Procalcitonin, C-reactive protein, neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin, resistin and the APTT waveform for the early diagnosis of serious bacterial infection and prediction of outcome in critically ill children.

OBJECTIVE: Bacterial Infections remains a leading cause of death in the Paediatric Intensive Care Unit (PICU). In this era of rising antimicrobial resistance, new tools are needed to guide antimicrobial use. The aim of this study was to investigate the accuracy of procalcitonin (PCT), neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL), resistin, activated partial thromboplastin time (aPTT) waveform and C-reactive protein (CRP) for the diagnosis of serious bacterial infection (SBI) in children on admission to PICU and their use as prognostic indicators. SETTING: A regional PICU in the United Kingdom. PATIENTS: Consecutive PICU admissions between October 2010 and June 2012. MEASUREMENTS: Blood samples were collected daily for biomarker measurement. The primary outcome measure was performance of study biomarkers for diagnosis of SBI on admission to PICU based on clinical, radiological and microbiological criteria. Secondary outcomes included durations of PICU stay and invasive ventilation and 28-day mortality. Patients were followed up to day 28 post-admission. MAIN RESULTS: A total of 657 patients were included in the study. 92 patients (14%) fulfilled criteria for SBI. 28-day mortality was 2.6% (17/657), but 8.7% (8/92) for patients with SBI. The combination of PCT, resistin, plasma NGAL and CRP resulted in the greatest net reclassification improvement compared to CRP alone (0.69, p<0.005) with 10.5% reduction in correct classification of patients with SBI (p 0.52) but a 78% improvement in correct classification of patients without events (p <0.005). A statistical model of prolonged duration of PICU stay found log-transformed maximum values of biomarkers performed better than first recorded biomarkers. The final model included maximum values of CRP, plasma NGAL, lymphocyte and platelet count (AUC 79%, 95% CI 73.7% to 84.2%). Longitudinal profiles of biomarkers showed PCT levels to decrease most rapidly following admission SBI. CONCLUSION: Combinations of biomarkers, including PCT, may improve accurate and timely identification of SBI on admission to PICU.

The role of angiogenic factors in predicting clinical outcome in severe bacterial infection in Malawian children.

INTRODUCTION: Severe sepsis is a disease of the microcirculation, with endothelial dysfunction playing a key role in its pathogenesis and subsequent associated mortality. Angiogenesis in damaged small vessels may ameliorate this dysfunction. The aim of the study was to determine whether the angiogenic factors (vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF), platelet-derived growth factor (PDGF), fibroblast growth factor (FGF), and angiopoietin-1 (Ang-1) and -2 (Ang-2)) are mortality indicators in Malawian children with severe bacterial infection. METHODS: In 293 children with severe bacterial infection, plasma VEGF, PDGF, FGF, and Ang-1 and Ang-2 were measured on admission; in 50 of the children with meningitis, VEGF, PDGF, and FGF were also measured in the CSF. Healthy controls comprised children from some of the villages of the index cases. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed to develop a prognostic model. RESULTS: The median age was 2.4 years, and the IQR, 0.7 to 6.0 years. There were 211 children with bacterial meningitis (72%) and 82 (28%) with pneumonia, and 154 (53%) children were HIV infected. Mean VEGF, PDGF, and FGF concentrations were higher in survivors than in nonsurvivors, but only PDGF remained significantly increased in multivariate analysis (P = 0.007). Mean Ang-1 was significantly increased, and Ang-2 was significantly decreased in survivors compared with nonsurvivors (6,000 versus 3,900 pg/ml, P = 0.03; and 7,700 versus 11,900 pg/ml, P = 0.02, respectively). With a logistic regression model and controlling for confounding factors, only female sex (OR, 3.95; 95% CI, 1.33 to 11.76) and low Ang-1 (OR, 0.23; 95% CI, 0.08 to 0.69) were significantly associated with mortality. In children with bacterial meningitis, mean CSF VEGF, PDGF, and FGF concentrations were higher than paired plasma concentrations, and mean CSF, VEGF, and FGF concentrations were higher in nonsurvivors than in survivors (P = 0.02 and 0.001, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Lower plasma VEGF, PDGF, FGF, and Ang-1 concentrations and higher Ang-2 concentrations are associated with an unfavorable outcome in children with severe bacterial infection. These angiogenic factors may be important in the endothelial dysregulation seen in severe bacterial infection, and they could be used as biomarkers for the early identification of patients at risk of a poor outcome.

Identifying critically ill children at high risk of acute kidney injury and renal replacement therapy.

Acute kidney injury (AKI), a common complication in paediatric intensive care units (PICU), is associated with increased morbidity and mortality. In this single centre, prospective, observational cohort study, neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin in urine (uNGAL) and plasma (pNGAL) and renal angina index (RAI), and combinations of these markers, were assessed for their ability to predict severe (stage 2 or 3) AKI in children and young people admitted to PICU. In PICU children and young people had initial and serial uNGAL and pNGAL measurements, RAI calculation on day 1, and collection of clinical data, including serum creatinine measurements. Primary outcomes were severe AKI and renal replacement therapy (RRT). Secondary outcomes were length of stay, hospital acquired infection and mortality. The area under the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves and Youden index was used to determine biomarker performance and identify optimum cut-off values. Of 657 children recruited, 104 met criteria for severe AKI (15∙8%) and 47 (7∙2%) required RRT. Severe AKI was associated with increased length of stay, hospital acquired infection, and mortality. The area under the curve (AUC) for severe AKI prediction for Day 1 uNGAL, Day 1 pNGAL and RAI were 0.75 (95% Confidence Interval [CI] 0∙69, 0∙81), 0∙64 (95% CI 0∙56, 0∙72), and 0.73 (95% CI 0∙65, 0∙80) respectively. The optimal combination of measures was RAI and day 1 uNGAL, giving an AUC of 0∙80 for severe AKI prediction (95% CI 0∙71, 0∙88). In this heterogenous PICU cohort, urine or plasma NGAL in isolation had poorer prediction accuracy for severe AKI than in previously reported homogeneous populations. However, when combined together with RAI, they produced good prediction for severe AKI.

High pneumococcal DNA loads are associated with mortality in Malawian children with invasive pneumococcal disease.

BACKGROUND: In bacteremia owing to Streptococcus pneumoniae, high bacterial counts at presentation have been shown to be predictive of the development of serious invasive disease. Using real-time PCR, we aimed to determine pneumococcal DNA loads in blood and CSF, and their relationship to cytokine concentrations, clinical presentation and outcome. METHODS: Children with confirmed meningitis (n = 82) or pneumonia (n = 13) were prospectively recruited, and blood and CSF samples taken for pneumococcal bacterial DNA loads and cytokine determination. RESULTS: At the time of admission, the median bacterial load in blood was 1.6 x 10 DNA copies/mL (range 0.00-1.54 x 10) and in CSF it was 5.77 x 10 DNA copies/mL (range 4.42 x 10 to 6.15 x 10). Median blood and CSF bacterial loads (log DNA copies/mL) were significantly higher in nonsurvivors than in survivors; blood (3.80 vs. 2.97, P = 0.003), CSF (8.17 vs. 7.50, P = 0.03). In HIV-infected children (n = 59), blood and CSF loads and plasma tumor necrosis factor-alpha, interleukin-1beta (IL-1beta), IL-6 and IL-10 were all significantly higher in nonsurvivors than in survivors, but in HIV-uninfected children (n = 36) this difference was not significant. Blood bacterial loads and plasma cytokine concentrations were significantly associated, and were all significantly higher in children with meningitis than in those with pneumonia. In children with meningitis, median CSF cytokine concentrations were significantly higher than median plasma cytokine concentrations (P < 0.001) and CSF bacterial loads were significantly associated with CSF IL-1beta (P = 0.002) and IL-10 (P = 0.001) concentrations. CONCLUSIONS: Pneumococcal DNA loads are associated with plasma cytokine concentrations, and are higher in meningitis than in pneumonia. High blood and CSF pneumococcal DNA loads are associated with a fatal outcome.

Predicting Risk of Serious Bacterial Infections in Febrile Children in the Emergency Department.

BACKGROUND: Improving the diagnosis of serious bacterial infections (SBIs) in the children's emergency department is a clinical priority. Early recognition reduces morbidity and mortality, and supporting clinicians in ruling out SBIs may limit unnecessary admissions and antibiotic use. METHODS: A prospective, diagnostic accuracy study of clinical and biomarker variables in the diagnosis of SBIs (pneumonia or other SBI) in febrile children <16 years old. A diagnostic model was derived by using multinomial logistic regression and internally validated. External validation of a published model was undertaken, followed by model updating and extension by the inclusion of procalcitonin and resistin. RESULTS: There were 1101 children studied, of whom 264 had an SBI. A diagnostic model discriminated well between pneumonia and no SBI (concordance statistic 0.84, 95% confidence interval 0.78-0.90) and between other SBIs and no SBI (0.77, 95% confidence interval 0.71-0.83) on internal validation. A published model discriminated well on external validation. Model updating yielded good calibration with good performance at both high-risk (positive likelihood ratios: 6.46 and 5.13 for pneumonia and other SBI, respectively) and low-risk (negative likelihood ratios: 0.16 and 0.13, respectively) thresholds. Extending the model with procalcitonin and resistin yielded improvements in discrimination. CONCLUSIONS: Diagnostic models discriminated well between pneumonia, other SBIs, and no SBI in febrile children in the emergency department. Improvements in the classification of nonevents have the potential to reduce unnecessary hospital admissions and improve antibiotic prescribing. The benefits of this improved risk prediction should be further evaluated in robust impact studies.

A predominantly anti-inflammatory cytokine profile is associated with disease severity in meningococcal sepsis.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to determine whether an anti-inflammatory profile in meningococcal disease is associated with an increased risk of severe disease or septic shock. DESIGN AND SETTING: Prospective observational study in a tertiary care children's hospital. PATIENTS AND PARTICIPANTS: 63 children with confirmed meningococcal disease. INTERVENTIONS: Plasma concentrations of interleukin-1 receptor antagonist (IL-1Ra), interleukin-6 (IL-6), interleukin-8 (IL-8) and tumour necrosis factor-alpha (TNF) were assayed on admission. Receiver operator characteristic curve analysis was used to determine optimum thresholds for IL-1Ra:TNF, IL-1Ra:IL-6 and IL-1Ra:IL-8 ratios. MEASUREMENTS AND RESULTS: Median IL-1Ra:TNF and IL-1Ra:IL-6 ratios were significantly higher in severe disease with septic shock than in severe disease without septic shock and in non severe disease (IL-1Ra:TNF 263 vs. 185 vs. 108; IL-1Ra:IL-6 139 vs. 23 vs. 17). Median IL-1Ra:IL-8 ratios were not significantly different in the three groups. A significantly larger proportion of children with high IL-1Ra:TNF-alpha and IL-1Ra:IL-6 ratios developed severe disease with septic shock than those with a low ratios (95.2% vs. 4.8%; 76.2% vs. 23.8%). CONCLUSIONS: An anti-inflammatory profile appears to be associated with the development of severe disease and septic shock in meningococcal sepsis. This may imply that experimental new therapies of pro-inflammatory cytokine inhibition and anti-inflammatory cytokines in meningococcal disease could be detrimental.

Novel biomarker combination improves the diagnosis of serious bacterial infections in Malawian children.

BACKGROUND: High throughput technologies offer insight into disease processes and heightens opportunities for improved diagnostics. Using transcriptomic analyses, we aimed to discover and to evaluate the clinical validity of a combination of reliable and functionally important biomarkers of serious bacterial infection (SBI). METHODS: We identified three previously reported biomarkers of infection (neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL), granulysin and resistin) and measured gene expression using quantitative real-time PCR. Protein products related to the three transcripts were measured by immunoassays. RESULTS: Relative gene expression values of NGAL and resistin were significantly increased, and expression of granulysin significantly decreased in cases compared to controls. Plasma concentrations of NGAL and resistin were significantly increased in children with confirmed SBI compared to children with no detectable bacterial infection (NBI), and to controls (287 versus 128 versus 62 ng/ml and 195 versus 90 versus 18 ng/ml, respectively, p < 0.05). Plasma protein concentrations of NGAL and resistin were significantly increased in non-survivors compared to survivors (306 versus 211 and 214 versus 150 ng/ml, p = 0.02). The respective areas under the curve (AUC) for NGAL, resistin and procalcitonin in predicting SBI were 0.79, 0.80 and 0.86, whilst a combination of NGAL, resistin and procalcitonin achieved an AUC of 0.90. CONCLUSIONS: We have demonstrated a unique combination of diagnostic biomarkers of SBI using transcriptomics, and demonstrated translational concordance with the corresponding protein. The addition of NGAL and resistin protein measurement to procalcitonin significantly improved the diagnosis of SBI.

PCR improves diagnostic yield from lung aspiration in Malawian children with radiologically confirmed pneumonia.

BACKGROUND: Accurate data on childhood pneumonia aetiology are essential especially from regions where mortality is high, in order to inform case-management guidelines and the potential of prevention strategies such as bacterial conjugate vaccines. Yield from blood culture is low, but lung aspirate culture provides a higher diagnostic yield. We aimed to determine if diagnostic yield could be increased further by polymerase chain reaction (PCR) detection of bacteria (Streptococcus pneumoniae and Haemophilus influenzae b) and viruses in lung aspirate fluid. METHODS: A total of 95 children with radiological focal, lobar or segmental consolidation had lung aspirate performed and sent for bacterial culture and for PCR for detection of bacteria, viruses and Pneumocystis jirovecii. In children with a pneumococcal aetiology, pneumococcal bacterial loads were calculated in blood and lung aspirate fluid. RESULTS: Blood culture identified a bacterial pathogen in only 8 patients (8%). With the addition of PCR on lung aspirate samples, causative pathogens (bacterial, viral, pneumocystis) were identified singly or as co-infections in 59 children (62%). The commonest bacterial organism was S.pneumoniae (41%), followed by H. influenzae b (6%), and the commonest virus identified was adenovirus (16%), followed by human bocavirus (HBoV) (4%), either as single or co-infection. CONCLUSIONS: In a select group of African children, lung aspirate PCR significantly improves diagnostic yield. Our study confirms a major role of S.pneumoniae and viruses in the aetiology of childhood pneumonia in Africa.

The diagnostic and prognostic accuracy of five markers of serious bacterial infection in Malawian children with signs of severe infection.

BACKGROUND: Early recognition and prompt and appropriate antibiotic treatment can significantly reduce mortality from serious bacterial infections (SBI). The aim of this study was to evaluate the utility of five markers of infection: C-reactive protein (CRP), procalcitonin (PCT), soluble triggering receptor expressed on myeloid cells-1 (sTREM-1), CD163 and high mobility group box-1 (HMGB1), as markers of SBI in severely ill Malawian children. METHODOLOGY AND PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: Children presenting with a signs of meningitis (n = 282) or pneumonia (n = 95), were prospectively recruited. Plasma samples were taken on admission for CRP, PCT, sTREM-1 CD163 and HMGB1 and the performance characteristics of each test to diagnose SBI and to predict mortality were determined. Of 377 children, 279 (74%) had SBI and 83 (22%) died. Plasma CRP, PCT, CD163 and HMGB1 and were higher in HIV-infected children than in HIV-uninfected children (p<0.01). In HIV-infected children, CRP and PCT were higher in children with SBI compared to those with no detectable bacterial infection (p<0.0005), and PCT and CD163 were higher in non-survivors (p = 0.001, p = 0.05 respectively). In HIV-uninfected children, CRP and PCT were also higher in children with SBI compared to those with no detectable bacterial infection (p<0.0005), and CD163 was higher in non-survivors (p = 0.05). The best predictors of SBI were CRP and PCT, and areas under the curve (AUCs) were 0.81 (95% CI 0.73-0.89) and 0.86 (95% CI 0.79-0.92) respectively. The best marker for predicting death was PCT, AUC 0.61 (95% CI 0.50-0.71). CONCLUSIONS: Admission PCT and CRP are useful markers of invasive bacterial infection in severely ill African children. The study of these markers using rapid tests in a less selected cohort would be important in this setting.

Chemokine responses are increased in HIV-infected Malawian children with invasive pneumococcal disease.

BACKGROUND: Chemokines play an important role in the recruitment and regulation of leukocyte traffic during bacterial infection. The aims of this study were to investigate the chemokine response to invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) and to examine the influence of HIV infection on the chemokine response, pneumococcal bacterial loads, and outcome. METHODS: We prospectively studied 95 children with IPD, and blood and cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) samples were taken at admission for the determination of chemokines, interferon-gamma (IFNgamma), and pneumococcal bacterial loads. RESULTS: Plasma CXCL8 and CCL2, CSF CXCL8 and CCL4, and IFNgamma were significantly higher in HIV-infected children than in HIV-uninfected children. Blood and CSF pneumococcal bacterial loads correlated with plasma and CSF chemokines, respectively, and were higher in HIV-infected children compared with HIV-uninfected children. Among HIV-infected children, plasma concentrations of CXCL8 and CCL2 were significantly higher in nonsurvivors than in survivors, but CCL5 was significantly lower. HIV-infected and HIV-uninfected children with IPD had higher concentrations of chemokines (except CCL5) than acutely ill HIV-infected and HIV-uninfected children with no detectable bacterial infection. Male gender and low plasma CCL2 concentrations were shown to be independently associated with survival. CONCLUSIONS: Chemokines, in particular CCL2, are associated with survival in IPD and correlate with pneumococcal bacterial loads, disease presentation, and outcome.