes. The ages were 18+ years or per database requirement. Treatments were based on EHR or HCPCS/NDC codes in claims. Overall survival was estimated as time from diagnosis to death. RESULTS: Of female breast cancer patients in GENIE-BPC (n = 775), SEER (n = 548 336), SEER-Medicare (n = 68 914), and Marketscan (n = 109 499) databases, the median ages at initial diagnosis were 44, 62, 74, and 57 years, respectively. A greater proportion of patients in GENIE-BPC, compared to SEER/SEER-Medicare, had higher nuclear grades (%III-%IV: 57% vs. 26%/24%), advanced disease stage (%IV: 25.3% vs. 5%/3.6%), percent of triple negative breast cancer (19.7% vs. 10.2%/8.5%), and receipt of chemotherapy (85.0% vs. NA/22.3%). The 1-, 3-, and 5-year overall survival rates were lower in GENIE-BPC (78.5%, 60.5%, 55.5%) than in SEER (95.8%, 89.5%, 85.5%) and SEER-Medicare (91.6%, 81.4%, 75.0%). CONCLUSION: Breast cancer patients in GENIE-BPC were younger, had more advanced disease, had a higher proportion of triple negative breast cancer and recipients of chemotherapy, and had poorer overall survival. Researchers must use statistical adjustment when extrapolating results (e.g., biomarker prevalence) from GENIE-BPC to the larger breast cancer population.

Viewpoint: The impending pandemic of resistant organisms - a paradigm shift towards source control is needed.

The United States needs a paradigm shift in its approach to control infectious diseases. Current recommendations are often made in a siloed feedback loop. This may be the driver for such actions as the abandonment of contact precautions in some settings, the allowance of nursing home residents who are carriers of known pathogens to mingle with others in their facility, and the determination of an intervention's feasibility based upon budgetary rather than health considerations for patients and staff. Data from both the U.S. Veterans Health Administration and the U.K.'s National Health Service support the importance of carrier identification and source control. Both organizations observed marked decreases in methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA), but not methicillin-susceptible Staphylococcus aureus infections with the implementation of MRSA admission screening measures. Facilities are becoming over-reliant on horizontal prevention strategies, such as hand hygiene and chlorhexidine bathing. Hand hygiene is an essential practice, but the goal should be to minimize the risk of workers' hands becoming contaminated with defined pathogens, and there are conflicting data on the efficacy of chlorhexidine bathing in non-ICU settings. Preemptive identification of dedicated pathogens and effective source control are needed. We propose that the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention should gather and publicly report the community incidence of dedicated pathogens. This will enable proactive rather than reactive strategies. In the future, determination of a patient's microbiome may become standard, but until then we propose that we should have knowledge of the main pathogens that they are carrying.

Association between serum cotinine and muscle mass: results from NHANES 2011-2018.

PURPOSE: Recently, the detrimental effect of cigarette smoking on muscle metabolism has attracted much attention, but the relationship between cigarette smoking and muscle mass is poorly understood. Thus, this study investigated the association between exposure to cigarette smoke, defined based on serum cotinine, and muscle mass in the US population. METHODS: We utilized National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) data between 2011 and 2018 for analysis. Data on serum cotinine, muscle mass (quantified by appendicular skeletal muscle mass index, ASMI), and covariates were extracted and analyzed. Weighted multivariate linear regression analyses and smooth curve fittings were performed to investigate the association between serum cotinine and ASMI. Subgroup analyses were stratified by gender, race and smoking status. When nonlinearity was detected, the threshold effects were analyzed using a two-piecewise linear regression model. RESULTS: In total, 8004 participants were included for analysis. The serum level of cotinine was negatively associated with ASMI in the fully adjusted model. Furthermore, comparing participants in the highest vs. the lowest tertile of serum cotinine, we found that ASMI decreased by 0.135 Kg/m2. In subgroup analysis stratified by gender and race, the association between serum cotinine and ASMI remained significant in all genders and races. In addition, the association remained significant among current and former smokers, but not among those who never smoked. Smooth curve fittings showed nonlinear relationships between serum cotinine and ASMI, with the inflection points identified at 356 ng/mL. CONCLUSIONS: Our study revealed that serum cotinine was negatively related to muscle mass. This finding improves our understanding of the deleterious effects of cigarette smoking on muscle mass and highlights the importance of smoking cessation for muscle health.

Sexual orientation, gender identity and virologic failure among people with HIV: a cohort study in all of US research program.

BACKGROUND: Sexual and gender minorities (SGMs) are at higher risk of HIV incidence compared to their heterosexual cisgender counterparts. Despite the high HIV disease burden among SGMs, there was limited data on whether they are at higher risk of virologic failure, which may lead to potential disease progression and increased transmission risk. The All of Us (AoU) Research Program, a national community-engaged program aiming to improve health and facilitate health equity in the United States by partnering with one million participants, provides a promising resource for identifying a diverse and large volunteer TGD cohort. Leveraging various data sources available through AoU, the current study aims to explore the association between sexual orientation and gender identity (SOGI) and longitudinal virologic failure among adult people with HIV (PWH) in the US. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study used integrated electronic health records (EHR) and self-reported survey data from the All of Us (AoU) controlled tier data, version 7, which includes participants enrolled in the AoU research program from May 31, 2017, to July 1, 2022. Based on participants' sexual orientation, gender identity, and sex assigned at birth, their SOGI were categorized into six groups, including cisgender heterosexual women, cisgender heterosexual men, cisgender sexual minority women, cisgender sexual minority men, gender minority people assigned female at birth of any sexual orientation, and gender minority people assigned male at birth of any sexual orientation. Yearly virologic failure was defined yearly after one's first viral load testing, and individuals with at least one viral load test > 50 copies/mL during a year were defined as having virologic failure at that year. Generalized linear mixed-effects models were used to explore the association between SOGI and longitudinal virologic failure while adjusting for potential confounders, including age, race, ethnicity, education attainment, income, and insurance type. RESULTS: A total of 1,546 eligible PWH were extracted from the AoU database, among whom 1,196 (77.36%) had at least one viral failure and 773 (50.00%) belonged to SGMs. Compared to cisgender heterosexual women, cisgender sexual minority women (adjusted Odds Ratio [aOR] = 1.85, 95% CI: 1.05-3.27) were at higher risk of HIV virologic failure. Additionally, PWH who were Black vs. White (aOR = 2.15, 95% CI: 1.52-3.04) and whose insurance type was Medicaid vs. Private insurance (aOR = 2.07, 95% CI: 1.33-3.21) were more likely to experience virologic failure. CONCLUSIONS: Maintaining frequent viral load monitoring among sexual minority women with HIV is warranted because it allows early detection of virologic failure, which could provide opportunities for interventions to strengthen treatment adherence and prevent HIV transmission. To understand the specific needs of subgroups of SGMs, future research needs to examine the mechanisms for SOGI-based disparities in virologic failure and the combined effects of multi-level psychosocial and health behavior characteristics.

Can Obstetrics and Gynecology Hospitalists Reduce Severe Maternal Morbidity?

Maternal mortality in the United States has risen steadily over the past 20 years. Several interventions including maternal mortality committees and safety bundles have been introduced to decrease the trend. Severe maternal morbidity is a more frequent occurrence related to maternal mortality and can be used to track interventions. Within safety bundles, the presence of well-trained on-site staff such as obstetrics and gynecology (OB/GYN) hospitalists is key to correct implementation. In this article, the authors review the role of OB/GYN hospitalists in specific diagnoses and the evidence present to date on OB/GYN hospitalists' role in decreasing severe maternal morbidity.

Association of dietary live microbe intake with prevalence of osteoporosis in US postmenopausal women: a cross-sectional study.

The association between live microbe intake and osteoporosis in postmenopausal women remains unknown. The research findings indicated that an increased intake of live microbes through dietary sources was associated with a low prevalence of osteoporosis among postmenopausal women. PURPOSE: To investigate the relationship between the consumption of live microbes in the diet and osteoporosis in postmenopausal women. METHODS: A cross-sectional investigation using data obtained from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey was conducted. Participants were classified into three groups by using the dietary live microbe classification system developed by Sanders. Dual x-ray absorptiometry was used to measure body mineral density, and osteoporosis was diagnosed according to the World Health Organization criteria. We conducted a crude and adjusted multivariate logistic regression analysis, and utilized the restricted cubic splines model to assess the correlation between the consumption of live microbes in the diet and osteoporosis in postmenopausal women. RESULTS: A total of 1378 women who had undergone menopause were enrolled in the study. After controlling for potential covariates, individuals with a high consumption of live microbes in their diet exhibited a notably low prevalence of osteoporosis in comparison to those with a low intake of dietary live microbes (odd ratio: 0.46, 95% confidence interval: 0.23, 0.93, P = 0.03). Subgroup analysis showed the stability of the results, and restricted cubic splines showed an approximate L-shape curve. CONCLUSIONS: In this research, a higher consumption of live microbes in the diet was linked to a low prevalence of osteoporosis in postmenopausal women.

The Hidden Costs of Psoriasis: A Population-Based Study Evaluating How Psoriasis Severity Impacts Work Absenteeism.

BACKGROUND: Psoriasis patients experience physical and emotional burdens, which may lead to work-related productivity loss. This loss carries professional and financial repercussions. It is unknown whether the extent of psoriasis affects work absenteeism. OBJECTIVE: This study aims to compare work absenteeism between employed adults with mild versus moderate-to-severe psoriasis. METHODS: A national, cross-sectional study using the 2009 to 2019 Medical Expenditure Panel Survey evaluated 5,209,956 (weighted) adults aged ≥ 22 years. Work absenteeism was compared between adults with mild (4,521,687 weighted) and moderate-to-severe psoriasis (688,269 weighted). RESULTS: Work absenteeism, as measured by the average number of episodes per year that someone was absent from work for at least a half day, was significantly higher in patients with moderate-to-severe psoriasis than in patients with mild disease (4.4 episodes vs 2.8 episodes, P=0.002). Multivariable logistic regression models showed moderate-to-severe patients were 2.68 times more likely (95% CI:1.72-4.21; P<0.001) to take a half-day or more off from work than those with mild disease after adjusting for age, sex, race, ethnicity, poverty, cognitive limitations, insurance, education, and comorbidities. CONCLUSION: Disease severity directly impacts work absenteeism in psoriasis patients. Early diagnosis and treatment with appropriate therapies are needed to reduce disease severity and limit economic loss and professional ramifications associated with psoriasis. J Drugs Dermatol. 2024;23(8):640-644.  doi:10.36849/JDD.7550.

The Resurgence of Measles: A Rash From the Past.

Measles, or rubeola, remains a highly contagious infectious disease with a concerning resurgence in the United States. Despite previous control efforts, the number of reported cases continues to rise, surpassing the total for the previous year in just the first quarter of 2024 (CDC, 2024a). Emergency nurse practitioners and other emergency clinicians are likely to encounter patients presenting with concerns of or exposure to measles. However, given the low frequency of cases in the past, many emergency clinicians have likely not previously encountered measles, making identification more challenging. Early recognition and isolation are paramount in containing the spread of this virus and mitigating potential complications. This article aims to provide a review of measles, covering its pathophysiology, clinical presentations, and recommended management strategies for suspected or confirmed cases in emergency care settings.

Mortality due to falls by county, age group, race, and ethnicity in the USA, 2000-19: a systematic analysis of health disparities.

BACKGROUND: Fall-related mortality has increased rapidly over the past two decades in the USA, but the extent to which mortality varies across racial and ethnic populations, counties, and age groups is not well understood. The aim of this study was to estimate age-standardised mortality rates due to falls by racial and ethnic population, county, and age group over a 20-year period. METHODS: Redistribution methods for insufficient cause of death codes and validated small-area estimation methods were applied to death registration data from the US National Vital Statistics System and population data from the US National Center for Health Statistics to estimate annual fall-related mortality. Estimates from 2000 to 2019 were stratified by county (n=3110) and five mutually exclusive racial and ethnic populations: American Indian or Alaska Native (AIAN), Asian or Pacific Islander (Asian), Black, Latino or Hispanic (Latino), and White. Estimates were corrected for misreporting of race and ethnicity on death certificates using published misclassification ratios. We masked (ie, did not display) estimates for county and racial and ethnic population combinations with a mean annual population of less than 1000. Age-standardised mortality is presented for all ages combined and for age groups 20-64 years (younger adults) and 65 years and older (older adults). FINDINGS: Nationally, in 2019, the overall age-standardised fall-related mortality rate for the total population was 13·4 deaths per 100 000 population (95% uncertainty interval 13·3-13·6), an increase of 65·3% (61·9-68·8) from 8·1 deaths per 100 000 (8·0-8·3) in 2000, with the largest increases observed in older adults. Fall-related mortality at the national level was highest across all years in the AIAN population (in 2019, 15·9 deaths per 100 000 population [95% uncertainty interval 14·0-18·2]) and White population (14·8 deaths per 100 000 [14·6-15·0]), and was about half as high among the Latino (8·7 deaths per 100 000 [8·3-9·0]), Black (8·1 deaths per 100 000 [7·9-8·4]), and Asian (7·5 deaths per 100 000 [7·1-7·9]) populations. The disparities between racial and ethnic populations varied widely by age group, with mortality among younger adults highest for the AIAN population and mortality among older adults highest for the White population. The national-level patterns were observed broadly at the county level, although there was considerable spatial variation across ages and racial and ethnic populations. For younger adults, among almost all counties with unmasked estimates, there was higher mortality in the AIAN population than in all other racial and ethnic populations, while there were pockets of high mortality in the Latino population, particularly in the Mountain West region. For older adults, mortality was particularly high in the White population within clusters of counties across states including Florida, Minnesota, and Wisconsin. INTERPRETATION: Age-standardised mortality due to falls increased over the study period for each racial and ethnic population and almost every county. Wide variation in mortality across geography, age, and race and ethnicity highlights areas and populations that might benefit most from efficacious fall prevention interventions as well as additional prevention research. FUNDING: US National Institutes of Health (Intramural Research Program, National Institute on Minority Health and Health Disparities; National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute; Intramural Research Program, National Cancer Institute; National Institute on Aging; National Institute of Arthritis and Musculoskeletal and Skin Diseases; Office of Disease Prevention; and Office of Behavioral and Social Sciences Research).

Risk factors underlying racial and ethnic disparities in tuberculosis diagnosis and treatment outcomes, 2011-19: a multiple mediation analysis of national surveillance data.

BACKGROUND: Despite an overall decline in tuberculosis incidence and mortality in the USA in the past two decades, racial and ethnic disparities in tuberculosis outcomes persist. We aimed to examine the extent to which inequalities in health and neighbourhood-level social vulnerability mediate these disparities. METHODS: We extracted data from the US National Tuberculosis Surveillance System on individuals with tuberculosis during 2011-19. Individuals with multidrug-resistant tuberculosis or missing data on race and ethnicity were excluded. We examined potential disparities in tuberculosis outcomes among US-born and non-US-born individuals and conducted a mediation analysis for groups with a higher risk of treatment incompletion (a summary outcome comprising diagnosis after death, treatment discontinuation, or death during treatment). We used sequential multiple mediation to evaluate eight potential mediators: three comorbid conditions (HIV, end-stage renal disease, and diabetes), homelessness, and four census tract-level measures (poverty, unemployment, insurance coverage, and racialised economic segregation [measured by Index of Concentration at the ExtremesRace-Income]). We estimated the marginal contribution of each mediator using Shapley values. FINDINGS: During 2011-19, 27 788 US-born individuals and 57 225 non-US-born individuals were diagnosed with active tuberculosis, of whom 27 605 and 56 253 individuals, respectively, met eligibility criteria for our analyses. We did not observe evidence of disparities in tuberculosis outcomes for non-US-born individuals by race and ethnicity. Therefore, subsequent analyses were restricted to US-born individuals. Relative to White individuals, Black and Hispanic individuals had a higher risk of not completing tuberculosis treatment (adjusted relative risk 1·27, 95% CI 1·19-1·35; 1·22, 1·11-1·33, respectively). In multiple mediator analysis, the eight measured mediators explained 67% of the disparity for Black individuals and 65% for Hispanic individuals. The biggest contributors to these disparities for Black individuals and Hispanic individuals were concomitant end-stage renal disease, concomitant HIV, census tract-level racialised economic segregation, and census tract-level poverty. INTERPRETATION: Our findings underscore the need for initiatives to reduce disparities in tuberculosis outcomes among US-born individuals, particularly in highly racially and economically polarised neighbourhoods. Mitigating the structural and environmental factors that lead to disparities in the prevalence of comorbidities and their case management should be a priority. FUNDING: US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention National Center for HIV, Viral Hepatitis, STD, and Tuberculosis Prevention Epidemiologic and Economic Modeling Agreement.

The long-term effects of domestic and international tuberculosis service improvements on tuberculosis trends within the USA: a mathematical modelling study.

BACKGROUND: For settings with low tuberculosis incidence, disease elimination is a long-term goal. We investigated pathways to tuberculosis pre-elimination (incidence <1·0 cases per 100 000 people) and elimination (incidence <0·1 cases per 100 000 people) in the USA, where incidence was estimated at 2·9 per 100 000 people in 2023. METHODS: Using a mathematical modelling framework, we simulated how US tuberculosis incidence could be affected by changes in tuberculosis services in the countries of origin for future migrants to the USA, as well as changes in tuberculosis services inside the USA. To do so, we used a linked set of transmission dynamic models, calibrated to demographic and epidemiological data for each setting. We constructed intervention scenarios representing improvements in tuberculosis services internationally and within the USA, individually and in combination, plus a base-case scenario representing continuation of current services. We simulated health and economic outcomes until 2100, using a Bayesian approach to quantify uncertainty in these outcomes. FINDINGS: Under the base-case scenario, US tuberculosis incidence was projected to decline to 1·8 cases per 100 000 (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 1·5-2·1) in the total population by 2050. Intervention scenarios produced substantial reductions in tuberculosis incidence, with the combination of all domestic and international interventions projected to achieve pre-elimination by 2033 (95% UI 2031-2037). Compared with the base-case scenario, this combination of interventions could avert 101 000 tuberculosis cases (95% UI 84 000-120 000) and 13 300 tuberculosis deaths (95% UI 10 500-16 300) in the USA from 2025 to 2050. Tuberculosis elimination was not projected before 2100. INTERPRETATION: Strengthening tuberculosis services domestically, promoting the development of more effective technologies and interventions, and supporting tuberculosis programmes in countries with a high tuberculosis burden are key strategies for accelerating progress towards tuberculosis elimination in the USA. FUNDING: US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Differences in cancer rates among adults born between 1920 and 1990 in the USA: an analysis of population-based cancer registry data.

BACKGROUND: Trends in cancer incidence in recent birth cohorts largely reflect changes in exposures during early life and foreshadow the future disease burden. Herein, we examined cancer incidence and mortality trends, by birth cohort, for 34 types of cancer in the USA. METHODS: In this analysis, we obtained incidence data for 34 types of cancer and mortality data for 25 types of cancer for individuals aged 25-84 years for the period Jan 1, 2000, to Dec 31, 2019 from the North American Association of Central Cancer Registries and the US National Center for Health Statistics, respectively. We calculated birth cohort-specific incidence rate ratios (IRRs) and mortality rate ratios (MRRs), adjusted for age and period effects, by nominal birth cohort, separated by 5 year intervals, from 1920 to 1990. FINDINGS: We extracted data for 23 654 000 patients diagnosed with 34 types of cancer and 7 348 137 deaths from 25 cancers for the period Jan 1, 2000, to Dec 31, 2019. We found that IRRs increased with each successive birth cohort born since approximately 1920 for eight of 34 cancers (pcohort<0·050). Notably, the incidence rate was approximately two-to-three times higher in the 1990 birth cohort than in the 1955 birth cohort for small intestine (IRR 3·56 [95% CI 2·96-4·27]), kidney and renal pelvis (2·92 [2·50-3·42]), and pancreatic (2·61 [2·22-3·07]) cancers in both male and female individuals; and for liver and intrahepatic bile duct cancer in female individuals (2·05 [1·23-3·44]). Additionally, the IRRs increased in younger cohorts, after a decline in older birth cohorts, for nine of the remaining cancers (pcohort<0·050): oestrogen-receptor-positive breast cancer, uterine corpus cancer, colorectal cancer, non-cardia gastric cancer, gallbladder and other biliary cancer, ovarian cancer, testicular cancer, anal cancer in male individuals, and Kaposi sarcoma in male individuals. Across cancer types, the incidence rate in the 1990 birth cohort ranged from 12% (IRR1990 vs 1975 1·12 [95% CI 1·03-1·21] for ovarian cancer) to 169% (IRR1990 vs 1930 2·69 [2·34-3·08] for uterine corpus cancer) higher than the rate in the birth cohort with the lowest incidence rate. The MRRs increased in successively younger birth cohorts alongside IRRs for liver and intrahepatic bile duct cancer in female individuals, uterine corpus, gallbladder and other biliary, testicular, and colorectal cancers, while MRRs declined or stabilised in younger birth cohorts for most cancers types. INTERPRETATION: 17 of 34 cancers had an increasing incidence in younger birth cohorts, including nine that previously had declining incidence in older birth cohorts. These findings add to growing evidence of increased cancer risk in younger generations, highlighting the need to identify and tackle underlying risk factors. FUNDING: American Cancer Society.

E-Cigarette Characteristics and Cigarette Cessation Among Adults Who Use E-Cigarettes.

Importance: Population-level health outcomes associated with e-cigarettes depend in part on the association between e-cigarettes and combustible cigarette cessation. The US Food and Drug Administration has authority to regulate e-cigarette characteristics, including flavor and device type. Objective: To investigate whether e-cigarette characteristics are associated with cigarette cessation behaviors among adults in the US population who use e-cigarettes. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study was conducted using longitudinal data collected in 2014 to 2021 by the Population Assessment of Tobacco and Health Study, a population-based, US nationally representative study. Participants were sampled from the civilian noninstitutionalized population using a 4-staged, stratified sampling design. Data were weighted and analyzed from 1985 adults ages 21 or older who smoked cigarettes daily and had used e-cigarettes in the past 30 days. Data were analyzed in May 2021 to May 2024. Exposures: The following e-cigarette characteristics were assessed: use frequency (daily and nondaily), flavor type (tobacco, menthol or mint, sweet, and combination), device type (disposable, cartridge, and tank), and year of data collection as a proxy for the evolving e-cigarette marketplace. Main Outcomes and Measures: The following cigarette cessation behaviors were assessed: making a cigarette quit attempt, cigarette cessation among individuals who made a quit attempt, and overall cigarette discontinuation regardless of quit attempts. Associations were evaluated between e-cigarette characteristics (assessed at baseline in 1 approach and assessed at follow-up in another approach) and cigarette cessation outcomes, controlling for demographic, cigarette smoking, and other e-cigarette use characteristics. Results: The study sample consisted of 1985 participants representing adults in the population (mean age, 40.0 years [95% CI, 39.2-40.9 years]; 49.4% [95% CI, 46.3%-52.6%] male; 11.4% [95% CI, 9.6%-13.4%] Black, 80.7% [95% CI, 77.8%-83.3%] White, and 8.0% [95% CI, 6.3%-10.0%] other race; 9.2% [95% CI, 7.5%-11.2%] Hispanic). Daily vs nondaily e-cigarette use was associated with greater overall cigarette discontinuation rates (12.8% [95% CI, 9.1%-17.7%] vs 6.1% [95% CI, 4.8%-7.7%]; adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 2.26 [95% CI, 1.34-3.81]), and use of e-cigarettes in 2019 to 2021 vs 2014-2015 to 2015-2016 was also associated with greater overall cigarette discontinuation rates (12.0% [95% CI, 8.8%-16.0%] vs 5.3% [95% CI, 2.9%-9.3%]; aOR, 2.75 [95% CI, 1.13-6.67]). Use of menthol or mint vs tobacco flavor e-cigarettes was associated with greater overall cigarette discontinuation rates (9.2% [95% CI, 6.6%-12.8%] vs 4.7% [95% CI, 3.0%-7.1%]; aOR, 2.63 [95% CI, 1.32-5.27]) only when assessing e-cigarette use at baseline. E-cigarette device type was not associated with cigarette discontinuation rates in adjusted analyses. Conclusions and Relevance: In this study, daily e-cigarette use and use of e-cigarettes in 2019 to 2021 were consistently associated with greater cigarette discontinuation rates. These findings suggest that research focused on e-cigarettes marketed in recent years is needed to inform product regulation and public health policy decisions.

Sociodemographic Trends and Perinatal Outcomes in Fathers 50 Years and Older.

Importance: The age of fathers at childbirth is rising, with an increasing number of births attributed to older fathers. While the impact of advanced paternal age has been documented, sociodemographic data about fathers aged 50 years and older remain scarce. Objectives: To explore sociodemographic and temporal trends among the oldest US fathers (age ≥50 years) and their associations with perinatal outcomes. Design, Setting, and Participants: This retrospective cross-sectional study included data from all US births from 2011 to 2022 using the National Vital Statistics System. Data were analyzed from August 2023 and May 2024. Exposures: Reported paternal age at childbirth. Main Outcomes and Measures: Outcomes of interest were sociodemographic factors, temporal trends in older fatherhood, and perinatal outcomes, including preterm birth, low birth weight, gestational diabetes, gestational hypertension, assisted reproductive technology (ART), rates of maternal primiparity, and the infant sex ratio. Results: From 2011 to 2022, the US recorded 46 195 453 births, with an overall mean (SD) paternal age of 31.5 (6.8) years and 484 507 (1.1%) involving fathers aged 50 years or older, 47 785 (0.1%) aged 60 years or older, and 3777 (0.008%) aged 70 years or older. Births to fathers aged 50 years or older increased from 1.1% in 2011 to 1.3% in 2022 (P for trend < .001). Fathers aged 50 years or older were more diverse, with variations in educational achievement and race and ethnicity. Marital status and maternal racial and ethnic and educational backgrounds also varied by paternal age and race. Despite controlling for maternal age and other sociodemographic and perinatal factors, every 10-year increase in paternal age was consistently associated with greater use of ART (eg, age 50-59 years: adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 2.23; 95% CI, 2.19-2.27), higher likelihood of first maternal birth (eg, age 50-59 years: aOR, 1.16; 95% CI, 1.15-1.17), and increased risks of preterm birth (eg, age 50-59 years: aOR, 1.16; 95% CI, 1.15-1.18) and low birth weight (eg, age 50-59 years: aOR, 1.14; 95% CI, 1.13-1.15) compared with fathers aged 30 to 39 years. No significant changes in the infant sex ratio were observed, except among fathers aged 70 years or older (aOR, 0.92; 95% CI, 0.86-0.99) and 75 years or older (aOR, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.73-0.97), who showed a decreased likelihood of having male offspring. Conclusions and Relevance: In this cross-sectional study of all US births from 2011 to 2022, the percentage attributed to older fathers, while small, increased. Notable variations in paternal and maternal race and education were identified. Older fatherhood was associated with increased ART use, first-time maternal births, adverse perinatal outcomes, and altered sex ratio. Further research of this population is crucial for improving patient counseling and family planning.