Use of risk scores to identify lower and higher risk subsets among COMPASS-eligible patients with chronic coronary syndromes. Insights from the CLARIFY registry.

BACKGROUND: The COMPASS trial showed a reduction of ischemic events with low-dose rivaroxaban and aspirin in chronic coronary syndromes (CCS) compared with aspirin alone, at the expense of increased bleeding. HYPOTHESIS: The CHA2 DS2 VaSc Score, REACH Recurrent Ischemic (RIS), and REACH Bleeding Risk Score (BRS) could identify patients with a favorable trade-off between ischemic and bleeding events, among COMPASS-eligible patients. METHODS: We identified the COMPASS-eligible population within the CLARIFY registry (>30.000 patients with CCS). High-bleeding risk patients (REACH BRS > 10) were excluded, as in the COMPASS trial. Patients were categorized as low (0-1) or high (≥ 2) CHA2 DS2 VaSc; low (0-12) or intermediate (13-19) REACH RIS, and low (0-6) or intermediate (7-10) REACH BRS. Ischemic outcome was the composite of cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction or stroke. Bleeding was defined as serious bleeding (haemorrhagic stroke, hospitalization for bleeding, transfusion). RESULTS: The COMPASS-eligible population comprised 5.142 patients with ischemic and bleeding outcome of 2.3 (2.1-2.5) and 0.5 (0.4-0.6) per 100 patient-years, respectively. Patients with intermediate REACH RIS (n = 1934 [37.6%]) had the higher ischemic risk (3.0 [2.6-3.4]) with similar bleeding risk (0.5 [0.4-0.7]) as the overall population. Patients with low CHA2 DS2 VaSc (n = 229 [4.4%]) had a very low ischemic risk (0.6 [0.3-1.3]) with similar bleeding risk (0.5 [0.2-1.1]). CONCLUSIONS: Intermediate REACH RIS identified potential optimal candidates for adjunction of low-dose rivaroxaban while patients with low CHA2 DS2 VaSc score .appears unlikely to benefit from the COMPASS regimen. None of the three risk scores predicted the occurrence of serious bleeding.