Validation of the systematic scoring of immunohistochemically stained tumour tissue microarrays using QuPath digital image analysis.

AIMS: Output from biomarker studies involving immunohistochemistry applied to tissue microarrays (TMA) is limited by the lack of an efficient and reproducible scoring methodology. In this study, we examine the functionality and reproducibility of biomarker scoring using the new, open-source, digital image analysis software, QuPath. METHODS AND RESULTS: Three different reviewers, with varying experience of digital pathology and image analysis, applied an agreed QuPath scoring methodology to CD3 and p53 immunohistochemically stained TMAs from a colon cancer cohort (n = 661). Manual assessment was conducted by one reviewer for CD3. Survival analyses were conducted and intra- and interobserver reproducibility assessed. Median raw scores differed significantly between reviewers, but this had little impact on subsequent analyses. Lower CD3 scores were detected in cases who died from colorectal cancer compared to control cases, and this finding was significant for all three reviewers (P-value range = 0.002-0.02). Higher median p53 scores were generated among cases who died from colorectal cancer compared with controls (P-value range = 0.04-0.12). The ability to dichomotise cases into high versus low expression of CD3 and p53 showed excellent agreement between all three reviewers (kappa score range = 0.82-0.93). All three reviewers produced dichotomised expression scores that resulted in very similar hazard ratios for colorectal cancer-specific survival for each biomarker. Results from manual and QuPath methods of CD3 scoring were comparable, but QuPath scoring revealed stronger prognostic stratification. CONCLUSIONS: Scoring of immunohistochemically stained tumour TMAs using QuPath is functional and reproducible, even among users of limited experience of digital pathology images, and more accurate than manual scoring.

Low-dose aspirin use and survival in colorectal cancer: results from a population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Aspirin has been proposed as a novel adjuvant agent in colorectal cancer (CRC). Six observational studies have reported CRC-specific survival outcomes in patients using aspirin after CRC diagnosis but the results from these studies have been conflicting. Using a population-based cohort design this study aimed to assess if low-dose aspirin use after diagnosis reduced CRC-specific mortality. METHODS: A cohort of 8391 patients with Dukes' A-C CRC (2009-2012) was identified from the Scottish Cancer Registry and linked to national prescribing and death records. Adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for CRC-specific mortality were calculated using time-dependent Cox regression. RESULTS: There were 1064 CRC-specific deaths after a median follow-up of 3.6 years. Post-diagnostic low-dose aspirin use was not associated with a reduction in CRC-specific mortality either before or after adjustment for confounders (adjusted HR = 1.17, 95% CI 1.00-1.36). In sensitivity analysis pre-diagnostic low-dose aspirin was also not associated with reduced CRC-specific mortality (adjusted HR = 0.96, 95% CI 0.88-1.05). CONCLUSION: Low-dose aspirin use, either before or after diagnosis, did not prolong survival in this population-based CRC cohort.

Statin use, candidate mevalonate pathway biomarkers, and colon cancer survival in a population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Statin use after colorectal cancer diagnosis may improve survival but evidence from observational studies is conflicting. The anti-cancer effect of statins may be restricted to certain molecular subgroups. In this population-based cohort study, the interaction between p53 and 3-hydroxy-3-methylglutaryl coenzyme-A reductase (HMGCR) expression, KRAS mutations, and the association between statin use and colon cancer survival was assessed. METHODS: The cohort consisted of 740 stage II and III colon cancer patients diagnosed between 2004 and 2008. Statin use was determined through clinical note review. Tissue blocks were retrieved to determine immunohistochemical expression of p53 and HMGCR in tissue microarrays and the presence of KRAS mutations in extracted DNA. Cox proportional hazards models were used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for colorectal cancer-specific and overall survival. RESULTS: Statin use was not associated with improved cancer-specific survival in this cohort (HR=0.91, 95% CI 0.64-1.28). Statin use was also not associated with improved survival when the analyses were stratified by tumour p53 (wild-type HR=1.31, 95% CI 0.67-2.56 vs aberrant HR=0.80, 95% CI 0.52-1.24), HMGCR (HMGCR-high HR=0.69, 95% CI 0.40-1.18 vs HMGCR-low HR=1.10, 95% CI 0.66-1.84), and KRAS (wild-type HR=0.73, 95% CI 0.44-1.19 vs mutant HR=1.21, 95% CI 0.70-2.21) status. CONCLUSIONS: Statin use was not associated with improved survival either independently or when stratified by potential mevalonate pathway biomarkers in this population-based cohort of colon cancer patients.

Back to the future: routine morphological assessment of the tumour microenvironment is prognostic in stage II/III colon cancer in a large population-based study.

AIMS: Both morphological and molecular approaches have highlighted the biological and prognostic importance of the tumour microenvironment in colorectal cancer (CRC). Despite this, microscopic assessment of the tumour microenvironment has not been adopted into routine practice. The study aim was to identify those tumour microenvironmental features that are most likely to provide prognostic information and be feasible to use in routine pathology reporting practice. METHODS AND RESULTS: On the basis of existing evidence, we selected specific morphological features relating to peritumoral inflammatory and stromal responses, agreed criteria for scoring, and assessed these in representative haematoxylin and eosin (H&E)-stained whole tumour sections from a population-based cohort of 445 stage II/III colon cancer cases. Moderate/severe peritumoral diffuse lymphoid inflammation and Crohn's disease-like reaction were associated with significantly reduced risks of CRC-specific death [adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 0.48, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.31-0.76, and HR 0.60, 95% CI 0.42-0.84, respectively]. The presence of >50% tumour stromal percentage, as assessed by global evaluation of tumour area, was associated with a significantly increased risk of CRC-specific death (HR 1.60 95% CI 1.06-2.41). A composite 'fibroinflammatory score' (0-3), combining dichotomized scores of these three features, showed a highly significant association with survival outcomes. Those with a score of ≥2 had an almost 2.5-fold increased risk of CRC-specific death (HR 2.44, 95% CI 1.56-3.81) as compared with those scoring zero. These associations were stronger in microsatellite instability (MSI)-high tumours, potentially identifying a subset of MSI-high colon cancers that lack characteristic morphological features and have an associated worse prognosis. CONCLUSIONS: In summary, reporting on H&E staining of selected microscopic features of the tumour microenvironment, independently or in combination, offers valuable prognostic information in stage II/III colon cancer, and may allow morphological correlation with developing molecular classifications of prognostic and predictive relevance.

A comparison of endoscopy versus pathology sizing of colorectal adenomas and potential implications for surveillance colonoscopy.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The aim of this study was to compare endoscopy and pathology sizing in a large population-based series of colorectal adenomas and to evaluate the implications for patient stratification into surveillance colonoscopy. METHODS: Endoscopy and pathology sizes available from intact adenomas removed at colonoscopies performed as part of the Northern Ireland Bowel Cancer Screening Programme, from 2010 to 2015, were included in this study. Chi-squared tests were applied to compare size categories in relation to clinicopathologic parameters and colonoscopy surveillance strata according to current American Gastroenterology Association and British Society of Gastroenterology guidelines. RESULTS: A total of 2521 adenomas from 1467 individuals were included. There was a trend toward larger endoscopy than pathology sizing in 4 of the 5 study centers, but overall sizing concordance was good. Significantly greater clustering with sizing to the nearest 5 mm was evident in endoscopy versus pathology sizing (30% vs 19%, P < .001), which may result in lower accuracy. Applying a 10-mm cut-off relevant to guidelines on risk stratification, 7.3% of all adenomas and 28.3% of those 8 to 12 mm in size had discordant endoscopy and pathology size categorization. Depending on which guidelines are applied, 4.8% to 9.1% of individuals had differing risk stratification for surveillance recommendations, with the use of pathology sizing resulting in marginally fewer recommended surveillance colonoscopies. CONCLUSIONS: Choice of pathology or endoscopy approaches to determine adenoma size will potentially influence surveillance colonoscopy follow-up in 4.8% to 9.1% of individuals. Pathology sizing appears more accurate than endoscopy sizing, and preferential use of pathology size would result in a small, but clinically important, decreased burden on surveillance colonoscopy demand. Careful endoscopy sizing is required for adenomas removed piecemeal.

Blood biomarkers for early diagnosis of oesophageal cancer: a systematic review.

BACKGROUND: Oesophageal cancer prognosis remains poor owing to the inability to detect the disease at an early stage. Nontissue (serum, urinary or salivary) biomarkers potentially offer less invasive methods to aid early detection of oesophageal cancer. We aimed to systematically review studies assessing the relationship between nontissue biomarkers and subsequent development of oesophageal cancer. METHODS: Using terms for biomarkers and oesophageal cancer, Medline, EMBASE and Web of Science were systematically searched for longitudinal studies, published until April 2016, which assessed the association between nontissue biomarkers and subsequent oesophageal cancer risk. Random effects meta-analyses were used to calculate pooled relative risk (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs), where possible. RESULTS: A total of 39 studies were included. Lower serum pepsinogen I concentrations were associated with an increased risk of oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma (n=3 studies, pooled RR=2.20, 95% CI: 1.31-3.70). However, the association for the pepsinogen I : II ratio was not statistically significant (n=3 studies, pooled RR=2.22, 95% CI: 0.77-6.40), with a large degree of heterogeneity observed (I=68.0%). Higher serum glucose concentrations were associated with a modestly increased risk of total oesophageal cancer (n=3 studies, pooled RR=1.27, 95% CI: 1.02-1.57). No association was observed for total cholesterol and total oesophageal cancer risk (n=3 studies, pooled RR=0.95, 95% CI: 0.58-1.54). Very few studies have assessed other biomarkers for meta-analyses. CONCLUSION: Serum pepsinogen I concentrations could aid early detection of oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma. More prospective studies are needed to determine the use of other nontissue biomarkers in the early detection of oesophageal cancer.

Bcl-xL as a poor prognostic biomarker and predictor of response to adjuvant chemotherapy specifically in BRAF-mutant stage II and III colon cancer.

Purpose: BRAF mutation occurs in 8-15% of colon cancers (CC), and is associated with poor prognosis in metastatic disease. Compared to wild-type BRAF (BRAFWT) disease, stage II/III CC patients with BRAF mutant (BRAFMT) tumors have shorter overall survival after relapse; however, time-to-relapse is not significantly different. The aim of this investigation was to identify, and validate, novel predictors of relapse of stage II/III BRAFMT CC. Experimental design: We used gene expression data from a cohort of 460 patients (GSE39582) to perform a supervised classification analysis based on risk-of-relapse within BRAFMT stage II/III CC, to identify transcriptomic biomarkers associated with prognosis within this genotype. These findings were validated using immunohistochemistry in an independent population-based cohort of Stage II/III CC (n = 691), applying Cox proportional hazards analysis to determine associations with survival. Results: High gene expression levels of Bcl-xL, a key regulator of apoptosis, were associated with increased risk of relapse, specifically in BRAFMT tumors (HR = 8.3, 95% CI 1.7-41.7), but not KRASMT/BRAFWT or KRASWT/BRAFWT tumors. High Bcl-xL protein expression in BRAFMT, untreated, stage II/III CC was confirmed to be associated with an increased risk of death in an independent cohort (HR = 12.13, 95% CI 2.49-59.13). Additionally, BRAFMT tumors with high levels of Bcl-xL protein expression appeared to benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy (P for interaction = 0.006), indicating the potential predictive value of Bcl-xL expression in this setting. Conclusions: These findings provide evidence that Bcl-xL gene and/or protein expression identifies a poor prognostic subgroup of BRAFMT stage II/III CC patients, who may benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy.

QuPath: Open source software for digital pathology image analysis.

QuPath is new bioimage analysis software designed to meet the growing need for a user-friendly, extensible, open-source solution for digital pathology and whole slide image analysis. In addition to offering a comprehensive panel of tumor identification and high-throughput biomarker evaluation tools, QuPath provides researchers with powerful batch-processing and scripting functionality, and an extensible platform with which to develop and share new algorithms to analyze complex tissue images. Furthermore, QuPath's flexible design makes it suitable for a wide range of additional image analysis applications across biomedical research.

Evaluation of PTGS2 Expression, PIK3CA Mutation, Aspirin Use and Colon Cancer Survival in a Population-Based Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVES: The association between aspirin use and improved survival after colorectal cancer diagnosis may be more pronounced in tumors that have PIK3CA mutations or high PTGS2 expression. However, the evidence of a difference in association by biomarker status lacks consistency. In this population-based colon cancer cohort study the interaction between these biomarkers, aspirin use, and survival was assessed. METHODS: The cohort consisted of 740 stage II and III colon cancer patients diagnosed between 2004 and 2008. Aspirin use was determined through clinical note review. Tissue blocks were retrieved to determine immunohistochemical assessment of PTGS2 expression and the presence of PIK3CA mutations. Cox proportional hazards models were used to calculate hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for colorectal cancer-specific and overall survival. RESULTS: In this cohort aspirin use was associated with a 31% improvement in cancer-specific survival compared to non-use (adjusted HR=0.69, 95% CI 0.47-0.98). This effect was more pronounced in tumors with high PTGS2 expression (PTGS2-high adjusted HR=0.55, 95% CI 0.32-0.96) compared to those with low PTGS2 expression (PTGS2-low adjusted HR=1.19, 95% CI 0.68-2.07, P for interaction=0.09). The aspirin by PTGS2 interaction was significant for overall survival (PTGS2-high adjusted HR=0.64, 95% CI 0.42-0.98 vs. PTGS2-low adjusted HR=1.28, 95% CI 0.80-2.03, P for interaction=0.04). However, no interaction was observed between aspirin use and PIK3CA mutation status for colorectal cancer-specific or overall survival. CONCLUSIONS: Aspirin use was associated with improved survival outcomes in this population-based cohort of colon cancer patients. This association differed according to PTGS2 expression but not PIK3CA mutation status. Limiting adjuvant aspirin trials to PIK3CA-mutant colorectal cancer may be too restrictive.

Statin use and survival in colorectal cancer: Results from a population-based cohort study and an updated systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to investigate the association between statin use and survival in a population-based colorectal cancer (CRC) cohort and perform an updated meta-analysis to quantify the magnitude of any association. METHODS: A cohort of 8391 patients with newly diagnosed Dukes' A-C CRC (2009-2012) was identified from the Scottish Cancer Registry. This cohort was linked to the Prescribing Information System and the National Records of Scotland Death Records (until January 2015) to identify 1064 colorectal cancer-specific deaths. Adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for cancer-specific mortality by statin use were calculated using time dependent Cox regression models. The systematic review included relevant studies published before January 2016. Meta-analysis techniques were used to derive combined HRs for associations between statin use and cancer-specific and overall mortality. RESULTS: In the Scottish cohort, statin use before diagnosis (HR=0.84, 95% CI 0.75-0.94), but not after (HR=0.90, 95% CI 0.77-1.05), was associated with significantly improved cancer-specific mortality. The systematic review identified 15 relevant studies. In the meta-analysis, there was consistent (I2=0%,heterogeneity P=0.57) evidence of a reduction in cancer-specific mortality with statin use before diagnosis in 6 studies (n=86,622, pooled HR=0.82, 95% CI 0.79-0.86) but this association was less apparent and more heterogeneous (I2=67%,heterogeneity P=0.03) with statin use after diagnosis in 4 studies (n=19,152, pooled HR=0.84, 95% CI 0.68-1.04). CONCLUSION: In a Scottish CRC cohort and updated meta-analysis there was some evidence that statin use was associated with improved survival. However, these associations were weak in magnitude and, particularly for post-diagnosis use, varied markedly between studies.

Socio-economic status and lifestyle factors are associated with achalasia risk: A population-based case-control study.

AIM: To evaluate the association between various lifestyle factors and achalasia risk. METHODS: A population-based case-control study was conducted in Northern Ireland, including n = 151 achalasia cases and n = 117 age- and sex-matched controls. Lifestyle factors were assessed via a face-to-face structured interview. The association between achalasia and lifestyle factors was assessed by unconditional logistic regression, to produce odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI). RESULTS: Individuals who had low-class occupations were at the highest risk of achalasia (OR = 1.88, 95%CI: 1.02-3.45), inferring that high-class occupation holders have a reduced risk of achalasia. A history of foreign travel, a lifestyle factor linked to upper socio-economic class, was also associated with a reduced risk of achalasia (OR = 0.59, 95%CI: 0.35-0.99). Smoking and alcohol consumption carried significantly reduced risks of achalasia, even after adjustment for socio-economic status. The presence of pets in the house was associated with a two-fold increased risk of achalasia (OR = 2.00, 95%CI: 1.17-3.42). No childhood household factors were associated with achalasia risk. CONCLUSION: Achalasia is a disease of inequality, and individuals from low socio-economic backgrounds are at highest risk. This does not appear to be due to corresponding alcohol and smoking behaviours. An observed positive association between pet ownership and achalasia risk suggests an interaction between endotoxin and viral infection exposure in achalasia aetiology.

Stratified analysis reveals chemokine-like factor (CKLF) as a potential prognostic marker in the MSI-immune consensus molecular subtype CMS1 of colorectal cancer.

The Colorectal Cancer (CRC) Subtyping Consortium (CRCSC) recently published four consensus molecular subtypes (CMS's) representing the underlying biology in CRC. The Microsatellite Instable (MSI) immune group, CMS1, has a favorable prognosis in early stage disease, but paradoxically has the worst prognosis following relapse, suggesting the presence of factors enabling neoplastic cells to circumvent this immune response. To identify the genes influencing subsequent poor prognosis in CMS1, we analyzed this subtype, centered on risk of relapse. In a cohort of early stage colon cancer (n=460), we examined, in silico, changes in gene expression within the CMS1 subtype and demonstrated for the first time the favorable prognostic value of chemokine-like factor (CKLF) gene expression in the adjuvant disease setting [HR=0.18, CI=0.04-0.89]. In addition, using transcription profiles originating from cell sorted CRC tumors, we delineated the source of CKLF transcription within the colorectal tumor microenvironment to the leukocyte component of these tumors. Further to this, we confirmed that CKLF gene expression is confined to distinct immune subsets in whole blood samples and primary cell lines, highlighting CKLF as a potential immune cell-derived factor promoting tumor immune-surveillance of nascent neoplastic cells, particularly in CMS1 tumors. Building on the recently reported CRCSC data, we provide compelling evidence that leukocyte-infiltrate derived CKLF expression is a candidate biomarker of favorable prognosis, specifically in MSI-immune stage II/III disease.

Long-term follow-up of immunocytochemical analysis of vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF), and its two receptors, VEGF-R1 (Flt-1) and VEGF-R2 (Flk-1/KDR), in oesophagogastric cancer.

BACKGROUND: The prognostic significance of immunocytochemical analysis of tumour vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) and its 2 receptors, VEGF-R1 and VEGF-R2, remains incompletely investigated in patients with oesophagogastric cancer.
 METHODS: Patients undergoing surgical resection were prospectively recruited between February 1999 and August 2000. Immunocytochemical analysis of VEGF, VEGF-R1 (Flt-1) and VEGF-R2 (Flk-1/KDR) was undertaken using validated techniques. Patients were followed up over a 10-year period using the Northern Ireland Cancer Registry.
 RESULTS: Sixty-one patients were recruited (male=45, 73.8%) with a median age of 66.0 years (range 39-83). Forty-seven (77.0%) adenocarcinomas and 14 (23.0%) squamous cell carcinomas were resected. UICC tumour staging was: stage I=14.7%, II=24.6%, III=54.1% and IV=6.6%. VEGF, VEGF-R1 and VEGF-R2 were over-expressed in tumour epithelial cells. VEGF-R2 expression was decreased in the presence of lymphovascular invasion and higher tumour grade. The 10-year survival rate was 19.7% (n=12) with a median follow-up of 808 (IQR 356-2313) days. On univariate analysis only lymphovascular invasion significantly predicted poor prognosis in this cohort (p=0.05). 
 CONCLUSION: VEGF, VEGF-R1 and VEGF-R2 were over-expressed in tumour epithelial cells. VEGF-R2 expression was decreased in the presence of more aggressive pathological variables. Larger studies are required to assess the prognostic significance of these biomarkers in oesophagogastric cancer.

Impact of nutritional factors on survival in patients with inoperable oesophageal cancer undergoing self-expanding metal stent insertion.

BACKGROUND: Undernutrition has been shown to be predictive of 30-day mortality in patients undergoing self-expanding metal stent (SEMS) insertion for inoperable oesophageal cancer. The aim of this study was to assess the relationship between nutritional factors and 30-day mortality in patients undergoing SEMS insertion for palliation of oesophageal cancer. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was conducted from April 2007 to June 2009. BMI, swallowing ability, calorific intake and nature of nutritional support were recorded. ICD-10 causes of death were obtained from the Department of Health and Social Services. RESULTS: Fifty-six stents were inserted into 53 patients (mean age 70 years, male n=35). Median (interquartile range) BMI was 21.0 kg/m (18.7-24.0). Median pre-SEMS swallowing grade was 3. Median calorific intake as a percentage of estimated daily requirements was 94.0% (75.6-100.0%). Thirty (56.6%) patients tolerated an oral diet enhanced with supplement drinks whereas 23 (43.4%) patients required more invasive forms of enteral and parenteral support. The 30-day mortality rate was 11.3% (n=6) and cumulative median survival was 84 (interquartile range 38-156) days. BMI, calorific intake and swallowing capacity were not predictors of survival. Although there was a nonsignificant trend for reduced survival in those patients who did (n=23) receive invasive nutritional support compared with those who did not (n=30) (83.9 vs. 151.3 days, P=0.053), invasive nutritional support itself was not predictive of 30-day mortality (P=0.74). CONCLUSION: The requirement for invasive nutritional support before SEMS insertion is associated with a poor prognosis and possibly represents more aggressive tumour pathology. Further prospective assessment of prognostic factors, including nutritional parameters, to facilitate reliable selection of appropriate palliative modalities in oesophageal cancer is required.