RESUMO
BACKGROUND: Ovarian cancer is the most lethal and endometrial cancer the most common gynaecological cancer in the UK, yet neither have a screening program in place to facilitate early disease detection. The aim is to evaluate whether online search data can be used to differentiate between individuals with malignant and benign gynaecological diagnoses. METHODS: This is a prospective cohort study evaluating online search data in symptomatic individuals (Google user) referred from primary care (GP) with a suspected cancer to a London Hospital (UK) between December 2020 and June 2022. Informed written consent was obtained and online search data was extracted via Google takeout and anonymised. A health filter was applied to extract health-related terms for 24 months prior to GP referral. A predictive model (outcome: malignancy) was developed using (1) search queries (terms model) and (2) categorised search queries (categories model). Area under the ROC curve (AUC) was used to evaluate model performance. 844 women were approached, 652 were eligible to participate and 392 were recruited. Of those recruited, 108 did not complete enrollment, 12 withdrew and 37 were excluded as they did not track Google searches or had an empty search history, leaving a cohort of 235. RESULTS: The cohort had a median age of 53 years old (range 20-81) and a malignancy rate of 26.0%. There was a difference in online search data between those with a benign and malignant diagnosis, noted as early as 360 days in advance of GP referral, when search queries were used directly, but only 60 days in advance, when queries were divided into health categories. A model using online search data from patients (n = 153) who performed health-related search and corrected for sample size, achieved its highest sample-corrected AUC of 0.82, 60 days prior to GP referral. CONCLUSIONS: Online search data appears to be different between individuals with malignant and benign gynaecological conditions, with a signal observed in advance of GP referral date. Online search data needs to be evaluated in a larger dataset to determine its value as an early disease detection tool and whether its use leads to improved clinical outcomes.
Assuntos
Neoplasias dos Genitais Femininos , Neoplasias Ovarianas , Humanos , Feminino , Adulto Jovem , Adulto , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Neoplasias dos Genitais Femininos/diagnóstico , Estudos Prospectivos , Detecção Precoce de Câncer , Londres/epidemiologiaRESUMO
Infertility affects more than 14% of couples, 30% being caused by male factor infertility. This meta-analysis includes 28 studies, selected according to PRISMA guidelines. Data were extracted from these studies to collate cycles separating paternal age at 30, 35, 40, 45 and 50 years (±1 year). Primary outcomes of interest were clinical pregnancy, live birth and miscarriage rates. Secondary outcomes were the number of fertilized eggs, cleavage-stage embryos and blastocysts, and embryo quality per cycle. Fixed-effects and random-effects models giving pooled odds ratios (OR) were used to assess the effect of paternal age. This meta-analysis included a total 32,484 cycles from 16 autologous oocyte studies and 12 donor oocyte studies. In autologous cycles, a statistically significant effect of paternal age <40 years was noted in clinical pregnancy (OR 1.65, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.27-2.15), live birth (OR 2.10, 95% CI 1.25-3.51) and miscarriage (OR 0.74, 95% CI 0.57-0.94) rates. Paternal age <50 years significantly reduced miscarriage rate (OR 0.68, 95% CI 0.54-0.86), and increased blastocyst rate (OR 1.61, 95% CI 1.08-2.38) and number of cleavage-stage embryos (OR 1.67, 95% CI 1.02-2.75) in donor oocyte cycles, where maternal age is controlled. This is an important public and societal health message highlighting the need to also consider paternal age alongside maternal age when planning a family.
Assuntos
Aborto Espontâneo , Infertilidade , Aborto Espontâneo/epidemiologia , Feminino , Fertilização in vitro , Humanos , Nascido Vivo , Masculino , Idade Paterna , Gravidez , Taxa de Gravidez , Técnicas de Reprodução AssistidaRESUMO
Ultrasound-based models exist to support the classification of adnexal masses but are subjective and rely upon ultrasound expertise. We aimed to develop an end-to-end machine learning (ML) model capable of automating the classification of adnexal masses. In this retrospective study, transvaginal ultrasound scan images with linked diagnoses (ultrasound subjective assessment or histology) were extracted and segmented from Imperial College Healthcare, UK (ICH development dataset; n = 577 masses; 1444 images) and Morgagni-Pierantoni Hospital, Italy (MPH external dataset; n = 184 masses; 476 images). A segmentation and classification model was developed using convolutional neural networks and traditional radiomics features. Dice surface coefficient (DICE) was used to measure segmentation performance and area under the ROC curve (AUC), F1-score and recall for classification performance. The ICH and MPH datasets had a median age of 45 (IQR 35-60) and 48 (IQR 38-57) years old and consisted of 23.1% and 31.5% malignant cases, respectively. The best segmentation model achieved a DICE score of 0.85 ± 0.01, 0.88 ± 0.01 and 0.85 ± 0.01 in the ICH training, ICH validation and MPH test sets. The best classification model achieved a recall of 1.00 and F1-score of 0.88 (AUC:0.93), 0.94 (AUC:0.89) and 0.83 (AUC:0.90) in the ICH training, ICH validation and MPH test sets, respectively. We have developed an end-to-end radiomics-based model capable of adnexal mass segmentation and classification, with a comparable predictive performance (AUC 0.90) to the published performance of expert subjective assessment (gold standard), and current risk models. Further prospective evaluation of the classification performance of this ML model against existing methods is required.