Relationship Between Hemoglobin Concentration and Cardiovascular Disease Mortality in a 25-Year Follow-up Study of a Japanese General Population　- NIPPON DATA90.

BACKGROUND: Deviations of hemoglobin from normal levels may be a factor in cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk; however, conclusive evidence is lacking. In addition, preclinical conditions may influence hemoglobin concentrations, but studies focusing on reverse causation are limited. Thus, we examined the relationship between hemoglobin concentrations and CVD mortality risk, considering reverse causation.Methods and Results: In a prospective cohort representative of the general Japanese population (1990-2015), we studied 7,217 individuals (mean age 52.3 years; 4,219 women) without clinical CVD at baseline. Participants were categorized into sex-specific hemoglobin quintiles (Q1-Q5) and data were analyzed using the Cox proportional hazards model adjusted for possible confounders. During a 25-year follow-up, 272 men and 334 women died from CVD. Adjusted hazard ratios for CVD mortality across sex-specific quintiles, using Q3 as the reference, were significantly higher for Q1 (1.40; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.08-1.82) and Q5 (1.49; 95% CI 1.14-1.96), and remained significant after excluding deaths within the first 5 years of follow-up to consider reverse causation (1.35 [95% CI 1.02-1.79] and 1.45 [95% CI 1.09-1.94], respectively). A similar U-shaped association was seen between transferrin saturation levels and CVD mortality, but after excluding deaths within the first 5 years the association was significant only for Q1. CONCLUSIONS: Low and high hemoglobin concentrations were associated with an increased risk of CVD mortality.

Relationship of Higher-level Functional Capacity With Long-term Mortality in Japanese Older People: NIPPON DATA90.

BACKGROUND: Basic and instrumental activities of daily living (BADL and IADL, respectively) are known predictors of mortality. However, the relationship between higher-level functional capacity (HLFC) and mortality and related sex differences have rarely been investigated. METHODS: A prospective population-based cohort study was conducted in 1,824 older residents (≥65 years) with independent BADL from 300 randomly selected areas in Japan from 1995, and the participants were followed up until 2010. Using the Cox proportional hazards model, the relationship between HLFC and mortality risk was investigated, with adjustment for possible confounders. HLFC was assessed using the Tokyo Metropolitan Institute of Gerontology Index of Competence. Baseline data were collected using a questionnaire or by home-visit interviews. RESULTS: During an average 12.2-year follow-up, all-cause death was observed in 836 (45.8%) participants. Impaired HLFC was significantly associated with mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 1.37; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.13-1.65). Lower social role was significantly associated with higher mortality risk in men (HR 1.38; 95% CI, 1.13-1.68). Lower IADL and intellectual activity were significantly associated with higher mortality risk in women (HR 1.50; 95% CI, 1.15-1.95 and HR 1.46; 95% CI, 1.19-1.79, respectively). The relationship between HLFC and mortality risk showed a similar tendency among cardiovascular diseases, stroke, cancer, and pneumonia. CONCLUSION: Impaired HLFC was associated with a high risk of all-cause mortality among community-dwelling older people with independent BADL. In particular, social role in men and IADL and intellectual activity in women were associated with long-term mortality risk.

Smoking is associated with impaired long-term quality of life in elderly people: a 22-year cohort study in NIPPON-DATA 90.

BACKGROUND: Whether smoking is associated with worse quality of life (QoL) or not is relatively controversial. Current study is to investigate relationship between smoking and subjective QoL in a long cohort study. METHODS: NIPPON DATA 90 project collected 8383 community residents in 300 randomly selected areas as baseline data in 1990, and 4 follow-up QOL surveys and mortality statistics were performed. We conducted multinomial logistic regression analysis to compare past smoker and current smoker to never smoker, of which impaired QOL and mortality as outcomes. RESULTS: In 4 follow-ups, QOL data was collected from 2035, 2252, 2522 and 3280 participants, in 1995, 2000, 2005, 2012, respectively. In 1995 follow-up, current smoking at baseline was not associated with worse QOL. In 2000 and 2005 follow-up, smoking is significantly associated with worse QOL, OR = 2.11[95%CI: 1.33, 3.36, P<0.01], OR = 2.29[95%CI:1.38, 3.80, P < 0.001], respectively. In 2012 follow-up, smoking is not associated with QOL. Sensitivity analysis didn't change the result significantly. CONCLUSIONS: In this study we found that baseline smoking is associated worse QOL in long-follow-up.

Relationship Between Non-fasting Triglycerides and Cardiovascular Disease Mortality in a 20-year Follow-up Study of a Japanese General Population: NIPPON DATA90.

BACKGROUND: Non-fasting triglycerides (TG) are considered a better predictor of cardiovascular disease (CVD) than fasting TG. However, the effect of non-fasting TG on fatal CVD events remains unclear. In the present study, we aimed to explore the relationship between non-fasting TG and CVD mortality in a Japanese general population. METHODS: A total of 6,831 participants without a history of CVD, in which those who had a blood sampling over 8 hours or more after a meal were excluded, were followed for 18.0 years. We divided participants into seven groups according to non-fasting TG levels: ≤59 mg/dL, 60-89 mg/dL, 90-119 mg/dL, 120-149 mg/dL, 150-179 mg/dL, 180-209 mg/dL, and ≥210 mg/dL, and estimated the multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) of each TG group for CVD mortality after adjusting for potential confounders, including high density lipoprotein cholesterol. Additionally, we performed analysis stratified by age <65 and ≥65 years. RESULTS: During the follow-up period, 433 deaths due to CVD were detected. Compared with a non-fasting TG of 150-179 mg/dL, non-fasting TG ≥210 mg/dL was significantly associated with increased risk for CVD mortality (HR 1.56: 95% CI, 1.01-2.41). Additionally, lower levels of non-fasting TG were also significantly associated with increased risk for fatal CVD. In participants aged ≥65 years, lower levels of non-fasting TG had a stronger impact on increased risk for CVD mortality, while higher levels of non-fasting TG had a stronger impact in those aged <65 years. CONCLUSION: In a general Japanese population, we observed a U-shaped association between non-fasting TG and fatal CVD events.

Relationship Between Calcium Intake and Impaired Activities of Daily Living in a Japanese Population: NIPPON DATA90.

BACKGROUND: Major reasons for long-term care insurance certification in Japan are stroke, dementia, and fracture. These diseases are reported to be associated with calcium intake. This study examined the association between calcium intake and impaired activities of daily living (ADL) using the data from NIPPON DATA90, consisting of representative sample of the Japanese population. METHODS: A population-based nested case-control study was performed. A baseline survey was conducted in 1990, followed by ADL surveys of individuals ≥65 years old in 2000. Individuals with impaired ADL and selected age- and sex-matched controls were then identified. We obtained 132 pairs. Calcium intake was energy-adjusted using the residual method. The association between calcium intake and impaired ADL was examined using conditional logistic regression models. To assess the accuracy of the estimates, we conducted bootstrap analyses. RESULTS: The adjusted odds ratios (ORs) for impaired ADL compared with the group with a calcium intake of <476 mg/day were 0.72 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.37-1.40) for the 476-606 mg/day group and 0.44 (95% CI, 0.21-0.94) for the ≥607 mg/day group in 2000 (P for linear trend = 0.03). After the bootstrap analyses, the inverse relationship unchanged (median OR per 100-mg rise in calcium intake, 0.87 [1,000 resamplings]; 95% CI, 0.76-0.97). CONCLUSIONS: After bootstrap analyses, calcium intake was inversely associated with impaired ADL 10 years after the baseline survey.

Exercise Habits Are Associated with Improved Long-Term Mortality Risks in the Nationwide General Japanese Population: A 20-Year Follow-Up of the NIPPON DATA90 Study.

Exercise habits are known as a protective factor for a variety of diseases and thus recommended worldwide; however, few studies have examined long-term effects of exercise habits on mortality. We continuously monitored death status in a nationwide population sample of 7,709 eligible persons from the National Integrated Project for Prospective Observation of Noncommunicable Disease and its Trends in the Aged in 1990 (NIPPON DATA90), for which baseline data were obtained in 1990. To investigate the long-term impact of baseline exercise habits, we calculated the relative risk of non-exercisers (participants without regular voluntary exercise habits) in reference to exercisers (those with these habits) for all-cause or cause-specific mortality using a Cox proportional hazard model, in which the following confounding factors were appropriately adjusted: sex, age, body mass index, total energy intake, smoking, drinking, and history of cardiovascular disease. During a median 20 years of follow-up, 1,747 participants died, 99 of heart failure. The risk for all-cause mortality was 12% higher in non-exercisers than in exercisers (95% confidence interval, 1%-24%), which was also observed for mortality from heart failure, as 68% higher in non-exercisers than in exercises (95% confidence interval, 3%-173%). These associations were similarly observed when the participants were divided to subgroups by sex, age, and the light, moderate, or vigorous intensity of physical activity, without any significant heterogeneities (P > 0.1). The present study has revealed significant impact of exercise habits on long-term mortality risks, supporting worldwide recommendations for improvement of exercise habits.

Association of Work Situation With Cardiovascular Disease Mortality Risk Among Working-Age Japanese Men　- A 20-Year Follow-up of NIPPON DATA90.

BACKGROUND: Several cohort studies have demonstrated an association between socioeconomic status (SES) and health outcomes in Japan. As long-term employment is common in Japan, the size of the company may be related to cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality risk. We examined the association of employment conditions with CVD mortality risk among working-age Japanese men (30-59 years, n=2,091).Methods and Results:We used 20-year follow-up data from NIPPON DATA90, for which baseline data were obtained from the 4th National Survey on Circulatory Disorders in 1990. Participants were classified into 4 groups: 3 strata for indefinite-term employees according to company size (large company/public office, moderate-sized, or small), and the self-employed/administrator group. Multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) were adjusted for age, lifestyle, and CVD risk factors. Smokers were more common, habitual exercise was less common, and the average systolic blood pressure was higher among indefinite-term employees of small companies compared with employees at large companies/public offices. There was no significant difference in the total CVD mortality risk between indefinite-term employees and self-employed/administrator participants. The age-adjusted HR (95% confidence interval) for total CVD using indefinite-term employees of large companies/public office as a reference was 2.53 (1.12, 5.69) for employees of small companies. CONCLUSIONS: Working as an indefinite-term employee at a small company in Japan was significantly associated with elevated risk of CVD mortality among Japanese men.

Socioeconomic and lifestyle factors associated with depressive tendencies in general Japanese men and women: NIPPON DATA2010.

BACKGROUND: The gender-specific characteristics of individuals at an increased risk of developing depression currently remain unclear despite a higher prevalence of depression in women than in men. This study clarified socioeconomic and lifestyle factors associated with an increased risk of subclinical depression in general Japanese men and women. METHODS: Study participants were residents not receiving psychiatric treatments in 300 sites throughout Japan in 2010 (1152 men, 1529 women). Multivariable-adjusted odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (95%CIs) for socioeconomic factors and lifestyle factors were calculated using a logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: Risk of depressive tendencies was significantly higher in men who were single and living alone (OR, 3.27; 95% CI, 1.56-6.88) than those married. The risk was significantly lower in women who were not working and aged ≥ 60 years (OR, 0.39; 95% CI, 0.22-0.68) and higher in men who were not working and aged < 60 years (OR, 3.57; 95%CI, 1.31-9.72) compared with those who were working. Current smoking was also associated with a significantly increased risk of depressive tendencies in women (OR, 2.96; 95% CI, 1.68-5.22) but not in men. CONCLUSIONS: Socioeconomic and lifestyle factors were associated with an increased risk of depressive tendencies in general Japanese. Related factors were different by sex.

Short-Lived Radioisotope

The isotope ^{98}Tc decays to ^{98}Ru with a half-life of 4.2×10^{6} yr and could have been present in the early Solar System. In this Letter, we report on the first calculations of the production of ^{98}Tc by neutrino-induced reactions in core-collapse supernovae (the ν process). Our predicted ^{98}Tc abundance at the time of solar system formation is not much lower than the current measured upper limit raising the possibility for its detection in the not too distant future. We show that, if the initial abundance were to be precisely measured, the ^{98}Tc nuclear cosmochronometer could be used to evaluate a much more precise value of the duration time from the last core-collapse supernova to the formation of the solar system. Moreover, a unique and novel feature of the ^{98}Tc ν-process nucleosynthesis is the large contribution (∼20%) from charged current reactions with electron antineutrinos. This means that ^{98}Tc becomes a unique new ν-process probe of the temperature of the electron antineutrinos.

Relationships among Socioeconomic Factors and Self-rated Health in Japanese Adults: NIPPON DATA2010.

BACKGROUND: The distributions of socioeconomic status (SES) factors have been changing in Japan. We examined the relationships among SES and self-rated health (SRH) in Japanese adults. METHODS: We analyzed 1,178 men and 1,555 women. We showed the distribution of SRH by sex and age and examined cross-sectional relationships among educational attainment, marital/living statuses, working status, household income and expenditure, and fine SRH (defined as excellent, very good, or good). We adjusted for age, subjective symptoms, visiting doctors, monthly equivalent household expenditure (EHE), and living in their own house. RESULTS: The age-standardized prevalence of fine SRH was 79% and 73% among men and women, respectively. Among men, graduating from high school (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.53; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.07-2.19, relative to graduating from elementary or junior high school) and university or junior college (aOR 1.74; 95% CI, 1.15-2.62) was associated with fine SRH. Among women, graduating from university or junior college was associated with fine SRH (aOR 1.65; 95% CI, 1.12-2.46). Neither marital/living status nor working status was associated with SRH after adjustments for age in either sex. Among women, high EHE and income were associated with fine SRH (the highest expenditure group: aOR 1.80; 95% CI, 1.22-2.65; the highest income group: aOR 2.15; 95% CI, 1.34-3.46, relative to the corresponding lowest group). These simple relationships were not observed for men. CONCLUSIONS: High educational attainment was associated with fine SRH. Relationships among household income, EHE, and fine SRH differed by sex.

Differences in Lifestyle Improvements With the Intention to Prevent Cardiovascular Diseases by Socioeconomic Status in a Representative Japanese Population: NIPPON DATA2010.

BACKGROUND: The relationships among socioeconomic status and lifestyle improvements have not yet been examined in a representative Japanese population. METHODS: We analyzed data from 2,647 participants (1,087 men and 1,560 women) who participated in NIPPON DATA2010. This survey inquired about lifestyle improvements and socioeconomic status. Education was categorized as low (≤9 years), middle (10-12 years), and high (≥13 years). Marital status was categorized as married, divorced, widowed, and never married/other. A multivariable logistic regression model was used to calculate the odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of lifestyle improvements with the intention of preventing cardiovascular diseases for educational attainment and marital status, with adjustments for age and awareness of cardiovascular disease risk factors. RESULTS: Overall, 1,507 (56.9%) participants practiced prevention and improvements in hypertension, diabetes, elevated cholesterol, and metabolic syndrome, and the OR of lifestyle improvements was significantly higher with a high education than with a low education in men (OR 2.86; 95% CI, 1.96-4.17) and women (OR 2.36; 95% CI, 1.67-3.33). The number of participants who practiced prevention and improvements in hypertension, diabetes, elevated cholesterol, and metabolic syndrome was significantly lower in divorced than in married men (OR 0.46; 95% CI, 0.22-0.95) and women (OR 0.53; 95% CI, 0.33-0.86). CONCLUSIONS: Specific differences caused by educational attainment and marital status may exist in lifestyle improvements.

Characteristics of facial expression recognition ability in patients with Lewy body disease.

BACKGROUND: The facial expression of medical staff has been known to greatly affect the psychological state of patients, making them feel uneasy or conversely, cheering them up. By clarifying the characteristics of facial expression recognition ability in patients with Lewy body disease, the aim of this study is to examine points to facilitate smooth communication between caregivers and patients with the disease whose cognitive function has deteriorated. METHODS: During the period from March 2016 to July 2017, we examined the characteristics of recognition of the six facial expressions of "happiness," "sadness," "fear," "anger," "surprise," and "disgust" for 107 people aged 60 years or more, both outpatient and inpatient, who hospital specialists had diagnosed with Lewy body diseases of Parkinson's disease, Parkinson's disease with dementia, and dementia with Lewy bodies. Based on facial expression recognition test results, we classified them by cluster analysis and clarified features of each type. RESULTS: In patients with Lewy body disease, happiness was kept unaffected by aging, age of onset, duration of the disease, cognitive function, and apathy; however, recognizing the facial expression of fear was difficult. In addition, due to aging, cognitive decline, and apathy, the facial expression recognition ability for sadness and anger decreased. In particular, cognitive decline reduced recognition of all of the facial expressions except for happiness. The test accuracy rates were classified into three types using the cluster analysis: "stable type," "mixed type," and "reduced type". In the "reduced type", the overall facial recognition ability declined except happiness, and in the mixed type, recognition ability of anger particularly declined. CONCLUSION: There were several facial expressions that the Lewy body disease patients were unable to accurately identify. Caregivers are recommended to make an effort to compensate for such situations with language or body contact, etc., as a way to convey correct feeling to the patients of each type.

Possible Precise Measurement of Delbrück Scattering Using Polarized Photon Beams.

The advent of high-flux-polarized γ-ray sources makes possible the nearly isolated precise measurement of the vacuum contribution, Delbrück scattering, to the elastic scattering of these photons off nuclei. Because of the fact that the elastic scattering of the photons is a coherent summation of four processes and that up to now unpolarized sources have been used, the isolated measurement of Delbrück scattering has not been performed. We show that for the appropriate choice of scattering angles, photon polarization, and energies this scattering can be measured nearly independently of other scattering processes. This makes possible the precise measurement of the vacuum contribution to scattering and the possibility of the detection of new physics.

Comparison of predictive value for first cardiovascular event between Japanese GFR equation and coefficient-modified CKD-EPI equation.

BACKGROUND: The most superior GFR-estimating equation from the viewpoint of cardiovascular disease (CVD) prediction remains unclear. Thus, we performed cross-sectional comparison between two GFR-estimating equations (Japanese GFR equation and coefficient-modified CKD-EPI equation) and CVD incidence using Japanese nationwide "specific health checkup" data. METHODS: We recruited Japanese residents (241,159 individuals; mean 63 years; male, 38.6 %) who had not experienced CVD event (cardiac disease or stroke, or both). We calculated estimated GFR using two equations, and compared their predictive value for first symptomatic CVD event within 1 year. RESULTS: Of all subjects, the mean GFR estimated by the Japanese GFR equation (JPN-eGFR) modified for Japanese was 75.83 ± 16.18 mL/min/1.73 m(2), and that by the coefficient-modified CKD-EPI equation (mCKDEPI-eGFR) was 76.39 ± 9.61 mL/min/1.73 m(2). Area under the receiver operating characteristics curves (95 % confidence intervals) for predicting CVD event by mCKDEPI-eGFR vs. JPN-eGFR were 0.596 (0.589-0.603) vs. 0.562 (0.554-0.569). Using mCKDEPI-eGFR, the crude odds ratio (OR) for CVD incident in the 4th quartile group was far more than double (OR 2.46, 95 % CI 2.29-2.66) that in the 1st quartile group. Using JPN-eGFR, the crude OR in the 4th quartile group was less than double (OR 1.61, 95 % CI 1.51-1.73) that in the 1st quartile group. However, such superior predictive value of mCKDEPI-eGFR disappeared after adjustment for confounding factors (age, gender, BMI, presence of proteinuria, hypertension, diabetes, dyslipidemia and current smoking). CONCLUSION: GFR estimated by the coefficient-modified CKD-EPI equation was more closely related to CVD incidence than that estimated by the Japanese GFR equation. However, it is possible that low mCKDEPI-eGFR also reflects some cardiovascular risk(s) other than kidney dysfunction.

Low-carbohydrate diets and cardiovascular and total mortality in Japanese: a 29-year follow-up of NIPPON DATA80.

Long-term safety of consuming low-carbohydrate diets (LCD) in Asian populations, whose carbohydrate intake is relatively high, is not known. In the present study, the association of LCD with CVD and total mortality was assessed using data obtained in the NIPPON DATA80 (National Integrated Project for Prospective Observation of Non-communicable Disease and Its Trends in the Aged 1980) during 29 years of follow-up. At baseline in 1980, data were collected from study participants aged ≥ 30 years from randomly selected areas in Japan. LCD scores were calculated based on the percentage of energy as carbohydrate, fat and protein, estimated by 3 d weighed food records. A total of 9200 participants (56% women, mean age 51 years) were followed up. During the follow-up, 1171 CVD deaths (52% in women) and 3443 total deaths (48% in women) occurred. The multivariable-adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for CVD mortality using the Cox model comparing the highest v. lowest deciles of LCD score was 0·60 (95% CI 0·38, 0·94; P(trend) = 0·021) for women and 0·78 (95% CI 0·58, 1·05; P(trend) = 0·079) for women and men combined; the HR for total mortality was 0·74 (95% CI 0·57, 0·95; P(trend) = 0·029) for women and 0·87 (95% CI 0·74, 1·02; P(trend) = 0·090) for women and men combined. None of the associations was statistically significant in men. No differential effects of animal-based and plant-fish-based LCD were observed. In conclusions, moderate diets lower in carbohydrate and higher in protein and fat are significantly inversely associated with CVD and total mortality in women.

[Prediction of future cost savings in long-term care and medical care if Japan achieves the health expectancy target of Health Japan 21 (second term)].

OBJECTIVES: An earlier study using the data from the Japanese Long-term Care Insurance (LTCI) system reported a scenario for achieving the target of Health Japan 21 (the second term): future gains in health expectancy from 2011 to 2020 must be larger than gains in expectancy. According to this scenario (the Healthy Life Expectancy Extension Scenario), the proportion of disability (cases≥Care Level 2 in LTCI disability certification) will gradually decrease by 1% per year from 2011. The purpose of this study was to estimate the cost savings in long-term care and medical care if the Healthy Life Expectancy Extension Scenario is achieved. METHODS: We used data from Japanese national statistics and a survey conducted in Osaki city, Miyagi. The natural course of disability cases (≥Care Level 2) was estimated under the assumption that the future population composition would be equal to the population projections for Japan and the future proportion of disabilities for each age grade would be equal to that of 2010. Then, the decrease in the number of disabilities based on the Healthy Life Expectancy Extension Scenario was calculated. Finally, the cost savings in long-term care and medical care associated with the assumed decrease in the number of disability cases was calculated. RESULTS: When the disability cases (≥Care Level 2) were shifted to "no disability certification (not requiring care)," a total estimated cost reduction of 5,291 billion yen was achieved from 2011 to 2020. Furthermore, a total estimated reduction of 2,491 billion yen was achieved for the same period when all disability shifts to "Care Level 1" were accounted for. CONCLUSION: As a rough calculation, if the Health Japan 21 (second term) target is achieved, approximately 2,500-5,300 billion yen will be saved in the cost of long-term care and medical care.

High blood pressure and colorectal cancer mortality in a 29-year follow-up of the Japanese general population: NIPPON DATA80.

Onco-hypertension has been proposed, although associations of high blood pressure (BP) with cancer risk remain inconsistent. We examined associations of high BP with risk of mortality from stomach, lung, colorectal, liver, and pancreatic cancers independent of possible confounders in an analysis that excluded deaths within the first 5 years of follow-up to consider the reverse causality. In a prospective cohort representative of the general Japanese population (1980-2009), we studied 8088 participants (mean age, 48.2 years; 56.0% women) without clinical cardiovascular disease or antihypertensive medication at baseline. Fine-Gray competing risks regression was used to estimate hazard ratios for 10 mmHg higher BP adjusted for confounders including smoking, alcohol-drinking, obesity, and diabetes mellitus. During 29-year follow-up, 159 (2.0%), 159 (2.0%), 89 (1.1%), 86 (1.1%), and 68 (0.8%) participants died from stomach, lung, colorectal, liver, and pancreatic cancers, respectively. We observed a positive association of high BP with risk of colorectal cancer mortality but not with mortality risks from any other cancers. The association with colorectal cancer mortality for systolic and diastolic BP was evident in those aged 30-49 years (hazard ratios 1.43 [95% confidence interval, 1.22-1.67] and 1.86 [1.32-2.62], respectively) but not in those aged 50-59 years and ≥60 years (P for age interaction <0.01 for systolic and diastolic BP). The associations with colorectal cancer mortality were similar in the analyses stratified by smoking, alcohol-drinking, obesity, and diabetic status. In conclusion, high BP among young to middle-aged adults was independently associated with risk of colorectal cancer mortality later in life.

Consumption of dairy products and death from cardiovascular disease in the Japanese general population: the NIPPON DATA80.

BACKGROUND: Recent Western studies show an inverse association between milk and dairy product intake and cardiovascular disease (CVD). We studied the association between consumption of milk and dairy products and CVD death in Japan. METHODS: Men and women aged 30 years or older were followed for 24 years. All had participated in a national nutrition survey in 300 health districts throughout Japan in 1980. The Cox proportional hazards model was used to assess mortality risk according to tertiles of milk and dairy product intake, with the high consumption group as reference. Hazard ratios (HRs) per 100-g/day increase in consumption were also estimated. RESULTS: During the 24-year follow-up period, there were 893 CVD deaths, 174 deaths from coronary heart disease (CHD), and 417 stroke deaths among 9243 participants. For women, the HRs for death from CVD, CHD, and stroke in the low consumption group were 1.27 (95% CI: 0.99-1.58; P for trend = 0.045), 1.67 (0.99-2.80; P = 0.02), and 1.34 (0.94-1.90; P = 0.08), respectively, after adjustment for age, body mass index, smoking status, alcohol drinking habits, history of diabetes, use of antihypertensives, work category, and total energy intake. With each 100-g/day increase in consumption of milk and dairy products, HRs tended to decrease for deaths from CVD (HR, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.74-0.99), CHD (0.73; 0.52-1.03), and stroke (0.81; 0.65-1.01) in women. No significant association was observed in men. CONCLUSIONS: Consumption of milk and dairy products was inversely associated with CVD death among women in Japan.

Preventive behaviours against radiation and related factors among general workers after Fukushima's nuclear disasters.

BACKGROUND: The nuclear power plant accidents in Fukushima resulted in a widespread release of radioactive substances in the Fukushima prefecture. AIM: To clarify what factors led to precautions among general workers who displayed preventive behaviours against radiation following the nuclear disasters in Fukushima. METHODS: Descriptive study of preventive behaviours among general workers 3-5 months following the nuclear disasters. The subjects were 1394 regular workers who took part in radiation seminars conducted by the Fukushima Occupational Health Promotion Center between July and August 2011. Of 1217 responses, 1110 eligible responses were included in this study. This anonymous questionnaire survey was asking for characteristics and questions on preventive behaviours following the nuclear disasters. The authors assessed the contribution of each variable by a logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: Keeping track of environmental radiation levels and washing hands and gargling were significantly more frequent among female subjects, older age and workers residing up to approximately 80 km away from the power plants. Washing hands and gargling were also related with living with children. Wearing a mask when leaving home and buying bottled water were significantly more often observed with female subjects and workers residing up to 80 km. Refraining from going outdoors was positively associated with workers residing up to 80 km and workers living with children. CONCLUSIONS: These results provide information that may help with the targeting of health information after a nuclear disaster. This may contribute to determining an order of priority when distributing information after a nuclear disaster.

[Future prediction of health expectancy considering the target of Health Japan 21 (the second term)].

OBJECTIVES: We attempted to predict health expectancy in Japan for the period between 2011 and 2020, considering the target of Health Japan 21 (the second term) that future gains in health expectancy be larger than in life expectancy. METHODS: We used data from Japanese national statistics. Health expectancy between 2011 and 2020 was predicted using the Sullivan method under the assumption that future mortality was equal to the estimate in Population Projections for Japan (January 2012), and under three scenarios of future prevalence of bad health status. RESULTS: The numbers of expected years without activity limitation at birth for males and females in 2020 were predicted as 71.2 and 74.3, respectively, under the scenario that prevalence of activity limitation was constant since 2010; 71.4 and 74.5 under the scenario that the prevalence followed the recent trend; and 71.7 and 74.9 under the scenario that the prevalence decreased with such a rate that future gains in health expectancy were equal to in life expectancy. The rate of decrease in the prevalence in 2010-2020 in the last scenario was estimated to be 0.95 in males and 0.96 in females. The numbers of expected years with subjective well-being at birth in 2020 predicted under above three scenarios were between 69.5 and 71.2 in males and between 72.9 and 74.6 in females. The rate of decrease in the last scenario was estimated to be 0.96 in males and 0.97 in females. The numbers of expected years without care needs at age 65 in 2020 predicted under above three scenarios were between 18.0-18.2 in males and between 21.2-21.5 in females. The rate of decrease in the last scenario was estimated to be 0.90 in males and 0.91 in females. CONCLUSION: The health expectancy in 2011-2020 was predicted under some scenarios of future prevalence of bad health status. The rate of decrease in the future prevalence of bad health status was estimated with a view to the accomplishment of the target of Health Japan 21 (the second term).