Epidemiological burden of Chikungunya fever in Brazil, 2016 and 2017.

OBJECTIVES: To describe Chikungunya fever (CHIKF) cases and estimate the burden of the disease in Brazil between 2016 and 2017. METHODS: The first stage of this study consisted of a descriptive epidemiological study with estimations of incidence, mortality and case-fatality rates for each Brazilian state. The second stage provided estimates of the disease burden using DALY, an indicator that aggregates measures of morbidity (years lived with disability - YLD) and mortality (years of life lost - YLL) into a single value. RESULTS: In Brazil, the incidence rate in 2016 was 114.70 per 100,000 inhabitants, while the mortality rate was 0.15 per 100,000, for a case-fatality rate of 0.13%. In 2017, these figures were 87.59 and 0.12 per 100,000 inhabitants and 0.14%, respectively. The estimated CHIKF burden for Brazil in 2016 was 77,422.61 DALY or 0.3757 per 1000 inhabitants. In 2016, the YLL share of DALY was 10.04%, with YLD accounting for the remaining 89.96%. In 2017, the estimated burden was 59,307.59 DALY or 0.2856 per 1000 inhabitants, with YLL accounting for 9.65% of the total and YLD for 90.35%. CONCLUSION: CHIKF causes a significant disease burden in Brazil. The chronic phase of CHIKF is responsible for the largest portion of DALY. Deaths from CHIKF are a significant component of the disease burden, with YLL accounting for approximately 10% of the total DALY value.

Characteristics of the school food environment associated with hypertension and obesity in Brazilian adolescents: a multilevel analysis of the Study of Cardiovascular Risks in Adolescents (ERICA).

OBJECTIVE: To characterize the food environment in schools that participated in the Study of Cardiovascular Risks in Adolescents (ERICA) and to identify individual and contextual factors associated with hypertension and obesity. DESIGN: National school-based survey. SETTING: Blood pressure, weight and height were measured, and characteristics of the schools were obtained in interviews with the principals. For each outcome, multilevel models of mixed effects were applied by logistic regression. PARTICIPANTS: School-going adolescents aged 12-17 years. RESULTS: A total of 73 399 adolescents were evaluated. The prevalence of hypertension was 9·6 (95 % CI 9·0, 10·3) % and that of obesity was 8·4 (95 % CI 7·9, 8·9) %. Approximately 50 % of the adolescents were able to purchase food at school and in its immediate vicinity and 82 % had access to no-charge meals through Brazil's National School Feeding Program. In the adjusted analysis, hypertension was associated (OR; 95 % CI) with the consumption of meals prepared on the school premises (0·79; 0·69, 0·92), the sale of food in the school's immediate vicinity (0·67; 0·48, 0·95) and the purchase of food in the school cafeteria (1·29; 1·11, 1·49). It was observed that there were lower odds of obesity among students who were offered meals prepared on the school premises (0·68; 0·54, 0·87). CONCLUSIONS: High frequency of sales of ultra-processed foods in schools was identified. Contextual and individual characteristics in the school food environment were associated with hypertension and obesity, pointing to the need for regulation and supervision of these spaces.

Malaria epidemiology in Suriname from 2000 to 2016: trends, opportunities and challenges for elimination.

BACKGROUND: Suriname has experienced a significant change in malaria transmission risk and incidence over the past years. The country is now moving toward malaria elimination. The first objective of this study is to describe malaria epidemiological trends in Suriname between 2000 and 2016. The second objective is to identify spatiotemporal malaria trends in notification points between 2007 and 2016. METHODS: National malaria surveillance data resulting from active and passive screening between 2000 and 2016 were used for the temporal trend analysis. A space-time cluster analysis using SaTScan™ was conducted on Malaria Programme-data from 2007 to 2016 comparing cases (people tested positive) with controls (people tested negative). RESULTS: Suriname experienced a period of high malaria incidence during 2000-2005, followed by a steep decline in number of malaria cases from 2005 onwards. Imported malaria cases, mostly of Brazilian nationality and travelling from French Guiana, were major contributors to the reported number of cases, exceeding the national malaria burden (94.2% of the total). Most clusters in notification points are found in the border area between Suriname and French Guiana. Clustering was also found in the migrant clinic in Paramaribo. CONCLUSIONS: Suriname has successfully reduced malaria to near-elimination level in the last 17 years. However, the high malaria import rate resulting from cross-border moving migrants is a major challenge for reaching elimination. This requires continued investment in the national health system, with a focus on border screening and migrant health. A regional approach to malaria elimination within the Guianas and Brazil is urgently needed.

Outcomes of Zika virus infection during pregnancy: contributions to the debate on the efficiency of cohort studies.

BACKGROUND: Zika infection during pregnancy (ZIKVP) is known to be associated with adverse outcomes. Studies on this matter involve both rare outcomes and rare exposures and methodological choices are not straightforward. Cohort studies will surely offer more robust evidences, but their efficiency must be enhanced. We aim to contribute to the debate on sample selection strategies in cohort studies to assess outcomes associated with ZKVP. A study can be statistically more efficient than another if its estimates are more accurate (precise and valid), even if the studies involve the same number of subjects. Sample size and specific design strategies can enhance or impair the statistical efficiency of a study, depending on how the subjects are distributed in subgroups pertinent to the analysis. In most ZIKVP cohort studies to date there is an a priori identification of the source population (pregnant women, regardless of their exposure status) which is then sampled or included in its entirety (census). Subsequently, the group of pregnant women is classified according to exposure (presence or absence of ZIKVP), respecting the exposed:unexposed ratio in the source population. We propose that the sample selection be done from the a priori identification of groups of pregnant women exposed and unexposed to ZIKVP. This method will allow for an oversampling (even 100%) of the pregnant women with ZKVP and a optimized sampling from the general population of pregnant women unexposed to ZIKVP, saving resources in the unexposed group and improving the expected number of incident cases (outcomes) overall. CONCLUSION: We hope that this proposal will broaden the methodological debate on the improvement of statistical power and protocol harmonization of cohort studies that aim to evaluate the association between Zika infection during pregnancy and outcomes for the offspring, as well as those with similar objectives.

Time trends and changes in the distribution of malaria cases in the Brazilian Amazon Region, 2004-2013.

Recent efforts to reduce malaria incidence have had some successes. Nevertheless, malaria persists as a significant public health problem in the Brazilian Amazon. The objective of this study was to describe changes in malaria case characteristics and to identify trends in malaria incidence in the Brazilian Amazon. This study used data from the Malaria Epidemiological Surveillance and Case Notification Information System from 2004 to 2013. The annual parasite incidence (API) was calculated and joinpoint regression was used to assess the trends in API over time. There was a sharp increase in API in the state of Acre, followed by two periods of decrease. Pará also presented inconsistent decreases over the study period. Amapá, Amazonas, Rondônia, and Roraima showed statistically significant decreases over the period. The sharpest decrease occurred in Rondônia, with a reduction of 21.7% in the average annual percent change (AAPC) (AAPC: -21.7%; 95% confidence interval: -25.4%, -17.8%; p < 0.05). This panorama of malaria incidence highlights the importance of integrating evidence-based malaria surveillance and control. Malaria is highly preventable, and eliminating its transmission should be a goal in coming decades.

Evaluation of the impact of serogroup C meningococcal disease vaccination program in Brazil and its regions: a population-based study, 2001-2013.

BACKGROUND: Meningococcal C conjugate (MenC) vaccine was introduced as part of the Brazilian National Immunisation Program in 2010 for children < 1 year of age. OBJECTIVES: The study objective was to evaluate the impact of this vaccination strategy. METHODS: An observational, mixed ecological and analytical study was conducted, based on time series panel data from surveillance records (2001-2013). FINDINGS: A total of 37,538 of meningococcal disease cases were recorded during the study period. Of these, 19,997 were attributed to serogroup C. A decrease in meningococcal disease serogroup C (MDC) incidence among children aged < 1 year [65.2%; 95% confidence interval (CI): 20.5-84.7%] and 1-4 years (46.9%; 95%CI: 14.6-79.1%) were found in the three years following vaccination introduction. Vaccination impact on the reduction of MDC incidence varied from 83.7% (95%CI: 51.1-100.0%) in the Midwest region to 56.7% (95%CI: 37.4-76.0%) in the Northeast region. MAIN CONCLUSIONS: Vaccination against MDC in Brazil had a positive impact on the population of children aged < 1 year, across all regions, and on the 1-4 year-old cohort. Nevertheless, in our view there is scope for improving the vaccination strategy adopted in Brazil.

Factors associated with timely treatment of malaria in the Brazilian Amazon: a 10-year population-based study.

OBJECTIVE: To identify factors associated with timely treatment of malaria in the Brazilian Amazon. Malaria, despite being treatable, has proven difficult to control and continues to be an important public health problem globally. Brazil accounted for almost half of the 427 000 new malaria cases notified in the Americas in 2013. METHODS: This was a cross-sectional study using secondary data on all notified malaria cases for the period from 2004 - 2013. Timely treatment was considered to be all treatment started within 24 hours of symptoms onset. Multivariate logistic regression was used to identify independent factors associated with timely treatment. RESULTS: The proportion of cases starting treatment on a timely basis was 41.1%, tending to increase in more recent years (OR = 1.40; 95%CI: 1.37 - 1.42 in 2013). Furthermore, people starting within < 24 hours were more likely to: reside in the states of Rondônia (OR = 1.50; 95%CI: 1.49 - 1.51) or Acre (OR = 1.53; 95%CI: 1.55 - 1.57); be 0 - 5 years of age (OR = 1.39; 95%CI: 1.34 - 1.44) or 6 - 14 years of age (OR = 1.34; 95%CI: 1.32 - 1.36); be indigenous (OR = 1.41; 95%CI: 1.37 - 1.45); have a low level of schooling (OR = 1.20; 95%CI: 1.19 - 1.22); and be diagnosed by active detection (OR = 1.39; 95%CI: 1.38 - 1.39). CONCLUSION: In the Brazilian Amazon area, individuals were more likely to have timely treatment of malaria if they were young, residing in Acre or Rondônia states, have little schooling, and be identified through active detection. Identifying groups vulnerable to late treatment is important for preventing severe cases and malaria deaths.

Trends of main indicators of leprosy in Brazilian municipalities with high risk of leprosy transmission, 2001-2012.

BACKGROUND: Leprosy incidence has reduced in recent years in Brazil, although the disease still persists as a public health problem in some regions. To investigate the trends of selected leprosy indicators in Brazilian municipalities with high risk of transmission is essential to provide effective control of the disease, yet this area has not been investigated. METHODS: This is an ecological time-series study with multiple groups using Notifiable Diseases Information System (SINAN) data. All 692 municipalities of the states of Mato Grosso, Tocantins, Rondônia, Pará and Maranhão were included. The incidence rates of leprosy were calculated, as well as incidence rates in children under 15 years per 100,000 inhabitants and rates of new cases presenting grade-2 disabilities per 100,000 inhabitants. Joinpoint Regression was used to analyse the time trends of the different indicators studied. The spatial distribution of temporal variations of the indicators in the period was presented. RESULTS: Between 2001 and 2012, 176,929 leprosy cases were notified in the area studied, this being equivalent to 34.6 % of total cases in Brazil. In the aggregate of municipalities, there was a reduction in incidence rate of leprosy from 89.10 to 56.98 new cases per 100,000 inhabitants between 2001 and 2012, with a significant reduction between 2003 and 2012 (APC: - 6.2 %, 95 % CI: -7.2 % to -5.2 %). The incidence rate in <15 years also reduced significantly between 2003 and 2012 (APC: -5.6 %; 95 % CI: -7.2 % to -4.1 %). The rate of new cases with grade 2 disability remained stable between 2001 and 2012 (APC: -1.3 %; 95 % CI: -2.6 % to 0.1 %). CONCLUSION: Despite the reduction in the leprosy incidence rate, strategies for controlling this disease need to be enhanced to enable early case detection, especially in hyperendemic municipalities, in order to prevent disability.

Factors associated with the occurrence of Triatoma sordida (Hemiptera: Reduviidae) in rural localities of Central-West Brazil.

This study estimates the factors of artificial environments (houses and peridomestic areas) associated with Triatoma sordida occurrence. Manual searches for triatomines were performed in 136 domiciliary units (DUs) in two rural localities of Central-West Brazil. For each DU, 32 structural, 23 biotic and 28 management variables were obtained. Multiple logistic regression analysis was performed in order to identify statistically significant variables associated with occurrence of T. sordida in the study areas. A total of 1,057 specimens (99% in peridomiciles, mainly chicken coops) of T. sordida were collected from 63 DUs (infestation: 47%; density: ~8 specimens/DU; crowding: ~17 specimens/infested DU; colonisation: 81%). Only six (0.6%) out of 945 specimens examined were infected with Trypanosoma cruzi. The final adjusted logistic regression model indicated that the probability of T. sordida occurrence was higher in DU with wooden chicken coops, presence of > 30 animals in wooden corrals, presence of wood piles and presence of food storeroom. The results show the persistence of T. sordida in peridomestic habitats in rural localities of Central-West Brazil. However, the observed low intradomestic colonisation and minimal triatomine infection rates indicate that T. sordida has low potential to sustain high rates of T. cruzi transmission to residents of these localities.

[Alcohol use as a necessary cause of death in Brazil, 2010-2012]. / Uso de álcool como causa necessária de morte no Brasil, 2010 a 2012.

OBJECTIVE: To describe mortality from diseases, conditions, and injuries for which alcohol consumption is a necessary cause during the 2010-2012 triennium in Brazil. METHODS: A descriptive study was conducted with data from the Brazilian Ministry of Health's Mortality Information System (SIM). The analysis included deaths whose primary cause was classified as any of the 78 codes of the International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems (ICD-10) corresponding to the diseases, conditions, and injuries for which the use of alcohol is a necessary cause. RESULTS: Deaths with alcohol consumption as a necessary cause totaled 55 380 (88.5% in men). The crude mortality rate for the triennium was 9.6/100 000 people in the overall population, 17.35/100 000 men in males, and 2.15/100 000 women in females. Higher mortality rates were observed in the 50-59 year (28.45) and 60-69 year (27.23) age groups and among people with black or brown skin color (10.15). The Northeast (11.70) and Midwest (11.04) regions exhibited higher age-adjusted mortality rates. Liver diseases were the leading cause of death (55.3%). CONCLUSIONS: Mortality from causes related to alcohol consumption is high in Brazil, especially among men, people aged 50-69 years, and residents in the Northeast and Midwest regions.

Socioeconomic inequalities and mortality trends in BRICS, 1990-2010.

OBJECTIVE: To explore the presence and magnitude of--and change in--socioeconomic and health inequalities between and within Brazil, the Russian Federation, India, China and South Africa--the countries known as BRICS--between 1990 and 2010. METHODS: Comparable data on socioeconomic and health indicators, at both country and primary subnational levels, were obtained from publicly available sources. Health inequalities between and within countries were identified and summarized by using standard gap and gradient metrics. FINDINGS: Four of the BRICS countries showed increases in both income level and income inequality between 1990 and 2010. The exception was Brazil, where income inequality decreased over the same period. Between-country inequalities in level of education and access to sanitation remained mostly unchanged but the largest between-country difference in mean life expectancy increased, from 9 years in 1990 to 20 years in 2010. Throughout the study period, there was disproportionality in the burden of disease between BRICS. However, the national infant mortality rate fell substantially over the study period in all five countries. In Brazil and China, the magnitude of subnational income-related inequalities in infant mortality, both absolute and relative, also decreased substantially. CONCLUSION: Despite the economic prosperity and general improvements in health seen since 1990, profound inequalities in health persist both within and between BRICS. However, the substantial reductions observed--within Brazil and China--in the inequalities in income-related levels of infant mortality are encouraging.

Leprosy in Brazil and its association with characteristics of municipalities: ecological study, 2009-2011.

OBJECTIVE: To analyse the ecological association between the demographic and socio-economic characteristics of the Brazilian municipalities and average leprosy incidence rate in the period 2009-2011. METHODS: An ecological study taking the Brazilian municipalities as its units of analysis. The local empirical Bayes estimation method was used to obtain smoothed incidence rates (SIR) for leprosy. The mean, median, first quartile (Q1) and third quartile (Q3) of the SIR were calculated per 100 000 inhabitants. Hierarchical log-linear negative binomial regression models were used to estimate the incidence rate ratios (IRR). RESULTS: In the period 2009-2011, the average SIR of leprosy in Brazil was 20.2 per 100 000 inhabitants, and the median incidence rate among municipalities was 9.1 per 100 000 inhabitants. Significantly higher adjusted IRR were identified for large municipalities (IRR = 1.67) compared to small municipalities, as well as in municipalities with higher illiteracy rates (IRR = 2.15), more urbanised municipalities (IRR = 1.53), those with greater social inequality as per the Gini index (IRR = 1.26), high percentage of households with inadequate sanitation (IRR = 1.63), higher average number of people per room (IRR = 1.41), high proportions of Family Health Programme coverage (IRR = 1.29), high percentage of household contacts investigated (IRR = 2.30) and those with percentage of cases with grade 2 disability considered to be the medium (IRR = 1.26). CONCLUSIONS: In this study, SIR was significantly associated with municipalities with low socio-economic status. Disease control activities need to be focused on these municipalities, and investments need to be made in improving the population's living conditions.

Sensitivity of nested-PCR for plasmodium detection in pooled whole blood samples and its usefulness to blood donor screening in endemic areas.

Transfusion-transmitted malaria is a severe disease with high fatality rate. Most Brazilian blood banks in the Amazon region perform malaria screening using microscopic examination (thick smears). Since low parasite concentrations are expected in asymptomatic blood donors a high sensitivity test should be used for donor screening. This study determined the sensitivity of a nested-PCR for plasmodium detection in pooled samples. We performed a one-stage criterion validation study with 21 positive samples pooled with samples from ten negative volunteer until three different concentrations were reached (0.33; 0.25; 0.20 parasites/µL - p/µL). Nested PCR was performed as described by Snounou et al. (1993). Sensitivities (and confidence intervals) were determined by stratum of final parasite concentration on the pooled samples. All samples with parasitemia values of 0.33 and 0.25 p/µL had 100% sensitivity (95%CI=86.3-100). One negative result was obtained from a sample with 0.20 p/µL sensitivity=95.2% (95%CI=76.2-99.9). Compared to parasitemia detectable under ideal conditions of thick smear, this nested-PCR in pooled sample was able to detect 40 times more parasites per microliter. Nested-PCR in pooled samples should be considered as a high sensitive alternative to thick smear for donor screening in blood banks at endemic regions. Local authorities need to assess cost:benefit advantages of this method compared to alternatives.

[An algorithm to monitor the incidence of malaria in the Brazilian Amazon, 2003 to 2010]. / Algoritmo para monitoramento da incidência da malária na Amazônia brasileira, 2003 a 2010.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate an algorithm developed for detecting variations in the incidence of malaria in the Brazilian Amazon. METHODS: An evaluation was conducted of an automated monitoring system based on an algorithm that had been previously developed by the authors. The algorithm employs quartile diagrams to classify municipalities according to variations in the incidence of malaria: group 1 (reduced incidence)-municipalities with below the expected incidence rates; group 2 (expected incidence)- within the expected incidence rates; group 3 (epidemics)-higher than the expected incidence rates; and group 4 (sporadic case)-a single case during a year. The period from 2003 to 2010 was analyzed. All the municipalities in the nine states that make up the Brazilian Amazon were studied (805 municipalities in 2003 and 807 starting in 2004). RESULTS: Based on this method, Amazonian municipalities were classified as follows: group 1, 152 (18.8%) municipalities in 2003 and 109 (13.5%) in 2010; group 2, 206 (25.6%) municipalities in 2003 and 331 (41.0%) in 2010; group 3, 391 (48.6%) municipalities in 2003 and 308 (38.2%) in 2010; and group 4, 56 (7.0%) municipalities in 2003 and 59 (7.3%) in 2010. CONCLUSIONS: The use of the algorithm revealed that in 2010, the number of Amazonian municipalities in group 3 (epidemics) decreased when compared to 2003, while the number of municipalities in group 2 (expected incidence) increased. In the same period, there was no significant variation in the number of municipalities in group 1 (reduced incidence) and in group 4 (sporadic case).

Inequalities in infant mortality among municipalities in Brazil according to the Family Development Index, 2006-2008.

OBJECTIVE: To describe inequalities in the infant mortality rate (IMR) according to socioeconomic indicators among geographic areas and municipalities in Brazil. METHODS: This was an exploratory ecological study of space aggregates that described IMR in 2006-2008 according to municipalities, states, and the Family Development Index (FDI), a socioeconomic indicator that ranges from 0 to 1. All the municipalities in Brazil were categorized according to four strata as defined by FDI quartiles, where stratum 4 included those with better FDI conditions, and stratum 1, worse conditions. The selected inequality measures were: Concentration Index, Attributable Risk Percent, Population Attributable Risk Percent, Rate Ratio, and number of avoidable events (number of infant deaths). RESULTS: The average IMR (per 1 000 live births) according to the FDI strata were: stratum 1 (FDI = 0.41-0.52) = 18.8; stratum 2 (FDI = 0.53-0.55) = 17.9; stratum 3 (FDI = 0.56-0.58) = 15.0; and stratum 4 (FDI = 0.59-0.73) = 13.4. Overall, the Concentration Index was 0.02. Moreover, stratum 1, with a proportion of 17% of all live births in the population, had a concentration of 20% of infant deaths. Additionally, the profile of causes and ages of infant mortality also differed qualitatively when stratum 1 was compared to stratum 4. CONCLUSIONS: The results suggest an association between the socioeconomic indicators, specifically the FDI, and the risk of infant death. These results call attention to the specific population groups in Brazil that are most vulnerable to infant mortality and demonstrate that the FDI can be used to identify these populations.

[Factors associated with home care: support for care management within the SUS]. / Fatores associados à atenção domiciliária: subsídios à gestão do cuidado no âmbito do SUS.

The identification of variables associated with the type of home care (HC) of the users of the Unified Health System (UHS) contributes to the management of care in the Health Care Network (HCN). The objective was to identify variables associated with HC users in Basic Health Units (BHU) selected from Belo Horizonte. It was a transversal study in two BHU with all users (n=114) in HC in the covered area. We used a multiple logistic regression analysis for selection (stepwise) of significant variables. Greater clinical involvement of users (OR=27.47), a sad emotional state (OR=24.36), risk for pressure ulcer bythe Braden scale (OR=7.6) and semidependence by the Katz ADL index (OR=63.8) were obtained and were strongly associated with the type of HC (p<0.05). Variables based on the social, family and clinical context of the subjects subsidized the integral approach and decision-making of the healthcare team.

Factors associated with yellow fever vaccine failure: A systematic literature review.

INTRODUCTION: Considering that vaccination with yellow fever vaccine (YFV) is the most important method to prevent and control yellow fever (YF), this study synthesized evidence on factors associated with YFV failure. METHODS: A systematic review (SR) was performed in the PubMed, Cochrane CENTRAL, Embase, and LILACS databases up to November 2019. Observational and experimental analytical epidemiological studies that analyzed the failure of YFV were included. This review followed the guidelines of the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and meta-Analyses. RESULTS: A total of 1,466 articles were identified after searching the databases of which 46 were included in the qualitative analysis after applying the elegibility criteria. Our findings indicated that YFV confers protective immunity in different age groups; when produced by different producers; when administered simultaneously with a range of other vaccines; when used as fractional doses and when used with prophylactic and immunosuppressive therapies. It failed to produce a protective response in some pregnant women, children under two years of age, children with Kwashiorkor and when long periods of time have passed after vaccination. For individuals with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), the results were divergent. CONCLUSIONS: The results of this SR revealed the factors associated with the failure of the YFV, and the results can support recommendations on vaccination policies, support the safety of health professionals who work directly with immunization in the implementation of the vaccination schedule, in addition to guiding future research and enhance the credibility of YFV in the prevention of a serious disease such as YF.

Factors associated with post-mortem notification of tuberculosis cases in Brazil, 2014. / Fatores associados à notificação pós-óbito de casos de tuberculose no Brasil, 2014.

According to the World Health Organization (WHO), 1.6 million deaths and 10.6 million cases of tuberculosis (TB) were reported worldwide in 2021. If treated opportunely with the recommended therapy, 85% of patients with TB are healed. The occurrence of death from TB without prior notification of the disease indicates failure in the timely access to this effective treatment. Therefore, this study aimed to identify TB cases with post-mortem notification in Brazil. This is a nested case-control study using a cohort of new TB cases reported to the Braziliam Information System for Notificable Diseases (SINAN). This study analyzed the following variables: selected characteristics of the individual (gender, age, race/color, education), the municipality (Municipality Human Development Index - M-HDI, poverty rate, size, region, and municipality), health services, and underlying or associated cause of death. Logistic regression was estimated using a hierarchical analysis model. People with TB aged 60 years or older (OR = 1.43), with low educational level (OR = 1.67), and with malnutrition (OR = 5.54), living in municipalities with low M-HDI and medium population size (OR = 1.26), located in the North Region of Brazil (OR = 2.42) had a higher chance of post-mortem notification. Protective factors were HIV-TB coinfection (OR = 0.75), malignant neoplasms (OR = 0.62), and living in cities with broad primary care coverage (OR = 0.79). Vulnerable populations should be prioritized in order to address the obstacles to the access to TB diagnosis and treatment in Brazil.

Segundo a Organização Mundial da Saúde (OMS), estima-se que 1,6 milhão de mortes e 10,6 milhões de casos de tuberculose (TB) ocorreram no mundo em 2021. Quando a doença é oportunamente tratada com o esquema terapêutico recomendado, 85% dos pacientes se curam. A ocorrência de óbito por TB sem notificação anterior denuncia falhas no acesso ao tratamento oportuno e efetivo. Sendo assim, este estudo objetivou caracterizar os casos de TB notificados pós-óbito no Brasil. Trata-se de estudo caso-controle aninhado na coorte de casos novos de TB notificados ao Sistema de Informação de Agravos de Notificação (SINAN). As variáveis analisadas foram: características selecionadas do indivíduo (sexo, idade, raça/cor, escolaridade), do município (Índice de Desenvolvimento Humano Municipal - IDH-M, taxa de pobreza, porte municipal, região e município), dos serviços de saúde e causa básica ou associada de morte. Foi estimada regressão logística respeitando um modelo de análise hierárquico. Pessoas com TB de 60 anos de idade ou mais (OR = 1,43), de baixa escolaridade (OR = 1,67), com desnutrição (OR = 5,54), residentes em municípios com baixo IDH-M, de porte populacional médio (OR = 1,26), na Região Norte (OR = 2,42) apresentaram maior chance de notificação pós-óbito. Fatores protetores foram coinfecção HIV-TB (OR = 0,75), neoplasias malignas (OR = 0,62) e residência em municípios com alta cobertura de atenção básica (OR = 0,79). A priorização das populações vulneráveis é necessária para enfrentar as dificuldades de acesso ao diagnóstico e tratamento da TB no Brasil.

La Organización Mundial de la Salud (OMS) estima que en 2021 se produjeron 1,6 millones de muertes por tuberculosis (TB) y 10,6 millones de casos de esta afección por todo el mundo. Si los pacientes siguen el tratamiento recomendado para la TB, un 85% logran la cura. Las muertes por TB sin notificación previa de caso indican fallas en el acceso a este tratamiento oportuno y efectivo. Por lo tanto, este estudio tuvo como objetivo caracterizar los casos de TB que tuvieron notificación posterior a la muerte en Brasil. Este es un estudio de caso-control anidado dentro de la cohorte de nuevos casos de TB informados al Sistema de Información de Enfermedades de Notificación Obligatoria (SINAN). Las siguientes variables fueron analizadas: características seleccionadas del individuo (sexo, edad, etnia/color, nivel de instrucción) y del municipio (Índice de Desarrollo Humano Municipal -IDH-M, tasa de pobreza, tamaño del municipio, región y municipio), servicios de salud y condiciones y causa de la muerte o su asociación. La regresión logística se estimó desde un modelo de análisis jerárquico. Las personas con TB de 60 años o más (OR = 1,43), con bajo nivel de instrucción (OR = 1,67), con desnutrición (OR = 5,54), residentes en municipios con bajo IDH-M, de tamaño poblacional medio (OR = 1,26) y en la Región Norte (OR = 2,42) tuvieron mayor probabilidad de notificación posterior a la muerte. Los factores protectores fueron la coinfección VIH-TB (OR = 0,75), neoplasias malignas (OR = 0,62) y vivir en ciudades con alta cobertura de atención primaria (OR = 0,79). Es necesario priorizar las poblaciones vulnerables para enfrentar las dificultades de acceso al diagnóstico y tratamiento de la TB en Brasil.

Mortality surveillance in Brazil: factors associated with certification of unspecified external cause of death.

This article aims to analyze the association between characteristics of death - type of certifier and place of death - and the odds of an external cause death being certified as unspecified in Brazil. Cross-sectional study of deaths due to external causes from the Mortality Information System, 2017. Unspecified external cause (UEC) is the outcome variable in the models. Type of certifier physician, place of death and the interaction of these variables were the explanatory variables. Confounders were controlled by multiple logistic regression. UEC were the initial underlying cause for 22% of the 159,720 deaths from external causes in Brazil and 31% of hospital deaths issued by coroners. After adjustment for confounders, the odds of UEC in a hospital death certified by a coroner was 98% greater (OR=1.98; 95%CI: 1.53; 2.56) than in a home/street death issued by another certifier. This was greater than the odds for certifications by coroners (OR=1.23; 95%CI: 1.14; 1.33) and hospital deaths (OR=1.44; 95%CI: 1.32; 1.58). External causes certified by coroners and/or occurring in hospitals have a higher presence of UEC than other deaths; and indicate the need for coordinated initiatives by the health and public security sectors.

Chikungunya Death Risk Factors in Brazil, in 2017: A case-control study.

BACKGROUND: In 2016/2017 we had a major epidemic of chikungunya (CHIK) in Brazil, with many deaths. We evaluated to factors associated with deaths from CHIK that occurred in the city of Fortaleza, Brazil. METHODS: A matched case-control study was conducted (1:2), by sex, age (± 5 years) and neighborhood. Cases were CHIK deaths that occurred between January 1 and December 31, 2017, in Fortaleza, Brazil, and which were laboratory confirmed. Controls were laboratory confirmed CHIK patients occurring in the same neighborhood and in the same period, but which did not progress to death. RESULTS: 82 cases of CHIK and 164 controls were included. Considering the clinical history, significant associations were found between other chronic heart diseases (OR 3.8; CI: 1.53-9.26) and chronic kidney disease (OR 12.77; CI: 2.75-59.4). In the multivariate analysis of the variables related to signs and symptoms, fever (OR: 19.23 CI: 1.73-213.78), abdominal pain (OR: 3; 74 CI: 1.06-13.16), apathy (OR: 11.62 CI: 2.95-45.82) and dyspnea (OR: 50.61; CI: 12.37-207.18) were identified with greater likelihood of death from CHIK. It also stood out that altered blood glucose was associated with cases with a worse prognosis (OR: 13.5; CI: 1.3-135.0). Among the laboratory findings, only lymphocytes and albumin were not associated with greater likelihood of death. CONCLUSION: The factors related with deaths were chronic kidney disease and previous heart disease, presence of fever, abdominal pain, apathy, dyspnea and arthritis and laboratory findings such as leukocytosis, leukopenia, thrombocytopenia, neutropenia and lymphopenia.