Combination of albumin-bilirubin grade and platelets to predict a compensated patient with hepatocellular carcinoma who does not require endoscopic screening for esophageal varices.

BACKGROUNDS AND AIMS: There is no consensus on screening for high-risk esophageal varices (HRV) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Here, we aimed to investigate the prevalence and risk factors of HRV in patients with HCC and to assess the combination of albumin-bilirubin grade and platelet count (ALBI-PLT score) for predicting compensated patients who do not need unnecessary endoscopic screening for HRV. METHODS: The ALBI-PLT score was calculated by adding the ALBI grade and points for platelet count (1 point if platelet count >150,000/mm3 and 2 points if ≤150,000/mm3). The predictive value of the ALBI-PLT score for HRV was analyzed in 887 compensated patients enrolled from October 2007 to April 2014 (study cohort). This was validated in 215 compensated patients from May 2014 to December 2015 (validation cohort). RESULTS: In the study cohort, the rates of HRV were 2.9% and 21.1% in compensated HCC patients with an ALBI-PLT score of 2 and >2, respectively. The negative predictive values of the ALBI-PLT score for predicting HRV were 97.1% and 98.1% in the study and validation cohorts, respectively. For compensated patients who did not receive endoscopic screening at the time of HCC diagnosis, the 5-year cumulative variceal hemorrhage rate was lower in patients with an ALBI-PLT score of 2 than in those with an ALBI-PLT score >2 (1.7% vs 9.1%, P = .007). CONCLUSION: In patients with HCC with compensated liver function, an ALBI-PLT score of 2 predicted a very low risk of HRV and variceal hemorrhage; therefore, endoscopic screening for esophageal varices is not recommended for these patients.

Esophageal varices are not predictive of patient prognosis after surgical resection of hepatocellular carcinoma.

OBJECTIVE: The predictive value of esophageal varices (EV) in determining the patient outcome in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains unresolved. We aimed to assess the impact of EV on the prognosis of HCC patients after surgical resection. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We consecutively enrolled 446 treatment-naive HCC patients who underwent surgical resection and esophagogastroduodenoscopy from 2003 to 2015. Prognostic factors were analyzed using the Cox proportional hazards model and a propensity score matching analysis. RESULTS: A total of 89 (20.0%) HCC patients presented with EV. Compared with those without EV, patients with EV had poorer preservation of liver function and higher rates of cirrhosis in the nontumor part of liver specimens. After a median follow-up period of 34.6 months (25-75 percentiles; 12.8-59.3 months), 130 patients had died. The cumulative 5-year overall survival (OS) rates were 62.3 and 70.6% in patients with and without EV, respectively (P=0.102). A multivariate analysis showed that serum albumin level less than or equal to 4 g/dl (P=0.020), α-fetoprotein level greater than 20 ng/ml (P<0.001), as well as the presence of vascular invasion (P<0.001), but not the presence of EV, were independent risk factors associated with poor OS. Moreover, 67 patients were matched in each group using the one-to-one nearest-neighbor matching method. After matching, the OS rates were comparable between HCC patients with and without EV. CONCLUSION: EV is not an independent risk factor predictive of poor prognosis for HCC patients after resection surgery if they have well-preserved liver function.

The impact of esophagogastric varices on the prognosis of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma.

Whether or not esophagogastric varices (EGV) could determine the outcomes of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is still unclear. A total of 990 treatment-naive HCC patients who received an esophagogastroduodenoscopy at the time of HCC diagnosis were retrospectively enrolled. The factors in terms of prognosis were analyzed by Cox proportional hazards model and propensity score matching analysis. Among the enrolled patients, 480 (48.5%) patients had EGV. Patients with EGV had a significantly lower cumulative 5-year survival rate than those without EGV (24.9% versus 46.4%, p < 0.001). It was confirmed by a multivariate analysis and propensity score matching analysis. Stratified by tumor stage, the patients with EGV had lower survival rates than the patients without EGVs in all Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stages except stage D. Moreover, the patients with EGV had lower survival rates than those without EGV, both by curative or non-curative treatment modalities. In conclusion, EGV was an independent risk factor predicting poor prognosis for the patients with HCC by multivariate analysis, propensity score matching analysis, and subgroup analysis.

Fatty Liver Index and Lipid Accumulation Product Can Predict Metabolic Syndrome in Subjects without Fatty Liver Disease.

Background. Fatty liver index (FLI) and lipid accumulation product (LAP) are indexes originally designed to assess the risk of fatty liver and cardiovascular disease, respectively. Both indexes have been proven to be reliable markers of subsequent metabolic syndrome; however, their ability to predict metabolic syndrome in subjects without fatty liver disease has not been clarified. Methods. We enrolled consecutive subjects who received health check-up services at Taipei Veterans General Hospital from 2002 to 2009. Fatty liver disease was diagnosed by abdominal ultrasonography. The ability of the FLI and LAP to predict metabolic syndrome was assessed by analyzing the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve. Results. Male sex was strongly associated with metabolic syndrome, and the LAP and FLI were better than other variables to predict metabolic syndrome among the 29,797 subjects. Both indexes were also better than other variables to detect metabolic syndrome in subjects without fatty liver disease (AUROC: 0.871 and 0.879, resp.), and the predictive power was greater among women. Conclusion. Metabolic syndrome increases the cardiovascular disease risk. The FLI and LAP could be used to recognize the syndrome in both subjects with and without fatty liver disease who require lifestyle modifications and counseling.