Risk factors of surgical mortality in patients with Clostridium difficile colitis. A novel scoring system.

BACKGROUND: The purpose of the study is to identify the risk factors of mortality and develop a risk scoring system in patients who underwent colectomy due to Clostridium difficile colitis (CD-C). METHODS: Patient information was extracted using the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) data from 2012 to 2016. All adult patients who underwent colectomy for CD-C were included in the study. The data were split into training and testing data sets. A multiple logistic regression model was developed by backward deletion methods for risk assessment. To test the performance of the prediction model for 30-day mortality, a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was generated and an area under the curve (AUC) was created. RESULTS: The training data set consisted of 434 (80%) patients, and the testing data set consisted of 91 (20%) patients. The overall mortality was 35%. No significant differences were found between the training and testing data sets for patient characteristics, comorbidities and mortality. The final model of the logistic regression model revealed a highly significant 30-day mortality for an age of ≥ 75 years old, ventilator dependency, Septic shock prior to surgery and a history of steroid use. The AUC value was 0.745 (95% CI 0.660-0.826). The risk of mortality scores range from 0 to 37. The highest score of 37 was related to an 83.9% predicted mortality. CONCLUSION: Older age, septic shock, ventilator dependency requiring supportive care and a history of chronic steroid use were highly associated with mortality. A nomogram showing the scores and their relationship to mortality may provide guidance to point of care physicians for deciding the goal of care. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level of evidence: IV.

S100 Staining Adds to the Prognostic Significance of the Combination of Perineural Invasion and Lymphovascular Invasion in Colorectal Cancer.

Studies have suggested that perineural invasion (PNI) and lymphovascular invasion (LVI) serve as independent prognostic factors in colorectal cancer (CRC). Currently, little is known regarding the combination of PNI and LVI as prognostic factors, independent of stage. We hypothesized that this combination was a better prognostic marker than either PNI or LVI alone, and that S100 staining would detect PNI not seen with hematoxylin and eosin (H&E). Surgical pathology slides were retrospectively reviewed for 151 stages I to IV CRC patients who had surgery between January 1, 2008 and December 8, 2008 at 3 Hackensack Meridian Health hospitals in New Jersey. PNI and LVI were detected by H&E staining and a subset of 127 patient samples were additionally examined for PNI by S100 staining. Correlation between staining characteristics and patient outcomes was assessed using the Pearson χ tests and the Fisher exact tests. Survival was analyzed using Kaplan-Meier methods. Of the 151 cases reviewed, 30.5% were positive for PNI and 35.1% were positive for LVI by H&E. The use of S100 staining for PNI enabled its detection in 27 additional cases. Median time from patient diagnosis to death was significantly shorter for patients who were positive for both PNI and LVI (P<0.001). PNI and LVI were individual markers for poor survival in CRC patients and their combined presence had an even worse outcome. Failure to detect PNI on H&E can be overcome by S100 staining.