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With Wales considered 'the blackest spot on the tuberculosis map' of Britain, the Welsh National Memorial Association (WNMA) was founded in 1910 with the aim to rid Wales of the disease within a generation. Although the Association's vision of a national health service was lauded by contemporaries as providing a model for England, as the WNMA took over the running of tuberculosis services from local authorities, it met with resistance from county and rural district councils. This essay explores this resistance. In placing the views and work of county and rural district councils at the centre of analysis this essay uses Wales and opposition to the WNMA as a case study to rethink the marginalization of county councils and rural district councils in histories of local government, public health, and housing policy in a pivotal period of central-location relations. As this essay shows, the opposition county and rural district councils expressed to the WNMA was not a straightforward rejection of centralization by authorities on the margins of 'the modern'. Rather, they put forward a competing vision of health and social welfare that championed local autonomy and a strategy of prevention focused on the material and domestic environment and housing reform. As the essay shows, opponents of the WNMA were not backwoodsmen. They were part of a wider national and progressive social reform movement.
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Gobierno Local , Tuberculosis , Tuberculosis/prevención & control , Tuberculosis/epidemiología , Gales/epidemiología , Historia del Siglo XX , Humanos , Salud Pública/legislación & jurisprudencia , Población Rural , Medicina Estatal/organización & administraciónAsunto(s)
Enfermedades de los Animales , Enfermedades de los Bovinos , Brotes de Enfermedades , Enfermedades de las Aves de Corral , Vigilancia de Guardia , Enfermedades de las Ovejas , Enfermedades de los Porcinos , Gales/epidemiología , Inglaterra/epidemiología , Animales , Enfermedades de los Porcinos/epidemiología , Enfermedades de las Ovejas/epidemiología , Ovinos , Vigilancia de Guardia/veterinaria , Enfermedades de las Aves de Corral/epidemiología , Bovinos , Enfermedades de los Bovinos/epidemiología , Enfermedades de los Animales/epidemiología , Porcinos , Brotes de Enfermedades/veterinaria , Enfermedades de las Aves/epidemiología , Animales Salvajes , Femenino , Internacionalidad , Aves , MasculinoRESUMEN
AIM: To investigate use of puberty-blocking hormones (gonadotropin-releasing hormone analogues [GnRHa]) for gender dysphoria in New Zealand. Specifically, to describe demographic characteristics and time trends in the prevalence and incidence of prescribing, and to calculate cumulative incidence (proportion) of first prescribing of GnRHa for gender dysphoria in order to make valid international comparisons. METHOD: The national Pharmaceutical Collection was used to identify all dispensing from 2006 to 2023 to those aged <18, by sex/gender and age. Cumulative incidence of first prescriptions between ages 12 and 17 (which largely excludes prescribing for other indications) was calculated and compared with the Netherlands and England and Wales. RESULTS: In New Zealand, prescription of GnRHa for gender dysphoria started around 2011; prevalence of use increased to 2014, then more steeply to 2022, followed by a decline. Incidence data show the decline started from 2021. New Zealand, compared to the Netherlands (which started prescribing in the 1990s), had 1.7 times the cumulative incidence of first prescriptions by 2018. Compared to England and Wales up to 2020, New Zealand had 3.5-6.9 times the cumulative incidence. CONCLUSION: The high rate of prescribing for probable gender dysphoria in New Zealand, and the decline after 2021, require further investigation.
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Disforia de Género , Hormona Liberadora de Gonadotropina , Humanos , Nueva Zelanda/epidemiología , Masculino , Disforia de Género/tratamiento farmacológico , Disforia de Género/epidemiología , Adolescente , Femenino , Niño , Hormona Liberadora de Gonadotropina/agonistas , Hormona Liberadora de Gonadotropina/antagonistas & inhibidores , Inglaterra/epidemiología , Países Bajos/epidemiología , Gales/epidemiología , Incidencia , Pubertad/efectos de los fármacos , Pautas de la Práctica en Medicina/estadística & datos numéricosRESUMEN
Recent studies suggest an increased risk of reinfection with the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant compared with previous variants, potentially due to an increased ability to escape immunity specific to older variants, high antigenic divergence of Omicron from earlier virus variants as well as its altered cell entry pathway. The present study sought to investigate epidemiological evidence for differential SARS-CoV-2 reinfection intervals and incidence rates for the Delta versus Omicron variants within Wales. Reinfections in Wales up to February 2022 were defined using genotyping and whole genome sequencing. The median inter-infection intervals for Delta and Omicron were 226 and 192 days, respectively. An incidence rate ratio of 2.17 for reinfection with Omicron compared to Delta was estimated using a conditional Poisson model, which accounted for several factors including sample collection date, age group, area of residence, vaccination and travel status. These findings are consistent with an increased risk of reinfection with the Omicron variant, and highlight the value of monitoring emerging variants that have the potential for causing further waves of cases.
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COVID-19 , Reinfección , SARS-CoV-2 , SARS-CoV-2/genética , SARS-CoV-2/aislamiento & purificación , COVID-19/epidemiología , COVID-19/virología , Humanos , Reinfección/virología , Reinfección/epidemiología , Gales/epidemiología , Adulto , Persona de Mediana Edad , Masculino , Femenino , Anciano , Adolescente , Incidencia , Adulto Joven , Niño , Preescolar , LactanteAsunto(s)
Medicina Estatal , Gales/epidemiología , Humanos , Inglaterra , Seguro de Salud/economía , Beneficios del SeguroRESUMEN
INTRODUCTION: Hip fractures are common and cause a huge socioeconomic burden to patients, their carers, and healthcare services worldwide. Our aim was to examine how much hip fracture numbers would be expected to rise over coming decades, simply as a consequence of the ageing of the population. METHODS: We used data from the National Hip Fracture Database on the volume of hip fractures occurring in England, Wales and Northern Ireland in the year 2019 (n = 67,210). We projected future numbers of hip fractures by applying this number, assuming stable rates, to population growth forecast data provided by the Office for National Statistics up to the year 2060. RESULTS: By 2060, the number of hip fractures occurring in England, Wales and Northern Ireland are projected to increase by 107 % (n = 139,105). In males, there was an estimated increase of 130 % compared with 97 % in females. There was an estimated increase across all age ranges, however the oldest age groups demonstrated the largest relative increases. The estimated increase for those aged 90 years or over was as high as 348 % and 198 % for males and females, respectively. CONCLUSION: As a consequence of future ageing of the population, the demand on the health service posed by people with hip fracture is projected to more than double by the year 2060. Policymakers should be striving to mitigate against the huge public health impact of these projections by maximising fracture prevention strategies as far as possible and by improving the quality of hip fracture care.
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Bases de Datos Factuales , Predicción , Fracturas de Cadera , Humanos , Fracturas de Cadera/epidemiología , Masculino , Femenino , Anciano , Irlanda del Norte/epidemiología , Gales/epidemiología , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Persona de Mediana Edad , Inglaterra/epidemiología , Distribución por Edad , Distribución por SexoRESUMEN
OBJECTIVES: To identify (1) who experiences food insecurity of differing severity and (2) who uses food banks in England, Wales and Northern Ireland; (3) whether the same groups experience food insecurity and use food banks; and (4) to explore country- and region-level differences in food insecurity and food bank use. DESIGN: This pooled cross-sectional study analysed the characteristics of adults experiencing food insecurity of differing severity using generalised ordinal logistic regression models and the characteristics of adults using food banks using logistic regression models, using data from three waves of the Food and You 2 surveys, 2021-2023. SETTING: England, Wales and Northern Ireland. PARTICIPANTS: 18 557 adults. RESULTS: 20·8 % of respondents experienced food insecurity in the past 12 months, and 3·6 % had used a food bank. Food insecurity was associated with income, working status, respondent age, family type, ethnicity, country, long-term health conditions, food hypersensitivity, urban-rural status and area-level deprivation. Severe food insecurity was concentrated among respondents with long-term health conditions and food hypersensitivities. Food bank use was more prevalent among food insecure respondents and unemployed and low-income respondents. Neither outcome showed clear geographical variation. Certain groups experienced an elevated likelihood of food insecurity but did not report correspondingly greater food bank use. CONCLUSIONS: Food insecurity is unevenly distributed, and its nutrition and health-related consequences demonstrate that food insecurity will intensify health inequalities. The divergence between the scale of food insecurity and food bank use strengthens calls for adequate policy responses.
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Inseguridad Alimentaria , Humanos , Estudios Transversales , Femenino , Masculino , Adulto , Persona de Mediana Edad , Irlanda del Norte , Adulto Joven , Inglaterra/epidemiología , Gales/epidemiología , Adolescente , Factores Socioeconómicos , Anciano , Asistencia Alimentaria/estadística & datos numéricos , Pobreza/estadística & datos numéricos , Abastecimiento de Alimentos/estadística & datos numéricos , Factores de Riesgo , Modelos LogísticosRESUMEN
Aims: To determine if patient ethnicity among patients with a hip fracture influences the type of fracture, surgical care, and outcome. Methods: This was an observational cohort study using a linked dataset combining data from the National Hip Fracture Database and Hospital Episode Statistics in England and Wales. Patients' odds of dying at one year were modelled using logistic regression with adjustment for ethnicity and clinically relevant covariates. Results: A total of 563,640 patients were included between 1 April 2011 and 1 October 2020. Of these, 476,469 (85%) had a coded ethnicity for analysis. Non-white patients tended to be younger (mean 81.2 vs 83.0 years), and were more commonly male (34.9% vs 28.5%; p < 0.001). They were less likely to be admitted from institutional care (12.9% vs 21.8%; p < 0.001), to have normal cognition (53.3% vs 62.0%; p < 0.001), and to be free of comorbidities (22.0% vs 26.8%; p < 0.001), but were more likely to be from the most deprived areas (29.4% vs 17.3%; p < 0.001). Non-white patients were more likely to experience delay to surgery for medical reasons (14.8% vs 12.7%; p < 0.001), more likely to be treated with an intramedullary nail or a sliding hip screw (52.5% vs 45.1%; p < 0.001), and less likely to be mobilized by the day after surgery (74.3% vs 79.0%; p < 0.001). Mortality was higher among non-white inpatients (9.2% vs 8.4% for white), but was lower at one year after hip fracture (26.6% vs 30.3%). Conclusion: Our study identified serious problems with the quality of NHS ethnicity data. Despite this, we have shown that there is complex variation in case-mix and hip fracture morphology between ethnic groups. We have also identified variations in care received between ethnic groups, and that disparities in healthcare may contribute to poorer outcome. Inpatient mortality is higher in non-white patients, although this finding reverses after discharge, and one-year mortality is lower. Patients from ethnic minority backgrounds experience disparities in healthcare, however at one year postoperatively non-white patients have a statistically significant lower mortality after controlling for relevant clinical covariates.
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Fracturas de Cadera , Humanos , Fracturas de Cadera/cirugía , Fracturas de Cadera/mortalidad , Fracturas de Cadera/etnología , Masculino , Gales/epidemiología , Inglaterra/epidemiología , Femenino , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Anciano , Etnicidad/estadística & datos numéricos , Resultado del TratamientoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Children with established kidney failure may have additional medical conditions influencing kidney care and outcomes. This cross-sectional study aimed to examine the prevalence of co-existing diseases captured in the electronic hospital record compared to UK Renal Registry (UKRR) data and differences in coding. METHODS: The study population comprised children aged < 18 years receiving kidney replacement therapy (KRT) in England and Wales on 31/12/2016. Comorbidity data at KRT start was examined in the hospital record and compared to UKRR data. Agreement was assessed by the kappa statistic. Associations between patient and clinical factors and likelihood of coding were examined using multivariable logistic regression. RESULTS: A total of 869 children (62.5% male) had data linkage for inclusion. UKRR records generally reported a higher prevalence of co-existing disease than electronic health records; congenital, non-kidney disease was most commonly reported across both datasets. The highest sensitivity in the hospital record was seen for congenital heart disease (odds ratio (OR) 0.65, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.51, 0.78) and malignancy (OR 0.63, 95% CI 0.41, 0.85). At best, moderate agreement (kappa ≥ 0.41) was seen between the datasets. Factors associated with higher odds of coding in hospital records included age, while kidney disease and a higher number of comorbidities were associated with lower odds of coding. CONCLUSIONS: Health records generally under-reported co-existing disease compared to registry data with fair-moderate agreement between datasets. Electronic health records offer a non-selective overview of co-existing disease facilitating audit and research, but registry processes are still required to capture paediatric-specific variables pertinent to kidney disease.
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Comorbilidad , Registros Electrónicos de Salud , Sistema de Registros , Humanos , Masculino , Femenino , Niño , Registros Electrónicos de Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Sistema de Registros/estadística & datos numéricos , Estudios Transversales , Preescolar , Adolescente , Lactante , Inglaterra/epidemiología , Gales/epidemiología , Prevalencia , Terapia de Reemplazo Renal/estadística & datos numéricos , Insuficiencia Renal/epidemiología , Recién NacidoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Pleural disease is common, representing 5% of the acute medical workload, and its incidence is rising, partly due to the ageing population. Frailty is an important feature and little is known about disease progression in patients with frailty and pleural disease. We aimed to examine the effect of frailty on mortality and other relevant outcomes in patients diagnosed with pleural disease. METHODS: In this cohort study in Wales, the national Secure Anonymised Information Linkage databank was used to identify a cohort of individuals diagnosed with non-malignant pleural disease between Jan 1, 2005, and March 1, 2023, who were not known to have left Wales. Frailty was assessed at diagnosis of pleural disease using an electronic Frailty Index. The primary outcome was time from diagnosis to all-cause mortality for all patients. Data were analysed using multilevel mixed-effects Cox proportional hazards regression adjusting for the prespecified covariates of age, sex, Welsh Index of Multiple Deprivation quintile, smoking status, comorbidity, and subtype of pleural disease. FINDINGS: 54 566 individuals were included in the final sample (median age 66 years [IQR 47-77]; 26 477 [48·5%] were female and 28 089 [51·5%] were male). By the end of the study period, 25 698 (47·1%) participants had died, with a median follow-up of 1·0 years (IQR 0·2-3·6). There was an association between frailty and all-cause mortality, which increased as frailty worsened. Compared with fit individuals, there was increasing mortality for those with mild frailty (adjusted hazard ratio 1·11 [95% CI 1·08-1·15]; p<0·0001), moderate frailty (1·25 [1·20-1·31]; p<0·0001), and severe frailty (1·36 [1·28-1·44]; p<0·0001). INTERPRETATION: Independent of age and comorbidities, frailty status at diagnosis of pleural disease appeared to be useful as a prognostic indicator. Patients with moderate or severe frailty had a rapid decline in health. Future patients should be assessed for frailty at the time of diagnosis of pleural disease and might benefit from optimised care and advance care planning. FUNDING: Cardiff University's Wellcome Trust iTPA funding award.
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Fragilidad , Enfermedades Pleurales , Humanos , Femenino , Masculino , Anciano , Gales/epidemiología , Fragilidad/mortalidad , Fragilidad/epidemiología , Fragilidad/diagnóstico , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios de Cohortes , Enfermedades Pleurales/mortalidad , Enfermedades Pleurales/epidemiología , Hospitalización/estadística & datos numéricos , Anciano de 80 o más AñosRESUMEN
Background: The COVID-19 pandemic and the ensuing implementation of control measures caused widespread societal disruption. These disruptions may also have affected community transmission and seasonal circulation patterns of endemic respiratory viruses. Objective: We aimed to investigate the impact of COVID-19-related disruption on influenza-related emergency hospital admissions and deaths in Wales in the first 2 years of the pandemic. Methods: A descriptive analysis of influenza activity was conducted using anonymized pathology, hospitalization, and mortality data from the Secure Anonymised Information Linkage Databank in Wales. The annual incidence of emergency hospitalizations and deaths with influenza-specific diagnosis codes between January 1, 2015, and December 31, 2021, was estimated. Case definitions of emergency hospitalization and death required laboratory confirmation with a polymerase chain reaction test. Trends of admissions and deaths were analyzed monthly and yearly. We conducted 2 sensitivity analyses by extending case definitions to include acute respiratory illnesses with a positive influenza test and by limiting admissions to those with influenza as the primary diagnosis. We also examined yearly influenza testing trends to understand changes in testing behavior during the pandemic. Results: We studied a population of 3,235,883 Welsh residents in 2020 with a median age of 42.5 (IQR 22.9-61.0) years. Influenza testing in Wales increased notably in the last 2 months of 2020, and particularly in 2021 to 39,720 per 100,000 people, compared to the prepandemic levels (1343 in 2019). The percentage of influenza admissions matched to an influenza polymerase chain reaction test increased from 74.8% (1890/2526) in 2019 to 85.2% (98/115) in 2021. However, admissions with a positive test per 100,000 population decreased from 17.0 in 2019 to 2.7 and 0.6 in 2020 and 2021, respectively. Similarly, deaths due to influenza with a positive influenza test per 100,000 population decreased from 0.4 in 2019 to 0.0 in 2020 and 2021. Sensitivity analyses showed similar patterns of decreasing influenza admissions and deaths in the first 2 years of the COVID-19 pandemic. Conclusions: Nonpharmaceutical interventions to control COVID-19 were associated with a substantial reduction in the transmission of the influenza virus, with associated substantial reductions in hospital cases and deaths observed. Beyond the pandemic context, consideration should be given to the role of nonpharmaceutical community-driven interventions to reduce the burden of influenza.
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COVID-19 , Hospitalización , Gripe Humana , Pandemias , Humanos , Gripe Humana/epidemiología , Gripe Humana/mortalidad , COVID-19/epidemiología , COVID-19/mortalidad , Gales/epidemiología , Hospitalización/estadística & datos numéricos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Adulto , Masculino , Adulto Joven , FemeninoAsunto(s)
Enfermedades de los Animales , Enfermedades de las Aves , Enfermedades de los Bovinos , Brotes de Enfermedades , Enfermedades de las Aves de Corral , Vigilancia de Guardia , Enfermedades de las Ovejas , Enfermedades de los Porcinos , Gales/epidemiología , Inglaterra/epidemiología , Animales , Enfermedades de los Porcinos/epidemiología , Vigilancia de Guardia/veterinaria , Ovinos , Enfermedades de las Ovejas/epidemiología , Enfermedades de los Animales/epidemiología , Bovinos , Enfermedades de las Aves de Corral/epidemiología , Enfermedades de los Bovinos/epidemiología , Porcinos , Brotes de Enfermedades/veterinaria , Enfermedades de las Aves/epidemiología , Femenino , Animales Salvajes , Aves , Masculino , InternacionalidadRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Socioeconomic mortality inequalities are persistent in Europe but have been changing over time. Smoking is a known contributor to inequality levels, but knowledge about its impact on time trends in inequalities is sparse. METHODS: We studied trends in educational inequalities in smoking-attributable mortality (SAM) and assessed their impact on general mortality inequality trends in England and Wales (E&W), Finland, and Italy (Turin) from 1972 to 2017. We used yearly individually linked all-cause and lung cancer mortality data by educational level and sex for individuals aged 30 and older. SAM was indirectly estimated using the Preston-Glei-Wilmoth method. We calculated the slope index of inequality (SII) and performed segmented regression on SIIs for all-cause, smoking and non-SAM to identify phases in inequality trends. The impact of SAM on all-cause mortality inequality trends was estimated by comparing changes in SII for all-cause with non-SAM. RESULTS: Inequalities in SAM generally declined among males and increased among females, except in Italy. Among males in E&W and Finland, SAM contributed 93% and 76% to declining absolute all-cause mortality inequalities, but this contribution varied over time. Among males in Italy, SAM drove the 1976-1992 increase in all-cause mortality inequalities. Among females in Finland, increasing inequalities in SAM hampered larger declines in mortality inequalities. CONCLUSION: Our findings demonstrate that differing education-specific SAM trends by country and sex result in different inequality trends, and consequent contributions of SAM on educational mortality inequalities. The following decades of the smoking epidemic could increase educational mortality inequalities among Finnish and Italian women.
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Escolaridad , Disparidades en el Estado de Salud , Mortalidad , Fumar , Humanos , Masculino , Femenino , Finlandia/epidemiología , Gales/epidemiología , Italia/epidemiología , Persona de Mediana Edad , Inglaterra/epidemiología , Adulto , Fumar/mortalidad , Mortalidad/tendencias , Anciano , Causas de Muerte/tendencias , Factores Socioeconómicos , Neoplasias Pulmonares/mortalidadRESUMEN
PURPOSE: Despite a known risk of cellulitis recurrence, the management of the wider impact and risk factors has been neglected. The innovative National Cellulitis Improvement Programme (NCIP) addresses this by providing evidence-based and individualised care to improve patient reported outcomes and reduce the risk of recurrence. The aim of this paper is to examine the longer-term impact of cellulitis and to identify a suitable and clinically relevant Patient Reported Outcome Measure (PROM). METHODS: A review of existing cellulitis-specific PROMs was undertaken, alongside literature detailing the patient-focused impact of cellulitis, to identify a suitable PROM for clinical use. A group of expert therapists and patient representatives (n = 14) shared their individual and collective experiences over a series of events to discuss and debate the impact of cellulitis and review available PROMs. CELLUPROM© is introduced with anonymised PROM data and case study information reported to establish the impact of CELLUPROM© within usual NCIP care. RESULTS: No cellulitis-specific PROMs were identified. Literature focused on the signs and symptoms of an acute episode of cellulitis, with outcome measures primarily used to evidence the impact of an intervention. An enduring physical, social and emotional impact of cellulitis was identified in this study, providing the basis for the new cellulitis-specific PROM (CELLUPROM©), which has been implemented with good effect in clinical care. CONCLUSION: This study has highlighted the lasting impact of cellulitis. Using CELLUPROM© within the risk-reduction NCIP has helped develop Value-Based Healthcare and support programme evaluation.
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Celulitis (Flemón) , Medición de Resultados Informados por el Paciente , Humanos , Gales/epidemiología , Masculino , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Adulto , Calidad de Vida , Recurrencia , AncianoRESUMEN
INTRODUCTION: Early-life medical and surgical interventions in babies born preterm and/or with surgical conditions influence later life health and educational outcomes. Obtaining long-term outcomes post-discharge to evaluate the impact of interventions is complex, expensive, and burdensome to families. Linkage of routinely collected data offers a feasible and cost-effective solution. The NeoWONDER research programme aims to describe the short and long-term health and educational outcomes for babies born preterm and/or with surgical conditions and evaluate the impact of neonatal care and interventions on later health and educational outcomes. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: We will include babies who received care in neonatal units in England and Wales, born between 2007-2020 with a gestational age below 32 weeks (approximately 100,000), and/or born between 2012-2020 (all gestations) with any of six surgical conditions: necrotising enterocolitis, Hirschsprung's disease, gastroschisis, oesophageal atresia, congenital diaphragmatic hernia, and posterior urethral valves (approximately 8,000). A detailed list of surgical condition codes is shown in S3 File. We will obtain long-term health and education outcomes through linkage of the National Neonatal Research Database, which contains routine data for all babies admitted to NHS neonatal units, to other existing health and educational datasets. For England, these are: Hospital Episode Statistics, the Office for National Statistics, Mental Health Services Dataset, Paediatric Intensive Care Audit Network, National Pupil Database; and for Wales, the Secure Anonymised Information Linkage databank. Analysis will be undertaken on de-identified linked datasets. Outcomes of interest for health include mortality, hospital admissions, diagnoses indicative of neurodisability and/or chronic illness, health care utilisation; and for education are attainment (using national curriculum assessments), school absence and special educational needs status.
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Recien Nacido Prematuro , Humanos , Recién Nacido , Gales/epidemiología , Inglaterra/epidemiología , Femenino , Bases de Datos Factuales , Almacenamiento y Recuperación de la Información , MasculinoRESUMEN
Aims: The COVID-19 pandemic has disrupted the provision of arthroplasty services in England, Wales, and Northern Ireland. This study aimed to quantify the backlog, analyze national trends, and predict time to recovery. Methods: We performed an analysis of the mandatory prospective national registry of all independent and publicly funded hip, knee, shoulder, elbow, and ankle replacements in England, Wales, and Northern Ireland between January 2019 and December 2022 inclusive, totalling 729,642 operations. The deficit was calculated per year compared to a continuation of 2019 volume. Total deficit of cases between 2020 to 2022 was expressed as a percentage of 2019 volume. Sub-analyses were performed based on procedure type, country, and unit sector. Results: Between January 2020 and December 2022, there was a deficit of 158,994 joint replacements. This is equivalent to over two-thirds of a year of normal expected operating activity (71.6%). There were 104,724 (-47.1%) fewer performed in 2020, 41,928 (-18.9%) fewer performed in 2021, and 12,342 (-5.6%) fewer performed in 2022, respectively, than in 2019. Independent-sector procedures increased to make it the predominant arthroplasty provider (53% in 2022). NHS activity was 73.2% of 2019 levels, while independent activity increased to 126.8%. Wales (-136.3%) and Northern Ireland (-121.3%) recorded deficits of more than a year's worth of procedures, substantially more than England (-66.7%). It would take until 2031 to eliminate this deficit with an immediate expansion of capacity over 2019 levels by 10%. Conclusion: The arthroplasty deficit following the COVID-19 pandemic is now equivalent to over two-thirds of a year of normal operating activity, and continues to increase. Patients awaiting different types of arthroplasty, in each country, have been affected disproportionately. A rapid and significant expansion in services is required to address the deficit, and will still take many years to rectify.
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Artroplastia de Reemplazo , COVID-19 , Sistema de Registros , COVID-19/epidemiología , Humanos , Irlanda del Norte/epidemiología , Gales/epidemiología , Inglaterra/epidemiología , SARS-CoV-2 , PandemiasRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: In May 2020, England implemented soft 'opt-out' or 'deemed consent' for deceased donation with the intention of raising consent rates. However, this coincided with the COVID-19 pandemic, making it difficult to assess the early impact of the law change. Wales and Scotland changed their organ donation legislation to implement soft opt-out systems in 2015 and 2021 respectively. This study provides a descriptive analysis of changes in consent and transplant rates for deceased organ donation in England, Scotland and Wales. METHODS: Logistic regression and descriptive trend analysis were employed to assess the probability of a patient who died in critical care becoming a donor, and to report consent rates using data, respectively, from the Intensive Care National Audit and Research Centre (ICNARC) in England from 1 April 2014 to 30 September 2021, and from the Potential Donor Audit for England, Scotland and Wales from April 2010 to June 2023. RESULTS: The number of eligible donors in April-June 2020 were 56.5%, 59.3% and 57.6% lower in England, Scotland and Wales relative to April-June 2019 (pre-pandemic). By April-June 2023, the number of eligible donors had recovered to 87.4%, 64.2% and 110.3%, respectively, of their levels in 2019. The consent rate in England, Scotland and Wales reduced from 68.3%, 63.0% and 63.6% in April-June 2019 to 63.2%, 60.5% and 56.3% in April-June 2023. CONCLUSIONS: While the UK organ donation system shows signs of recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic, the number of eligible potential donors and consent rates remain below their pre-pandemic levels.
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COVID-19 , Pandemias , Donantes de Tejidos , Obtención de Tejidos y Órganos , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiología , Gales/epidemiología , Inglaterra/epidemiología , Obtención de Tejidos y Órganos/legislación & jurisprudencia , Obtención de Tejidos y Órganos/tendencias , Obtención de Tejidos y Órganos/estadística & datos numéricos , Escocia/epidemiología , SARS-CoV-2 , Masculino , Consentimiento Informado/legislación & jurisprudenciaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Despite the considerable morbidity caused by recurrent urinary tract infections (rUTIs), and the wider personal and public health implications from frequent antibiotic use, few studies adequately describe the prevalence and characteristics of women with rUTIs or those who use prophylactic antibiotics. AIM: To describe the prevalence, characteristics, and urine profiles of women with rUTIs with and without prophylactic antibiotic use in Welsh primary care. DESIGN AND SETTING: This was a retrospective cross-sectional study in Welsh general practice using the Secure Anonymised Information Linkage (SAIL) Databank. METHOD: The characteristics of women aged ≥18 years with rUTIs or using prophylactic antibiotics from 2010 to 2020, and associated urine culture results from 2015 to 2020, are described. RESULTS: In total, 6.0% (n = 92 213/N = 1 547 919) had rUTIs, and 1.7% (n = 26 862/N = 1 547 919) were prescribed prophylactic antibiotics with the rates increasing after 57 years of age. Only 49.0% (n =13 149/N = 26 862) of users of prophylactic antibiotics met the definition of rUTIs before initiation. The study found that 80.8% (n = 44 947/N = 55 652) of women with rUTIs had a urine culture result in the preceding 12 months with high rates of resistance to trimethoprim and amoxicillin. Of women taking prophylactic antibiotics, 64.2% (n = 9926/N = 15 455) had a urine culture result before initiation and 18.5% (n = 320/N = 1730) of women prescribed trimethoprim had resistance to it on the antecedent sample. CONCLUSION: A substantial proportion of women had rUTIs or incident prophylactic antibiotic use. However, 64.2% (n = 9926/N = 15 455) of women had urine cultured before starting prophylaxis. There was a high proportion of cultured bacteria resistant to two antibiotics used for rUTI prevention and evidence of resistance to the prescribed antibiotic. More frequent urine cultures for rUTI diagnosis and before prophylactic antibiotic initiation could better inform antibiotic choices.
Asunto(s)
Antibacterianos , Profilaxis Antibiótica , Atención Primaria de Salud , Recurrencia , Infecciones Urinarias , Humanos , Infecciones Urinarias/prevención & control , Infecciones Urinarias/tratamiento farmacológico , Femenino , Estudios Transversales , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Retrospectivos , Adulto , Antibacterianos/uso terapéutico , Anciano , Gales/epidemiología , Prevalencia , AdolescenteRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Understanding of ethnic disparities in suicide in England and Wales is poor as ethnicity is not recorded on death certificates. Using linked data, we examined variations, by sex, in suicide rates in England and Wales by ethnicity and migrant and descendant status. METHODS: Using the Office for National Statistics 2012-19 mortality data linked to the 2011 census from the Public Health Research Database, we calculated the age-standardised suicide rates by sex for each of the 18 self-identified ethnicity groups in England and Wales. We present rates by age, sex, and methods used for suicide by ethnic group. We estimated age-adjusted and sex-adjusted incidence rate ratios (IRRs) using Poisson regression models for each minority ethnic group compared with the majority population. We involved people with lived experience in the research. FINDINGS: Overall, 31â644 suicide deaths occurred over the study period, including 3602 (11%) in people from minority ethnic backgrounds, with a mean age of death of 43·3 years (SD 17·0, range 13-96). Almost all minority ethnic groups had a lower rate of suicide than the White British majority, apart from individuals who identified as being from a Mixed heritage background or White Gypsy or Irish Travellers. In females who identified as Mixed White and Caribbean, the suicide IRR was 1·79 (95% CI 1·45-2·21) compared with the White British majority; in those who identified as White Gypsy or Irish Travellers, the IRR was 2·26 (1·42-3·58). Rates in males identifying as from these two groups and those identifying as White Irish were similar to the White British majority. Compared with the non-migrant population, migrants had a lower rate of suicide regardless of ethnicity, but in the descendant population, people from a Mixed ethnicity background had a higher risk of suicide than the White British majority. INTERPRETATION: There are ethnic disparities in suicide mortality in England and Wales, but the reasons for this are unclear. The higher rate in previously overlooked minority ethnic groups warrants further attention. FUNDING: Wellcome Trust.