Effectiveness of a monitored home isolation program for COVID-19 infection during the second wave of the pandemic.

Background: The rapidity of spread of COVID-19 infection during the second wave of the pandemic placed tremendous stress on healthcare resources. This study evaluated the effectiveness of a monitored home isolation (HI) program. Methods: In this descriptive longitudinal study, symptomatic patients were screened in the HI clinic and eligible patients were followed up at home using tele-consultation, until recovery or hospitalization. HI failure was defined as need for hospitalization. Factors associated with HI failure were assessed using logistic regression analysis and expressed as odds ratio (OR) with 95% confidence interval (CI). Results: During April and May 2021, 1957 RT-PCR confirmed patients (984 male) with mean (SD) age 40 (13.5) years were enrolled; 93.3% (n = 1825) were successfully managed at home. Of the 132 patients (6.7%) who failed HI, 57 (43.2%) required oxygen therapy and 23 needed intensive care admissions. Overall mortality was 0.4% (7/1957). On adjusted analysis, factors associated with HI failure were age ≥60 years (OR 2.24; 95%CI 1.26-3.99), male gender (OR 2.26; 95%CI 1.44-3.57), subjective reporting of breathing difficulty (OR 3.64; 95%CI 2.08-6.37), history of cough (OR 2.08; 95%CI 1.37-3.17), and higher heart rate (OR 1.04; 95%CI 1.02-1.05). Although patient status (non-healthcare workers), no prior vaccination and ≥2 comorbidities were associated with HI failure on unadjusted analysis, these were non-significant on adjusted analysis. Conclusion: Monitored HI program can be used successfully during a pandemic wave to judicially use scare hospital resources. Older male patients presenting with breathlessness or cough may warrant closer monitoring.