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1.
Biometrics ; 79(4): 3998-4011, 2023 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37587671

RESUMO

To optimize the use of data from a small number of subjects in rare disease trials, an at first sight advantageous design is the repeated measures cross-over design. However, it is unclear how these within-treatment period and within-subject clustered data are best analyzed in small-sample trials. In a real-data simulation study based upon a recent epidermolysis bullosa simplex trial using this design, we compare non-parametric marginal models, generalized pairwise comparison models, GEE-type models and parametric model averaging for both repeated binary and count data. The recommendation of which methodology to use in rare disease trials with a repeated measures cross-over design depends on the type of outcome and the number of time points the treatment has an effect on. The non-parametric marginal model testing the treatment-time-interaction effect is suitable for detecting between group differences in the shapes of the longitudinal profiles. For binary outcomes with the treatment effect on a single time point, the parametric model averaging method is recommended, while in the other cases the unmatched generalized pairwise comparison methodology is recommended. Both provide an easily interpretable effect size measure, and do not require exclusion of periods or subjects due to incompleteness.


Assuntos
Modelos Estatísticos , Doenças Raras , Humanos , Estudos Cross-Over , Interpretação Estatística de Dados , Projetos de Pesquisa
2.
J Pharmacokinet Pharmacodyn ; 50(5): 411-423, 2023 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37488327

RESUMO

Simulations from population models have critical applications in drug discovery and development. Avatars or digital twins, defined as individual simulations matching clinical criteria of interest compared to observations from a real subject within a predefined margin of accuracy, may be a better option for simulations performed to inform future drug development stages in cases where an adequate model is not achievable. The aim of this work was to (1) investigate methods for generating avatars with pharmacometric models, and (2) explore the properties of the generated avatars to assess the impact of the different selection settings on the number of avatars per subject, their closeness to the individual observations, and the properties of the selected samples subset from the theoretical model parameters probability density function. Avatars were generated using different combinations of nature and number of clinical criteria, accuracy of agreement, and/or number of simulations for two examples models previously published (hemato-toxicity and integrated glucose-insulin model). The avatar distribution could be used to assess the appropriateness of the models assumed parameter distribution. Similarly it could be used to assess the models ability to properly describe the trajectories of the observations. Avatars can give nuanced information regarding the ability of a model to simulate data similar to the observations both at the population and at the individual level. Further potential applications for avatars may be as a diagnostic tool, an alternative to simulations with insurance to replicate key clinical features, and as an individual measure of model fit.

3.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31871093

RESUMO

Ethionamide has proven efficacy against both drug-susceptible and some drug-resistant strains of Mycobacterium tuberculosis Limited information on its pharmacokinetics in children is available, and current doses are extrapolated from weight-based adult doses. Pediatric doses based on more robust evidence are expected to improve antituberculosis treatment, especially in small children. In this analysis, ethionamide concentrations in children from 2 observational clinical studies conducted in Cape Town, South Africa, were pooled. All children received ethionamide once daily at a weight-based dose of approximately 20 mg/kg of body weight (range, 10.4 to 25.3 mg/kg) in combination with other first- or second-line antituberculosis medications and with antiretroviral therapy in cases of HIV coinfection. Pharmacokinetic parameters were estimated using nonlinear mixed-effects modeling. The MDR-PK1 study contributed data for 110 children on treatment for multidrug-resistant tuberculosis, while the DATiC study contributed data for 9 children treated for drug-susceptible tuberculosis. The median age of the children in the studies combined was 2.6 years (range, 0.23 to 15 years), and the median weight was 12.5 kg (range, 2.5 to 66 kg). A one-compartment, transit absorption model with first-order elimination best described ethionamide pharmacokinetics in children. Allometric scaling of clearance (typical value, 8.88 liters/h), the volume of distribution (typical value, 21.4 liters), and maturation of clearance and absorption improved the model fit. HIV coinfection decreased the ethionamide bioavailability by 22%, rifampin coadministration increased clearance by 16%, and ethionamide administration by use of a nasogastric tube increased the rate, but the not extent, of absorption. The developed model was used to predict pediatric doses achieving the same drug exposure achieved in 50- to 70-kg adults receiving 750-mg once-daily dosing. Based on model predictions, we recommend a weight-banded pediatric dosing scheme using scored 125-mg tablets.


Assuntos
Antituberculosos/farmacocinética , Etionamida/farmacocinética , Adolescente , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Farmacorresistência Bacteriana Múltipla , Feminino , Humanos , Lactente , Masculino , Rifampina/farmacocinética
4.
Pharm Res ; 34(5): 1125-1133, 2017 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28205004

RESUMO

PURPOSE: The aim of the current population pharmacokinetic study was to quantify oxycodone pharmacokinetics in children ranging from preterm neonates to children up to 7 years of age. METHODS: Data on intravenous or intramuscular oxycodone administration were obtained from three previously published studies (n = 119). The median [range] postmenstrual age of the subjects was 299 days [170 days-7.8 years]. A population pharmacokinetic model was built using 781 measurements of oxycodone plasma concentration. The model was used to simulate repeated intravenous oxycodone administration in four representative infants covering the age range from an extremely preterm neonate to 1-year old infant. RESULTS: The rapid maturation of oxycodone clearance was best described with combined allometric scaling and maturation function. Central and peripheral volumes of distribution were nonlinearly related to bodyweight. The simulations on repeated intravenous administration in virtual patients indicated that oxycodone plasma concentration can be kept between 10 and 50 ng/ml with a high probability when the maintenance dose is calculated using the typical clearance and the dose interval is 4 h. CONCLUSIONS: Oxycodone clearance matures rapidly after birth, and between-subject variability is pronounced in neonates. The pharmacokinetic model developed may be used to evaluate different multiple dosing regimens, but the safety of repeated doses should be ensured.


Assuntos
Analgésicos Opioides/farmacocinética , Oxicodona/farmacocinética , Fatores Etários , Peso Corporal/fisiologia , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Recém-Nascido Prematuro , Infusões Intravenosas/métodos , Taxa de Depuração Metabólica/fisiologia
5.
J Pharmacokinet Pharmacodyn ; 44(6): 611-616, 2017 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29064062

RESUMO

Optimal designs for nonlinear models are dependent on the choice of parameter values. Various methods have been proposed to provide designs that are robust to uncertainty in the prior choice of parameter values. These methods are generally based on estimating the expectation of the determinant (or a transformation of the determinant) of the information matrix over the prior distribution of the parameter values. For high dimensional models this can be computationally challenging. For nonlinear mixed-effects models the question arises as to the importance of accounting for uncertainty in the prior value of the variances of the random effects parameters. In this work we explore the influence of the variance of the random effects parameters on the optimal design. We find that the method for approximating the expectation and variance of the likelihood is of potential importance for considering the influence of random effects. The most common approximation to the likelihood, based on a first-order Taylor series approximation, yields designs that are relatively insensitive to the prior value of the variance of the random effects parameters and under these conditions it appears to be sufficient to consider uncertainty on the fixed-effects parameters only.


Assuntos
Simulação por Computador/estatística & dados numéricos , Modelos Biológicos , Dinâmica não Linear , Humanos , Modelos Estatísticos , Incerteza
6.
J Pharmacokinet Pharmacodyn ; 44(4): 317-324, 2017 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28386710

RESUMO

Optimizing designs using robust (global) optimality criteria has been shown to be a more flexible approach compared to using local optimality criteria. Additionally, model based adaptive optimal design (MBAOD) may be less sensitive to misspecification in the prior information available at the design stage. In this work, we investigate the influence of using a local (lnD) or a robust (ELD) optimality criterion for a MBAOD of a simulated dose optimization study, for rich and sparse sampling schedules. A stopping criterion for accurate effect prediction is constructed to determine the endpoint of the MBAOD by minimizing the expected uncertainty in the effect response of the typical individual. 50 iterations of the MBAODs were run using the MBAOD R-package, with the concentration from a one-compartment first-order absorption pharmacokinetic model driving the population effect response in a sigmoidal EMAX pharmacodynamics model. The initial cohort consisted of eight individuals in two groups and each additional cohort added two individuals receiving a dose optimized as a discrete covariate. The MBAOD designs using lnD and ELD optimality with misspecified initial model parameters were compared by evaluating the efficiency relative to an lnD-optimal design based on the true parameter values. For the explored example model, the MBAOD using ELD-optimal designs converged quicker to the theoretically optimal lnD-optimal design based on the true parameters for both sampling schedules. Thus, using a robust optimality criterion in MBAODs could reduce the number of adaptations required and improve the practicality of adaptive trials using optimal design.


Assuntos
Adaptação Biológica , Taxa de Depuração Metabólica/fisiologia , Modelos Biológicos , Preparações Farmacêuticas/metabolismo , Algoritmos , Humanos , Taxa de Depuração Metabólica/efeitos dos fármacos
7.
J Pharmacokinet Pharmacodyn ; 44(6): 581-597, 2017 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29103208

RESUMO

Population model-based (pharmacometric) approaches are widely used for the analyses of phase IIb clinical trial data to increase the accuracy of the dose selection for phase III clinical trials. On the other hand, if the analysis is based on one selected model, model selection bias can potentially spoil the accuracy of the dose selection process. In this paper, four methods that assume a number of pre-defined model structure candidates, for example a set of dose-response shape functions, and then combine or select those candidate models are introduced. The key hypothesis is that by combining both model structure uncertainty and model parameter uncertainty using these methodologies, we can make a more robust model based dose selection decision at the end of a phase IIb clinical trial. These methods are investigated using realistic simulation studies based on the study protocol of an actual phase IIb trial for an oral asthma drug candidate (AZD1981). Based on the simulation study, it is demonstrated that a bootstrap model selection method properly avoids model selection bias and in most cases increases the accuracy of the end of phase IIb decision. Thus, we recommend using this bootstrap model selection method when conducting population model-based decision-making at the end of phase IIb clinical trials.


Assuntos
Acetatos/administração & dosagem , Antiasmáticos/administração & dosagem , Indóis/administração & dosagem , Dinâmica não Linear , Acetatos/farmacocinética , Antiasmáticos/farmacocinética , Ensaios Clínicos Fase II como Assunto/estatística & dados numéricos , Relação Dose-Resposta a Droga , Feminino , Humanos , Indóis/farmacocinética , Masculino
8.
J Pharmacokinet Pharmacodyn ; 43(2): 223-34, 2016 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26934878

RESUMO

Estimating the power for a non-linear mixed-effects model-based analysis is challenging due to the lack of a closed form analytic expression. Often, computationally intensive Monte Carlo studies need to be employed to evaluate the power of a planned experiment. This is especially time consuming if full power versus sample size curves are to be obtained. A novel parametric power estimation (PPE) algorithm utilizing the theoretical distribution of the alternative hypothesis is presented in this work. The PPE algorithm estimates the unknown non-centrality parameter in the theoretical distribution from a limited number of Monte Carlo simulation and estimations. The estimated parameter linearly scales with study size allowing a quick generation of the full power versus study size curve. A comparison of the PPE with the classical, purely Monte Carlo-based power estimation (MCPE) algorithm for five diverse pharmacometric models showed an excellent agreement between both algorithms, with a low bias of less than 1.2 % and higher precision for the PPE. The power extrapolated from a specific study size was in a very good agreement with power curves obtained with the MCPE algorithm. PPE represents a promising approach to accelerate the power calculation for non-linear mixed effect models.


Assuntos
Algoritmos , Método de Monte Carlo , Dinâmica não Linear , Simulação por Computador , Análise de Regressão , Tamanho da Amostra
9.
J Pharmacokinet Pharmacodyn ; 43(6): 609-619, 2016 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27804003

RESUMO

With the increasing popularity of optimal design in drug development it is important to understand how the approximations and implementations of the Fisher information matrix (FIM) affect the resulting optimal designs. The aim of this work was to investigate the impact on design performance when using two common approximations to the population model and the full or block-diagonal FIM implementations for optimization of sampling points. Sampling schedules for two example experiments based on population models were optimized using the FO and FOCE approximations and the full and block-diagonal FIM implementations. The number of support points was compared between the designs for each example experiment. The performance of these designs based on simulation/estimations was investigated by computing bias of the parameters as well as through the use of an empirical D-criterion confidence interval. Simulations were performed when the design was computed with the true parameter values as well as with misspecified parameter values. The FOCE approximation and the Full FIM implementation yielded designs with more support points and less clustering of sample points than designs optimized with the FO approximation and the block-diagonal implementation. The D-criterion confidence intervals showed no performance differences between the full and block diagonal FIM optimal designs when assuming true parameter values. However, the FO approximated block-reduced FIM designs had higher bias than the other designs. When assuming parameter misspecification in the design evaluation, the FO Full FIM optimal design was superior to the FO block-diagonal FIM design in both of the examples.


Assuntos
Simulação por Computador , Descoberta de Drogas/estatística & dados numéricos , Modelos Biológicos , Modelos Estatísticos , Projetos de Pesquisa/estatística & dados numéricos , Varfarina/farmacocinética , Ensaios Clínicos como Assunto/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Varfarina/administração & dosagem
10.
Br J Clin Pharmacol ; 80(1): 116-27, 2015 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25406494

RESUMO

AIM: The simplified reference tissue model (SRTM) is used for estimation of receptor occupancy assuming that the non-displaceable binding in the reference region is identical to the brain regions of interest. The aim of this work was to extend the SRTM to also account for inter-regional differences in non-displaceable concentrations, and to investigate if this model allowed estimation of receptor occupancy using white matter as reference. It was also investigated if an apparent higher affinity in caudate compared with other brain regions, could be better explained by a difference in the extent of non-displaceable binding. METHODS: The analysis was based on a PET study in six healthy volunteers using the 5-HT1B receptor radioligand [(11)C]-AZ10419369. The radioligand was given intravenously as a tracer dose alone and following different oral doses of the 5-HT1B receptor antagonist AZD3783. Non-linear mixed effects models were developed where differences between regions in non-specific concentrations were accounted for. The properties of the models were also evaluated by means of simulation studies. RESULTS: The estimate (95% CI) of Ki(PL) was 10.2 ng ml(-1) (5.4, 15) and 10.4 ng ml(-1) (8.1, 13.6) based on the extended SRTM with white matter as reference and based on the SRTM using cerebellum as reference, respectively. The estimate (95% CI) of Ki(PL) for caudate relative to other brain regions was 55% (48, 62%). CONCLUSIONS: The extended SRTM allows consideration of white matter as reference region when no suitable grey matter region exists. AZD3783 affinity appears to be higher in the caudate compared with other brain regions.


Assuntos
Benzopiranos/metabolismo , Encéfalo/metabolismo , Modelos Biológicos , Morfolinas/metabolismo , Piperazinas/metabolismo , Ensaio Radioligante , Receptor 5-HT1B de Serotonina/metabolismo , Adulto , Radioisótopos de Carbono/metabolismo , Neuroimagem Funcional , Humanos , Masculino , Tomografia por Emissão de Pósitrons
11.
Br J Clin Pharmacol ; 79(1): 6-17, 2015 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24548174

RESUMO

Population pharmacokinetic (PK)-pharmacodynamic (PKPD) models are increasingly used in drug development and in academic research; hence, designing efficient studies is an important task. Following the first theoretical work on optimal design for nonlinear mixed-effects models, this research theme has grown rapidly. There are now several different software tools that implement an evaluation of the Fisher information matrix for population PKPD. We compared and evaluated the following five software tools: PFIM, PkStaMp, PopDes, PopED and POPT. The comparisons were performed using two models, a simple-one compartment warfarin PK model and a more complex PKPD model for pegylated interferon, with data on both concentration and response of viral load of hepatitis C virus. The results of the software were compared in terms of the standard error (SE) values of the parameters predicted from the software and the empirical SE values obtained via replicated clinical trial simulation and estimation. For the warfarin PK model and the pegylated interferon PKPD model, all software gave similar results. Interestingly, it was seen, for all software, that the simpler approximation to the Fisher information matrix, using the block diagonal matrix, provided predicted SE values that were closer to the empirical SE values than when the more complicated approximation was used (the full matrix). For most PKPD models, using any of the available software tools will provide meaningful results, avoiding cumbersome simulation and allowing design optimization.


Assuntos
Descoberta de Drogas/métodos , Farmacocinética , Software , Humanos , Modelos Biológicos , Dinâmica não Linear
12.
J Pharmacokinet Pharmacodyn ; 42(3): 211-24, 2015 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25792005

RESUMO

An understanding of the relationship between drug exposure and response is a fundamental basis for any dosing recommendation. We investigate optimal dose-selection for two different types of studies, a receptor occupancy study assessed by positron emission tomography (PET) and a dose-finding study in neuropathic pain treatment. For the PET-study, an inhibitory E-max model describes the relationship between drug exposure and displacement of a radioligand from specific receptors in the brain. The model has a mechanistic basis in the law of mass action and the affinity parameter (Ki PL ) is of primary interest. For optimization of the neuropathic pain study, the model is empirical and the exposure response curve itself is of primary interest. An alternative parameterization of the sigmoid Emax model was therefore used where the plasma concentration corresponding to the minimum relevant efficacy was estimated as a parameter. Optimal design methodology was applied using the D-optimal criterion as well as the Ds-optimal criterion where parameters of interest were defined. For the PET-study it was shown that the precision of Ki PL can be improved by inclusion of brain regions with both high and low receptor density and that the need for high doses is reduced when a brain region with low receptor density is included in the analysis. In the case of the neuropathic pain study it was shown that a Ds-optimal study design using the reparameterized Emax model can improve the precision in the minimum effective dose compared to a D-optimal design.


Assuntos
Analgésicos/metabolismo , Modelos Biológicos , Neuralgia/diagnóstico por imagem , Neuralgia/metabolismo , Tomografia por Emissão de Pósitrons/estatística & dados numéricos , Receptores de Superfície Celular/metabolismo , Analgésicos/farmacologia , Analgésicos/uso terapêutico , Encéfalo/diagnóstico por imagem , Encéfalo/efeitos dos fármacos , Encéfalo/metabolismo , Relação Dose-Resposta a Droga , Humanos , Neuralgia/tratamento farmacológico , Resultado do Tratamento
13.
J Nutr ; 144(11): 1674-80, 2014 Nov.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25332465

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Alkylresorcinols have proven to be useful biomarkers of whole-grain wheat and rye intake in many nutritional studies. To improve their utility, more knowledge regarding the fate of alkylresorcinols and their metabolites after consumption is needed. OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to develop a combined pharmacokinetic model for plasma concentrations of alkylresorcinols and their 2 major metabolites, 3,5-dihydroxybenzoic acid (DHBA) and 3-(3,5-dihydroxyphenyl)-propanoic acid (DHPPA). METHODS: The model was established by using plasma samples collected from 3 women and 2 men after a single dose (120 g) of rye bran and validated against fasting plasma concentrations from 8 women and 7 men with controlled rye bran intake (23, 45, or 90 g/d). Alkylresorcinols in the lymph and plasma of a pig fed a single alkylresorcinol dose (1.3 mmol) were quantified to assess absorption. Human ileostomal effluent and pig bile after high and low alkylresorcinol doses were analyzed to evaluate biliary alkylresorcinol metabolite excretion. RESULTS: The model contained 2 absorption compartments: 1 that transferred alkylresorcinols directly to the systematic circulation and 1 in which a proportion of absorbed alkylresorcinols was metabolized before reaching the systemic circulation. Plasma concentrations of alkylresorcinols and their metabolites depended on absorption and formation, respectively, and the mean ± SEM terminal elimination half-life of alkylresorcinols (1.9 ± 0.59 h), DHPPA (1.5 ± 0.26 h), and DHBA (1.3 ± 0.22 h) did not differ. The model accurately predicted alkylresorcinol and DHBA concentrations after repeated alkylresorcinol intake but DHPPA concentration was overpredicted, possibly because of poorly modeled enterohepatic circulation. During the 8 h following administration, <2% of the alkylresorcinol dose was recovered in the lymph. DHPPA was identified in both human ileostomal effluent and pig bile, indicating availability of DHPPA for absorption and enterohepatic circulation. CONCLUSION: Intact alkylresorcinols have advantages over DHBA and DHPPA as plasma biomarkers for whole-grain wheat and rye intake because of lower susceptibility to factors other than alkylresorcinol intake.


Assuntos
Modelos Biológicos , Resorcinóis/química , Resorcinóis/farmacocinética , Animais , Bile/química , Bile/metabolismo , Feminino , Humanos , Hidroxibenzoatos/sangue , Hidroxibenzoatos/metabolismo , Mucosa Intestinal/metabolismo , Fígado/metabolismo , Linfa/química , Linfa/metabolismo , Masculino , Ácidos Fenilpirúvicos , Resorcinóis/sangue , Resorcinóis/metabolismo , Secale/química , Suínos
14.
Pharm Res ; 31(8): 2152-65, 2014 Aug.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24595495

RESUMO

PURPOSE: This work investigates improved utilization of ADAS-cog data (the primary outcome in Alzheimer's disease (AD) trials of mild and moderate AD) by combining pharmacometric modeling and item response theory (IRT). METHODS: A baseline IRT model characterizing the ADAS-cog was built based on data from 2,744 individuals. Pharmacometric methods were used to extend the baseline IRT model to describe longitudinal ADAS-cog scores from an 18-month clinical study with 322 patients. Sensitivity of the ADAS-cog items in different patient populations as well as the power to detect a drug effect in relation to total score based methods were assessed with the IRT based model. RESULTS: IRT analysis was able to describe both total and item level baseline ADAS-cog data. Longitudinal data were also well described. Differences in the information content of the item level components could be quantitatively characterized and ranked for mild cognitively impairment and mild AD populations. Based on clinical trial simulations with a theoretical drug effect, the IRT method demonstrated a significantly higher power to detect drug effect compared to the traditional method of analysis. CONCLUSION: A combined framework of IRT and pharmacometric modeling permits a more effective and precise analysis than total score based methods and therefore increases the value of ADAS-cog data.


Assuntos
Doença de Alzheimer/tratamento farmacológico , Doença de Alzheimer/epidemiologia , Ensaios Clínicos Fase III como Assunto/normas , Bases de Dados Factuais/normas , Modelos Biológicos , Estatística como Assunto/normas , Doença de Alzheimer/psicologia , Atorvastatina , Transtornos Cognitivos/tratamento farmacológico , Transtornos Cognitivos/epidemiologia , Ácidos Heptanoicos/uso terapêutico , Humanos , Estudos Longitudinais , Pirróis/uso terapêutico
15.
J Pharmacokinet Pharmacodyn ; 41(6): 639-54, 2014 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25308776

RESUMO

D-optimal designs for discrete-type responses have been derived using generalized linear mixed models, simulation based methods and analytical approximations for computing the fisher information matrix (FIM) of non-linear mixed effect models with homogeneous probabilities over time. In this work, D-optimal designs using an analytical approximation of the FIM for a dichotomous, non-homogeneous, Markov-chain phase advanced sleep non-linear mixed effect model was investigated. The non-linear mixed effect model consisted of transition probabilities of dichotomous sleep data estimated as logistic functions using piecewise linear functions. Theoretical linear and nonlinear dose effects were added to the transition probabilities to modify the probability of being in either sleep stage. D-optimal designs were computed by determining an analytical approximation the FIM for each Markov component (one where the previous state was awake and another where the previous state was asleep). Each Markov component FIM was weighted either equally or by the average probability of response being awake or asleep over the night and summed to derive the total FIM (FIM(total)). The reference designs were placebo, 0.1, 1-, 6-, 10- and 20-mg dosing for a 2- to 6-way crossover study in six dosing groups. Optimized design variables were dose and number of subjects in each dose group. The designs were validated using stochastic simulation/re-estimation (SSE). Contrary to expectations, the predicted parameter uncertainty obtained via FIM(total) was larger than the uncertainty in parameter estimates computed by SSE. Nevertheless, the D-optimal designs decreased the uncertainty of parameter estimates relative to the reference designs. Additionally, the improvement for the D-optimal designs were more pronounced using SSE than predicted via FIM(total). Through the use of an approximate analytic solution and weighting schemes, the FIM(total) for a non-homogeneous, dichotomous Markov-chain phase advanced sleep model was computed and provided more efficient trial designs and increased nonlinear mixed-effects modeling parameter precision.


Assuntos
Fases do Sono/fisiologia , Sono/fisiologia , Ensaios Clínicos como Assunto , Simulação por Computador , Estudos Cross-Over , Humanos , Cadeias de Markov , Modelos Teóricos , Probabilidade , Projetos de Pesquisa
16.
J Pharmacokinet Pharmacodyn ; 41(3): 223-38, 2014 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24801864

RESUMO

NONMEM is the most widely used software for population pharmacokinetic (PK)-pharmacodynamic (PD) analyses. The latest version, NONMEM 7 (NM7), includes several sampling-based estimation methods in addition to the classical methods. In this study, performance of the estimation methods available in NM7 was investigated with respect to bias, precision, robustness and runtime for a diverse set of PD models. Simulations of 500 data sets from each PD model were reanalyzed with the available estimation methods to investigate bias and precision. Simulations of 100 data sets were used to investigate robustness by comparing final estimates obtained after estimations starting from the true parameter values and initial estimates randomly generated using the CHAIN feature in NM7. Average estimation time for each algorithm and each model was calculated from the runtimes reported by NM7. The method giving the lowest bias and highest precision across models was importance sampling, closely followed by FOCE/LAPLACE and stochastic approximation expectation-maximization. The methods relative robustness differed between models and no method showed clear superior performance. FOCE/LAPLACE was the method with the shortest runtime for all models, followed by iterative two-stage. The Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo method, used in this study for point estimation, performed worst in all tested metrics.


Assuntos
Viés , Farmacocinética , Software/normas , Algoritmos , Humanos , Imidazóis/farmacologia , Modelos Estatísticos , Norepinefrina/metabolismo , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Simpatolíticos/farmacologia
17.
CPT Pharmacometrics Syst Pharmacol ; 13(2): 270-280, 2024 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37946698

RESUMO

Pharmacokinetic (PK) studies in children are usually small and have ethical constraints due to the medical complexities of drawing blood in this special population. Often, population PK models for the drug(s) of interest are available in adults, and these models can be extended to incorporate the expected deviations seen in children. As a consequence, there is increasing interest in the use of optimal design methodology to design PK sampling schemes in children that maximize information using a small sample size and limited number of sampling times per dosing period. As a case study, we use the novel tuberculosis drug delamanid, and show how applications of optimal design methodology can result in highly efficient and model-robust designs in children for estimating PK parameters using a limited number of sampling measurements. Using developed population PK models based on available data from adults living with and without HIV, and limited data on children without HIV, competing designs for children living with HIV were derived and assessed based on robustness to model uncertainty.


Assuntos
Infecções por HIV , Modelos Biológicos , Criança , Adulto , Humanos , Tamanho da Amostra , Infecções por HIV/tratamento farmacológico
18.
Drug Deliv Transl Res ; 14(1): 266-279, 2024 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37505373

RESUMO

The production of solid lipid nanoparticles (SLNs) is challenging, especially when considering the incorporation of biologics. A novel in-house method of microfluidic production of biologic-encapsulated SLNs is proposed, using a variety of base materials for formulation to help overcome the barriers presented during manufacture and administration. Trypsin is used as a model drug for hydrophilic encapsulation whilst testosterone is employed as a positive non-biologic lipophilic control active pharmaceutical ingredient. Particle sizes obtained ranged from 160 to 320 nm, and a lead formulation has been identified from the combinations assayed, allowing for high encapsulation efficiencies (47-90%, respectively) of both the large hydrophilic and the small hydrophobic active pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs). Drug release profiles were analysed in vitro to provide useful insight into sustained kinetics, providing data towards future in vivo studies, which displayed a slow prolonged release for testosterone and a quicker burst release for trypsin. The study represents a large leap forward in the field of SLN production, especially in the field of difficult-to-encapsulate molecules, and the technique also benefits from being more environmentally sustainable due to the use of microfluidics.


Assuntos
Microfluídica , Nanopartículas , Lipídeos/química , Tripsina , Nanopartículas/química , Esteroides , Testosterona , Tamanho da Partícula , Portadores de Fármacos/química
19.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38769902

RESUMO

The Scale for the Assessment and Rating of Ataxia (SARA) is widely used for assessing the severity and progression of genetic cerebellar ataxias. SARA is now considered a primary end point in several ataxia treatment trials, but its underlying composite item measurement model has not yet been tested. This work aimed to evaluate the composite properties of SARA and its items using item response theory (IRT) and to demonstrate its applicability across even ultra-rare genetic ataxias. Leveraging SARA subscores data from 1932 visits from 990 patients of the Autosomal Recessive Cerebellar Ataxias (ARCA) registry, we assessed the performance of SARA using IRT methodology. The item characteristics were evaluated over the ataxia severity range of the entire ataxia population as well as the assessment validity across 115 genetic ARCA subpopulations. A unidimensional IRT model was able to describe SARA item data, indicating that SARA captures one single latent variable. All items had high discrimination values (1.5-2.9) indicating the effectiveness of the SARA in differentiating between subjects with different disease statuses. Each item contributed between 7% and 28% of the total assessment informativeness. There was no evidence for differences between the 115 genetic ARCA subpopulations in SARA applicability. These results show the good discrimination ability of SARA with all of its items adding informational value. The IRT framework provides a thorough description of SARA on the item level, and facilitates its utilization as a clinical outcome assessment in upcoming longitudinal natural history or treatment trials, across a large number of ataxias, including ultra-rare ones.

20.
Int J Pharm ; 650: 123710, 2024 Jan 25.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38097147

RESUMO

With an increasing concern of global antimicrobial resistance, the efforts to improve the formulation of a narrowing library of therapeutic antibiotics must be confronted. The liposomal encapsulation of antibiotics using a novel and sustainable microfluidic method has been employed in this study to address this pressing issue, via a targeted, lower-dose medical approach. The study focusses upon microfluidic parameter optimisation, formulation stability, cytotoxicity, and future applications. Particle sizes of circa. 130 nm, with viable short-term (28-day) physical stability were obtained, using two different non-cytotoxic liposomal formulations, both of which displayed suitable antibacterial efficacy. The microfluidic method allowed for high encapsulation efficiencies (≈77 %) and the subsequent in vitro release profile suggested high limits of antibiotic dissociation from the nanovessels, achieving 90% release within 72 h. In addition to the experimental data, the growing use of poly(ethylene) glycol (PEG) within lipid-based formulations is discussed in relation to anti-PEG antibodies, highlighting the key pharmacological differences between PEGylated and non-PEGylated formulations and their respective advantages and drawbacks. It's surmised that in the case of the formulations used in this study, the addition of PEG upon the liposomal membrane would still be a beneficial feature to possess owing to beneficial features such as stability, antibiotic efficacy and the capacity to further modify the liposomal membrane.


Assuntos
Amoxicilina , Microfluídica , Lipossomos , Antibacterianos , Polietilenoglicóis
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