Prognostic Value of Alpha-Fetoprotein in Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma Treated with Hepatic Artery Infusion Chemotherapy Combined with Lenvatinib and Camrelizumab.

ABSTRACT

Purpose: This study aimed to assess the prognostic significance of alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) response in patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (u-HCC) who underwent hepatic artery infusion chemotherapy (HAIC) combined with lenvatinib and camrelizumab. Methods: A retrospective review was conducted on patients with u-HCC receiving treatment with HAIC combined with lenvatinib and camrelizumab. Early AFP response was defined as a >20% decrease in AFP within 4 weeks, and AFP response as a >75% decrease in AFP within 8 weeks. The correlation between early AFP response, AFP response, therapeutic response, overall survival (OS), and progression-free survival (PFS) was investigated. Results: The study included 63 patients. AFP responders exhibited superior objective response rates compared to AFP non-responders, as determined by RECIST v1.1 or mRECIST criteria (45.5 vs. 18.2%, p=0.014, or 81.8 vs. 48.5%, p=0.013). Furthermore, early AFP responders demonstrated prolonged OS (not reached vs. 8.0 months, p<0.001) and PFS (13.3 vs. 3.0 months, p= 0.018) relative to early AFP non-responders. Similarly, AFP responders exhibited improved OS (not reached vs. 9.0 months, p<0.001) and PFS (19.3 vs. 5.1 months, p=0.002) compared to AFP non-responders. Multivariate analysis results indicated that both early AFP response and AFP response independently predicted OS [hazard ratio (HR) 2.963, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.333-6.585, p=0.008, and HR 6.182, 95% CI 1.780-21.466, p=0.004] and PFS (HR 2.186, 95% CI 1.107-4.318, p=0.024, and HR 3.078, 95% CI 1.407-6.730, p=0.005), serving as significant prognostic values. Conclusion: Early AFP response and AFP response serve as predictive biomarkers for the effectiveness of HAIC combined with lenvatinib and camrelizumab in patients with u-HCC.