Independent validation of CT radiomics models in colorectal liver metastases: predicting local tumour progression after ablation.

OBJECTIVES: Independent internal and external validation of three previously published CT-based radiomics models to predict local tumor progression (LTP) after thermal ablation of colorectal liver metastases (CRLM). MATERIALS AND METHODS: Patients with CRLM treated with thermal ablation were collected from two institutions to collect a new independent internal and external validation cohort. Ablation zones (AZ) were delineated on portal venous phase CT 2-8 weeks post-ablation. Radiomics features were extracted from the AZ and a 10 mm peri-ablational rim (PAR) of liver parenchyma around the AZ. Three previously published prediction models (clinical, radiomics, combined) were tested without retraining. LTP was defined as new tumor foci appearing next to the AZ up to 24 months post-ablation. RESULTS: The internal cohort included 39 patients with 68 CRLM and the external cohort 52 patients with 78 CRLM. 34/146 CRLM developed LTP after a median follow-up of 24 months (range 5-139). The median time to LTP was 8 months (range 2-22). The combined clinical-radiomics model yielded a c-statistic of 0.47 (95%CI 0.30-0.64) in the internal cohort and 0.50 (95%CI 0.38-0.62) in the external cohort, compared to 0.78 (95%CI 0.65-0.87) in the previously published original cohort. The radiomics model yielded c-statistics of 0.46 (95%CI 0.29-0.63) and 0.39 (95%CI 0.28-0.52), and the clinical model 0.51 (95%CI 0.34-0.68) and 0.51 (95%CI 0.39-0.63) in the internal and external cohort, respectively. CONCLUSION: The previously published results for prediction of LTP after thermal ablation of CRLM using clinical and radiomics models were not reproducible in independent internal and external validation. CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT: Local tumour progression after thermal ablation of CRLM cannot yet be predicted with the use of CT radiomics of the ablation zone and peri-ablational rim. These results underline the importance of validation of radiomics results to test for reproducibility in independent cohorts. KEY POINTS: • Previous research suggests CT radiomics models have the potential to predict local tumour progression after thermal ablation in colorectal liver metastases, but independent validation is lacking. • In internal and external validation, the previously published models were not able to predict local tumour progression after ablation. • Radiomics prediction models should be investigated in independent validation cohorts to check for reproducibility.

An automated deep learning pipeline for EMVI classification and response prediction of rectal cancer using baseline MRI: a multi-centre study.

The classification of extramural vascular invasion status using baseline magnetic resonance imaging in rectal cancer has gained significant attention as it is an important prognostic marker. Also, the accurate prediction of patients achieving complete response with primary staging MRI assists clinicians in determining subsequent treatment plans. Most studies utilised radiomics-based methods, requiring manually annotated segmentation and handcrafted features, which tend to generalise poorly. We retrospectively collected 509 patients from 9 centres, and proposed a fully automated pipeline for EMVI status classification and CR prediction with diffusion weighted imaging and T2-weighted imaging. We applied nnUNet, a self-configuring deep learning model, for tumour segmentation and employed learned multiple-level image features to train classification models, named MLNet. This ensures a more comprehensive representation of the tumour features, in terms of both fine-grained detail and global context. On external validation, MLNet, yielding similar AUCs as internal validation, outperformed 3D ResNet10, a deep neural network with ten layers designed for analysing spatiotemporal data, in both CR and EMVI tasks. For CR prediction, MLNet showed better results than the current state-of-the-art model using imaging and clinical features in the same external cohort. Our study demonstrated that incorporating multi-level image representations learned by a deep learning based tumour segmentation model on primary MRI improves the results of EMVI classification and CR prediction with good generalisation to external data. We observed variations in the contributions of individual feature maps to different classification tasks. This pipeline has the potential to be applied in clinical settings, particularly for EMVI classification.