Whole genome sequencing of 4,787 individuals identifies gene-based rare variants in age-related macular degeneration.

Genome-wide association studies have contributed extensively to the discovery of disease-associated common variants. However, the genetic contribution to complex traits is still largely difficult to interpret. We report a genome-wide association study of 2394 cases and 2393 controls for age-related macular degeneration (AMD) via whole-genome sequencing, with 46.9 million genetic variants. Our study reveals significant single-variant association signals at four loci and independent gene-based signals in CFH, C2, C3, and NRTN. Using data from the Exome Aggregation Consortium (ExAC) for a gene-based test, we demonstrate an enrichment of predicted rare loss-of-function variants in CFH, CFI, and an as-yet unreported gene in AMD, ORMDL2. Our method of using a large variant list without individual-level genotypes as an external reference provides a flexible and convenient approach to leverage the publicly available variant datasets to augment the search for rare variant associations, which can explain additional disease risk in AMD.

A novel pathogenic germline chromosome 3 inversion in von Hippel-Lindau disease.

von Hippel-Lindau (VHL) is an autosomal-dominant hereditary tumour susceptibility disease associated with pathogenic germline variants in the VHL tumour suppressor gene. VHL patients are at increased risk of developing multiple benign and malignant tumours. Current CLIA-based genetic tests demonstrate a very high detection rate of germline VHL variants in patients with clinical manifestations of VHL. In this report, we describe a large family with canonical VHL manifestations, for which no germline alteration had been detected by conventional germline testing. We identified a novel 291 kb chromosomal inversion involving chromosome 3p in affected family members. This inversion disrupts the VHL gene between exon 2 and exon 3 and is thereby responsible for the disease observed in this family.

Gene-level association analysis of bivariate ordinal traits with functional regressions.

In genetic studies, many phenotypes have multiple naturally ordered discrete values. The phenotypes can be correlated with each other. If multiple correlated ordinal traits are analyzed simultaneously, the power of analysis may increase significantly while the false positives can be controlled well. In this study, we propose bivariate functional ordinal linear regression (BFOLR) models using latent regressions with cumulative logit link or probit link to perform a gene-based analysis for bivariate ordinal traits and sequencing data. In the proposed BFOLR models, genetic variant data are viewed as stochastic functions of physical positions, and the genetic effects are treated as a function of physical positions. The BFOLR models take the correlation of the two ordinal traits into account via latent variables. The BFOLR models are built upon functional data analysis which can be revised to analyze the bivariate ordinal traits and high-dimension genetic data. The methods are flexible and can analyze three types of genetic data: (1) rare variants only, (2) common variants only, and (3) a combination of rare and common variants. Extensive simulation studies show that the likelihood ratio tests of the BFOLR models control type I errors well and have good power performance. The BFOLR models are applied to analyze Age-Related Eye Disease Study data, in which two genes, CFH and ARMS2, are found to strongly associate with eye drusen size, drusen area, age-related macular degeneration (AMD) categories, and AMD severity scale.

Critical Dependence on Area in Relationship between ARMS2/HTRA1 Genotype and Faster Geographic Atrophy Enlargement: Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 Report Number 33.

PURPOSE: To analyze ARMS2/HTRA1 as a risk factor for faster geographic atrophy (GA) enlargement according to (1) GA area and (2) contiguous enlargement versus progression to multifocality. DESIGN: Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 (AREDS2) cohort analysis. PARTICIPANTS: Eyes with GA: 546 eyes of 406 participants. METHODS: Geographic atrophy area was measured from color fundus photographs at annual visits. Mixed-model regression of square root of GA area and proportional hazards regression of progression to multifocality were analyzed by ARMS2 genotype. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Change in square root GA area and progression to multifocality. RESULTS: Geographic atrophy enlargement was significantly faster with ARMS2 risk alleles (P < 0.0001) at 0.224 mm/year (95% CI, 0.195-0.252 mm/year), 0.298 mm/year (95% CI, 0.271-0.324 mm/year), and 0.317 mm/year (95% CI, 0.279-0.355 mm/year), for 0 to 2 risk alleles, respectively. However, a significant interaction (P = 0.011) was observed between genotype and baseline area. In eyes with very small area (< 1.9 mm2), enlargement was significantly faster with ARMS2 risk alleles (P < 0.0001) at 0.193 mm/year (95% CI, 0.162-0.225 mm/year) versus 0.304 mm/year (95% CI, 0.280-0.329 mm/year) for 0 versus 1 to 2 risk alleles, respectively. With moderately small (1.9-3.8 mm2) or medium to large (≥ 3.8 mm2) area, enlargement was not significantly faster with ARMS2 risk alleles (P = 0.66 and P = 0.70, respectively). In nonmultifocal GA, enlargement was significantly faster with ARMS2 risk alleles (P = 0.001) at 0.175 mm/year (95% CI, 0.142-0.209 mm/year), 0.226 mm/year (95% CI, 0.193-0.259 mm/year), and 0.287 mm/year (95% CI, 0.237-0.337 mm/year) with 0 to 2 risk alleles, respectively. ARMS2 genotype was not associated significantly with progression to multifocal GA. CONCLUSIONS: The relationship between ARMS2/HTRA1 genotype and faster GA enlargement depends critically on GA area: risk alleles represent a strong risk factor for faster enlargement only in eyes with very small area. They increase the growth rate more through contiguous enlargement than progression to multifocality. ARMS2/HTRA1 genotype is more important in increasing risk of progression to GA and initial GA enlargement (contiguously) than in subsequent enlargement or progression to multifocality. These findings may explain some discrepancies between previous studies and have implications for both research and clinical practice. FINANCIAL DISCLOSURE(S): Proprietary or commercial disclosure may be found in the Footnotes and Disclosures at the end of this article.

Oral Antioxidant and Lutein/Zeaxanthin Supplements Slow Geographic Atrophy Progression to the Fovea in Age-Related Macular Degeneration.

PURPOSE: To determine whether oral micronutrient supplementation slows geographic atrophy (GA) progression in age-related macular degeneration (AMD). DESIGN: Post hoc analysis of Age-Related Eye Disease Study (AREDS) and AREDS2, multicenter randomized placebo-controlled trials of oral micronutrient supplementation, each with 2 × 2 factorial design. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 392 eyes (318 participants) with GA in AREDS and 1210 eyes (891 participants) with GA in AREDS2. METHODS: The AREDS participants were randomly assigned to oral antioxidants (500 mg vitamin C, 400 IU vitamin E, 15 mg ß-carotene), 80 mg zinc, combination, or placebo. The AREDS2 participants were randomly assigned to 10 mg lutein/2 mg zeaxanthin, 350 mg docosahexaenoic acid/650 mg eicosapentaenoic acid, combination, or placebo. Consenting AREDS2 participants were also randomly assigned to alternative AREDS formulations: original; no beta-carotene; 25 mg zinc instead of 80 mg; both. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: (1) Change in GA proximity to central macula over time and (2) change in square root GA area over time, each measured from color fundus photographs at annual visits and analyzed by mixed-model regression according to randomized assignments. RESULTS: In AREDS eyes with noncentral GA (n = 208), proximity-based progression toward the central macula was significantly slower with randomization to antioxidants versus none, at 50.7 µm/year (95% confidence interval [CI], 38.0-63.4 µm/year) versus 72.9 µm/year (95% CI, 61.3-84.5 µm/year; P = 0.012), respectively. In AREDS2 eyes with noncentral GA, in participants assigned to AREDS antioxidants without ß-carotene (n = 325 eyes), proximity-based progression was significantly slower with randomization to lutein/zeaxanthin versus none, at 80.1 µm/year (95% CI, 60.9-99.3 µm/year) versus 114.4 µm/year (95% CI, 96.2-132.7 µm/year; P = 0.011), respectively. In AREDS eyes with any GA (n = 392), area-based progression was not significantly different with randomization to antioxidants versus none (P = 0.63). In AREDS2 eyes with any GA, in participants assigned to AREDS antioxidants without ß-carotene (n = 505 eyes), area-based progression was not significantly different with randomization to lutein/zeaxanthin versus none (P = 0.64). CONCLUSIONS: Oral micronutrient supplementation slowed GA progression toward the central macula, likely by augmenting the natural phenomenon of foveal sparing. FINANCIAL DISCLOSURE(S): Proprietary or commercial disclosure may be found after the references.

An Updated Simplified Severity Scale for Age-Related Macular Degeneration Incorporating Reticular Pseudodrusen: Age-Related Eye Disease Study Report Number 42.

PURPOSE: To update the Age-Related Eye Disease Study (AREDS) simplified severity scale for risk of late age-related macular degeneration (AMD), including incorporation of reticular pseudodrusen (RPD), and to perform external validation on the Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 (AREDS2). DESIGN: Post hoc analysis of 2 clinical trial cohorts: AREDS and AREDS2. PARTICIPANTS: Participants with no late AMD in either eye at baseline in AREDS (n = 2719) and AREDS2 (n = 1472). METHODS: Five-year rates of progression to late AMD were calculated according to levels 0 to 4 on the simplified severity scale after 2 updates: (1) noncentral geographic atrophy (GA) considered part of the outcome, rather than a risk feature, and (2) scale separation according to RPD status (determined by validated deep learning grading of color fundus photographs). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Five-year rate of progression to late AMD (defined as neovascular AMD or any GA). RESULTS: In the AREDS, after the first scale update, the 5-year rates of progression to late AMD for levels 0 to 4 were 0.3%, 4.5%, 12.9%, 32.2%, and 55.6%, respectively. As the final simplified severity scale, the 5-year progression rates for levels 0 to 4 were 0.3%, 4.3%, 11.6%, 26.7%, and 50.0%, respectively, for participants without RPD at baseline and 2.8%, 8.0%, 29.0%, 58.7%, and 72.2%, respectively, for participants with RPD at baseline. In external validation on the AREDS2, for levels 2 to 4, the progression rates were similar: 15.0%, 27.7%, and 45.7% (RPD absent) and 26.2%, 46.0%, and 73.0% (RPD present), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The AREDS AMD simplified severity scale has been modernized with 2 important updates. The new scale for individuals without RPD has 5-year progression rates of approximately 0.5%, 4%, 12%, 25%, and 50%, such that the rates on the original scale remain accurate. The new scale for individuals with RPD has 5-year progression rates of approximately 3%, 8%, 30%, 60%, and 70%, that is, approximately double for most levels. This scale fits updated definitions of late AMD, has increased prognostic accuracy, seems generalizable to similar populations, but remains simple for broad risk categorization. FINANCIAL DISCLOSURE(S): Proprietary or commercial disclosure may be found in the Footnotes and Disclosures at the end of this article.

Consensus Guidelines for Ocular Surveillance of von Hippel-Lindau Disease.

PURPOSE: To develop guidelines for ocular surveillance and early intervention for individuals with von Hippel-Lindau (VHL) disease. DESIGN: Systematic review of the literature. PARTICIPANTS: Expert panel of retina specialists and ocular oncologists. METHODS: A consortium of experts on clinical management of all-organ aspects of VHL disease was convened. Working groups with expertise in organ-specific features of VHL disease were tasked with development of evidence-based guidelines for each organ system. The ophthalmology subcommittee formulated questions for consideration and performed a systematic literature review. Evidence was graded for topic quality and relevance and the strength of each recommendation, and guideline recommendations were developed. RESULTS: The quality of evidence was limited, and no controlled clinical trial data were available. Consensus guidelines included: (1) individuals with known or suspected VHL disease should undergo periodic ocular screening (evidence type, III; evidence strength, C; degree of consensus, 2A); (2) patients at risk of VHL disease, including first-degree relatives of patients with known VHL disease, or any patient with single or multifocal retinal hemangioblastomas (RHs), should undergo genetic testing for pathologic VHL disease gene variants as part of an appropriate medical evaluation (III/C/2A); (3) ocular screening should begin within 12 months after birth and continue throughout life (III/C/2A); (4) ocular screening should occur approximately every 6 to 12 months until 30 years of age and then at least yearly thereafter (III/C-D/2A); (5) ocular screening should be performed before a planned pregnancy and every 6 to 12 months during pregnancy (IV/D/2A); (6) ultra-widefield color fundus photography may be helpful in certain circumstances to monitor RHs, and ultra-widefield fluorescein angiography may be helpful in certain circumstances to detect small RHs (IV/D/2A); (7) patients should be managed, whenever possible, by those with subspecialty training, with experience with VHL disease or RHs, or with both and ideally within the context of a multidisciplinary center capable of providing multiorgan surveillance and access to genetic testing (IV/D/2A); (8) extramacular or extrapapillary RHs should be treated promptly (III/C/2A). CONCLUSIONS: Based on available evidence from observational studies, broad agreement was reached for a strategy of lifelong surveillance and early treatment for ocular VHL disease. These guidelines were endorsed by the VHL Alliance and the International Society of Ocular Oncology and were approved by the American Academy of Ophthalmology Board of Trustees. FINANCIAL DISCLOSURE(S): Proprietary or commercial disclosure may be found in the Footnotes and Disclosures at the end of this article.

Developing a Continuous Severity Scale for Macular Telangiectasia Type 2 Using Deep Learning and Implications for Disease Grading.

PURPOSE: Deep learning (DL) models have achieved state-of-the-art medical diagnosis classification accuracy. Current models are limited by discrete diagnosis labels, but could yield more information with diagnosis in a continuous scale. We developed a novel continuous severity scaling system for macular telangiectasia (MacTel) type 2 by combining a DL classification model with uniform manifold approximation and projection (UMAP). DESIGN: We used a DL network to learn a feature representation of MacTel severity from discrete severity labels and applied UMAP to embed this feature representation into 2 dimensions, thereby creating a continuous MacTel severity scale. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 2003 OCT volumes were analyzed from 1089 MacTel Project participants. METHODS: We trained a multiview DL classifier using multiple B-scans from OCT volumes to learn a previously published discrete 7-step MacTel severity scale. The classifiers' last feature layer was extracted as input for UMAP, which embedded these features into a continuous 2-dimensional manifold. The DL classifier was assessed in terms of test accuracy. Rank correlation for the continuous UMAP scale against the previously published scale was calculated. Additionally, the UMAP scale was assessed in the κ agreement against 5 clinical experts on 100 pairs of patient volumes. For each pair of patient volumes, clinical experts were asked to select the volume with more severe MacTel disease and to compare them against the UMAP scale. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Classification accuracy for the DL classifier and κ agreement versus clinical experts for UMAP. RESULTS: The multiview DL classifier achieved top 1 accuracy of 63.3% (186/294) on held-out test OCT volumes. The UMAP metric showed a clear continuous gradation of MacTel severity with a Spearman rank correlation of 0.84 with the previously published scale. Furthermore, the continuous UMAP metric achieved κ agreements of 0.56 to 0.63 with 5 clinical experts, which was comparable with interobserver κ values. CONCLUSIONS: Our UMAP embedding generated a continuous MacTel severity scale, without requiring continuous training labels. This technique can be applied to other diseases and may lead to more accurate diagnosis, improved understanding of disease progression, and key imaging features for pathologic characteristics. FINANCIAL DISCLOSURE(S): Proprietary or commercial disclosure may be found in the Footnotes and Disclosures at the end of this article.

Oral Hypoxia-Inducible Factor 2α Inhibitor Belzutifan in Ocular von Hippel-Lindau Disease: Subgroup Analysis of the Single-Arm Phase 2 LITESPARK-004 Study.

PURPOSE: To report the efficacy of the oral hypoxia-inducible factor 2α inhibitor belzutifan in participants with von Hippel-Lindau disease-associated retinal hemangioblastomas in the LITESPARK-004 study. DESIGN: Subgroup analysis of the phase 2, single-arm, open-label LITESPARK-004 study. PARTICIPANTS: Adults with 1 or more von Hippel-Lindau disease-associated measurable renal cell carcinoma tumors not requiring immediate surgical intervention were eligible. METHODS: Participants received oral belzutifan 120 mg once daily until disease progression or unacceptable treatment-related toxicity. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Efficacy of belzutifan in retinal hemangioblastomas was a secondary end point, measured as response (improved, stable, or progressed) by independent reading center-certified graders based on color fundus imaging performed every 12 weeks using the investigator's preferred imaging standards. Additional assessments, where available, included OCT and ultra-widefield fluorescein angiography. RESULTS: Among 61 participants in LITESPARK-004, 12 had 1 or more evaluable active retinal hemangioblastomas in 16 eyes at baseline per independent reading center. As of April 1, 2022, the median follow-up for participants with ocular von Hippel-Lindau disease at baseline was 37.3 months. All 16 eyes were graded as improved, with a response rate of 100.0% (95% confidence interval, 79.4%-100%). No new retinal hemangioblastomas or ocular disease progression were reported as of data cutoff date. Eight participants underwent additional multimodal eye assessments performed at the National Institutes of Health study site. Among this subgroup, 10 of 24 hemangioblastomas in 8 eyes of 6 participants measured 500 µm or more in greatest linear dimension at baseline and were analyzed further. All 10 hemangioblastomas had a mean area reduction of 15% or more by month 12 and of 30% or more by month 24. CONCLUSIONS: Belzutifan showed promising activity against ocular von Hippel-Lindau disease, including capacity to control retinal hemangioblastomas, with effects sustained for more than 2 years while treatment is ongoing. FINANCIAL DISCLOSURE(S): Proprietary or commercial disclosure may be found in the Footnotes and Disclosures at the end of this article.

DIRECTIONAL OPTICAL COHERENCE TOMOGRAPHY IMAGING OF MACULAR PATHOLOGY.

PURPOSE: To survey the impact of directional reflectivity on structures within optical coherence tomography images in retinal pathology. METHODS: Sets of commercial optical coherence tomography images taken from multiple pupil positions were analyzed. These directional optical coherence tomography sets revealed directionally reflective structures within the retina. After ensuring sufficient image quality, resulting hybrid and composite images were characterized by assessing the Henle fiber layer, outer nuclear layer, ellipsoid zone, and interdigitation zone. Additionally, hybrid images were reviewed for novel directionally reflective pathological features. RESULTS: Cross-sectional directional optical coherence tomography image sets were obtained in 75 eyes of 58 patients having a broad range of retinal pathologies. All cases showed improved visualization of the outer nuclear layer/Henle fiber layer interface, and outer nuclear layer thinning was, therefore, more apparent in several cases. The ellipsoid zone and interdigitation zone also demonstrated attenuation where a geometric impact of underlying pathology affected their orientation. Misdirected photoreceptors were also noted as a consistent direction-dependent change in ellipsoid zone reflectivity between regions of normal and absent ellipsoid zone. CONCLUSION: Directional optical coherence tomography enhances the understanding of retinal anatomy and pathology. This optical contrast yields more accurate identification of retinal structures and possible imaging biomarkers for photoreceptor-related pathology.

Gene-level association analysis of ordinal traits with functional ordinal logistic regressions.

In this paper, we develop functional ordinal logistic regression (FOLR) models to perform gene-based analysis of ordinal traits. In the proposed FOLR models, genetic variant data are viewed as stochastic functions of physical positions and the genetic effects are treated as a function of physical positions. The FOLR models are built upon functional data analysis which can be revised to analyze the ordinal traits and high dimension genetic data. The proposed methods are capable of dealing with dense genotype data which is usually encountered in analyzing the next-generation sequencing data. The methods are flexible and can analyze three types of genetic data: (1) rare variants only, (2) common variants only, and (3) a combination of rare and common variants. Simulation studies show that the likelihood ratio test statistics of the FOLR models control type I errors well and have good power performance. The proposed methods achieve the goals of analyzing ordinal traits directly, reducing high dimensionality of dense genetic variants, being computationally manageable, facilitating model convergence, properly controlling type I errors, and maintaining high power levels. The FOLR models are applied to analyze Age-Related Eye Disease Study data, in which two genes are found to strongly associate with four ordinal traits.

Reticular Pseudodrusen Status, ARMS2/HTRA1 Genotype, and Geographic Atrophy Enlargement: Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 Report 32.

PURPOSE: To determine whether reticular pseudodrusen (RPD) status, ARMS2/HTRA1 genotype, or both are associated with altered geographic atrophy (GA) enlargement rate and to analyze potential mediation of genetic effects by RPD status. DESIGN: Post hoc analysis of an Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 cohort. PARTICIPANTS: Eyes with GA: n = 771 from 563 participants. METHODS: Geographic atrophy area was measured from fundus photographs at annual visits. Reticular pseudodrusen presence was graded from fundus autofluorescence images. Mixed-model regression of square root of GA area was performed by RPD status, ARMS2 genotype, or both. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Change in square root of GA area. RESULTS: Geographic atrophy enlargement was significantly faster in eyes with RPD (P < 0.0001): 0.379 mm/year (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.329-0.430 mm/year) versus 0.273 mm/year (95% CI, 0.256-0.289 mm/year). Enlargement was also significantly faster in individuals carrying ARMS2 risk alleles (P < 0.0001): 0.224 mm/year (95% CI, 0.198-0.250 mm/year), 0.287 mm/year (95% CI, 0.263-0.310 mm/year), and 0.307 mm/year (95% CI, 0.273-0.341 mm/year) for 0, 1, and 2, respectively. In mediation analysis, the direct effect of ARMS2 genotype was 0.074 mm/year (95% CI, 0.009-0.139 mm/year), whereas the indirect effect of ARMS2 genotype via RPD status was 0.002 mm/year (95% CI, -0.006 to 0.009 mm/year). In eyes with incident GA, RPD presence was not associated with an altered likelihood of central involvement (P = 0.29) or multifocality (P = 0.16) at incidence. In eyes with incident noncentral GA, RPD presence was associated with faster GA progression to the central macula (P = 0.009): 157 µm/year (95% CI, 126-188 µm/year) versus 111 µm/year (95% CI, 97-125 µm/year). Similar findings were observed in the Age-Related Eye Disease Study. CONCLUSIONS: Geographic atrophy enlargement is faster in eyes with RPD and in individuals carrying ARMS2/HTRA1 risk alleles. However, RPD status does not mediate the association between ARMS2/HTRA1 genotype and faster enlargement. Reticular pseudodrusen presence and ARMS2/HTRA1 genotype are relatively independent risk factors, operating by distinct mechanisms. Reticular pseudodrusen presence does not predict central involvement or multifocality at GA incidence but is associated with faster progression toward the central macula. Reticular pseudodrusen status should be considered for improved predictions of enlargement rate. FINANCIAL DISCLOSURE(S): Proprietary or commercial disclosure may be found after the references.

Cataract surgery and the risk of progression of macular degeneration.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Cataract surgery improves vision loss due to cataracts in eyes with co-existing age-related macular degeneration (AMD), but whether surgery itself pose an increased risk for the progression of AMD has been of concern to both physicians and their patients. This review describes evidence on cataract surgery and its impact on the progression of AMD. RECENT FINDINGS: Recent evidence suggests that cataract surgery does not increase the risk for progression of AMD. SUMMARY: Cataract surgery should be discussed in patients with both AMD and visually significant cataract. Patients should be reassured that the cataract surgery will not increase the risk of AMD progression. In patients with AMD, especially those with the more severe intermediate stage and those with advanced AMD in the fellow eye, the natural course of progression to late AMD is high. The importance of vigilant follow-up needs to be emphasized for the detection of natural progression of the disease and early initiation of treatment should signs of neovascularization develop.

Dietary nutrient intake and cognitive function in the Age-Related Eye Disease Studies 1 and 2.

INTRODUCTION: The objective was to analyze associations between dietary intake of multiple nutrients and altered cognitive function and/or decline. METHODS: Observational analyses of participants (n = 6334) in two randomized trials of nutritional supplements for age-related macular degeneration: Age-Related Eye Disease Study (AREDS) and AREDS2. RESULTS: In AREDS, for 4 of 38 nutrients examined, higher intake quintiles were significantly associated with decreased risk of cognitive impairment on the Modified Mini-Mental State test (<80): ß-carotene, copper, docosahexaenoic acid, and insoluble fiber. In AREDS2, for 13 of 44 nutrients, higher intake quintiles were associated with decreased risk on the Telephone Interview Cognitive Status-Modified (<30). Rate of cognitive decline over up to 10 years was not significantly different with higher intake of any nutrient. DISCUSSION: Higher dietary intake of multiple nutrients, including specific vitamins, minerals, carotenoids, fatty acids, and fiber, was associated with lower risk of cognitive impairment but not slower decline in cognitive function.

Gene-based analysis of bi-variate survival traits via functional regressions with applications to eye diseases.

Genetic studies of two related survival outcomes of a pleiotropic gene are commonly encountered but statistical models to analyze them are rarely developed. To analyze sequencing data, we propose mixed effect Cox proportional hazard models by functional regressions to perform gene-based joint association analysis of two survival traits motivated by our ongoing real studies. These models extend fixed effect Cox models of univariate survival traits by incorporating variations and correlation of multivariate survival traits into the models. The associations between genetic variants and two survival traits are tested by likelihood ratio test statistics. Extensive simulation studies suggest that type I error rates are well controlled and power performances are stable. The proposed models are applied to analyze bivariate survival traits of left and right eyes in the age-related macular degeneration progression.

Family-based exome sequencing identifies rare coding variants in age-related macular degeneration.

Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have identified 52 independent variants at 34 genetic loci that are associated with age-related macular degeneration (AMD), the most common cause of incurable vision loss in the elderly worldwide. However, causal genes at the majority of these loci remain unknown. In this study, we performed whole exome sequencing of 264 individuals from 63 multiplex families with AMD and analyzed the data for rare protein-altering variants in candidate target genes at AMD-associated loci. Rare coding variants were identified in the CFH, PUS7, RXFP2, PHF12 and TACC2 genes in three or more families. In addition, we detected rare coding variants in the C9, SPEF2 and BCAR1 genes, which were previously suggested as likely causative genes at respective AMD susceptibility loci. Identification of rare variants in the CFH and C9 genes in our study validated previous reports of rare variants in complement pathway genes in AMD. We then extended our exome-wide analysis and identified rare protein-altering variants in 13 genes outside the AMD-GWAS loci in three or more families. Two of these genes, SCN10A and KIR2DL4, are of interest because variants in these genes also showed association with AMD in case-control cohorts, albeit not at the level of genome-wide significance. Our study presents the first large-scale, exome-wide analysis of rare variants in AMD. Further independent replications and molecular investigation of candidate target genes, reported here, would assist in gaining novel insights into mechanisms underlying AMD pathogenesis.

Cataract Surgery and the Risk of Developing Late Age-Related Macular Degeneration: The Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 Report Number 27.

PURPOSE: To evaluate the risk of developing late age-related macular degeneration (AMD) after incident cataract surgery. DESIGN: A prospective cohort study within a randomized controlled clinical trial of oral supplementation for the treatment of AMD, the Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 (AREDS2). PARTICIPANTS: AREDS2 participants aged 50 to 85 years with bilateral large drusen or unilateral late AMD. METHODS: In eyes free of cataract surgery and late AMD at baseline, 2 groups were compared for incident late AMD: (1) eyes that received cataract surgery after the baseline visit and before any evidence of late AMD and (2) eyes that remained phakic until study completion. Eyes with at least 2 years of follow-up after cataract surgery were included in the analysis. We used Cox regression models, matched-pairs analysis, and logistic regression models that were adjusted for age, sex, smoking, education, study treatment group, and AMD severity. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Late AMD was defined as the presence of geographic atrophy or neovascular AMD detected on annual stereoscopic fundus photographs or as documented by medical records, including intravitreous injections of anti-vascular endothelial growth factor medication. RESULTS: A total of 1767 eligible eyes (1195 participants) received cataract surgery; 1981 eyes (1524 participants) developed late AMD during a mean (range) follow-up of 9 (1-12) years. The Cox regression model showed no increased risk of developing late AMD after cataract surgery: hazard ratio, 0.96; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.81-1.13 (P = 0.60) for right eyes and hazard ratio, 1.05; 95% CI, 0.89-1.25 (P = 0.56) for left eyes. Of the matched pairs, late AMD was identified in 408 eyes that received cataract surgery and in 429 phakic controls: odds ratio (OR) 0.92 (95% CI, 0.77-1.10; P = 0.34). The risk of late AMD after cataract surgery from the logistic regression model was not statistically significant (risk ratio, 0.92; 95% CI, 0.56-1.49; P = 0.73). CONCLUSIONS: Cataract surgery did not increase the risk of developing late AMD among AREDS2 participants with up to 10 years of follow-up. This study provides data for counseling AMD patients who might benefit from cataract surgery.

Reticular Pseudodrusen: The Third Macular Risk Feature for Progression to Late Age-Related Macular Degeneration: Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 Report 30.

PURPOSE: To analyze reticular pseudodrusen (RPD) as an independent risk factor for progression to late age-related macular degeneration (AMD), alongside traditional macular risk factors (soft drusen and pigmentary abnormalities) considered simultaneously. DESIGN: Post hoc analysis of 2 clinical trial cohorts: Age-Related Eye Disease Study (AREDS) and AREDS2. PARTICIPANTS: Eyes with no late AMD at baseline in AREDS (6959 eyes, 3780 participants) and AREDS2 (3355 eyes, 2056 participants). METHODS: Color fundus photographs (CFPs) from annual visits were graded for soft drusen, pigmentary abnormalities, and late AMD. Presence of RPD was from grading of fundus autofluorescence images (AREDS2) and deep learning grading of CFPs (AREDS). Proportional hazards regression analyses were performed, considering AREDS AMD severity scales (modified simplified severity scale [person] and 9-step scale [eye]) and RPD presence simultaneously. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Progression to late AMD, geographic atrophy (GA), and neovascular AMD. RESULTS: In AREDS, for late AMD analyses by person, in a model considering the simplified severity scale simultaneously, RPD presence was associated with a higher risk of progression: hazard ratio (HR), 2.15 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.75-2.64). However, the risk associated with RPD presence differed at different severity scale levels: HR, 3.23 (95% CI, 1.60-6.51), HR, 3.81 (95% CI, 2.38-6.10), HR, 2.28 (95% CI, 1.59-3.27), and HR, 1.64 (95% CI, 1.20-2.24), at levels 0-1, 2, 3, and 4, respectively. Considering the 9-step scale (by eye), RPD presence was associated with higher risk: HR, 2.54 (95% CI, 2.07-3.13). The HRs were 5.11 (95% CI, 3.93-6.66) at levels 1-6 and 1.78 (95% CI, 1.43-2.22) at levels 7 and 8. In AREDS2, by person, RPD presence was not associated with higher risk: HR, 1.18 (95% CI, 0.90-1.56); by eye, it was HR, 1.57 (95% CI, 1.31-1.89). In both cohorts, RPD presence carried a higher risk for GA than neovascular AMD. CONCLUSIONS: Reticular pseudodrusen represent an important risk factor for progression to late AMD, particularly GA. However, the added risk varies markedly by severity level, with highly increased risk at lower/moderate levels and less increased risk at higher levels. Reticular pseudodrusen status should be included in updated AMD classification systems, risk calculators, and clinical trials.

From Data to Deployment: The Collaborative Community on Ophthalmic Imaging Roadmap for Artificial Intelligence in Age-Related Macular Degeneration.

OBJECTIVE: Health care systems worldwide are challenged to provide adequate care for the 200 million individuals with age-related macular degeneration (AMD). Artificial intelligence (AI) has the potential to make a significant, positive impact on the diagnosis and management of patients with AMD; however, the development of effective AI devices for clinical care faces numerous considerations and challenges, a fact evidenced by a current absence of Food and Drug Administration (FDA)-approved AI devices for AMD. PURPOSE: To delineate the state of AI for AMD, including current data, standards, achievements, and challenges. METHODS: Members of the Collaborative Community on Ophthalmic Imaging Working Group for AI in AMD attended an inaugural meeting on September 7, 2020, to discuss the topic. Subsequently, they undertook a comprehensive review of the medical literature relevant to the topic. Members engaged in meetings and discussion through December 2021 to synthesize the information and arrive at a consensus. RESULTS: Existing infrastructure for robust AI development for AMD includes several large, labeled data sets of color fundus photography and OCT images; however, image data often do not contain the metadata necessary for the development of reliable, valid, and generalizable models. Data sharing for AMD model development is made difficult by restrictions on data privacy and security, although potential solutions are under investigation. Computing resources may be adequate for current applications, but knowledge of machine learning development may be scarce in many clinical ophthalmology settings. Despite these challenges, researchers have produced promising AI models for AMD for screening, diagnosis, prediction, and monitoring. Future goals include defining benchmarks to facilitate regulatory authorization and subsequent clinical setting generalization. CONCLUSIONS: Delivering an FDA-authorized, AI-based device for clinical care in AMD involves numerous considerations, including the identification of an appropriate clinical application; acquisition and development of a large, high-quality data set; development of the AI architecture; training and validation of the model; and functional interactions between the model output and clinical end user. The research efforts undertaken to date represent starting points for the medical devices that eventually will benefit providers, health care systems, and patients.

DeepLensNet: Deep Learning Automated Diagnosis and Quantitative Classification of Cataract Type and Severity.

PURPOSE: To develop deep learning models to perform automated diagnosis and quantitative classification of age-related cataract from anterior segment photographs. DESIGN: DeepLensNet was trained by applying deep learning models to the Age-Related Eye Disease Study (AREDS) dataset. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 18 999 photographs (6333 triplets) from longitudinal follow-up of 1137 eyes (576 AREDS participants). METHODS: Deep learning models were trained to detect and quantify nuclear sclerosis (NS; scale 0.9-7.1) from 45-degree slit-lamp photographs and cortical lens opacity (CLO; scale 0%-100%) and posterior subcapsular cataract (PSC; scale 0%-100%) from retroillumination photographs. DeepLensNet performance was compared with that of 14 ophthalmologists and 24 medical students. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Mean squared error (MSE). RESULTS: On the full test set, mean MSE for DeepLensNet was 0.23 (standard deviation [SD], 0.01) for NS, 13.1 (SD, 1.6) for CLO, and 16.6 (SD, 2.4) for PSC. On a subset of the test set (substantially enriched for positive cases of CLO and PSC), for NS, mean MSE for DeepLensNet was 0.23 (SD, 0.02), compared with 0.98 (SD, 0.24; P = 0.000001) for the ophthalmologists and 1.24 (SD, 0.34; P = 0.000005) for the medical students. For CLO, mean MSE was 53.5 (SD, 14.8), compared with 134.9 (SD, 89.9; P = 0.003) for the ophthalmologists and 433.6 (SD, 962.1; P = 0.0007) for the medical students. For PSC, mean MSE was 171.9 (SD, 38.9), compared with 176.8 (SD, 98.0; P = 0.67) for the ophthalmologists and 398.2 (SD, 645.4; P = 0.18) for the medical students. In external validation on the Singapore Malay Eye Study (sampled to reflect the cataract severity distribution in AREDS), the MSE for DeepSeeNet was 1.27 for NS and 25.5 for PSC. CONCLUSIONS: DeepLensNet performed automated and quantitative classification of cataract severity for all 3 types of age-related cataract. For the 2 most common types (NS and CLO), the accuracy was significantly superior to that of ophthalmologists; for the least common type (PSC), it was similar. DeepLensNet may have wide potential applications in both clinical and research domains. In the future, such approaches may increase the accessibility of cataract assessment globally. The code and models are available at https://github.com/ncbi/deeplensnet.