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1.
BMC Med Res Methodol ; 22(1): 306, 2022 11 28.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36443653

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Diagnostic evidence of the accuracy of a test for identifying a target condition of interest can be estimated using systematic approaches following standardized methodologies. Statistical methods for the meta-analysis of diagnostic test accuracy (DTA) studies are relatively complex, presenting a challenge for reviewers without extensive statistical expertise. In 2006, we developed Meta-DiSc, a free user-friendly software to perform test accuracy meta-analysis. This statistical program is now widely used for performing DTA meta-analyses. We aimed to build a new version of the Meta-DiSc software to include statistical methods based on hierarchical models and an enhanced web-based interface to improve user experience. RESULTS: In this article, we present the updated version, Meta-DiSc 2.0, a web-based application developed using the R Shiny package. This new version implements recommended state-of-the-art statistical models to overcome the limitations of the statistical approaches included in the previous version. Meta-DiSc 2.0 performs statistical analyses of DTA reviews using a bivariate random effects model. The application offers a thorough analysis of heterogeneity, calculating logit variance estimates of sensitivity and specificity, the bivariate I-squared, the area of the 95% prediction ellipse, and the median odds ratios for sensitivity and specificity, and facilitating subgroup and meta-regression analyses. Furthermore, univariate random effects models can be applied to meta-analyses with few studies or with non-convergent bivariate models. The application interface has an intuitive design set out in four main menus: file upload; graphical description (forest and ROC plane plots); meta-analysis (pooling of sensitivity and specificity, estimation of likelihood ratios and diagnostic odds ratio, sROC curve); and summary of findings (impact of test through downstream consequences in a hypothetical population with a given prevalence). All computational algorithms have been validated in several real datasets by comparing results obtained with STATA/SAS and MetaDTA packages. CONCLUSION: We have developed and validated an updated version of the Meta-DiSc software that is more accessible and statistically sound. The web application is freely available at www.metadisc.es .


Assuntos
Testes Diagnósticos de Rotina , Metanálise como Assunto , Software , Humanos , Algoritmos , Razão de Chances , Registros
2.
Rev Clin Esp (Barc) ; 2024 Jun 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38852739

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: Systematic review of current evidence to analyze the prevalence of extracranial large vessel vasculitis (LVV) using 18F-FDG PET/CT in patients with polymyalgia rheumatica (PMR) or giant cell arteritis (GCA). MATERIALS AND METHODS: PubMed and EMBASE were searched and the results were screened by two reviewers. Study quality was assessed using a modified version of the Newcastle-Ottawa scale. Heterogeneity between studies was assessed using the I2 statistic and the Q test. Further subgroup analyses were performed by disease type, study quality, and 18F-FDG PET/CT uptake criteria. Publication bias was assessed by funnel plot and Egger's test. RESULTS: 268 publications were identified, of which 17 met the selection criteria and were included in the meta-analysis. The overall pooled prevalence of extracranial LVV by 18F-FDG PET/CT was 54.5% [95% CI: 42.6%-66.1%]. In patients with GCA the prevalence was significantly higher than in patients with PMR (60.1% vs. 41.8%, P = 0.006). Likewise, studies with a lower risk of bias reported a higher prevalence of extracranial LVV (61.1% vs. 46.9%; P = 0.010). No publication bias was observed. CONCLUSIONS: The 18F-FDG PET/CT test may be useful in the detection of extracranial LVV, both in patients with PMR or GCA. Such involvement is more frequent in patients with GCA, and may vary depending on the quality of the studies.

3.
Nutrients ; 16(11)2024 Jun 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38892688

RESUMO

Endothelial dysfunction (ED) is associated with progressive changes contributing to clinical complications related to macro- and microvascular diseases. Garlic (Allium sativum L.) and its organosulfur components have been related to beneficial cardiovascular effects and could improve endothelial function. The ENDOTALLIUM Study aimed to evaluate the effect of the regular consumption of encapsulated purple garlic oil on microvascular function, endothelial-related biomarkers, and the components of metabolic syndrome (MetS) in untreated subjects with cardiometabolic alterations. Fifty-two individuals with at least one MetS component were randomized (1:1) in a single-center, single-blind, placebo-controlled, parallel-group study. The participants received encapsulated purple garlic oil (n = 27) or placebo (n = 25) for five weeks. Skin microvascular peak flow during post-occlusive reactive hyperemia significantly increased in the purple garlic oil group compared to the placebo group (between-group difference [95%CI]: 15.4 [1.5 to 29.4] PU; p = 0.031). Likewise, hs-CRP levels decreased in the purple garlic group compared to the control group (-1.3 [-2.5 to -0.0] mg/L; p = 0.049). Furthermore, we observed a significant reduction in the mean number of MetS components in the purple garlic group after five weeks (1.7 ± 0.9 vs. 1.3 ± 1.1, p = 0.021). In summary, regular consumption of encapsulated purple garlic oil significantly improved microvascular function, subclinical inflammatory status, and the overall MetS profile in a population with cardiometabolic alterations.


Assuntos
Alho , Síndrome Metabólica , Humanos , Síndrome Metabólica/tratamento farmacológico , Masculino , Alho/química , Feminino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Método Simples-Cego , Adulto , Sulfetos/farmacologia , Sulfetos/administração & dosagem , Compostos Alílicos/farmacologia , Compostos Alílicos/administração & dosagem , Biomarcadores/sangue , Óleos de Plantas/farmacologia , Óleos de Plantas/administração & dosagem , Endotélio Vascular/efeitos dos fármacos , Endotélio Vascular/fisiopatologia , Pele/irrigação sanguínea , Pele/efeitos dos fármacos , Microcirculação/efeitos dos fármacos , Microvasos/efeitos dos fármacos , Microvasos/fisiopatologia
4.
ESC Heart Fail ; 11(3): 1739-1747, 2024 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38454739

RESUMO

AIMS: The current literature provides limited guidance on the best diuretic strategy post-hospitalization for acute heart failure (AHF). It is postulated that the efficacy and safety of the outpatient diuretic regimen may be significantly influenced by the degree of fluid overload (FO) encountered during hospitalization. We hypothesize that in patients with more pronounced FO, reducing their regular oral diuretic dosage might be associated with an elevated risk of unfavourable clinical outcomes. METHODS AND RESULTS: It was a retrospective observational study of 410 patients hospitalized for AHF in which the dose of furosemide at admission and discharge was collected. Patients were categorized across diuretic dose status into two groups: (i) the down-titration group and (ii) the stable/up-titration group. FO status was evaluated by a clinical congestion score and circulating biomarkers. The endpoint of interest was the composite of time to all-cause death and/or heart failure readmission. A multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression model was constructed to analyse the endpoints. The median age was 86 (78-92) years, 256 (62%) were women, and 80% had heart failure with preserved ejection fraction. After multivariate adjustment, the down-titration furosemide equivalent dose remained not associated with the risk of the combined endpoint in the whole sample (hazard ratio 1.34, 95% confidence interval 0.86-2.06, P = 0.184). The risk of the combination of death and/or worsening heart failure associated with the diuretic strategy at discharge was significantly influenced by FO status, including clinical congestion scores and circulating proxies of FO like BNP and cancer antigen 125. CONCLUSIONS: In patients hospitalized for AHF, furosemide down-titration does not imply an increased risk of mortality and/or heart failure readmission. However, FO status modifies the effect of down-titration on the outcome. In patients with severe congestion or residual congestion at discharge, down-titration was associated with an increased risk of mortality and/or heart failure readmission.


Assuntos
Furosemida , Insuficiência Cardíaca , Alta do Paciente , Inibidores de Simportadores de Cloreto de Sódio e Potássio , Humanos , Insuficiência Cardíaca/tratamento farmacológico , Insuficiência Cardíaca/fisiopatologia , Feminino , Masculino , Estudos Retrospectivos , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Doença Aguda , Alta do Paciente/tendências , Inibidores de Simportadores de Cloreto de Sódio e Potássio/administração & dosagem , Furosemida/administração & dosagem , Seguimentos , Volume Sistólico/fisiologia , Relação Dose-Resposta a Droga , Hospitalização
5.
Cardiorenal Med ; 14(1): 74-80, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38286116

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Albuminuria is prevalent in patients with chronic heart failure and is a risk factor for disease progression. However, its clinical meaning in acute heart failure remains elusive. This study analyzed the trajectory of urine albumin to creatinine ratio (UACR) between admission and discharge and its association with decongestion. METHODS: In this prospective observational study, 63 patients were enrolled. UACR, B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP), and clinical congestion score (CCS) were obtained at admission and discharge. We used linear mixed regression analysis to compare changes in the natural logarithm of UACR (logUACR) and its association with changes in markers of decongestion. Estimates were reported as least squares mean with their respective 95% CIs. RESULTS: The median age of the study population was 87 years, 68.5% were women, and 69.8% had a left ventricular ejection fraction >50%. LogUACR at discharge significantly decreased in the overall population compared to admission (Δ -0.47, 95% CI: -0.78 to -0.15, p value = 0.003). The magnitude of UACR drop at discharge was associated with changes in surrogate markers of decongestion. Patients who showed a greater reduction in BNP at discharge exhibited a greater reduction in UACR (p = 0.016). The same trend was also found with clinical decongestion, as assessed by changes in CCS, however, without achieving statistical significance (p = 0.171). UACR change at discharge was not associated with changes in serum creatinine (p value = 0.923). CONCLUSION: In elderly patients with AHF and volume overload, the level of UACR significantly decreased upon discharge compared to admission. This reduction in UACR was closely linked to decreases in BNP.


Assuntos
Albuminúria , Biomarcadores , Creatinina , Insuficiência Cardíaca , Peptídeo Natriurético Encefálico , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Doença Aguda , Albuminúria/urina , Biomarcadores/urina , Biomarcadores/sangue , Creatinina/urina , Creatinina/sangue , Progressão da Doença , Insuficiência Cardíaca/urina , Insuficiência Cardíaca/complicações , Insuficiência Cardíaca/fisiopatologia , Peptídeo Natriurético Encefálico/sangue , Estudos Prospectivos , Volume Sistólico/fisiologia
6.
Clin Cardiol ; 46(8): 906-913, 2023 Aug.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37287326

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Patients with acute heart failure (AHF) require intensification in the diuretic strategy. However, the optimal diuretic strategy remains unclear. In this work, we aimed to evaluate the role of urinary potassium to creatinine ratio (K/Cr) to predict diuretic and natriuretic response to thiazide or mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists (MRAs) in a cohort of patients with AHF and preserved ejection fraction (AHF-pEF). HYPOTHESIS: Patients with a high urinary K/Cr ratio will have a better diuretic and natriuretic response with spironolactone versus chlorthalidone. METHODS: This is a study of 44 patients with AHF-pEF with suboptimal loop diuretic response. The primary endpoint was the baseline K/Cr associated with natriuretic and diuretic effect of chlorthalidone versus spironolactone at 24 and 72 h. Mixed linear regression models were used to analyze the endpoints. Estimates were reported as least squares mean with their respective 95% confidence interval (CIs). RESULTS: The median age of the study population was 85 years (82.5-88.5), and 30 (68.2%) were women. The inferential multivariate analysis suggested a greater natriuretic and diuretic effect of chlorthalidone across K/Cr levels. In the upper category, chlorthalidone translated into a statistically increase in natriuresis at 24 and 72 h. Chlorthalidone versus spironolactone showed ∆uNa of 25.7 mmol/L at 24 h (95% CI = -3.7 to 55.4, p = .098) and ∆uNa of 24.8 mmol/L at 72 h (95% CI = -4 to 53.6, p = .0106). The omnibus p value is .027. Multivariate analyses revealed a significant increase in 72 h cumulative diuresis irrespective of K/Cr status in those on chlorthalidone. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with AHF-pEF and suboptimal diuretic response, diuresis and natriuresis are higher with the administration of chlorthalidone over spironolactone. These data don't support the hypothesis that the K/Cr ratio can help guide the choice of thiazide diuretic versus MRA in AHF-pEF patients on loop diuretic.


Assuntos
Diuréticos , Insuficiência Cardíaca , Humanos , Feminino , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Masculino , Diuréticos/uso terapêutico , Espironolactona/uso terapêutico , Creatinina , Inibidores de Simportadores de Cloreto de Sódio e Potássio/uso terapêutico , Clortalidona/uso terapêutico , Volume Sistólico/fisiologia , Insuficiência Cardíaca/diagnóstico , Insuficiência Cardíaca/tratamento farmacológico , Insuficiência Cardíaca/complicações , Potássio
7.
ESC Heart Fail ; 10(4): 2637-2647, 2023 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37349910

RESUMO

AIMS: Previous studies demonstrated the relationship between hypochloraemia and poor prognosis in patients hospitalized for acute heart failure (AHF). However, the usefulness of chloride in clinical practice remains uncertain, notably in very old patients with predominantly heart failure (HF) with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF). We aimed to evaluate the prognostic impact of chloride in a cohort of very aged patients with AHF and the possible existence of different phenotypes of hypochloraemia with distinct clinical significance. METHODS AND RESULTS: It was an observational study of 429 patients hospitalized for AHF in which chloraemia was measured. Two different phenotypes of hypochloraemia were identified by their relationship with estimated plasma volume status (ePVS) as a proxy of intravascular congestion. The endpoint of interest was time to all-cause mortality and the composite of death and/or HF readmission. A multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression model was constructed to analyse the endpoints. The median age was 85 (78-92) years, 266 (62%) were women, and 80% had HFpEF. After multivariable analysis, chloraemia, but not natraemia, was associated with the risk of death and HF readmission in a U-shaped pattern. The phenotype characterized by hypochloraemia and low ePVS (depletional) was associated with an increased risk of mortality when compared with patients with normochloraemia [hazard ratio (HR) 1.86, P = 0.008]. In contrast, hypochloraemia with high ePVS (dilutional) had no prognostic significance (HR 0.94, P = 0.855). CONCLUSIONS: In very old patients hospitalized with AHF, plasma chloride was associated with the risk of death and HF readmission in a U-shaped pattern and could potentially be used for congestion phenotyping.


Assuntos
Insuficiência Cardíaca , Feminino , Masculino , Humanos , Insuficiência Cardíaca/complicações , Cloretos , Volume Sistólico , Prognóstico , Fenótipo
8.
J Clin Med ; 12(8)2023 Apr 19.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37109303

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: We aimed to test the non-inferiority of oral versus intravenous hydration in the incidence of contrast-associated acute kidney injury (CA-AKI) in elderly outpatients undergoing a contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CE-CT) scan. METHODS: PNIC-Na (NCT03476460) is a phase-2, single-center, randomized, open-label, non-inferiority trial. We included outpatients undergoing a CE-CT scan, >65 years having at least one risk factor for CA-AKI, such as diabetes, heart failure, or an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) of 30-59 mL/min/1.73 m². Participants were randomized (1:1) to oral sodium-chloride capsules or intravenous hydration. The primary outcome was an increase in serum creatinine >0.3 mg/dL or a reduction in eGFR >25% within 48 h. The non-inferiority margin was set at 5%. RESULTS: A total of 271 subjects (mean age 74 years, 66% male) were randomized, and 252 were considered for the main analysis (per-protocol). A total of 123 received oral hydration and 129 intravenous. CA-AKI occurred in 9 (3.6%) of 252 patients and 5/123 (4.1%) in the oral-hydration group vs. 4/129 (3.1%) in the intravenous-hydration group. The absolute difference between the groups was 1.0% (95% CI -4.8% to 7.0%), and the upper limit of the 95% CI exceeded the pre-established non-inferiority margin. No major safety concerns were observed. CONCLUSION: The incidence of CA-AKI was lower than expected. Although both regimens showed similar incidences of CA-AKI, the non-inferiority was not shown.

9.
Eur Heart J Acute Cardiovasc Care ; 11(4): 350-355, 2022 Jun 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35167653

RESUMO

AIMS: Patients with acute heart failure (AHF) require intensification in the diuretic strategy. However, the optimal diuretic strategy remains unclear. In this work, we aimed to evaluate the effect of chlorthalidone compared with spironolactone on diuretic efficacy and safety profile in a cohort of patients with AHF and preserved ejection fraction (AHF-pEF). METHODS AND RESULTS: It was a prospective observational study in a single centre in Spain, included 44 consecutive patients admitted between June 2020 and March 2021, with AHF-pEF in which an additional diuretic was prescribed. The primary endpoint was changes in urinary sodium at 24 and 72 h, and the secondary were urine output, and other security endpoints. Mixed linear regression models were used to analyse the endpoints. Estimates were reported as least squares mean with their respective 95% confidence intervals. The median age of the study population was 85 years (82.5-88.5), and 30 (68.2%) were women. After multivariate analysis, the linear mixed regression analysis confirmed a greater natriuretic response of chlorthalidone over spironolactone, especially at 24 h (P = 0.009). Multivariate analysis also showed a greater cumulative diuretic response in those treated with chlorthalidone (P = 0.001). We did not find significant differences in glomerular filtration rate, serum sodium, and serum potassium at 72 h, neither significant differences were found in 24 and 72 h in systolic blood pressure. CONCLUSION: In patients with AHF and left ventricular ejection fraction ≥50% receiving intravenous loop diuretics, chlorthalidone administration was associated with a greater short-term natriuresis.


Assuntos
Insuficiência Cardíaca , Espironolactona , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Clortalidona/uso terapêutico , Diuréticos/uso terapêutico , Feminino , Insuficiência Cardíaca/complicações , Humanos , Masculino , Sódio , Espironolactona/uso terapêutico , Volume Sistólico , Função Ventricular Esquerda
10.
J Clin Med ; 11(17)2022 Sep 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36079173

RESUMO

Hereditary hemorrhagic telangiectasia is an inherited disease related to an alteration in angiogenesis, manifesting as cutaneous telangiectasias and epistaxis. As complications, it presents vascular malformations in organs such as the lung, liver, digestive tract, and brain. Currently, diagnosis can be made using the Curaçao criteria or by identifying the affected gene. In recent years, there has been an advance in the understanding of the pathophysiology of the disease, which has allowed the use of new therapeutic strategies to improve the quality of life of patients. This article reviews some of the main and most current evidence on the pathophysiology, clinical manifestations, diagnostic approach, screening for complications, and therapeutic options, both pharmacological and surgical.

11.
Semin Arthritis Rheum ; 55: 152033, 2022 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35691226

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: Left ventricular diastolic dysfunction (LVDD) remains poorly studied in Systemic Sclerosis (SSc). To determine the prevalence and to define factors associated with LVDD and survival in a large cohort of patients with SSc. METHODS: An observational study was conducted with data from the multicentre Spanish Scleroderma Registry (RESCLE) to identify factors associated with LVDD and estimate survival. RESULTS: Out of 1517 patients, 319 (21.0%) had LVDD. The subset of sine scleroderma SSc was associated to LVDD (14.7% vs. 10.6%, p =0.048), whilst diffuse cutaneous SSc was more prevalent in non-LVDD (16.0 % vs. 21.2%, p =0.041). Multivariable analysis identified that LVDD was associated with older age at diagnosis of SSc (OR 1.05; 95% CI 1.04 to 1.06), longer time from diagnosis (OR 1.04; 95% CI 1.03 to 1.06), presence of telangiectasia (OR 1.42; 95% CI 1.08 to 1.88), treatment with calcium channel blockers (CCB) (OR 1.51; 95% CI 1.16 to 1.96), and inversely related to angiotensin-converting-enzyme inhibitors (ACEi) use (OR 0.59; 95% CI 0.44 to 0.80). SSc patients with LVDD had increased mortality (23.8 vs. 17.4%, p =0.010) and shortened survival from the first SSc symptom (p =0.040), even though it was not found to be an independent risk factor for death. CONCLUSIONS: LVDD is relatively common in SSc patients, and it is associated with worst prognosis, older age, longer time from diagnosis of SSc, presence of telangiectasia and vasodilator treatment.


Assuntos
Esclerodermia Difusa , Escleroderma Sistêmico , Telangiectasia , Disfunção Ventricular Esquerda , Estudos de Coortes , Humanos , Sistema de Registros , Disfunção Ventricular Esquerda/complicações , Disfunção Ventricular Esquerda/diagnóstico
12.
PLoS One ; 16(8): e0255524, 2021.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34343222

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Whether immunosuppressed (IS) patients have a worse prognosis of COVID-19 compared to non-IS patients is not known. The aim of this study was to evaluate the clinical characteristics and outcome of IS patients hospitalized with COVID-19 compared to non-IS patients. METHODS: We designed a retrospective cohort study. We included all patients hospitalized with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 from the SEMI-COVID-19 Registry, a large multicentre national cohort in Spain, from March 27th until June 19th, 2020. We used multivariable logistic regression to assess the adjusted odds ratios (aOR) of in-hospital death among IS compared to non-IS patients. RESULTS: Among 13 206 included patients, 2 111 (16.0%) were IS. A total of 166 (1.3%) patients had solid organ (SO) transplant, 1081 (8.2%) had SO neoplasia, 332 (2.5%) had hematologic neoplasia, and 570 (4.3%), 183 (1.4%) and 394 (3.0%) were receiving systemic steroids, biological treatments, and immunosuppressors, respectively. Compared to non-IS patients, the aOR (95% CI) for in-hospital death was 1.60 (1.43-1.79) for all IS patients, 1.39 (1.18-1.63) for patients with SO cancer, 2.31 (1.76-3.03) for patients with haematological cancer and 3.12 (2.23-4.36) for patients with SO transplant. The aOR (95% CI) for death for patients who were receiving systemic steroids, biological treatments and immunosuppressors compared to non-IS patients were 2.16 (1.80-2.61), 1.97 (1.33-2.91) and 2.06 (1.64-2.60), respectively. IS patients had a higher odds than non-IS patients of in-hospital acute respiratory distress syndrome, heart failure, myocarditis, thromboembolic disease and multiorgan failure. CONCLUSIONS: IS patients hospitalized with COVID-19 have a higher odds of in-hospital complications and death compared to non-IS patients.


Assuntos
COVID-19/patologia , Mortalidade Hospitalar , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , COVID-19/complicações , COVID-19/mortalidade , COVID-19/virologia , Estudos de Coortes , Feminino , Neoplasias Hematológicas/complicações , Hospitalização , Humanos , Hospedeiro Imunocomprometido , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Insuficiência de Múltiplos Órgãos/complicações , Razão de Chances , Sistema de Registros , Estudos Retrospectivos , SARS-CoV-2/isolamento & purificação , Espanha
13.
Clin Microbiol Infect ; 27(12): 1838-1844, 2021 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34274525

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: We aimed to develop and validate a prediction model, based on clinical history and examination findings on initial diagnosis of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), to identify patients at risk of critical outcomes. METHODS: We used data from the SEMI-COVID-19 Registry, a cohort of consecutive patients hospitalized for COVID-19 from 132 centres in Spain (23rd March to 21st May 2020). For the development cohort, tertiary referral hospitals were selected, while the validation cohort included smaller hospitals. The primary outcome was a composite of in-hospital death, mechanical ventilation, or admission to intensive care unit. Clinical signs and symptoms, demographics, and medical history ascertained at presentation were screened using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator, and logistic regression was used to construct the predictive model. RESULTS: There were 10 433 patients, 7850 in the development cohort (primary outcome 25.1%, 1967/7850) and 2583 in the validation cohort (outcome 27.0%, 698/2583). The PRIORITY model included: age, dependency, cardiovascular disease, chronic kidney disease, dyspnoea, tachypnoea, confusion, systolic blood pressure, and SpO2 ≤93% or oxygen requirement. The model showed high discrimination for critical illness in both the development (C-statistic 0.823; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.813, 0.834) and validation (C-statistic 0.794; 95%CI 0.775, 0.813) cohorts. A freely available web-based calculator was developed based on this model (https://www.evidencio.com/models/show/2344). CONCLUSIONS: The PRIORITY model, based on easily obtained clinical information, had good discrimination and generalizability for identifying COVID-19 patients at risk of critical outcomes.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Estado Terminal , COVID-19/diagnóstico , Mortalidade Hospitalar , Hospitalização , Humanos , Modelos Teóricos , Estudos Retrospectivos , Medição de Risco , Espanha
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