A cohort analysis of residential radon exposure and melanoma incidence in Switzerland.

Radon is a radioactive noble gas found in Earth's crust. It accumulates in buildings, and accounts for approximately half the ionizing radiation dose received by humans. The skin is considerably exposed to ionizing radiation from radon. We aimed to evaluate the association between residential radon exposure and melanoma and squamous cell carcinoma incidence. The study included 1.3 million adults (20 years and older) from the Swiss National Cohort who were residents of the cantons of Vaud, Neuchâtel, Valais, Geneva, Fribourg, and Ticino at the study baseline (December 04, 2000). Cases of primary tumours of skin (melanoma and squamous cell carcinoma) were identified using data from cantonal cancer registries. Long-term residential radon and ambient solar ultraviolet radiation exposures were assigned to each individual's address at baseline. Cox proportional hazard models with age as time scale, adjusted for canton, socioeconomic position, demographic data available in the census, and outdoor occupation were applied. Total and age specific effects were calculated, in the full population and in non-movers, and potential effect modifiers were tested. In total 4937 incident cases of melanoma occurred during an average 8.9 years of follow-up. Across all ages, no increased risk of malignant melanoma or squamous cell carcinoma incidence in relation to residential radon was found. An association was only observed for melanoma incidence in the youngest age group of 20-29 year olds (1.68 [95% CI: 1.29, 2.19] 100 Bq/m3 radon). This association was mainly in women, and in those with low socio-economic position. Residential radon exposure might be a relevant risk factor for melanoma, especially for young adults. However, the results must be interpreted with caution as this finding is based on a relatively small number of melanoma cases. Accumulation of radon is preventable, and measures to reduce exposure and communicate the risks remain important to convey to the public.

[Colorectal cancer in 45-49-year-olds: systematic or targeted screening?] / Cancer du côlon chez les 45-49 ans : dépistage systématique ou ciblé ?

Principles to guide and inform population-based screening decisions cover a wide range of aspects beyond the screening test. Colorectal cancer (CRC) meets these requirements for individuals at moderate risk aged 50 to 69. In Switzerland, screening using a biennial faecal occult blood test or colonoscopy every 10 years is reimbursed free of deductible in 12 programs covering 15 cantons. This article assesses the appropriateness of systematic screening from age 45 in the Swiss context. Prioritizing measures to raise awareness among healthcare professionals and high-risk subjects rather than lowering the age of eligibility would not only be more sensible but would also benefit to the population over 50 years old.

Les critères pour proposer un dépistage organisé couvrent de nombreuses dimensions, au-delà des caractéristiques du test de dépistage. Le cancer colorectal (CCR) répond à ces exigences pour les personnes à risque modéré de 50 à 69 ans. En Suisse, un dépistage par un test biennal de détection de sang occulte dans les selles ou par coloscopie tous les 10 ans est remboursé hors franchise dans 12 programmes couvrant 15 cantons. Cet article fait le point de la situation concernant l'adéquation d'un dépistage organisé du CCR dès 45 ans dans le contexte suisse. Prioriser des mesures de sensibilisation auprès des professionnel-le-s de santé et des sujets à haut risque de CCR serait non seulement plus judicieux que d'abaisser l'âge d'éligibilité au dépistage organisé mais bénéficierait aussi à la population de plus de 50 ans.

Estimation of Breast Cancer Overdiagnosis in a U.S. Breast Screening Cohort.

BACKGROUND: Mammography screening can lead to overdiagnosis-that is, screen-detected breast cancer that would not have caused symptoms or signs in the remaining lifetime. There is no consensus about the frequency of breast cancer overdiagnosis. OBJECTIVE: To estimate the rate of breast cancer overdiagnosis in contemporary mammography practice accounting for the detection of nonprogressive cancer. DESIGN: Bayesian inference of the natural history of breast cancer using individual screening and diagnosis records, allowing for nonprogressive preclinical cancer. Combination of fitted natural history model with life-table data to predict the rate of overdiagnosis among screen-detected cancer under biennial screening. SETTING: Breast Cancer Surveillance Consortium (BCSC) facilities. PARTICIPANTS: Women aged 50 to 74 years at first mammography screen between 2000 and 2018. MEASUREMENTS: Screening mammograms and screen-detected or interval breast cancer. RESULTS: The cohort included 35 986 women, 82 677 mammograms, and 718 breast cancer diagnoses. Among all preclinical cancer cases, 4.5% (95% uncertainty interval [UI], 0.1% to 14.8%) were estimated to be nonprogressive. In a program of biennial screening from age 50 to 74 years, 15.4% (UI, 9.4% to 26.5%) of screen-detected cancer cases were estimated to be overdiagnosed, with 6.1% (UI, 0.2% to 20.1%) due to detecting indolent preclinical cancer and 9.3% (UI, 5.5% to 13.5%) due to detecting progressive preclinical cancer in women who would have died of an unrelated cause before clinical diagnosis. LIMITATIONS: Exclusion of women with first mammography screen outside BCSC. CONCLUSION: On the basis of an authoritative U.S. population data set, the analysis projected that among biennially screened women aged 50 to 74 years, about 1 in 7 cases of screen-detected cancer is overdiagnosed. This information clarifies the risk for breast cancer overdiagnosis in contemporary screening practice and should facilitate shared and informed decision making about mammography screening. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: National Cancer Institute.

Comparison of statistical models to predict age-standardized cancer incidence in Switzerland.

This study compares the performance of statistical methods for predicting age-standardized cancer incidence, including Poisson generalized linear models, age-period-cohort (APC) and Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) models, autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) time series, and simple linear models. The methods are evaluated via leave-future-out cross-validation, and performance is assessed using the normalized root mean square error, interval score, and coverage of prediction intervals. Methods were applied to cancer incidence from the three Swiss cancer registries of Geneva, Neuchatel, and Vaud combined, considering the five most frequent cancer sites: breast, colorectal, lung, prostate, and skin melanoma and bringing all other sites together in a final group. Best overall performance was achieved by ARIMA models, followed by linear regression models. Prediction methods based on model selection using the Akaike information criterion resulted in overfitting. The widely used APC and BAPC models were found to be suboptimal for prediction, particularly in the case of a trend reversal in incidence, as it was observed for prostate cancer. In general, we do not recommend predicting cancer incidence for periods far into the future but rather updating predictions regularly.

Does the morphology of cutaneous melanoma help to explain the international differences in survival? Results from 1 578 482 adults diagnosed during 2000-2014 in 59 countries (CONCORD-3).

BACKGROUND: CONCORD-3 highlighted wide disparities in population-based 5-year net survival for cutaneous melanoma during 2000-2014. Clinical evidence suggests marked international differences in the proportion of lethal acral and nodular subtypes of cutaneous melanoma. OBJECTIVES: We aimed to assess whether the differences in morphology may explain global variation in survival. METHODS: Patients with melanoma were grouped into the following seven morphological categories: malignant melanoma, not otherwise specified (International Classification of Diseases for Oncology, third revision morphology code 8720), superficial spreading melanoma (8743), lentigo maligna melanoma (8742), nodular melanoma (8721), acral lentiginous melanoma (8744), desmoplastic melanoma (8745) and other morphologies (8722-8723, 8726-8727, 8730, 8740-8741, 8746, 8761, 8770-8774, 8780). We estimated net survival using the nonparametric Pohar Perme estimator, correcting for background mortality by single year of age, sex and calendar year in each country or region. All-ages survival estimates were standardized using the International Cancer Survival Standard weights. We fitted a flexible parametric model to estimate the effect of morphology on the hazard of death. RESULTS: Worldwide, the proportion of nodular melanoma ranged between 7% and 13%. Acral lentiginous melanoma accounted for less than 2% of all registrations but was more common in Asia (6%) and Central and South America (7%). Overall, 36% of tumours were classified as superficial spreading melanoma. During 2010-2014, age-standardized 5-year net survival for superficial spreading melanoma was 95% or higher in Oceania, North America and most European countries, but was only 71% in Taiwan. Survival for acral lentiginous melanoma ranged between 66% and 95%. Nodular melanoma had the poorest prognosis in all countries. The multivariable analysis of data from registries with complete information on stage and morphology found that sex, age and stage at diagnosis only partially explain the higher risk of death for nodular and acral lentiginous subtypes. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides the broadest picture of distribution and population-based survival trends for the main morphological subtypes of cutaneous melanoma in 59 countries. The poorer prognosis for nodular and acral lentiginous melanomas, more frequent in Asia and Latin America, suggests the need for health policies aimed at specific populations to improve awareness, early diagnosis and access to treatment. What is already known about this topic? The histopathological features of cutaneous melanoma vary markedly worldwide. The proportion of melanomas with the more aggressive acral lentiginous or nodular histological subtypes is higher in populations with predominantly dark skin than in populations with predominantly fair skin. What does this study add? We aimed to assess the extent to which these differences in morphology may explain international variation in survival when all histological subtypes are combined. This study provides, for the first time, international comparisons of population-based survival at 5 years for the main histological subtypes of melanoma for over 1.5 million adults diagnosed during 2000-2014. This study highlights the less favourable distribution of histological subtypes in Asia and Central and South America, and the poorer prognosis for nodular and acral lentiginous melanomas. We found that later stage at diagnosis does not fully explain the higher excess risk of death for nodular and acral lentiginous melanoma compared with superficial spreading melanoma.

[First epidemiological evaluation of the Vaud colorectal cancer screening program]. / Premier bilan du programme vaudois de dépistage du cancer colorectal.

The Vaud colorectal cancer (CRC) screening program, pioneer in Switzerland, offers since 2015 the choice between a biennial fecal immunological test (FIT) and a colonoscopy every 10 years to those aged 50 to 69. This first epidemiological evaluation of a Swiss CRC screening program shows an increasing uptake over the years and an equal distribution of choice of tests, but with regional differences. Quality of both FIT and colonoscopy fulfil the European norms. The high proportion of early-stage cancers (60% stage I) met expectations. The large increase in screening tests and limited colonoscopy capacity is leading to interprofessional discussions on strategies for prioritizing FIT, accompanied by additional orientation tools within the program and public sensitization, and for reducing the time taken to perform FIT positive colonoscopies.

Cet article résume les résultats de la première évaluation du programme vaudois de dépistage du cancer colorectal, réalisée selon des normes internationales. Ce programme, pionnier en Suisse, propose depuis 2015 le choix entre un test de détection de sang occulte dans les selles (FIT), tous les 2 ans, et une coloscopie, tous les 10 ans, aux personnes de 50 à 69 ans. La participation croît, avec un choix équilibré entre les 2 tests. Il existe cependant des différences régionales. La qualité des coloscopies et des FIT et la sécurité de réalisation des coloscopies sont conformes aux exigences. La forte proportion de cancers dépistés au stade précoce (60 % stade I) répond aux attentes. La forte croissance des dépistages et la capacité limitée en coloscopie mènent à des réflexions interprofessionnelles de stratégies de priorisation du FIT et de réduction des délais de réalisation des coloscopies sur FIT positif.

Breast cancer screening and overdiagnosis.

Overdiagnosis is a harmful consequence of screening which is particularly challenging to estimate. An unbiased setting to measure overdiagnosis in breast cancer screening requires comparative data from a screened and an unscreened cohort for at least 30 years. Such randomised data will not become available, leaving us with observational data over shorter time periods and outcomes of modelling. This collaborative effort of the International Cancer Screening Network quantified the variation in estimated breast cancer overdiagnosis in organised programmes with evaluation of both observed and simulated data, and presented examples of how modelling can provide additional insights. Reliable observational data, analysed with study design accounting for methodological pitfalls, and modelling studies with different approaches, indicate that overdiagnosis accounts for less than 10% of invasive breast cancer cases in a screening target population of women aged 50 to 69. Estimates above this level are likely to derive from inaccuracies in study design. The widely discrepant estimates of overdiagnosis reported from observational data could substantially be reduced by use of a cohort study design with at least 10 years of follow-up after screening stops. In contexts where concomitant opportunistic screening or gradual implementation of screening occurs, and data on valid comparison groups are not readily available, modelling of screening intervention becomes an advantageous option to obtain reliable estimates of breast cancer overdiagnosis.

Early assessment of the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic on cancer screening services: The International Cancer Screening Network COVID-19 survey.

Screening can decrease the burden of breast, cervical, and colorectal cancers. The COVID-19 pandemic led many countries to suspend cancer screening services as part of their response to the pandemic. The International Cancer Screening Network (ICSN) carried out an online survey to assess the effects of the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic on cancer screening. A 33-item survey was distributed to 834 email addresses to gather information about settings and assess decision-making processes that led to cancer screening suspension. Information about communication, impact on resources, and patient follow-up was collected. Quantitative data was analyzed as frequencies overall and by setting, while a comment section under each survey item captured nuanced details. Responses were recategorized into 66 settings, representing 35 countries. Most settings suspended cancer screening services (n = 60, 90.9%) in March 2020 (n = 45, 68.2%), guided by a government decision (n = 51, 77.3%). Few settings made the decision whether to suspend services based on a preparedness plan (n = 17, 25.8%). In most settings, professionals were reassigned (n = 41, 62.1%) and infrastructure repurposed (n = 35, 53.0%). The first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic has had profound effects on cancer screening worldwide, including the suspension of services in almost all settings. Most settings were unprepared to deal with the scale of the pandemic but demonstrated flexibility in the response. These results contribute to inform, through experiences and lessons learned, the next steps for the global cancer screening community to further evaluate the impact of COVID-19 and prepare for future disruptions.

The relative risk of second primary cancers in Switzerland: a population-based retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: More people than ever before are currently living with a diagnosis of cancer and the number of people concerned is likely to continue to rise. Cancer survivors are at risk of developing a second primary cancer (SPC). This study aims to investigate the risk of SPC in Switzerland. METHODS: The study cohort included all patients with a first primary cancer recorded in 9 Swiss population-based cancer registries 1981-2009 who had a minimum survival of 6 months, and a potential follow-up until the end of 2014. We calculated standardized incidence ratios (SIR) to estimate relative risks (RR) of SPC in cancer survivors compared with the cancer risk of the general population. SIR were stratified by type of first cancer, sex, age and period of first diagnosis, survival period and site of SPC. RESULTS: A total of 33,793 SPC were observed in 310,113 cancer patients. Both male (SIR 1.18, 95%CI 1.16-1.19) and female (SIR 1.20, 95%CI 1.18-1.22) cancer survivors had an elevated risk of developing a SPC. Risk estimates varied substantially according to type of first cancer and were highest in patients initially diagnosed with cancer of the oral cavity and pharynx, Hodgkin lymphoma, laryngeal, oesophageal, or lung cancer. Age-stratified analyses revealed a tendency towards higher RR in patients first diagnosed at younger ages. Stratified by survival period, risk estimates showed a rising trend with increasing time from the initial diagnosis. We observed strong associations between particular types of first and SPC, i.e. cancer types sharing common risk factors such as smoking or alcohol consumption (e.g. repeated cancer of the oral cavity and pharynx (SIRmales 20.12, 95%CI 17.91-22.33; SIRfemales 37.87, 95%CI 30.27-45.48). CONCLUSION: Swiss cancer survivors have an increased risk of developing a SPC compared to the general population, particularly patients first diagnosed before age 50 and those surviving more than 10 years. Cancer patients should remain under continued surveillance not only for recurrent cancers but also for new cancers. Some first and SPCs share lifestyle associated risk factors making it important to promote healthier lifestyles in both the general population and cancer survivors.

Correction to: The relative risk of second primary cancers in Switzerland: a population-based retrospective cohort study.

Following publication of the original article [1], an error was reported in the author group. The correct author group should read as follows.

[New law for cancer registration in Switzerland†: opportunities and challenges]. / Nouvelles exigences légales dans le domaine de l'enregistrement du cancer†: opportunités et défis.

The new federal Act on registration of oncological diseases requires since January 1st 2020 institutions and treating physicians to transmit regulated data on all Swiss cancer cases and some precancerous pathologies to the competent tumour registry, and to inform their patients about it. This legal basis is intended to enlarge cancer data collection and registration in a traceable, better standardized, more complete and rapid manner. These legal provisions are expected to improve the reliability and efficiency of the analysis of the data, which is crucial for the epidemiological surveillance of cancer in Switzerland, for the benefit of public health policy, clinical management and for the population.

La Loi fédérale sur l'enregistrement des maladies oncologiques, entrée en vigueur le 1er janvier 2020, contraint désormais institutions et médecins traitants à transmettre des données réglementées sur les cancers et certaines pathologies précancéreuses au registre des tumeurs compétent, et d'en informer leurs patient·e·s. Cette base légale est destinée à amplifier la collecte et l'enregistrement des données concernant les maladies oncologiques, ceci de manière traçable, mieux standardisée, plus complète et rapide. Il est attendu de ces dispositions légales une amélioration de la fiabilité et de l'efficacité de l'analyse des données recueillies, analyse déterminante pour la surveillance épidémiologique du cancer en Suisse au bénéfice des politiques de santé publique, de la prise en charge clinique et de la population.

[Lung cancer screening: what can we tell our patients while we await a screening program†?] / Dépistage du cancer du poumon†: que dire à nos patient·e·s en attendant un programme organisé†?

The NLST study in the United States showed, in 2011, that low-dose lung CT scans can reduce lung cancer mortality but was limited in its routine recommendation by 96% of false positive screening results. The European NELSON trial, published in 2020, confirmed a 24% decrease in lung cancer mortality and, by using lung nodule volume and volume doubling time, decreased false positive results to 56% of positive tests. The implementation of screening programs is now expected in Europe, including Switzerland. In anticipation, we have developed a decision aid to present patients with the benefits (decreased lung cancer mortality), risks (false positives and indeterminate results), and uncertainties (incidental findings) of lung cancer screening.

L'étude clinique américaine National Lung Screening Trial a démontré en 2011 que le dépistage du cancer du poumon par CT-scan thoracique à faible dose (low-dose) pouvait en diminuer la mortalité, mais était limité dans son applicabilité par une proportion rédhibitoire de 96 % de faux positifs. L'étude clinique européenne Nederlands-Leuven Screening Onderzoek, publiée en 2020, confirme une diminution de la mortalité du cancer du poumon de 24 % et, en se basant sur le temps de doublement du volume des nodules pulmonaires, a pu réduire la prévalence de faux positifs à 56 %. Des programmes de dépistage se préparent dans plusieurs pays européens, y compris la Suisse. Dans ce contexte, nous avons développé une aide à la décision qui reprend les bénéfices (diminution de la mortalité), les risques (faux positifs et résultats indéterminés) et incertitudes (découvertes fortuites) du dépistage du cancer du poumon.

Low-grade screen-detected ductal carcinoma in situ progresses more slowly than high-grade lesions: evidence from an international multi-centre study.

PURPOSE: Nuclear grade is an important indicator of the biological behaviour of ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS). De-escalation of treatment has been suggested for low-grade DCIS. Our aim is to estimate the relative rate of progression of DCIS by nuclear grade by analysing the distribution of nuclear grade by detection at initial or subsequent screening. METHODS: We asked International Cancer Screening Network sites to complete, based on their screening and clinical databases, an aggregated data file on DCIS detection, diagnosis and treatment. RESULTS: Eleven screening programs reported 5068 screen-detected pure DCIS in nearly 7 million screening tests in women 50-69 years of age. For all programs combined, low-grade DCIS were 20.1% (range 11.4-31.8%) of graded DCIS, intermediate grade 31.0% and high grade 48.9%. Detection rates decreased more steeply from initial to subsequent screening in low compared to high-grade DCIS: the ratios of subsequent to initial detection rates were 0.39 for low grade, 0.51 for intermediate grade, and 0.75 for high grade (p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: These results suggest that the duration of the preclinical detectable phase is longer for low than for high-grade DCIS. The findings from this large multi-centre, international study emphasize that the management of low-grade DCIS should be carefully scrutinized in order to minimize overtreatment of screen-detected slow-growing or indolent lesions. The high variation by site in the proportion of low grade suggests that further pathology standardization and training would be beneficial.

Facial exposure to ultraviolet radiation: Predicted sun protection effectiveness of various hat styles.

BACKGROUND/PURPOSE: Solar ultraviolet radiation (UVR) doses received by individuals are highly influenced by behavioural and environmental factors. This study aimed at quantifying hats' sun protection effectiveness in various exposure conditions, by predicting UVR exposure doses and their anatomical distributions. METHODS: A well-defined 3-dimensional head morphology and 4 hat styles (a cap, a helmet, a middle- and a wide-brimmed hat) were added to a previously published model. Midday (12:00-14:00) and daily (08:00-17:00) seasonal UVR doses were estimated at various facial skin zones, with and without hat wear, accounting for each UVR component. Protection effectiveness was calculated by the relative reduction in predicted UVR dose, expressed as a predictive protection factor (PPF). RESULTS: The unprotected entire face received 2.5 times higher UVR doses during a summer midday compared to a winter midday (3.3 vs 1.3 standard erythema dose [SED]) with highest doses received at the nose (6.1 SED). During a cloudless summer day, the lowest mean UVR dose is received by the entire face protected by a wide-brimmed hat (1.7 SED). No hat reached 100% protection at any facial skin zone (PPFmax : 76%). Hats' sun protection effectiveness varied highly with environmental conditions and was mainly limited by the high contribution of diffuse UVR, irrespective of hat style. Larger brim sizes afforded greater facial protection than smaller brim sizes except around midday when the sun position is high. CONCLUSION: Consideration of diffuse and reflected UVR in sun educational messages could improve sun protection effectiveness.

Socioeconomic and demographic disparities in breast cancer stage at presentation and survival: A Swiss population-based study.

We explored socioeconomic and demographic disparities in breast cancer (BC) stage at presentation and survival in a Swiss population-based sample of female BC patients linked to the census-based Swiss National Cohort. Tumor stage was classified according to Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results Program summary stage (in situ/localized/regional/distant). We used highest education level attained to estimate SEP (low/middle/high). Further demographic characteristics of interest were age at presentation (30-49/50-69/70-84 years), living in a canton with organized screening (yes/no), urbanity of residence (urban/peri-urban/rural), civil status (single/married/widowed/divorced) and nationality (Swiss/non-Swiss). We used ordered logistic regression models to analyze factors associated with BC stage at presentation and competing risk regression models for factors associated with survival. Odds of later-stage BC were significantly increased for low SEP women (odds ratio 1.19, 95%CI 1.06-1.34) compared to women of high SEP. Further, women living in a canton without organized screening program, women diagnosed outside the targeted screening age and single/widowed/divorced women were more often diagnosed at later stages. Women of low SEP experienced an increased risk of dying from BC (sub-hazard ratio 1.22, 95%CI 1.05-1.43) compared to women of high SEP. Notably, these survival inequalities could not be explained by socioeconomic differences in stage at presentation and/or other sociodemographic factors. It is concerning that these social gradients have been observed in a country with universal health insurance coverage, high health expenditures and one of the highest life expectancies in the world.

[Shared decision making in the colorectal cancer screening program in the canton of Vaud]. / Programme cantonal vaudois de dépistage du cancer colorectal: information et décision partagée.

The colorectal cancer screening program of the canton of Vaud aims to facilitate screening for this cancer for the population aged 50 to 69 years old. The two screening modalities offered are fecal immunochemical testing (FIT) and colonoscopy. The decision to undergo screening and the screening modality is based on an individual medical encounter with a primary care physician. Both screening modalities are reimbursed through basic health coverage in Switzerland. The participation to the screening program allows the exemption of the deductible for the medical encounter and the chosen screening modality. A copay of 10% is maintained for all costs. Communication tools were developed on the basis of recommendations in the literature to facilitate shared decision-making in a medical encounter.

Population-level impact of the BMJ Rapid Recommendation for colorectal cancer screening: a microsimulation analysis.

OBJECTIVE: In 2019, a BMJ Rapid Recommendation advised against colorectal cancer (CRC) screening for adults with a predicted 15-year CRC risk below 3%. Using Switzerland as a case study, we estimated the population-level impact of this recommendation. DESIGN: We predicted the CRC risk of all respondents to the population-based Swiss Health Survey. We derived the distribution of risk-based screening start age, assuming predicted risk was calculated every 5 years between ages 25 and 70 and screening started when this risk exceeded 3%. Next, the MISCAN-Colon microsimulation model evaluated biennial faecal immunochemical test (FIT) screening with this risk-based start age. As a comparison, we simulated screening initiation based on age and sex. RESULTS: Starting screening only when predicted risk exceeded 3% meant 82% of women and 90% of men would not start screening before age 65 and 60, respectively. This would require 43%-57% fewer tests, result in 8%-16% fewer CRC deaths prevented and yield 19%-33% fewer lifeyears gained compared with screening from age 50. Screening women from age 65 and men from age 60 had a similar impact as screening only when predicted risk exceeded 3%. CONCLUSION: With the recommended risk prediction tool, the population impact of the BMJ Rapid Recommendation would be similar to screening initiation based on age and sex only. It would delay screening initiation by 10-15 years. Although halving the screening burdens, screening benefits would be reduced substantially compared with screening initiation at age 50. This suggests that the 3% risk threshold to start CRC screening might be too high.

Association between the colorectal cancer screening status of primary care physicians and their patients: Evidence from the Swiss Sentinella practice-based research network.

Swiss health insurance reimburses screening for colorectal cancer (CRC) with either colonoscopy or fecal occult blood test (FOBT). Studies have documented the association between a physician's personal preventive health practices and the practices they recommend to their patients. We explored the association between CRC testing status of primary care physicians (PCP) and the testing rate among their patients. From May 2017 to September 2017, we invited 129 PCP who belonged to the Swiss Sentinella Network to disclose their CRC test status and whether they had been tested with colonoscopy or FOBT/other methods. Each participating PCP collected demographic data and CRC testing status from 40 consecutive 50- to 75-year-old patients. We analyzed data from 69 (54%) PCP 50 years or older and 2623 patients. Most PCP were men (81%); 75% were tested for CRC (67% with colonoscopy and 9% with FOBT). Mean patient age was 63; 50% were women; 43% had been tested for CRC (38%, 1000/2623 with colonoscopy and 5%, 131/2623, with FOBT or other non-endoscopic test). In multivariate adjusted regression models that clustered patients by PCP, the proportion of patients tested for CRC was higher among PCP tested for CRC than among PCP not tested (47% vs 32%; OR 1.97; 95% CI 1.36 to 2.85). Since PCP CRC testing status is associated with their patients CRC testing rates, it informs future interventions that will alert PCPs to the influence of their health decisions and motivate them to further incorporate the values and preferences of their patients in their practice.