RESUMO
Real-world registries have been critical to building the scientific knowledge of rare diseases, including Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension (PAH). In the past 4 decades, a considerable number of registries on this condition have allowed to improve the pathology and its subgroups definition, to advance in the understanding of its pathophysiology, to elaborate prognostic scales and to check the transferability of the results from clinical trials to clinical practice. However, in a moment where a huge amount of data from multiple sources is available, they are not always taken into account by the registries. For that reason, Machine Learning (ML) offer a unique opportunity to manage all these data and, finally, to obtain tools that may help to get an earlier diagnose, to help to deduce the prognosis and, in the end, to advance in Personalized Medicine. Thus, we present a narrative revision with the aims of, in one hand, summing up the aspects in which data extraction is important in rare diseases -focusing on the knowledge gained from PAH real-world registries- and, on the other hand, describing some of the achievements and the potential use of the ML techniques on PAH.
Assuntos
Aprendizado de Máquina , Hipertensão Arterial Pulmonar , Sistema de Registros , Humanos , Hipertensão Arterial Pulmonar/diagnóstico , Prognóstico , Hipertensão Pulmonar/diagnósticoRESUMO
PURPOSE: The pillar for therapeutic decisions in the evolution of pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) is the patients' prognostic stratification. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was conducted in a Spanish real-world setting to assess the clinical improvement of PAH patients treated with selexipag measured as changes in the risk profile. Secondary objectives were to describe their baseline characteristics, initial risk status, and variables used to assess patient survival and adverse events. FINDINGS: Total 42 patients (mean age 52.36 [SD: 15.09] years) were included. All had received initial endothelin receptor antagonist treatment and 95.2% dual therapy with phosphodiesterase-5 inhibitor or riociguat. At 6 to 12 months from baseline, patients risk stratification tripled the percentage of patients with low risk, and a trend towards improved risk stratification (P = 0.122). World Health Organization functional class changed, with more patients in milder classes (P = 0.003), and symptom progression slowed down (P < 0.0001). At 3-years, survival was 85.7% and the estimated median survival time was 2.73 years (SD: 1.351; 95% CI: 2.51-2.95). IMPLICATIONS: Selexipag did not achieve a significant improvement in risk profile, although it did show an excellent survival rate, effectively improved functional class, and delayed symptom progression in real life. Selexipag was well tolerated and showed a favorable safety profile, supporting a clinical benefit for PAH patients.
Assuntos
Acetamidas , Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Retrospectivos , Acetamidas/uso terapêutico , Acetamidas/efeitos adversos , Adulto , Espanha , Idoso , Hipertensão Arterial Pulmonar/tratamento farmacológico , Hipertensão Arterial Pulmonar/fisiopatologia , Pirazinas/uso terapêutico , Pirazinas/efeitos adversos , Resultado do Tratamento , Receptores de Epoprostenol/agonistas , Pirazóis/uso terapêutico , Pirazóis/efeitos adversos , Anti-Hipertensivos/uso terapêutico , Anti-Hipertensivos/efeitos adversos , Antagonistas dos Receptores de Endotelina/uso terapêutico , Antagonistas dos Receptores de Endotelina/efeitos adversos , Pirimidinas/uso terapêutico , Pirimidinas/efeitos adversos , Inibidores da Fosfodiesterase 5/uso terapêutico , Inibidores da Fosfodiesterase 5/efeitos adversos , Hipertensão Pulmonar/tratamento farmacológico , Hipertensão Pulmonar/fisiopatologiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Long-term consequences of COVID-19 are still partly known. AIM OF THE STUDY: To derive a clinical score for risk prediction of long-term major cardiac adverse events (MACE) and all cause death in COVID-19 hospitalized patients. METHODS: 2573 consecutive patients were enrolled in a multicenter, international registry (HOPE-2) from January 2020 to April 2021 and identified as the derivation cohort. Five hundred and twenty-six patients from the Cardio-Covid-Italy registry were considered as external validation cohort. A long-term prognostic risk score for MACE and all cause death was derived from a multivariable regression model. RESULTS: Out of 2573 patients enrolled in the HOPE-2 registry, 1481 (58 %) were male, with mean age of 60±16 years. At long-term follow-up, the overall rate of patients affected by MACE and/or all cause death was 7.8 %. After multivariable regression analysis, independent predictors of MACE and all cause death were identified. The HOPE-2 prognostic score was therefore calculated by giving: 1-4 points for age class (<65 years, 65-74, 75-84, ≥85), 3 points for history of cardiovascular disease, 1 point for hypertension, 3 points for increased troponin serum levels at admission and 2 points for acute renal failure during hospitalization. Score accuracy at ROC curve analysis was 0.79 (0.74 at external validation). Stratification into 3 risk groups (<3, 3-6, >6 points) classified patients into low, intermediate and high risk. The observed MACE and all-cause death rates were 1.9 %, 9.4 % and 26.3 % for low- intermediate and high-risk patients, respectively (Log-rank test p < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: The HOPE-2 prognostic score may be useful for long-term risk stratification in patients with previous COVID-19 hospitalization. High-risk patients may require a strict follow-up.
Assuntos
COVID-19 , Doenças Cardiovasculares , Hospitalização , Sistema de Registros , Humanos , COVID-19/mortalidade , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Masculino , Feminino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Medição de Risco/métodos , Doenças Cardiovasculares/mortalidade , Doenças Cardiovasculares/epidemiologia , Prognóstico , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , SARS-CoV-2 , Fatores de Risco , Causas de Morte , Itália/epidemiologia , SeguimentosRESUMO
Background: Acute cardiac injury (ACI) after COVID-19 has been linked with unfavorable clinical outcomes, but data on the clinical impact of elevated cardiac troponin on discharge during follow-up are scarce. Our objective is to elucidate the clinical outcome of patients with elevated troponin on discharge after surviving a COVID-19 hospitalization. Methods: We conducted an analysis in the prospective registry HOPE-2 (NCT04778020). Only patients discharged alive were selected for analysis, and all-cause death on follow-up was considered as the primary endpoint. As a secondary endpoint, we established any long-term COVID-19 symptoms. HOPE-2 stopped enrolling patients on 31 December 2021, with 9299 patients hospitalized with COVID-19, of which 1805 were deceased during the acute phase. Finally, 2382 patients alive on discharge underwent propensity score matching by relevant baseline variables in a 1:3 fashion, from 56 centers in 8 countries. Results: Patients with elevated troponin experienced significantly higher all-cause death during follow-up (log-rank = 27.23, p < 0.001), and had a higher chance of experiencing long-term COVID-19 cardiovascular symptoms. Specifically, fatigue and dyspnea (57.7% and 62.8%, with p-values of 0.009 and <0.001, respectively) are among the most common. Conclusions: After surviving the acute phase, patients with elevated troponin on discharge present increased mortality and long-term COVID-19 symptoms over time, which is clinically relevant in follow-up visits.