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1.
Braz J Psychiatry ; 42(1): 33-39, 2020.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31314867

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate body dissatisfaction and distorted body self-image in women with prolactinoma. METHODS: Body dissatisfaction and distorted body self-image were evaluated in 80 women with prolactinoma. All patients were in menacme, 34% had normal body mass index (BMI), and 66% were overweight. Most patients (56.2%) had normal prolactin (PRL) levels and no hyperprolactinemia symptoms (52.5%). The Body Shape Questionnaire (BSQ) was used to assess the patients' dissatisfaction with and concern about their physical form, and the Stunkard Figure Rating Scale (FRS) was used to assess body dissatisfaction and distorted body self-image. The patients were divided according to PRL level (normal vs. elevated) and the presence or absence of prolactinoma symptoms. RESULTS: The normal and elevated PRL groups had similar incidences of body dissatisfaction and distorted body self-image. However, symptomatic patients reported a higher incidence of dissatisfaction than asymptomatic patients. Distorted body self-image was less common among symptomatic patients. CONCLUSION: Symptomatic patients showed higher body dissatisfaction, but lower body self-image distortion. The presence of symptoms may have been responsible for increased body awareness. The perception of body shape could have triggered feelings of dissatisfaction compared to an ideal lean body. Therefore, a distorted body self-image might not necessarily result in body dissatisfaction in women with prolactinomas.


Assuntos
Transtornos Dismórficos Corporais/psicologia , Hiperprolactinemia/psicologia , Neoplasias Hipofisárias/psicologia , Prolactinoma/psicologia , Adulto , Imagem Corporal/psicologia , Índice de Massa Corporal , Agonistas de Dopamina/uso terapêutico , Feminino , Humanos , Hiperprolactinemia/sangue , Hiperprolactinemia/tratamento farmacológico , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Neoplasias Hipofisárias/sangue , Prolactina/sangue , Prolactinoma/sangue , Escalas de Graduação Psiquiátrica , Valores de Referência , Estatísticas não Paramétricas , Inquéritos e Questionários , Adulto Jovem
2.
Rev Saude Publica ; 41(3): 427-35, 2007 Jun.
Artigo em Português | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17515997

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To apply the Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) methodology for evaluating the performance of public hospitals, in terms of clinical medical admissions. METHODS: The efficiency of the hospitals was measured according to the performance of decision-making units in relation to the variables studied for each hospital, in the year 2000. Data relating to clinical medical admissions in hospitals within the public system in Brazilian state capitals and Federal District (mortality rate, mean length of stay, mean cost of stay and disease profile) were analyzed. The canonical correlation analysis technique was introduced to restrict the variation range of the variables used. The constant returns to scale model was used to generate scores that would enable assessment of the efficiency of the units. From the scores obtained, these cities were classified according to their relative performance in the variables analyzed. It was sought to correlate between the classification scores and the exogenous variables of the expenditure on primary care programs per inhabitant and the human development index for each state capital. RESULTS: In the hospitals studied, circulatory diseases were the most prevalent (23.6% of admissions), and the mortality rate was 10.3% of admissions. Among the 27 state capitals, four reached 100% efficiency (Palmas, Macapá, Teresina and Goiânia), seven were between 85 and 100%, ten were between 70 and 85% and ten had efficiency of less than 70%. CONCLUSIONS: The tool utilized was shown to be applicable for evaluating the performance of public hospitals. It revealed large variations among the Brazilian state capitals in relation to clinical medical admissions.


Assuntos
Eficiência Organizacional/estatística & dados numéricos , Pesquisa sobre Serviços de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Hospitais Públicos/normas , Atenção Primária à Saúde/normas , Brasil/epidemiologia , Doenças Cardiovasculares/mortalidade , Custos e Análise de Custo , Interpretação Estatística de Dados , Mortalidade Hospitalar , Hospitais Públicos/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Tempo de Internação , Neoplasias/mortalidade , Doenças Parasitárias/mortalidade , Admissão do Paciente , Atenção Primária à Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , População Urbana/estatística & dados numéricos
3.
J Pediatr (Rio J) ; 91(5): 493-8, 2015.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26054772

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the risk of adverse perinatal outcomes in women aged ≥41 years relatively to those aged 21-34. METHODS: Approximately 8.5 million records of singleton births in Brazilian hospitals in the period 2004-2009 were investigated. Odds ratios were estimated for preterm and post-term births, for low Apgar scores at 1 min and at 5 min, for asphyxia, for low birth weight, and for macrosomia. RESULTS: For pregnant women ≥41, increased risks were identified for preterm births, for post-term births (except for primiparous women with schooling ≥12 years), and for low birth weight. When comparing older vs. younger women, higher educational levels ensure similar risks of low Apgar score at 1 min (for primiparous mothers and term births), of low Apgar score at 5 min (for term births), of macrosomia (for non-primiparous women), and of asphyxia. CONCLUSION: As a rule, older mothers are at higher risk of adverse perinatal outcomes, which, however, may be mitigated or eliminated, depending on gestational age, parity, and, especially, on the education level of the pregnant woman.


Assuntos
Idade Materna , Resultado da Gravidez/epidemiologia , Adulto , Índice de Apgar , Asfixia Neonatal/epidemiologia , Brasil/epidemiologia , Estudos Transversais , Escolaridade , Feminino , Macrossomia Fetal/epidemiologia , Idade Gestacional , Humanos , Recém-Nascido de Baixo Peso , Recém-Nascido , Paridade , Gravidez , Cuidado Pré-Natal/estatística & dados numéricos , Medição de Risco , Adulto Jovem
4.
Braz. J. Psychiatry (São Paulo, 1999, Impr.) ; 42(1): 33-39, Jan.-Feb. 2020. tab, graf
Artigo em Inglês | LILACS | ID: biblio-1055365

RESUMO

Objective: To evaluate body dissatisfaction and distorted body self-image in women with prolactinoma. Methods: Body dissatisfaction and distorted body self-image were evaluated in 80 women with prolactinoma. All patients were in menacme, 34% had normal body mass index (BMI), and 66% were overweight. Most patients (56.2%) had normal prolactin (PRL) levels and no hyperprolactinemia symptoms (52.5%). The Body Shape Questionnaire (BSQ) was used to assess the patients' dissatisfaction with and concern about their physical form, and the Stunkard Figure Rating Scale (FRS) was used to assess body dissatisfaction and distorted body self-image. The patients were divided according to PRL level (normal vs. elevated) and the presence or absence of prolactinoma symptoms. Results: The normal and elevated PRL groups had similar incidences of body dissatisfaction and distorted body self-image. However, symptomatic patients reported a higher incidence of dissatisfaction than asymptomatic patients. Distorted body self-image was less common among symptomatic patients. Conclusion: Symptomatic patients showed higher body dissatisfaction, but lower body self-image distortion. The presence of symptoms may have been responsible for increased body awareness. The perception of body shape could have triggered feelings of dissatisfaction compared to an ideal lean body. Therefore, a distorted body self-image might not necessarily result in body dissatisfaction in women with prolactinomas.


Assuntos
Humanos , Feminino , Adulto , Adulto Jovem , Neoplasias Hipofisárias/psicologia , Hiperprolactinemia/psicologia , Prolactinoma/psicologia , Transtornos Dismórficos Corporais/psicologia , Neoplasias Hipofisárias/sangue , Prolactina/sangue , Escalas de Graduação Psiquiátrica , Valores de Referência , Imagem Corporal/psicologia , Hiperprolactinemia/tratamento farmacológico , Hiperprolactinemia/sangue , Prolactinoma/sangue , Índice de Massa Corporal , Inquéritos e Questionários , Estatísticas não Paramétricas , Agonistas de Dopamina/uso terapêutico , Pessoa de Meia-Idade
5.
Int J Hyg Environ Health ; 206(6): 575-82, 2003 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-14626904

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: The objective of this study was to analyse the relation between residence water access (water taps) and hepatitis A virus (HAV) antibodies, associated with socio-economic, environmental and demographic factors. METHODS: A logistic regression model was used for estimating the relation between residential water access (presence of water taps inside the house) and HAV antibodies, related to confounding effects of selected variables. The odds ratios estimated by the model were used as incidence density ratios (IDR) for the analysis of the water access-antibody association. Data were obtained from a cross-sectional study on the seroprevalence of hepatitis A in 3779 volunteers from Duque de Caxias city, greater Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. Participants were selected according to an age-specified random sampling survey. RESULTS: Besides water access (main variable of interest), age, monthly family income, housewife schooling, persons per room, proximity to open sewage channels and consumption water treatment were statistically associated to hepatitis A seroprevalences. An interaction between water access and proximity to open sewage channels was detected. Persons living in residences distant from an open sewage channel had a water access-antibody IDR of 2.5 (95% CI [1.4; 4.3]), in contrast to 1.1 for those living close to such channels. CONCLUSIONS: Although indirectly measured through the proxy variable water access, personal hygiene, in conjunction with the absence of open sewage channels in the proximity of the residence, was an important factor for low HAV seroprevalence study population.


Assuntos
Anticorpos Anti-Hepatite A/sangue , Vírus da Hepatite A/imunologia , Hepatite A/epidemiologia , Abastecimento de Água , Adolescente , Adulto , Brasil/epidemiologia , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , Hepatite A/sangue , Hepatite A/etiologia , Hepatite A/virologia , Vírus da Hepatite A/isolamento & purificação , Humanos , Lactente , Masculino , Características de Residência , Fatores de Risco , Estudos Soroepidemiológicos , Fatores Socioeconômicos
6.
Appl Health Econ Health Policy ; 1(3): 157-64, 2002.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-14619267

RESUMO

This paper evaluates the economic impact of pesticide intoxication on the health of rural workers in the State of Minas Gerais, Brazil. To estimate the economic impact we considered the purchase cost of pesticides and the treatment costs of rural workers' affected by intoxication. These impacts were compared to the benefits of pesticide use, as estimated by the crop losses avoided through pesticide application. Data were obtained from the Fundacentro/Ministry of Work agency for the years 1991-2000, in nine municipalities of Minas Gerais, Brazil; and included epidemiological surveillance records and blood screening results. Rural workers' probabilities of intoxication were estimated as a function of their expositure characteristics by means of a logistic regression model. The changes in marginal probabilities associated with changes in expositure characteristics were also estimated. When health intoxication costs are included in the farmer's decision process, the financial benefit of pesticide use with certain crops is reduced. For zucchini, beans and corn, respectively, treatment costs represent about 42%, 25% and 25% of the pesticide use benefit. This study points to the need for an extensive investigation into the real benefits of pesticide use and its consequences for the environment and health in Brazil.


Assuntos
Doenças dos Trabalhadores Agrícolas/economia , Eficiência , Indicadores Básicos de Saúde , Exposição Ocupacional/efeitos adversos , Praguicidas/toxicidade , Saúde da População Rural , Adolescente , Adulto , Brasil/epidemiologia , Custos de Saúde para o Empregador , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Exposição Ocupacional/economia , Praguicidas/economia , Fatores de Risco
7.
Rev Saude Publica ; 45(3): 617-20, 2011 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês, Português | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21552759

RESUMO

The paper discusses the impact of plausibility (the a priori probability) on the results of scientific research, according to the approach proposed by Ioannidis, concerning the percentage of null hypotheses erroneously classified as "positive" (statistically significant). The question "what fraction of positive results are true-positives?", which is equivalent to the positive predictive value, is dependent on the combination of true and false hypotheses within a given area. For example, consider an area in which 90% of hypotheses are false and α = 0.05 and power = 0.8: for every 1,000 hypotheses, 45 (900 x 0.05) are false-positives and 80 (100 x 0.8) are true-positives. Therefore, the probability of a positive result being a false-positive is 45/125. In addition, the reporting of negative results as if they were positive would contribute towards an increase in this fraction. Although this analysis is difficult to quantify, and these results are likely be overestimated, it has two implications: i) plausibility should be considered in the analysis of the ethical adequacy of a research proposal, and ii) mechanisms aimed at registering studies and protocols should be encouraged.


Assuntos
Pesquisa Biomédica , Interpretação Estatística de Dados , Probabilidade , Humanos , Modelos Estatísticos , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Projetos de Pesquisa
8.
Int J Gynaecol Obstet ; 112(1): 25-9, 2011 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21056416

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To assess maternal mortality and its association with accessibility to obstetric care in the metropolitan region of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. METHODS: Maternal mortality was assessed from 2 national databases, one administrative and the other designed for epidemiologic purposes. Distances traveled from residence to hospital via the transit network were calculated using a specialized information system. Deaths were grouped by area of residence, and maternal mortality ratios (number of deaths per 100,000 live births) as well as death incidence ratios (deaths/live births in 2 regions or hospital types) were calculated for these areas. RESULTS: We identified 236 deaths and estimated under-reporting at 30%. The most common causes of death were hypertension-related disorders, "other obstetric conditions," and complications from abortion; the longest traveled distance was 66.43 km (mean, 13.65 km); and maternal mortality ratios varied between 25.54% and 56.45%, the highest values being for areas with the lowest municipal human development index. The highest death incidence ratios were found at general hospitals without specialized obstetric care. CONCLUSION: Maternal mortality is still a serious problem in the studied region. The wide variations among areas of different socioeconomic conditions suggest the need for a better allocation of health care resources.


Assuntos
Acessibilidade aos Serviços de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Serviços de Saúde Materna/estatística & dados numéricos , Mortalidade Materna , Complicações na Gravidez/epidemiologia , Resultado da Gravidez , Adolescente , Adulto , Brasil , Bases de Dados Factuais , Feminino , Sistemas de Informação Geográfica , Humanos , Gravidez , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Adulto Jovem
9.
Ann Intern Med ; 139(8): W74; author reply W76, 2003 Oct 21.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-14568880
10.
J Eval Clin Pract ; 16(6): 1198-202, 2010 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20695955

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: This work develops a cost analysis estimation for a mammography clinic, taking into account resource utilization and equipment failure rates. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Two standard clinic models were simulated, the first with one mammography equipment, two technicians and one doctor, and the second (based on an actually functioning clinic) with two equipments, three technicians and one doctor. Cost data and model parameters were obtained by direct measurements, literature reviews and other hospital data. A discrete-event simulation model was developed, in order to estimate the unit cost (total costs/number of examinations in a defined period) of mammography examinations at those clinics. The cost analysis considered simulated changes in resource utilization rates and in examination failure probabilities (failures on the image acquisition system). In addition, a sensitivity analysis was performed, taking into account changes in the probabilities of equipment failure types. RESULTS: For the two clinic configurations, the estimated mammography unit costs were, respectively, US$ 41.31 and US$ 53.46 in the absence of examination failures. As the examination failures increased up to 10% of total examinations, unit costs approached US$ 54.53 and US$ 53.95, respectively. The sensitivity analysis showed that type 3 (the most serious) failure increases had a very large impact on the patient attendance, up to the point of actually making attendance unfeasible. CONCLUSIONS: Discrete-event simulation allowed for the definition of the more efficient clinic, contingent on the expected prevalence of resource utilization and equipment failures.


Assuntos
Simulação por Computador , Falha de Equipamento , Mamografia/economia , Alocação de Recursos , Brasil , Custos e Análise de Custo/métodos , Falha de Equipamento/estatística & dados numéricos , Feminino , Recursos em Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Modelos Econômicos
11.
J. pediatr. (Rio J.) ; 91(5): 493-498, Sept.-Oct. 2015. tab
Artigo em Inglês | LILACS | ID: lil-766174

RESUMO

ABSTRACT OBJECTIVES: To investigate the risk of adverse perinatal outcomes in women aged ≥41 years relatively to those aged 21-34. METHODS: Approximately 8.5 million records of singleton births in Brazilian hospitals in the period 2004-2009 were investigated. Odds ratios were estimated for preterm and post-term births, for low Apgar scores at 1 min and at 5 min, for asphyxia, for low birth weight, and for macrosomia. RESULTS: For pregnant women ≥41, increased risks were identified for preterm births, for post-term births (except for primiparous women with schooling ≥12 years), and for low birth weight. When comparing older vs. younger women, higher educational levels ensure similar risks of low Apgar score at 1 min (for primiparous mothers and term births), of low Apgar score at 5 min (for term births), of macrosomia (for non-primiparous women), and of asphyxia. CONCLUSION: As a rule, older mothers are at higher risk of adverse perinatal outcomes, which, however, may be mitigated or eliminated, depending on gestational age, parity, and, especially, on the education level of the pregnant woman.


RESUMO OBJETIVOS: Investigar o risco de resultados perinatais adversos em mulheres ≥ 41 anos relativamente àquelas com idade 21-34. MÉTODOS: Cerca de 8,5 milhões de registros de nascimentos únicos em hospitais brasileiros no período 2004-2009 foram investigados. Odds ratios foram estimados para nascimentos prematuros e pós-termo, baixos índices de Apgar no 1° e 5° minutos, asfixia, baixo peso ao nascer e macrossomia. RESULTADOS: Para as mulheres grávidas ≥ 41, aumento de riscos foram identificados para nascimentos prematuros, partos pós-termo (com exceção de primíparas com escolaridade ≥ 12 anos) e baixo peso ao nascer. Relativamente a mulheres mais velhas vs. mais jovens, maiores níveis de escolaridade garantem riscos semelhantes de baixo índice de Apgar no 1° minuto (para primíparas e nascimentos a termo), de baixo índice de Apgar no 5° minuto (para nascimentos a termo), de macrossomia (para não primíparas) e de asfixia. CONCLUSÃO: Em geral, mães mais velhas estão sob maiores riscos de desfechos perinatais adversos, mas esses são minimizados ou eliminados a depender da idade gestacional, da paridade e, em especial, da escolaridade da gestante.


Assuntos
Adulto , Feminino , Humanos , Recém-Nascido , Gravidez , Adulto Jovem , Idade Materna , Resultado da Gravidez/epidemiologia , Índice de Apgar , Asfixia Neonatal/epidemiologia , Brasil/epidemiologia , Estudos Transversais , Escolaridade , Macrossomia Fetal/epidemiologia , Idade Gestacional , Recém-Nascido de Baixo Peso , Paridade , Cuidado Pré-Natal/estatística & dados numéricos , Medição de Risco
12.
J Eval Clin Pract ; 14(6): 1031-7, 2008 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19019096

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: This study used the discrete-events computer simulation methodology to model a large hospital surgical centre (SC), in order to analyse the impact of increases in the number of post-anaesthetic beds (PABs), of changes in surgical room scheduling strategies and of increases in surgery numbers. METHODS: The used inputs were: number of surgeries per day, type of surgical room scheduling, anaesthesia and surgery duration, surgical teams' specialty and number of PABs, and the main outputs were: number of surgeries per day, surgical rooms' use rate and blocking rate, surgical teams' use rate, patients' blocking rate, surgery delays (minutes) and the occurrence of postponed surgeries. Two basic strategies were implemented: in the first strategy, the number of PABs was increased under two assumptions: (a) following the scheduling plan actually used by the hospital (the 'rigid' scheduling - surgical rooms were previously assigned and assignments could not be changed) and (b) following a 'flexible' scheduling (surgical rooms, when available, could be freely used by any surgical team). In the second, the same analysis was performed, increasing the number of patients (up to the system 'feasible maximum') but fixing the number of PABs, in order to evaluate the impact of the number of patients over surgery delays. CONCLUSION: It was observed that the introduction of a flexible scheduling/increase in PABs would lead to a significant improvement in the SC productivity.


Assuntos
Simulação por Computador , Eficiência Organizacional , Administração Hospitalar , Centro Cirúrgico Hospitalar/organização & administração , Anestesia , Agendamento de Consultas , Humanos , Medicina/organização & administração , Admissão e Escalonamento de Pessoal/organização & administração , Cuidados Pós-Operatórios , Avaliação de Processos em Cuidados de Saúde , Sala de Recuperação/organização & administração , Especialização , Fatores de Tempo
13.
J Biosoc Sci ; 39(2): 221-9, 2007 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16448583

RESUMO

The objective of this study was to analyse the association between socioeconomic indicators and cardiovascular disease risk factors in adult residents of Rio de Janeiro city, Brazil. Data were obtained by direct interview and physical examination in a population-based cross-sectional study in the city of Rio de Janeiro, 1995-96. Subjects were selected by two-stage random sampling and information was collected on socioeconomic, anthropometric and demographic characteristics, as well as on existing risk factors for cardiovascular disease. An index to express the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) was built, based on the presence of two or more of the following risk factors: overweight (measured by the body mass index, BMI), fat location (measured by the waist-hip ratio index, WHR), smoking, hypertension, sedentary lifestyle and alcohol consumption. The association between this risk index and the socioeconomic variables level of schooling, per capita income and residence location (slum vs non-slum) was evaluated through logistic regression models that controlled for the age of the subjects. Two separate models were built, according to the gender of the subjects. Complete data were collected for 1413 males and 1866 females over the age of 20 years (82% of the intended sample). In the studied population, a considerable prevalence of risk for CVD was found: 42.2% among males and 65.4% among females. For males, the socioeconomic and demographic indicators retained in the logistic model were age (OR 1.01, 95% CI 1.00-1.01), level of schooling (1.77, 95% CI 1.39-2.26) and per capita income (OR 0.77, 95% CI 0.61-0.97). For females, the indicators retained were age (OR 1.02, 95% CI 1.01-1.02) and level of schooling (OR 2.26, 95% CI 1.84-2.77). The findings indicate that cardiovascular disease risk is already an alarming problem in the urban populations of developing countries, and that educational level is the most important socioeconomic factor associated with its presence.


Assuntos
Doenças Cardiovasculares/epidemiologia , Medição de Risco , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Adulto , Índice de Massa Corporal , Brasil/epidemiologia , Doenças Cardiovasculares/economia , Estudos Transversais , Países em Desenvolvimento , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prevalência , Fatores de Risco
15.
Rev. saúde pública ; 45(3): 617-620, jun. 2011. graf
Artigo em Português | LILACS | ID: lil-586139

RESUMO

O artigo discute o impacto da plausibilidade (probabilidade a priori) no resultado de pesquisas científicas, conforme abordagem de Ioannidis, referente ao percentual de hipóteses nulas erroneamente classificadas como "positivas" (estatisticamente significante). A questão "qual fração de resultados positivos é verdadeiramente positiva?", equivalente ao valor preditivo positivo, depende da combinação de hipóteses falsas e positivas em determinada área. Por exemplo, sejam 90 por cento das hipóteses falsas e α = 0,05, poder = 0,8: para cada 1.000 hipóteses, 45 (900 x 0,05) serão falso-positivos e 80 (100 x 0,8) verdadeiro-positivos. Assim, a probabilidade de que um resultado positivo seja um falso-positivo é de 45/125. Adicionalmente, o relato de estudos negativos como se fossem positivos contribuiria para a inflação desses valores. Embora essa análise seja de difícil quantificação e provavelmente superestimada, ela tem duas implicações: i) a plausibilidade deve ser considerada na análise da conformidade ética de uma pesquisa e ii) mecanismos de registro de estudo e protocolo devem ser estimulados.


The paper discusses the impact of plausibility (the a priori probability) on the results of scientific research, according to the approach proposed by Ioannidis, concerning the percentage of null hypotheses erroneously classified as "positive" (statistically significant). The question "what fraction of positive results are true-positives?", which is equivalent to the positive predictive value, is dependent on the combination of true and false hypotheses within a given area. For example, consider an area in which 90 percent of hypotheses are false and α = 0.05 and power = 0.8: for every 1,000 hypotheses, 45 (900 x 0.05) are false-positives and 80 (100 x 0.8) are true-positives. Therefore, the probability of a positive result being a false-positive is 45/125. In addition, the reporting of negative results as if they were positive would contribute towards an increase in this fraction. Although this analysis is difficult to quantify, and these results are likely be overestimated, it has two implications: i) plausibility should be considered in the analysis of the ethical adequacy of a research proposal, and ii) mechanisms aimed at registering studies and protocols should be encouraged.


El artículo discute el impacto de la plausibilidad (probabilidad a priori) en el resultado de investigaciones científicas, conforme abordaje de Ioannidis, relacionado con el porcentaje de hipótesis nulas erróneamente clasificadas como "positivas" (estadísticamente significativas). La interrogante "cuál fracción de resultados positivos es verdaderamente positiva?", equivalente al valor predictivo positivo, depende de la combinación de hipótesis falsas y positivas en determinada área. Por ejemplo, sea el 90 por ciento de las hipótesis falsas y α= 0,05, poder= 0,8: para cada 1000 hipótesis, 45 (900 x 0,05) serán falsos positivos, y 80 (100 x 0,8) verdaderos positivos. Así, la probabilidad de que un resultado sea un falso positivo es de 45/125. Adicionalmente, el relato de estudios negativos como si fueran positivos contribuiría a la inflación de esos valores. A pesar de que el análisis sea de difícil cuantificación y probablemente super-estimado, el mismo tiene dos implicaciones: i) la plausibilidad debe ser considerada en el análisis de la conformidad ética de una investigación y ii) mecanismos de registro de estudio y protocolo deben ser estimulados.


Assuntos
Humanos , Pesquisa Biomédica , Interpretação Estatística de Dados , Probabilidade , Modelos Estatísticos , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Projetos de Pesquisa
18.
Rev. saúde pública ; 41(3): 427-435, jun. 2007. tab
Artigo em Português | LILACS | ID: lil-450650

RESUMO

OBJETIVO: Aplicar a metodologia de Análise Envoltória de Dados na avaliação do desempenho de hospitais públicos em termos das internações em suas clínicas médicas. MÉTODOS: A eficiência dos hospitais foi medida a partir do desempenho de unidades de decisão nas variáveis estudadas para cada hospital, no ano 2000. Foram analisados dados referentes às internações em clínica médica dos hospitais SUS das capitais estaduais do Brasil e Distrito Federal (taxas de mortalidade e tempo médio de internação, valor médio da internação e perfil de doenças). A técnica de análise de correlação canônica foi introduzida na restrição do intervalo de variação das variáveis. O modelo Constant Returns to Scale foi utilizado para gerar escores que permitissem avaliar a eficiência das unidades. A partir dos escores obtidos, os municípios foram classificados de acordo com seu desempenho relativo nas variáveis analisadas. Procurou-se correlação entre os escores de classificação com variáveis exógenas: despesas com programas de saúde básica por habitante e índice de desenvolvimento humano das capitais. RESULTADOS: Nos hospitais estudados se destacaram as doenças do aparelho circulatório (23,6 por cento das internações); e a taxa de mortalidade foi de 10,3 por cento das internações. Das 27 capitais, quatro alcançaram 100 por cento de eficiência (Palmas, Macapá, Teresina e Goiânia), sete ficaram entre 85 por cento e 100 por cento, dez entre 70 por cento e 85 por cento e dez com menos de 70 por cento. CONCLUSÕES: A ferramenta utilizada mostrou ser aplicável para a avaliação de desempenho de hospitais públicos, revelando a grande variabilidade entre as capitais brasileiras, no que se refere às internações em clínica médica.


OBJECTIVE: To apply the Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) methodology for evaluating the performance of public hospitals, in terms of clinical medical admissions. METHODS: The efficiency of the hospitals was measured according to the performance of decision-making units in relation to the variables studied for each hospital, in the year 2000. Data relating to clinical medical admissions in hospitals within the public system in Brazilian state capitals and Federal District (mortality rate, mean length of stay, mean cost of stay and disease profile) were analyzed. The canonical correlation analysis technique was introduced to restrict the variation range of the variables used. The constant returns to scale model was used to generate scores that would enable assessment of the efficiency of the units. From the scores obtained, these cities were classified according to their relative performance in the variables analyzed. It was sought to correlate between the classification scores and the exogenous variables of the expenditure on primary care programs per inhabitant and the human development index for each state capital. RESULTS: In the hospitals studied, circulatory diseases were the most prevalent (23.6 percent of admissions), and the mortality rate was 10.3 percent of admissions. Among the 27 state capitals, four reached 100 percent efficiency (Palmas, Macapá, Teresina and Goiânia), seven were between 85 and 100 percent, ten were between 70 and 85 percent and ten had efficiency of less than 70 percent. CONCLUSIONS: The tool utilized was shown to be applicable for evaluating the performance of public hospitals. It revealed large variations among the Brazilian state capitals in relation to clinical medical admissions.


Assuntos
Pesquisa sobre Serviços de Saúde , Eficiência Organizacional , Interpretação Estatística de Dados , Serviços de Saúde , Sistema Único de Saúde , Sistemas de Informação , Brasil
20.
Cad. saúde pública ; 16(2): 467-75, abr.-jun. 2000. tab, graf
Artigo em Português | LILACS | ID: lil-265339

RESUMO

No planejamento de recursos em saúde é importante o conhecimento da área de abrangência de uma unidade. Os Diagramas de Voronoi constituem uma técnica para tal; säo polígonos construídos de tal forma que as bordas de polígonos adjacentes encontram-se eqüidistantes de seus respectivos pontos geradores. Uma modificaçäo nas áreas de abrangência assim definidas é sua ponderaçäo (Diagrama de Voronoi ponderados), representando a capacidade da unidade de forma mais real. Foram utilizados, como pontos geradores, 21 hospitais gerais públicos no Rio de Janeiro, RJ. Inicialmente foram criados os Diagramas de Voronoi sem ponderaçäo, e, a partir destes, os diagramas ponderados, empregando-se como variável de ponderaçäo as estimativas de internaçäo anual para cada unidade. Na divisäo clássica, áreas de abrangência similares foram atribuídas a hospitais com características diferenciadas, problema esse contornado no método ponderado. O método é de simples implementaçäo e visualizaçäo, utiliza dados de fácil acesso e independe de parâmetros arbitrários ou geopolíticos. Portanto, esses diagramas podem fornecer, a gerentes de saúde, uma visäo mais realista para o planejamento da demanda de suas unidades.


Assuntos
Acessibilidade aos Serviços de Saúde , Hospitais Municipais , Planejamento em Saúde
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