Plasma Immune Biomarkers Predictive of Progression to Active Tuberculosis in Household Contacts of TB Patients.

BACKGROUND: The progression from Mycobacterium tuberculosis infection to active tuberculosis (TB) disease varies among individuals, and identifying biomarkers to predict progression is crucial for guiding interventions. In this study, we aimed to determine plasma immune biomarker profiles in healthy household contacts of index pulmonary TB (PTB) patients who either progressed to TB or remained as non-progressors. METHODS: A cohort of household contacts of adults with PTB was enrolled, consisting of 15 contacts who progressed to TB disease and 15 non-progressors. Plasma samples were collected at baseline, 4 months, and 12 months to identify predictive TB progression markers. RESULTS: Our findings revealed that individuals in the progressor group exhibited significantly decreased levels of IFNγ, IL-2, TNFα, IL1α, IL1ß, IL-17A, and IL-1Ra at baseline, months 4 and 12. In contrast, the progressor group displayed significantly elevated levels of IFNα, IFNß, IL-6, IL-12, GM-CSF, IL-10, IL-33, CCL2, CCL11, CXCL8, CXCL10, CX3CL1, VEGF, Granzyme-B and PDL-1 compared to the non-progressor group at baseline, months 4 and 12. ROC analysis identified IFNγ, GM-CSF, IL-1Ra, CCL2 and CXCL10 as the most promising predictive markers, with an AUC of ≥90. Furthermore, combinatorial analysis demonstrated that GM-CSF, CXCL10 and IL-1Ra, when used in combination, exhibited high accuracy in predicting progression to active TB disease. CONCLUSIONS: Our study suggests that a specific set of plasma biomarkers GM-CSF, CXCL10 and IL-1Ra, can effectively identify household contacts at significant risk of developing TB disease. These findings have important implications for early intervention and preventive strategies in TB-endemic regions.

QuantiFERON Supernatant-Based Host Biomarkers Predicting Progression to Active Tuberculosis Disease Among Household Contacts of Tuberculosis Patients.

BACKGROUND: The positive predictive value of tuberculin skin test and current generation interferon gamma release assays are very low leading to high numbers needed to treat. Therefore, it is critical to identify new biomarkers with high predictive accuracy to identify individuals bearing high risk of progression to active tuberculosis (TB). METHODS: We used stored QuantiFERON supernatants from 14 household contacts of index TB patients who developed incident active TB during a 2-year follow-up and 20 age and sex-matched non-progressors. The supernatants were tested for an expanded panel of 45 cytokines, chemokines, and growth factors using the Luminex Multiplex Array kit. RESULTS: We found significant differences in the levels of TB-antigen induced production of several analytes between progressors and non-progressors. Dominance analysis identified 15 key predictive biomarkers based on relative percentage importance. Principal component analysis revealed that these biomarkers could robustly distinguish between the 2 groups. Receiver operating characteristic analysis identified interferon-γ inducible protein (IP)-10, chemokine ligand (CCL)19, interferon (IFN)-γ, interleukin (IL)-1ra, CCL3, and granulocyte-macrophage colony-stimulating factor (GM-CSF) as the most promising predictive markers, with area under the curve (AUC) ≥90. IP-10/CCL19 ratio exhibited maximum sensitivity and specificity (100%) for predicting progression. Through Classification and Regression Tree analysis, a cutoff of 0.24 for IP-10/CCL19 ratio was found to be ideal for predicting short-term risk of progression to TB disease with a positive predictive value of 100 (95% confidence interval [CI] 85.8-100). CONCLUSIONS: The biomarkers identified in this study will pave way for the development of a more accurate test that can identify individuals at high risk for immediate progression to TB disease for targeted intervention.

Infection free "resisters" among household contacts of adult pulmonary tuberculosis.

Despite substantial exposure to infectious pulmonary tuberculosis (TB) cases, some household contacts (HHC) never acquire latent TB infection (LTBI). Characterizing these "resisters" can inform who to study immunologically for the development of TB vaccines. We enrolled HHCs of culture-confirmed adult pulmonary TB in India who underwent LTBI testing using tuberculin skin test (TST) and QuantiFERON TB Gold Test-in-tube (QFT-GIT) at baseline and, if negative by both (<5mm TST and <0.35IU/mL QFT-GIT), underwent follow-up testing at 4-6 and/or 12 months. We defined persons with persistently negative LTBI tests at both baseline and followup as pLTBI- and resisters as those who had a high exposure to TB using a published score and remained pLTBI-. We calculated the proportion of resisters overall and resisters with complete absence of response to LTBI tests (0mm TST and/or QFT-GIT <0.01 IU/ml). Using random effects Poisson regression, we assessed factors associated with pLTBI-. Of 799 HHCs in 355 households, 67 (8%) were pLTBI- at 12 months; 52 (6.5%) pLTBI- in 39 households were resisters. Complete absence of response to LTBI tests was found in 27 (53%) resisters. No epidemiological characteristics were associated with the pLTBI- phenotype. LTBI free resisters among HHC exist but are uncommon and are without distinguishing epidemiologic characteristics. Assessing the genetic and immunologic features of such resister individuals is likely to elucidate mechanisms of protective immunity to TB.