Quality of life after hospitalization predicts one-year readmission risk in a large Swiss cohort of medical in-patients.

PURPOSE: Estimating the probability of readmission following hospitalization using prediction scores can be complex. Quality of life (QoL) may provide an easy and effective alternative. METHODS: Secondary analysis of the prospective "TRIAGE" cohort. All medical in-patients admitted to a Swiss tertiary care institution (2016-2019) ≥18 years with a length of stay of ≥2 days (23,309 patients) were included. EQ-5D VAS, EQ-5D index, and Barthel index were assessed at a single telephone interview 30-day after admission. Patients lost to follow-up were excluded. Readmission was defined as a non-elective hospital stay at our institution >24 h within 1 year after discharge and assessed using area under the curve (AUC) analysis with adjustment for confounders. RESULTS: 12,842 patients (43% females, median age 68, IQR 55-78) were included. Unadjusted discrimination was modest at 0.59 (95% CI 0.56-0.62) for EQ-5D VAS. Partially adjusted discrimination (for gender) was identical. Additional adjustment for insurance, Charlson comorbidity index, length of stay, and native language increased the AUC to 0.66 (95% CI 0.63-0.69). Results were robust irrespective of time to event (12, 6 or 3 months). A cut-off in the unadjusted model of EQ-5D VAS of 55 could separate cases with a specificity of 80% and a sensitivity of 30%. CONCLUSION: QoL at day 30 after admission can predict one-year readmission risk with similar precision as more intricate tools. It might help for identification of high-risk patients and the design of tailored prevention strategies.