A 7000-year history of changing plant trait composition in an Amazonian landscape; the role of humans and climate.

Tropical forests are shifting in species and trait composition, but the main underlying causes remain unclear because of the short temporal scales of most studies. Here, we develop a novel approach by linking functional trait data with 7000 years of forest dynamics from a fossil pollen record of Lake Sauce in the Peruvian Amazon. We evaluate how climate and human disturbances affect community trait composition. We found weak relationships between environmental conditions and traits at the taxon level, but strong effects for community-mean traits. Overall, community-mean traits were more responsive to human disturbances than to climate change; human-induced erosion increased the dominance of dense-wooded, non-zoochorous species with compound leaves, and human-induced fire increased the dominance of tall, zoochorous taxa with large seeds and simple leaves. This information can help to enhance our understanding of forest responses to past environmental changes, and improve predictions of future changes in tropical forest composition.

Human disturbance amplifies Amazonian El Niño-Southern Oscillation signal.

The long-term interaction between human activity and climate is subject to increasing scrutiny. Humans homogenize landscapes through deforestation, agriculture, and burning and thereby might reduce the capacity of landscapes to provide archives of climate change. Alternatively, land-use change might overwhelm natural buffering and amplify latent climate signals, rendering them detectable. Here we examine a sub-annually resolved sedimentary record from Lake Sauce in the western Amazonian lowlands that spans 6900 years. Finely-laminated sediments were deposited from ca. 5000 years ago until the present, and human activity in the watershed was revealed through the presence of charcoal and maize agriculture. The laminations, analyzed for color content and bandwidth, showed distinctive changes that were coupled to more frequent occurrence of fossil maize pollen. As agricultural activity intensified ca. 2200 cal. BP, the 2- to 8-year periodicity characteristic of El Niño-Southern Oscillation became evident in the record. These agricultural activities appeared to have amplified an existing, but subtle climatic signal that was previously absorbed by natural vegetation. When agricultural activity slowed, or land use around Lake Sauce changed at ca. 800 cal. BP, the signal of El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) activity became erratic.

Impacts of climate variability and human colonization on the vegetation of the Galápagos Islands.

A high-resolution (2-9 year sampling interval) fossil pollen record from the Galápagos Islands, which spans the last 2690 years, reveals considerable ecosystem stability. Vegetation changes associated with independently derived histories of El Niño Southern Oscillation variability provided evidence of shifts in the relative abundance of individual species rather than immigration or extinction. Droughts associated with the Medieval Climate Anomaly induced rapid ecological change that was followed by a reversion to the previous state. The paleoecological data suggested nonneutral responses to climatic forcing in this ecosystem prior to the period of human influence. Human impacts on the islands are evident in the record. A marked decline in long-term codominants of the pollen record, Alternanthera and Acalypha, produced a flora without modern analogue before 1930. Intensified animal husbandry after ca. 1930 may have induced the local extinction of Acalypha and Alternanthera. Reductions in populations of grazing animals in the 1970s and 1980s did not result in the return of the native flora, but in invasions by exotic species. After ca. 1970 the trajectory of habitat change accelerated, continuously moving the ecosystem away from the observed range of variability in the previous 2690 years toward a novel ecosystem. The last 40 years of the record also suggest unprecedented transport of lowland pollen to the uplands, consistent with intensified convection and warmer wet seasons.

Tropical freshwater ostracodes as environmental indicators across an altitude gradient in Guatemala and Mexico

Detailed knowledge of species ecological preferences and robust taxonomy of paleobioindicators are prerequisites for accurate paleoclimate and paleoenvironmental studies. This study aims to expand the knowledge of modern, Neotropical freshwater ostracode fauna, across an altitudinal gradient from the karst lakes in the lowlands of El Petén, Guatemala (100-500 m.a.s.l.), to the mid-elevation lakes of the Lacandón forest (500-1 000 m.a.s.l.), to the higher-altitude lakes of Montebello, Chiapas, Mexico (1 000-1 500 m.a.s.l.). Eighteen ostracode species were identified in 24 lakes. Ostracodes were absent in Lakes Amarillo and Lacandón (mid-altitude), and San Diego (lowlands); probably explained by a structural difference of habitats and species interactions. Statistical analysis indicated that the most abundant species, Cypridopsis vidua (O.F. Müller, 1776), Cytheridella ilosvayi (Daday, 1905), Pseudocandona antillana (Broodbakker, 1983), and Darwinula stevensoni (Brady & Robertson, 1870) have a continuous distribution along the entire altitudinal gradient. Some species display more restricted distributions, determined by temperature, precipitation and conductivity. For example, Eucypris sp. is restricted to the lowlands, Vestalenula sp. and Cypria sp. were found only at middle elevations. Species diversity is slightly greater in lakes at middle altitudes (Haverage = 1.09) than in water bodies in the lowlands (Haverage = 0.94) and in cooler lakes in the highlands (Haverage = 0.94), suggesting that mid-elevation lakes have a high potential for harboring microrefugia. Locally weighted scatterplot smoothing (LOESS regressions) provided ecological preference information for the four most frequent and widely distributed species, with respect to temperature, conductivity, bicarbonate (HCO3 -) concentration, precipitation, and pH. Darwinula stevensoni suggest an association more to cooler temperatures and lower conductivities proving its high tolerance range. Cypridopsis vidua is associated with warm and low-rainfall environments, such as recorded in the lowlands of Guatemala, and can be used as a paleobioindicator of vegetated littoral zones, because we found it always associated to this section of lakes. Cytheridella ilosvayi show preferences for warm and humid conditions, whereas P. antillana prefer colder and humid environments. Such quantitative-ecological information will improve ostracode-based paleoenvironmental reconstructions in Southern Mexico and Northern Guatemala. In addition, our approach serves as a model for future paleoecological studies that employ other aquatic bioindicators, such as testate amoebae, cladocerans, and chironomids.

Los ostrácodos son microcrustáceos acuáticos, que poseen un caparazón bivalvo de carbonato de calcio que se puede preservar en los sedimentos de los ambientes lacustres. Debido a su alta sensibilidad a cambios ambientales y su alta potencialidad de fosilización, los ostrácodos son una herramienta útil para el estudio paleoclimático y paleoambiental, abarcando una temporalidad de décadas hasta millones de años. El conocimiento ecológico de las especies, así como su taxonomía son prerrequisitos para estos estudios. Sin embargo, esta información es aún escasa en diferentes regiones del mundo, incluyendo los Neotrópicos. Hasta el momento, se han realizado únicamente estudios en los lagos kársticos de las tierras bajas de la Península de Yucatán, en el norte del Neotrópico. Sin embargo, los lagos en altitudes medias y altas permanecen poco conocidos. El objetivo de este trabajo es aportar conocimiento de ostrácodos no-marinos neotropicales a lo largo de un gradiente altitudinal que va desde las tierras bajas de El Petén, Guatemala (100-500 m s.n.m.), incluyendo los lagos de tierras medias de la Selva Lacandona (500-1 000 m s.n.m.), hasta las tierras altas de Montebello, Chiapas, México (1 000-1 500 m s.n.m.). Dieciocho especies de ostrácodos se identificaron en 24 lagos, pero estuvieron ausentes en los lagos Amarillo y Lacandón (tierras medias) y San Diego (tierras bajas). La ausencia de ostrácodos podría explicarse por la falta de un muestreo estacional o por variables que no se consideraron en este estudio como sustrato, cobertura vegetal acuática e interacciones interespecíficas. Los análisis estadísticos indicaron que las especies más abundantes son: Cypridopsis vidua (O.F. Müller, 1776), Cytheridella ilosvayi (Daday, 1905), Pseudocandona antillana (Broodbakker, 1983) y Darwinula stevensoni (Brady & Robertson, 1870), con una distribución continua a lo largo del gradiente altitudinal. Algunas especies presentan una distribución más restringida, determinada por la temperatura, precipitación y conductividad. Por ejemplo, Eucypris sp. está restringida a las tierras bajas; mientras que Vestalenula sp. y Cypria sp. se encontraron únicamente en elevaciones medias. La diversidad de especies es ligeramente mayor en lagos cálidos a altitudes medias (Haverage = 1.09) que en las tierras bajas (Haverage = 0.94) y que en lagos de agua más fría en las tierras altas (Haverage = 0.94), sugiriendo que los lagos de tierras medias tienen un alto potencial para albergar micro-refugios. Las regresiones LOESS muestran las preferencias ecológicas de las cuatro especies más frecuentes y altamente distribuidas con respecto a la temperatura, conductividad, HCO3 -, precipitación y pH. Darwinula stevensoni se asocia a temperaturas frías y conductividades bajas, lo que evidencia su alto rango de tolerancia. Cypridopsis vidua se asocia con ambientes cálidos y de baja precipitación, como los registrados en las tierras bajas de Guatemala, y puede usarse como paleobioindicador de zonas de vegetación litoral. Cytheridella ilosvayi es un indicador de condiciones cálidas y húmedas, mientras que P. antillana de frías y húmedas. Esta información ecológica-cuantitativa se podrá utilizar como una herramienta para las reconstrucciones paleoambientales basadas en ostrácodos en el sur de México y norte de Guatemala. Además, este enfoque sirve como modelo para futuros estudios paleoecológicos que emplean otros bioindicadores acuáticos, como las amebas testadas, los cladóceros y los quironómidos.

Millennial-scale temperature change velocity in the continental northern Neotropics.

Climate has been inherently linked to global diversity patterns, and yet no empirical data are available to put modern climate change into a millennial-scale context. High tropical species diversity has been linked to slow rates of climate change during the Quaternary, an assumption that lacks an empirical foundation. Thus, there is the need for quantifying the velocity at which the bioclimatic space changed during the Quaternary in the tropics. Here we present rates of climate change for the late Pleistocene and Holocene from Mexico and Guatemala. An extensive modern pollen survey and fossil pollen data from two long sedimentary records (30,000 and 86,000 years for highlands and lowlands, respectively) were used to estimate past temperatures. Derived temperature profiles show a parallel long-term trend and a similar cooling during the Last Glacial Maximum in the Guatemalan lowlands and the Mexican highlands. Temperature estimates and digital elevation models were used to calculate the velocity of isotherm displacement (temperature change velocity) for the time period contained in each record. Our analyses showed that temperature change velocities in Mesoamerica during the late Quaternary were at least four times slower than values reported for the last 50 years, but also at least twice as fast as those obtained from recent models. Our data demonstrate that, given extremely high temperature change velocities, species survival must have relied on either microrefugial populations or persistence of suppressed individuals. Contrary to the usual expectation of stable climates being associated with high diversity, our results suggest that Quaternary tropical diversity was probably maintained by centennial-scale oscillatory climatic variability that forestalled competitive exclusion. As humans have simplified modern landscapes, thereby removing potential microrefugia, and climate change is occurring monotonically at a very high velocity, extinction risk for tropical species is higher than at any time in the last 86,000 years.