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1.
Hong Kong Med J ; 30(1): 25-31, 2024 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38327202

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has caused extensive disruption of public health worldwide. There were reports of COVID-19 patients having multiple complications. This study investigated COVID-19 from a genetic perspective. METHODS: We conducted RNA sequencing (RNA-Seq) analysis of respiratory tract samples from 24 patients with COVID-19. Eight patients receiving mechanical ventilation or extracorporeal membrane oxygenation were regarded as severe cases; the remaining 16 patients were regarded as non-severe cases. After quality control, statistical analyses were performed by logistic regression and the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test to identify genes associated with disease severity. RESULTS: Six genes were associated with COVID-19 severity in both statistical tests, namely RPL15, BACE1-AS, CEPT1, EIF4G1, TMEM91, and TBCK. Among these genes, RPL15 and EIF4G1 played roles in the regulation of mRNA translation. Gene ontology analysis showed that the differentially expressed genes were mainly involved in nervous system diseases. CONCLUSION: RNA sequencing analysis showed that severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 infection is associated with the overexpression of genes involved in nervous system disorders.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Humanos , COVID-19/genética , Secretases da Proteína Precursora do Amiloide , SARS-CoV-2/genética , Hong Kong/epidemiologia , Ácido Aspártico Endopeptidases , Análise de Sequência de RNA
2.
Hong Kong Med J ; 29(4): 287-294, 2023 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37409372

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: This study investigated the awareness, perceptions, and acceptance of human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination for children among parents in Hong Kong. It also explored factors associated with, and differences in, vaccine acceptance and hesitancy between parents of girls and boys. METHODS: Parents of boys or girls in Primary 5 to 6 were invited to participate in an online survey through an established health and lifestyle e-platform. RESULTS: Overall, 851 parents completed the survey: 419 (49.2%) had daughters, 348 (40.9%) had sons, and 84 (9.9%) had children of both genders. Parents who enrolled their children into the Childhood Immunisation Programme were more likely to accept HPV vaccination (79.7% vs 33.7%, odds ratio [OR]=7.70; 95% confidence interval [CI]=5.39-11.01; P<0.001); parents of girls were more likely to accept than parents of boys (86.0% vs 71.8%, OR=2.40; 95% CI=1.67-3.46; P<0.001). Among parents of girls and boys, the main reasons for HPV vaccination acceptance were prevention of cancers (girls: 68.8% and boys: 68.7%), prevention of sexually transmitted diseases (girls: 67.3% and boys: 68.3%), and optimal timing before initiation of sexual activity (girls: 62.8% and boys: 59.8%). Vaccine hesitancy was mainly associated with concerns about serious side-effects (girls: 66.7% and boys: 68.0%) and the belief that their children were too young (girls: 60.0% and boys: 54.0%). CONCLUSION: Parents in Hong Kong are hesitant about HPV vaccination for their sons. This barrier could be removed by providing information to correct vaccine safety misconceptions and offering a gender-neutral vaccination programme through the school-based Childhood Immunisation Programme.


Assuntos
Infecções por Papillomavirus , Vacinas contra Papillomavirus , Criança , Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Hong Kong , Infecções por Papillomavirus/prevenção & controle , Papillomavirus Humano , Aceitação pelo Paciente de Cuidados de Saúde , Conhecimentos, Atitudes e Prática em Saúde , Pais , Vacinação
3.
Hong Kong Med J ; 28(4): 294-299, 2022 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35086966

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: A substantial number of people infected with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) remain asymptomatic throughout the course of infection. Nearly half of pregnant women with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) are asymptomatic upon diagnosis; these cases are not without risk of maternal morbidity. Here, we investigated the seroprevalence of anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibodies in an unselected sample of pregnant women in Hong Kong. METHODS: This prospective cohort study included pregnant women who presented for routine Down syndrome screening (DSS) between November 2019 and October 2020; all women subsequently delivered at the booking hospitals. Serum antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 were analysed using a qualitative serological assay in paired serum samples taken at DSS and delivery for all participants. RESULTS: In total, 1830 women were recruited. Six women (0.33%) were seropositive at the DSS visit; this seropositivity persisted until delivery. Of the six women, none reported relevant symptoms during pregnancy; one reported a travel history before DSS and one reported relevant contact history. The interval between sample collections was 177 days (range, 161-195). Among women with epidemiological risk factors, 1.79% with travel history, 50% with relevant contact history, and 0.77% with community SARS-CoV-2 testing history, were seropositive. CONCLUSION: The low seroprevalence in this study suggests that strict public health measures are effective for preventing SARS-CoV-2 transmission. However, these measures cannot be maintained indefinitely. Until a highly effective therapeutic drug targeting SARS-CoV-2 becomes available, vaccination remains the best method to control the COVID-19 pandemic.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Pandemias , Anticorpos Antivirais , COVID-19/diagnóstico , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Teste para COVID-19 , Feminino , Humanos , Pandemias/prevenção & controle , Gravidez , Estudos Prospectivos , Saúde Pública , SARS-CoV-2 , Estudos Soroepidemiológicos
4.
Hong Kong Med J ; 27(5): 350-354, 2021 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34706985

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Total knee arthroplasty (TKA) is an efficacious operation that improves pain and function in patients with knee arthritis. Because of the population ageing trend in Hong Kong, there is a need to determine the safety profile of TKA in older patients. This study examined the age of patients who underwent TKA in the past 10 years in Hong Kong; the aim was to investigate the mortality safety profile and clinical outcomes of TKA in patients aged ≥80 years. METHODS: This study included all patients who underwent primary TKA in the Hospital Authority (HA) from 2010 to 2019. Incidences of 30-day, 90-day, and 1-year mortality were established. Clinical outcomes of patients aged ≥80 years in one cluster of HA hospitals were assessed. RESULTS: Between 2010 and 2019, 25 040 TKA procedures were conducted in all HA hospitals; 2491 were conducted in patients aged ≥80 years. The median age at operation was higher during 2015-2019 than during 2010-2014 (70 vs 69 years; P<0.001); furthermore, an increase was observed in the proportion of patients aged ≥80 years at the time of operation. Incidences of 30-day, 90-day, and 1-year mortality were 0.156%, 0.35%, and 1.09%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: In this first study to examine the safety profile of TKA in older patients in Hong Kong, the mean age at the time of TKA and proportion of patients aged ≥80 years have steadily risen in the past decade. Even in older patients, TKA is a reasonably safe procedure.


Assuntos
Artroplastia do Joelho , Osteoartrite do Joelho , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Hong Kong/epidemiologia , Hospitais , Humanos , Incidência , Osteoartrite do Joelho/cirurgia
5.
Hong Kong Med J ; 27(6): 437-443, 2021 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34857669

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Enhanced recovery after surgery (ERAS) practices improve postoperative recovery and reduce postoperative length of stay (LOS) in patients undergoing primary total hip arthroplasty (THA) or total knee arthroplasty (TKA). Our study investigated whether these promising results could be reproduced in a private hospital setting. METHODS: In total, 228 patients were included in the study cohort: the conventional group comprised 117 patients from 2012 to 2014, while the ERAS group comprised 111 patients from 2017 to 2018. All patients had undergone unilateral primary THA or TKA at a private hospital in Hong Kong. The outcome was postoperative LOS; factors affecting LOS were also investigated. RESULTS: No significant differences were found in any baseline parameters between the two groups of patients. The mean LOS was significantly shorter in the ERAS group than in the conventional group (3.28 ± 1.04 vs 5.16 ± 2.06 days, P<0.001). Moreover, a significantly greater proportion of patients could be discharged on or before postoperative day 3 in the ERAS group, compared with the conventional group (77.5% vs 13.7%, P<0.001). A significant difference in LOS was observed between general ward and private ward patients (3.06 ± 0.59 vs 3.66 ± 1.46 days, P=0.003). Sex, age, and nature of surgery (TKA vs THA) did not have significant effects on LOS. CONCLUSIONS: The ERAS practices yielded a significant improvement in postoperative LOS, compared to conventional practices, among patients who underwent unilateral primary THA or TKA in a private hospital.


Assuntos
Artroplastia de Quadril , Artroplastia do Joelho , Recuperação Pós-Cirúrgica Melhorada , Hospitais Privados , Humanos , Tempo de Internação , Readmissão do Paciente , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/epidemiologia
6.
Hong Kong Med J ; 26(4): 304-310, 2020 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32764157

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Diabetes mellitus is an established modifiable risk factor for periprosthetic joint infection (PJI). Haemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) is a glycaemic marker that correlates with diabetic complications and PJI. As diabetes and prediabetes are frequently asymptomatic, and there is increasing evidence to suggest a correlation between dysglycaemia and osteoarthritis, it is reasonable to provide HbA1c screening before total knee arthroplasty (TKA). The aim of the present study was to determine the prevalence of dysglycaemia in patients who underwent TKA and investigate whether HbA1c screening and optimisation of glycaemic control before TKA affects the incidence of PJI after TKA. METHODS: Patients who underwent primary TKA before and after routine HbA1c screening was introduced in our unit were reviewed. Prediabetes and diabetes were defined according to the American Diabetes Association. Patients with HbA1c ≥7.5% were referred to an endocrinologist for optimisation of glycaemic control before TKA. The incidence PJI, defined according to the Musculoskeletal Infection Society criteria, was recorded. RESULTS: A total of 729 patients (934 knees) had HbA1c screening before TKA. Of them, 17 (2.3%) and 184 (25.2%) patients had known prediabetes and diabetes, respectively, and 265 (36.4%) and 12 (1.6%) had undiagnosed prediabetes and diabetes, respectively. The incidence of PJI was significantly lower in all patients who received HbA1c screening compared with those who did not (0.2% vs 1.02%, P=0.027). CONCLUSION: Screening for HbA1c before TKA provides a cost-effective opportunity to identify undiagnosed dysglycaemia. Patients identified as having dysglycaemia receive modified treatment, significantly reducing the rate of PJI when compared with historical controls.


Assuntos
Artroplastia do Joelho/efeitos adversos , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiologia , Hemoglobinas Glicadas/análise , Osteoartrite do Joelho/sangue , Cuidados Pré-Operatórios/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto , Artrite Infecciosa/epidemiologia , Artrite Infecciosa/etiologia , Diabetes Mellitus/diagnóstico , Diabetes Mellitus/tratamento farmacológico , Feminino , Controle Glicêmico/métodos , Hong Kong/epidemiologia , Humanos , Hipoglicemiantes/uso terapêutico , Incidência , Masculino , Programas de Rastreamento/estatística & dados numéricos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Osteoartrite do Joelho/complicações , Osteoartrite do Joelho/cirurgia , Estado Pré-Diabético/diagnóstico por imagem , Estado Pré-Diabético/tratamento farmacológico , Estado Pré-Diabético/epidemiologia , Cuidados Pré-Operatórios/métodos , Período Pré-Operatório , Prevalência , Infecções Relacionadas à Prótese/epidemiologia , Infecções Relacionadas à Prótese/etiologia
7.
Hong Kong Med J ; 26(3): 201-207, 2020 06.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32371607

RESUMO

PURPOSE: Transfusion is associated with increased perioperative morbidity and mortality in patients undergoing total knee arthroplasty (TKA). Patient blood management (PBM) is an evidence-based approach to maintain blood mass via haemoglobin maintenance, haemostasis optimisation, and blood loss minimisation. The aim of the present study was to assess the effectiveness of a multimodal PBM approach in our centre. METHODS: This was a single-centre retrospective study of patients who underwent primary TKA in Queen Mary Hospital in Hong Kong in 2013 or 2018, using data from the Clinical Data Analysis and Reporting System and a local joint registry database. Patient demographics, preoperative haemoglobin, length of stay, readmission, mean units of transfusion, postoperative prosthetic joint infection, and mortality data were compared between groups. RESULTS: In total, 262 and 215 patients underwent primary TKA in 2013 and 2018, respectively. The mean transfusion rate significantly decreased after PBM implementation (2013: 31.3%; 2018: 1.9%, P<0.001); length of stay after TKA also significantly decreased (2013: 14.49±8.10 days; 2018: 8.77±10.14 days, P<0.001). However, there were no statistically significant differences in readmission, early prosthetic joint infection, or 90-day mortality rates between the two groups. CONCLUSION: Our PBM programme effectively reduced the allogeneic blood transfusion rate in patients undergoing TKA in our institution. Thus, PBM should be considered in current TKA protocols to reduce rates of transfusions and related complications.


Assuntos
Artroplastia do Joelho , Transfusão de Sangue/estatística & dados numéricos , Hemostasia Cirúrgica/métodos , Idoso , Feminino , Hemoglobinas/análise , Hong Kong , Humanos , Tempo de Internação/estatística & dados numéricos , Masculino , Readmissão do Paciente/estatística & dados numéricos , Período Pós-Operatório , Período Pré-Operatório , Avaliação de Programas e Projetos de Saúde , Infecções Relacionadas à Prótese/epidemiologia , Infecções Relacionadas à Prótese/etiologia , Sistema de Registros , Estudos Retrospectivos , Resultado do Tratamento
8.
Hong Kong Med J ; 25(2): 127-133, 2019 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30919810

RESUMO

Knee osteoarthritis is one of the most common degenerative diseases causing disability in elderly patients. Osteoarthritis is an increasing problem for ageing populations, such as that in Hong Kong. It is important for guidelines to be kept up to date with the best evidence-based osteoarthritis management practices available. The aim of this study was to review the current literature and international guidelines on non-surgical treatments for knee osteoarthritis and compared these with the current guidelines in Hong Kong, which were proposed in 2005. Internationally, exercise programmes for non-surgical management of osteoarthritis have been proven effective, and a pilot programme in Hong Kong for comprehensive non-surgical knee osteoarthritis management has been successful. Long-term studies on the effectiveness of such exercise programmes are required, to inform future changes to guidelines on osteoarthritis management.


Assuntos
Terapia por Exercício/métodos , Osteoartrite do Joelho/tratamento farmacológico , Osteoartrite do Joelho/terapia , Idoso , Análise Custo-Benefício , Hong Kong , Humanos , Guias de Prática Clínica como Assunto , Amplitude de Movimento Articular
11.
Hong Kong Med J ; 25(3): 178-182, 2019 06.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31178437

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Clostridioides difficile infection (CDI) is a leading cause of healthcare-associated infection globally, causing significant morbidity and mortality. Faecal microbiota transplantation (FMT) has emerged as a promising option for recurrent and refractory CDI. This study aimed to assess the safety, efficacy, and feasibility of FMT for CDI in Hong Kong. METHODS: We conducted a single-centre, retrospective study for all consecutive cases of recurrent or refractory CDI who underwent FMT from 2013 to 2018. Clinical demographics, outcome, and safety parameters were collected. RESULTS: A total of 24 patients with recurrent or refractory CDI (median age 70 years, interquartile range=45.0-78.3 years; 67% male) were included. Over 80% had been recently hospitalised or were long-term care facility residents. Faecal microbiota transplantation was delivered by feeding tube in 11 (45.8%), oesophagogastroduodenoscopy in eight (33.3%), and colonoscopy in six (25%) of the patients. Resolution of diarrhoea without relapse within 8 weeks was achieved in 21 out of 24 patients (87.5%) after FMT. No deaths occurred within 30 days. The FMT was well tolerated and no serious adverse events attributable to FMT were reported. CONCLUSION: Our results confirm that FMT is a safe, efficacious, and feasible intervention for patients with refractory or recurrent CDI in Hong Kong. Given the increasing disease burden and the lack of effective alternatives in Hong Kong for difficult-to-treat cases of CDI, we recommend that a territory-wide FMT service be established to address increasing demand for this treatment.


Assuntos
Infecções por Clostridium/terapia , Diarreia/terapia , Transplante de Microbiota Fecal , Idoso , Colonoscopia , Endoscopia do Sistema Digestório , Fezes/microbiologia , Feminino , Hong Kong , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Recidiva , Estudos Retrospectivos , Resultado do Tratamento
12.
Hong Kong Med J ; 24(2): 152-157, 2018 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29658483

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Periprosthetic joint infection after total knee arthroplasty is a serious complication. This study aimed to identify risk factors and bacteriological features associated with periprosthetic joint infection after primary total knee arthroplasty performed at a teaching hospital. METHODS: We reviewed 2543 elective primary total knee arthroplasties performed at our institution from 1993 to 2013. Data were collected from the Hong Kong Hospital Authority's Clinical Data Analysis and Reporting System, the Infection Control Team, and the joint replacement division registry. The association between potential risk factors and periprosthetic joint infection was examined by univariable analysis and multivariable logistic regression. Univariable analyses were also performed to examine the association between potential risk factors and bacteriology and between potential risk factors, including bacteriology, and early-onset infection. RESULTS: The incidence of periprosthetic joint infection in our series was 1.34% (n=34). The incidence of early-onset infection was 0.39% (n=24). Of the periprosthetic joint infections, 29.4% were early-onset infections. In both univariable and multivariable analyses, only rheumatoid arthritis was a significant predictor of periprosthetic joint infection. Methicillin-sensitive Staphylococcus aureus was the most common causative organism. We did not identify any significant association between potential risk factors and bacteriology. Periprosthetic joint infection caused by skin flora was positively associated with early-onset infection but the association was not statistically significant. CONCLUSION: The incidence of periprosthetic joint infection after elective primary total knee arthroplasty performed at our institution from 1993 to 2013 was 1.34%. Rheumatoid arthritis was a significant risk factor for periprosthetic joint infection.


Assuntos
Artroplastia do Joelho/efeitos adversos , Bactérias/isolamento & purificação , Prótese do Joelho/efeitos adversos , Infecções Relacionadas à Prótese/etiologia , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Infecções Relacionadas à Prótese/epidemiologia , Infecções Relacionadas à Prótese/microbiologia , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Risco
14.
Mol Psychiatry ; 21(11): 1537-1544, 2016 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26809842

RESUMO

Dyslipidemia is one of the most common adverse effects in schizophrenia patients treated with antipsychotics. However, there are no established effective treatments. In this study, data were pooled from two randomized, placebo-controlled trials, which were originally designed to examine the efficacy of metformin in treating antipsychotic-induced weight gain and other metabolic abnormalities. In total, 201 schizophrenia patients with dyslipidemia after being treated with an antipsychotic were assigned to take 1000 mg day-1 metformin (n=103) or placebo (n=98) for 24 weeks, with evaluation at baseline, week 12 and week 24. The primary outcome was the low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) levels. After metformin treatment, the mean difference in the LDL-C value between metformin treatment and placebo was from 0.16 mmol l-1 at baseline to -0.86 mmol l-1 at the end of week 24, decreased by 1.02 mmol l-1 (P<0.0001); and 25.3% of patients in the metformin group had LDL-C ≥3.37 mmol l-1, which is significantly <64.8% in the placebo group (P<0.001) at week 24. Compared with the placebo, metformin treatment also have a significant effect on reducing weight, body mass index, insulin, insulin resistance index, total cholesterol and triglyceride, and increasing high-density lipoprotein cholesterol. The treatment effects on weight and insulin resistance appeared at week 12 and further improved at week 24, but the effects on improving dyslipidemia only significantly occurred at the end of week 24. We found that metformin treatment was effective in improving antipsychotic-induced dyslipidemia and insulin resistance, and the effects improving antipsychotic-induced insulin resistance appeared earlier than the reducing dyslipidemia.


Assuntos
Dislipidemias/tratamento farmacológico , Metformina/farmacologia , Metformina/uso terapêutico , Adulto , Antipsicóticos/uso terapêutico , Glicemia , Peso Corporal/efeitos dos fármacos , Método Duplo-Cego , Feminino , Humanos , Hipoglicemiantes/uso terapêutico , Insulina , Resistência à Insulina , Lipoproteínas LDL/análise , Lipoproteínas LDL/sangue , Masculino , Obesidade/tratamento farmacológico , Esquizofrenia/complicações , Esquizofrenia/tratamento farmacológico , Aumento de Peso/efeitos dos fármacos
16.
Hong Kong Med J ; 22(1): 11-5, 2016 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26416175

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: The number of patients undergoing total hip replacement surgeries has increased as a result of a rise in the ageing population. This study reviewed the demographics and disease spectrum leading to primary total hip replacement in the Chinese population from 1998 to 2010. METHODS: This case series was conducted in a university teaching hospital in Hong Kong. Data from the prospective joint registry of all patients who underwent primary total hip replacement from January 1998 to December 2010 were reviewed. Patients' age and sex, diagnosis, as well as the Harris Hip Scores before operation and at the last follow-up were described. RESULTS: There were 512 primary total hip replacements performed on 419 patients (43.4% males) during the study period. All had clinical follow-up for at least 2 years. The mean age of the patients was 57.6 (standard deviation, 16.6) years. In males, the main aetiology was osteonecrosis (50.9%), ankylosing spondylitis (19.5%), and post-traumatic arthritis (8.5%). For females, it was osteonecrosis (33.0%), primary osteoarthritis (18.8%), and post-traumatic arthritis (15.8%). Alcohol-induced (52.5%) and idiopathic (40.7%) was the most common cause of osteonecrosis in males and females, respectively. The mean preoperative Harris Hip Score and that at last follow-up was 43.9 (standard deviation, 18.3) and 89.7 (standard deviation, 13.0), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Osteonecrosis was the most common aetiology leading to total hip replacement although there were different causes in both sexes leading to it. The clinical result in terms of Harris Hip Score was good for all patients who required total hip replacement.


Assuntos
Artrite , Artroplastia de Quadril , Osteonecrose/complicações , Adulto , Idoso , Artrite/diagnóstico , Artrite/epidemiologia , Artrite/etiologia , Artrite/cirurgia , Artroplastia de Quadril/métodos , Artroplastia de Quadril/estatística & dados numéricos , Feminino , Hong Kong/epidemiologia , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Avaliação de Resultados em Cuidados de Saúde , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores Sexuais
17.
Hong Kong Med J ; 22(6): 600-7, 2016 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27795449

RESUMO

Total hip arthroplasty is effective in reducing pain and improving functional outcome for a variety of hip pathologies. Approximately 27% patients, however, complain of pain at 6 months' follow-up following surgery. The pain may worsen over time and can become severe and chronic in around 4% of patients who ultimately require revision surgery. Therefore, it is important for clinicians to comprehensively assess patients undergoing total hip arthroplasty in order to identify the underlying pathology of a painful hip and then offer prompt treatment. Causes of hip pain after total hip arthroplasty are analysed in this article, as well as the systematic approach to evaluation and appropriate diagnostic investigations.


Assuntos
Artroplastia de Quadril/efeitos adversos , Manejo da Dor/métodos , Dor Pós-Operatória/terapia , Reoperação/estatística & dados numéricos , Idoso , Feminino , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Exame Físico , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/terapia , Falha de Prótese/efeitos adversos , Tomografia Computadorizada por Raios X
20.
Osteoarthr Cartil Open ; 6(2): 100440, 2024 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38385105

RESUMO

Objective: Knee osteoarthritis (OA) is a complex disease with heterogeneous representations. Although it is modifiable to prevention and early treatment, there still lacks a reliable and accurate prognostic tool. Hence, we aim to develop a quantitative and self-administrable knee replacement (KR) risk stratification system for knee osteoarthritis (KOA) patients with clinical features. Method: A total of 14 baseline features were extracted from 9592 cases in the Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI) cohort. A survival model was constructed using the Random Survival Forests algorithm. The prediction performance was evaluated with the concordance index (C-index) and average receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). A three-class KR risk stratification system was built to differentiate three distinct KR-free survival groups. Thereafter, Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) was introduced for model explanation. Results: KR incidence was accurately predicted by the model with a C-index of 0.770 (±0.0215) and an average AUC of 0.807 (±0.0181) with 14 clinical features. Three distinct survival groups were observed from the ten-point KR risk stratification system with a four-year KR rate of 0.79%, 5.78%, and 16.2% from the low, medium, and high-risk groups respectively. KR is mainly caused by pain medication use, age, surgery history, diabetes, and a high body mass index, as revealed by SHAP. Conclusion: A self-administrable and interpretable KR survival model was developed, underscoring a KR risk scoring system to stratify KOA patients. It will encourage regular self-assessments within the community and facilitate personalised healthcare for both primary and secondary prevention of KOA.

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