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BACKGROUND: The effects of long-term PM2.5 exposures since 1968 on adenocarcinoma lung cancer (AdLC) were not studied before. METHODS: This case-referent study used nationwide cancer registry data since 1997 and air pollution data since 1968 in Taiwan to estimate risks of 30-year PM2.5 exposures on AdLC. Cases were all AdLC, while references were all non-AdLC. Individuals' 30-year PM2.5 exposures were estimated by PM2.5 levels at their residence for 30 years prior their diagnosis dates. We applied multiple logistic regression analyses to estimate PM2.5 exposures on incidence rate ratios (IRRs) between cases and references, adjusting for sex, age, smoking, cancer stage, and EGFR mutation. RESULTS: Elevation in annual ambient PM2.5 concentrations since 1968 were associated with increase in annual age-adjusted AdLC incidence since 1997. AdLC incidences were higher among females, nonsmokers, the elderly aged above 65, cases of stages IIIB to IV, and EGFR mutation. Study subjects' PM2.5 exposures averaged at 33.7 ± 7.4 µg/m3 with 162 ± 130 high PM2.5 pollution days over 30 years. Multiple logistic models showed an increase in 10 µg/m3 of PM2.5 exposures were significantly associated with 1.044 of IRR between all AdLC and all non-AdLC cases during 2011-2020. Our models also showed that females and nonsmokers and adults less than 65 years had higher IRRs than their respective counterparts. Restricted analyses showed similar effects of PM2.5 exposures on IRRs between stage 0-IIIA and IIIB-IV cases and between EGFR+ and EGFR- cases. CONCLUSIONS: Long-term exposures to PM2.5 over 30 years were associated with elevated risks of AdLC against non-AdLC, regardless of gender, age, smoking status, cancer stage, or EGFR mutation.
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Adenocarcinoma de Pulmão , Exposição Ambiental , Neoplasias Pulmonares , Material Particulado , Humanos , Taiwan/epidemiologia , Masculino , Feminino , Material Particulado/toxicidade , Material Particulado/análise , Neoplasias Pulmonares/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Pulmonares/induzido quimicamente , Neoplasias Pulmonares/etiologia , Idoso , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Adenocarcinoma de Pulmão/epidemiologia , Exposição Ambiental/efeitos adversos , Adulto , Adenocarcinoma/epidemiologia , Adenocarcinoma/etiologia , Adenocarcinoma/induzido quimicamente , Poluentes Atmosféricos/toxicidade , Poluentes Atmosféricos/análise , Incidência , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Idoso de 80 Anos ou maisRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Although diabetes is a poor prognostic factor for colorectal cancer (CRC), whether diabetes severity provides an additional predictive value for CRC prognosis remains unclear. The study aimed to investigate the prognostic differences after curative CRC resection among patients with different diabetic severities. METHODS: This population-based retrospective cohort study analyzed data registered between 2007 and 2015 in the Cancer Registry Database, which is linked to the National Health Insurance Research Database and National Death Registry. Patients with CRC who underwent curative radical resection for stage I-III disease were evaluated, with their diabetic status subdivided into no diabetes, diabetes without complication, and diabetes with complications. Cox regressions were applied to determine the association between diabetes severity and CRC survival, including overall survival (OS), disease-free survival (DFS), time to recurrence, and cancer-specific survival (CSS). RESULTS: A total of 59,202 patients with CRC were included. Compared with the no diabetes group, the diabetes without complication group has insignificantly worse OS (hazard ratio [HR], 1.05; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01-1.09), DFS (HR, 1.08; 95% CI, 1.04-1.12), and CSS (HR, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.93-1.03), whereas those with complicated diabetes had a significantly higher risk of poor survival (OS: HR, 1.85; 95% CI, 1.78-1.92; DFS: HR, 1.75; 95% CI, 1.69-1.82; CSS: HR, 1.41; 95% CI, 1.33-1.49). Patients with CRC and diabetes also had a higher risk of recurrence than did those without diabetes. Sex and TNM staging were important effect modifiers. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with CRC who undergo curative resection, the severity of the diabetes is inversely correlated with long-term outcomes, especially in women and patients in the earlier stages of CRC. PLAIN LANGUAGE SUMMARY: The prognostic impact of diabetes severity in colorectal cancer (CRC) is yet to be clarified. In this cohort study of 59,202 patients with CRC, compared with patients with CRC and without diabetes, those with uncomplicated diabetes had an insignificantly worse CRC survival, whereas those with complicated diabetes had a significantly higher risk of poor survival. Multidisciplinary medical care to prevent progression into diabetes with complications is needed to improve survival among patients with CRC and diabetes.
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Neoplasias Colorretais , Diabetes Mellitus , Humanos , Feminino , Estudos de Coortes , Estudos Retrospectivos , Taiwan/epidemiologia , Prognóstico , Estadiamento de Neoplasias , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiologia , Intervalo Livre de Doença , Neoplasias Colorretais/complicações , Neoplasias Colorretais/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Colorretais/cirurgiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: This study aimed to determine whether primary parathyroid cancer patients were associated with increased metabolic and cardiovascular comorbidities in comparison to the general population. METHODS: We used the National Taiwan Cancer Registry Database to construct a cohort of patients with parathyroid cancer from January 1, 2004, to December 31, 2019. We compared the incidence of hypertension, diabetes mellitus, hyperlipidemia, atrial fibrillation, coronary heart disease, and heart failure with the general population matched based on a propensity score in a one-to-five fashion. RESULTS: A total of 72 parathyroid cancer patients and 360 matched general population (mean age: 55 years; 59% women) were included, with different exclusive numbers for each metabolic and cardiovascular comorbidity cohort. The number of cases based on a total of 2347.7 person-years of observation included 53 deaths, 29 hypertension, 9 diabetes, 13 hyperlipidemia, 10 atrial fibrillation, 18 coronary artery disease, and 13 heart failure. According to multivariate analysis, parathyroid cancer remained significantly associated with diabetes [hazard ratio (HR): 9.28; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.72-50.07], hyperlipidemia (HR: 5.86; 95% CI: 1.61-21.31), and heart failure (HR: 4.46; 95% CI: 1.18-16.84). Sub-distribution of competing mortality events and subgroup analysis showed robust evidence of metabolic and cardiovascular comorbidities. This national cohort study demonstrated that adult parathyroid cancer patients had a significantly higher incidence of diabetes mellitus, hyperlipidemia, and heart failure than the general population. CONCLUSIONS: An increased risk of metabolic and cardiac comorbidities among parathyroid cancer patients required great caution.
Assuntos
Fibrilação Atrial , Doença da Artéria Coronariana , Insuficiência Cardíaca , Hiperlipidemias , Hipertensão , Neoplasias das Paratireoides , Adulto , Humanos , Feminino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Masculino , Estudos de Coortes , Fibrilação Atrial/epidemiologia , Taiwan/epidemiologia , Neoplasias das Paratireoides/epidemiologia , Comorbidade , Hipertensão/epidemiologia , Doença da Artéria Coronariana/epidemiologia , Insuficiência Cardíaca/epidemiologia , Hiperlipidemias/epidemiologia , Incidência , Fatores de Risco , Estudos RetrospectivosRESUMO
In a country with a high prevalence of cigarette smoking, betel chewing, and alcohol drinking, cancers of the oral cavity, nasopharynx, and larynx were the fourth, twelfth and seventeenth leading causes of cancer death, respectively, for men in 2020. We analyzed patients with head and neck cancer from 1980 to 2019 from the Taiwan Cancer Registration Database and discussed the annual average percent change, average percent change, age period, and birth cohort. Obvious period effects and birth effects are seen in oral, oropharyngeal, and hypopharyngeal cancer; however, the most significant period effect was seen between 1990 and 2009, which mainly reflects the consumption of betel nuts per capita. In addition, the period effect lessens after 2010 in oral cancer and hypopharyngeal cancers, while oropharyngeal cancers remain an obvious period effect, which results from the rising prevalence of HPV. Due to the high prevalence rate of betel quid chewing and cigarette smoking in the 1990s, the government executed several acts. As a result, the age-adjusted incidence rates of oral, oropharyngeal, and hypopharyngeal cancers have flattened since 2010, which can be explained by the declining cigarette smoking rate. The strict policy indeed shows an obvious effect on the head and neck cancer incidence rates, and we expect to see a further decline in the future.
Assuntos
Neoplasias Hipofaríngeas , Neoplasias Laríngeas , Masculino , Humanos , Neoplasias Laríngeas/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Laríngeas/etiologia , Incidência , Taiwan/epidemiologia , BocaRESUMO
Breast cancer is the most commonly diagnosed cancer among women worldwide. Studies have reported minimal birth cohort effects on the incidence rates of breast cancer in Western countries but have reported notable birth cohort effects in some Asian countries. The risks of breast cancer may also vary within a country. In the present study, we abstracted female invasive breast cancer data from the Taiwan Cancer Registry for the period 1997-2016. We used the age-period-cohort model to compare birth cohort effects on breast cancer incidence rates between urban and rural regions in Taiwan. We identified a notable urban-rural disparity in birth cohort effects on breast cancer incidence rates in women in Taiwan. The incidence rates in the urban regions were higher than those in the rural regions across all cohorts. However, the incidence rates rose faster in the rural regions than in the urban regions across the cohorts. The risks of breast cancer observed for women born in 1992 were approximately 22 and 11 times than those observed for women born in 1917 in rural and urban regions, respectively. The observed gap in breast cancer incidence rates between the urban and rural regions gradually disappeared across the cohorts. Accordingly, we speculate that urbanization and westernization in Taiwan may be the drivers of female breast cancer incidence rates across birth cohorts.
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Neoplasias da Mama , Humanos , Feminino , Adulto , Neoplasias da Mama/epidemiologia , Incidência , População Urbana , Coorte de Nascimento , Efeito de Coortes , População RuralRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Mapping disease rates is an important aspect of epidemiological research because it helps inform public health policy. Disease maps are often drawn according to local administrative areas (LAAs), such as counties, cities, or towns. In LAAs with small populations, disease rates are unstable and are prone to appear extremely high or low. The empirical Bayes methods consider variance differences among different LAAs, thereby stabilizing the disease rates. The methods of kriging break the constraints of geopolitical boundaries and produce a smooth curved surface in the form of contour lines, but the methods lack the stabilizing effect of the empirical Bayes methods. METHODS: An easy-to-implement stabilized kriging method is proposed to map disease rates, which allows different errors in different LAAs. RESULTS: Monte Carlo simulations revealed that the stabilized kriging method had smaller symmetric mean absolute percentage error than three other types of methods (the original LAA-based method, empirical Bayes methods, and traditional kriging methods) in nearly all scenarios considered. Real-world data analysis of oral cancer incidence rates in men from Taiwan demonstrated that the age-standardized rates in the central mountainous sparsely-populated region of Taiwan were stabilized using our proposed method, with no more large differences in numerical values, whereas the rates in other populous regions were not over-smoothed. Additionally, the stabilized kriging map had improved resolution and helped locate several hot and cold spots in the incidence rates of oral cancer. CONCLUSION: We recommend the use of the stabilized kriging method for mapping disease rates.
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Neoplasias Bucais , Humanos , Teorema de Bayes , Japão , Análise Espacial , IncidênciaRESUMO
Breast cancer is the most common neoplasm in the world among women. The age-specific incidences and onset ages vary widely between Asian and Western countries/regions. Invasive breast cancer cases among women from 1997 to 2011 were abstracted from the International Agency for Research on Cancer and the Taiwan Cancer Registry. Age-period-cohort analysis was performed to examine the trends. The cohort effect was prominent in South Korea, Taiwan, Japan, and Thailand, possibly related to the timing of westernization. The risk of breast cancer initially rose with the birth cohorts in Hong Kong and India (both former British colonies), peaked, and then declined in recent birth cohorts. Unlike other Asian countries/regions, virtually no birth cohort effect was identified in the Philippines (a Spanish colony in 1565 and the first Asian country to adopt Western cultural aspects). Moreover, an at-most negligible birth cohort effect was identified for all ethnic groups (including Asian immigrants) in the United States. This global study identified birth cohort effects in most Asian countries/regions but virtually no impact in Western countries/regions. The timing of westernization was associated with the birth cohort effect.
Assuntos
Neoplasias da Mama , Feminino , Estados Unidos , Humanos , Efeito de Coortes , Neoplasias da Mama/epidemiologia , Incidência , Estudos de Coortes , Hong Kong/epidemiologiaRESUMO
PURPOSE: Pancreatic cancer is one of the most malignant cancers with poor survival. The latest edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system classifies the majority of operable pancreatic cancer patients as stage-III, while dramatic heterogeneity is observed among these patients. Therefore, subgrouping is required to accurately predict their prognosis and define a treatment plan. This study conducts a cohort study to provide a more precise classification system for stage-III pancreatic cancer patients by utilizing clinical variables. METHODS: We analyzed survival using log-rank tests, univariate Cox-regression models, and Kaplan-Meier survival curves for stage-III pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) patients from the Taiwan Cancer Registry (TCR). Patients were further divided into subgroups using classification and regression tree (CART) algorithm. All results were validated using the SEER database. RESULTS: Among stage-III PDAC patients, lymph node and tumor grade showed significant association with survival. Patients with N2 stage had higher mortality risks (hazard ratio [HR] = 2.30, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.71-3.08, p < 0.0001) than N0 patients. Patients with grade 3 also had higher risk of mortality (HR = 3.80, 95% CI 2.25-6.39, p < 0.0001) than grade 1 patients. The CART algorithm stratified stage-III patients into four subgroups with significantly different survival rates. The median survival of the four subgroups was 23.5, 18.4, 14.5, and 9.0 months, respectively (p < 0.0001). Similar results were observed with SEER data. CONCLUSIONS: Lymph node involvement and tumor grade are predictive factors for survival in stage-III PDAC patients. This new precise classification system can be used to guide treatment planning in advanced-stage pancreatic cancer.
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Neoplasias Pancreáticas , Estudos de Coortes , Humanos , Estadiamento de Neoplasias , Neoplasias Pancreáticas/patologia , Neoplasias Pancreáticas/cirurgia , Prognóstico , Sistema de Registros , Programa de SEER , Taiwan/epidemiologiaRESUMO
PURPOSE: Colon cancer is the third most incident and life-threatening cancer in Taiwan. A comprehensive survival prediction system would greatly benefit clinical practice in this area. This study was designed to develop an accurate prognostic model for colon cancer patients by using clinicopathological variables obtained from the Taiwan Cancer Registry database. METHODS: We analyzed 20,218 colon cancer patients from the Taiwan Cancer Registry database, who were diagnosed between 2007 and 2015, were followed up until December 31, 2017, and had undergone curative surgery. We proposed two prognostic models, with different combinations of predictors. The first model used only traditional clinical features. The second model included several colon cancer site-specific factors (circumferential resection margin, perineural invasion, obstruction, and perforation), in addition to the traditional features. Both prediction models were developed by using a Cox proportional hazards model. Furthermore, we investigated whether race is a significant predictor of survival in colon cancer patients by using Model 1 on the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) cancer registry dataset. RESULTS: The proposed models displayed a robust prediction performance (all Harrell's c-index >0.8). For both the calibration and validation steps, the differences between the predicted and observed mortality were mostly less than 5%. CONCLUSIONS: The prediction model (Model 1) is an effective predictor of survival regardless of the ethnic background of patients and can potentially help to provide better prediction of colon cancer-specific survival outcomes, thus allowing physicians to improve treatment plans.
Assuntos
Neoplasias do Colo , Neoplasias do Colo/patologia , Humanos , Estadiamento de Neoplasias , Prognóstico , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Sistema de Registros , Programa de SEER , Taiwan/epidemiologiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The associations with cancer and cardiovascular diseases (CVD) had inconsistent results. The study aimed to investigate the risk of cardiovascular diseases (CVD) between populations with and without cancer. METHODS: Patients with common cancers in Taiwan were enrolled in the study between 2007 and 2018 using the Taiwan Cancer Registry. We focused on colorectal cancer, women's breast cancer, lung cancer, liver cancer, oral cancer, prostate cancer, and thyroid cancers. The study endpoint was fatal and non-fatal CVD, which was defined as ischemic heart disease and ischemic stroke according to the National Health Insurance Research Database. We compared the risk of CVD between patients with cancer and age- and sex-matched (1:1 ratio) participants who did not have cancer or CVD. Multivariable adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were obtained from Cox regression analysis. To evaluate the chronological trend, we estimated the HRs and 95% CI yearly since the diagnosis. RESULTS: Among the 552,485 cancer patients (mean age, 60.6 years; women, 47.7%) during the median follow-up period of 4.1 years, 32,634 cases of fatal and non-fatal CVD were identified. Compared with that noted in the non-cancer population, the overall fully adjusted HR with 95% CI was 1.28 (1.25, 1.30) in the cancer population. The CVD risk was the highest in the first year, the adjusted HR with 95% CI was 2.31 (2.23, 2.40), and this risk decreased yearly. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with cancer had a significantly higher risk of fatal or non-fatal CVD. The risk was the highest in the first year since diagnosis and decreased yearly.
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Doenças Cardiovasculares , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Neoplasias da Glândula Tireoide , Masculino , Humanos , Feminino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos de Coortes , Doenças Cardiovasculares/epidemiologia , Taiwan/epidemiologiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The incidence of human papillomavirus (HPV) positive oropharyngeal cancer (OPC) is rising but HPV negative OPC is decreasing in Western countries. In Taiwan, the incidence of HPV negative OPC is common but the incidence of HPV positive OPC remains unknown. The objective of this study is to estimate the incidence trend and the survival of HPV positive OPC in Taiwan. METHODS: Between 1999 and 2014, primary tumor tissues from 425 incident OPCs were obtained from 5 medical centers in Taiwan. 408 OPCs were evaluated by the EasyChip HPV genotyping (King-Car, I-Lan, Taiwan) and 369 OPCs by p16 staining. The clinical data were retrospectively obtained from the medical records. RESULTS: In our study, 29% of OPCs were HPV positive. The percentage of HPV positive OPC was stable from 1999 to 2014 (25% (1999-2002), 30% (2003-2006), 30% (2007-2010), 29% (2011-2014)). The estimated crude incidence rate of HPV positive OPC increased significantly from 0.62 (1999-2002), 1.06 (2003-2006), 1.52 (2007-2010) to 1.74 (2011-2014) per 100,000 person-year. The sensitivity and specificity of p16 staining for positive HPV infection were 92% and 91%, respectively. The 5-year overall survival rates for patients with HPV positive OPC and with HPV negative OPC were 67.8% and 49.0%, respectively (HR = 0.52 (0.35-0.76), p = 0.0005). Patients with HPV positive OPC but no betel nut/cigarette exposure had the best overall survival (5-year: 88.2%, p < 0.0001). Patients with HPV negative OPC and betel nut/cigarette exposure had the worst overall survival (5-year: 46.6%, p < 0.0001). Patients with HPV positive OPC but also with betel nut/cigarette exposure had poorer 5-year overall survival (48.3%, p < 0.01). CONCLUSION: The incidence of HPV positive OPC is increasing along with HPV negative OPC, which leads to stably low percentage of HPV positive OPC in Taiwan. HPV positive OPC may become an important head and neck cancer when the incidence of HPV negative OPC declines in the near future. P16 is a useful surrogate marker for HPV infection in OPC and a good prognostic indicator for treatment outcome of OPC. Patients with HPV positive OPC but no betel nut/cigarette exposure has an excellent prognosis. Betel nut/cigarette exposure significantly worsens the prognosis of HPV positive OPC.
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Areca/efeitos adversos , Neoplasias Orofaríngeas/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Orofaríngeas/virologia , Infecções por Papillomavirus/complicações , Feminino , Genótipo , Comportamentos de Risco à Saúde , Papillomavirus Humano 16/genética , Humanos , Incidência , Estimativa de Kaplan-Meier , Masculino , Mastigação , Neoplasias Orofaríngeas/mortalidade , Reação em Cadeia da Polimerase , Estudos Retrospectivos , Taiwan/epidemiologiaRESUMO
Mapping spacetime disease rates can provide a more in-depth understanding of their distribution and trends. Traditional spatiotemporal kriging methods can break the constraints of geopolitical boundaries and time intervals. Still, disease rates in densely and sparsely populated areas are stabilized to the same degree, resulting in a map that is oversmoothed in some places but undersmoothed in others. The stabilized spatiotemporal kriging method proposed in this study overcomes this problem by allowing for nonconstant variances over space and time. A spatiotemporal map of the standardized incidence ratio for oral cancer in men in Taiwan between 1997 and 2017 reveals that the high-risk areas for oral cancer are in the midwestern and southeastern regions of Taiwan, spreading toward the center and north, with persistent cold spots in the northern and southwestern urban regions. However, the corresponding map for breast cancer in women in Taiwan reveals that the high-risk areas for breast cancer are concentrated in densely populated urban regions in the west. Spatiotemporal maps facilitate our understanding of disease risk dynamics. We recommend using the proposed stabilized spatiotemporal kriging method for mapping disease rates across space and time.
Assuntos
Neoplasias da Mama , Neoplasias Bucais , Neoplasias da Mama/epidemiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , Masculino , Neoplasias Bucais/epidemiologia , Análise Espacial , Taiwan/epidemiologiaRESUMO
PURPOSE: Evidence regarding the relationship between colorectal cancer and the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) is limited. Thus, in this study, we aimed to determine the standardised incidence ratio (SIR) of CVDs in colorectal cancer patients in Taiwan. METHODS: A population-based cohort study enrolling the incident colorectal cancer population based on the Cancer Registry Database from 2007 to 2016 was conducted (n = 94,233, mean age: 62.4 years, 43.0% women). New cases of CVD, including coronary heart disease and ischemic stroke, through 31 December 2018 were obtained from the National Health Insurance Research Database and National Death Registry. Compared with the general population (n = 1,977,659, mean age: 44.3 years, 49.6% women), age- and sex-specific SIRs for CVDs were calculated by the time since diagnosis. RESULTS: A total of 6852 cardiovascular events occurred in colorectal cancer patients during a median follow-up of 4.4 years. The SIR of CVD was highest in the first year after diagnosis (SIR: 1.45, 95% confidence interval: 1.39-1.50); however, this decreased to the same value as that of the general population in later years. Similar patterns were observed for the SIR of coronary heart disease. However, the SIR of ischemic stroke among colorectal cancer patients was low from the second year following cancer diagnosis. CONCLUSIONS: Colorectal cancer patients are at an increased risk of developing CVD, especially coronary heart disease, during the first 3 years following colorectal cancer diagnosis.
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Doenças Cardiovasculares , Neoplasias Colorretais , Adulto , Doenças Cardiovasculares/complicações , Doenças Cardiovasculares/epidemiologia , Estudos de Coortes , Neoplasias Colorretais/complicações , Neoplasias Colorretais/epidemiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Fatores de RiscoRESUMO
Monitoring survival in cancer is a common concern for patients, physicians, and public health researchers. The traditional cohort approach for monitoring cancer prognosis has a timeliness problem. In this paper, we propose a survivorship-period-cohort (SPC) model for examining the effects of survivorship, period, and year-of-diagnosis cohort on cancer prognosis and for predicting future trends in cancer survival. We used the developed SPC model to evaluate the relative survival (RS) of patients with liver cancer in Taiwan (diagnosed from 1997 to 2016) and to predict future trends in RS by imputing incomplete follow-up data for recently diagnosed patient cohorts. We used cross-validation to select the extrapolation method and bootstrapping to estimate the 95% confidence interval for RS. We found that 5-year cumulative RS increased for both men and women with liver cancer diagnosed after 2003. For patients diagnosed before 2010, the 5-year cumulative RS rate for men was lower than that for women; thereafter, the rates were better for men than for women. The SPC model can help elucidate the effects of survivorship, period, and year-of-diagnosis cohort effects on cancer prognosis. Moreover, the SPC model can be used to monitor cancer prognosis in real time and predict future trends; thus, we recommend its use.
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Sobreviventes de Câncer/estatística & dados numéricos , Neoplasias Hepáticas/mortalidade , Modelos Estatísticos , Análise de Sobrevida , Fatores Etários , Estudos de Coortes , Humanos , Masculino , Prognóstico , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Fatores Sexuais , Taiwan/epidemiologia , Fatores de TempoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Genetic and environmental factors are important determinants of nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). NPC is associated with Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) infection. Studies have reported familial aggregation of NPC, but evidence has been mixed for elevated rates of cancers other than NPC. METHODS: The authors reassessed their previous evaluation of familial aggregation of cancer in 348 high-risk Taiwanese multiplex families with 2 or more NPC cases enrolled between 1980 and 2003. Participants were linked to the Taiwan National Cancer Registry and National Death Registry to identify cancers. RESULTS: In all, 2590 individuals contributed 37,959 person-years over an average of 15 years of follow-up; 314 incident cancers were identified. The authors computed multiple primary standardized incidence ratios (MP-SIRs) to evaluate the overall risk and the risk of infection-associated, EBV-associated, and individual cancers. The overall MP-SIR was 1.24 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.10-1.38). The exclusion of excess NPC risk led to an overall MP-SIR of 1.11 (95% CI, 0.98-1.25). Similarly, the risk of cancers associated with infectious agents was driven by the excess in NPC, and its exclusion led to an MP-SIR of 1.22 (95% CI, 0.99-1.48) for infection-associated cancers and to an MP-SIR of 1.18 (95% CI, 0.72-1.82) for EBV-associated cancers. The authors observed a significant excess of second cancers among NPC cases (oral cancer, mouth cancer, tongue cancer, gum cancer, nasal cavity cancer, bone cancer, and non-Hodgkin lymphoma). CONCLUSIONS: This reassessment of the largest NPC multiplex family study confirms the presence of NPC coaggregation within families in Taiwan but does not provide evidence for a broader familial syndrome involving NPC and other tumors. Among NPC cases, elevated rates of secondary cancers, mostly at the, head and neck and hematopoietic cancers suggest radiation treatment effects on subsequent cancer risk.
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Infecções por Vírus Epstein-Barr , Neoplasias Nasofaríngeas , Infecções por Vírus Epstein-Barr/complicações , Infecções por Vírus Epstein-Barr/epidemiologia , Herpesvirus Humano 4/genética , Humanos , Carcinoma Nasofaríngeo/complicações , Carcinoma Nasofaríngeo/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Nasofaríngeas/patologia , Fatores de RiscoRESUMO
Seven viruses including the Epstein-Barr virus (EBV), hepatitis B virus (HBV), hepatitis C virus (HCV), Kaposi's sarcoma herpes virus (KSHV), human immunodeficiency virus, type-1 (HIV-1), human T cell lymphotrophic virus, type-1 (HTLV-1), and human papillomavirus (HPV) have been classified as Group 1 human carcinogens by the International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC). The conclusions are based on the findings of epidemiological and mechanistic studies. EBV, HPV, HTLV-1, and KSHV are direct carcinogens; HBV and HCV are indirect carcinogens through chronic inflammation; and HIV-1 is an indirect carcinogen through immune suppression. Some viruses may cause more than one cancer, while some cancers may be caused by more than one virus. However, only a proportion of persons infected by these oncogenic viruses will develop specific cancers. A series of studies have been carried out to assess the viral, host, and environmental cofactors of EBV-associated nasopharyngeal carcinoma, HBV/HCV-associated hepatocellular carcinoma, and HPV-associated cervical carcinoma. Persistent infection, high viral load, and viral genotype are important risk predictors of these virus-caused cancers. Risk calculators incorporating host and viral risk predictors have been developed for the prediction of long-term risk of hepatocellular carcinoma, nasopharyngeal carcinoma and cervical cancer. These risk calculators are useful for the triage and clinical management of infected patients. Both clinical trials and national programs of immunization, antiviral therapy and screening have demonstrated a significant reduction in the incidence of cancers caused by HBV, HCV, and HPV. Future research on gene-gene and gene-environment interactions of oncogenic viruses and the human host using large-scale longitudinal studies with serial measurements of biosignatures are in urgent need.
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Carcinoma Hepatocelular , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Neoplasias , Vírus Oncogênicos , Viroses , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/virologia , Herpesvirus Humano 4 , Humanos , Neoplasias Hepáticas/virologia , Neoplasias/virologia , Viroses/epidemiologiaRESUMO
There has been uncertainty about the demographics and anatomical distribution of cutaneous sebaceous carcinoma. This study aims to investigate these uncertainties by analysing data from various countries. Data were obtained from cancer registries of the United States, England, Norway and Taiwan, and incidence rates were calculated with uniform age-adjustment. sebaceous carcinoma was more commonly reported in males than females in white populations, whereas the inverse was true in Taiwan. Ocular sebaceous carcinoma was more commonly reported in females than males in all populations, despite male predominance in white populations. The majority (approx. 70-90%) occurred on head and neck in Asians and whites. Age-adjusted incidence rate (to the 2000-2025 WHO World Standard Population) ranged from 0.07 to 0.18 per 100 000 person-years and was not higher in Taiwanese than in white populations.
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Carcinoma/epidemiologia , Neoplasias das Glândulas Sebáceas/epidemiologia , Adolescente , Adulto , Distribuição por Idade , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Inglaterra/epidemiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Noruega/epidemiologia , Grupos Raciais/estatística & dados numéricos , Sistema de Registros , Distribuição por Sexo , Taiwan/epidemiologia , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Adulto JovemRESUMO
The Taiwan Cancer Registry (TCR) is a nationwide population-based registry that collects the data of patients with newly diagnosed cancer from hospitals with ≥50 beds. TCR data are high quality in terms of completeness and timeliness. However, accuracy is also a crucial quality indicator. This study evaluated the accuracy rates of selected 55 major items in the long-form TCR data between 2014 and 2016 with 700 reported cases randomly selected from 25 long-form-reporting hospitals. We calculated the accuracy rates of the reported data by employing a reabstracted chart review. Among the 55 items, the accuracy rates of 38 (69%) were at least 95%, those of 10 (18%) were between 90% and 95%, those of 5 (9%) were between 85% and 90%, and the remaining 2 (4%) were between 80% and 85%. This demonstrates a high degree of accuracy in the TCR long-form data.
Assuntos
Hospitais , Neoplasias , Bases de Dados Factuais , Humanos , Neoplasias/epidemiologia , Sistema de Registros , Taiwan/epidemiologiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Phthalic acid esters are established as endocrine disruptors. The study aimed to evaluate the association between urinary phthalate metabolites and prostate cancer occurrence. METHODS: The study was based on the Taiwan Community-Based Cancer Screening Program, which was set up in 1991-1992 and followed periodically. By 2010, 80 incident prostate cancer cases were identified in the 12,020 men. For each case, 2 controls were randomly selected, matched by age (±3 years), urine collection date (±3 months), and residential township. Frequently used phthalate metabolites from the urine samples were quantified by liquid chromatography/electrospray ionization tandem mass spectrometry. Logistic regression was conducted to assess the association between the exposure levels and prostate cancer occurrence. RESULTS: Exposure to di (2-ethylhexyl), butyl-benzyl and di-isobutyl phthalates (DEHP, BBzP, DiBP) was positively associated with prostate cancer in men with waist circumference (WC) ≥90â¯cm but not in the leans. Odds ratio for the DEHP metabolite summary score (upper tertile compared to the rest) and prostate cancer were 7.76 (95% CIâ¯=â¯1.95-30.9) for WCâ¯≥â¯90â¯cm. CONCLUSIONS: DEHP, BBzP, and DiBP exposure were associated with prostate cancer occurrence in abdominally obese men. The main limitation remains the lack of mechanistic experiments and comparable toxicological data.
Assuntos
Dietilexilftalato , Poluentes Ambientais , Ácidos Ftálicos , Neoplasias da Próstata/epidemiologia , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Exposição Ambiental , Humanos , Masculino , Taiwan/epidemiologiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: There are still oral cancer patients without surgery. To improve the survival, it is necessary to know the causes of the oral cancer patients without surgery. METHODS: 23,217 patients with a newly-diagnosed oral cancer in Taiwan Cancer Registry (TCR) database between 2011 and 2015 were enrolled. Data from TCR database named "Reason for No Surgery of Primary Site" were extracted for analysis of the causes of those without surgery. Overall survival plots were presented using the Kaplan-Meier method with log-rank test. RESULTS: 3263 (14%) patients did not received surgery. Among them, there were 720 patients (group 3) without surgery although surgery was advised, 154 patients (group 2) because of poor condition or death before surgery, and 2389 patients (group 1) because of other causes. Twenty-four percent of the patients with surgery were treated one month and more after diagnosis. The 5-year overall survival rates were 68.7%, 25.2%, 9.1% and 17.3% for surgery group, group 3, 2 and 1, respectively (p < 0.001). The mean age of the patients with and without surgery were 54.8 and 59.3, respectively (p < 0.01). Female patients were commoner in group 3 (p < 0.01). The patients without surgery was commoner in the middle (15.7%) and southern (14.8%) than in Northern Taiwan (12.1%). All groups without surgery had more advanced stage and lower BMI (p < 0.01). CONCLUSION: One-sevenths of patients were not treated surgically because of refusal, poor condition, older age, low BMI, and advanced stage. It is necessary to encourage the patients to undergo surgery with shortening the diagnosis-to-treatment interval.